Dropout and Graduation ---

Rates

for August 10, 2015 statewide data conferenceXiaoping Wang, PhD

Administrative ConsultantIowa Department of Education

This session covers1. what are2. calculations3. data accuracy

???4. important5. availability

???

1. What are??

Dropout and Graduation –

Not ONE same thing; but people say: so and so, the rich/famous (or your future son in law), was a high school dropout (What do they mean??)

Dropout/Graduation <<< Rates – not TWO things; -can be four things: Dropout (yes or no)/Dropout Rates (grouping – numerator vs denominator)Graduate (yes or no)/Graduation Rates (grouping, where/when/how soon…)

Differences between dropout & graduate: Dropout (yes) ^= Graduate (no)

Why? Dropout is an annual event vs. graduation is a high school career event – 4+ over time event; a student who dropped out few times can be on time graduate if he/she returns to school, catches up the cohort, and graduates with the cohort.

Dropout (no) ^= Graduate (yes)

Why? A student not graduating on time and still enrolled shouldn’t be coded as a dropout.

Dropout (yes) = Graduate (yes) -- (sometimes);

Dropout (no) = Graduate (no) – (sometimes)

Differences between dropout rate and graduation rate:

Dropout rate – annual, multiple grades (7-12 or 9-12)Graduation Rate – cohort, one class over time (four, five, six, & seven)

2. Calculations

Grades 7-12 Dropout Rate = Number of 7-12 students who dropout between October 1, 2014 and September 30, 2015 / BEDS 7-12 Enrollment on October 1, 2014

Grades 9-12 Dropout Rate = Number of 9-12 students who dropout between October 1, 2014 and September 30, 2015 / BEDS 9-12 Enrollment on October 1, 2014

Iowa Four-Year Cohort Graduation Rate = (FG + TIG) / (F + TI - TO) For the graduating class of 2015 FG = First-time 9th grade students in fall of 2011 and graduated in 2015 or earlier

TIG = Students who transferred in grades 9 to 12 and graduated in 2015 or sooner

F = First-time 9th grade students in fall of 2011

TI = Transferred in the first-time 9th graders’ cohort in grades 9 to 12 TO = Transfer out (including emigrates and deceased)

Original Cohort – First time 9th graders in 2011 fall, (0)

Transfer-In 2011W to 2014, (0)

2015 graduates (2011-2015Graduates), (1)

g=1, d=1

2015 graduates (2011-2015Graduates), (1)

g=1, d=1

Still Enrolled in 2015 (2)g=0, d=1

(3) Transfer-Out (including Ill & Death)Change entry codes to CPI or nonpublic enrollmentg=0, d=0

Dropouts (4)g=0, d=1

Missing (4)g=0, d=1

# of (0) = # of (1) + # of (2) + # of (3) + # of (4); GR= # (1)/[#(1) + #(2) + #(4)]; #(3)???

3. Data accuracyClean Data:

Graduation Verification - in August 2015 (go to Gary’s session today in Room204-208 1:15pm)

Dropout Verification - December 2015

Dropout/graduation data release – March 2016

+++ communication+++ communication

It is very important to view both Dropouts and Accountable Dropouts

• D and Z were your residents, attended your district & coded as drops.• O and R were open enrolled, attended your district & coded as drops.• M was your resident, attending another district who transferred but was

not enrolled in an Iowa public district on Oct. 1, 2014.• T was your resident, attended your district who transferred but was not

enrolled in an Iowa public district on Oct. 1, 2014.

Questions ???

We will move on to

4. Data importance – to individual student, their parents, and school/district accountabilities

AYP MeasuresAdequate Yearly Progress - NCLB

• Student Proficiency (Grades 3-8, 11, R/M)• Academic Growth (Non Proficient Students)• Attendance Rates (K-8)• Graduation Rates (High School)

ACR Required MeasuresAttending Center Ranking

• Student Proficiency (Fall 2015)• Academic Growth (Fall 2015)• Attendance Rates (Fall 2015)• Parent Involvement (Fall 2016)• Employee Turnover (Fall 2015)• Community Activities and Involvement (2016-17)• Closing Gaps Score (Spring 2015)• Graduation Rates (5 Year Rate, Fall 2015)• College Readiness Rates (Fall 2015)

Healthy Indicators Possible data sources:

Proficiency* Academic growth* Attendance Parent involvement Community activities and

involvement Closing gaps score* Employee turnover Graduation rate College-readiness rate Suspension/expulsion rates Student engagement Employee working conditions

Post-graduation data Parent satisfaction Parent engagement Use of valid and reliable

assessment tools Percent of students proficient

with universal instruction Percent of students proficient

with targeted and intensive interventions

Operation of a high-functioning leadership team

Financial information

5. Data availability – IDE annual reports/website spreadsheets and online data request

Statewide Dropout/Graduation Data

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

2.7

2.352.142.14

2.3

2.85

3.15

3.413.383.2

2.822.7

1.85

1.581.441.46

1.57

1.962.16

2.342.322.18

1.921.84

Grade 9-12

Grade 7-12

School Year

Perc

ent

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 201450%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

87.3%88.8% 88.3% 89.3% 89.7% 90.5%

Graduating Class

Per

cent

• For district, school, state level Data - https://www.educateiowa.gov/education-statistics

• Cohort Graduation Rates/Title I Rates• Graduation Rates by District, by Subgroup: 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009• Graduation Rates by Building, by Subgroup: 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009• Graduation Rates/Dropout Rates Combined: 2013-2014, 2012-2013, 2011-2012, 2010-2011• Graduation Rates Trend Data:

– Five-Year: 2010-2014– One-Year: 2013-2014

• Dropouts• By District: 2013-2014, 2012-2013, 2011-2012, 2010-2011, 2009-2010, 2008-2009, 2007-2008,

2006-2007, 2005-2006, 2004-2005, 2003-2004, 2002-2003, 2001-2002, 2000-2001, 1999-2000, 1998-1999, 1997-1998, 1996-1997, 1995-1996, 1994-1995, 1993-1994, 1992-1993, 1991-1992

• Graduate Counts/Graduate Intentions• Graduate Intentions by District (including Graduate Counts): 2013-2014, 2012-2013, 2011-2012,

2010-2011, 2009-2010, 2008-2009, 2007-2008, 2006-2007, 2005-2006, 2004-2005, 2003-2004, 2002-2003, 2001-2002

• Graduate Counts by District: 2005-2006, 2004-2005, 2003-2004, 2002-2003, 2001-2002, 2000-2001, 1999-2000, 1998-1999, 1997-1998, 1996-1997, 1995-1996, 1994-1995

• More Data – please fill up a data request form• https://www.educateiowa.gov/data-reporting/data-request-form

Questions ???????

Contact >>>

Xiaoping Wang Ph.D. Administrative Consultant Iowa Department of Education Bureau of Information & Analysis Services Grimes State Office Building 400 East 14th Street Des Moines, IA   50319-0146 e-mail: xiaoping.wang@iowa.gov Phone: 515-242-5986 (Office)