DSA 2010 August

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    manvendra singh

    DSA

    is as much yours,as it is ours!

    Pakistan has some serious problems within the country, which everyone reads about almost every other day. ButPakistan has even more serious political problems and which we dont read about since they dont come with suicidevests, or vehicles rigged with explosives. These are problems more serious than the scandal of fake degrees currently

    raging between legislators and the media. These are problems more serious than can be addressed by any international aid

    package.

    This is because these are problems that have plagued Pakistan since its birth and have nothing to do with money, faith, theexcess, or lack, of both. These are problems that have been the creation of the peculiarities of psychology and its impact onPunjab. Well at least the western portion of Punjab, the one that forms the province in Pakistan. And the best enactment ofthese problems has been the recent public performance of the Pakistani Foreign Minister, Shah Mahmood Qureshi. His t one,tenor, language and demeanour, caught Indias External Affairs Minister by surprise. Caught the whole atmosphere of Indo-Pak relations by surprise and seems to have injected a dose of dismay and pessimism in the mien of improving relations. Thefault lies with India and the inability of its South Block leadership to understand the problems in Pakistan and play the gamewith psychology rather than the sophistry of North Block.

    The President of Pakistan surprised his country by signing along the 18 th Amendment even when it curtails presidentialpowers, thus cementing his democratic credentials. Despite that he remains the object of ridicule and derision within theeducated inuential sections. The Prime Minister of Pakistan is a Makhdoom by inheritance and as with his ilk the principalchallenge of the 21st century is to keep the ock numbers increasing. There are competitors and none more so than thePakistani Foreign Minister, also a Makhdoom by inheritance and also from Multan, so the competition is really serious. Moreso when he thinks his educational and intellectual credentials are better than his Prime Minister.

    The catch here, however, is that arbiter of these gents fortunes is an entity that is not governed by votes, or the will of thepeople. It is General Headquarters Rawalpindi and in this case the Chief of Army Staff, Gen. Kayani specically. He is up foran extension of his tenure and has let it be known that it wont be asked for. The US / West has let it be known that they wantone for him, so he neednt ask directly. Some Pakistanis think he is good enough for an extension, for reasons that are militaryor non-military. The President has a call on this, as does the Prime Minister, constitutionally. Everybody expects it to happenand for a period of extraordinary longevity.

    Which basically means that the Chief is going to be around when the polity of Pakistan implodes as it does cyclically. SincePunjab is hurtling towards that political eruption, so hedging the bets has begun. Which is what the Pakistani Foreign Ministerwas doing through the talks with India and has been doing after as well. The Army is once again going to be the arbiter ofpolitical fate, so he has begun to sing the tune that sounds best to military ears. Even a fake degree wouldve shown the wayto this analysis, so it is surprising that all the educated intelligent leaders and thinkers should harbour expectations froma dialogue process that is secondary to events underway in Pakistan. Regional security depends on it and there are globalsecurity concerns, but relations with India are best with an Army rider to them. Sooner India realises this straightforward factbetter it is for its own nerves.

    miss i onThe power of a King l ies in his mighty arms

    Security of the citizens at peace time is very importantbecause State is the only saviour of the men and womenwho get affected only because of the negligence of the State.

    Chanakya

    edior-i-hief

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    chairmanshyam sunderpublisher & ceopawan agrawaleditor-in-chiefmanvendra singhdirectorshishir bhushancorporate consultantk j singhart consultantdivya guptacentral saint martins college of art & design,university of arts, londoncorporate communicationsmonika kanchan

    marketinggarvit guptarepresentative J&Ksalil sharmacreativevivek anand pantcorrespondent (europe)dominika cosicproductiondilshad & dabeerphotographerssubhash, deepakcirculation & distributionprem guptaranjeet, sandeep, vikramsystemsvikas

    e-mail: (first name)@dsalert.orginfo: [email protected]: [email protected]: [email protected] edition: [email protected]: [email protected]

    editorial & business office4/19 asaf ali roadnew delhi-110002(India)t: +91-011-23243999,23287999f: +91-11-23259666e: [email protected]

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    defence and security alert is printed, published

    and owned by pawan agrawal and printed

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    editor: manvendra singh

    Volume 1 Issue 11 August 2010

    pawan agrawal

    This was the Indian ethos long before the idea of Indiacoalesced into its modern incarnation. This was, in essence,what the people of this land believed in - be it on its scattered

    periphery or at its central core. That is why its inuence beyondthe seas and across its land frontiers, seen in the spores of religiousand cultural contacts, have not found acceptance by the force of theswordarm but by the appealing suasion of its logic and humanity.

    Today, we see developed countries propagating Save Earth,Save Ozone Layer and Save Animals and Birds. But it is socommiserable that no one says Save Humanity.

    What are we going to do of this Earth, Ozone layer, Animals and Birds with noHuman beings left due to these many conicts that currently afict the world? We havealready seen the mass havoc in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945. In the clashes occurringsimultaneously in several parts of the world we see that we have not yet learnt anylessons from Hiroshima and Nagasaki. We see the developed States competing for thelatest armaments and technologies to equip themselves not to defend themselves but tofrighten and subdue other peoples because of their natural resources. The atom - a boonfor mankind and a source of innite energy - is being stockpiled to destroy this beautifulworld.

    We have seen two World Wars which cost millions of human lives. Now we see newtragedies playing themselves out in Iraq and the Afghan-Pakistan salient where attemptsto create new spheres of inuence and dividing up geographical entities threaten to pawnthe globe to the very forces that have made diabolic use of new ways of mass destruction.

    We see the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation being set up as a bulwark against theeastwards spread of the militaristic North Atlantic Treaty Organisation even as newdiscoveries of natural wealth are made in strife-torn Afghanistan. China has proved itsstrength and impact on the world economy. Its role in global geopolitics is well known.It has undoubtedly proved its economic strength and is now trying to prove to be thesuperpower in the world. Russia still has unresolved problems as in Chechnya but thereis no gainsaying its resurgence and reassertion of its geopolitical clout.

    The US appears to have its hands full with juggling geopolitical hot potatoes in differentparts of Asia within the Atlantic-Pacic ambience. Be it in Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan orPakistan, the US is always involved either directly or indirectly through either NATOor UN and thus Washington seems to have the key to open all the locks in the region asa whole.

    Europe with its extraordinary past and cradle of two World Wars has produced someof the best brains. Though there have been conicts within Europe but nally they haveunderstood the importance of sovereignty and cooperation.

    Africa, one of the biggest continents is still struggling for development in all the eldsof human endeavour. While there are a few pockets of afuence on the dark continentbut most are aficted by poverty and crime.

    India is the only State which has never tried to use its strength to threaten anyone. Ithas always tried its best to maintain harmony with all States, be it Pakistan, Afghanistan,Bangladesh or any other SAARC countries. Though India has tried to maintain cordialrelations but Pakistan is always creating nuisance and problems to take advantage ofIndias sobriety. Pakistan is one of the few States which have not progressed much in thelast six decades, whereas India has marched ahead in all spheres. Next month India willbe celebrating her 64th Independence day and on behalf of team DSA I salute each andeveryone who have devoted their lives for independent India and who are committed forher independence and security today.

    This is the fth special issue of DSA and I am very happy to share with you dearreader that it is your warm acceptance and response that has brought us where we are,enabling us to offer you a world-class magazine dedicated to making this world moresafe and secure.JAI HIND!

    publishers view

    A N N O U N C E S

    SEPTEMBER 2010 ISSUE AS

    Covering

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    Available at all leading bookstores:

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    Volume 1 Issue 11 August 2010

    for online edition of Defence And Security Alert (DSA)log on to: www.dsalert.org

    ISSUE AUGUSt 2010

    A R T I C L E S

    Un: role i peae ad war 08Lt. Gen. (Retd.) V. K. Jetley

    ScO ad he ew grea game 15Brig. (Retd.) Dr. Anil Sharma

    chiese geopoliis 24Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Dipankar Banerjee

    Russia resurgee 27Rahul Mishra and Rohit K. Mishra

    Europea uio-nAtO 31Dominika Cosic

    Israel ad he Arab world 34Dani Reshef

    combaig sea piray 38Vice Admiral (Retd.) Arun Kumar Singh

    new world order: Idia's role 41Lt. Gen. (Retd.) Dr. D. B. Shekatkar

    Idia navy: ew horizos 46Dr. Hari Saran

    Aeh: he ew uleus 53Dr. Pankaj Jha

    Asymmeri ad WMD hreas 60Dr. Arvind Kumar

    new ehology oaliios 64Cdr. (Retd.) Sunil Chauhan

    coemporary world: 69new paradigmsDr. Arpita Basu Roy

    Idia: a superpower? 74Jagdish Prasad Verma

    GLOBAL SECURITY

    Follow DSA on : DEFENCE AND SECURITY ALERT

    Follow DSA on : DSALERT

    F E A T U R E S

    Elusive Ierview:Geeral Serear nAtO 22Dominika Cosic

    O T H E R S

    DSA oes 68

    caroo 81

    contents

    oes

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    UN:Role in Peace and War

    It will come as a surprise to many that in spite of hotspots around the globe, the UN has

    a 75 per cent success rate in peacekeeping. Yet even insiders admit that were it not forthe threat of use of their veto powers by the Permanent Members of the UN SecurityCouncil the world body could have done a better job. Hopefully with reorganisationand the growing inuence of the developing world the UN will not be hamstrung bytheseforceful ve.

    Lt. Gen. (Retd.) V. K. Jetley

    MISE-En-ScEnEglobal seuri

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    Appendix AList of UN Peacekeeping Operations: 1948 2010

    Acronym Mission name Start date Closing date

    UNTSO United Nations Truce Supervision Organisation May-48 PresentUNMOGIP United Nations Military Observer Group in India and Pakistan Jan-49 PresentUNEF I First United Nations Emergency Force Nov-56 Jun-67UNOGIL United Nations Observation Group in Lebanon Jun-58 Dec-58ONUC United Nations Operation in the Congo Jul-60 Jun-64UNSF United Nations Security Force in West New Guinea Oct-62 Apr-63UNYOM United Nations Yemen Observation Mission Jul-63 Sep-64UNFICYP United Nations Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus Mar-64 PresentDOMREP Mission of the Representative of the Secretary-General in the Dominican Republic May-65 Oct-66UNIPOM United Nations India-Pakistan Observation Mission Sep-65 Mar-66UNEF II Second United Nations Emergency Force Oct-73 Jul-79UNDOF United Nations Disengagement Observer Force Jun-74 PresentUNIFIL United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon Mar-78 PresentUNGOMAP United Nations Good Ofces Mission in Afghanistan and Pakistan May-88 Mar-90UNIIMOG United Nations Iran-Iraq Military Observer Group Aug-88 Feb-91

    UNAVEM I United Nations Angola Verication Mission I Jan-89 Jun-91UNTAG United Nations Transition Assistance Group Apr-89 Mar-90ONUCA United Nations Observer Group in Central America Nov-89 Jan-92UNIKOM United Nations Iraq-Kuwait Observation Mission Apr-91 Oct-03MINURSO United Nations Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara Apr-91 presentUNAVEM II United Nations Angola Verication Mission II Jun-91 Feb-95ONUSAL United Nations Observer Mission in El Salvador Jul-91 Apr-95UNAMIC United Nations Advance Mission in Cambodia Oct-91 Mar-92UNPROFOR United Nations Protection Force Feb-92 Mar-95UNTAC United Nations Transitional Authority in Cambodia Mar-92 Sep-93UNOSOM I United Nations Operation in Somalia I Apr-92 Mar-93ONUMOZ United Nations Operation in Mozambique Dec-92 Dec-94UNOSOM II United Nations Operation in Somalia II Mar-93 Mar-95UNOMUR United Nations Observer Mission Uganda-Rwanda Jun-93 Sep-94UNOMIG United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia Aug-93 Jun-09UNOMIL United Nations Observer Mission in Liberia Sep-93 Sep-97UNMIH United Nations Mission in Haiti Sep-93 Jun-96UNAMIR United Nations Assistance Mission for Rwanda Oct-93 Mar-96UNASOG United Nations Aouzou Strip Observer Group May-94 Jun-94UNMOT United Nations Mission of Observers in Tajikistan Dec-94 May-00UNAVEM III United Nations Angola Verication Mission III Feb-95 Jun-97UNCRO United Nations Condence Restoration Operation in Croatia May-95 Jan-96UNPREDEP United Nations Preventive Deployment Force Mar-95 Feb-99UNMIBH United Nations Mission in Bosnia and Herzegovina Dec-95 Dec-02UNTAES United Nations Transitional Administration for Eastern Slavonia, Jan-96 Jan-98

    Baranja and Western SirmiumUNMOP United Nations Mission of Observers in Prevlaka Jan-96 Dec-02UNSMIH United Nations Support Mission in Haiti Jul-96 Jul-97MINUGUA United Nations Verication Mission in Guatemala Jan-97 May-97MONUA United Nations Observer Mission in Angola Jun-97 Feb-99UNTMIH United Nations Transition Mission in Haiti Aug-97 Dec-97

    MIPONUH United Nations Civilian Police Mission in Haiti Dec-97 Mar-00UN Civilian Police Support Group Jan-98 Oct-98MINURCA United Nations Mission in the Central African Republic Apr-98 Feb-00UNOMSIL United Nations Observer Mission in Sierra Leone Jul-98 Oct-99UNMIK United Nations Interim Administration Mission in Kosovo Jun-99 PresentUNAMSIL United Nations Mission in Sierra Leone Oct-99 Dec-05UNTAET United Nations Transitional Administration in East Timor Oct-99 May-02MONUC United Nations Organisation Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Nov-99 Jun-10UNMEE United Nations Mission in Ethiopia and Eritrea Jul-00 Jul-08UNMISET United Nations Mission of Support in East Timor May-02 May-05UNMIL United Nations Mission in Liberia Sep-03 PresentUNOCI United Nations Operation in Cte d'Ivoire Apr-04 PresentMINUSTAH United Nations Stabilisation Mission in Haiti Jun-04 PresentONUB United Nations Operation in Burundi Jun-04 Dec-06UNMIS United Nations Mission in Sudan Mar-05 PresentUNMIT United Nations Integrated Mission in Timor-Leste Aug-06 PresentUNAMID African Union-United Nations Hybrid Operation in Darfur Jul-07 PresentMINURCAT United Nations Mission in the Central African Republic and Chad Sep-07 PresentMONUSCO United Nations Organisation Stabilisation Mission in the Democratic Jul-10 Present

    Republic of the Congo

    MISE-En-ScEnEglobal seuri

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    Private club!

    MISE-En-ScEnEglobal seuri

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    Team DSA welcomes the new Chairman and is condent that under his stewardship and able guidanceSAIL will not only ourish but also excel in providing its best support to the Indian Defence and Securityindustry.

    A journey which began as a holding company of public sector steel manufacturers in 1973 with an

    authorised capital of Rs. 2,000 crore has today become a public sector giant and leading steel manufacturer

    in India with a turnover of Rs. 43,935 crore and production ranging from hot metal to highly specialised

    steel. SAIL is committed to extend its support to Indias Defence and Security by providing special steel

    for various important projects.

    SCOGreat Game

    and the new

    The Central Asian landmass lends itself to intervention by neighbours on its periphery.

    That is exactly what is happening except that at the moment it is benign, economics and

    energy-access oriented. It wasnt that way after the withdrawal from Afghanistan of

    Soviet troops north of the Oxus (Amu Darya). The perceived vacuum was sought to be

    lled by Islamic fundamentalism nurtured in Pakistan and that may yet repeat itself i f

    the US mismanages its departure from Afghanistan. China professes a disgust for one

    of the three evils terrorism but it has not been averse to its export by Pakistan to

    all corners of the globe.

    Brig. (Retd.) Dr. Anil Sharma

    cEntRAL ASIAInDIA'S cOntRIBUtIOnglobal seuri global seuri

    "A MAHARATNA"

    Mr. Chandra Shekhar Verma,51, has taken charge of the ofce of Chairman, Steel Authority of IndiaLimited (SAIL) on 11 June 2010.

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    n

    t

    e

    r

    v

    i

    e

    w

    I n t e r v i e wI

    IntERVIEWglobal seuri

    NATO General SecretaryMr. Anders Fogh Rassmusentalks to DSA correspondent

    (Europe) Dominika Cosic.

    DSA: Mission in Afghanistan ismore and more difcult for NATO,every day we are losing soldiers.Could you explain why NATO shouldkeep their troops in Afghanistan?

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rassmusen: Ithink there are two strong reasons tocontribute to our mission and to stayin Afghanistan: security and solidarity.First security. We are in Afghanistan toprotect this country once again fromterrorism. We know that terroristswho attacked USA on 11 of September2001 were rooted in Af-Pak region.And terrorism could easily spreadfrom Afghanistan, through CentralAsia to Russia and other countries. Itcan also hit European cities. So it is athreat not only to Europe and USA. Inaddition to that, there is also a risk thatterrorists operating in Afghanistan candestabilise the neighbouring countriesas Pakistan which is a nuclear powerand that would be a very dangeroussituation. And it is a problem for all ofus. Dont forget also that Afghanistanis the main supplier of heroin. Drugsare a problem for everybody. Wehave common interest to stabilisesociety in Afghanistan. And to reducedrugs production. We should remindourselves that after attacks on 11 ofSeptember NATO decided for the rsttime in its history that attack on USA,one of the member States, should beconsidered as an attack on Alliance.That is why NATO is supporting thisoperation which is a solidarity mission.When one ally is attacked, othersshould answer.

    DSA:But its already been nine yearssince the beginning of the mission.How long should NATO be there?

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rassmusen: Iunderstand very well that people areimpatient, so am I. We want to see clearprogress and I am sure that this yearwe will see it. 2009 has been a difcultyear but now we are taking a lot ofimportant decisions. We have decidedto increase the number of foreigntroops signicantly - actually 40,000and to increase a number of Afghansoldiers and police. We have decidedto hand over responsibility for securityto Afghans and to establish training

    mission to train and educate Afghansoldiers. In addition to it internationalcommunity has committed themselvesto increase development and PresidentKarzai has also committed himself tobetter government and to ght withdrugs producers and corruption. Wehave started transition process andall these elements contribute to thisprocess. So I am optimistic.

    DSA: But some of the experts arevery skeptical, they consider thismission as a failure of NATO, there isno solidarity even within the Alliance.

    Mr.Anders Fogh Rassmusen : I dontagree. Actually we have been quitesuccessful in getting contributions fromour Alliance partners. There is strongsolidarity. After Obamas decision toincrease number of troops (Americansoldiers) other 26 countries did thesame, now there are 40,000 additionaltroops. It is strong commitment and

    real solidarity.

    DSA: 60 years ago when NATO wascreated situation was clear, we knewwho was enemy of Alliance. What isthe status now and who is the enemy?

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rassmusen: Youare right that NATO has been themost successful defence Alliance theworld has ever seen and most peacefulmovement because we came throughCold War without any single shotred when Warsaw Pact collapsedand several countries joined NATOand NATO has reunited Europe. Butunfortunately now we have seen newdangers and we have terrorism not onlyin Afghanistan. There is for examplequestion of cyber security, someAlliance members have experiencedcyber attacks. Without soldiers crossingborders it can devastate and destabilisea country. We have to make sure thatwe can defend ourselves from this

    Dominika Cosic

    General Secretary NATO

    risk. Proliferation of nuclear weapons

    and delivery of it we have to protect

    ourselves against that. That is thereason why we need missile defence. I

    have mentioned only few new threats

    and this will be core element in the

    new strategic concept. Core function

    of NATO will still be territorial defenceof member States and their population.

    This was the foundation of NATO 61

    years ago and will always be.

    DSA: And 5th paragraph will still

    play an important role in the New

    Strategic Concept?

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rassmusen: Yes,

    indeed it will have prominent role inthe New Strategic Concept. One for all,all for one.

    DSA: Can you imagine that Russia

    will one day become new member

    country?

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rassmusen: Itshard to imagine but in principle it isnot impossible. Article 10 in the NATOtreaty says that any European countrymay be invited to join NATO. Thiscountry should contribute to security inEurope and America and should respectthe principles of NATO. Russia is aEuropean country. Russia could applyand then we will see if it is fulllingcriteria. But honestly I dont think thatRussia will apply for membership sowe should be more realistic. And myintention is to develop partnershipbetween Russia and NATO because Ithink that it is in our common interestto reduce tension between NATO andRussia.

    DSA: But new strategic concept ofRussia does not reduce this tension.

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rassmusen: No.

    I was also surprised to read in newRussian military doctrine that NATOis the rst foreign and security danger.Honestly speaking I dont understandit and it is not reecting real situation.NATO is not an enemy of Russia andis not directed against Russia and hasno intention to attack this country.But if you start to read this documentthere it also says that Russia shoulddevelop partnership with NATO. Sothere are two different statements. Ialso think that Russia should take intoconsideration that some of membercountries are very much concernedabout rhetoric and also their actionslike aggression against Georgia orthe fact that it has recently conductedcomprehensive military exercises nearthe border with, for instance, Poland.And it is understandable that theseactions raise number of concerns.In conclusion we know that we willstill have disagreement with Russia,dispute, but there is area where weshare security concerns with Russiaand we share cooperation.

    DSA:Those exercises have been likeprovocation and there was no clearreaction from NATO.

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rassmusen: No,because we have monitored, followedexercises carefully and not consideredthem as a threat against any Alliancemember. For anybody. But I can assureyou that we monitor this and also thatNATO has all necessary plans to protectand defend any Alliance.

    DSA: When do you expect NewStrategic Concept?

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rassmusen: Ido hope that it will be ready for nextNATO summit which will take placein November, 2010 in Lisbon. There arealready some ideas proposed by ourexperts and now we are working on it.

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    The rise of China is no ash in the pan. It has been engineered with great political thoughtwith futurism in its every nuance. The neutralisation of its periphery has been a constanttheme and it can no longer be denied that with the Pacic Ocean rim nations practic ally eatingout of Chinese hands, Beijing is heading for the heartland it sees to its west.

    Hinterland control

    Geopolitics redux

    Soft power

    DOMInIOnglobal seuri

    Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Dipankar Banerjee

    Decline of USA Chinese expansionDening moments

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    Central Asia

    Pakistans centricity

    Pacic rim

    Indias response

    nEO-EURASIAnISM?DOMInIOnglobal seuri global seuri

    RussianresurgenceThe debate about the unipolarity of the world after the end of the Cold

    War is beginning to stutter and will soon choke on itself as the rising tide of

    Russian resurgence begins to lap Euro-Atlantic shores. Russia under Putin

    is bent on giving the word Czar a new energy connotation. Its role in

    the Central Asian Republics and a consolidation of age-old friendships that

    have stood the test of time will ensure that multipolarity will prevail.

    Rahul Mishra and Rohit K. Mishra

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    Afghan solution

    Neo-Eurasianism

    Regional groupings

    Stable pole

    Russia has shown its military

    might and diplomatic skills

    n the very rst war of

    21st century i.e. the in war

    gainst Georgia which was

    onventional as well as a

    yber-war. Russia has not

    only successfully managed

    o liberate South Ossetia

    nd put Mikheil Saak'ashvilis

    mbition down but also

    ave a betting reply to

    he challenge of NATOs

    eastward expansion

    cOncORDnEO-EURASIAnISM?global seuri global seuri

    EuropEan union- NATO

    best friends or rivals?Dominika Cosic

    Relationships between these two organisations have been always verydelicate and problematic. Most of European countries are members ofboth organisations. But NATO is led by United States andthis fact creates special tensions. Hopefully afterchange of the political guard in Germany andFrance (ve and three years ago) there is nallyserious chance for new beginning between NATOand European Union. For the rst time in its historythese relations will be the main subject during nextEU summit in September 2010, in Brussels, which issymbolical.

    Saga of love and hate

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    European army: dream or reality?

    The best friends?

    cOncORDglobal seuri

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    Since the beginning of the Israeli-Arab conict as an outcome

    of World War I and San Remo convention, in 1920, the Arabsworld dened itself mainly versus the Israeli Arab conict. In

    recent years they dene themselves in a greater proportion

    versus the Iranian raising power. Israel has become a potential

    ally for moderate Arab countries in order to stop the Iranian

    rush towards military nuclear capacity.

    Spheres of inuence

    Oilelds as trophy

    israel and the Arab world:

    MIDDLE EAStglobal seuri

    A paradigm shiftBalfour declaration

    San Remo ConventionJewish homeland

    Dani Reshef

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    Because piracy and marineterrorism have acquired dangerousproportions, the internationalresponse has been a closing of ranksand creation of regional reporting andcounter-measure centres particularlyin areas that have been piracyendemic. However, the rising graphof marine crime indicates that swiftermeans of intervention in such wideopen spaces as the Indian Ocean andPacifc Ocean are needed to arrive atthe crime scene within hours instead

    of days. It takesthe better part of24 hours to get tomid Arabian Seafrom Mumbai.Greater use ofying boats couldbe the answer.

    MARInE cRIMESglobal seuri

    Endemic areasRising graph

    Counter-measures

    Networking

    Vice Admiral (Retd.) Arun Kumar Singh

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    Indias pivotal role

    Pacic outreach

    Indian Ocean initiative

    Safety drill

    cOnFLUEncEMARInE cRIMESglobal seuri global seuri

    new world order:

    role

    Lt. Gen. (Retd.) Dr. D. B. Shekatkar

    Indias geographical position in the Indian Ocean predisposes it to

    a major role in managing, in conjunction and in collective fashion

    with other littoral states, the transition from a colonial, exploited

    past to a peaceful growth-oriented destiny. It is recognised as a

    status-quo power because it has no territorial ambitions except

    the protection of its own territorial integrity but its sphere of

    inuence lies in the age-old relationships with peoples as diverse

    as Afghanistan and Vietnam or South Africa and China.

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    The Indian Navy today is a three-dimensional force in

    a real sense and wants to expand its strategic reach. Itviews itself in 2012-15 as a force comprising about 135-140 stealth vessels with long-range precision-guidedweapons capable of anti-ship, anti-submarine anddecisive land-attack missions. It is poised to be a TrueBlue Water Force by 2020-25. The process has beeninitiated in a very planned and systematic manner. In thiscentury the Indian Navy has crossed many milestones inthis direction and is now heading towards its objective.Silently.

    MARItIME MEttLEglobal seuri

    Dr. Hari Saran

    The Indian Navy is the largest and the most capable resident

    navy in the Indian Ocean region and is seen by most maritime

    powers as a stabilising force. As India grows economically, our

    stake in the seas around us will also grow and our maritime

    power will also increase commensurately.

    Adm. Arun Prakash

    Tri-service command

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    West coast

    Nuclear submarine

    Geographically, India hasot the central position inhe Indian Ocean. Indiasverall security perspectivesnd Indian Ocean RegionIOR) are intertwined withach other. It lies half way

    between Straits of Malaccand Hormuz, the two

    most important strategicwaterways of the world

    Three-carrier force

    Quick-reaction force

    MARItIME MEttLEglobal seuri

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    Disaster relief

    Radar station

    Training facilities

    Strategic location

    JIHADI tEntAcLESMARItIME MEttLEglobal seuri global seuri

    The arrest of terrorists in the northern-most tip of Aceh (autonomousregion of Indonesia which is very close to Andaman and Nicobar

    Islands), claiming to be cadres of a splinter organisation calledAl Qaeda of Aceh has raised concerns about the security ofAndaman and Nicobar Island group where the Joint Commandof Indian Armed Forces is stationed. Also, the role of major terrorgroups and Pan Islamic organisations like Lashkar-e-Toiba andJemaah Islamiyah is expanding in the extended south Asian region.Concerted counter-terrorism operations by India and Indonesiaare necessary so that the jihadists do not inict any damage onstrategic and commercial interests of India.

    Dr. Pankaj Jha

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    Australian hookup

    Greater radicalisation

    nitiate proceduresfor counteringthis oatingterror populationbecause anystrong measuresby Indonesianpolice wouldmean that manyof these groups

    might inltrate inLittle Andamansor other idyllicslands. Theremight be a caseor two in future ofhot pursuit

    JIHADI tEntAcLESglobal seuri

    Ramications for India

    Recommendations

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    State proxies

    Tools of choice

    WMD security

    WMD threatsWMD threats

    anDanD

    asyMMetricasyMMetric

    FIFtH GEnERAtIOn WARFAREglobal seuri

    Non-nuke WMD

    Pakistan cited

    Dr. Arvind Kumar

    Nukes are not the only weapons of mass destruction ever used in war. Their

    employment against Japan in Hiroshima and Nagasaki was by a nation-State in

    a declared war situation. The use of biological and chemical weapons of mass

    destruction have a long history in conict situations between nations. However,

    the essential difference and the main cause for worry is the growing possibility that

    a rogue State could hand over weapons of mass destruction to terrorists to achieve

    its goals. Indias insistence on a strict i nternational check on Pakistan is not just for

    self-preservation. It is the fountainhead of the new kind of global warfare.

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    Biotech infrastructure

    Dirty nukes

    Plug leaks

    Bio-terrorism

    Dauntng task

    The World At Risk

    eport has clearly

    highlighted the

    degree of vulnerability

    emerging from

    Pakistan and to quote

    rom the report, were

    one to map terrorism

    and weapons of mass

    destruction today, all

    oads would intersect

    n Pakistan

    FIFtH GEnERAtIOn WARFAREglobal seuri

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    Illogical regime

    Wassenaar Arrangement

    Imposed compliance

    Blanket denials

    Globalisation

    One direct evidenciary effect of climate change is that it has submerged several balefultechnology denial regimes based on the concept that dual-use properties will inevitablylead to proliferation of weapons. Globalisation did the rest as outsourcing was moreeconomical than behaving like rodents with gold and high-tech laboratories beganshifting research and development activities from developed to developing countries.

    DEnIAL REGIMESglobal seuri

    G-77

    Cdr. (Retd.) Sunil Chauhan

    c o a l i t i o n s

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    cOnFEREncEDEnIAL REGIMESglobal seuri global seuri

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    Dr. Arpita Basu Roy

    contemporary

    NEW PARADIGMS

    world:The realisation that under-development can lead to insecurity can become the

    cornerstone of national policies directed at the individual. Yet insecurities growing

    out of health, ethnic and sectarian and environmental concerns also tend to impinge

    on the well-being of societies and migrations and forced evictions extend their spreadbeyond statal boundaries. The United Nations Development Programme has focused

    on universal concerns that transcend the traditional paradigms of a balance of power.

    HUMAn cEntRIcglobal seuri

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    HUMAn cEntRIcglobal seuri

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    AScEnSIOnglobal seuri

    Wrld's Largest oil Refnery - Reliance

    India:a superpower?

    Jagdish Prasad Verma

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    AScEnSIOnglobal seuri

    'Will India become a superpower?' This is a question that nags every Indian.

    With the nature of problems that plague India, the chances of the country

    becoming a superpower are remote. As the visionary President of India,

    Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam said:

    India can become the superpower of the world in a matter of 15-20 years ifwe can elect a good leadership to lead us and rule us. It is the leadership of thecountry that moves the country forward or backward.

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    AScEnSIOnglobal seuri

    The business world is also

    ooking in Indias direction.

    Graduates of the nations

    business programmes are

    n high demand among

    multinational corporations,

    with each graduating class

    ommanding a higher

    verage salary than the one

    before. Those who complete

    MBA degrees at schools such

    s the Indian Institute of

    Management can now expect

    tarting salaries ranging from

    US$ 75,000 at Indian rms

    o over US$ 200,000 outside

    he country

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    The nations capital was the centerstage for the Security India 2010Conference held on 8 July 2010 at HotelLe Meridian, New Delhi

    The Security India 2010 Conferenceattracted over 200 delegates. Severalofcials from APDI, Border SecurityForce (BSF), Central Reserve PoliceForce (CRPF), CAPSI, Indian Air Force,Indian Army, Indian Navy, IntegratedDefence Staff, Prasar Bharti, Bureauof Police, Research and Development,National Informatics Center (NIC),National Disaster Management Agency(NDMA), etc. were present at the eventsharing and learning ways and meansto individually, as well as, collectivelyequip the nation in its endeavour tosafeguard the infrastructure and livesof its citizens.

    With the Commonwealth Gameson the threshold, the event organisedby Comnet Conferences, a divisionof Exhibitions India Group, wasappropriately timed and themedA preventive not reactive approach toterrorism. The sessions approachedthe concerns, by focusing attentionon the importance of Preparednessand Response mechanisms to avertman-made disasters. This wasundertaken under the guidance ofthe Delhi Disaster ManagementAuthority with the objective to educatethe masses.

    Pointing towards the growingand changing threats and risksto organisations, Sanjeev Sehgal,Managing Director, Sparsh Securitech,said, The key to security is to preventinuences which are undesirable,unauthorised or detrimental to thegoals of the particular organisation.Emphasis was further given tointegrated command and controlsystems including - device and systemsintegration, situational awareness andincident management, compliancepolicy management and reporting, andlast but not least, corporate governance.

    Engaging discussions highlightedpreparedness to respond to hostagecrises and manage rescue operations atcivilian level, safeguarding soft targetssuch as schools, management of civiliantrafc, role of rst responders, quickevacuation in times of uncertainty,tactical considerations and intelligent,as well as, sensitive handling towardshomegrown terrorism.

    Eminent speakers including Shri AjitDoval, IPS (Retd.), National DisasterManagement Authority (NDMA), Brig.A. K. Gulati, Vice President, Security& Safety, PVR Cinemas, R. S. Gupta,IPS (Retd.), Former Commissioner ofPolice, Delhi, Maj. General R. K. Kaushal(Retd.), Sr. Specialist - Policy and Plans,

    (NDMA), Vice Admiral PradeepKaushiva, UYSM, VSM (Retd.), Brig.Dr. B. K. Khanna, SV, VSM (Retd.),Sr. Specialist Training and CapacityDevelopment NDMA, Lt. Gen. R. K.Sawhney, Former Director General,military Intelligence, Shri HardipSingh Kingra, IFS, Special Ofcer (Jt.Secretary) (Commonwealth Games)Sports Authority of India, Ministry ofYouth Affairs & Sports, Governmentof India, Shri Kuldip Singh Ganger,Additional Secretary, Delhi DisasterManagement Authority, Governmentof National Capital Territory (NCT)of Delhi (policy-maker perspective),Raj Kumar, Director - Operations,Delhi Metro Rail Corporation Ltd.,Kunwar Vikram Singh, Chairman,Central Association of Private SecurityIndustry (CAPSI) & Association ofPrivate Detectives and Investigators(APDI) , Shri R. C. Sharma, Director,Department of Delhi Fire Services,Government of NCT of Delhi, andmany more informed speakers tookthe dais and actively contributed in thethought-provoking sessions.

    We have been creating tradeexhibitions and conferences for overtwo decades now and would like touse our capability in creating voiceplatforms that would bring leadingvisionaries to explore and educate waysof securing the citizens and their unitysaid Prem Behl, Chairman, ExhibitionsIndia Group.

    The leading magazineDefence AndSecurity Alert(DSA)was the supporting

    journal for this event.

    cOnFEREncEglobal seuri aroo LAUGH n RELAx!

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    dsa ibo

    request

    to publish research based, authentic,interesting and thought-provokingwritings, exclusive photographs andart-works on defence and securityissues in India and abroad.

    academicians, thinkers, policy makersand authors to write for DSA for a safeand secure India and world.

    you to send the synopsis of your esteemedworks for book publication related todefence and security.

    We request

    We invite

    We intend

    August 2010 DEFEncE AnD SEcURIty ALERt84

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    FABULOUS PRIZESglobal security

    M

    Mr.PawanAgrawal

    PublisherandChiefE

    xcutiveOfficer

    DefenceandSecurity

    AlertMagazine

    4/19AsafAliRoad

    NewDelhi110002

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