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Dr Chris Ellis Consultant Cardiologist Auckland City Hospital Auckland 16:30 - 17:25 WS #170: Everything You Need to Know About CT Cardiac Angiography & Calcium Scoring 17:35 - 18:30 WS #182: Everything You Need to Know About CT Cardiac Angiography & Calcium Scoring (Repeated)

Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

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Page 1: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Dr Chris EllisConsultant Cardiologist

Auckland City Hospital

Auckland

16:30 - 17:25 WS #170: Everything You Need to Know About CT Cardiac Angiography & Calcium Scoring

17:35 - 18:30 WS #182: Everything You Need to Know About CT Cardiac Angiography & Calcium Scoring

(Repeated)

Page 2: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Everything you need to know about CT

Cardiac Angiography & Calcium Scoring

Dr Chris Ellis

Cardiologist

Greenlane CVS Services,

Auckland City Hospital

& Auckland Heart Group

NZMA Rotorua 2017 CME

10 June 2017: 16.30

Page 3: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Everything you need to Know

about a Full CT Cardiac

Angiogram (CTCA)

Page 4: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CT Cardiac Angiography 2017:

What is it? How Does it Work?

Page 5: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 6: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CT Cardiac Angiography 2017:

Development Challenges

Coronary arteries:

– small and tortuous (2-4mm).

– Subjected to complex respiratory and

cardiac motion.

– RCA moves at up to 120 km/hour

Page 7: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

120 km/h

CTCA 2017: the Speed of the Right Coronary Artery

Page 8: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 9: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Multi-Slice CTCA

• ECG is ‘gated’; requires slow and

steady HR (50-65 bpm).

• Acquires a 3D data set of the whole

heart, in 6-10 seconds

• Scans in Diastole, static coronaries

1st heart beat

2nd heart beat

3rd heart beat

4th heart beat

5th heart beat

Page 10: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

X-rays are collected by detectors which record and

digitise into ‘voxels’ (3D ‘pixels’)

Page 11: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Spatial resolution 0.4mm x 0.4mm x 0.625mm

Page 12: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 13: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 14: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 15: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 16: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

MPR: Curved Multiplanar Reformated Image, Single Frame

Page 17: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Long Axis Short Axis

CT Angiography: Vessel Assessment

Page 18: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Case 1: Excellent correlation between CT Angiography

and Conventional Angiography. Mid LAD stenosis. PCI

Page 19: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA Case A: Male of 40 Years

Presentation with Atypical Chest Pain

Page 20: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 21: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 22: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 23: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 24: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA Challenges 2017: Patient Selection

Heart rate inversely proportional to image quality:

Need to lower HR to <60 bpm

– Oral & iv metoprolol tartrate before scan

– Significant asthma is a relative contra-indication

Calcification obscures lumen views

– Old patients (> 70 years) may not be suitable

– Prior CABG or PCI patients are not suitable

Page 25: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA Challenges: Patient Selection 2

Obese patients: images are worse

– Slender patients give better (more accurate) images

Irregular heart beats: limit accuracy

– Avoid patients with multiple atrial/ventricular ectopy

– Atrial fibrillation patients not usually suitable

Page 26: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA Challenges 2017: Irregular Heart Beat

• Irregular rhythm results in a ‘artefact’

– ‘Steps’ in the cardiac image

– e.g. Atrial fibrillation, frequent ectopy

Page 27: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

ACCURACY Trial.Budoff et al. JACC 2008;52:1724-32

• To evaluate diagnostic accuracy of 64-slice CTA vs Invasive coronary angiography (ICA)

– 16 USA Centres: All ‘Lightspeed’ GE Scanners

• 230 pts referred for a conventional ‘invasive coronary angiogram (ICA)

– 59% male, mean age 57 + 10 years

• Ability to detect > 50% and > 70% stenoses

• All pts and all segments assessed, no exclusions for poor images

Page 28: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

ACCURACY Trial: Results

“The high NPV (99%) firmly establishes CTA as an effective non-

invasive method to rule out obstructive coronary artery stenosis.”

Page 29: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTA: High Negative Predictive Value for

Non-obstructive Coronary Disease

As long as the images obtained are of good quality

Page 30: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Case 1 (MM): Recurrent Atypical Symptoms

• 59 year old female, ‘vice-like’ chest pains

– ACH admission: Xmas holidays

– ECG/Troponins normal

– SOB at 7 mins ETT, No ECG changes

• FH of hypertension; T Chol. 6.0 mmol/l

• Options:

– Nil else, stress echo, Cath, CTA, Other?

Page 31: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTA: High Negative Predictive Value for

Non-obstructive Coronary Disease

As long as the images obtained are of good quality

Page 32: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CASE 1: MM

Page 33: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Case 1 (MM) Atypical Symptoms:

Summary

• CT Angiogram excluded flow limiting stenoses

– Ca score optimally assessed CVS risk

• Gastroscopy, GORD, Omeprazole

– Patient happy

– Drs confident of diagnoses

– Management clear

Page 34: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CASE 2 (BA): Inconclusive ETT Results

• 70 year old male, usually fit & well

– 2 month history of exertional chest pain & SOBOE

– COPC ETT to 12 mins

– No chest pain or ST segment changes

• FH IHD (F < 60 years), hypertension, on statin

• Options:

– Nil else, stress echo, Cath, CTA, Other?

Page 35: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

The Problem with HIGH Calcium load

Page 36: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CASE 2: BA

Page 37: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CASE 2: BA

Page 38: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Case 2 (BA) Inconclusive ETT: Summary

• CT Calcium score: 75-90th percentile

– CT Angiogram incomplete, but probable flow

limiting stenoses

– Conventional angiogram required, then PCI

• Reasonable use of CTA (Could have gone

straight to Cath)

– Drs confident of diagnoses

– Management clear (PCI & prevention medication)

– Patient properly diagnosed and treated

Page 39: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA 2017: Imaging Aberrant

Coronary Arteries 1

Page 40: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 41: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 42: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA 2017: Imaging Aberrant

Coronary Arteries 2

Page 43: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 44: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 45: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 46: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 47: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

PCI: Coronary Stents

Page 48: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Coronary Stent

Page 49: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Coronary Stent

Page 50: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Coronary Stent

Page 51: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CABG Surgery

Page 52: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CT Angiography: Previous Bypass Grafts

Page 53: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

SV x 3 Bypass Grafts

Page 54: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 55: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA 2017: Imaging Thoracic

Aorta 1

Page 56: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 57: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 58: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA 2017: Imaging Thoracic

Aorta 2

Page 59: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 60: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 61: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA 2017: Imaging Left

Atrium pre EP Af Ablation

Page 62: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 63: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA 2017: Other Causes of

Shortness Of Breath 1

Page 64: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 65: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 66: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 67: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 68: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CTCA 2017: Other Causes of

Shortness Of Breath 2

Page 69: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 70: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Everything you need to Know

about a CT Calcium Score Test

Page 71: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Image-Based Assessment of CVS Risk :

CT Calcium Score Test

X-Ray ‘slices’ of the heart

3mm Intervals

About 50 cardiac slices per scan

Score relates to volume and density

of calcium in the coronary arteries

“Agatston” Units

Use for asymptomatic People

Page 72: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

No calcium Heavy calcium

Images from a CT Calcium Score Test

Page 73: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 74: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 75: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 76: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 77: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Coronary Artery Scanning

u SEVERECALCIFICATION

What is the Science to show that

Calcium Scores Predict CVS Risk?

Page 78: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Risk-Adjusted Cumulative

Survival by Ca Score

Budoff 2007, JACC

25,253 Patients

Page 79: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Calcium Score & Any Coronary Events:

MESA Study NEJM 2008;358:1336-45

P<0.001

Page 80: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

St Francis Heart Study: Coronary Event Rates as a function

of Calcium Score within Framingham Risk Groups

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

Low: < 10 Intermediate:

10-20

High: > 20

1st Tertile

2nd Tertile

3rd Tertile

% per 10 Years (Predicted)

% per year (CVS Events)Arad JACC 2005;46:158-65

4613 Asymptomatic People

Page 81: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

St Francis Heart Study [of 4,613 Asymptomatic People]Arad et al. JACC 2005;46: 158-65, 166-72.

• A Coronary Calcium Score of > 100 Agatston units

– Resulted in x 10 times increase risk of a CVS events

• The Coronary Calcium Score

– Was superior to the Framingham Risk Equation (Receiver-

operator curve 0.79 + 0.03 vs 0.69 + 0.03, p=0.0006)

– Enhanced stratification of Framingham Risk categories,

low, intermediate, high risk (p<0.0001)

Page 82: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

0-10 10-15 15+0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

0

>0-100

>100-400

Ca Score

>400-1000

> 1000

Framingham CVS 5 Year Risk Estimate %

(Incorporating 2009 NZGG Adjustments)

22% (CI 20-24)of patients predictedto be at low 5 year

CVS risk haveCa scores > 100

}n

First 3600 Consecutive CTAL AHG Patients(123 had a prior history of definite CHD so have

been excluded from this analysis)Agatston Calcium Score by Band of 5-Year CVS Risk Estimated by the NZ

Guidelines Group 2009 ‘Adjusted’ (Anderson) Framingham Equation

N=4903 pts Ellis CJ et al. NZ Med J 2016; 124: 1335.

Page 83: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Calcium Score Level Predicts CVS Events More Than Age

Blaha MJ et al. Circ CVS Imaging 2014;7: 398-408.

N=35,388

Page 84: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Calcium Score (Alone)

~ 1 mSv: ~ Same

as a Mammogram

The Radiation Dose of a CT Calcium

Background Radiation

dose in NZ is 3 mSv/year

Page 85: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CVS Risk

Assessment

Framingham-Based:

5 or 10-Year Risk &

“Lifetime-Risk” Family History

Calcium Scoring & CT

Angiography“Modern Risk Factors”

Page 86: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

20%

80%

Coronary Calcium Score &

Coronary Artery Plaque :Risk Assessment

80%

Plaque

Detectable

by IVUS,

CTAngio,

Pathology

Lipid Rich

Fibrotic

Calcified20%

80%

PROVEN

UNPROVEN (to date)

Page 87: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Odds Ratio of maintaining statin therapy with various

levels of baseline CAC (3.6 yr f/u) – Kalia et al. 2006

2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2.4

5.1

1.1

4.2

1.9

9.1 9.3

3.0

28.9

Page 88: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Personal Risk: No

longer abstract!

Very motivating:

Lifestyle &

Medication

Page 89: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Assessing CVS Risk

What is YOUR CVS Risk?

Page 90: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Who is at High Risk?

Page 91: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Atherosclerosis: Is Poorly Understood

A Highly Complex Ageing of the Arteries

It is driven by Lifestyle and Genetic factors

Page 92: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Plaque Rupture/Erosion Causing Acute Arterial Thrombus:

Well Understood Mechanism of Harm

• Coronary artery

– STEMI/NSTEMI/UAP

• Carotid or Cerebral artery

– Stroke/TIA

Page 93: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

What is the Mortality After a MI?

0

~50

100

%

60

30

4 hrs 3 days 1 year

40% Dead

5% 7%

Hospital

Pre-Hospital: 40% in 4 hrs

Pre + Hosp + FU: 70% in 12 yrs

12 years

70% Dead

Plaque

Rupture

Page 94: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

A Ruptured Plaque in a Coronary

Artery is Very Serious

Page 95: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Atherosclerosis: A Complex Ageing/Disease Process:

How Have we Assessed CVS Risk in New Zealand?

Page 96: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Patient Risk Assessment: Methods

• Epidemiology Based

– Risk Factors

– Complex Equation

VS

• Imaging Based

– Look for Atheroma

Page 97: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Patient Risk Assessment: Methods

• Epidemiology Based

– Risk Factors

– Complex Equation

VS

• Imaging Based

– Look for Atheroma

Page 98: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Framingham-Based Risk Tables

Page 99: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Framingham-Based CVS Risk Tables:

Risk Factors Used in NZ

• Age (decades)

• Gender

• Diabetes Status (Y/N)

• Hypertension

• Smoker (Y/N)

• Total Cholesterol/HDL

Ratio

Page 100: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Family history of premature CHD or ischaemic stroke:• In a first-degree male relative before the age of 55 years or• In a first-degree female relative before the age of 65 years

Maori

Pacific peoples or people from the Indian subcontinent

People with both diabetes and microalbuminuria

People who have had type 2 diabetes mellitus:• For more than 10 years or• Who have an HbA1c consistently greater than 8%

(People with the metabolic syndrome) GONE 2009

IF Total Cholesterol > 8 then risk > 15%

if Total Cholesterol/ HDL > 8 then risk> 15%

if BP consistently > 170/100 then risk > 15%

Additional 5% CVS Risk Factors (2003/2009 NZ Guidelines)

Page 101: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Can the USA Framingham Tables Really Predict CVS

Risk: in Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients in NZ?

Page 102: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Auckland City Hosp CCU Pts 1 June 06 to 30 June 07

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

'Young' Pts Treatment

Recommended

'Young' Pts No

Treatment

Recommended

CCU Pts

229 pts: ‘Young’ (male<55, female<65 years), no prior CVS disease

%

16%

84%

Pts with NZ Framingham CVS Risk > 15% over 5 Years

J Looi, CJ Ellis et al CSANZ 2008

Page 103: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

• Even the best Epidemiological models of

CVS risk assessment are inaccurate

• NZ Model is changing (again)– Epidemiological focus (most Guidelines)

• Certainly a reasonable way to start:

– Focus on risk factors, can be addressed

– Smoking, obesity, diabetes

– High BP, high cholesterol

• BUT is it really good enough….?

Gradual Realisation over time……..

Page 104: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Patient Risk Assessment: Methods

• Epidemiology Based

– Risk Factors

– Complex Equation

VS

• Imaging Based

– Look for Atheroma

Page 105: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Calcified Coronary Arteries

• Intuitive for CVS Risk

– Look for disease

– Concept used elsewhere

– Mammography, Colonoscopy

• Calcified Atherosclerosis

– The ‘End Product’ of all CVS risk factors [known or unknown]

– The extent of coronary atherosclerosis is the strongest predictor of CVS events

Page 106: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

STENTS

CABG

ICD

Prevention is Better than Cure

Secondary Care: Expensive with Invasive Treatments

Page 107: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Primary Prevention is Better than Cure

(We Have to do Better than This)

Sunday Star Times: 1 May 2016

• Age 54 years

• Physical activity

• Cardiac arrest

• Club’s AED

• FH IHD

• High Cholesterol

• No Treatment….

Collapsed January 2016

Page 108: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

Summary: Combine Strategies to

Investigate those at High Risk

• Epidemiology Based

– Risk Factors

– Complex Equation

• Additional Imaging Based

– Strategies are now available

– Look for Atheroma

Page 109: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?

CT Heart Scanning 2017: Summary

• Ca Score alone: CVS Risk

• Ca Score & CT Angiography

– Atypical symptoms

– Equivocal ETT

• CT Angiography alone

– Aorta, Pericardium imaging

– TAVI assessment

– EP (Pre-Af ablation assessment)

Page 110: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?
Page 111: Dr Chris Ellis - GP CME North/Sat_Room5_1630_Ellis... · 2017. 6. 10. · “Modern Risk Factors ... • Carotid or Cerebral artery –Stroke/TIA. What is the Mortality After a MI?