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11/18/17 1 Drivers of Change 2018 Strategic Implications for the Colorado Medical Society Health Care: Top 10 Drivers of Change for 2018 1. Public insurance is continuing to grow. 2. Payment reform is advancing. 3. Consumers are demanding increased technology. 4. New models of care are emerging. 5. Physician well-being is crucial.

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Page 1: Drivers of Change 2018 - Constant Contactfiles.constantcontact.com/42cad56c001/73a2cb85-65d4-4266-84ce-… · Physicians can bring a strong voice to D.C. and Denver Health Care: Top

11/18/17

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DriversofChange2018StrategicImplicationsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

HealthCare:Top10DriversofChangefor2018

1. Publicinsuranceiscontinuingtogrow.2. Paymentreformisadvancing.3. Consumersaredemandingincreased

technology.4. Newmodelsofcareareemerging.5. Physicianwell-beingiscrucial.

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6. Integrationofbehavioralandphysicalhealthisprogressing.

7. Populationhealthandpublichealthareconverging.

8. Consumersarefacinghigherspending.9. Consumersaredemandingnew(and

expensive)drugs.10. PhysicianscanbringastrongvoicetoD.C.

andDenver

HealthCare:Top10DriversofChangefor2018

1.PublicInsuranceisContinuingtoGrow.

Page 3: Drivers of Change 2018 - Constant Contactfiles.constantcontact.com/42cad56c001/73a2cb85-65d4-4266-84ce-… · Physicians can bring a strong voice to D.C. and Denver Health Care: Top

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NewestDataonHealthCoverageinColorado

ExpandedEligibilityPushingMedicaidGrowthMedicaidExpansionEnrollment

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MoreManagedCareinMedicaid?PercentageofMedicaidPopulationinMCOsasofJuly1,2016

Source:2017KaiserFamilyFoundation’sStateHealthFacts

RaysofSunshineamongclouds

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GrowthofMedicareAdvantagePlans

Source:2017KaiserFamilyFoundation

1. Howdothesechangesimpactadministrativeburden?

2. IsColoradoacceleratingtowardcapitation?

3. Howcanpracticesanticipateandleveragebonuses,clinicalmeasuresandotherfinancialincentivesorfinancialpenalties?

QuestionsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

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2.PaymentReformisAdvancing.

PaymentReform

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• Paymentreformhasbipartisansupportatthefederallevel.

• MedicareandCHIPReauthorizationAct(MACRA)willimpactmostphysicianreimbursementforMedicarestartingin2019.

• ColoradoMedicaidwillbeginpayingprimarycarephysiciansbasedontheirperformancein2018.

PublicInsuranceLeadingtheWay

• InformationfromRAEpresentation.Jeff

PaymentReformAdvances

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•RAEswillbepaid$15.50PMPM.

•RAEswillcontractwithprimarycareproviders;mustoffertopaythematleast$2PMPM.

•HCPFwithholds$4PMPMforRAEtoearnbackifperformancegoalsaremet.

QualityIncentivesinACCPhaseTwo

AdditionalPhaseTwoincentiveopportunities:• Providersshareinfinancialrisk.

• HigherbehavioralhealthcapitationrateifRAEshitperformancegoals.

• Pay-for-performancepooltoencouragehigherstandards.

QualityIncentivesinACCPhaseTwo

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2.7

7.7

14.0

17.1

22.5

28.3

32.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

LivesCoveredByACCs(inmillions)

IncreasingNumberofLivesCoveredbyACOs

Source:HealthAffairs

LivesCoveredbyACOs(inMillions)

PublicVersusCommercialACOContracts

Source:Authors’analysisofLeavittPartnersACODatabase

ACOLivesPerPayer(inMillions)

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1. Howdomemberspreparefordownsiderisk?2. Whatarethesticks?Whatarethecarrots?3. Howcanmemberskeepupwithrequirementsfor

metrics?4. WhatsupportcanCMSprovide?5. Howcanyoutrainmemberstopreparefor

changes?

QuestionsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

3.ConsumersareDemandingIncreasedUseofTechnology.

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TechnologyIsAlreadyPartofTheConsumerExperience

2016ConsumerLikelihoodtoUseTelemedicine

ConsumersWantMore

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AnAppleaDay...

1. Willadoptingnewtechnologiesleadtohigherpatienttrust?

2. Howwillmembersensurepatientsafetyandconfidentiality?

3. Howcanmembersincorporatenewtechnologiesintoalargerpatientengagementstrategy?

QuestionsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

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4.NewModelsofCareAreEmerging.

TheChangingHealthCareDeliveryLandscape

National• Walmart• Lowe’s

Local• Newmarket

entrants• DaVita• Walgreens

Regional• Urban“Centers

ofExcellence”• United

Healthcare

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ARetailCliniconEveryCorner

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TheGrowthofRetailClinics

Source:ConvenientCareAssociation

“Nursepractitionersaremoreindemandthanmostphysiciansasstatesallowdirectaccesstopatientsfortheseincreasingly

popular healthprofessionals.”

ForbesJune2017

TheShiftingHealthCareWorkforce

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1. Howmightpracticesalignorpartnerwithnewcaresettings?

2. Whataretheimplicationsofnewcaresettingsfortraditionaloffices?Hours?Convenience?

3. Withworkforcepatternsshifting,whatstepscanpracticestaketoensurequalityandeffectiveness?

QuestionsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

5.PhysicianWell-beingisCrucial.

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Source:MedscapeLifestyleReport2017:RaceandEthnicity,BiasandBurnout

LeadingCausesofPhysicianBurnout

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TheReciprocalDomainsofPhysicianWell-Being

Source:2016,StanfordMedicine

1. ImprovingPhysicianLeadership:Aphysician'swellnessisdirectlycorrelatedtowhotheirsuperioris.

2. CultivatingCommunity:Sponsoringlunchtimemeetingswithjustphysicianssotheycanlearnandsharechallenges.

3. SurveyingMembers:UnderstandtheextentofburnoutinColoradoanditsreasons.

ThreeSuggestionsfromMartiSchulte

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1. Whatapproacheswouldmakethebiggestimpactformembers?

2. Aretherespecificprogramsorservicesthatwouldpreventphysicianburnout?

3. HowmightCMS“cultivatecommunity?”

QuestionfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

6.TheIntegrationofBehavioralandPhysicalHealthCareisProgressing.

Page 20: Drivers of Change 2018 - Constant Contactfiles.constantcontact.com/42cad56c001/73a2cb85-65d4-4266-84ce-… · Physicians can bring a strong voice to D.C. and Denver Health Care: Top

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DrugOverdoseDeathRatesatAll-TimeHigh

Source:ColoradoHealthInstitute,2015

Age-AdjustedDrugOverdoseDeathRateper100,000,Colorado,2002-2014

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• SIMCohortOne:100• SIMCohortTwo:150• SIMCohortThree:150• ComprehensivePrimaryCareInitiative:71• CPC+:203• ColoradoHealthFoundationPrimaryCarePractices:20• RAEs:550

ColoradoPracticesInvolvedinIntegration

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SixLevelsofIntegratedCare

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1. Whatkindoftrainingandeducationwouldbevaluedforintegration?

2. Howcanyoubetterequipphysicianstointegratepractices?

3. Whatkindofprogramswouldbevaluable?

QuestionsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

7.PopulationHealthandPublicHealthareConverging.

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Health-RelatedSpending,CityandCountyofDenver

HealthSpendingDwarfsSocialSpendinginDenver

Source:MileHighCapitalStack

SocialandEconomicFactorsAffectHealth

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1. HowshouldCMSpositionphysicianstoparticipateinthisissue?

2. ShouldCMSadvocatefor“non-health”issuesinpopulationhealth?

3. Whereistheopportunityforphysicians,especiallythinkingaboutthisincombinationwithpaymentreform?

QuestionsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

8.ConsumersareFacingHigherSpending.

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$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

AverageIndividualDeductible

DeductiblesHeadHigher

Source:MedicalExpenditurePanelSurvey

Source:2017KaiserFamilyFoundation

MoreWorkersCoveredbyHighDeductiblePlans

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ColoradansSkipCareBecauseitCostsTooMuch

1. Ifconsumersaremoreinvolvedinpayingforcare,howwillphysicianpracticesadapt?

2. Istherespecializedtrainingorprogramsthatcouldbenefitpractices?

3. WhatarepotentialrolesforCMSaroundpricingtransparency?

QuestionsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

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9.ConsumersareDemandingNew(AndExpensive)Drugs.

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1. Whatroledophysicianshaveinofferingalternativesorcounterargumentstoconsumerdemand?

2. Howcanyouhelppreparepracticesforthecomplexreimbursementassociatedwithspecialtypharmaceuticals?

3. Howdopracticesgetinvolved?

QuestionfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

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10.PhysiciansCanBringaStrongVoicetoD.C.andDenver

TheDrivingPrincipleinHealthCareToday?

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“WhileCongresstusslesoverObamacare,theTrumpadministrationisquietlypressingaheadwithplanstogutmajorObama-erarulesandrelaxfederaloversightofswaths

ofthehealthcareindustry.”

“HowtheTrumpadministrationisreshapinghealthcare— withoutCongress.”

September13,2017

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1. WhereshouldCMSshowupinthesediscussions?

2. Isthisapriorityareaforyourmembership?

3. Howcanyoubestrelaythespecificinterestsofyourmembershiptopolicymakers?

QuestionsfortheColoradoMedicalSociety

[email protected] (720)-382-7073

@MicheleLueck