du bao giao thong cube citilabs

8/9/2019 du bao giao thong cube citilabs

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MC LC

Cao Vn Trng _QG10 _ 1051170069 Trang 1

MC LC

CHNG 1: TNG QUAN VN ............................................................... 10

1.1 t vn nghin cu ................................................................................ 10

1.2 Mc tiu nghin cu ................................................................................... 11

1.3 Phng php nghin cu............................................................................ 11

1.4 Gii hn nghin cu.................................................................................... 13

1.5 Cu trc n............................................................................................. 14

CHNG 2: KHU VC NGHIN CU....................................................... 15

2.1 Phn tch v nh gi hin trng............................................................... 15

2.1.1 Vtr, gii hn khu vc nghin cu ....................................................... 152.1.2. Tnh hnh dn s, kinh t- x hi khu vc ........................................... 16

2.1.2.1 Dn sv lao ng ............................................................................ 16

2.1.2.2 Tng trng kinh t........................................................................... 19

2.1.2.3 Hin trng sdng t ...................................................................... 21

2.1.3. Hin trng giao thng ........................................................................... 22

2.1.3.1 Hin trng giao thng i ngoi ........................................................ 23

2.1.3.2 Hin trng giao thng ni th............................................................. 29

2.1.3.3 nh gi chung vhin trng giao thng .......................................... 31

2.1.4 nh gi tng hp vhin trng ............................................................ 31

2.1.4.1 c im iu kin tnhin nh hng n giao thng ..................... 31

2.1.4.2 Thc trng pht trin th............................................................... 32

2.2. Cc tin , nh hng pht trin th ................................................. 33

2.2.1. ng lc pht tr in th..................................................................... 33

2.2.1.1 Cc quan hni ngoi vng............................................................... 33

2.2.1.2 C skinh tkthut ........................................................................ 34

2.2.2. Quy m dn slao ng x hi ............................................................. 34

2.2.2.1 Dbo quy m dn s....................................................................... 35

2.2.2.2 Dbo ngun lao ng ..................................................................... 36

2.2.2.3 Dbo sHSSV.................................................................................. 38

2.2.3. Quy hoch giao thng ........................................................................... 39


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MC LC


2.2.3.1 nh hng quy hoch giao thng ..................................................... 39

2.2.3.2 Quy hoch mng li giao thng ....................................................... 45

CHNG 3: PHN TCH KT QUKHO ST PHNG VN ................. 53

3.1 Kho st phng vn hgia nh................................................................. 53

3.1.1 Shgia nh v shu phng tin c nhn ..................................... 54

3.1.2 Tlm nhn phng thc vmc ch i li .................................... 56

3.1.2.1 Nhu cu i li trong kv nghin cu theo mc ch v phng thc .... 56

3.1.2.2 Tlm nhn phng thc theo mc ch i li .............................. 58

3.1.2.3 Tlm nhn mc ch i li theo phng thc .............................. 60

3.1.3 Pht sinh, thu ht chuyn i theo phng ............................................. 613.1.3.1 Ma trn OD schuyn i ni vng Qun 3 ........................................ 61

3.1.3.2 Schuyn i pht sinh HBW, HBS, HBO v NHB tng phng ......... 62

3.1.3.3 Schuyn i thu ht HBW, HBS, HBO v NHB tng phng ............ 64

3.1.3.4 Tlm nhn phng thc theo mc ch chuyn i HBW, HBS,

HBO, NHB ............................................................................................................ 65

3.1.4 Pht sinh, thu ht chuyn i theo mc ch........................................... 66

3.1.5 Pht sinh, thu ht chuyn i theo phng thc ..................................... 68

3.1.6 Hsi li .............................................................................................. 70

3.1.7 nh gi tnh hnh an ton giao thng ca Qun 3 hin ti ................. 70

3.2. Kho st tc ........................................................................................... 71

CHNG 4: DBO GIAO THNG ............................................................. 77

4.1 C sl thuyt ............................................................................................ 77

4.1.1 Nguyn tc dbo .................................................................................. 77

4.1.2 Cc m hnh dbo ............................................................................... 78

4.1.3 M hnh dbo nhu cu giao thng 4 bc .......................................... 80

4.1.4 Cc dn, nghin cu p dng phn mm Cube Citi labs Vit Nam. . 89

4.2 Dbo lu lng giao thng Qun 3- Tp. HCh Minh .......................... 91

4.2.1 Cc bc tin hnh dbo. ................................................................... 91

4.2.1.1 Phn vng giao thng( Chia Zone) .................................................... 91

4.2.1.2 Xy dng v phc tho mng li ( Network & Highway ) ................ 94


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MC LC


4.2.1.3 M hnh pht sinh v thu ht chuyn i ( Trip Generation )............. 104

4.2.1.4 M hnh phn bchuyn i ( Trip Distribution)............................... 112

4.2.1.5M hnh phn chia phng thc ( Mode Choice ) ............................ 117

4.2.1.6 Xt nh hng thi gian i vi cc chuyn i ( Time Of Day

Characteristic) .................................................................................................... 130

4.2.1.7Xc nh mng li ( Trip Assignment ) ........................................... 138

4.2.2 nh gi cc kch bn giao thng ........................................................ 143

4.2.2.1 Kch bn 1 ( Ginguyn mng li ng hin ti) ........................ 143

4.2.2.2 Kch bn 2 ( Mrng mng li ng theo quy hoch giao thng) 148

4.3. nh gi khnng thng hnh qua cc nt trng im ........................ 1564.3.1 Nt giao Ng 4 Nam KKhi Ngha in Bin Ph. ....................... 156

4.3.2 Nt giao Ng 4 Nguyn ThM inh KhaiCch Mng Thng 8. ......... 159

CHNG 5: KT LUN V KIN NGH.................................................... 163

5.1 Kt lun ..................................................................................................... 163

5.2 Kin Ngh................................................................................................... 164


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DANH MC CC BNG BIU


DANH MC CC BNG BIU

Bng 2.1 Cc chtiu vdn squn 3 tnm 1998 n 2006 .............................. 16

Bng 2.2 Hin trng phn bdn c theo a bn phng qua cc nm giai on

(2001-2005) .......................................................................................................... 18

Bng 2.3 C cu ngnh kinh tqua cc nm.......................................................... 19

Bng 2.4 Thng k hin trng sdng t ............................................................. 21

Bng 2.5 Thng k hin trng cc tuyn ng qun 3 ....................................... 25

Bng 2.6 Dbo dn sQun 3 nm 2020............................................................ 35

Bng 2.7 Dbo c cu dn sphn theo tui lao ng ....................................... 36Bng 2.8 Dbo slao ng Qun 3 nm 2020....................................................... 37

Bng 2.9 Dbo sHSSV Qun 3 nm 2020.......................................................... 39

Bng 2.10 nh hng mng li ng bqun 3 n nm 2020........................ 46

Bng 3.1 Thng k shgia nh c kho st ................................................... 54

Bng 3.2 Shgia nh v shu phng tin c nhn kho st .......................... 54

Bng 3.3 Nhu cu i li trong khu vc nghin cu theo mc chv phng thc 57

Bng 3.4 Tlm nhn phng thc theo mc ch i li................................... 58

Bng 3.5 Tlm nhn mc ch i li theo phng thc................................... 60

Bng 3.6 Ma trn OD ni vng Qun 3 ................................................................. 61

Bng 3.7 Schuyn i pht sinh HBW, HBS, HBO v NHB tng phng ............ 63

Bng 3.8 Schuyn i thu ht HBW, HBS, HBO v NHB tng phng ............... 64

Bng 3.9 Tlm nhn phng thc theo mc ch chuyn i HBW, HBS, NHB,

HBO ...................................................................................................................... 65

Bng 3.10 Pht sinh chuyn i theo mc ch........................................................ 66

Bng 3.11 Thu ht chuyn i theo mc ch.......................................................... 67

Bng 3.12 Pht sinh chuyn i theo phng thc .................................................. 68

Bng 3.13 Thu ht chuyn i theo phng thc ..................................................... 69

Bng 3.14 Hsi li ........................................................................................... 70

Bng 3.15 nh gi tnh hnh an ton giao thng Qun 3 hin ti .......................... 71

Bng 3.16 Vn tc lu thng trong iu kin i li bnh thng ............................ 72


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DANH MC CC BNG BIU


Bng 4.1 Khu vc ni vng ( TAZ ) ...................................................................... 92

Bng 4.2 Khu vc ngoi vng (ExternalTAZ) ....................................................... 93

Bng 4.3 Cc thuc tnh ca tuyn ng .............................................................. 95

Bng 4.4 Tham s, hshi quy m hnh pht sinh, thu ht chuyn i............... 104

Bng 4.5 Ma trn OD Tng chuyn i nm 2020 gia Qun 3 v cc Qun, huyn

khc ca Tp.HCM ............................................................................................... 106

Bng 4.6 Ma trn OD ngoi vng (I-E v E-I Trip) ............................................. 108

Bng 4.7 Chuyn i pht sinh, thu ht I-E, E-I v E-E ......................................... 108

Bng 4.8 M hnh phn bchuyn i - Cc hng shiu chun .......................... 113

Bng 4.9 Hstrkhng vi mc ch chuyn i HBW, HBS, HBO,NHB........ 113Bng 4.10 Cc tuyn xe but i qua Qun 3 ........................................................ 118

Bng 4.11 Mc phc vv hssdng KNTH.............................................. 140

Bng 4.12 Cc tuyn ng c nng cp, mrng .......................................... 149


6/164

DANH MC CC HNH NH


DANH MCCC HNH NH

Hnh 1.1 Cc bc ca m hnh dbo nhu cu giao thng................................... 12Hnh 1.2 Cc vn c bn cho m hnh 4 bc ................................................... 13

Hnh 2.1: Vtr v ranh gii Qun 3 ...................................................................... 15

Hnh 2.2 Mt schtiu kinh t- x hi ................................................................ 20

Hnh 2.3 Bn hin trng sdng t qun 3 ..................................................... 22

Hnh 2.4 Hin trng mng li giao thng Qun 3................................................. 23

Hnh 2.5 S tuyn xe but Tp.HCh Minh...................................................... 30

Hnh 2.6 nh hng mng li giao thng Qun 3 .............................................. 40

Hnh 2.7 Hthng ng trn cao Tp. HCh Minh ............................................. 42

Hnh 2.8 Mng li ng st thTp.HCh Minh .......................................... 43

Hnh 2.9 Vtr mt snt giao quan trng ............................................................. 52

Hnh 3.1 Tc tng trng phng tin ca Tp.HCM tnm 2000 n 2010 ..... 56

Hnh 3.2 nh ngha vpht sinh v thu ht ca chuyn i.................................... 62

Hnh 3.3 Schuyn i pht sinh HBW, HBS, HBO, NHB..................................... 63

Hnh 3.4 Schuyn i thu ht HBW, HBS, HBO, NHB........................................ 65

Hnh 3.5 nh gi tnh hnh an ton giao thng ca Tp.HCM hin ti ................... 71

Hnh 4.1 Quy trnh, dbo phn tch nhu cu i li theo m hnh 4 bc .............. 81

Hnh 4.2 nh ngha chuyn i theo mc ch....................................................... 83

Hnh 4.3 Pht sinh v hp dn hnh trnh ............................................................... 83

Hnh 4.4 Sphn phi hnh trnh .......................................................................... 84

Hnh 4.4 Phn chia phng thc ............................................................................ 86Hnh 4.5 nhy m hnh Logit ........................................................................... 88

Hnh 4.6 Tuyn ng no sc la chn cho hnh trnh? ................................ 88

Hnh 4.7 Tt choc khng c g ( All or nothing) ................................................ 89

Hnh 4.8 Giai on 3 ca HOUTRANS sdng CUBE/Voyager .......................... 90

Hnh 4.9 Lu lng hnh khch i Metro vo nm 2025....................................... 91

Hnh 4.10 Khu vc ni vng ( TAZ )..................................................................... 92


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DANH MC CC HNH NH


Hnh 4.11 Khu vc ngoi vng (ExternalTAZ) ...................................................... 93

Hnh 4.12 Xy dng mng li ng ni vng .................................................... 94

Hnh 4.13 Cc thuc tnh ca tuyn ng ............................................................ 94

Hnh 4.14 Cc ng kt ni tm TAZ ................................................................ 100

Hnh 4.15 Xy dng mng li ng ngoi vng (ng kt ni) ..................... 101

Hnh 4.17 Xc nh thi gian thi gian, khong cch, chi ph i li ..................... 101

Hnh 4.18 Phn chia chuyn i ni vng v lin vng.......................................... 105

Hnh 4.19 M hnh pht sinh, thu ht chuyn i nm 2020.................................. 109

Hnh 4.20 M hnh phn bchuyn i................................................................. 114

Hnh 4.21 Mng li xe but i qua Qun 3 ........................................................ 119Hnh 4.22 Cc thuc tnh ca tuyn xe but ......................................................... 119

Hnh 4.23 Xy dng mng li GTCC ................................................................ 120

Hnh 4.24 Thit lp hthng Public system ......................................................... 120

Hnh 4.25 ng kt ni tm Zone bng phng thc i b............................... 123

Hnh 4.26 Mt bao phmng li xe but ...................................................... 124

Hnh 4.27 Xc sut la chn GTCC .................................................................... 126

Hnh 4.28 M hnh MODE CHOICE ................................................................... 127

Hnh 4.29 M hnh chuyn tma trn P-A sang O-D .......................................... 131

Hnh 4.30 Hschuyn chca phng tin nm dbo 2020 .......................... 133

Hnh 4.31 M hnh OD_ t xe my ................................................................... 134

Hnh 4.32 M hnh OD_ t xe my gicao im .............................................. 137

Hnh 4.33 Nhu cu i li theo PCU trong gicao im gia cc zone ni b(I-I)

............................................................................................................................ 138

Hnh 4.34 Mi quan hgia vn tc V v lu lng N ........................................ 139

Hnh 4.35 Mi quan hgia Lu lng v Thi gian i li ................................. 141

Hnh 4.36 M hnh Assignment_n nh tuyn ng ........................................ 141

Hnh 4.37 Lu lng PCU ni qun 3 ................................................................. 143

Hnh 3.38 Lu lng PCU khu vc nghin cu ................................................... 145

Hnh 4.39 Mc phc vca mng li ng ..................................................... 147

Hnh 4.40 Thi gian i li khng xt nh hng nt giao, n tn hiu ................ 148


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DANH MC CC HNH NH


Hnh 4.41 Cc tuyn ng c nng cp mrng ........................................... 150

Hnh 4.42 Lu lng PCU khu vc nghin cu khi mrng mng li ng theo

quy hoch ............................................................................................................ 152

Hnh 4.43 Mc phc vca mng li ng theo quy hoch ............................ 154

Hnh 4.44 Thi gian i li khng xt nh hng nt giao, n tn hiu trn mng

li ng theo quy hoch .................................................................................. 155

Hnh 4.45 Tn hiu n nt giao ng 4 NKKN BP......................................... 156

Hnh 4.46 Hng di chuyn nt giao ng 4 NKKNBP.................................. 157

Hnh 4.47 Lu lng PCU nt giao ng 4 NKKNBP.................................... 157

Hnh 4.48 Mc phc vtheo tiu chun HCM 2000 ............................................ 158Hnh 4.49 Mc phc vti nt giao ng 4 NKKNBP.................................... 158

Hnh 4.50 Chiu di dng chti nt giao ng 4 NKKNBP.......................... 159

Hnh 4.51 Tn hiu n nt giao ng 4 CMT8 - NTMK ....................................... 160

Hnh 4.52 Hng di chuyn nt giao ng 4 CMT8 - NTMK ................................ 160

Hnh 4.53 Lu lng PCU nt giao ng 4 CMT8 - NTMK .................................. 161

Hnh 4.54 Mc phc vti nt giao ng 4 CMT8 - NTMK ................................. 162

Hnh 4.55 Chiu di dng chti nt giao ng 4 CMT8NTMK ....................... 162


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DANH MC CC TVIT TT


DANH MC CC T VIT TT

BTN B tng nhaBx.Min Ty Bn xe Min TyCMT8 ngCch Mng Thng 8CN C nhnDA VSMT D n V sinh mi trngBP ng in Bin PhE-E (External-External) Cc chuyn i lin vng

E-I (External-Internal)Cc chuyn i ngoi vngc im n nivng

GTCC Giao thng cng cng

GTVT Giao thng vn tiHB (Home_Based) Trips Cc chuyn i lin quan n nh

HBO (Home_Based Other) TripsCc chuyn i lin quan n nhvimc ch khng phi i lm, i hc

HBS (Home_Based School) Trips Cc chuyn i gia nh v trng hcHBW (Home_Based Work) Trips Cc chuyn i gia nh v ni lm vicHSSV Hc sinh sinh vin

I-E (Internal-External)Cc chuyn i ngoi vngc im i nivng

I-I (Internal-Internal) Cc chuyn i ni vngKCN Khu cng nghipKDC Khu dn cKNTH Kh nng thng hnh

NHB (Non Home_Based) Trips Cc chuyn i khng lin quan n nhNKKN ng Nam K Khi NghaNTMK ng Nguyn Th Minh Khai

OD (Origin-Destination)Ma trn chuyn i theo im i v im

n

PCU (Passenger Car Unit)Lu lng xe quy i sang xe con quy

iQLGT Qun l giao thngSX-KD Sn xut kinh doanhTM-DV Thng mi dch vTTCN Tiu th cng nghipVOC (Vehicle Operating Cost) Chi ph vn hnh phng tin


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CHNG 1: TNG QUAN VN


CHNG 1: TNG QUAN VN

1.1 t vn nghin cu

Tm tt:

Trong qu trnh quy hoch mng li giao thng cho mt vng hay mt a

phng th vn d bo nhu cu i li pht sinh trong tng lai s ng vai tr ht

sc quan trng, nu cng tc d bo khng phn nh ng vi nhu cu thc t s

dn n vic cc tuyn ng c vch ra khng pht huy c hiu qu, ng

thi khng p ng nhu cu i li ca ngi dn. n ny nhm mc ch D

bo nhu cu giao thng v nh gi kh nng thng hnh qua nt giao ti

Qun 3 n nm 2020 . Xc nh lu lng qua cc tuyn ng, nh gi khnng thng hnh qua mt snt chnh (Nt Ng 4 Nam KKhi Ngha in Bin

Phv Ng 4 Nguyn ThMinh KhaiCch Mng Thng 8) ca nm dbo 2020.

Phng php dbo nghin cu trong n l dbo nhu cu i li theo l

thuyt m hnh 4 bc v s dng phn mn Cube Citilabs trong qu trnh tnh

ton, m hnh 4 bc l mt trong nhng phng php dbo c p dng nhiu

nht hin nay. Phng php ny chyu da vo cc sliu iu tra thc ttng h

gia nh, kt hp vi c im kinh t- x hi ca khu vc ( trong n ny l khu

vc Qun 3).

Trong n ny chyu thc hin 2 vn chnh sau y: Nghin cu p

dng m hnh 4 bc v sdng phn mn Cube Citilas tnh ton nhu cu i li

dbo nm 2020 trongmng li giao thng cho khu vc qun 3 v nh gi kh

nng thng hnh qua mt snt giao chnh (Nt Ng 4 Nam KKhi Ngha in

Bin Ph v Ng 4 Nguyn Th Minh Khai Cch Mng Thng 8) dbo nm

2020.

Tnh cp thit ca ti:

Quy hoch giao thng vn ti c tnh quyt nh n qu trnh pht trin kinh

t- x hi ca 1 vng. Mng li giao thng vn ti c quy hoch tt sgip cho

vic vn chuyn t hiu qucao hn, qua to iu kin cho spht trin kinh t

- x hi.


11/164

CHNG 1: TNG QUAN VN


Qun 3 l quntrung tm ca thnh ph c v tr quan trng, c bit v giao

thng v h thng u mi h tng k thut. Tuy nhin h tng k thut cn cha

hon chnh, mng li giao thng vn ti cha thc s p ng c nhu cu pht

trin kinh t - x hi ca khu vc.

phc v cho nhu cu pht trin kinh t - x hi ca khu vc trong nhng

nm tng lai, Qun 3 cn phi u t pht trin h thng h tng k thut hon

thin hn na, thc hin c iu th trc ht phi nh gi li mng li

giao thng hin ti v kh nng phc v trong tng lai t c nhng chin

lc u t pht trin ph hp cho tng giai on, to cho Qun 3 pht trin bn

vng t nay n nm 2020.1.2 Mc tiu nghin cu

Mc tiu chnh ca ti Dbo nhu cu giao thng v nh gi kh

nng thng hnh qua nt giao ti Qun 3 n nm 2020 lxc nh lu lng

qua cc tuyn ng, nh gi khnng thng hnh qua mt snt chnh (Nt Ng

4 Nam KKhi Ngha in Bin Phv Ng 4 Nguyn ThMinh Khai Cch

Mng Thng 8) dbo nm 2020. Qua c nhng gii php nhm ci thin mng

li giao thng hin ti v nng cao nng lc phc vtrong nm tng lai.

1.3 Phng php nghin cu

Trong mt quy trnh quy hoch giao thng th mt khu quan trng nht

l phn tch dbo nhu cu i li (Travel demand forecasting), n s dng d liu

thu thp c v giao thng hin ti, d bo nhu cu i li v nhu cu s dng

h thng giao thng vn ti (h thng ng b, ng st, phng tin giao thng

c nhn, phng tin GTCC) trong tng lai nh th no?

Trong Lun vntc gisdng l thuyt m hnh 4 bc v phn mn Cube

Citilas tnh ton. Vi gi nh rng nhu cu ca cc chuyn i trong khu vc

khng phthuc vo c im chung vn ti cng nh cc chnh sch tc ng n

giao thng. Ngha l i vi kch bn gi nguyn mng li giao thng hoc m

rng mng li giao thng th nhu cu i li ca khu vc vn khng thay i. Lun

vn bqua vn chuyn hnh ha v vn chuyn hnh khch lin quan n ga Si

Gn.


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CHNG 1: TNG QUAN VN


Phn tch, d bo nhu cu i li c s dng pht trin thng tin tr gip

vic ra quyt nh pht trin v qun l h thng giao thng, c bit l giao

thng th.

Quy trnh ny bao gm bn bc:

1. Pht sinh hnh trnh (Trip generationHnh trnh xut pht u?)

2. Phn phi hnh trnh, (Trip distribution - Hnh trnh i n u)

3. Phng thc phn chia (Modal split Loi m hnh no c s dng,

phng tin giao thng c nhn hoc phng tin giao thng cng cng).

4. n nh mng li (Traffic assignment Tuyn ng no c s dng

vi mi loi m hnh).

(Ngun: Ti liu hng dn sdng CUBE ca Citilabs)

Hnh 1.1 Cc bc ca m hnh d bo nhu cu giao thng

Mc d m hnh gm 4 bc chnh nhng s c rt nhiu bc ph bn

trong b tr, thc hin cc phng php tnh ton ca m hnh.


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CHNG 1: TNG QUAN VN


Hnh 1.2 Cc vn c bn cho m hnh 4 bc

Ngun: Ti liu hng dn s dng CUBE ca Citilabs

1.4 Gii hn nghin cu

- Gii hn v phng php thc hin

Hin nay m mnh Cube Citilab l mt trong nhng m hnh ang c s

dng rng ri cho vic d bo trn khp thgii, tuy nhin m hnh hnh tnh ton

ny cha c kim nh m bo sai sgia thc tv mhnh trong lun vn

l t nht.

Nhng cp trong Lun vn chmi xy dng bc u tin trong vic d

bo giao thng trong tng lai, Lun vn hu ht bqua cc bc c lng, kim

nh, nh gi sai sca m hnh, do cn phi c thi gian kim nh, hiu chnh

cc thng su vo ph hp hn.

- Gii hn v phm vi thc hin

Khu vc nghin cu bao gm ton b 14 phng ca Qun 3. Ch yu tp

trung vo cc tuyn ng i ngoi ( Cch Mng Thng 8, V Th Su, in Bin

Ph, Nguyn Th Minh Khai, Nam K Khi Ngha, Trng Sa, Hong Sa..) v cc

ng chnh ca khu vc Qun 3 (B Huyn Thanh Quan, Cao Thng, L Chnh

Thng, Nguyn nh Chiu, Trn Quc Tho, Trng nh,) cc tuyn ng

ny mang ngha quan trng ca Khu vc v ca c thnh ph.


14/164

CHNG 1: TNG QUAN VN


Lun vn cng tp trung nh gi 2 nt giao chnh l: Nt Ng 4 Nam K

Khi Ngha in Bin Phv Ng 4 Nguyn ThMinh KhaiCch Mng Thng

8 nm d bo 2020 da vo s liu giao thng c d bo.

- Gii hn v d liu u vo

Cc sliu u vo ca m hnh c ly tcc nghin cu quy hoch giao

thng, quy hoch chung ca khu vc. i vi mt strng hp bthiu th dliu

c ginh tnh ton thng qua cc nm trc bng phng php ngoi suy. Do

skhng trnh khi cc sai strong qu trnh tnh ton. V vy m hnh chc

xem xt mc ginh, dbo giao thng khu vc theo quan im ca ring tc

gi.1.5 Cu trc n

Cu trc n Dbo nhu cu giao thng v nh gi khnng thng

hnh qua nt giao ti Qun 3 n nm 2020 bao gm 5 chngnh sau:

CHNG I. TNG QUAN VN

CHNG II. KHU VC NGHIN CU

CHNG III. PHN TCH KT QU KHO ST PHNG VN

CHNG IV: DBO GIAO THNG

CHNG V: KT LUN V KIN NGH


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CHNG 2: KHU VC NGHIN CU



2.1 Phn tch v nh gi hin trng

2.1.1 V tr, gii hn khu vc nghin cu

Vi v tr nm trung tm thnh ph, din tch 4,9km2 c a gii hnh

chnh : pha Bc gip qun Ph Nhun v qun Tn Bnh, pha ng v pha Nam

gip qun 1, pha Ty gip qun 10. Qun 3 c 14 phng c tn gi tphng 1

n phng 14.

Hnh 2.1: V trv ranh giiQun 3

Qun 3 l qun trung tm ca thnh ph c v tr quan trng, c bit v giao

thng v h thng u mi h tng k thut.

Trc giao thng huyt mch theo hng Bc Nam:

- ng Cch Mng Thng 8 ni tip quc l 22 i Ty Ninh qua

Campuchia & ni lin trung tm thnh ph , qun 7 v Nh B.


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- Trc giao thng theo hng ng - Ty: ng Nguyn Th Minh Khai -

in Bin Ph ni trung tm Si Gn c vi Ch Ln

Qun 3 c gii hn nh sau :

- Pha ng Nam: tip gip qun 1 qua ng Nguyn Th Minh Khai.

- Pha ng Bc: tip gip qun 1 qua ng Hai B Trng

- Pha Ty Nam: tip gip qun 10 qua cc tuyn ng Cch Mng Thng

Tm, in Bin Ph, L Thi T.

- Pha Ty Bc: tip gip qun Ph Nhun v qun Tn Bnh

Quy m khu t quy hoch : 492,88 ha

2.1.2. Tnh hnh dn s, kinh t- xhi khu vc2.1.2.1 Dn s v lao ng

a. Quy m dn s trung bnh

Theo s liu thng k hng nm ca Cc Thng K TP.H Ch Minh, dn s

trung bnh ton qun 3 nm 2006 l 199.172 ngi gim 125 ngi so vi nm

2005 (dn s nm 2005-2006 gim l -0,06%), c thng k theo bng 2.1:

Bng 2.1 Cc ch tiu v dn s qun 3 t nm 1998 n 2006

TTCh

tiuVT 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

2000 -

2006

1Quy m

dn sngi 223.62 218.836 215.216 211.502 206.55 201.425 199.297 199.172

2

S dn

tng

(gim)

ngi -4.784 -3.62 -3.714 -4.952 -5.125 -2.128 -125

3

T l

tng

(gim)chung

ca dn

s

% -2,14 -1,65 -1,73 -2,34 -2,48 -1,06 -0,06 -1,64

4

T l

tng

(gim)

t nhin

% 1,25 1,17 1,14 1,14 1,13 0,88 0,82 0,8 1,04

5T l

tng% -3,31 -2,79 -2,87 -3,47 -3,36 -1,88 -0,86 -2,68


17/164



(gim)

c hc

6

Mt

dn s

ngi/ha

454 444 437 429 419 409 404 404DT:

492,88

ha

Ngun : Nin gim thng k ca Cc Thng K TP.HCM nm 1999 2006

Bin ng dn s ca qun 3 trong giai on qua 1999 - 2006 c xu hng

gim, bnh qun hng nm gim 1,64%, l mt trong 3 qun ni thnh c s dn

gim mnh nht.

T l tng t nhin c xu hng gim dn, t 1,25% nm 1999 gim xungcn 0,8% nm 2006, bnh qun mi nm gim 0,06%, t l cht tng i n nh,

t l sinh gim dn. iu ny cho thy vic thc hin chng trnh k hoch ha gia

nh c trin khai tch cc, rng khp trong ton Qun v t kt qu tt.

V bin ng c hc c xu hng gim : t nm 2000 t l c hc gim

nhiu (-3,31%), nm 2001 gim 2,79%; nm 2002 l -2,87%; n nm 2005 -2006

gim chm dn nm 2006 l - 0,86%.

b. Phn b dn c

Mt dn s trung bnh nm 2005 trn a bn qun l 404 ngi/ha,

mc cao so vi mt dn s bnh qun khu vc ni thnh c (265 ngi/ha).

Phn b dn c ti 14 phng khng u v c s chnh lch kh ln gia

cc khu vc, gia phng c mt cao v mt thp chnh khong 9 ln. Ti

cc phng 1, 2,3 c mt dn c cao nht l khong 700 960 ngi/ha v

phng 6 c mt dn c thp nht 107 ngi/ha.


18/164



Bng 2.2 Hin trng phn b dn c theo a bn phng qua cc nm

(2001-2005)

TT a bn S dn (ngi)Tc tngtrng bnh

qun/ nm

Mt dn s

(ngi/ha)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2001-2005 2005

1 Phng 1 15.98 15.816 15.562 15.292 14.367 -2.52 960

2 Phng 2 11.967 11.716 11.395 11.066 10.999 -2.02 718

3 Phng 3 12.155 12.046 11.868 11.678 11.545 -1.25 741

4 Phng 4 21.029 20.86 20.567 20.257 20.366 -0.79 658

5 Phng 5 15.998 15.676 15.263 14.838 14.613 -2.16 588

6 Phng 6 11.18 10.735 10.229 9.715 9.447 -3.88 107

7 Phng 7 16.36 15.888 15.323 14.747 14.507 -2.83 158

8 Phng 8 18.303 17.873 17.34 16.791 16.673 -2.23 419

9 Phng 9 20.576 20.3 19.904 19.491 19.349 -1.49 436

10

Phng

10 10.119 10.127 10.074 10.011 9.888 -0.57 631

11Phng

1124.569 24.301 23.891 23.459 23.804 -0.78 503

12Phng

1211.388 11.473 11.492 11.498 11.368 -0.04 675

13Phng

138.251 7.956 7.614 7.267 7.324 -2.81 449

14

Phng

14 17.342 16.735 16.03 15.314 15.048 -3.31 491

Ton

qun215.216 211.502 206.55 201.425 199.297 -1.85 404

Ngun : Nin gim thng k TP, x l phn theo a bn phng d trn s liu

thng k qun 3


19/164


20/164



tng 27,26% so vi nm 2004, bnh qun giai on 2001 2005 tng 35,58%/nm.

Trong thng mi chim 71,81%, ngn hng chim 12,4%.

Hin Qun c 18.098 c s dch v thng mi, vi 57.400 lao ng..

d. Mt schtiu kinh t- x hi

Ch tiu ny c trch trong iu chnh Quy hoch pht trin GTVT

Tp.HCM n nm 2020 v tm nhn sau nm 2020. Tc tng trng dn sgiai

on 2006-2011 gim so vi giai on 2000-2005. Nhng tc tng trng GDP

li tng, giai on 2000-2005 tng 12,81%, giai on 2006-2011 tng 17,22%.

Hnh 2.2 Mt s ch tiu kinh t -x hi


21/164



2.1.2.3 Hin trng s dng t

Bng2.4 Thng k hin trng s dng t

STT Lai t

Din tch

( ha )

T l

( % )

Ch tiu

m2/ngi

A. T DN DNG 445,07 90,30 22,4

I. t dn dng cp qun 412,20 83,63 18,9

1 t 222,75 46,00 11,4

2

t Cng trnh phc li cng

cng 61,21 12,40 3,0

t tr s c quan 27,87 5,65

t vn ha 0,92 0,18

t y t 7,74 1,57

t gio dc 21,56 4,37

t th dc th thao 2,38 0,48

t TM-DV 0,74 0,15

3 t Cng vin cy xanh 2,59 0,52 0,1

4 t giao thng 87,52 17,7 4,4

5 t khc 34,13 7,0

II t dn dng cp TP & T 32,87 6,66

6 t TT cng cng 17,60 3,87

7 t di tch thng cnh 0,77 0,20

8 t tn gio 14,50 2,80

B. T NGOI DN DNG 47,81 9,70

9 t cng nghip TTCN 7,75 1,57

10 t quc phng, an ninh 4,07 0,82

11 t u mi h tng k thut 20,09 4,07

12 t ngha trang, ngha a 0,33 0,06

13 Sng rch, ao h 11,12 2,25

14 t khc 4,45 0,90

Tng cng 492,88 100,0

Ngun:iu chnhQuy hoch chungxy dngqun 3 n nm 2020


22/164



Hnh 2.3Bn hin trng s dng t qun 3

2.1.3. Hin trng giao thng

Giao thng qun 3 gm giao thng i ngoi v giao thng ni th. Trn a

bn qun 3 hnh thc giao thng ch yu l ng b v ng st, cc loi hnh

khc hu nh khng c.


23/164



Hnh 2.4Hin trng mng li giao thng Qun 32.1.3.1 Hin trng giao thng i ngoi

Trn a bn Qun 3 c loi hnh giao thng ng b, giao thng ng st

(Cc loi hnh khc hu nh khng c).

V giao thng ng b: c 6 tuyn hin hu va s dng chc nng i

ngoi, va s dng chc nng i ni, nhng chc nng i ni l ch yu l

ng L Thi T, ng Cch Mng Thng Tm, ng Nguyn Th Minh Khai,

ng V Th Su, ng Nam K Khi Ngha v ng in Bin Ph. Tng

chiu di 12.626m. C th nh sau:

+ ng L Thi T c chiu rng lng ng 18 m, di 734 m, l gii

30m, kt cu mt ng b tng nha.

+ ng Cch Mng Thng Tm vi chiu di tng cng 3.034m, chiu

rng lng ng t 14m, l gii 35m.L trc chnh Bc Nam ca thnh ph, kt


24/164



ni cc qun pha bc, nam vi nhau. Nh qun Tn Bnh, Tn Ph, Bnh Tn,..i

cc qun pha nam nh qun 4, qun 7,..

+ ng Nguyn Th Minh Khai vi chiu di tng cng 2.544 m, chiu

rnglng ng t 13m, l gii 35m. L trc chnh ca thnh ph, kt ni cc qun

pha ty sang cc qun pha ng. Nh qun 5, qun 6,..sang cc qun phang

nh qun Bnh Thnh, qun 2,..

+ ng V Th Su vi chiu di tng cng 1.546m, chiu rng lng

ng t 12m, l gii 35m. L trc chnh ca ng pha ng i vo thnh ph, kt

ni cc qun ngoi thnh vo ni thnh nh t qun Th c, qun 2, qun 9,..i

vo trung tm thnh ph.+ ng Nam K Khi Ngha vi chiu di tng cng 1.832m, chiu rng

lng ng t 18m, l gii 30m. L trc chnh Bc Nam ca thnh ph, kt ni

cc qun pha bc, nam vi nhau. Nh qun Tn Bnh, Ph Nhun, G Vp,.. i cc

qun pha nam nh qun 4, qun 7,..

+ ng in Bin Ph vi chiu di tng cng 2.936m, chiu rng lng

ng t 12m, l gii 30m. L trc chnh ca thnh ph, chc nng chnh kt ni

trung tm thnh ph i cc qun ngoi thnh pha ng nh qun 2, qun Bnh

Thnh, qun 9, Th c,..

Cc tuyn ng trn c tnh ton cho giao thng i ni.


25/164


Cao Vn Trng _ QG10 _ 1051170069 Trang 25

Bng2.5 Thng k hin trng cc tuyn ng qun 3

Stt Tn ng im u im cui

Chiu di

ng

Chi u rng mt c t ngang ngDin tch

mt

ng

Kt

cu

mt

ng

Loi

ng

Ghi

ch

Va

h

tri

Mt

ng

Ti u o, di

phn cch

Va

h

phiDi Rng

(m) (m) (m) (m) (m) (m) (m2)

33 39,988.70 3,253.50 411584.05

1B Huyn Thanh

Quan

Nguy n Th Minh

KhaiK ng 1,243.00 3.80 8.00 4.80 9,944.00 BTN Th Kh

K ng Rch Bng Binh 178.00 3.50 12.00 25.00 5.00 4.50 2,136.00 BTN Th Kh

2Cch Mng

Thng 8

Nguy n Th Minh

Khai

Cng Trng Dn

Ch929.00 4.10 13.00 73.00 0.4-3 3.00 12,077.00 BTN Th Kh

3 Cao ThngNguy n Th Minh

Khaiin Bin Ph 755.00 4.80 10.00 20.00 0.40 5.00 7,550.00 BTN Th Kh

4Cng Trng

Dn Ch

Cch Mng Thng

8-3 Thng 2-L

Chnh Thng-V

Th Su

Nguyn Thng

Hin188.00 25.00 4.50 4,700.00 BTN Th Kh

5

Cng Trng

Quc T (Ct

Chin S C)

V Vn Tn-TrnCao Vn

Phm Ngc Thch 320.00 18.00 6.00 5,760.00 BTN Th Kh

6 in Bin Ph Hai B Trng Vng xoay Ng 7 2,936.00 2.00 12.00 6.00 35,232.00 BTN Th Kh

7 H Xun Hng Trng nh Cch Mng Thng 445.00 3.30 6.50 3.20 2,892.50 BTN Th Kh


26/164



8

8 K ng

Trn Quc ThoB Huyn Thanh

Quan394.00 3.75 12.00 3.90 4,728.00 BTN Th Kh

B Huyn Thanh

QuanNguyn Thng 178.00 2.00 7.50 4.20 1,335.00 BTN Th Kh

9 L Qu nNguy n Th Minh

KhaiV Th Su 879.00 5.60 8.00 6.00 7,032.00 BTN Th Kh

10 L Vn S C u L Vn S Ranh Ph Nhun 886.00 3.80 12.00 259.50 0.40 4.40 10,632.00 BTN Th Kh

11 L Chnh Thng Hai B TrngCng Trng Dn

Ch1,847.00 2.50 10.00 44.00 0.40 2.50 18,470.00 BTN Th Kh

12Nam K Khi

Ngha

Nguyn Th Minh

Khaiin Bin Ph 557.50 6.00 11.50 6.00 6,411.25 BTN Th

ang

thc

hin

DA

VSMT

in Bin Ph V Th Su 285.00 6.00 27.00 394.00 2.00 6.00 7,695.00 BTN Th T t

V Th Su C u Cng L 929.40 5.00 21.00 819.00 0.40 5.00 19,517.40 BTN Th T t

13Nguy n nh

ChiuHai B Trng L Thi T 2,786.00 4.30 10.00 30.00 0.40 3.80 27,860.00 BTN Th Kh

14Nguy n Phc

Nguyn

Vng Xoay Cng

trng Dn ChGa Si Gn 540.00 2.50 7.50 3.00 4,050.00 BTN Th Kh

15Nguyn Th

Minh Khai

L Thi THuy n Trn Cng

Chu1,771.00 6.00 15.00 920.00 0.40 7.20 26,565.00 BTN Th Kh

Huy n Trn Cng Nam K Khi 315.00 6.00 10.50 2.50 3,307.50 BTN Th Kh


27/164



Cha Ngha

Nam K Khi

NghaHai B Trng 487.00 6.00 9.00 140.00

0.4-

0.66.00 4,383.00 BTN Th Kh

16Nguy n Thin

Thut

Nguy n Th Minh

Khaiin Bin Ph 780.00 2.70 10.00 3.50 7,800.00 BTN Th Tt

17 Nguy n Thng H Xun Hng Tr n Vn ang 1,122.00 3.50 8.00 4.00 8,976.00 BTN Th Kh

18Nguyn Thng

Hin

Nguy n Th Minh

Khai in Bin Ph 777.00 1.50 7.00 2.00 5,439.00 BTN Th Tt

in Bin PhVng xoay Cng

trung dn ch203.00 3.00 10.00 3.00 2,030.00 BTN Th Kh

19 PasteurNguy n Th Minh

KhaiTrn Quc Ton 1,122.00 6.00 12.00 454.00 2.00 6.00 13,464.00 BTN Th Kh

20Phm Ngc

Thch

Nguy n Th Minh

KhaiV Th Su 813.00 6.00 10.00 5.30 8,130.00 BTN Th Kh

21 Rch Bng Binh Cch Mng Thng 8 Hong Sa 580.00 2.50 8.00 3.80 4,640.00 BTN Th Kh

22 Tr n Cao Vn Phm Ngc Thch Hai B Trng 122.00 6.00 8.00 6.00 976.00 BTN Th Kh

23Tr n Quang

DiuTrn Vn ang Ranh Ph Nhun 821.80 3.00 8.00 2.00 6,574.40 BTN Th Kh

24 Tr n Qu c Tho V Vn T n C u L Vn S 1,443.00 3.60 12.00 15.00 10.00 4.00 17,316.00 BTN Th Kh

25 Tr n Qu c Ton Hai B Trng Tr n Qu c Tho 423.00 2.50 8.00 3.50 3,384.00 BTN Th T t

26 Trn Vn ang Nguyn Thng Ray Xe La 1,006.00 0.50 5.00 0.50 5,030.00 BTN ThDA

VSMT


28/164



Ray Xe LaCch Mng Thng

8168.00 0.50 7.50 0.50 1,260.00 BTN Th Kh

27 Trng nh

Nguy n Th Minh

KhaiK ng 1,247.00 6.00 8.00 6.00 9,976.00 BTN Th Kh

K ng Rch Bng Binh 275.00 5.20 12.50 5.50 3,437.50 BTN Th Kh

28 T XngNam K Khi

Nghi

Cch Mng Thng

81,097.00 3.20 7.50 3.00 8,227.50 BTN Th Kh

29

Trng Sa (Ven

Bc K.Nhiu

Lc)

C u ng S t C u L Vn S 954.00 4.20 9.00 4.40 8,586.00 BTN Th T t

Cu L Vn S Cu Cng L 1,295.00 4.20 7.00 4.40 9,065.00 BTN Th Tt

30

Hong Sa (Ven

Nam K.Nhiu

Lc)

Ranh Tn Bnh ( SN

239/67/298 (C ph

Hong Phng)

Cu L Vn S 1,907.00 3.30 9.00 3.20 17,163.00 BTN Th Tt

C u L Vn S C u Kiu 1,218.00 3.30 7.00 3.20 8,526.00 BTN Th T t

31 V Th Su Hai B TrngCch Mng Thng

81,546.00 2.80 12.00 4.30 18,552.00 BTN Th Kh

32 V Vn Tn

Cng Trng Qu c

T

Cch Mng Thng

81,224.00 5.00 8.00 4.50 9,792.00 BTN Th Kh

Cch Mng Thng 8 Cao Th ng 776.00 2.50 12.00 2.70 9,312.00 BTN Th Kh

33

ng N i T

Trn Vn ang

Ra Hong Sa

Trn Vn ang Hong Sa 220.00 3.80 7.50 60.00 0.40 3.90 1,650.00 BTN Th Tt

Ngun: Quyt nh s 4319/Q-SGTVT ngy 28/12/2012 ca S GTVTTp.HCM.


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Cao Vn Trng _ QG10 _1051170069 Trang 29

V giao thng ng st:

V ng st c tuyn ng st Thng Nht,ga Si Gn (ga Ho Hng) v

u my toa xe Ch Ha. Tuyn ng st St Thng Nht i t ga Bnh Triu n

ga Ha Hng i ngang qua Qun Ph Nhun n Qun 3 v kt thc ti ga Ho

Hng. Tng chiu di tuyn ng st trong phm vi ranh Qun trc khi vo ga

khong 450m. Ga Si Gn v u my toa xe Ch Ho c quy m din tch 3,25 ha,

trong din tch nh ga chnh 9.793m2.

Ga Si Gn l Ga hnh khch, chc nng chnh l vn chuyn hnh khch.

Lu lng hnh khch qua Ga kh ln. y l mt trong nhng ga u mi quan

trng nht trn tuyn ng st Bc Nam do y l ga u mi ca khu vc NamBi cc tnh thuc Trung Bv Bc B.

2.1.3.2 Hin trng giao thng ni th

a. Chiu di, chiu rng, mt ng

Tng chiu di mng li ng trn a bn Qun 3 l 44.970m (khong 34

tuyn - khng k cc ng nh, ng trong khu c l gii nh hn 12m). Trong

:

ng do khu QLGT. th qun l: 34.528m, c l gii trn 12m.

ng do Qun qun l : 10.442m, c l gii trn 12m

Ngoi ra cn khong 5.605m ng nh, ng trong khu c l gii nh

hn 12m do Qun qun l.

Chiu rng lng ng bnh qun 10,1m.

Trn phm vi Qun c 7 cu i qua cc rch Nhiu Lc, tng chiu di

khong 302 m, ti trng cu ch yu t 13 - 30 tn, bao gm cu L Vn S, cu

Cng L, cu Trn Quang Diu, cu s 6, 7, 8, 9 c kt cu cu b tng lin hp, b

tng ct thp, b tng d ng lc;

Mt chiu di ng ni th l 9,12km/km2 v mt din tch l

3,93m2/ngi (4,11 m2/ngi-nu k din tch giao thng i ngoi).

Din tch giao thng i ni (khng k cc tuyn ng nh c l gii t

12m tr xung) l 78,38ha, chim t l 15,90 % din tch chung (tng cng c

81,90ha- 16,62 % - nu k din tch giao thng i ngoi).


30/164



ng giao thng ni th phc v ch yu cho nhu cu ca ngi dn tron

khu vc v 1 phn nh lu lng ngoi vng. Do vy lu lng trong cc tuyn

ng ny khng cao.

b. Giao thng cng cng

Giao thng cng cng ch yu do lc lng xebut m nhn, p ng

khong 5% nhu cu i li. Cc tuyn xe but ch yu trn hnh lang ca mt s

tuyn ng chnh v ng lin khu vc gm ng L Thi T, Cch Mng

Thng 8, Nguyn Th Minh Khai, V Th Su, Nam K Khi Ngha, in Bin

Ph, Hai B Trng, Phm Ngoc Thch, Pasteur, Trn Quc Tho, L Vn S,

Trng nh, B Huyn Thanh Quan, Cao Thng, K ng, Nguyn Phc Nguyn,Nguyn nh Chiu, V Vn Tn, Trn Cao Vn. Tng chiu di cc tuyn GTCC.

khong 28,872km .

Hnh 2.5S tuyn xe but Tp.H Ch Minh


31/164



2.1.3.3 nh gi chung vhin trng giao thng

Ch tiu hin trng din tch giao thng t 15,90 % so vi cc qun khc

(ca 12 qun ni thnh c) chim kh cao. Tuy nhin so vi quy chun xy dng th

ch tiu ny cha t. c bit l ch tiu m2/ngi.

V mng ng ch yu theo dng bn c, li c vung. Cc ng ph

vung gc vi nhau chia khu ph thnh cc hnh ch nht, hnh vung. S bn

c c u im: thun tin v d dng nh hng khi tham gia giao thng, kh nng

thng hnh ca c mng li rt cao, khng gy qu ti cho khu vc trung tm, n

gin, thun tin cho vic quy hoch v xy dng nh ca v t chc giao thng.

Nhc im chnh ca s ny l giao thng theo hng cho gc khng thuntin, h s gy khc ln. Tuy nhin v hng Ty Bc, mng li ng ch yu l

h thng ng hm cc tuyn ng chnh v ng khu vc hu nh khng c.

Ga Si Gn, u mi giao thng ng st nm qu su trong khu th,

cha phc v tt trong vic vn chuyn hnh khch cng cng ni , gy cn tr

v n tc giao thng cho cc tuyn ng b.

2.1.4nh gitng hp v hin trng

2.1.4.1c im iu kin t nhin nh hng ngiao thng

Trong nhng nm qua kinh t ca qun 3 pht trin theo hng dch v

thng mi tiu th cng nghip. Tc tng trng kinh t ca Qun lun t

mc kh cao 27,4%/nm, trong gi tr sn xut khu vc dch v thng mi tng

bnh qun 30,9%/nm, cao hn nhiu so vi mc tng bnh qun ca Thnh ph v

khu vc cng nghip xy dng tng 10,6%/nm. Dn s khu vc qun 3 c xu

hng gim bnh qun hng nm gim 1,64%, l mt trong 3 qun ni thnh c s

dn gim mnh nht.Tng trng kinh t t mc cao dn n s hu phng tin

c nhn ngy cng ln v nhu cu i li cng ngy cng tng.

Qun 3 l qun trung tm ca thnh ph H Ch Minh, c v tr a l ht sc

thun li, mng li giao thng thun tin trong giao lu kinh t - vn ho vi cc

qun, huyn trong thnh ph, cc tnh Min ng Nam B v Ty Nam b, ni tp

trung cc trng i hc v cc c s vn ho x hi. Do vy nhu cu i li phc v

cho mc ch i hc, vn ha, th thao l rt ln.


32/164



Qun 3 c ngun lao ng s lng ngi trong tui lao ng chim t l

cao, trnh dn tr cao l mt thun li cho vic pht trin kinh t qun ng thi

l ngun lao ng qu ca thnh ph .

Thng nghip dch v c nhiu u th do v tr qun 3 c nhiu tuyn giao

thng chnh i ngang to cho qun 3 l ca ng giao lu hng ho bao gm ng

b v ng st.

2.1.4.2 Thc trng pht trin th

Din tch t th ca Qun 3 c 492,88 ha, chim 100% din tch t nhin

ca Qun. Dn s th 214000 ngi, din tch t l 227.4586 ha.

Qun 3 l qun ni thnh trung tm ca Thnh ph H Ch Minh c qu trnhnh hnh v pht trin lu i, c chc nng trung tm nhiu mt ca Thnh ph, l

ni tp trung nhiu t chc, c quan ca Thnh phv c nc.

H thng c s h tng v kin trc th tng i hon chnh khu vc

phng 1 n phng 6 v mt phn ca phng 7, 8.

Trong nhng nm gn y th c nhiu thay i. Cc cng trnh xy dng

nh tr s lm vic ca cc c quan, cng trnh phc li x hi, h thng giao thng,

in, bu chnh vin thng, c s vn ho x hi phc v cng cng trong cc khu

dn c, c nhiu i mi v tng bc p ng yu cu ca nhn dn nh

ang c ci to, nng cp vi kin trc khang trang. Tuy nhin h thng c s h

tng k thut v h tng x hi vn cn cha p ng yu cu nh h thng giao

thng, cp thot nc, x l cht thi, cc cng trnh cng cng, cng vin cy xanh...

a bn qun 3 c xem l mt trong nhng a bn c mng li h tng

k thut kh y v hon chnh khu vc pha Nam (phng 5, 6), c bit c

nhiu khu bit th cao cp c th a vo cc dch v v nh . Tuy nhin, h thng

h tng khu vc ny c xy dng t thi Php thuc nn mt s cc tuyn cng

b h hi cn ci to khi ma ln vn c th ngp lt nn vn cha p ng c

yu cu ca mt th trung tm. Phn pha Bc h tng rt thiu thn cha p ng

cho vic pht trin kinh t x hi v m bo cuc sng ca ngi dn, tnh trng

nhim mi trng cn tn ti c bit l khu vc knh Nhiu Lc-Th Ngh.

C cu kinh t, lao ng c s chuyn dch tch cc, pht huy th mnh, tim


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lc ca a phng, cht lng tng trng kinh t pht trin tng u qua cc nm

l nhng iu kin thunli cho pht trin kinh t - x hi cho nhng nm tip theo.

2.2. Cc tin , nh hng pht trin th

2.2.1. ng lc pht trin th

2.2.1.1 Cc quan h ni ngoi vng

Qun 3 l qun trung tm, l a bn c sc hp dn v chc nng c tr,

dch v vn phng; dch v thng nghip, khch sn, c quan i din, nh cao

cp. Cng vi Qun 1 l a bn c gi tr cao v nh t .

Trong c cu quy hoch chung ca thnh ph, qun 3 c trc xuyn Bc -

Nam quan trng nh : Nam K Khi Ngha, Pasteur, Cch Mng Thng 8 L cctrc giao thng huyt mch ni khu vc Bc trong c khu sn bay Tn Sn Nht,

cc u mi giao thng ng st, ng b, cc trung tm kinh t thng mi

quan trng ca cc qun huyn. Phi Nam c cc trc ng Ty quan trng nh :

in Bin Ph,V Th Su, Nguyn Th Minh Khail cc trc giao thng huyt

mch ni kt cc khu phi ng vi phi Ty thnh ph, ni trung tm Si Gn c

vi Ch Ln. Ngoi ra, ga ng st hin nay nm trn a bn qun 3 l mt u

mi giao lu quan trng ni vi cc vng trong c nc bng ng st, c xc

nh l ga hnh khch quan trng nht t y n 2020 mt d trn d kin c

mt s ga Bc Nam, ng Ty theo quy hoch tng mt bng thnh ph .

D n xy dng ng trn cao thay th tuyn Bc Nam t Tn Bnh theo

knh Nhiu Lc qua qun 3 Ph Nhun v Bnh Thnh.

Tuyn Mtr t ch Bn Thnh Tham Lng qua a bn qun 3, tng

cng nng lc vn chuyn hnh khch bng phng tin chuyn ch cng cng.

Chng trnh ci to ton tuyn knh Nhiu Lc Th Ngh khng nhng

khi phc li i sng thy o ca con kinh, m cn m ra kh nng chnh trang

mt vng th rng ln dc tuyn kinh. i vi Qun 3 y l mt c hi xut

cc gii php ng b nhm xa b tnh trng nh chut, sp xp li khu dn

c mi, m mang h thng ng s v tin nghi h tng mi trn a phn pha

Bc ca qun, hin cn qu km v iu kin , sinh hot v v sinh mi trng.


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2.2.1.2 C s kinh t k thut

Thng mi dch v l th mnh kinh t ca Qun 3. Cc trc ng chnh

ca qun nh in Bin Ph, Cch Mng Thng 8, Nguyn Th Minh Khai, Hai B

Trng, V Th Su l cc trc giao thng huyt mch ca Thnh ph, thun li

cho vic pht trin thng mi dch v ca Qun. Ngoi racn c ga Si Gn v

tuyn ng st Thng Nht chy qua a bn qun, m nhn mt khi lng vn

chuyn hnh khch i cc tnh pha Bc v Min Trung. Vic u t su rng cc

dch v v pht trin thng mi dch v to mt c s vt cht ton din ring

trong khu vc xung quanh ga s thu ht cc ngun khch n Thnh ph tham quan

v lm n.2.2.2. Quy m dn s lao ng xhi

Theo iu chnh quy hoch chung qun 3 c duyt nm 1998: (Quyt

nh s 6787/Q-UB-QLT ngy 18/12/1998), dn s ca qun :

D kin n nm 2020 : 220.000250.000 ngi

Cn c, quan in pht trin dn s qun 3:

Thc trng pht trin dn s qun 3 trong giai on va qua (19992006),

bin ng dn s c xu hng gim, bnh qun gim 1,64%/nm. Thi gian qua

qun 3 l mt trong 3 qun ni thnh (qun 1, qun 5) c s dn gim mnh nht, do

vic thc hin d n nng cp th ci to knh Nhiu Lc Th Ngh, pht trin

kinh t, xy dng c s h tng, cc h dn chuyn ra cc qun ven, qun mi sinh

sng.

Theo nhhng pht trin khng gian thnh ph xc nh qun 3 c mt

phn thuc Khu trung tn thnh ph c chc nng l l trung tm chnh tr, hnh

chnh, vn ha v giao dch quc t. C cu kinh t pht trin theo hng dch v.

Trong giai on ti do vic chnh trang nng cp th, i vi mt s khu

vc nh lp xp, khu chung c v nh tp th xung cp nng khng m bo v mi

trng sng cng nh an ton phng chy cha chy, xut bc lm hnh thnh

nhng khu chung c cao tng, nhm gim mt xy dng, tng h s s dng t.

Cc chung c mi kt hp chc nng thng mi dch v hoc cc t hp trung tm

thng mi dch v vi chc nng .


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Ch o ca y ban nhn dn thnh ph i vi khu vc ni thnh c, cc d

n u t xy dng chung c ch phc v dn c ti ch, khng lm nh hng n

vic gia tng dn s c hc.

D bo pht trin dn s qun 3 trong giai an ti ch yu l tng t nhin

v sau nm 2020 dn s n nh.

2.2.2.1 D bo quy m dn s

xut chn quy m dn s trn a bn qun 3 vo nm 2020 :

Trn c s iu chnh quy hoch chung thnh ph vi 2 gi thit khng ch

dn s khu vc ni thnh c (13 qun) 4.000.000 ngi v 4.500.000 ngi, d bo

quy m dn s qun 3 n nm 2020 t 200.000220.000 ngi .Theo Quy hoch chi tit khu dn c phng v lin phng, cn i qu t,

cc d n u t xy dng nh cao tng.

Qun 3 l qun trung tm TP, qu t pht trin th khng cn, m

bo pht trin theo hng vn minh hin i, m bo ch tiu t dnh cho cng

cng nh giao thng, cng trnh cng cng, cng vin cy xanh. v mt dn

s hp l, do quy m dn s phi khng ch ti a khong 220.000 ngi.

Dn s ca ton qun da theoiu chnh quy hoch chung xy dng qun 3

n nm 2020 v tm nhn sau nm 2020. S liu dn s tng phng c tnh

bng phng php ngoi suy da vo dn s ton qun v s liu thng k dn s

tng phng giai on 2001-2005. (xem bng 2.2)

Bng 2.6 D bo dn s Qun 3 nm 2020

TT

n v

hnhchnh

Din tch t t

nhin

Dn s nm

2005

Dn s

nm

2014

Dn s

d bo

nm2020

Mt

dn s

nm 2014

Mt

dn s

nm 2020

(ha) (%) (ngi) (%) (ngi) (ngi) (ngi/ha) (ngi/ha)

1 Phng 1 14.97 3.04 14367 7.21 15427 15859 1031 1059

2 Phng 2 15.32 3.11 10999 5.52 11810 12142 771 793

3 Phng 3 15.59 3.16 11545 5.79 12397 12744 795 817

4 Phng 4 30.97 6.28 20366 10.22 21868 22482 706 726

5 Phng 5 24.87 5.05 14613 7.33 15691 16131 631 649

6 Phng 6 88.29 17.91 9447 4.74 10144 10428 115 118


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7 Phng 7 91.87 18.64 14507 7.28 15577 16014 170 174

8 Phng 8 39.83 8.08 16673 8.37 17903 18405 449 462

9 Phng 9 44.42 9.01 19349 9.71 20776 21359 468 481

10 Phng10

15.68 3.18 9888 4.96 10617 10915 677 696

11Phng

1147.28 9.59 23804 11.94 25560 26277 541 556

12Phng

1216.84 3.42 11368 5.70 12207 12549 725 745

13Phng

1316.32 3.31 7324 3.67 7864 8085 482 495

14

Phng

14 30.63 6.21 15048 7.55 16158 16611 528 542

Ton

qun492.88 100.00 199297 100.00 214000 220000 434 446

Ngun: S liu d bo

2.2.2.2 D bo ngun lao ng

Theo d bo tc tng dn s bnh qun giai an 2006-2020 l 0,66%/nm,

quy m dn s ca qun 3 n nm 2020 l 220.000 ngi. Trong , s ngi trong

tui lao ng l 136.718 ngi, chim khong 62,14% dn s ton qun, tc tng dn s bnh qun 0,01%.

Bng 2.7 D bo c cu dn s phn theo tui lao ng

Nhm Nm 2014 Nm 2020

tui S dn (ngi) T l S dn (ngi) T l

Tng s Nam N (%) Tng s Nam N (%)

Di tui

lao ng40.513 21.025 19.488 18,93 40.406 20.829 19.577 18,37

Trong tui

lao ng140.722 69.325 71.397 65,76 136.718 68.939 67.779 62,14

Trn tui

lao ng32.765 9.437 23.328 15,31 42.876 13.436 29.44 19,49

Tng

cng214 99.787 114.213 100 220 103.204 116.796 100

Ngun: iu chnh Quy hoch chungxy dng qun 3 n nm 2020

D bo n nm 2020 s ngi trong tui lao ng c kh nng tham gia lao


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ng chim 98% s ngi trong tui lao ng bng 134.000 ngi. Trong kh

nng thu ht dn c trong tui lao ng tham gia lao ng x hi l 93.800 ngi,

chim 70% ngun lao ng. Khong 30% ngun lao ng (40.200 ngi) l lao ng

d tr (gm nhng ngi trong tui lao ng nhng ang i hc v ni tr hoc

cha c vic lm).

D bo nhu cu lao ng ca 3 khu vc kinh t trn a bn qun trong thi

gian ti s c s chuyn dch theo hng tng dn quy m v t trng lao ng khu

vc 3, gim dn t trng khu vc 2 v lao ng khu vc 1 khng cn trong c cu lao

ng.

S dn trong trong tui laong ca tng phng c tnh bng phngphp ngoi suy da vo s lao ngca ton qunv mi tng quan gia dn s, s

lao ng ca tng phng.Theo iu chnh Quy hoch pht trin GTVT Tp.HCM

n nm 2020 s lao ng khu vc Qun 3 chim 21,446% Dn s ton Qun 3.

Bng 2.8 D bo s lao ng Qun 3 nm 2020

TTn v hnh

chnh

Dn s nm

2014

Dn s d bo

nm 2020

S lao ng

nm 2014

S lao ng d bo

nm 2020

(ngi) (ngi) (ngi) (ngi)

1 Phng 1 15427 15859 3350 3444

2 Phng 2 11810 12142 1908 1961

3 Phng 3 12397 12744 2002 2058

4 Phng 4 21868 22482 3792 3898

5 Phng 5 15691 16131 4465 4590

6 Phng 6 10144 10428 2718 2794

7 Phng 7 15577 16014 4646 4776

8 Phng 8 17903 18405 3100 3187

9 Phng 9 20776 21359 3056 3142

10 Phng 10 10617 10915 2298 2362

11 Phng 11 25560 26277 5532 5687

12 Phng 12 12207 12549 3414 3510

13 Phng 13 7864 8085 2199 2261

14 Phng 14 16158 16611 3415 3511

Ton qun 214001 220001 45895 47182

Ngun: S liu d bo


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2.2.2.3 D bo s HSSV

Nm 2005 ton qun c 76 trng vi 58.567hc sinh cc cp, trong :

Bc mu gio, mm non c 28 trng, din tch t: 2,48 ha; bao gm: 16

trng cng lp v 12 trng ngai cng lp. C 8.215 hc sinh vi 605 gio vin v

cng nhn vin (389 gio vin);

Bc tiu hc c 22 trng, din tch t: 3,48 ha; trong c 19 trng cng

lp, 03 trng ngoi cng lp. C 20.642 hc sinh v 1.354 gio vin v cng nhn

vin (821 gio vin)

Bc trung hc c s c 17 trng, din tch t: 4,25 ha;trong c 08 trng

cng lp, 09 trng ngoi cng lp. C 17.187 hc sinh v 1.087 gio vin v cngnhn vin (817 gio vin).

Bc trung hc ph thng vi 9 trng, din tch t: 6,48 ha; trong c 3

trng cng lp; 2 trng bn cng (1 trng ph thng cp 2,3); 4 trng dn lp,

tng s hc sinh bc ny l 12.523 hc sinh, trong s hc sinh ngi qun l 8.447

hc sinh. (ngun s liu ca S gio dc o to thnh ph).

Din tch bnh qun cho mt hc sinh cn rt thp 2,51 m2/hs (so vi ch tiu

chung l 6m2/hs)

Trong nm qua Hc sinh tt nghip tiu hc t t l 98,9%, trong c

1.265 em c xt min thi, t t l 39,8%. trung hc c s t t l 98,33%,

trong tt nghip loi gii c 691 em t tl18,9%.

Trong cng tc ph cp gio dc c 14/14 phng c cng nhn hon

thnh phcp gio dc tiu hc v 07/14 phng c cng nhn hon thnh ph

cp trung hc.

S HSSV trong tng phng c tnh bng phng php ngoi suy da theo

s HSSV ca ton qun v mi tng quan gia dns v s HSSV ca tng phng.

Theo iu chnh Quy hoch pht trin GTVT Tp.HCM n nm 2020 s HSSV khu

vc Qun 3 chim 24,52% Dn s ton Qun 3 .


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Bng 2.9 D bo s HSSV Qun 3 nm 2020

STTn v hnh

chnh

Dn s nm

2014

Dn s d bo

nm 2020

S HSSV

nm 2014

S HSSV d bo

nm 2020

(ngi) (ngi) (hssv) (hssv)

1 Phng 1 15427 15859 4203 4321

2 Phng 2 11810 12142 856 880

3 Phng 3 12397 12744 899 924

4 Phng 4 21868 22482 5952 6119

5 Phng 5 15691 16131 4898 5035

6 Phng 6 10144 10428 1487 1529

7 Phng 7 15577 16014 4750 4883

8 Phng 8 17903 18405 4305 44269 Phng 9 20776 21359 6295 6471

10 Phng 10 10617 10915 2869 2949

11 Phng 11 25560 26277 6906 7100

12 Phng 12 12207 12549 4360 4482

13 Phng 13 7864 8085 2808 2887

14 Phng 14 16158 16611 1887 1940

Ton qun 214001 220001 52475 53946

Ngun: S liu d bo2.2.3. Quy hoch giao thng

2.2.3.1 nh hng quy hoch giao thng

Mng li giao thng qun 3 s c nng cp m rng p ng nhu cu

giao thng ngy cng tng. Bn cnh cc tuyn Metro s 2, tuyn 3B, tuyn s 4

cng c xy mi cng vi cc tuyn ng trn cao.


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Hnh 2.6nh hng mng li giao thng Qun 3

Cn c Quy hoch pht trin giao thng vn ti thnh ph H Ch Minh n

nm 2020 v tm nhn sau nm 2020 (duyt theo Quyt nh s 101/Q -TTg, ngy

22/01/2007 ca Th tng Chnh ph) v trn c s n iu chnh quy hach

chung thnh ph H Ch Minh n nm 2025, iu chnh quy hoch pht trin giao

thng vn ti thnh ph H Ch Minh n nm 2020 v tm nhn sau nm 2020

(duyt theo Quyt nh s 568/Q-TTg, ngy 08/04/2013 ca Th tng Chnh

ph.

Theo , mc tiu n nm 2020, lnh vc vn ti ca Thnh ph s p ng

nhu cu vn ti vi cht lng ngy cng cao, gi c hp l m bo an ton, tin

li, kim ch tin ti gim tai nn giao thng v hn ch nhim mi trng; tng

bc pht trin vn ti cng cng khi lng ln, vn ti a phng thc, dch v

logistics. Trong , giao thng cng cng (xe but, ng st th, taxi) s chim


41/164



t 20% - 25%; Giao thng c nhn ( t, xe my, xe p) chim khong 72% -

77%; Cc loi hnh giao thng khc th phn m nhn mc 3%.

V kt cu h tng giao thng, n nm 2020 s c bn u t h thng giao

thng ng b chnh bao gm: Trc ng hng tm, ng xuyn tm v vnh

ai m nhn vai tr vn ti trong ni thnh v phn b giao thng t ni - ngoi

thnh. Xy dng t 1 - 2 tuyn ng b trn cao. i vi cc tuyn ng trc

chnh th hin hu tin hnh ci to nng cp 90 - 100% phn mt ng tng

nng lc thng xe. Cc trc ng trc chnh th xy dng mi phi m bo l

gii quy hoch v tiu chun cp ng.

Thc hin u t xy dng t 2 - 3 tuyn ng st th p ng nhucu vn ti hnh khch cng cng.

D kin quy hoch tuyn ng trn cao thnh ph:

Ton thnh phxy dng hthng ng trn cao gm 5 tuyn, tng chiu

di 70,7 km, quy m 4 ln xe, trong c 1 tuyn ng trn cao thnh ph i

ngang qua a bn Qun 3 l tuyn s 2 ( theo iu chnh quy hoch pht trin

GTVT Tp.HCM n nm 2020 v tm nhn sau nm 2020 )

Tuyn s1: Tnt giao Cng Ha theo n Cng HaTrn Quc Hon

Quan Thc DuynHong Vn Th- Phan ng Lu Phan Xch LongPhan

Xch Long ( ni di )- giao vi n in Bin Ph. Ti y, tuyn tch 01 nhnh

ln xung ti khu vc nt giao ng in Bin Ph, nhnh cn li sko di theo

ng Ng Tt T- kt thc trc cu Ph An. Chiu di khong 9,5 km.

Tuyn s2: Giao vi ng trn cao tuyn s1 ti nt giao Lng Cha C-

Bi ThXunvtr cu s5 trn knh Nhiu LcThNghhm s656 Cch

Mng Thng TmBc Hi hm s2 Thin Phchm s654 u C dc

theo cng vin m Senrch Bu Trung Chin LcHng L2, kt

thc ti im nt giao vi quc l1 ( Vnh ai 2). Chiu di khong 11,8 km.

Tuyn s 3: Giao vi tuyn s 2 ti ng Thnh Thi L Thi T -

Nguyn Vn C- rch ng LnNguyn Vn Linh. Chiu di khong 8,1 km.

Tuyn s4: Bt u tquc l1 ( giao vi tuyn s5 )- Vn Li vt

sng Vm Thun (ti vtr rch Lng v ng st Bc Nam 9 ti khu vc cu en


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)- ng Phan Chu Trinh quy hoch ko di qua khu vc chung c MPhc ri

ni vo ng in Bin Ph, giao vi tuyn s1. Chiu di khong 7,3 km.

Tuyn s5: i trng ng vnh ai 2 ( quc l1) tnt giao trm 2 n

nt giao An Lc. Chiu di khong 34,0 km.

Hnh 2.7H thng ng trn cao Tp. H Ch Minh

D kin quy hoch tuyn xe in ngmthnh ph

Ton thnh ph c 6 tuyn xe in ngm (Metro), trong c 3 tuyn xe

in ngm (tuyn s 2, tuyn s 3B v tuyn s 4) i di hnh lang ng Cch

Mng Thng 8 (Tuyn s 2); ng Nguyn Th Minh Khai (Tuyn s 3B); ng

Hai B Trng, Phm Ngc Thch (Tuyn s 4) trong ranh a bn Qun 3 vi tngchiu di khong 7.288m .Trong on tuyn s 2 di 3.044m, on tuyn s 3

di 2.544m v on tuyn s 4 di 1.710m.


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Hnh 2.8Mng li ng st th Tp.H Ch Minh

i vi khu vc Qun 3 mngli giao thng qun 3 nh sau:

V giao thng ng b i ngoi : D kin nng cp m rng 6 tuyn

ng chnh hin hu c chiu rng lng ng t 5 6 ln xe theo quy nh l

gii, va m nhn chc nng giao thng i ngoi va m nhn chc nng giao


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thng i ni, bao gm ng L Thi T, ng Cch Mng Thng Tm, ng

Nguyn Th Minh Khai, ng V Th Su, ng Nam K Khi Ngha v ng

in Bin Ph. Tuy nhin cc tuyn ng ny c tnh cho giao thng i ni.

V giao thng ng st: V ng st c tuyn ng st Thng Nht t

ga Bnh Triu n ga Ha Hng d kin i cao v giao ct khc ct vi cc tuyn

ng b khc trong phm vi hnh lang l gii. Dc theo tuyn ng st i cao d

kin xy dng tuyn ng b pha di hai bn ng st. iu chnh tuyn

ng st quc gia thnh tuyn ng st ni . Tng chiu di tuyn ng st

trong phm vi ranh Qun khong 450m (khng k on tuyn trong ga Ho Hng)

v iu chnh ga Ho Hng ph hp vi chc nng chnh l ga khch ca ng stni .

V cc cng trnh phc v i ngoi d kin c 5nt giao thng chnh:

+ Nt ng su Dn Ch.

+ Nt giao ct ng T Hin Thnh ni di ng Cch Mng Thng 8.

+ Nt giao ct Cch Mng Thng 8 ng Nguyn Th Minh Khai.

+ Nt ng su Nguyn Vn C.

+ Nt ng by L Thi T.

V giao thng ng b i ni, quy hoch giao thng trn c s k tha

cc quy nh php l trc nay, tng bc nng cp, m rng ng theo quy nh

l gii. C th nh sau:

D kin nng cp ci to, m rng v xy dng mi cc trc ng chnh

nh sau:

+ Ci to nng cp, m rng cc ng chnh v ng ln khu vc bao

gm ng L Thi T, Cch Mng Thng 8, Nguyn Th Minh Khai, V Th Su,

Nam K Khi Ngha, in Bin Ph, Hai B Trng, Phm Ngoc Thch, Pasteur,

Trn Quc Tho, L Vn S, Trng nh, B Huyn Thanh Quan, Cao Thng, K

ng, Nguyn Phc Nguyn, Nguyn nh Chiu, V Vn Tn, Trn Cao Vn.

Trong cc ng d tr tuyn ng trn cao, d kin to di phn cch gia

c chiu rng t 4 6m, nhm b tr cc tr cu ca h thng ng trn cao.


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+ Xy dng mi cc tuyn ng chnh, ng khu vc v ng ni b

bao gm 3 ng trn cao dc Knh Nhiu Lc, ng trn cao dc ng T Hin

Thnh ni di v ng trn cao dc ng L Thi T, ng dc tuyn ng

st, ng dc tuyn ng trn cao T Hin Thnh ni di, ng Trn Vn ang

ni di v mt s tuyn ng ni b khc.

2.2.3.2 Quy hoch mng li giao thng

a. Chiu di, chiu rng mng li ng quy hoch

Tng chiu di mng li ng quy hoch: 34,489 km. Trong :

+ ngi ngoi: di 4,320km, bao gm 3 tuyn ng trn cao.

+ ng i ni: di 46,704 km, bao gm trn 37 tuyn ng. Trong ckhong 10 tuyn ng chnh, bao gm ng L Thi T, Cch Mng Thng 8,

Nguyn Th Minh Khai, V Th Su, Nam K Khi Ngha,in Bin Ph, Hai B

Trng, Phm Ngoc Thch, Pasteur, Trn Quc Tho, L Vn S, Nguyn Thng

Hin, Nguyn Phc Nguyn v T Hin Thnh ni di. Tng chiu di tuyn ng

chnh khong 20,695 km.

Chiu rng mng li ng bnh qun 14,4m. Trong :

+ ng i ngoi bnh qun 16 m (ng trn cao d tr 4 ln xe).

+ ng i ni bnh qun 14,2 m.

(Xem bng tng hp quy hoch mng li ng)

Mt v chiu di ng: 10,35km/km2. Trong ng i ngoi l 0,88

km/km2 v ng i ni l 9,48km/km2.

Din tch giao thng chung: 109,28ha, chim t l 22,17% din tch chung.

Trong :

Giao thng i ngoi :11,03ha, chim t l 2,24% din tch chung

( - ng i ngoi : 1,35ha, chim t l 0,27% din tch chung

-Nt giao thng : 3,92ha, chim t l 0,80% din tch chung

- Bn Bi, ga : 2,50ha, chim t l 0,51% din tch chung)

Giao thng i ni : 98,26ha, chim t l 19,94% v t 4,47m2/ngi.


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Bng 2.10 nh hng mng li ng b qun 3 n nm 2020

Stt Tn ng im u im cui

Chiu di

ng

Chi u rng mt c t ngang ng

Din tch

mtng

Kt

cu

mt

ng

Va h

tri

Mt

ng

Ti u o, di

phn cchVa h

phiDi Rng

(m) (m) (m) (m) (m) (m) (m2)33 44,483.80 2,704.50 566549.40

1B Huyn Thanh

Quan

Nguy n Th

Minh KhaiK ng 1,243.00 3.80 8.00 4.80 9,944.00 BTN

K ngRch Bng

Binh178.00 3.50 12.00 25.00 5.00 4.50 2,136.00 BTN

2Cch Mng Thng

8

Nguyn Th

Minh Khai

Cng Trng

Dn Ch929.00 5.00 23.00 73.00 2.00 5.00 21,367.00 BTN

3 Cao ThngNguyn Th

Minh Khaiin Bin Ph 755.00 4.80 10.00 20.00 0.40 5.00 7,550.00 BTN

4Cng Trng Dn

Ch

Cch Mng

Thng 8-3

Thng 2-L

Chnh Thng-

V Th Su

Nguyn

Thng Hin188.00 25.00 4.50 4,700.00 BTN


47/164



5

Cng Trng

Quc T (Ct

Chin S C)

V Vn Tn-

Trn Cao Vn

Phm Ngc

Thch320.00 18.00 6.00 5,760.00 BTN

6 in Bin Ph Hai B TrngVng xoay

Ng 72,936.00 2.00 12.00 6.00 35,232.00 BTN

7 H Xun Hng Trng nh Cch MngThng 8

445.00 3.30 6.50 3.20 2,892.50 BTN

8 K ng

Trn Quc ThoB Huyn

Thanh Quan394.00 3.75 12.00 3.90 4,728.00 BTN

B Huyn

Thanh QuanNguyn Thng 178.00 2.00 7.50 4.20 1,335.00 BTN

9 L Qu nNguy n Th

Minh KhaiV Th Su 879.00 5.60 8.00 6.00 7,032.00 BTN

10 L Vn S Cu L Vn SRanh Ph

Nhun886.00 6.00 18.00 6 15,948.00 BTN

11 L Chnh Thng Hai B TrngCng Trng

Dn Ch 1,847.00 2.50 10.00 44.00 0.40 2.50 18,470.00 BTN

12Nam K Khi

NghaCu Cng L

Nguy n Th

Minh Khai2,100.00 3.00 20.00 819.00 4.00 3.00 42,000.00 BTN

13 Nguyn nh Hai B Trng L Thi T 2,786.00 4.30 10.00 30.00 0.40 3.80 27,860.00 BTN


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Chi u

14Nguyn Phc

Nguyn

Vng Xoay

Cng trng

Dn Ch

Ga Si Gn 540.00 2.50 7.50 3.00 4,050.00 BTN

15Nguy n Th Minh

Khai

Cu Th Ngh L Thi T 4,000.00 6.00 23.00 6.00 92,000.00 BTN

16Nguy n Thin

Thut

Nguy n Th

Minh Khaiin Bin Ph 780.00 2.70 10.00 3.50 7,800.00 BTN

17 Nguyn Thng H Xun HngTr n Vn

ang1,122.00 3.50 8.00 4.00 8,976.00 BTN

18Nguyn Thng

Hin

Nguy n Th

Minh Khaiin Bin Ph 777.00 1.50 7.00 2.00 5,439.00 BTN

in Bin Ph

Vng xoay

Cng trung

dn ch

203.00 3.00 10.00 3.00 2,030.00 BTN

19 Pasteur

Nguyn Th

Minh Khai

Trn Quc

Ton 1,122.00 6.00 20.00 454.00 4.00 6.00 22,440.00 BTN

20 Phm Ngc ThchNguy n Th

Minh KhaiV Th Su 813.00 6.00 10.00 5.30 8,130.00 BTN

21 Rch Bng Binh Cch Mng Hong Sa 580.00 2.50 8.00 3.80 4,640.00 BTN


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Thng 8

22 Trn Cao VnPhm Ngc

ThchHai B Trng 122.00 6.00 8.00 6.00 976.00 BTN

23 Trn Quang Diu Trn Vn angRanh Ph

Nhun821.80 3.00 8.00 2.00 6,574.40 BTN

24 Trn Quc Tho V Vn Tn Cu L Vn S 1,443.00 6.00 18.00 6.00 25,974.00 BTN

25 Trn Quc Ton Hai B TrngTr n Qu c

Tho423.00 2.50 8.00 3.50 3,384.00 BTN

26 Trn Vn ang

Nguyn Thng Ray Xe La 1,006.00 0.50 5.00 0.50 5,030.00 BTN

Ray Xe LaCch Mng

Thng 8168.00 0.50 7.50 0.50 1,260.00 BTN

27 Trng nh

Nguy n Th

Minh KhaiK ng 1,247.00 6.00 8.00 6.00 9,976.00 BTN

K ngRch Bng

Binh275.00 5.20 12.50 5.50 3,437.50 BTN

28 T XngNam K Khi

Nghi

Cch Mng

Thng 81,097.00 3.20 7.50 3.00 8,227.50 BTN

29 Trng Sa (Ven Cu ng St Cu L Vn S 954.00 4.20 9.00 4.40 8,586.00 BTN


50/164



B c K.Nhiu Lc)Cu L Vn S Cu Cng L 1,295.00 4.20 7.00 4.40 9,065.00 BTN

30

Hong Sa (Ven

Nam K.Nhiu

Lc)

Ranh Tn Bnh (

SN 239/67/298

(C ph Hong

Phng)

Cu L Vn S 1,907.00 3.30 9.00 3.20 17,163.00 BTN

Cu L Vn S Cu Kiu 1,218.00 3.30 7.00 3.20 8,526.00 BTN

31 V Th Su Hai B TrngCch Mng

Thng 82,200.00 6.00 23.00 6.00 50,600.00 BTN

32 V Vn Tn

Cng Trng

Quc T

Cch Mng

Thng 81,224.00 5.00 8.00 4.50 9,792.00 BTN

Cch Mng

Thng 8Cao Thng 776.00 2.50 12.00 2.70 9,312.00 BTN

33

ng N i T

Trn Vn ang Ra

Hong Sa

Trn Vn ang Hong Sa 220.00 3.80 7.50 60.00 0.40 3.90 1,650.00 BTN

Ngun: iu chnh quy hoch pht trin GTVT Tp.HCM n nm 2020 v tm nhn sau nm 2020


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b. Giao thng cng cng

H thng giao thng cng cng ch yu s dng 2 loi hnh giao thng do h

thng xe but v xe in ngm, m nhn 45 50% nhu cu i li. Hnh lang cc

tuyn giao thng cng cng nh sau:

Cc tuyn xe butc t chc trn hnh lang cc tuyn ng chnh i qua

a bn Qun ni kt cc khu vc k cn, d kin tuyn xe but b tr trn cc

tuyn ng chnh th v ng lin khu vc bao gm ng L Thi T, Cch

Mng Thng 8, Nguyn Th Minh Khai, V Th Su, Nam K Khi Ngha, in

Bin Ph, Hai B Trng, Phm Ngoc Thch, Pasteur, Trn Quc Tho, L Vn S,

Trng nh, B Huyn Thanh Quan, Cao Thng, K ng, Nguyn Phc Nguyn,Nguyn Thng Hin, Nguyn nh Chiu, V Vn Tn, Trn Cao Vn, Trn

Quang Diu. Tng chiu di cc tuyn GTCC.khong 30,86km .

Ba tuyn xe in ngml tuyn s 2, tuyn s 3 v tuyn s 4 i theo hnh

lang ng Cch Mng Thng Tm, Nguyn Th Minh Khai, Hai B Trng v

ng Phm Ngc Thch trong ranh a bn Qun 3. Tng chiu di tuyn trn a

bn Qun khong 7,3 km. D kin khong 3 ga chnh. Trong : 1 ga u mi ti

ga Ho Hng, 1 ga ti v tr ng t Cch Mng Thng Tm Nguyn Th Minh

Khai, 1 ga ti v tr ng t Phm Ngc Thch Nguyn Th Minh Khai. Quy m

mi ga khong 0,5 1,0 ha. y l 3 tuyn xe in ngm thnh ph c hnh lang i

qua a bn Qun 3 vi chc nng vn ti hnh khch cng cng.

c. Cc cng trnh phc v giao thng

c.1 Bn bi xe:

D kin c 3 ga xe in ngm ti u mi giao thng chnh : 1 ga u mi ti

ga Ho Hng, 1 ga ti v tr ng t Cch Mng Thng Tm Nguyn Th Minh

Khai, 1 ga ti v tr ng t Phm Ngc Thch Nguyn Th Minh Khai, quy m mi

ga khong 0,5 - 1 ha; 2 bi u xe ti ng t Cch Mng Thng Tm T Hin

Thnh ni di v ti ga Ho Hng, quy m mi bi khong 0,5 1 ha.

c.2 Nt giao thng

D kin xy dng v ci to khong 5 nt giao thng chnh ti cc v tr giao

ct trc ng chnh vi cc tuyn ng khc. Bao gm:


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Nt ng su dn ch: Nt giao c b tr vng xoay, khng c n tn hiu.

Nt giao ct ng T Hin Thnh ni di ng Cch Mng Thng 8.

Nt giao ct Cch Mng Thng 8 ng Nguyn Th Minh Khai.

Nt Ng su Nguyn Vn C: Nt giao c b tr vng xoay, khng c n

tn hiu.

Nt Ng by L Thi T: Nt giao c b tr vng xoay, khng c n tn

hiu.

Hnh thc nt o trn vng xoay hoc tiu o dn hng. Quy m khng

ch chung R= 45-60m.

Hnh 2.9 V tr mt s nt giao quan trng


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CHNG 3: PHN TCH KT QUKHO ST PHNG VN


CHNG 3:PHN TCH KT QU KHO ST PHNG VN

3.1 Kho st phng vn hgia nh

Kho st chuyn i hng ngy trn a bn Qun 3 trin khai t12/2013

v ko di trong khong 1 n 2 thng. Nhm mc ch thuthp cc thng tin chi

tit v nhu cu i li ca ngi dn trn a bn Qun 3. Hnh thc kho st l

phng vn h gia nh ngu nhin. Kho st 426 h trong 14 phng c chia

thnh 11 zone. ( xem bng 3.1)

iu tra phng vn hgia nhnhm rt ra nhng thng tin cn thit th

gia nh v nhng thnh vin trong h gia nh (cng nh bt k khch vng lai

no) vi mc ch thu thp dliu dng lm c scho quy hoch.Ni dung kho st:

Thng tin v h gia nh:

Hv tn chh

a ch

Sthnh vin trong gia nh

Thu nhp hng thng ca hgia nh

Slng phng tin shu ca gia nh

Loi phng tin thng xuyn sdng.

iu kin ni phng tin

Thng tin v chuyn i.

Mc ch chuyn i

im xut pht/ im n

C cu phng tin phc vnhu cu i li

Thi gian chuyn i

Hsi li

Chiu di chuyn i

Chi ph dnh cho i li

Ti sao qu vli la chn phng tin ang sdng?


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Bng 3.1 Thng k s h gia nh c kho st

PhngS h

kho st

Sthnh

vin c

kho st

S h

gia nh

Dn s

T l s h

c kho

st

T l s thnh

vin c

kho st

1 27 90 3893 15427 0.69 0.58

2+3 47 147 7485 24207 0.63 0.61

4 40 124 6781 21868 0.59 0.57

5 31 118 3630 15691 0.85 0.75

6 30 95 2949 10144 1.02 0.94

7 30 78 5310 15577 0.56 0.50

8 36 116 5283 17903 0.68 0.65

9 40 120 6812 20776 0.59 0.58

10+11 70 231 9778 36178 0.72 0.64

12+13 40 139 5425 20071 0.74 0.69

14 35 109 4961 16157 0.71 0.67

Tng 426 1367 62307 214000 0.68 0.64

Ghi ch: Phng 2 v phng 3 c gp chung 1 zone trong qu trnh

kho st nn sliu kho st c sgp chung cho c2 phng. Tng tphng

10 v 11, phng 12 v 13 cng c gp chung sliu kho st. Phng 6 c

tch thnh 2 zone kho st trong qu trnh phn tch sliu sgp chung thnh 1

zone. Vic chia Zone ny p dng theo HOUTRANS 2004 nn c nhng phng

c gp chung thnh 1 zone.

3.1.1S hgia nh v s hu phng tin c nhn

Bng 3.2S h gia nh v s huphng tin c nhnkho st

Phng/S hs hu PTCN

t Khng cxe my

C 1 xemy

2 xemy

Other

S h

kho

st

1 0 0 8 18 1 27

2+3 1 1 9 35 1 47

4 0 3 10 27 0 40

5 1 1 4 25 0 31

6 1 1 2 26 0 30


55/164



7 1 1 4 24 0 30

8 1 0 6 28 1 36

9 0 0 6 33 1 40

10+11 0 3 10 56 1 70

12+13 2 1 4 33 0 40

14 1 2 9 23 0 35

Tng 8 13 72 328 5 426

Shu phng tin theo hgia nh: Mc d mc thu nhp cn tng i

thp nhng tnh c ng trong Khu vc nghin cu kh cao do tlshu xe my

cao v c nhiu c hi tip cn cc loi phng tin, ngay c vi nhng ngi

khng c xe my.

Nm 2014, tlshu xe my v xe con Qun 3 ngy cng tng trong khi

tlshu xe p li gim so. Shgia nh shu nhiu xe my chim tlln

nht, sau n shgia nh shu 1 xe my.

Thng thng xe sgia tng thu nhp ca gia nh dn n tng mc s

hu xe my v xe t. Tnh trng shu nhiu xe my ang tng ln nhanh chng

cng vi sgia tng thu nhp.Ts liu kho st ngu nhin trn a bn qun 3 tlshu xe my rt

ln. Trong khi shgia nh shu t th rt t. Vi tin trnh c gii ho c

bit ny tc ng nhiu ti bmt giao thng thv i sng thca ngi

dn thnh ph. V d:

(1) a s cc h gia nh u c phng tin giao thng c nhn nn kh

nng i li v tip cn cc dch vc bn mc cao nhng mt khc li khin giao

thng cng cng pht trin rt chm.

(2) Khng c thnh phno trn thgii tri qua mt giai on tng tnh

Thnh phHCM khin cho hng pht trin hthng giao thng thtng lai

ca thnh phc thsphi i mt vi nhiu kh khn khng lng.

Tc tng trng shu xe c nhn ca khu vc:

Do khng c sliu thng k y vtng trng giao thng c nhn ca

khu vc Qun 3 nn trong n sdng sliu tng trng chung ca Tp.HCM p


56/164



dng cho khu vc Qun 3. Slng xe t ca Tp.HCM rt t so vi slng xe

my. Nhng tc tng trng phng tin t li ln hn tc tng trng xe

my. ( Hnh 3.1)

Slng xe my ca Tp.HCM tng kh nhanh, nm 2000 c 1669355 chic

ti nm 2010 tng ln 4491597 chic, tng gp 2.69 ln so vi nm 2000. Slng

t ca Tp.HCM nm 2000 l 131182 chic ti nm 2010 tng ln 446956 chic,

tng gp 3.4 ln so vi nm 2000. Tc tng trng t gp 1.42 ln so vi tc

tng trng ca xe my. iu ny chng tkinh tpht trin dn n nhu cu s

hu t v xe my ngy cng ln, lu lng lu thng trn cc tuyn ng cng

tng ln. i hi cn c nhng bin php nng cao cht lng ng, nng cao khnng sdng phng tin cng cng thay cho sdng phng tin c nhn.

Hnh 3.1: Tc tng trng phng tin ca Tp.HCM t nm 2000 n 2010

3.1.2 T l m nhn phng thc v mc ch i li ( chung cho c qun)

3.1.2.1 Nhu cu i li trong khu vc nghin cu theo mc ch v phng thc


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Bng 3.3 Nhu cu i li trong khu vc nghin cu theo mc ch

v phng thc

Phng thc i li/Mc ch i li

V nh i lm i hc Vicring

Cng

vic c

quan

Other Tng

i b 674 116 79 577 1 55 1502

Xering

Xe p 116 19 50 43 0 12 240

T chy xe

gn my1167 559 95 726 19 102 2668

Ngi sau xe

gn my 195 28 81 109 0 18 431

Xe t 10 5 0 3 1 1 20

Bncngcng

Taxi 2 1 0 1 0 2 6

Xe ch khch

du lch1 0 0 0 0 0 1

Xe ch hc

sinh1 0 2 0 0 0 3

Xe m 14 1 1 7 0 3 26

Cngcng

Xe but nh

(


58/164



pht sinh nh i hc, i lm, u pht sinh thm hnh trnh vi mc ch v

nh, tip l vi mc ch vic ring ( 897 chuyn i) v i lm ( 624

chuyn i ). Chuyn i vi mc ch cng vic c quan t nht trong cc mc ch

( ch23 chuyn).

Do sthun tin v chng ca xe gn my dn n cc chuyn i chyu

sdng phng tin tchy xe gn my vi 2668 chuyn i trong tng s3450

chuyn i ( khng baogm i b), tip n l cc chuyn i sdng phng tin

ngi sau xe gn my ( 431 chuyn i) v sdng xe p ( 240 chuyn i).

Cuc phng vn da trn nguyn tc ngu nhin, khng phn nh ht thc

trng giao thng khu vc Qun 3 hin ti, nhng ngi c phng vn chyu lngi thng xuyn nh hoc kinh doanh ti nh.

3.1.2.2 T l m nhn phng thc theo mc ch i li

Bng 3.4 T l m nhn phng thc theo mc ch i li(%)

Phng thc i li/

Mc ch i li

V

nh

i

lmi hc

Vic

ring

Cng

vic c

quan

Other Tng

Xering

Xe p 7.62 3.04 20.75 4.79 0.00 8.39 6.96T chy xe gn

my76.68 89.58 39.42 80.94 82.61 71.33 77.33

Ngi sau xe

gn my12.81 4.49 33.61 12.15 0.00 12.59 12.49

Xe t 0.66 0.80 0.00 0.33 4.35 0.70 0.58

Bncngcng

Taxi 0.13 0.16 0.00 0.11 0.00 1.40 0.17

Xe ch khchdu lch

0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03

Xe ch hc

sinh0.07 0.00 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09

Xe m 0.92 0.16 0.41 0.78 0.00 2.10 0.75

ng

cng Xe but nh

(


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Xe but

( trn 25 ch)0.59 0.16 3.73 0.22 0.00 2.80 0.72

Other 0.33 1.60 0.00 0.45 13.04 0.00 0.64

Tng

( Khng gm i b )100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Trong tng s4952 lt i li, xe my chim 89,83% (77,33% l t li v

12.49% l ngi c ch), tip l xe p vi 6.96%. Cc phng tin giao

thng cng cng, gm ccc phng tin trung chuyn chim 1%

T l m nhn phng thc cng ph thuc nhiu vo mc ch i li.

Nhng chuyn i lm thng bng xe my do bn thn li (89.58%), trong khi

nhng chuyn i hc sdng xe my (39,42%), xe p ( 20.75%). Nhng chuyn

i v cng vic ch yu cng c thc hin bng xe my do bn thn li

(82.61%), tuy nhin xe t (4,35%) cng chim tli li ng k. Phng thc

giao thng cng cng khng phbin trong tt ccc mc ch i li (Xem Bng

3.4).

Xe p c dng chyu trong khi i vnh v i hc, tip l i

vic ring. Xe my do bn thn li c dng chyu cho vnh v i vicring, xe my i chung c dng trong khi i v vic ring v vnh. Xe tc-

xi chyu c dng trong khi i v vic ring, cng vicv vnh do c

gi tng i r v d gi. Xe m hu ht c dng cho v nh v i vic

ring. Xe but c dng cho vic ring, vnh v i hc (xem Bng 3.4 v

Bng 3.5)


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3.1.2.3 T l m nhn mc ch i li theo phng thc

Bng 3.5 T l m nhn mc ch i li theo phng thc(%)

Phng thc i li/Mc ch i li

V nh i lm ihc

Vicring

Cng

vic c

quan

Other Tng

Xering

Xe p 48.33 7.92 20.83 17.92 0.00 5.00 100.00

T chy xe gn

my43.74 20.95 3.56 27.21 0.71 3.82 100.00

Ngi sau xe gn

my45.24 6.50 18.79 25.29 0.00 4.18 100.00

Xe t 50.00 25.00 0.00 15.00 5.00 5.00 100.00

Bncngcng

Taxi 33.33 16.67 0.00 16.67 0.00 33.33 100.00

Xe ch khch

du lch100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00

Xe ch hc sinh 33.33 0.00 66.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00

Xe m 53.85 3.85 3.85 26.92 0.00 11.54 100.00

Cngcng Xe but nh

(


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l chuyn i vi mc ch vnh.iu ny chng tHSSV l i tng chnh

sdng phng tin giao thng cng cng.

3.1.3 Pht sinh, thu ht chuyn i theo phng

3.1.3.1 Ma trn OD s chuyn i ni vng Qun 3

Ma trn OD c xc nh da trn ni i v ni n. Ni i v ni n nm

trong 14 phng ca Qun 3. Tng schuyn ni vng Qun 3 kho st c l

1657 chuyn i ( khng bao gm i b). Cc chuyn i chyu trong ni phng

v cc phng ln cn. iu ny chng t khong cch i li t l thun vi s

chuyn i, khong cch cng xa s chuyn i cng t v ngc li. S chuyn i

trong phng 7 ln nht vi 118 chuyn, tip l phng 10 v phng 11 vi112 chuyn. S chuyn i ni phng t nht kho st c l phng 14 ( 50

chuyn i ).

Bng 3.6 Ma trn OD ni vng Qun 3(I-I )

Phng i/

Phng n1 2+3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+11 12+13 14 Tng

1 62 32 0 1 7 1 1 1 1 1 0 107

2+3 34 96 22 6 14 3 0 4 4 1 0 1844 0 19 55 20 6 4 3 2 12 5 5 131

5 1 9 21 58 4 1 5 5 9 1 1 115

6 8 13 6 4 59 10 4 7 17 9 7 144

7 0 4 4 1 8 118 4 21 9 8 9 186

8 1 0 3 5 4 3 90 7 7 1 1 122

9 1 3 1 5 8 22 8 96 21 5 2 172

10+11 1 5 12 9 16 8 5 18 112 17 8 211

12+13 1 1 3 2 8 7 1 6 18 100 28 175

14 0 0 6 3 9 11 3 1 8 19 50 110

Tng 109 182 133 114 143 188 124 168 218 167 111 1657

Ngun: Thng k tsliu kho st


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3.1.3.2 S chuyn i pht sinh HBW, HBS, HBO v NHB tng phng

Cc chuyn i trong ni vng Qun 3 ( im i v im n nm trong cc

phng ca qun 3) s c chia thnh chuyn i HBW, HBS, HBO v NHB.

m bo nguyn tc Tng s chuyn i OD = Tng s chuyn i pht sinh (theo

HBW, HBS, HBO v NHB) = Tng s chuyn i thu ht (theo HBW, HBS, HBO

v NHB)

Trong :

HBW: l cc chuyn i gia nh v ni lm vic

HBS: l cc chuyn i gia nh v trng

Home Based other ( HBO): cc chuyn i khc gia nh v mc ch khcnh i gia nh v siu th, gii tr, y t, qun n, khc..

NHB: Cc chuyn i khng lin quan n nh. Nh t trng i qun n,

siu th ti ni gii tr,

Hnh 3.2nh ngha v pht sinh v thu ht ca chuyn i

Ngun: Modelling Transport 4thEdition, Juande Dios Ortuzar v Luis G.Willumsen

Trong :

Home: Nh ( ni i hoc ni n l Nh)Work: Ni lm vic ( ni i hoc ni n l Ni lm vic)

Stop: im dng ( nh ni gii tr, nh hng, qun n,)

Production:Chuyn i pht sinh

Attraction: Chuyn i thu ht


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Bng 3.7S chuyn i pht sinhHBW, HBS, HBO vNHB tng phng

Phng

HBW HBS HBO NHB Tng

S

liu

kho

st

T l

%

S

liu

kho

st

T l

%

S

liu

kho

st

T l

%

S liukho

st

T l

%

S liukho

st

T l

%

1 21 14.69 18 12.59 93 65.03 11 7.69 143 100

2+3 12 7.89 35 23.03 83 54.61 22 14.47 152 100

4 21 19.09 43 39.09 42 38.18 4 3.64 110 100

5 55 39.86 42 30.43 36 26.09 5 3.62 138 100

6 18 16.36 14 12.73 67 60.91 11 10.00 110 100

7 39 28.89 28 20.74 58 42.96 10 7.41 135 100

8 35 27.56 48 37.80 38 29.92 6 4.72 127 100

9 16 9.76 71 43.29 55 33.54 22 13.41 164 100

10+11 82 31.18 64 24.33 106 40.30 11 4.18 263 100

12+13 51 30.54 49 29.34 59 35.33 8 4.79 167 100

14 20 13.51 31 20.95 86 58.11 11 7.43 148 100

Tng 370 22.33 443 26.74 723 43.63 121 7.30 1657 100

Hnh 3.3S chuyn i pht sinh HBW, HBS, HBO, NHB

Schuyn i tlthun vi khong cch i li, ngha l nu khong cch i

li ngn th schuyn i pht sinh nhiu v ngc li, schuyn i st nu khng

cch i li xa. Phn ln schuyn i pht sinh trong ni phng, sau l sang cc


64/164



phng ln cn. Schuyn i pht sinh phng 10,11 cao nht l 263 chuyn i,

tip theo l phng 12,13 vi 167 chuyn i. Trong khi phng c schuyn i

pht sinh t nht l phng 6 vi 110 chuyn i.

Nhn chung s chuyn i pht sinh ln nht l HBO, tip l HBS v

HBW, NHB chim t lrt t trong tng schuyn i. Schuyn i HBW chim

22,33%, HBS chim 26,74%, HBO chim 43

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