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DOING POLITICAL SCIENCE
Politics & Science
1. What is politics?
2. What is science?
3. What is Political Science? • Testable hypothesis• Systematic and rigorous research• Empirical evidence
• Observation, logic, knowledge, evidence
• Replicable results¤
Subfields of Political Science
American•Institutions•Behavior•Policy•Administration•Law
Comparative•Institutions•Behavior•Policy•Development
Int’l Relations•Theory•Transnational issues•Policy•Global economy•Conflict & Security
Theory•-Isms•Time frames•Schools of thought
Hypotheses & Variables
Political Science•Have a theory about something•Testable hypothesis•Systematic and rigorous research•Replicable results¤
PROVE
HypothesisWhat is it?
•Suspect relationship between 2+ things
• Technically called ‘alternative hypothesis’
• Being a Republican increases the likelihood of supporting legalizing Marijuana.
• Null hypothesis is the default position
• Party affiliation does not have an impact on views on Marijuana.
•Assumption about something
¤
Testing Hypothesis
Use methodology
• Qualitative
• Quantitative
• Combo of both
¤
Hypothesis?
Variables
Variables = Factors in the hypothesis• Dependent (DV)
• What you’re trying to explain
• Independent (IV)• What you think explains the phenomenon
¤
Identify the Variables
• The higher the GPA of the students in this class, the more likely they are to get an A• DV=what determines a grade• IV= GPA
• The children of smokers are more likely to smoke than those of non-smokers• DV=who smokes• IV= parental influence
¤
Identify the Variables• Regularly watching television cartoons and music videos negatively affects attention span.• DV=what affects attention span• IV= regularly watching cartoons; regularly watching music videos
• How does familial support influence body image in teenage girls? • DV=what influences body image• IV= familial support¤
¤
Identify the Variables
• What is the relationship between GDP and female literacy rates?• DV= none- not a hypothesis• IV= ditto
• Happiness is increased by participating in charitable activities and identifying with a religion. • DV=what affects happiness• IV= doing charity; religious affiliation
¤
Operationalization
To operationalize a definition = To provide a way to measure something
• Set limits for variables
Hypothesis: Democratic countries are less likely to go to war with one another.
What needs to be operationalized? • War, democracy
¤
Operationalize the Hypothesis
What impact does the increase of Type 2 diabetes have on U.S. healthcare costs?
1.Identify the DV and IV(s)• DV= U.S. healthcare costs• IV= Type 2 diabetes
2.What needs to be operationalized?• Healthcare ‘costs’, ‘increase’ of the disease
¤
Operationalize the Hypothesis
The higher the level of education, the higher the level of voter turnout expected
1.Identify the DV(s) and the IV(s)• DV= who votes• IV= education level
2.What needs to be operationalized?• Voter turnout, education level
¤
Operationalize the HypothesisHow do the number of nongovernmental organizations in a country affect a country’s sovereignty?
1.Identify the DV and IV(s)• DV= sovereignty• IV= # of NGOs
2.What needs to be operationalized?• Sovereignty, NGOs
3.What other possible IVs are there?• Level of development, sense of nationalism, etc.
¤
Operationalize the Hypothesis
What is the correlation between economic benefits and European Union membership?
1.Rephrase into a hypothesis
2.Identify the DV and IV(s)
3.What needs to be operationalized?
¤
Good Research?
Two Princeton University researchers analyzed data from web searches to conclude that Facebook will lose most of its users by 2017.
Facebook staffers riposted with “proof” that, based on search data, Princeton itself is on the verge of dying out.
¤
Good Research?• How reliable are the results?
• Keys• Build on existing research• Replication of study
• Will another test get the same results?• More times results confirmed, increased validity
• Note- not prove, confirm
¤
Research Results
Most published research findings are false• Research bias• Bad judgment• Incompetence • Sloppy research design• Misinterpretation
¤
Jumping the Gun
Problem•One sensational outcome gets attention
• Cell phones cause brain cancer•Media, policymakers, public hear results•Tend to focus on one sensationalized study
• Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
• More studies = greater likelihood of accuracy
¤
Recap
Political Science = Theories Hypothesis Test with variables using method Confirmed hypothesis or null hypothesisReplicate or investigate¤