Durham District School Board · elementary and secondary panel. The School Board, ... Coronation P.S. with Gordon B. Attersley P.S ... Within the Durham District School Board’s

Durham District School Board

Elementary and Secondary

October 2013

Official Enrolment Projections

Prepared by:

Property and Planning Department

Facilities Services

Page 1

Executive Summary

Staff of the Property and Planning Department, in conjunction with

Operations staff, produced this document. Input was also received from

elementary and secondary school Principals. The methodology used to

produce the Official Enrolment Projections can be found in Appendix A.

For October 2013 there is projected to be a total of 46,725 elementary

students, with a full-time equivalent (FTE) of 42,392.50. The October 2013

secondary total is projected to be 22,672 secondary students, with a full-time

equivalent of 22,589.73.

There is a projected increase from October 2012 to October 2013 of 90

students, 2,017.05 FTE, at the elementary level. The FTE increase is as a result

of the implementation of Full Day Kindergarten with the incorporation of JK

and SK students as full time students. Previously these students were counted

as part time since they attended only half or alternate days. Next year we

will witness a further increase in these numbers, as the 2014 – 2015 school year

will be the final year of implementation of Full Day Kindergarten and the

phase out of Full Time Equivalent (FTE) at the Elementary panel.

At the secondary level the enrolment is projected to decline by 455 students,

450.77 FTE. This decline is anticipated as a result of the Ministry

implementation of a 34 credit maximum for graduating students.

For October 2013, total student enrolment for the Durham District School

Board is projected to be 69,397 students with full-time equivalent of 64,989.23.

This would be an overall decline of 365 pupils, and decrease in the FTE of

2,468.27 FTE, from October 2012 to that projected for October 2013.

Page 2

Calculations of Students as Full Time Equivalent

Full-time equivalent (FTE) numbers are shown for all schools. For elementary schools, this

means counting half of the number of students in Junior Kindergarten (JK) and Senior

Kindergarten (SK). Although those programs will be offered on a full-time basis at 78 schools

as of September 2013, the Ministry of Education requires data to be submitted for funding

purposes in FTE format.

For secondary schools, the FTE is based on the credit load of students. The Ministry of

Education has recently announced its intention to cap secondary credits at 34, thereby

causing a reduction in the number of 5th year returning students. The Ministry of Education

continues to require the data to be submitted for funding purposes in FTE format for the

elementary and secondary panel. The School Board, therefore, will use FTE for staffing and

space allocation purposes.

Full Day Kindergarten (FDK)

Starting September 2010, the government began phasing in Full Day Kindergarten (FDK). In

the first year, nearly 600 schools across the Province offered the program. For the DDSB, 16

schools offered Full Day Kindergarten in 2010 and an additional 6 schools offered the

program in 2011. For the 2012 school year the DDSB offered Full Day Kindergarten at 34 sites,

bringing the total number of DDSB schools offering FDK to 54. In 2013 the DDSB will offer Full

Day Kindergarten at an additional 21 existing schools plus the two new schools (Chris

Hadfield P.S. and Seneca Trail P.S.). This will bring the total number of DDSB schools offering

FDK to 77, leaving 30 elementary schools to offer the program in 2014.

Selection of the school sites was based upon Ministry of Education criteria including the

equitable geographic distribution of classes, community need, minimal impact on existing

childcare and early years programs, student achievement needs and use of existing space

availability at schools.

The schools that offered FDK starting in September 2010 were:

Bayview Heights P.S.

Bobby Orr P.S.

Bolton C. Falby PS

Cartwright Central P.S.

Dr. C.F. Cannon P.S.

Duffin’s Bay P.S.

Fairport Beach P.S.

David Bouchard P.S. (consolidated Gertrude Colpus P.S./T.R. McEwen P.S.)

Glen Street P.S.

Mary Street Community School

Sir William Stephenson P.S.

Thorah Central P.S.

Village Union P.S.

Waverly P.S.

In September 2011, the schools that offered FDK were:

Beaverton P.S.

Cadarackque P.S.

Glengrove P.S.

Quaker Village P.S.

Queen Elizabeth P.S.

West Lynde P.S.

In September 2012 the schools that offered FDK included:

Alexander Graham Bell P.S.

Applecroft P.S.

College Hill P.S.

Page 3

Clara Hughes P.S.

da Vinci P.S.

Epsom P.S.

Goodwood P.S.

Gordon B. Attersley P.S.

Greenbank P.S.

Harmony Heights P.S.

Highbush P.S.

Hillsdale P.S.

John Dryden P.S.

Kedron P.S.

Lakewoods P.S.

Lincoln Avenue P.S.

Lord Elgin P.S.

McCaskill’s Mills P.S.

Ormiston P.S.

Prince Albert P.S.

Pringle Creek P.S.

RH Cornish P.S.

Robert Munsch P.S.

SA Cawker P.S.

Scott Central P.S.

Sir John A. Macdonald P.S.

Southwood Park P.S.

Sunderland P.S.

Valley Farm P.S.

Valley View P.S.

Vaughan Willard P.S.

Westney Heights P.S.

Whitby Shores P.S.

Woodcrest P.S.

For September 2013 the schools that will offer FDK include:

Athabasca Street P.S.

Bellwood P.S.

CE Broughton P.S.

Carruthers Creek P.S.

Chris Hadfield P.S.

Col. Farewell P.S.

Coronation P.S.

Claremont P.S.

Dr. R. Thornton P.S.

EB Phin P.S.

Fallingbrook P.S.

Frenchman’s Bay P.S.

Grandview P.S.

Jack Miner P.S.

Joseph Gould P.S.

Lincoln Alexander P.S.

Nottingham P.S.

Rosebank Road P.S.

Seneca Trail P.S.

Sunset Heights P.S.

Uxbridge P.S.

Vincent Massey P.S.

and

Winchester P.S.

Page 4

Accommodation Plan

Additions were completed at three schools over the past year. Frenchman’s Bay P.S. had a

gymnasium addition as well as internal school renovations completed. Port Perry H.S. had a

classroom addition as well as internal school renovations and additional parking constructed.

Uxbridge S.S. had a gymnasium and classroom addition.

In September 2012 da Vinci P.S. opened in Ajax. This new regular track elementary school

opened with an enrolment of 579 students.

In the City of Oshawa, enrolments of the TR McEwen P.S. and Gertrude Colpus P.S. were

consolidated at the David Bouchard P.S. (former Gertrude Colpus) facility for the 2012 – 2013

school year. This is in preparation for the rebuild-on-site of a replacement school on the TR

McEwen P.S. site, proposed to open September 2013.

In September 2013 two new elementary schools are proposed to open, Seneca Trail P.S., in

Oshawa and Chris Hadfield P.S., in Brooklin. Seneca Trail P.S. in Oshawa will accommodate a

dual track English / French Immersion school, which will bring relief to Norman G. Powers P.S.

This school will provide a third French Immersion site in the City of Oshawa.

The new Chris Hadfield P.S. will bring much needed relief to Brooklin. For September 2013,

boundary revisions and adjustment were also made to Meadowcrest P.S., Brooklin Village P.S.

and Blair Ridge P.S. Meadowcrest P.S. will become a single track French Immersion school,

providing a second French Immersion site in Brooklin.

The approved French Immersion boundaries for the City of Oshawa will become effective as

of September 2013. The boundary realignments will result in some changes for the existing

French Immersion schools in Oshawa.

Other boundary changes to occur in the City of Oshawa included the adjustment of

Coronation P.S. and Gordon B. Attersley P.S. to include the small north section from

Coronation P.S. with Gordon B. Attersley P.S. Pierre Elliott Trudeau P.S. and Vincent Massey

P.S. will each acquire areas from Athabasca Street P.S., which are within close proximity to

their respective schools. The transition of Athabasca Street P.S. students to Pierre Elliott

Trudeau P.S. will occur through 2014.

Scugog Township Secondary Accommodation Review Committee (ARC)

The schools that were under the mandate of the Scugog Township Secondary ARC were

Cartwright H.S. and Port Perry H.S. The Board Staff scenario proposed to the ARC was the

closure of Cartwright H.S. and consolidation into Port Perry H.S. for the 2013 – 2014 school

year.

The Accommodation Review Committee (ARC) Report was submitted to the Durham District

School Board on November 19, 2012. The report was generated by the work of 12 members

from the affected community, after 13 working meetings. In addition four public meetings

were held where public input and information sharing was encouraged.

The review process is in accordance with the Ministry of Education Guidelines and the DDSB’s

Policy and Procedure (#7113). The ARC process is designed to facilitate collaboration, input

and ultimately build viable program options for our students.

At the February 19, 2013 Board Meeting, Trustees approved the accommodation solution of

Board Staff and the ARC (one of three solutions recommended) which will result in the

closure of Cartwright H.S. as of June 2013 and the relocation of current students from the

school to Port Perry H.S. in September 2013 which have been reflected in the projections. An

appeal to the Trustee decision is before the Ministry of Education.

Page 5

Athabasca / Grandview Accommodation Review Committee (AGE – ARC)

The Durham District School Board began the Accommodation Review Process for Athabasca

Street P.S. and Grandview P.S., as approved at the Board Meeting of March 18, 2013. Both

schools are identified as potential for closure/consolidation with a rebuild on the current

Grandview P.S. site suggested as an option by Board Staff. The mandate of the

Accommodation Review Committee (ARC) is to review school accommodations and to

establish an integrated accommodation solution for east Oshawa. This process will take

approximately one year to complete. In a collaborative environment, the ARC will develop

options to improve the education opportunities for the elementary students in the east

Oshawa area, while examining the option developed by the Board.

Facilities

During 2011 a Facility Audit took place, in order to confirm the capacities of schools and

verify the use of rooms within elementary and secondary facilities. Any changes to use and

any alterations were documented going forward from the 2011 Ministry Rated Capacities.

Growth Analysis

Within the Durham District School Board’s jurisdiction fewer plans of subdivision are being

submitted annually than were witnessed during the 1980’s and 1990’s. This in conjunction

with declining family size, leads to fewer new pupils being generated from new subdivision

growth. New subdivision growth, from registered plans, has been reflected within the

projections for the appropriate schools.

Portable Classrooms

A total of 319 portable classrooms were in use in the system at the beginning of the

2012/2013 school year, 190 portables at the elementary level and 129 portables at the

secondary level.

Construction of three new schools throughout the Durham District School Board together with

an initiative within Facilities Services to reduce portable misuse will reduce the use of

portables within the Board in the upcoming school year. The new Chris Hadfield P.S. in

Brooklin, where a total of 33 portables are being utilized collectively at the elementary

schools, will reduce the reliance on portables for the upcoming school year. The new

Seneca Trail P.S. in Oshawa will relieve the portable needs at Norman G. Powers P.S. where

there are currently 12 portables. The new replacement school being built on the former T.R.

McEwen P.S. site, where the current David Bouchard P.S. (former Gertrude Colpus P.S.)

enrolment will be accommodated, will result in surplus portables which are currently in use at

the temporary David Bouchard P.S. site.

The secondary panel will experience a decline in portable use due to disconnection and

removal of unnecessary portables on site.

Housing Development

Durham Region is continuing to experience housing growth in Ajax, Whitby and Oshawa.

Growth within the City of Pickering is minimal, as the amount of developable residential lands

disappears. However, there has been progress with regards to the south sector of the lands

along the east and west sides of Brock Road. The City of Pickering and Region of Durham is

eagerly anticipating the commencement of the Seaton land servicing and development in

the next couple of years. The majority of growth occurring in the Ajax, Whitby and Oshawa is

north from the Taunton Road corridor and will occur over the next several years.

Growth in the three northern municipalities is projected to remain at the current rate.

2013 Official Enrolment Projections

Ministry October

Municipality Rated 2012 Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct

(Administrative Area) Capacity (2012) Incl. FDK FTE¹ 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

City of Pickering 6,770 6,462.50 6,085.00 5,933.00 5,887.00 5,893.00 5,837.00

(Area 1)

Town of Ajax 9,460 9,854.50 9,438.00 9,438.00 9,356.00 9,348.00 9,251.00

(Area 2)

Town of Whitby 10,857 11,748.00 11,418.00 11,531.00 11,505.00 11,549.00 11,522.00

(Area 3)

City of Oshawa 11,534 11,315.00 10,928.50 11,135.00 11,350.00 11,535.00 11,612.50

(Area 4)

Township of Uxbridge 1,919 1,891.00 1,729.50 1,657.00 1,577.00 1,539.00 1,467.00

(Area 5)

Township of Scugog 1,971 2,052.00 1,836.00 1,798.00 1,755.00 1,732.00 1,672.00

(Area 6)

Township of Brock 1,207 1,087.00 957.50 911.00 890.00 862.00 827.00

(Area 7)

Total 43,718 44,410.00 42,392.50 42,403.00 42,320.00 42,458.00 42,188.50

Ministry Actual

Municipality Rated Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct

(Administrative Area) Capacity (2012) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

City of Pickering 3,273 3,081.50 2,960.00 2,919.00 2,794.00 2,670.00 2,602.00

(Area 1)

Town of Ajax 4,470 5,134.25 5,061.73 5,005.00 5,002.00 4,959.00 4,882.00

(Area 2)

Town of Whitby 4,548 5,324.50 5,332.00 5,222.00 5,316.00 5,203.00 5,143.00

(Area 3)

City of Oshawa 6,321 5,806.00 5,703.00 5,550.00 5,377.00 5,143.00 5,110.00

(Area 4)

Township of Uxbridge 1,185 1,382.00 1,348.00 1,325.00 1,288.00 1,303.00 1,285.00

(Area 5)

Township of Scugog 1,194 1,265.25 1,195.00 1,203.00 1,186.00 1,168.00 1,149.00

(Area 6)

Township of Brock 672 488.00 468.00 466.00 444.00 420.00 415.00

(Area 7)

DASS 0 566.00 522.00 522.00 522.00 522.00 522.00

Total 21,663 23,047.50 22,589.73 22,212.00 21,929.00 21,388.00 21,108.00

Grand Total 65,381 67,457.50 64,982.23 64,615.00 64,249.00 63,846.00 63,296.50

NOTES:

¹Including FDK (Full Day Kindergarten) FTE: Numbers shown in this column include the true head count of students in schools that currently offer

Full Day Kindergarten (FDK) and Full Time Equivalent (.5 JK + .5 SK) for those schools that do not yet offer Full Day Kindergarten.

As per Ministry mandate, DDSB will have full implementation of FDK for the 2014 - 2015 school year.

Projected

Projected

Secondary Full-Time Equivalent Summary

Elementary Full-Time Equivalent Summary

Page 6


Ministry

Municipality Rated October Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct


City of Pickering 6,770 6,738 6,663 6,506 6,450 6,456 6,400

(Area 1)

Town of Ajax 9,460 10,383 10,384 10,327 10,234 10,226 10,129

(Area 2)

Town of Whitby 10,857 12,526 12,593 12,702 12,662 12,706 12,679

(Area 3)

City of Oshawa 11,534 11,879 12,149 12,363 12,570 12,759 12,840

(Area 4)

Township of Uxbridge 1,919 1,970 1,879 1,796 1,716 1,678 1,606

(Area 5)

Township of Scugog 1,971 2,052 2,000 1,954 1,911 1,888 1,828

(Area 6)

Township of Brock 1,207 1,087 1,057 1,004 983 955 920

(Area 7)

Total 43,718 46,635 46,725 46,652 46,526 46,668 46,402

Ministry Actual Projected

Municipality Rated Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct


City of Pickering 3,273 3,083 2,962 2,921 2,796 2,672 2,604

(Area 1)

Town of Ajax 4,470 5,141 5,069 5,013 5,010 4,967 4,890

(Area 2)

Town of Whitby 4,548 5,338 5,347 5,237 5,331 5,217 5,157

(Area 3)

City of Oshawa 6,321 5,825 5,724 5,571 5,398 5,163 5,130

(Area 4)

Township of 1,185 1,384 1,350 1,327 1,290 1,305 1,285

Uxbridge

Township of 1,194 1,272 1,202 1,210 1,193 1,175 1,156

Scugog

Township of 672 488 468 466 444 420 415

Brock

DASS 0 596 550 550 550 550 550

Total 21,663 23,127 22,672 22,295 22,012 21,469 21,187

Grand Total 65,381 69,762 69,397 68,947 68,538 68,137 67,589

Elementary Student Summary

Projected

Secondary Student Summary

Page 7


Ministry

Rated Actual

Sch Capacity October October October October October October

# School Name Grades 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Administrative Area 1

384 Altona Forest***** JK to 8 444 373.50 367.00 355.00 346.00 335.00 321.00

370 Bayview Heights * JK to 8 538 392.00 368.00 371.00 383.00 391.00 386.00

419 Claremont**** JK to 8 176 161.00 154.50 142.00 136.00 135.00 132.00

375 Elizabeth B. Phin**** JK to 8 385 329.00 306.00 307.00 306.00 305.00 304.00

373 Fairport Beach * JK to 8 297 237.50 219.00 212.00 206.00 202.00 198.00

372 Frenchman's Bay**** JK to 8 604 692.00 737.00 750.00 776.00 793.00 828.00

374 Gandatsetiagon***** JK to 8 343 418.50 415.00 410.00 401.00 402.00 404.00

379 Glengrove ** JK to 8 366 311.00 300.00 306.00 295.00 299.00 286.00

383 Highbush *** JK to 8 576 442.00 423.50 409.00 400.00 398.00 388.00

382 Maple Ridge***** JK to 8 422 268.50 261.50 243.00 233.00 230.00 224.00

377 Rosebank**** JK to 8 130 144.50 146.50 142.00 141.00 140.00 132.00

371 Sir John A. Macdonald *** JK to 8 456 443.00 439.50 431.00 430.00 433.00 436.00

381 Valley Farm *** JK to 8 604 495.00 490.50 475.50 477.00 481.00 480.00

412 Valley View *** JK to 8 176 182.50 203.00 206.00 211.00 223.00 214.00

380 Vaughan Willard *** JK to 8 360 261.50 260.00 247.50 252.00 259.00 254.00

385 Westcreek***** JK to 8 400 396.00 382.00 335.00 312.00 293.00 271.00

376 William Dunbar***** JK to 8 493 637.00 612.00 591.00 582.00 574.00 579.00


402 Alexander Graham Bell *** JK to 8 523 582.50 538.00 509.50 501.00 492.00 476.00

397 Applecroft *** JK to 8 246 331.00 325.50 332.50 328.00 341.00 349.00

390 Bolton C. Falby * JK to 8 777 529.00 546.50 551.00 560.00 560.00 565.00

398 Cadarackque ** JK to 8 541 582.00 594.00 607.00 618.00 622.00 625.00

414 Carruthers Creek**** JK to 8 707 684.50 677.00 649.00 630.00 615.00 593.00

368 da Vinci*** JK to 8 506 567.50 644.00 704.00 749.00 770.00

401 Dr. Roberta Bondar***** JK to 8 374 299.50 286.00 271.00 248.00 247.00 245.00

394 Duffin's Bay * JK to 8 360 259.50 250.00 239.00 229.00 228.00 221.00

403 Eagle Ridge***** JK to 8 423 457.50 422.00 385.50 349.00 317.00 300.00

393 Lakeside***** JK to 8 417 319.00 301.00 284.00 260.00 251.00 246.00

415 Lester B. Pearson***** JK to 8 387 307.50 300.00 284.00 277.00 264.00 255.00

399 Lincoln Alexander**** JK to 8 389 411.50 400.00 394.00 383.00 369.00 352.00

400 Lincoln Avenue *** JK to 8 277 253.50 256.50 238.00 230.00 230.00 232.00

392 Lord Elgin *** JK to 8 225 195.50 192.00 189.00 181.00 170.00 156.00

408 Nottingham**** JK to 8 489 574.00 555.00 549.00 526.00 507.00 486.00

396 Roland Michener***** JK to 8 240 449.00 437.00 452.50 437.00 442.00 436.00

454 Romeo Dallaire***** JK to 8 558 803.00 878.50 944.00 988.00 1,054.00 1,081.00

395 Southwood Park *** JK to 8 651 639.50 642.00 663.00 669.00 668.00 657.00

405 Terry Fox***** JK to 8 357 442.00 432.00 416.00 399.00 383.00 362.00

386 Vimy Ridge***** JK to 8 535 506.00 518.00 522.00 517.00 512.00 509.00

417 Westney Heights *** JK to 8 478 312.50 319.50 314.00 322.00 327.00 335.00

* Offering FDK 2010/2011

** Offering FDK 2011/2012

*** Offering FDK 2012/2013

**** Offering FDK 2013/2014

*****Offering FDK 2014/2015

2013 to 2017 Projected Elementary Full-Time Equivalent

Projected

Full-Time Equivalent Numbers

Page 8


Ministry

Rated Actual




430 Bellwood**** JK to 8 352 397.00 405.50 395.00 386.00 381.00 368.00

444 Blair Ridge***** JK to 8 535 638.50 660.00 710.00 744.00 762.00 781.00

443 Brooklin Village***** JK to 8 466 817.00 631.00 626.00 633.00 639.00 627.00

436 C.E. Broughton**** JK to 8 369 317.50 295.50 287.00 284.00 272.00 270.00

418 Cpt.MichaelVandenBos***** JK to 8 581 567.00 558.00 570.00 576.00 601.00 606.00

425 Col. J.E. Farewell**** JK to 8 495 368.50 352.00 341.50 325.00 311.00 303.00

420 Dr. Robert Thornton**** JK to 8 441 268.00 248.50 243.50 239.00 239.00 240.00

424 E.A. Fairman***** JK to 8 248 174.00 165.00 165.00 163.00 150.00 153.00

437 Fallingbrook**** JK to 8 425 376.50 364.50 347.00 340.00 334.00 326.00

431 Glen Dhu***** JK to 8 544 461.00 466.50 458.00 448.00 438.00 422.00

404 Jack Miner**** JK to 8 392 548.50 539.50 530.50 514.00 500.00 501.00

434 John Dryden *** JK to 8 515 546.50 518.50 498.00 464.00 448.00 428.00

473 Julie Payette***** JK to 8 633 703.00 751.00 788.00 810.00 828.00 836.00

421 Meadowcrest***** JK to 8 351 551.50 226.00 264.00 285.00 309.00 330.00

433 Ormiston *** JK to 8 406 351.50 332.50 313.00 305.00 301.00 301.00

429 Pringle Creek *** JK to 8 518 615.00 597.00 599.00 594.00 583.00 575.00

446 Robert Munsch *** JK to 8 512 553.00 599.00 631.00 658.00 680.00 719.00

439 Sir Samuel Steele***** JK to 8 477 471.50 445.50 431.00 402.00 402.00 386.00

411 Sir William Stephenson * JK to 8 438 391.00 397.00 397.00 382.00 382.00 386.00

441 Unnamed Vipond****

(Chris Hadfield) JK to 8 0 0.00 642.00 678.00 683.00 707.00 703.00

435 West Lynde ** JK to 8 512 406.00 398.50 395.00 391.00 394.00 384.00

416 Whitby Shores *** JK to 8 526 484.50 532.00 578.00 627.00 658.00 684.00

413 Williamsburg***** JK to 8 489 642.00 636.50 654.00 665.00 671.00 664.00

438 Winchester**** JK to 8 632 681.50 656.50 631.50 587.00 559.00 529.00







Projected


Page 9


Ministry

Rated Actual




101 Adelaide McLaughlin***** JK to 8 400 291.00 278.00 270.00 259.00 249.00 244.00

102 Athabasca**** JK to 8 309 336.00 187.50 164.50 172.00 171.00 171.00

103 Beau Valley***** JK to 8 222 277.00 278.50 272.00 258.00 261.00 260.00

104 Bobby Orr * JK to 8 412 275.00 266.00 259.00 259.00 256.00 260.00

128 Clara Hughes*** JK to 8 740 451.00 463.50 464.00 471.00 485.00 485.00

107 College Hill *** JK to 8 205 231.50 232.00 236.00 232.00 236.00 234.00

111 Coronation**** JK to 8 466 435.50 426.00 414.50 415.50 421.50 422.50

119 David Bouchard* JK to 8 421 539.50 517.50 540.00 570.00 596.00 605.00

113 Dr. C. F. Cannon * JK to 8 690 391.50 400.00 395.00 389.00 385.00 380.00

133 Dr. S. J. Phillips***** JK to 8 415 492.50 529.50 554.00 572.00 581.00 585.00

120 Glen Street * JK to 8 449 334.00 347.50 354.00 355.00 370.00 379.00

126 Gordon B. Attersley *** JK to 8 495 404.50 409.00 406.00 408.00 406.00 406.00

121 Grandview**** JK to 8 266 233.00 225.50 228.00 230.00 234.00 227.00

122 Harmony Heights *** JK to 8 283 325.00 320.00 323.50 323.00 315.00 315.00

125 Hillsdale *** JK to 8 185 128.00 123.50 123.00 122.00 118.00 117.00

302 Kedron *** JK to 8 265 391.50 393.00 391.00 370.00 378.00 378.00

108 Lakewoods *** JK to 8 503 322.00 301.50 306.00 309.00 304.00 303.00

131 Mary Street * JK to 8 0 151.00 157.50 161.00 168.00 172.00 172.00

114 Norman G. Powers***** JK to 8 466 760.00 650.50 628.00 607.00 585.00 555.00

124 Pierre Elliott Trudeau***** JK to 8 429 526.00 565.50 619.00 643.00 665.00 661.00

135 Queen Elizabeth ** JK to 8 584 407.00 425.50 447.00 471.00 487.00 503.00

112 Sherwood***** JK to 8 481 597.00 594.50 595.00 600.00 595.00 602.00

154 Stephen G. Saywell***** JK to 8 366 339.00 333.00 313.00 312.00 309.00 306.00

143 Sunset Heights**** JK to 8 395 274.00 294.00 291.00 296.00 299.00 295.00

134 Unnamed Springridge**** JK to 8 0 0.00 458.00 584.50 675.50 760.50 830.00

147 Village Union * JK to 8 696 361.50 373.50 390.00 411.00 419.00 430.00

145 Vincent Massey**** JK to 8 289 269.00 337.00 342.00 363.00 356.00 350.00

127 Walter E. Harris***** JK to 8 392 558.00 465.00 493.00 519.00 547.00 563.00

153 Waverly * JK to 8 473 339.50 333.00 326.00 317.00 312.00 306.00

149 Woodcrest *** JK to 8 237 249.00 243.00 245.00 253.00 262.00 268.00








Projected

Page 10


Ministry

Rated Actual




364 Goodwood *** JK to 8 254 200.00 193.00 190.00 192.00 193.00 189.00

306 Joseph Gould**** JK to 8 521 524.00 504.50 495.00 467.00 461.00 451.00

304 Quaker Village ** JK to 8 417 378.50 356.00 339.00 325.00 318.00 298.00

321 Scott Central *** JK to 8 277 294.50 278.00 263.00 243.00 229.00 208.00

305 Uxbridge**** JK to 8 450 413.00 398.00 370.00 350.00 338.00 321.00


110 Cartwright Central * JK to 8 452 338.50 332.00 326.00 320.00 315.00 298.00

455 Epsom *** JK to 6 75 54.00 41.00 41.00 42.00 41.00 41.00

453 Greenbank *** JK to 6 121 104.00 109.00 113.00 118.00 118.00 122.00

451 Prince Albert*** JK to 8 234 172.00 169.50 160.00 153.00 144.00 137.00

440 R. H. Cornish *** JK to 8 637 739.00 731.50 726.00 714.00 709.00 689.00

445 S. A. Cawker *** JK to 8 452 471.50 453.00 432.00 408.00 405.00 385.00


309 Beaverton ** JK to 8 153 153.50 156.00 153.00 150.00 156.00 156.00

307 McCaskill's Mills *** JK to 8 515 397.00 390.50 365.00 353.00 339.00 313.00

341 Sunderland *** JK to 8 320 288.50 269.50 266.00 267.00 246.00 239.00

310 Thorah Central * JK to 8 219 147.50 141.50 127.00 120.00 121.00 119.00

Regional Total 43,718 41,818.50 42,392.50 42,403.00 42,320.00 42,458.00 42,188.50






Ministry

Rated Actual

Capacity October October October October October October

Municipality / Adminstrative Area 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

City of Pickering / Area 1 6,770 6,184.50 6,085.00 5,933.00 5,887.00 5,893.00 5,837.00

Town of Ajax / Area 2 9,460 8,938.50 9,438.00 9,438.00 9,356.00 9,348.00 9,251.00

Town of Whitby / Area 3 10,857 11,330.50 11,418.00 11,531.00 11,505.00 11,549.00 11,522.00

City of Oshawa / Area 4 11,534 10,689.50 10,928.50 11,135.00 11,350.00 11,535.00 11,612.50

Township of Uxbridge / Area 5 1,919 1,810.00 1,729.50 1,657.00 1,577.00 1,539.00 1,467.00

Township of Scugog / Area 6 1,971 1,879.00 1,836.00 1,798.00 1,755.00 1,732.00 1,672.00

Township of Brock / Area 7 1,207 986.50 957.50 911.00 890.00 862.00 827.00

TOTAL 43,718 41,818.50 42,392.50 42,403.00 42,320.00 42,458.00 42,188.50

Projected



Projected

Summary Table


Page 11


Ministry

Rated Actual




384 Altona Forest***** JK to 8 444 408 401 390 381 370 356

370 Bayview Heights * JK to 8 538 432 417 426 435 443 438

419 Claremont**** JK to 8 176 173 166 159 153 152 149

375 Elizabeth B. Phin**** JK to 8 385 371 351 346 345 344 343

373 Fairport Beach * JK to 8 297 264 243 231 225 221 217

372 Frenchman's Bay**** JK to 8 604 712 763 776 802 819 854

374 Gandatsetiagon***** JK to 8 343 468 467 459 450 451 453

379 Glengrove ** JK to 8 366 349 336 340 329 333 320

383 Highbush *** JK to 8 576 491 471 455 445 443 433

382 Maple Ridge***** JK to 8 422 296 287 271 261 258 252

377 Rosebank**** JK to 8 130 158 164 159 157 156 148

371 Sir John A. Macdonald *** JK to 8 456 469 462 452 451 454 457

381 Valley Farm *** JK to 8 604 548 545 533 533 537 536

412 Valley View *** JK to 8 176 203 226 225 230 242 233

380 Vaughan Willard *** JK to 8 360 292 297 287 288 295 290

385 Westcreek***** JK to 8 400 430 415 365 342 323 301

376 William Dunbar***** JK to 8 493 674 652 632 623 615 620


402 Alexander Graham Bell *** JK to 8 523 610 577 544 533 524 508

397 Applecroft *** JK to 8 246 378 381 386 379 392 400

390 Bolton C. Falby * JK to 8 777 603 621 628 633 633 638

398 Cadarackque ** JK to 8 541 621 627 639 650 654 657

414 Carruthers Creek**** JK to 8 707 758 746 716 697 682 660

368 da Vinci*** JK to 8 506 573 656 724 784 829 850

401 Dr. Roberta Bondar***** JK to 8 374 328 315 301 278 277 275

394 Duffin's Bay * JK to 8 360 285 274 262 251 250 243

403 Eagle Ridge***** JK to 8 423 484 451 416 379 347 330

393 Lakeside***** JK to 8 417 343 326 308 284 275 270

415 Lester B. Pearson***** JK to 8 387 336 328 314 307 294 285

399 Lincoln Alexander**** JK to 8 389 453 438 425 414 400 383

400 Lincoln Avenue *** JK to 8 277 281 280 263 255 255 257

392 Lord Elgin *** JK to 8 225 224 214 204 196 185 171

408 Nottingham**** JK to 8 489 635 616 607 584 565 544

396 Roland Michener***** JK to 8 240 499 481 490 474 479 473

454 Romeo Dallaire***** JK to 8 558 875 957 1022 1066 1132 1159

395 Southwood Park *** JK to 8 651 681 676 688 694 693 682

405 Terry Fox***** JK to 8 357 490 471 455 438 422 401

386 Vimy Ridge***** JK to 8 535 575 587 579 574 569 566

417 Westney Heights *** JK to 8 478 351 362 356 364 369 377






2013 to 2017 Projected Elementary Enrolment

Projected

Total Enrolment Numbers

Page 12


Ministry

Rated Actual




430 Bellwood**** JK to 8 352 447 450 439 430 425 412

444 Blair Ridge***** JK to 8 535 755 761 807 841 859 878

443 Brooklin Village***** JK to 8 466 854 683 687 694 700 688

436 C.E. Broughton**** JK to 8 369 352 331 320 317 305 303

418 Cpt.MichaelVandenBos***** JK to 8 581 600 596 608 614 639 644

425 Col. J.E. Farewell**** JK to 8 495 397 380 373 352 338 330

420 Dr. Robert Thornton**** JK to 8 441 292 273 268 263 263 264

424 E.A. Fairman***** JK to 8 248 194 181 180 178 165 168

437 Fallingbrook**** JK to 8 425 414 405 383 376 370 362

431 Glen Dhu***** JK to 8 544 514 516 512 502 492 476

404 Jack Miner**** JK to 8 392 581 575 568 548 534 535

434 John Dryden *** JK to 8 515 603 569 543 509 493 473

473 Julie Payette***** JK to 8 633 723 771 814 836 854 862

421 Meadowcrest***** JK to 8 351 642 246 290 311 335 356

433 Ormiston *** JK to 8 406 394 372 350 342 338 338

429 Pringle Creek *** JK to 8 518 666 648 650 645 634 626

446 Robert Munsch *** JK to 8 512 641 682 713 740 762 801

439 Sir Samuel Steele***** JK to 8 477 525 490 474 445 445 429

411 Sir William Stephenson * JK to 8 438 440 445 443 428 428 432

441 Unnamed Vipond****

(Chris Hadfield) JK to 8 0 0 733 766 768 792 788

435 West Lynde ** JK to 8 512 459 450 442 438 441 431

416 Whitby Shores *** JK to 8 526 562 612 658 707 738 764

413 Williamsburg***** JK to 8 489 722 710 729 740 746 739

438 Winchester**** JK to 8 632 749 714 685 638 610 580






Projected



Page 13


Ministry

Rated Actual




101 Adelaide McLaughlin***** JK to 8 400 321 308 297 286 276 271

102 Athabasca**** JK to 8 309 393 214 187 192 191 191

103 Beau Valley***** JK to 8 222 303 307 305 291 294 293

104 Bobby Orr * JK to 8 412 302 293 289 289 286 290

128 Clara Hughes*** JK to 8 740 508 521 529 536 550 550

107 College Hill *** JK to 8 205 269 270 270 266 270 268

111 Coronation**** JK to 8 466 466 462 449 449 455 456

119 David Bouchard* JK to 8 421 579 561 579 609 635 644

113 Dr. C. F. Cannon * JK to 8 690 438 445 437 431 427 422

133 Dr. S. J. Phillips***** JK to 8 415 555 604 626 644 653 657

120 Glen Street * JK to 8 449 377 389 397 398 413 422

126 Gordon B. Attersley *** JK to 8 495 453 458 453 455 453 453

121 Grandview**** JK to 8 266 260 247 252 254 258 251

122 Harmony Heights *** JK to 8 283 357 357 364 360 352 352

125 Hillsdale *** JK to 8 185 141 138 139 138 134 133

302 Kedron *** JK to 8 265 438 440 434 413 421 421

108 Lakewoods *** JK to 8 503 363 339 338 341 336 335

131 Mary Street * JK to 8 0 173 179 184 191 195 195

114 Norman G. Powers***** JK to 8 466 850 718 693 672 650 620

124 Pierre Elliott Trudeau***** JK to 8 429 584 632 691 715 737 733

135 Queen Elizabeth ** JK to 8 584 469 484 510 531 547 563

112 Sherwood***** JK to 8 481 658 663 667 672 667 674

154 Stephen G. Saywell***** JK to 8 366 374 367 349 347 344 341

143 Sunset Heights**** JK to 8 395 307 333 332 337 340 336

134 Unnamed Springridge**** JK to 8 0 0 485 614 710 800 874

147 Village Union * JK to 8 696 406 423 441 461 468 478

145 Vincent Massey**** JK to 8 289 290 379 383 403 396 390

127 Walter E. Harris***** JK to 8 392 585 485 519 545 573 589

153 Waverly * JK to 8 473 378 368 358 349 344 338

149 Woodcrest *** JK to 8 237 282 280 277 285 294 300






Projected



Page 14


Ministry

Rated Actual




364 Goodwood *** JK to 8 254 222 216 213 215 216 212

306 Joseph Gould**** JK to 8 521 573 553 545 517 511 501

304 Quaker Village ** JK to 8 417 412 389 371 357 350 330

321 Scott Central *** JK to 8 277 320 302 283 263 249 228

305 Uxbridge**** JK to 8 450 443 419 384 364 352 335


110 Cartwright Central * JK to 8 452 373 368 362 356 351 334

455 Epsom *** JK to 6 75 65 49 47 48 47 47

453 Greenbank *** JK to 6 121 119 124 132 137 137 141

451 Prince Albert*** JK to 8 234 187 185 175 168 159 152

440 R. H. Cornish *** JK to 8 637 792 778 775 763 758 738

445 S. A. Cawker *** JK to 8 452 516 496 463 439 436 416


309 Beaverton ** JK to 8 153 172 175 173 170 176 176

307 McCaskill's Mills *** JK to 8 515 436 429 400 388 374 348

341 Sunderland *** JK to 8 320 319 299 289 290 269 262

310 Thorah Central * JK to 8 219 160 154 142 135 136 134

Regional Total 43,718 46,635 46,725 46,652 46,526 46,668 46,402






Ministry

Rated Actual


Municipality / Adminstrative Area 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

City of Pickering / Area 1 6,770 6,738 6,663 6,506 6,450 6,456 6,400

Town of Ajax / Area 2 9,460 10,383 10,384 10,327 10,234 10,226 10,129

Town of Whitby / Area 3 10,857 12,526 12,593 12,702 12,662 12,706 12,679

City of Oshawa / Area 4 11,534 11,879 12,149 12,363 12,570 12,759 12,840

Township of Uxbridge / Area 5 1,919 1,970 1,879 1,796 1,716 1,678 1,606

Township of Scugog / Area 6 1,971 2,052 2,000 1,954 1,911 1,888 1,828

Township of Brock / Area 7 1,207 1,087 1,057 1,004 983 955 920

TOTAL 43,718 46,635 46,725 46,652 46,526 46,668 46,402


Projected

Summary Tables


Projected


Page 15


Sp Ed Sp Ed

School JK SK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 JK/SK 1-8 Total


Altona Forest 17.50 16.50 35 30 42 41 44 41 39 40 0.00 21 367.00

Bayview Heights 25.00 24.00 31 41 53 29 49 37 35 44 0.00 0 368.00

Claremont 8.50 3.00 17 17 14 16 17 15 20 22 0.00 5 154.50

E.B. Phin 19.50 25.50 29 31 33 30 33 34 34 37 0.00 0 306.00

Fairport Beach 9.50 14.50 23 18 28 20 19 19 22 26 0.00 20 219.00

Frenchmans Bay 13.00 13.00 110 117 96 95 60 80 68 85 0.00 0 737.00

Gandatsetiagon 24.50 27.50 40 47 40 53 40 42 51 50 0.00 0 415.00

Glengrove 17.00 19.00 36 27 35 26 42 25 40 24 0.00 9 300.00

Highbush 23.50 24.00 48 34 43 45 48 40 49 54 0.00 15 423.50

Maple Ridge 14.00 11.50 29 21 30 24 29 26 33 40 0.00 4 261.50

Rosebank 9.00 8.50 12 18 17 14 21 14 15 18 0.00 0 146.50

Sir John A. Macdonald 10.50 12.00 68 58 56 36 43 45 40 44 0.00 27 439.50

English 10.50 12.00 17 15 17 9 14 9 21 16 0.00 27 167.50

French Immersion 51 43 39 27 29 36 19 28 0.00 0 272.00

Valley Farm 29.50 25.00 52 61 53 54 49 44 47 61 0.00 15 490.50

Valley View 9.50 13.50 18 29 19 15 26 24 25 24 0.00 0 203.00

Vaughan Willard 18.50 13.00 26 14 24 29 30 18 25 36 5.50 21 260.00

Westcreek 15.00 18.00 33 31 25 46 47 44 48 75 0.00 0 382.00

William Dunbar 20.50 19.50 32 58 39 48 30 43 43 55 0.00 224 612.00

Sp Ed Sp Ed



Alexander Graham Bell 14.00 16.00 21 36 29 27 35 28 29 51 9.00 243 538.00

Applecroft 25.00 24.50 31 29 34 28 30 26 46 34 6.00 12 325.50

Bolton C. Falby 40.50 34.00 75 49 40 47 58 63 58 58 0.00 24 546.50

Cadarackque 16.00 17.00 96 89 93 65 63 58 50 47 0.00 0 594.00

English 16.00 17.00 21 11 22 18 20 22 24 22 0.00 0 193.00


Carruthers Creek 33.50 35.50 72 68 75 72 79 72 76 87 0.00 7 677.00

da Vinci 40.00 48.50 82 70 58 58 52 59 51 49 0.00 0 567.50

Dr Roberta Bondar 15.00 14.00 28 18 26 29 27 26 49 39 0.00 15 286.00

Duffin's Bay 12.00 12.00 24 35 21 37 25 19 29 30 0.00 6 250.00

Eagle Ridge 15.00 14.00 26 34 45 39 39 63 69 68 0.00 10 422.00

Lakeside 12.00 13.00 19 37 28 36 25 30 44 37 0.00 20 301.00

Lester B Pearson 15.00 13.00 31 30 25 29 34 38 32 39 0.00 14 300.00

Lincoln Alexander 15.50 22.50 39 61 40 42 47 45 42 46 0.00 0 400.00

Lincoln Avenue 12.50 11.00 34 29 21 26 20 21 29 38 0.00 15 256.50

Lord Elgin 7.50 14.50 26 23 21 14 25 22 19 20 0.00 0 192.00

Nottingham 29.00 32.00 56 59 58 50 71 69 73 58 0.00 0 555.00

Roland Michener 19.00 25.00 51 49 40 44 52 44 67 46 0.00 0 437.00

Romeo Dallaire 39.00 39.50 134 145 103 104 101 63 85 65 0.00 0 878.50

English 39.00 39.50 24 36 31 44 45 33 53 38 0.00 0 382.50


Southwood Park 12.50 21.50 103 91 86 73 75 66 63 51 0.00 0 642.00

English 12.50 21.50 20 11 23 15 21 27 20 26 0.00 0 197.00


Terry Fox 19.50 19.50 52 31 43 47 54 48 50 48 0.00 20 432.00

Vimy Ridge 28.50 40.50 53 64 52 56 49 52 60 63 0.00 0 518.00

Westney Heights 21.00 21.50 32 33 36 24 28 32 29 41 0.00 22 319.50

October 2013 Projected Elementary Full-Time Equivalent Enrolment by Grade

Page 16


Sp Ed Sp Ed



Bellwood 22.00 22.50 54 37 42 37 51 43 48 49 0.00 0 405.50

Blair Ridge 48.50 52.50 106 96 84 76 60 60 45 32 0.00 0 660.00

Brooklin Village 30.50 21.50 62 80 68 63 86 69 68 83 0.00 0 631.00

English 30.50 21.50 22 23 22 31 31 47 58 54 0.00 0 340.00


C. E. Broughton 16.50 19.00 30 33 30 30 29 38 28 34 0.00 8 295.50

Regular calendar 8.00 8.50 12 19 12 3 14 9 11 14 0.00 8 118.50

Modified calendar 8.50 10.50 18 14 18 27 15 29 17 20 0.00 0 177.00

Capt. Michael VandenBos 19.00 19.00 61 67 74 62 73 53 73 57 0.00 0 558.00

English 19.00 19.00 13 20 35 27 32 33 40 34 0.00 0 272.00


Col J. E. Farewell 18.00 10.00 36 38 33 49 32 37 44 31 0.00 24 352.00

Dr. R. Thornton 12.50 12.00 24 28 22 22 24 26 32 33 0.00 13 248.50

E. A. Fairman 7.50 8.50 23 19 22 22 10 25 15 13 0.00 0 165.00

Fallingbrook 18.00 22.50 29 38 40 30 39 38 39 53 0.00 18 364.50

Glen Dhu 24.00 19.50 53 34 45 46 59 52 53 47 6.00 28 466.50

Jack Miner 20.50 15.00 33 50 35 37 29 44 48 37 0.00 191 539.50

John Dryden 22.50 28.00 54 57 54 51 59 55 73 65 0.00 0 518.50

Julie Payette 10.00 10.00 111 112 116 106 85 73 69 59 0.00 0 751.00

Meadowcrest 10.00 10.00 30 49 38 25 28 19 17 0 0.00 0 226.00

Ormiston 18.50 21.00 42 20 29 30 33 36 42 54 0.00 7 332.50

Pringle Creek 25.50 25.50 48 43 40 51 53 56 50 44 0.00 161 597.00

Robert Munsch 41.00 42.00 91 69 84 70 38 56 53 49 0.00 6 599.00

Sir Samuel Steele 21.50 23.00 58 30 54 49 53 37 67 53 0.00 0 445.50

Sir William Stephenson 23.00 25.00 47 32 32 43 36 40 56 43 0.00 20 397.00

Unnamed Vipond (Chris Hadfield) 45.50 45.50 117 62 86 55 78 46 72 35 0.00 0 642.00

West Lynde 23.50 28.00 48 38 37 39 51 38 46 50 0.00 0 398.50

Whitby Shores 40.00 40.00 72 73 72 53 56 54 38 34 0.00 0 532.00

Williamsburg 37.50 36.00 72 74 84 77 71 67 63 55 0.00 0 636.50

Winchester 28.00 29.50 68 65 67 78 73 71 90 72 0.00 15 656.50

Regular calendar 17.50 14.50 30 34 34 37 36 34 53 39 0.00 15 344.00

Modified calendar 10.50 15.00 38 31 33 41 37 37 37 33 0.00 0 312.50


Page 17


Sp Ed Sp Ed



Adelaide McLaughlin 13.50 16.50 24 16 26 29 29 34 35 35 0.00 20 278.00

Athabasca 12.50 14.00 29 22 13 13 18 19 12 29 0.00 6 187.50

Beau Valley 16.50 12.00 29 22 28 30 31 27 44 32 0.00 7 278.50

Bobby Orr 15.00 12.00 29 22 21 35 23 30 27 31 0.00 21 266.00

Clara Hughes 32.50 25.00 61 43 38 56 59 45 52 52 0.00 0 463.50

College Hill 14.00 18.00 26 16 27 24 26 21 29 25 6.00 0 232.00

Coronation 17.50 18.50 25 30 27 27 30 26 32 44 0.00 149 426.00

David Bouchard 19.50 24.00 79 73 76 50 63 46 42 45 0.00 0 517.50

English 19.50 24.00 24 22 26 19 28 22 19 22 0.00 0 225.50

French Immersion 0.00 0.00 55 51 50 31 35 24 23 23 0.00 0 292.00

Dr C. F. Cannon 21.00 24.00 45 45 38 36 42 41 43 45 0.00 20 400.00

Dr. S. J. Phillips 36.00 38.50 55 60 53 59 58 63 55 52 0.00 0 529.50

Glen Street 21.50 20.00 44 47 38 28 29 23 37 31 0.00 29 347.50

Gordon B. Attersley 23.50 25.50 45 42 40 42 42 44 40 47 0.00 18 409.00

Grandview 12.00 9.50 33 25 28 28 28 17 19 17 0.00 9 225.50

Harmony Heights 22.00 15.00 33 40 30 31 34 42 36 27 0.00 10 320.00

Hillsdale 8.00 6.50 12 8 15 13 15 18 15 13 0.00 0 123.50

Kedron 21.50 25.50 40 36 45 40 38 30 59 44 0.00 14 393.00

Lakewoods 16.00 21.50 38 29 42 34 29 33 26 28 0.00 5 301.50

Mary Street 11.50 10.00 23 21 16 11 20 16 13 16 0.00 0 157.50

Norman G. Powers 32.50 35.00 65 82 69 80 78 70 68 71 0.00 0 650.50

Pierre Elliott Trudeau 33.00 33.50 68 58 62 56 64 59 61 71 0.00 0 565.50

Queen Elizabeth 33.00 25.50 69 49 43 36 39 38 33 29 0.00 31 425.50

Sherwood 36.00 32.50 55 60 47 71 64 77 68 70 0.00 14 594.50

Stephen G. Saywell 18.50 15.50 37 27 44 22 35 34 34 49 0.00 17 333.00

Sunset Heights 17.50 15.50 33 29 24 32 36 29 27 33 6.00 12 294.00

Unnamed Springridge 13.50 13.50 94 67 64 45 60 49 45 7 0.00 0 458.00

English 13.50 13.50 34 30 28 21 27 24 22 0 0.00 0 213.00

French Immersion 0.00 0.00 60 37 36 24 33 25 23 7 0.00 0 245.00

Village Union 25.00 23.00 41 42 36 29 31 35 23 26 1.50 61 373.50

Vincent Massey 21.00 21.00 33 32 40 37 40 41 23 39 0.00 10 337.00

Walter E. Harris 10.00 10.00 69 69 73 50 53 41 43 47 0.00 0 465.00

Waverly 16.00 19.00 37 33 36 34 34 33 38 38 0.00 15 333.00

Woodcrest 16.00 21.00 23 28 24 31 22 20 21 31 0 6 243.00


Page 18


Sp Ed Sp Ed



Goodwood 11.50 11.50 21 16 24 24 23 18 18 22 0.00 4 193.00

Joseph Gould 25.00 23.50 48 58 55 43 54 50 72 52 0.00 24 504.50

Quaker Village 16.00 17.00 32 39 34 28 48 35 42 46 0.00 19 356.00

Scott Central 10.00 14.00 23 25 34 29 38 31 37 35 0.00 2 278.00

Uxbridge 7.00 14.00 49 41 52 42 44 38 48 57 0.00 6 398.00

English 7.00 14.00 9 11 7 6 12 9 10 19 0.00 6 110.00



Cartwright Central 18.00 18.00 31 37 34 28 49 37 38 38 0.00 4 332.00

Epsom 3.00 5.00 11 0 5 6 4 7 0 0 0.00 0 41.00

Greenbank 9.50 5.50 16 14 14 18 13 10 0 0 0.00 9 109.00

Prince Albert 7.50 8.00 17 20 10 15 20 22 20 23 0.00 7 169.50

R. H. Cornish 24.50 22.00 79 53 80 55 85 69 74 66 0.00 124 731.50

English 24.50 22.00 32 16 34 26 33 25 26 29 0.00 124 391.50


S. A. Cawker 15.50 27.50 36 42 32 41 48 37 67 76 0.00 31 453.00


Beaverton 10.00 9.00 18 19 8 14 18 12 21 20 0.00 7 156.00

McCaskill's Mills 17.50 21.00 38 42 38 44 49 37 34 47 0.00 23 390.50

English 17.50 21.00 25 31 19 31 35 25 26 35 0.00 23 288.50


Sunderland 11.50 18.00 25 20 40 37 26 40 19 29 0.00 4 269.50

Thorah Central 7.50 5.00 14 9 14 13 15 12 20 25 0.00 7 141.50

Sp Ed Sp Ed

Administrative Area JK SK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 JK/SK 1-8 Total

1 284.50 288.00 639 652 647 621 627 591 634 735 5.50 361 6,085.00

2 442.00 489.00 1,085 1,080 974 947 989 944 1,050 1,015 15.00 408 9,438.00

3 583.50 585.50 1,369 1,244 1,288 1,201 1,206 1,133 1,229 1,082 6.00 491 11,418.00

4 606.00 601.00 1,294 1,173 1,163 1,109 1,170 1,101 1,100 1,124 14 474 10,928.50

5 69.50 80.00 173 179 199 166 207 172 217 212 0.00 55 1,729.50

6 78.00 86.00 190 166 175 163 219 182 199 203 0.00 175 1,836.00

7 46.50 53.00 95 90 100 108 108 101 94 121 0.00 41 957.50

Total 2,110.00 2,182.50 4,845 4,584 4,546 4,315 4,526 4,224 4,523 4,492 40.00 2,005 42,392.50



Page 19


Sp Ed Sp Ed



Altona Forest 35 33 35 30 42 41 44 41 39 40 0 21 401

Bayview Heights 50 48 31 41 53 29 49 37 35 44 0 0 417

Claremont 17 6 17 17 14 16 17 15 20 22 0 5 166

E.B. Phin 39 51 29 31 33 30 33 34 34 37 0 0 351

Fairport Beach 19 29 23 18 28 20 19 19 22 26 0 20 243

Frenchmans Bay 26 26 110 117 96 95 60 80 68 85 0 0 763

Gandatsetiagon 49 55 40 47 40 53 40 42 51 50 0 0 467

Glengrove 34 38 36 27 35 26 42 25 40 24 0 9 336

Highbush 47 48 48 34 43 45 48 40 49 54 0 15 471

Maple Ridge 28 23 29 21 30 24 29 26 33 40 0 4 287

Rosebank 18 17 12 18 17 14 21 14 15 18 0 0 164

Sir John A. Macdonald 21 24 68 58 56 36 43 45 40 44 0 27 462

English 21 24 17 15 17 9 14 9 21 16 0 27 190

French Immersion 51 43 39 27 29 36 19 28 0 0 272

Valley Farm 59 50 52 61 53 54 49 44 47 61 0 15 545

Valley View 19 27 18 29 19 15 26 24 25 24 0 0 226

Vaughan Willard 37 26 26 14 24 29 30 18 25 36 11 21 297

Westcreek 30 36 33 31 25 46 47 44 48 75 0 0 415

William Dunbar 41 39 32 58 39 48 30 43 43 55 0 224 652

Sp Ed Sp Ed



Alexander Graham Bell 28 32 21 36 29 27 35 28 29 51 18 243 577

Applecroft 50 49 31 29 34 28 30 26 46 34 12 12 381

Bolton C. Falby 81 68 75 49 40 47 58 63 58 58 0 24 621

Cadarackque 32 34 96 89 93 65 63 58 50 47 0 0 627

English 32 34 21 11 22 18 20 22 24 22 0 0 226


Carruthers Creek 67 71 72 68 75 72 79 72 76 87 0 7 746

da Vinci 80 97 82 70 58 58 52 59 51 49 0 0 656

Dr Roberta Bondar 30 28 28 18 26 29 27 26 49 39 0 15 315

Duffin's Bay 24 24 24 35 21 37 25 19 29 30 0 6 274

Eagle Ridge 30 28 26 34 45 39 39 63 69 68 0 10 451

Lakeside 24 26 19 37 28 36 25 30 44 37 0 20 326

Lester B Pearson 30 26 31 30 25 29 34 38 32 39 0 14 328

Lincoln Alexander 31 45 39 61 40 42 47 45 42 46 0 0 438

Lincoln Avenue 25 22 34 29 21 26 20 21 29 38 0 15 280

Lord Elgin 15 29 26 23 21 14 25 22 19 20 0 0 214

Nottingham 58 64 56 59 58 50 71 69 73 58 0 0 616

Roland Michener 38 50 51 49 40 44 52 44 67 46 0 0 481

Romeo Dallaire 78 79 134 145 103 104 101 63 85 65 0 0 957

English 78 79 24 36 31 44 45 33 53 38 0 0 461


Southwood Park 25 43 103 91 86 73 75 66 63 51 0 0 676

English 25 43 20 11 23 15 21 27 20 26 0 0 231


Terry Fox 39 39 52 31 43 47 54 48 50 48 0 20 471

Vimy Ridge 57 81 53 64 52 56 49 52 60 63 0 0 587

Westney Heights 42 43 32 33 36 24 28 32 29 41 0 22 362

October 2013 Projected Elementary Enrolment by Grade

Page 20


Sp Ed Sp Ed



Bellwood 44 45 54 37 42 37 51 43 48 49 0 0 450

Blair Ridge 97 105 106 96 84 76 60 60 45 32 0 0 761

Brooklin Village 61 43 62 80 68 63 86 69 68 83 0 0 683

English 61 43 22 23 22 31 31 47 58 54 0 0 392


C. E. Broughton 33 38 30 33 30 30 29 38 28 34 0 8 331

Regular calendar 16 17 12 19 12 3 14 9 11 14 0 8 135

Modified calendar 17 21 18 14 18 27 15 29 17 20 0 0 196

Capt. Michael VandenBos 38 38 61 67 74 62 73 53 73 57 0 0 596

English 38 38 13 20 35 27 32 33 40 34 0 0 310


Col J. E. Farewell 36 20 36 38 33 49 32 37 44 31 0 24 380

Dr. R. Thornton 25 24 24 28 22 22 24 26 32 33 0 13 273

E. A. Fairman 15 17 23 19 22 22 10 25 15 13 0 0 181

Fallingbrook 36 45 29 38 40 30 39 38 39 53 0 18 405

Glen Dhu 48 39 53 34 45 46 59 52 53 47 12 28 516

Jack Miner 41 30 33 50 35 37 29 44 48 37 0 191 575

John Dryden 45 56 54 57 54 51 59 55 73 65 0 0 569

Julie Payette 20 20 111 112 116 106 85 73 69 59 0 0 771

Meadowcrest 20 20 30 49 38 25 28 19 17 0 0 0 246

Ormiston 37 42 42 20 29 30 33 36 42 54 0 7 372

Pringle Creek 51 51 48 43 40 51 53 56 50 44 0 161 648

Robert Munsch 82 84 91 69 84 70 38 56 53 49 0 6 682

Sir Samuel Steele 43 46 58 30 54 49 53 37 67 53 0 0 490

Sir William Stephenson 46 50 47 32 32 43 36 40 56 43 0 20 445

Unnamed Vipond (Chris Hadfield) 91 91 117 62 86 55 78 46 72 35 0 0 733

West Lynde 47 56 48 38 37 39 51 38 46 50 0 0 450

Whitby Shores 80 80 72 73 72 53 56 54 38 34 0 0 612

Williamsburg 75 72 72 74 84 77 71 67 63 55 0 0 710

Winchester 56 59 68 65 67 78 73 71 90 72 0 15 714

Regular calendar 35 29 30 34 34 37 36 34 53 39 0 15 376

Modified calendar 21 30 38 31 33 41 37 37 37 33 0 0 338


Page 21


Sp Ed Sp Ed



Adelaide McLaughlin 27 33 24 16 26 29 29 34 35 35 0 20 308

Athabasca 25 28 29 22 13 13 18 19 12 29 0 6 214

Beau Valley 33 24 29 22 28 30 31 27 44 32 0 7 307

Bobby Orr 30 24 29 22 21 35 23 30 27 31 0 21 293

Clara Hughes 65 50 61 43 38 56 59 45 52 52 0 0 521

College Hill 28 36 26 16 27 24 26 21 29 25 12 0 270

Coronation 35 37 25 30 27 27 30 26 32 44 0 149 462

David Bouchard 39 48 79 73 76 50 63 46 42 45 0 0 561

English 39 48 24 22 26 19 28 22 19 22 0 0 269

French Immersion 0 0 55 51 50 31 35 24 23 23 0 0 292

Dr C. F. Cannon 42 48 45 45 38 36 42 41 43 45 0 20 445

Dr. S. J. Phillips 72 77 55 60 53 59 58 63 55 52 0 0 604

Glen Street 43 40 44 47 38 28 29 23 37 31 0 29 389

Gordon B. Attersley 47 51 45 42 40 42 42 44 40 47 0 18 458

Grandview 24 19 33 25 28 28 28 17 19 17 0 9 247

Harmony Heights 44 30 33 40 30 31 34 42 36 27 0 10 357

Hillsdale 16 13 12 8 15 13 15 18 15 13 0 0 138

Kedron 43 51 40 36 45 40 38 30 59 44 0 14 440

Lakewoods 32 43 38 29 42 34 29 33 26 28 0 5 339

Mary Street 23 20 23 21 16 11 20 16 13 16 0 0 179

Norman G. Powers 65 70 65 82 69 80 78 70 68 71 0 0 718

Pierre Elliott Trudeau 66 67 68 58 62 56 64 59 61 71 0 0 632

Queen Elizabeth 66 51 69 49 43 36 39 38 33 29 0 31 484

Sherwood 72 65 55 60 47 71 64 77 68 70 0 14 663

Stephen G. Saywell 37 31 37 27 44 22 35 34 34 49 0 17 367

Sunset Heights 35 31 33 29 24 32 36 29 27 33 12 12 333

Unnamed Springridge 27 27 94 67 64 45 60 49 45 7 0 0 485

English 27 27 34 30 28 21 27 24 22 0 0 0 240

French Immersion 0 0 60 37 36 24 33 25 23 7 0 0 245

Village Union 50 46 41 42 36 29 31 35 23 26 3 61 423

Vincent Massey 42 42 33 32 40 37 40 41 23 39 0 10 379

Walter E. Harris 20 20 69 69 73 50 53 41 43 47 0 0 485

Waverly 32 38 37 33 36 34 34 33 38 38 0 15 368

Woodcrest 32 42 23 28 24 31 22 20 21 31 0 6 280


Page 22


Sp Ed Sp Ed



Goodwood 23 23 21 16 24 24 23 18 18 22 0 4 216

Joseph Gould 50 47 48 58 55 43 54 50 72 52 0 24 553

Quaker Village 32 34 32 39 34 28 48 35 42 46 0 19 389

Scott Central 20 28 23 25 34 29 38 31 37 35 0 2 302

Uxbridge 14 28 49 41 52 42 44 38 48 57 0 6 419

English 14 28 9 11 7 6 12 9 10 19 0 6 131



Cartwright Central 36 36 31 37 34 28 49 37 38 38 0 4 368

Epsom 6 10 11 0 5 6 4 7 0 0 0 0 49

Greenbank 19 11 16 14 14 18 13 10 0 0 0 9 124

Prince Albert 15 16 17 20 10 15 20 22 20 23 0 7 185

R. H. Cornish 49 44 79 53 80 55 85 69 74 66 0 124 778

English 49 44 32 16 34 26 33 25 26 29 0 124 438


S. A. Cawker 31 55 36 42 32 41 48 37 67 76 0 31 496


Beaverton 20 18 18 19 8 14 18 12 21 20 0 7 175

McCaskill's Mills 35 42 38 42 38 44 49 37 34 47 0 23 429

English 35 42 25 31 19 31 35 25 26 35 0 23 327


Sunderland 23 36 25 20 40 37 26 40 19 29 0 4 299

Thorah Central 15 10 14 9 14 13 15 12 20 25 0 7 154

Sp Ed Sp Ed

Administrative Area JK SK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 JK/SK 1-8 Total

1 569 576 639 652 647 621 627 591 634 735 11 361 6,663

2 884 978 1,085 1,080 974 947 989 944 1,050 1,015 30 408 10,384

3 1,167 1,171 1,369 1,244 1,288 1,201 1,206 1,133 1,229 1,082 12 491 12,593

4 1,212 1,202 1,294 1,173 1,163 1,109 1,170 1,101 1,100 1,124 27 474 12,149

5 139 160 173 179 199 166 207 172 217 212 0 55 1,879

6 156 172 190 166 175 163 219 182 199 203 0 175 2,000

7 93 106 95 90 100 108 108 101 94 121 0 41 1,057

Total 4,220 4,365 4,845 4,584 4,546 4,315 4,526 4,224 4,523 4,492 80 2,005 46,725



Page 23


Ministry

Rated Actual


School 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017


Dunbarton HS 1,791 1,598.00 1,541.00 1,498.00 1,420.00 1,384.00 1,345.00

Pine Ridge SS 1,482 1,483.50 1,419.00 1,421.00 1,374.00 1,286.00 1,257.00


Ajax HS 1,443 1,414.00 1,362.00 1,303.00 1,304.00 1,310.00 1,289.00

J. Clarke Richardson Col. 1,401 1,633.75 1,647.73 1,665.00 1,673.00 1,664.00 1,639.00

Pickering HS 1,626 2,086.50 2,052.00 2,037.00 2,025.00 1,985.00 1,954.00


Anderson CVI 1,050 925.50 909.00 881.00 952.00 919.00 909.00

Donald A. Wilson SS 1,236 1,520.50 1,576.00 1,570.00 1,615.00 1,617.00 1,601.00

Henry Street HS 888 898.00 898.00 864.00 890.00 876.00 864.00

Sinclair SS 1,374 1,980.50 1,949.00 1,907.00 1,859.00 1,791.00 1,769.00


Central CI 834 413.00 399.00 377.00 341.00 336.00 335.00

Eastdale CVI 951 1,244.25 1,229.00 1,192.00 1,169.00 1,095.00 1,088.00

G.L. Roberts CVI 999 573.50 550.00 497.00 498.00 506.00 504.00

Maxwell Heights SS 1,206 1,264.75 1,297.00 1,352.00 1,359.00 1,292.00 1,283.00

O'Neill CVI 1,293 1,289.00 1,236.00 1,172.00 1,085.00 1,015.00 1,008.00

R.S. McLaughlin CVI 1,038 1,021.50 992.00 960.00 925.00 899.00 892.00


Uxbridge SS 1,185 1,382.00 1,348.00 1,325.00 1,288.00 1,303.00 1,285.00


Cartwright HS 84 89.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Port Perry HS 1,110 1,176.25 1,195.00 1,203.00 1,186.00 1,168.00 1,149.00


Brock HS 672 488.00 468.00 466.00 444.00 420.00 415.00

Alternative Secondary

Durham Alternative 0 566.00 522.00 522.00 522.00 522.00 522.00

Secondary School

Total 21,663 23,047.50 22,589.73 22,212.00 21,929.00 21,388.00 21,108.00

Ministry

Rated Actual

Municipality / Capacity October October October October October October

Adminstrative Area 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

City of Pickering / Area 1 3,273 3,081.50 2,960.00 2,919.00 2,794.00 2,670.00 2,602.00

Town of Ajax / Area 2 4,470 5,134.25 5,061.73 5,005.00 5,002.00 4,959.00 4,882.00

Town of Whitby / Area 3 4,548 5,324.50 5,332.00 5,222.00 5,316.00 5,203.00 5,143.00

City of Oshawa / Area 4 6,321 5,806.00 5,703.00 5,550.00 5,377.00 5,143.00 5,110.00

Township of Uxbridge / Area 5 1,185 1,382.00 1,348.00 1,325.00 1,288.00 1,303.00 1,285.00

Township of Scugog / Area 6 1,194 1,265.25 1,195.00 1,203.00 1,186.00 1,168.00 1,149.00

Township of Brock / Area 7 672 488.00 468.00 466.00 444.00 420.00 415.00

DASS 0 566.00 522.00 522.00 522.00 522.00 522.00

Total 21,663 23,047.50 22,589.73 22,212.00 21,929.00 21,388.00 21,108.00

Summary Table

2013 to 2017 Projected Secondary FTE

Projected



Projected

Page 24


Ministry

Rated Actual


School 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017


Dunbarton HS 1,791 1,599 1,542 1,499 1,421 1,385 1,346

Pine Ridge SS 1,482 1,484 1,420 1,422 1,375 1,287 1,258


Ajax HS 1,443 1,418 1,366 1,307 1,308 1,314 1,293

J. Clarke Richardson Col. 1,401 1,636 1,650 1,668 1,676 1,667 1,642

Pickering HS 1,626 2,087 2,053 2,038 2,026 1,986 1,955


Anderson CVI 1,050 926 910 882 953 920 910

Donald A. Wilson SS 1,236 1,524 1,580 1,574 1,619 1,621 1,605

Henry Street HS 888 900 900 866 892 878 866

Sinclair SS 1,374 1,988 1,957 1,915 1,867 1,798 1,776


Central CI 834 414 400 378 342 337 336

Eastdale CVI 951 1,255 1,240 1,203 1,180 1,105 1,098

G.L. Roberts CVI 999 574 551 498 499 507 505

Maxwell Heights SS 1,206 1,267 1,300 1,355 1,362 1,295 1,286

O'Neill CVI 1,293 1,293 1,240 1,176 1,089 1,019 1,012

R.S. McLaughlin CVI 1,038 1,022 993 961 926 900 893


Uxbridge SS 1,185 1,384 1,350 1,327 1,290 1,305 1,285


Cartwright HS 84 89 0 0 0 0 0

Port Perry HS 1,110 1,183 1,202 1,210 1,193 1,175 1,156


Brock HS 672 488 468 466 444 420 415


Durham Alternative 0 596 550 550 550 550 550

Secondary School

Total 21,663 23,127 22,672 22,295 22,012 21,469 21,187

Ministry

Rated Actual

Municipality / Capacity October October October October October October

Adminstrative Area 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

City of Pickering / Area 1 3,273 3,083 2,962 2,921 2,796 2,672 2,604

Town of Ajax / Area 2 4,470 5,141 5,069 5,013 5,010 4,967 4,890

Town of Whitby / Area 3 4,548 5,338 5,347 5,237 5,331 5,217 5,157

City of Oshawa / Area 4 6,321 5,825 5,724 5,571 5,398 5,163 5,130

Township of Uxbridge / Area 5 1,185 1,384 1,350 1,327 1,290 1,305 1,285

Township of Scugog / Area 6 1,194 1,272 1,202 1,210 1,193 1,175 1,156

Township of Brock / Area 7 672 488 468 466 444 420 415

DASS 0 596 550 550 550 550 550

Total 21,663 23,127 22,672 22,295 22,012 21,469 21,187

Projected

Enrolment Numbers

Projected

Summary Table

2013 to 2017 Projected Secondary Enrolment

Enrolment Numbers

Page 25


Spec. Sub-

School 9 10 11 12 Ed. Total Growth Total FTE

City of Pickering

Dunbarton HS 345 326 389 430 52 1,542 1,542 1,541.00

Pine Ridge SS 296 327 323 437 37 1,420 1,420 1,419.00

Town of Ajax

Ajax HS 306 273 307 428 52 1,366 1,366 1,362.00

J. Clarke Richardson Col. 415 386 396 388 65 1,650 1,650 1,647.73

Pickering HS 504 494 493 522 40 2,053 2,053 2,052.00

Town of Whitby

Anderson CVI 224 240 163 239 44 910 910 909.00

Donald A. Wilson SS 407 374 370 405 24 1,580 1,580 1,576.00

Henry Street HS 209 211 179 239 62 900 900 898.00

Sinclair SS 443 470 492 519 33 1,957 1,957 1,949.00

City of Oshawa

Central CI 65 69 91 125 50 400 400 399.00

Eastdale CVI 250 271 265 386 68 1,240 1,240 1,229.00

G.L. Roberts CVI 140 100 100 163 48 551 551 550.00

Maxwell Heights SS 300 349 308 326 17 1,300 1,300 1,297.00

O'Neill CVI 266 316 321 329 8 1,240 1,240 1,236.00

R.S. McLaughlin CVI 210 225 234 284 40 993 993 992.00

Township of Uxbridge

Uxbridge SS 318 270 337 371 54 1,350 1,350 1,348.00

Township of Scugog

Port Perry HS 277 266 299 340 20 1,202 1,202 1,195.00

Township of Brock

Brock HS 113 101 113 134 7 468 468 468.00


Durham Alternative 0 0 550 0 0 550 550 522.00

Secondary School

Self Sub-

Municipality 9 10 11 12 Con. Total Growth Total FTE

Pickering 641 653 712 867 89 2,962 0 2,962 2,960.00

Ajax 1,225 1,153 1,196 1,338 157 5,069 0 5,069 5,061.73

Whitby 1,283 1,295 1,204 1,402 163 5,347 0 5,347 5,332.00

Oshawa 1,231 1,330 1,319 1,613 231 5,724 0 5,724 5,703.00

Uxbridge 318 270 337 371 54 1,350 0 1,350 1,348.00

Scugog 277 266 299 340 20 1,202 0 1,202 1,195.00

Brock 113 101 113 134 7 468 0 468 468.00

DASS 0 0 550 0 0 550 0 550 522.00

Total 5,088 5,068 5,730 6,065 721 22,672 0 22,672 22,589.73

October 2013 Projected Secondary Enrolment by Grade

October 2013 Summary by Grade

Page 26

Page 27

Projection Methodology

The purpose of this appendix is to provide an accurate account of the

process used to reach the 2013 Official Enrolment Projection (OEP) for each

school within the Durham District School Board. The Ministry of Education

requires an enrolment reporting date of October 31. Each school is given a

student projection expressed as total enrolment and full-time equivalent

(FTE).

Elementary Schools

Various data sources were used to determine the elementary enrolment

projections. The primary data source for the October 2013 OEP is the

October 31, 2012 enrolment collected from elementary schools.

The second data source used is the pre-registration data collected from

schools for Junior and Senior Kindergarten students for September 2013.

Pre-registration began on January 15, 2013 and assists staff in verifying JK

and SK class size. If the pre-registration number is larger than the projected

enrolment, then the number is revised to match the pre-registration, if

historically the students showed up at the school in September. Also, pre-

registrations were also adjusted downwards if historically lower pre-

registrations translated to lower September actual registrations.

The third data source used is an average percent increase of SK enrolments

from the previous JK enrolment, done by school. The factor is used in

determining the SK enrolments. In some instances a municipal average

was used for a school, as the school average had been skewed by a

boundary change etc.

The fourth data source used is a 4-year average percentage of JK

enrolments to that of SK enrolments, by school. This factor is used in

determining the JK enrolments.

The fifth data source used is the overflow transportation listings for all

schools.

The sixth data source used is registered subdivision development

information. The data is collected from the Board’s Education

Development Charges database, through registered plans of subdivision,

and verified by visits to individual subdivision developments.

The final source of data is used when new schools are created or boundary

changes occur. The names and addresses of potential students within the

boundary area for the new/existing school are collected and sorted by

grade. The projection for the new school is created from existing school

populations.

The following general assumptions have been used to project pupils

forward at the elementary level:

Grade 1 to 8 students are moved forward from one grade to the

next

Page 28

To account for the grade 1 French Immersion pupils, without double

counting them, pupils have been deducted from every Grade 1

enrolment at each English program school.

French Immersion grade 1 students are calculated based on a five

year average percent of students in the SK program going to grade

1

All grades for French Immersion students were adjusted if historically,

the school has showed a decline in enrolment from grade to grade

progression

Where overflow transportation occurs, students are returned to their

home school for the following years.

Special Education shown at each school remains constant with the

actual October enrolment, unless program changes are known at

the time of creating the OEP.

Growth pupils from registered plans of subdivisions are added to the

OEP annually for each appropriate school, with distribution evenly

distributed between Grades 1 to 8. The JK and SK factors that are

used, account for growth trends.

Feeder schools are assigned on historical boundaries. Where the

programs and/or school boundaries are altered, each school is

accordingly adjusted to eliminate missed data and double

counting.

Secondary Schools

The primary data source used in creating the secondary projections for

October 2013 is the October 31, 2012 secondary enrolment data.

The second data source used is the elementary October 31, 2012 grade 8

figures, to determine the Grade 9 class size in each municipality. If the

number of option sheets collected is greater or significantly lower than that

of the projection, then the number is revised to reflect such.

The following assumptions have been used to project pupils forward at the

secondary level:

Self Contained students are assumed to remain constant for each

year.

Grades 9 to 11 are moved forward to the next grade based on an

average 3-year retention rate, by grade, for each individual school.

Growth from new developments is captured in the retention rates for

each of the grades.

Even though secondary schools are a 4-year program, there

continues to be retention of pupils for a 5th year. This retention has

been reflected by school, based on the number of students at the

school moving from grade 11 to grade 12 (which includes 5th year

students).

Secondary numbers are verified in meetings with principals of each

school and the actual number of option sheets they have received

for students.

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Durham District School Board · elementary and secondary panel. The School Board, ... Coronation P.S. with Gordon B. Attersley P.S ... Within the Durham District School Board’s