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DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015

DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Page 1: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

DRAFT

Investor PresentationApril 2015

Page 2: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures All financial references are expressed in C$ unless otherwise noted.

This presentation contains forward looking statements and estimates.

Actual company results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information.

Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

Additional information can be found in the company’s annual information form, annual MD&A, and on the company’s web site (www.westernforest.com) about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information, and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

During the course of this presentation, certain non-GAAP financial information will be presented. Definitions and reconciliation of terms can be found in the Company’s annual and quarterly MD&A.

Page 3: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

Western Forest Products: Company Overview

5th Largest Canadian Lumber Company

Operating on the coast of British Columbia, serving global markets— Largest Crown timber tenure holder in Coastal B.C.— Largest Cedar lumber manufacturer in North America— Timber resource unaffected by Mountain Pine Beetle

Ticker – TSX:WEF

Common Shares Outstanding – 395.1 million

Sales exceeded $1 Billion in 2014

No Controlling Interest1 – transition of Board of Directors

Added to the S&P/TSX Composite Index December 2014

Lumber Capacity: 1.1 billion board feet

(1) Brookfield Special Situations Management Limited (“BSSML”) holds no Common Shares as of September 10, 2014 3

Page 4: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

A Compelling Pure-Play, Solid Wood Products Investment

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Margin-focused business strategy.

Superior timber asset base and secure fibre supply.

High-value, diverse products serving global markets.

Strong financial position with attractive cash flow profile.

Size and scale with a liquid share capital.

Committed to enhancing shareholder value.

Western is well-positioned to capitalize on improving industry fundamentals.

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Page 5: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Western Forest Products: Margin Focused, Log and Specialty Lumber Company LTM1 revenues of $1 billion and EBITDA

of $109 million.

Achieved the second-highest third quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA in Company history despite a challenging operating environment and weaker export markets.

(1) Last twelve months total external revenue ended December 31, 2014.

Revenue by Product1 Revenue by Market Area1 Revenue by Currency1

Revenue from 2009 – LTM

Page 6: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

Western Forest Products: A Margin-Focused Business

Annual Allowable Cut (AAC) for Logs

~ 6.4 million m3

Internal Log Consumption

ExternalLog Sales

Domestic LogMarkets

Export LogMarkets

ManufacturingFacilities

Diverse and Unique Species Mix

Hemlock / Balsam Yellow Cedar

Diverse and Unique Species Mix

Hemlock / Balsam SpruceYellow Cedar

Douglas Fir

Western Red Cedar

~60%Logs processed at

WFP manufacturingfacilities

~40%Logs sold

Log Purchases1

~ 1.5 million m3

7 sawmills2 remanufacturing plants

Pulp Log Markets

Timber resource is directed to highest margin opportunity.

6(1) Based on the twelve months ended December 31, 2014.

Page 7: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Log Strategy: Directing Volume to Highest Margin Opportunity

(1) Based on total external and internal log sales for the twelve months ended December 31, 2014, including purchased logs. Internal transfer values based on Vancouver Log Market prices.

Log End Market

Domestic

Export

Pulplogs

Description

Includes sawlogs, peelers and shingle logs sold through contractual commitments and open market transactions.

Represents log sorts produced in excess of internal mill requirements.

Typically command premium prices due to strong demand.

Volumes committed under long-term fibre supply agreements.

Commitments met through internal log supply, supply contracts and open market pulplog purchases.

Primary Target Geographies

Canada

China Korea Japan U.S.

Canada

% Value1 % Volume1

External Log Sales

WFP Sawmills

All five species of Western’s sawlogs consumed by internal manufacturing operations.

Internal log supply supplemented by open market purchases to maximize margin.

Canada

4%

Page 8: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

Western’s Scale Creates Unique Marketing Opportunity

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11 - 18”

5 – 11”

16 - 22”

20 - 30”

24”+

NarrowDimension

WideDimension

Squares Timbers Grade &Appearance

Log Cutting Patterns

Commodity Commodity /WRC

Japan Niche /WRC

Niche /WRC

WFP ProductGroup

WFP MarketingGroup

Log diameter determines the products manufactured.

Log Supply Marketing Strategy Manufacturing Strategy Sales Strategy

Page 9: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Diversified Lumber Product Offering Allows Western to Profitably Serve Multiple Markets Throughout the Cycle

Lumber Segment

Western Red Cedar

Japan Specialty

Niche

Commodity

Description

Consumer-orientated products.

Naturally durable. Ideal for external uses.

Products for traditional post and beam construction.

Requires unique and rigorous quality standards.

Specialty products and markets.

Focused on appearance grades, value-add products.

Traditional dimension lumber and developing grades.

Currently focused on China.

Primary Target Geographies

U.S. Canada

Japan

U.S. Canada Asia Europe Australia

China U.S.

% Value1 % Volume1

Specialty Segments

Example Products

(1) Based on lumber sales for the twelve months ended December 31, 2014.

74%

54%

Page 10: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Specialty Products Reduce EBITDA Volatility 74% of Western’s lumber revenue is

generated from non-commodity products.

Specialty lumber sells at a significant premium to commodity lumber.

Specialty products provide more stable margins.

Product/market diversity and global exposure provide additional opportunities to seek best margin.

Cedar, niche and commodity grades will benefit from U.S. housing recovery.

(1) Comparison of selling prices for the reported period over the last 4 years. Quarterly selling price (reported in CAD) compared to to KD W S-P-F #2&Btr 2x4 random (reported in USD).(2) Top 4 competitors: West Fraser, Canfor, Interfor, and Conifex.

EBITDA Margins²

WFP Lumber Sales/mfbm vs. Lumber Price1

Focus on specialty products delivered 21 consecutive quarters of positive EBITDA.

Page 11: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Western’s Business to Benefit from Global Supply/Demand Factors

Highly Attractive UnderlyingSupply/Demand Dynamics

U.S. Economicand Housing

Market Recovery

Housing market and repair and remodel activity recovering from trough levels.

Transition from supply driven to demand driven market expected to result in improved pricing for wood products.

Continued Growth in China

Economic growth and urbanization. Consumption of wood will increase. Limited domestic fibre supply; increasing need for imports.

U.S. Supply Exit from Japan Market

Repatriation of U.S. lumber exports back to U.S. market creates opportunity for Western.

Government policy designed to increase domestic consumption.

Canadian FibreSupply Reduction

Mountain Pine Beetle expected to negatively impact interior fibre supply and lumber production.

Eastern Canada AAC reductions.

Strong Underlying

Demand Drivers for

Wood Products

Reduced Supplyof Fibre

1

2

3

4

Page 12: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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New Supply/Demand Dynamics Will Positively Impact Lumber Pricing

Reduced supply from traditional sources combined with increased demand from U.S. and Asian markets is expected to benefit lumber prices.

Source: Q1 2015 Forest Economic Advisors; Western Forest Products.

Housing Starts (North American and Lumber Export Equivalent) vs. Western SPF Lumber Pricing

Page 13: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

Competitive Strengths1. A sustainable, diverse Timber Base providing for a unique range of

products.

2. Customer of choice for other coastal log producers due to competitive advantages of scale, financial strength and proximity.

3. Flexible manufacturing platform that can target a variety of global markets.

4. High margin specialty products for the U.S. market – Cedar, Timbers, Moulding & Millwork, Industrial Applications.

5. Low cost access to ocean shipping (Break Bulk, Container & Barge) providing competitive transportation to global markets and avoiding rail congestion.

6. Uniquely positioned to capitalize on growth in U.S. market. Market share in Japan / China may also benefit from repatriation of U.S production.

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Page 14: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

Balanced Capital Allocation Enhances Shareholder Value

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No controlling shareholder – liquidity enhances shareholder value.

Quarterly dividend of $0.02/share (~4% yield).

$100 million SIB completed on July 2, 2013 at $1.30/ share.

Capital investments to deliver improved cash flow.

(1) WFP competitors' return includes West Fraser, Canfor, Interfor and Conifex and is weighted based on market capitalization.

WFP Average Daily Trading Volume

Annualized Share Price Return % January 1, 2009 to April 9, 2015

Page 15: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Strong Financial Position Provides Flexibility to Grow Low leverage, strong liquidity and no near-term debt maturities:

– Net debt / LTM EBITDA of 0.73x– $134 million of liquidity

Financial flexibility to invest in the business, pursue high-return growth initiatives, and return capital to shareholders.

Non-core assets provide opportunity for additional liquidity (see slide 17).Annual Free Cash Flow Generation1 Debt and Liquidity Profile – Q4 2014 ($ millions)

(1) Defined as EBITDA less interest expense, maintenance capital expenditures and changes in working capital.(2) Excludes deferred and amortized transaction costs.(3) Availability based on gross borrowing base less availability reserve and availability block (per credit agreement), as well as letters of credit.

Maximum(As at end of period) Drawn² Available Size

Revolving Credit Facility $7 $97³ $125Revolving Term Loan $74 $36 $110Total $81 $133 $235Cash on Hand ($2)Net Debt $79

Total Liquidity³ $134

Net Debt / LTM EBITDA 0.73xEBITDA / Int. Expense 19x

Page 16: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Strategic Capital & Margin Improvement Plan Contributes Significant EBITDA

$125 million of projects are focused on:

– Reducing costs– Increasing efficiency– Improving product

flexibility– Growing production

Capital Plan projected to generate a 29% return.

Margin Improvement Plan has delivered $38 million since 2012.

Investments ($ millions)

2012-2014

2015-2016 Total

Approved Projects $64 $64

Future Projects $61 $61

Total $64 $61 $125

Page 17: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

DRAFT

Appendix

Page 18: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

Non-Core Assets

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Asset DescriptionWoodfibre Pulp Mill Site

Sold to Woodfibre LNG for $21.8 Million. Transaction finalized in February 2015.

Orca Quarry Project Lands JV between Polaris and ‘Namgis on Western fee simple lands.

Royalty stream based on production. Opportunity to monetize.

Southern Island HBU Lands

24 separate properties. Properties range in size from 2 to 255 hectares. Multiple sales of individual properties is likely.

Northern Private Timberlands Lands cover roughly 15,000 hectares of freehold property located

on northern Vancouver Island.

A potential additional source of liquidity.

SOLD

Page 19: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Demand Drivers: U.S. Economic and Housing Market Recovery

U.S. Housing Starts

U.S. Repair & Remodel Expenditures

1

Source: Q1 2015 Forest Economic Advisors.

Poised to increase shipments to the U.S. as demand and pricing recover.

Page 20: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Demand Drivers: China Growth Has Changed Global Wood Products Demand Dynamics

A deficit of domestic fibre will require China to rely on imports. Rising wealth/urbanization trends expected to increase demand for

structural and higher grade lumber:– 300 million Chinese people (roughly equivalent to the U.S. population) expected to

move from rural to urban areas between 2010 and 2025.

Chinese Log Imports Chinese Lumber Imports

Source: China Customs; International Wood Markets

2

Page 21: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Demand Drivers: U.S. Supply Exit From Japan Creates Market Opportunity Japan continues to be a major source of demand for wood products and lumber

from North America:– In recent years, suppliers in the U.S. West have increased export activities to Japan due

to a lack of domestic demand in the U.S.– As North American housing markets recover, much of this U.S. supply will be diverted

back to local U.S. markets, potentially creating a significant supply gap in Japan for imported lumber.

Source: Japan Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport; The Trade Statistics, Japan Ministry of Finance; Japan Lumber Importers’ Association.

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Japanese Imports of Canadian and U.S. Lumber and Japanese Housing Starts

Japanese Lumber Imports of Canadian and U.S. Douglas Fir and Hemlock

~100 million board feet opportunity to replace non-SPF

U.S. exports to Japan

Page 22: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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Supply Drivers: Canadian Fibre Supply Reduction

Source: Q3 2014 Forest Economic Advisors

B.C. AAC and Lumber Production

Quebec AAC

Mountain Pine Beetle epidemic and lower AAC in B.C. and Eastern Canada are expected to have significant negative impact on North American lumber capacity.

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Page 23: DRAFT Investor Presentation April 2015. Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures  All financial references are expressed in C$ unless

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These materials have been prepared by Management of the Company. No regulatory authority has approved or disapproved of the contents of these materials. These materials do not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities of the Company and shall not constitute an offer, solicitation or sale of the Company’s securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful. Securities of the Company may not be offered or sold in the United States absent their prior registration or qualification or an applicable exemption from the applicable registration or qualification requirements.

Investor Relations Contact

Amy SpencerDirector of Communications and Government [email protected]