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Duality and Derivative Pricing with L´ evy Processes Jos´ e Fajardo IBMEC Ernesto Mordecki Universidad de la Rep´ ublica del Uruguay 2004 North American Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society 1

Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

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Page 1: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Duality and Derivative Pricing with Levy

Processes

Jose Fajardo

IBMEC

Ernesto Mordecki

Universidad de la Republica del Uruguay

2004 North American Winter Meeting of the

Econometric Society

1

Page 2: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Related Works

• Margrabe, W., (1978), “The Value of an Option to

Exchange One Asset for Another”, J. Finance.

• Gerber, H. and W. Shiu, (1996), “Martingale

Approach to Pricing American Perpetual Options on

Two Stocks”, Math. Finance.

• Schroder, Mark. (1999), “Change of Numeraire for

Pricing Futures, Forwards, and Options”, Review of

Financial Studies.

• Peskir, G., and A. N. Shiryaev, (2001), “A Note

on The Call-Put Parity and a Call-Put Duality”,

Theory Probab. Appl.

• Detemple, J. (2001), “American Options: Symmetry

Property”, Cambridge University Press.

• Carr, P. and Chesney, M. (1998), “American Put Call

Symmetry”, Morgan Stanley working paper.

• Carr, P., Ellis, K., and Gupta, V., (1998), “Static

Hedging of Exotic Options”, J. Finance.

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Page 3: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Some Relevant Derivatives

• Margrabe’s Options:

a) f (x, y) = maxx, y Maximum Option

b) f (x, y) = |x− y| Symmetric Option

c) f (x, y) = min(x − y)+, ky Option with Pro-

portional Cap

• Swap Options

f (x, y) = (x− y)+

Option to exchange one risk asset for another.

• Quanto Options

f (x, y) = (x− ky)+

x is the foreign stock in foreign currency. Then we

have the price of an option to exchange one foreign

currency for another.

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Page 4: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

• Equity-Linked Foreign Exchange Option

(ELF-X Option). Take

S : foreign stock in foreign currency

and Q is the spot exchange rate. We use foreign

market risk measure, then an ELF-X is an invest-

ment that combines a currency option with an equity

forward. The owner has the option to buy St with

domestic currency which can be converted from for-

eign currency using a previously stipulated strike ex-

change rate R (domestic currency/foreign currency).

The payoff is:

Φt = ST (1−RQT )+

Then f (x, y) = (y −Rx)+.

• Vanilla Options.

f (x, y) = (x− ky)+

and

f (x, y) = (ky − x)+.

4

Page 5: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Multidimensional Levy Processes

Let X = (X1, . . . , Xd) be a d-dimensional Levy process

defined on a stochastic basis B = (Ω,F , Ft≥0, P ).

This means that X stochastic process with indepen-

dent increments, such that the distribution of Xt+s−Xs

does not depend on s, with P (X0 = 0) = 1 and trajec-

tories continuous from the left with limits from the right.

For z = (z1, . . . , zd) in Cd, when the integral is con-

vergent (and this is always the case if z = iλ with λ in

Rd, Levy-Khinchine formula states, that

EezXt = exp(tΨ(z))

where the function Ψ is the characteristic exponent of

the process, and is given by

Ψ(z) = (a, z)+1

2(z, Σz)+

Rd

(e(z,y)−1−(z, y)1|y|≤1

)Π(dy),

(1)

where a = (a1, . . . , ad) is a vector in IRd, Π is a positive

measure defined on Rd\0 such that∫

Rd(|y|2∧1)Π(dy)

is finite, and Σ = ((sij)) is a symmetric nonnegative

definite matrix, that can always be written as Σ = A′A(where ′ denotes transposition) for some matrix A.

5

Page 6: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Market Model and Problem

Consider a market model with three assets (S1, S2, S3)

given by

S1t = eX1

t , S2t = S2

0eX2

t , S3t = S3

0eX3

t (2)

where (X1, X2, X3) is a three dimensional Levy process,

and for simplicity, and without loss of generality we take

S10 = 1. The first asset is the bond and is usually de-

terministic. Randomness in the bond S1t t≥0 allows to

consider more general situations, as for example the pric-

ing problem of a derivative written in a foreign currency,

referred as quanto option.

Consider a function:

f : (0,∞)× (0,∞) → IR

homogenous of an arbitrary degree α; i.e. for any λ > 0

and for all positive x, y

f (λx, λy) = λαf (x, y).

In the above market a derivative contract with payoff

given by

Φt = f (S2t , S

3t )

is introduced.

Assuming that we are under a risk neutral martingale

measure, thats to say, Sk

S1 (k = 2, 3) are P -martingales,

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Page 7: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

we want to price the derivative contract just introduced.

In the European case, the problem reduces to the com-

putation of

ET = E(S20 , S

30 , T ) = E

[e−X1

T f (S20e

X2T , S3

0eX3

T )]

(3)

In the American case, ifMT denotes the class of stopping

times up to time T , i.e:

MT = τ : 0 ≤ τ ≤ T, τ stopping timefor the finite horizon case, putting T = ∞ for the per-

petual case, the problem of pricing the American type

derivative introduced consists in solving an optimal stop-

ping problem, more precisely, in finding the value function

AT and an optimal stopping time τ ∗ in MT such that

AT = A(S20 , S

30 , T ) = sup

τ∈MT

E[e−X1

τ f (S20e

X2τ , S3

0eX3

τ3)]

= E[e−X1

τ∗f (S20e

X2τ∗ , S3

0eX3

τ∗)].

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Page 8: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

How to obtain an EMM

Define

M(z, t; h) =M(z + h, t)

M(h, t)

where M(h, t) = E(eh·X ′t). Now we will find a vector h∗

such that the probability dQt = eh∗·X′tE(eh∗·X′t)

dPt be an EMM,

in other words:

Sj0 = E∗(e−rtSj

t ) ∀j, ∀ttake 1j = (0, . . . , 1︸︷︷︸

j−position

, . . . , 0),then

r = log[M(1j, 1; h∗)] = log

[M(1j + h∗, 1)

M(h∗, 1)

]

Now in our model we need that Sjt

S1t be martingale, as

S10 = 1, then

Sj0 = E∗(

Sjt

S1t

)

1 = E∗(eXjt−X1

t )

Defining 1j = (−1, 0, . . . , 1︸︷︷︸j−position

, . . . , 0), we have

1 = M(1j, 1; h∗)

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Page 9: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Dual Market Method

observe that

e−X1t f (S2

0eX2

t , S30e

X3t ) = e−X1

t +αX3t f (S2

0eX2

t −X3t , S3

0).

Let ρ = − log Ee−X11+αX3

1 , that we assume finite. The

process

Zt = e−X1t +αX3

t +ρt

is a density process (i.e. a positive martingale starting at

Z0 = 1) that allow us to introduce a new measure P by

its restrictions to each Ft by the formula

dPt

dPt= Zt.

Denote now by Xt = X2t −X3

t , and St = S20e

Xt. Finally,

let

F (x) = f (x, S30).

With the introduced notations, under the change of mea-

sure we obtain

ET = E[e−ρTF (ST )

]

AT = supτ∈MT

E[e−ρτF (Sτ )

]

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Page 10: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

The following step is to determine the law of the pro-

cess X under the auxiliar probability measure P .

Lemma 1 Let X be a Levy process on Rd with char-

acteristic exponent given in (1). Let u and v be vec-

tors in Rd. Assume that Ee(u,X1) is finite, and denote

ρ = log Ee(u,X1) = Ψ(u). In this conditions, introduce

the probability measure P by its restrictions Pt to each

Ft bydPt

dPt= exp[(u,Xt)− ρt].

Then the law of the unidimensional Levy process (v, Xt)t≥0

under P is given by the triplet

a = (a, v) + 12[(v, Σu) + (u, Σv)] +

∫Rd e(u,y)(v, y)1|(v,y)|≤1,|x|>1Π(dx)

σ2 = (v, Σv)

π(A) =∫

Rd 1(v,y)∈Ae(u,y)Π(dy).(4)

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Page 11: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Closed Formulae

European derivative

Let S2T and S3

T be two risky assets, a contract with pay-

off (S2T − S3

T )+ can be priced using The Dual Market

Method:

D = E[e−rT (S2

T − S3T )+

].

=

Ae−rT (S2

0eX2

T − S30e

X3T )dP

Assuming for simplicity S20 = S3

0 = 1,

Then A = ω ∈ Ω : X2T (ω) > X3

T (ω), we apply the

method:

D =

Ae−rT (eX2

T − eX3T )dP

=

ST >1e−rTeX3

T (ST − 1)dP

where ST = eXT and X = X2 − X3. Now the dual

measure: ρ = − log Ee−r+X31 = r − log EeX3

1 , then:

dP =eX3

T

EeX3T

dP

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Page 12: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

With all this:

D = e−ρT

ST >1(ST − 1)dP

D = e−ρT

ST >1STdP − e−ρT

ST >1dP

To reduce this expression we need a distribution for X

under P , then applying the Lemma 1 we obtain the den-

sity of ST under P .

It is worth noting that instead of using a distribution

for X , we can make the following change of measure:

dP =eX2

T

EeX2T

dP

we obtain:

D = e−ρT

ST >1eX2

T−X3T

eX3T

EeX3T

dP − e−ρT P (ST > 1)

D = e−ρT EeX2T

EeX3T

P (ST > 1)− e−ρT P (ST > 1)

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Page 13: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

American Perpetual Swap

Proposition 1 Let M = supo≤t≤τ Xt with τ an inde-

pendent exponential random variable with parameter

ρ, then EeM < ∞ and

A(S20 , S

30) =

E[S2

0eM − S3

0 E(eM)]

E(eM)

the optimal stopping time is

τ ∗c = inft ≥ 0, St ≥ S30 E(eM)

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Page 14: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Put-Call Duality

Now consider a Levy market with only two assets:

Bt = ert, r ≥ 0,

St = S0eXt, S0 = ex > 0. (5)

In this section we assume that the stock pays dividends,

with constant rate δ ≥ 0.

In terms of the characteristic exponent of the process

this means that

ψ(1) = r − δ, (6)

based on the fact, Ee−(r−δ)t+Xt = e−t(r−δ+ψ(1)) = 1, con-

dition (6) can also be formulated in terms of the charac-

teristic triplet of the process X as

a = r − δ − σ2/2−∫

IR

(ey − 1− y1|y|≤1

)Π(dy). (7)

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Page 15: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Now define the following set

C0 =

z = p + iq ∈ C :

|y|>1epyΠ(dy) < ∞

. (8)

The set C0 consists of all complex numbers z = p + iq

such that EepXt < ∞ for some t > 0.

Now we consider call and put options, of both European

and American types.

Let us assume that τ is a stopping time with respect

to the given filtration F , that is τ : Ω → [0,∞] belongs

to Ft for all t ≥ 0; and introduce the notation

C(S0, K, r, δ, τ, ψ) = Ee−rτ (Sτ −K)+ (9)

P(S0, K, r, δ, τ, ψ) = Ee−rτ (K − Sτ )+ (10)

If τ = T , where T is a fixed constant time, then formulas

(9) and (10) give the price of the European call and put

options respectively.

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Page 16: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Dual Market

To prove our main result we need the following auxiliary

market model:

Bt = eδt, δ ≥ 0,

and a stock S = Stt≥0, modeled by

St = KeXt, S0 = ex > 0,

where X = Xtt≥0 is a Levy process with character-

istic exponent under P given by ψ in (12). We call it

dual market.

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Page 17: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Proposition 2 Consider a Levy market with driving

process X with characteristic exponent ψ(z), defined

on the set C0 in (8). Then, for the expectations in-

troduced in (9) and (10) we have

C(S0, K, r, δ, τ, ψ) = P(K, S0, δ, r, τ, ψ), (11)

where

ψ(z) = az+1

2σ2z2+

IR

(ezy−1−zy1|y|≤1

)Π(dy) (12)

is the characteristic exponent (of a certain Levy pro-

cess) that satisfies

ψ(z) = ψ(1− z)− ψ(1), for 1− z ∈ C0,

and in consequence,

a = δ − r − σ2/2− ∫IR

(ey − 1− y1|y|≤1

)Π(dy),

σ = σ,

Π(dy) = e−yΠ(−dy).

(13)

17

Page 18: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Proof:

We introduce the dual martingale measure P given by

its restrictions Pt to Ft by

dPt

dPt= Zt = eXt−(r−δ)t, t ≥ 0,

Now

C(S0, K, r, δ, τ, ψ) = Ee−rτ (S0eXτ −K)+

= EZτe−δτ (S0 −Ke−Xτ )+

= Ee−δτ (S0 −KeXτ )+.

where E denotes expectation with respect to P , and the

process X = Xtt≥0 given by Xt = −Xt (t ≥ 0) is the

dual process.

To conclude the proof we must verify that the dual pro-

cess X is a Levy process with characteristic exponent

defined by (12) and (13).2

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Page 19: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Remarks

• Our Proposition 2 is very similar to Proposition 1

in Schroder (1999). The main difference is that the

particular structure of the underlying process (Levy

process is a particular case of the model considered

by Schroder) allows to completely characterize the

distribution of the dual process X under the dual

martingale measure P , and to give a simpler proof.

• It must be noticed that Peskir and Shiryaev (2001)

propose the same denomination for a different rela-

tion in the Geometric Brownian Motion context:

(K − ST )+ = ((−ST )− (−K))+

Denoting ST = −ST , K = −K, σ = −σ and

introduzing Wt = −Wt, we have

dSt = µStdt + σStdWt

implies

dSt = µStdt + σStdWt

Then

PT (S0, K; σ) = CT (−S0,−K;−σ)

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Page 20: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Symmetric Markets

We say that a market is symmetric when

L(e−(r−δ)t+Xt | P)

= L(e−(δ−r)t−Xt | P)

, (14)

meaning equality in law. In view of (13), and to the

fact that the characteristic triplet determines the law of

a Levy processes, we obtain that a necessary and suffi-

cient condition for (14) to hold is

Π(dy) = e−yΠ(−dy). (15)

This ensures Π = Π, and from this follows

a− (r − δ) = a− (δ − r),

giving (14), as we always have σ = σ. Condition (15)

answers a question raised by Carr and Chesney (1996).

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Page 21: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Examples and Applications

In this section we consider that the Levy measure of the

process has the form

Π(dy) = eβyΠ0(dy),

where Π0(dy) is a symmetric measure, i.e.

Π0(dy) = Π0(−dy).

In many cases, the Levy measure has a Radon-Nikodym

density, and we have

Π(dy) = eβyp(y)dy, (16)

where p(x) = p(−x), that is, the function p(x) is even.

In this way, we want to model the asymmetry of the

market through the parameter β. As a consequence of

(15), we obtain that when β = −1/2 we have a symmet-

ric market.

It is also interesting to note, that practically all paramet-

ric models proposed in the literature, in what concerns

Levy markets, including diffusions with jumps, can be

reparametrized in the form (16) (with the exception of

Kou (2000), see anyhow Kou and Wang (2001)).

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Page 22: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Generalized Hyperbolic Model

This model has been proposed by Eberlein and Prause(1998) as they allow for a more realistic description of as-set returns . This model has σ = 0, and a Levy measuregiven by (16), with

p(y) =1|y|

(∫ ∞

0

exp(−√2z + α2|y|)

π2z(J2|λ|(δ

√2z) + Y 2

|λ|(δ√

2z))dz + 1λ≥0λe−α|y|

),

Particular cases are the hyperbolic distribution, obtained

when λ = 1; and the normal inverse gaussian when

λ = −1/2.

The statistical estimation β = −24.91 is reported for the

daily returns of the DAX (German stock index) for the

period 15/12/93 to 26/11/97 (The other parameters are

also estimated). This indicates the absence of symmetry.

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Page 23: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

The CGMY market model

This Levy market model, proposed by Carr et al. (2002),

is characterized by σ = 0 and Levy measure given by

(16), where the function p(y) is given by

p(y) =C

|y|1+Ye−α|y|.

The parameters satisfy C > 0, Y < 2, and G = α+β ≥0, M = α−β ≥ 0, where C, G, M, Y are the parameters

used.

For studying the presence of a pure diffusion component

in the model, condition σ = 0 is relaxed, and risk neutral

distribution are estimated in a five parameters model.

Values of β = (G −M)/2 are given for different assets,

and in the general situation, the parameter β is negative,

and less than −1/2.

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Page 24: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Diffusions with jumps

Consider the jump–diffusion model proposed by Merton

(1976). The driving Levy process in this model has Levy

measure given by

Π(dy) = λ1

δ√

2πe−(y−µ)2/(2δ2),

and is direct to verify that condition (15) holds if and

only if 2µ + δ2 = 0. This result was obtained by Bates

(1997). The Levy measure also corresponds to the form

in (16), if we take β = µ/δ2, and

p(y) = λ1

δ√

2πe

(−(y2+µ2)/(2δ2)

).

A recent alternative jump distribution was proposed

by Kou and Wang (2001). The Levy measure has the

form (16), where

p(y) = λe−α|y|.

It can be observed that this is a particular case of the

CGMY model, when Y = −1. In another model Eraker,

Johansen and Polson (2000) introduce compound Pois-

son jumps into stochastic volatility processes, the Levy

measure is :

Π(dy) =λ

ηe−

yηdy, y > 0

which is also a particular case of CGMY model.

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Page 25: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Brazilian Data

• Fajardo and Farias (2002): Generalized Hyperbolic

Distributions and Brazilian Data

Table 1: Estimated GHD Parameters.Sample α β δ µ λ LLHBbas4 30.7740 3.5267 0.0295 -0.0051 -0.0492 3512.73Bbdc4 47.5455 -0.0006 0 0 1 3984.49Brdt4 56.4667 3.4417 0.0026 -0.0026 1.4012 3926.68Cmig4 1.4142 0.7491 0.0515 -0.0004 -2.0600 3685.43Csna3 46.1510 0.0094 0 0 0.6910 3987.52Ebtp4 3.4315 3.4316 0.0670 -0.0071 -2.1773 1415.64Elet6 1.4142 0.0120 0.0524 0 -1.8987 3539.06Ibvsp 1.7102 -1.6684 0.0357 0.0020 -1.8280 4186.31Itau4 49.9390 1.7495 0 0 1 4084.89Petr4 7.0668 0.4848 0.0416 0.0003 -1.6241 3767.41Tcsl4 1.4142 0 0.0861 0.0011 -2.6210 1329.64Tlpp4 6.8768 0.4905 0.0359 0 -1.3333 3766.28Tnep4 2.2126 2.2127 0.0786 -0.0028 -2.2980 1323.66Tnlp4 1.4142 0.0021 0.0590 0.0005 -2.1536 1508.22Vale5 25.2540 2.6134 0.0265 -0.0015 -0.6274 3958.47

• Fajardo, Schuschny and Silva (2001): Levy Pro-

cesses and Brazilian Market

25

Page 26: Duality and Derivative Pricing with Lévy Processes José Fajardo

Conclusions

• Geometric Levy Motion

• Payoff function homogeneous of any degree

• Stochastic Bond

• Put-Call Duality

• Put-Call Symmetry

• Multidimensional Analysis

• Exotic Derivatives

• Dependent Increments

26