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Contact Information: Aukje van Loon, Research Associate, Chair for International Relations,
Ruhr University Bochum GC 04/707, 44780 Bochum, Germany. E-mail: [email protected]
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
Aukje van Loon
Chair for International Relations
PhD. Supervisor: Prof. Dr. Stefan A. Schirm
Ruhr University Bochum, Germany
Paper prepared for the 5
th ECPR General Conference
10–12 September, 2009
Potsdam, Germany
Section 51: The European Union and International Institutions
Panel 500: The EU and Regimes in the Global Political Economy
Draft version – Please do not cite or circulate without permission of the author.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
2
1.1 Introduction1
The European Union2 (EU),
as the most integrated and sophisticated regional actor in
global governance (Telò 2009), also constitutes the largest trading actor in the world. It is the
world’s leading exporter and second-leading importer of goods and it is the leader in both
exporting and importing trade in services.3 A key feature of EU trade strategy is the
combination of multilateral, interregional and bilateral approaches to international trade
negotiations4 (Elsig, 2007a). While on the one hand, it has been one of the strongest advocates
of a multilateral approach to trade liberalisation, the EU has paradoxically also developed an
extensive network of preferential trade agreements (PTAs). Hence, the EU is “not only a
formidable power in trade [i]t is also becoming a power through trade” (Meunier and
Nicolaidis, 2006: 907).
One can distinguish between two types of discriminatory EU international trade
strategies, i.e. between those of an interregional and of a bilateral nature. In the case of the
former, the EU currently maintains either “strategic partnership relations”, “equal basis
relations” or other types of trade relationships with most regions in the world (Hänggi 2006:
35). On the other hand, for a long time, the EU’s bilateral trade strategy (concluding bilateral
trade agreements with specific countries), played second fiddle to the EU’s rhetorical
commitments to multilateralism and interregionalism. However, in October 2006 this policy
was abandoned in the “Global Europe” communication, which stressed the importance of
strengthening bilateral trade relations with a set of carefully targeted emerging markets
(Heydon and Woolcock, 2009). This trend towards discriminatory trade agreements appears
to be increasingly relevant as a new round of regionalism is widely expected to take off
among WTO members, and “will further fuel the trend toward preferential
agreements”(Dieter 2008: 2) following the renewed failure to conclude the multilateral Doha
Development Round (DDR).
Concerning the significant role the EU plays “in international trade governance and
the importance of trade agreements for the EU’s development, it is remarkable how little
research has been undertaken on the EU’s role in international trade negotiations” (Dür 2006:
363), especially regarding specific regions in the global political economy. Scholars are
1 I would like to thank Prof. Dr. Stefan A. Schirm for valuable comments and advice. For providing significant
information on the EU-Chile FTA, I would like to thank Dr. Maria Garcia. 2 Legally, responsibility for external trade policy remains with the European Community (EC) until ratification
of the Lisbon Treaty. After successful ratification the EU will be responsible for external trade policy. However,
for simplification purposes reference will be made to the EU throughout this paper. 3 http://stat.wto.org/CountryProfile/WSDBCountryPFView.aspx?Language=E&Country=E27 (18.06.2009)
4 The terms bargaining and negotiation are used interchangeably.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
3
significantly paying attention to EU foreign policy decision-making, especially regarding
political and economic external relations, (Peterson and Sjursen, 1999; White, 2001; Smith,
2002; Knodt and Princen, 2003; Aggarwal and Fogarty, 2004; Tonra and Christiansen, 2004;
Bretherton and Vogler, 2006; Carlsnaes et al., 2004; and Smith, 2008). Consequently, an
increasing notice has been paid to the relations between the EU and Latin America (Valladão,
1999; Schirm 2001; Grabendorff and Seidelmann, 2005; Santander, 2008). Existing works on
EU foreign policy seem to devote contributions to this region frequently in comparison with
its African, Asian and Eastern European counterparts (Edwards and Regelsberger, 1990;
Holland, 2003; Smith, 2002; Aggarwal and Fogarty, 2004; Santander and Ponjaert 2009).
There has been substantial academic interest in the EU’s relation with MERCOSUR (Bessa-
Rodrigues, 1999; Bulmer-Thomas and Page, 1999; Sánchez Bajo, 1999; Müller-Brandeck-
Bocquet, 2000; Klom, 2003; Faust, 2004; Gratius, 2005; Santander, 2005; Doctor, 2007; and
Mukhametdinov, 2007) or in relation with its American counterpart NAFTA (Schirm, 1997).
However, EU’s relations with individual Latin American countries, Mexico and Chile in
particular, appears to have been particularly ignored, perhaps because in most of the literature
Mexico is considered a subset of NAFTA and Chile is considered a subset of MERCOSUR.
Yet it was with both Mexico and Chile that, after one and two years respectively, the EU
signed its most comprehensive free trade agreements (FTAs) to date with any third country.
As such it is astounding that little research has been conducted on bilateral trade relations, the
EU-Mexico and EU-Chile FTAs, either in a comparative perspective (Dür, 2007; Domínguez,
2006) or taken individually (Busse et al., 2000; Zabludovsky, 2001; Zabludovsky and Lora
2005; Szymanski and Smith, 2005; Garcia, 2009) or especially in comparison with its
interregional counterpart, the EU-MERCOSUR FTA.
1.2 Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America – Empirical Puzzle
The EU and the Mercado Comun del Sur (MERCOSUR)5 member states signed the
EU-MERCOSUR Interregional Framework for Cooperation Agreement (EMIFCA) in 1995
which was to be the official start of trade negotiations towards an Interregional Association
Agreement (IAA).6 The first trade negotiation round started in April 2000 and after sixteen
rounds of negotiations this interregional relationship has been in stalemate with the IAA far
from being concluded (see Figure 1. ‘Chronology of the EU-MERCOSUR Trade
5 MERCOSUR was created in March 1991 by Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay (Treaty of Asunción).
6 Previously, on 29
th of May 1992, EU and MERCOSUR signed the Inter-Institutional Cooperation Agreement
with focus on EU promotion of technical assistance to support the MERCOSUR integration process.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
4
Negotiations’). On the other hand, EU’s bilateral trade relations with two other countries in
the region, Chile and Mexico, have been proposed, negotiated and concluded rather fast.
Trade negotiations between the EU and Chile started in April 2000 and were concluded in
2002 after ten rounds of trade negotiations (see Figure 2. ‘Chronology of EU-Chile Trade
Negotiations’). Especially, the EU-Mexico Free Trade Agreement (EUMFTA) was, after only
nine rounds of trade negotiations between November 1998 and November 1999, successfully
concluded (see Figure 3. ‘Chronology of the EU-Mexico Trade Negotiations’). The EU-
Mexico FTA was announced “the first, the fastest and the best” (Lamy, 2002a) and the FTA
with Chile “is a XXI century model of [future] trade relations” (EC 2002b: 1) because it
involves “the most ambitious and innovative results ever for a bilateral agreement by the EU”
(Lamy, 2002).7 Both FTAs are referred to by the European Commission (EC) as “the most
modern and comprehensive [political, economic and cooperation FTAs] in the global
economy” and both set a paradigm for future trade agreements.8 This concludes that these two
diverging EU trade strategies in Latin America, interregional and bilateral, show a great
variation in outcomes (dependent variable). Thus, the empirical puzzle is as follows;
Why has the European Union interregional trade endeavour with MERCOSUR failed
whereas its bilateral trade strategies with Mexico and Chile have been successfully
concluded?
Hence, this paper will focus on EU trade strategies in Latin America. As mentioned
above, three specific reasons account for focussing specifically on EU external trade relations
in this region. First of all, of particular importance is that the EU has applied both of the
above-mentioned types of discriminatory trade strategies in this region; the interregional and
bilateral approach, secondly, the application of these trade strategies occurred in a
simultaneous time-frame and thirdly, the outcomes of these three trade strategies vary greatly
which makes investigating the interaction of the EU with a regional organisation,
MERCOSUR, and two individual countries, Mexico and Chile, within that region of great
interest. Also of importance is that academic attention, when applied to regional integration
within Latin America, takes a particular Eurocentric perspective. Investigations of
international trade negotiations can only acclaim part of the process and outcome when
7 The EU-Chile FTA covers ‘WTO-plus’ issues; 90 percent of trade liberalisation in all sectors but most of all it
includes the Singapore issues (competition policy, investment, transparency in government procurement and
trade facilitation) and issues such as intellectual property rights, services and public procurement. 8 http://ec.europa.eu/trade/issues/bilateral/countries/chile/index_en.htm
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
5
attention has been put on only one side of the ‘negotiation table’. Thus, this paper wants to
make a novel contribution by first of all, comparing and contrasting EU trade agreements with
MERCOSUR, Chile and Mexico, and by, second of all, taking the counterpart perspective
into account. Accordingly, the objective of this paper is not only to explain the variation in
outcomes of diverging EU trade strategies in Latin America and to compare the interregional
approach applied by the EU with its bilateral trade strategy, it thereby also explains the role of
the EU in international trade negotiations. By taking a political economy approach, it seeks to
compare the two types of trade diplomacy in terms of preferences and power relations,
decision-making and negotiation, and the influence of these factors on trade liberalisation.
The central argument of this paper is that variation in outcomes of EU international trade
agreements can best be explained by three causal considerations; the economic preferences9
of (trans-) national interest groups, the relative bargaining power of states and the role of the
chief negotiators (independent variables). Therefore, three questions can be asked: how much
do (trans-) national preferences contribute to the outcome of international trade negotiations?
How much do distributional consequences and asymmetrical bargaining contribute to the
outcome of international trade negotiations? How much does political entrepreneurship
contribute to the outcome of international trade negotiations?
1.3 Theoretical Framework - Three-Level Games
This paper uses Robert Putnam’s (1988) approach of two-level games (adapted to a
three-level game) complemented by Moravcik’s liberal intergovernmentalism. Putnam’s
seminal article focuses on the case study of the Bonn Summit of the G7 in 1978 and not the
international trade negotiations of the EU. At the time of writing, the international system was
characterised by a bipolar structure and as such theoretical debates were dominated by
systemic theories. These theories had difficulties in explaining international negotiations
involving multiple actors at different levels. Putnam’s metaphor of two-level games, by
contrast, opens up the ‘black box’ of the state by focussing on the interaction between various
players instead of analysing only one level or a sequence of levels.
9 Here, the term preference is used instead of the term interest. Interests and preferences need to be
differentiated which shows that the latter derives from the former (Baumgartner and Leech, 1998; Frieden, 1999;
Milner 1997; Woll 2008). Interests are fundamental goals such as maximising income for economic actors and
maximising chances to retain in office for political actors. These fundamental interests hardly change whereas
preferences are variable. Preferences are the strategies applied to achieve the (basic) interests; policy preferences
or policy choices are specific preferences which “entails choosing an instrument with which the actor hopes to
achieve the strategic goal” (Woll 2008:34).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
6
“At the national level, domestic groups pursue their interests by pressuring the
government to adopt favourable policies, and politicians seek power by
constructing coalitions among those groups. At the international level, national
governments seek to maximize their own ability to satisfy domestic pressures,
while minimizing the adverse consequences of foreign developments” (Putnam
1988: 434).
However, a ‘simple’ two-level approach lacks the intermediate layer needed for an
explanation of the behaviour of the EU in international trade negotiations. Intra-EU
negotiations and compromises usually take place before the EU enters the international scene
and these involve a pyramid of preferences ranging from the private sector over domestic
politics up to the ‘European interest’ deduced in the Council of Ministers. The EU acts as a
single actor within the World Trade Organisation (WTO) based on its Common Commercial
Policy (CCP). The EU’s common negotiation position, its ‘single voice’ is the result of
intense internal negotiations, where member states have to agree on positions that are both
acceptable to their own domestic constituencies and ‘winning’ on the international stage.
Delegation of trade policy-making in the EU occurs on two levels. At the first level of
delegation individual member states have delegated trade authority to the collective Council
of Ministers. The Council’s policy positions evolve along national lines as domestic interest
groups address their interests to national governments. Heads of state and government meet
formally (once every six months) and these meetings are prepared by the Committee of
Permanent Representatives (COREPER) and working groups which are composed of national
experts. It has been empirically investigated that the members of the Council of Ministers are
primarily interested in domestic outcomes of EU policy implementation followed by the
significance of expert knowledge on market integration (Eising 2007). A second level of trade
policy delegation is conducted from the Council of Ministers to its negotiating agent, the
European Commission (EC). Before trade is being negotiated between the EU and third
countries, this body drafts a proposed negotiating mandate. In a special committee (Article
133 Committee), which examines and amends negotiation proposals, the Community’s
objectives are being discussed before passing them on to the COREPER. Then the General
Affairs Council (composed of member states’ foreign ministers) examines and finally hands
out a negotiating mandate to the EC.
Hence, the EC conducts international trade negotiations, within the limits set by a mandate of
the Council of Ministers which at the end of negotiations approves or rejects international
trade agreements (Bayne and Woolcock, 2007).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
7
In EU trade policy literature, participation in international trade negotiations is
increasingly referred to as a three-level game, involving the national, the EU and the
international level. Although, some have theoretically applied three-level games (Patterson,
1997; Collinson, 1999; Deutsch 1999; Frennhoff Larsen, 2007) however, in practice, the
tendency of scholars has been to treat the positions of the EU member states as given which
reduces the game of three levels to a two level-game with the national level being treated as
the European level. The simplification of such analysis is defended by most scholars referring
to the state being a unitary actor and thus its negotiation position reflects the preferences of
the national level. In his national preference formation, Moravcsik (1998) accounts for the
domestic position as given as he assumes the state being a unitary actor where focus is put on
the aggregation of member state positions (EU Level II) into a common negotiating position
(International Level I). Although using a liberal (intergovernmental) approach to international
politics, this does not however open the ‘black box’ of what happens domestically within a
nation state; i.e. which economic preferences dominate and how these are being aggregated
into government or member state positions. Another argument for ‘skipping’ the domestic
level has been justified by the fact that member state positions have been fairly stable
whereby these states are consequently divided into the ‘liberal North’ or the ‘protectionist
south’ or ‘Club Med’ countries (Ahnlid 2005: 134; Nguyen, 2008). These analytical shortcuts
however, do not account for different trade outcomes regarding divergent trade strategies
“concerned with the interaction between international and domestic factors and between
economic and political concerns [i]t makes no sense to assume that states are unitary actors,
that negotiators have full knowledge of national policy preferences or that these preferences
will be steady and not affected by market developments” (Bayne and Woolcock 2007: 5).
Therefore, not only one level or a sequence of levels should be analysed but each of the three
levels should be analysed individually.
By applying Putnam’s two-level games and adapting it to a three-level game model
(Table 1.) this paper offers insights on the EU’s external trade relations through explaining
the entanglements and shortcomings of the EU-MERCOSUR negotiations on the one hand
and the successful concluded EU-Chile and EU-Mexico trade agreements on the other hand.
The ‘classical’ case of bilateral EU negotiations with a single country, Mexico and Chile,
where the single country applies a two-level game approach (National Level II and
International Level I) in contrast to the EU which applies a three-level game (National Level
III, EU Level II and International Level I) will be investigated. The region-to-region
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
8
approach, the international trade negotiations of complex interregionalism (Hardacre and
Smith, 2009) increases the analytical and political complexity by adding another level for
both the EU (National Level III, EU Level II and International Level I) and the same for
MERCOSUR (National Level III, MERCOSUR Level II and International Level I). This
political complexity has led to the EU being referred to as a ‘conflicted trade power’ (Meunier
and Nicolaidis, 2006) mainly because the heterogeneous preferences of interest groups lead to
differing views among the EU governments regarding trade liberalisation. Due to the fact that
these preferences need to be aggregated twice (at the national level and the EU level) “the
struggle for power and the search for internal compromise becomes crucial (Milner 1997: 11).
However, internal division can lead to united collective representation. The question is
whether this has been the case in the EU-MERCOSUR, EU-Mexico and EU-Chile FTAs?
Also, to account for international trade outcomes and the variance in their outcomes it is
essential to also consider the characteristics of the counterpart actors with which the EU
engages. Actors investigated are, specifically Argentina and Brazil for MERCOSUR and the
counterpart states Mexico and Chile, in order to determine which factors have an effect on
shaping both the interregional and bilateral decision-making processes and outcomes. The
goal is to identify the main explanatory factors to then to consider which of these are most
important. Thus, as shown in Table 1, possible explanations for interregional and bilateral
trade outcomes fall into the broad categories of both EU and counterpart characteristics (trade
policy profiles). Of these two categories, EU characteristics are more directly comparable
across cases, as the same sets of public and private actors exist. Counterpart characteristics are
less directly comparable given the political and economic diversity both across and within the
counterpart regional organisation and counterpart countries. These broad categories of EU and
counterpart characteristics include the independent variables; preferences, power, and
coherence. The core argument here is that the divergent outcomes of interregional and
bilateral trade strategies can be attributed to three conjunctions; one of interest group and
government interaction (societal approach); one of state-state interaction (intergovernmental
approach); and one of counterpart characteristics (the international approach).
1.3.1 Independent Variables
In the analysis of the political economy of international trade negotiations no
individual theoretical approach has a monopoly on wisdom or truth; “there is no single theory
of economic [trade] diplomacy that can provide answers on how states, under given
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
9
circumstances, will conduct policy” (Bayne and Woolcock, 2007: 5). Regarding EU trade
policy, four sets of issues are crucial to understanding EU trade politics (Milner 1999: 93).
These different issues may, individually and/or collectively, offer valuable insights. Of
importance here are first of all the trade policy preferences of domestic economic interest
groups (Grossmann and Helpman, 2002; Grossman, 2004; Dür, 2008). Secondly, political
institutions, particularly on the EU level are of importance as the trade preferences of the
national level are aggregated and translated on this ‘intermediate’ level (Milner, 1997). A
third central issue is the importance of the European Commission as the sole negotiator of EU
trade policy (Elsig, 2007b). Finally, the international political environment influences
international trade politics. These crucial issues to understanding EU external trade policy
will be applied below in a three-level games model. Thus, specific political-economic
variables (preferences, power, and strategies) on three levels are being highlighted:
� III. National Level: Preferences (national economic interests): material economic
gains or losses of national interest groups which are altered positively or negatively
due to the liberalisation of trade.
This level takes a societal approach to governmental preference formation. According to the
liberal theory of international relations; those interests best able to impose their individual
preferences, or the compromise preferences of an aggregated grouping on trade policy, will
see these preferences reflected in trade policy toward other regions or countries.10
The
preferences of member states at the national and EU level, and their positioning of these in
international trade negotiations, are key determinants of the zone of agreement (Odell, 2000)
at the international level.11
Moravcsik also has contributed significantly to the debate on
domestic influences regarding foreign policy-making including trade as he focuses on the
internal influences on international politics and negotiations.12
He takes the position that
cooperation among states is influenced by ‘domestic distributional consequences’ and
underlines this by his definition of commercial liberalism as it “stresses the impact on state
behaviour of gains and losses to individuals and groups in society from transnational
10
“Liberal IR theory, elaborates the insight that state-society relations – the relationship of states to the domestic
and transnational social context in which they are embedded – have a fundamental impact on state behaviour in
world politics” (Moravcsik 1997: 513). 11
Although preferences are of significant importance, the zone of agreement can be influenced by other factors
such as side-payments, issue-linkage and coalition-building. Odell’s ‘zone of agreement’ is equal to Putnam’s
‘win-set’ and Keohane and Nye’s (1977) ‘asymmetrical interdependence’. 12
It should be noted however, that Moravcsik focuses primarily on the influence of domestic politics on treaty
formation rather than on economic policy-making. An exception here is his 1991 work on the Single European
Act (Moravcsik, 1991).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
10
economic interchange” (Moravcsik 1997: 515). The relationship between state and society is
a relationship of supply (society) and demand (state). The state depends on the ‘assistance’ of
interest groups in formulating and implementing policies by supply of specific resources. The
state demands exchange of information, both technical and political, from interest groups.
These, on the other hand, have an interest in influencing policy formulation and
implementation and thus seek direct access to the state. Public officials concerned with
electoral performance then in turn supply policies beneficial to interest groups. Although the
state is a representative political institution or representation, which is used as a “transmission
belt” where preferences and power of interest groups are translated into foreign trade policy,13
it is however unable to represent all interest groups equally. Therefore, political biased
representation is the norm as governments represent some interest groups more than others.
This leaves some interest groups privileged over others by being more involved in the
political process of national preference formation and decision-making. Concerning trade
protection for example, this reflects pressure from powerful domestic interest groups.
However, in part, this power results from biases within the political representative
institutions. This means “that states do not automatically maximize fixed, homogeneous
conceptions [but rather] they pursue particular interpretations and combinations of security,
welfare and sovereignty preferred by powerful domestic groups enfranchised by
representative institutions and practices” (Moravcsik 1997: 519). Of importance here is that
the state can decide which interest groups to represent and how representation takes place
(state autonomy), thereby determining whose social preferences dominate state policy.14
� II. EU / Counterpart Level: Preferences (transnational economic interests): material
economic gains or losses of transnational interest groups which are altered positively
or negatively due to the liberalisation of trade.
Power (control over negotiation agenda): the extent to
which states can shape the form and outcome of a trade strategy in order to balance
both competing demands from both national and transnational interest groups as well
as the intra-bargaining process on the EU/Counterpart level.
This level takes an intergovernmental approach to (inter-)state bargaining; an intra-EU
bargaining game where Level III and Level II national and transnational interests result into
13
Within the international system the state is an actor but within the domestic political setting it is an institution
of representation (Moravcsik 1997:518-520). 14
See republican liberalism Moravcsik 1997: 530-533.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
11
state preferences and the relative state bargaining power results in the outcome of
international negotiations. This intergovernmental approach focuses on issue-specific
distribution of bargaining power (policy interdependence), which in turn reflects the
relationship between preference intensity (asymmetrical interdependence). “Policy
interdependence is defined here as the set of costs and benefits created for foreign societies
when dominant social groups in a society seek to realize their preferences, that is, the pattern
of transnational externalities resulting from attempts to pursue national distinctive purposes”
(Moravcsik 1997: 520). Of importance is the relative intensity of national preferences, the
value a state puts on an agreement, which decides whether it is willing to make concessions.
The asymmetrical interdependence and the opportunity for issue linkages provides the
foundation for an intergovernmental analysis of distributional conflicts among governments”
(Moravcsik 1993: 480). Governments gaining the most from international trade outcomes
compromise the most by offering the most significant side-payments or concessions in order
to achieve successful outcomes. Each state aims to accomplish its specific preferences while
being under pressure from other states’ preferences. This occurs through an intra-EU
bargaining game.
In what way do power considerations within the EU and within the counterpart affect the
willingness of all members of the region to engage in interregional/bilateral relations? How
do possible power asymmetries between the counterpart and the EU affect the former’s
attitudes towards negotiations and possible agreements with the latter? Due to the benefits of
asymmetrical bargaining the EU can sustain more control over the negotiation agenda than its
negotiation partner (Chile or Mexico). In international trade strategies where the EU enjoys
greater negotiation leverage, the EU is better to control the direction and substance of trade
agreements with these countries. For example, the EU is better to control sectoral exclusions,
escape options and selective liberalisation processes which diminish national and
transnational opposition of import-competing industries.
� I. International Level: Chief negotiator’s bargaining strategies
Details regarding the nature of negotiations will be investigated to explain the effect that
particular aspects of the negotiation progress has on trade outcomes.
These three levels show that specific major problems, in both interregional and
bilateral trade negotiations are a) divergent (trans-) national economic interests and b) the
control over the negotiation agenda and c) negotiation strategies. By focussing on these
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
12
variables an investigation of the process of region-to-region and region-to-country interaction
explains how these variables are associated with a particular variance in trade outcomes and
which either one, or a combination of these, carries more weight regarding unsuccessful or
successful conclusion of international trade strategies.
1.4 EU Characteristics:
The paper explores more in detail the conduct of the EU in the highly sensitive issue
area beyond trade; agriculture. This is an interesting case where deep differences in
preferences among EU member states may result in tensions at the European level, provoking
deadlocks in international negotiations. Eight case studies will be investigated; for the EU
(France, Germany, UK and Spain) and for MERCOSUR (Brazil and Argentina) and the two
individual countries, Chile and Mexico. France, Germany and the UK are the largest
economies in the EU and with the highest number of votes (followed by Spain) in the
European Council they are the most influential EU members.15
France and Germany in the
EU and their respective counterparts in MERCOSUR are viewed as the driving forces of
European integration. Regarding trade liberalisation in agriculture, member states’
preferences are based on two criteria; their total share of agricultural production and total
amount of direct payments received from the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). Trade
liberalisation of agriculture will open up markets which essentially will lead to fewer
subsidies and more CAP reforms. Three distinct groups of countries can be distinguished
regarding liberalisation of agriculture: the supporters, the ‘mixed preference position’ and the
opponents.
Of the chosen EU case study countries, the strongest opponents regarding trade liberalisation
in agriculture are France, and Spain. These countries are against further CAP reforms and in
favour of import protection through export subsidies and domestic support payments. Within
the EU, France is the largest producer and exporter of agricultural goods (20.3%) followed by
Italy (14.2%), Spain (12.7%) and Germany (12.6).16
France also receives the highest amount
of direct CAP payments (7, 6 million Euro p.a.) followed by Germany (5 million Euro) and
Spain (4, 4 million Euro). Supporter of agricultural trade liberalisation is the UK, it has a
15
The number of votes allocated to EU member states reflects the size of population: France, Germany and the
UK each have 29 votes and Spain has 27 votes. When the Council of the European Union (Council of Ministers)
and the President of the Commission meet then this summit meeting is called European Council. 16
See http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/publi/capexplained/cap_en.pdf (Access 12 June 2008).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
13
relatively small agricultural sector which is of small significance within the economy as a
whole. The country with a ‘mixed-preference’ position towards agricultural liberalisation is
Germany. On the one hand, this country supports the opponents of trade liberalisation in
agriculture, but on the other hand, regarding CAP reform towards ‘Southern’ agricultural
products (wine, fruit and vegetables) it is in support of agricultural liberalisation.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
14
Table 1: Theoretical Framework: EU / Counterpart Characteristics of ‘Three-Level Games’
EU Characteristics Counterpart Characteristics
(trade policy profile) (trade policy profile)
Interregional Trade Agreement Bilateral Trade Agreement EU MERCOSUR EU-Chile, EU-Mexico
III. National Level III. National Level II. National Level Intra-State Level
Preferences Preferences Preferences
(National economic (National economic (National economic
interests) interests) interests)
Power
(Intra-state bargaining)
II. EU II. MERCOSUR Interstate Level Interstate Level (Intra-EU) (Intra-MERCOSUR)
Preferences Preferences
(Transn. economic interests) (Transn. economic interests)
Power Power (Intergovernmental bargaining) (Interpresidental bargaining)
I. International Level (EU and Counterpart)
Bargaining
Interregional Bilateral Trade Outcome Trade Outcome
Liberal Intergovern-mentalism
1. National Preference Formation (2. Intra-State Bargaining)
2. Interstate Bargaining
3. Institutional Outcome
Source: Based on Putnam 1988 and Moravcsik 1998.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
15
1.5 Counterpart characteristics
All counterpart case study countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico) have been,
and still are, engaged in a wide variety of external trade relations. However, each has taken a
different direction regarding to integrate itself into the global political economy, as each
liberalised trade to a different degree and in a very distinct manner which reflects the
differences in these countries political-economic trade policy profiles and external trade
strategies (Aggarwal et al., 2004b). “Economic relations are thus not only slowed down and
complicated by European internal policies but also reflect the failure of Latin American
countries to establish a common economic agenda and to accelerate integration at a regional
level” (Westphal 2005: 176). Brazil and Argentina took the regional direction and Chile and
Mexico concentrated on a distinct bilateral direction. Hence, of importance here are the
differences among the trade policy profiles of the case study countries in regional and
international trade governance:
Brazil: the regional leader17
is focussed on both the multilateral and interregional
trade level pursued through both (aggressive) individual and collective
regional activity (full member of MERCOSUR and since 2005 associate
member of the Andean Community of Nations, CAN). Brazil is an
emerging global and regional power, a member of the WTO and the
CAIRNS Group, a leader representative of the G20 group of developing
countries and signed a “Strategic Partnership” with the EU in July 2007.18
Argentina: the regional follower19
is focussed on trade relations both on the
multilateral and interregional level pursued through collective regional
activity (full member of MERCOSUR and since 2005 associate member of
17
Schirm defines ‘leadership’ “as the ability to make others follow goals and positions which these others did
not previously share and/or to make others support an increase in status and power of the emerging power”
Schirm, forthcoming. 18
Brazil is associate membership of CAN through the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) and joined
the WTO in 1995. The CAIRNS Group was founded in 1986 and consists of states aiming to bring about
liberalisation of global trade in agricultural produce. The G20 was officially founded on 20 August 2003 by
twenty states (currently 23 members). The core leadership of this group is the G4 bloc, Brazil, India, China and
South Africa. 19
Schirm defines ‘followership’ “as supporting the goals and positions of another country which were not shared
previously and/or as accepting a relative loss of status and power vis-à-vis the emerging power” Schirm,
forthcoming.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
16
the CAN) and is a member of the WTO, the CAIRNS Group and the
G20.20
Chile: the independent trader concentrates on all international trade forums
including unilateral trade liberalisation, multilateral, interregional and
bilateral levels. It participates in multilateral organisations such as APEC,
WTO and is a member of the CAIRNS Group and the G20.21
Since 1996,
Chile enjoys an associate membership status of MERCOSUR and since
2006, is an associate member of CAN (after having had a full and observer
member status) and it currently has 16 signed free trade agreements
including with the EU, the P4 Group, Japan, South Korea and a trade
agreement with India.22
Mexico the interdependent hub market actively concentrates on bilateral trade
relations and also has interregional trade agreements (full member of
NAFTA). Significant is its role as an emerging market economy, its active
membership of key multilateral economic forums, APEC, WTO and
OECD23
, its G20 membership and the signing of a “Strategic Partnership”
with the EU in July 2008. Mexico has an observer status with
MERCOSUR and CAN, currently has 13 signed free trade agreements
including the EU, Israel and Japan and since 2002 has an Economic
Complementation Agreement (ACE) with MERCOSUR.24
Among the Latin American countries to be investigated, Chile is the most significant
example of successful unilateral liberalisation. It started relatively early to implement free
trade and has pursued trade at both the multilateral, regional and bilateral level. With its
external trade strategy of an independent trader, Chile seeks to enhance its economic
competitiveness and minimises risks, complementary to seeking political leverage through
associated membership in regional blocs. Because of this, Chile enjoys great diversified
20
Argentina is associate membership of CAN through UNASUR framework and joined the WTO in 1995. 21
Chile joined the WTO in 1995 and Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) in 1994. 22
P4 Group consists of Chile, Brunei, New Zealand and Singapore.
http://www.sice.oas.org/ctyindex/CHL/CHLagreements_e.asp (Access 09 July 2009). 23
Mexico joined APEC in 1993, the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 1995 and it is the only Latin American
country that joined the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in 1994. 24
http://www.sice.oas.org/ctyindex/MEX/MEXagreements_e.asp (Access 09 July 2009).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
17
geographical linkages and has no strong dependency on anyone particular commercial hub
within the global political economy.25
“Chile has been true to its pioneer spirit by being the first in Latin America to
undertake the economic reforms which have brought it high, stable growth over a
long period. It is now showing the same spirit again by conducting an open
commercial policy, i.e. signing a whole range of bilateral liberalisation
agreements, joining Mercosur some time ahead and resolutely opting for the
active multilateralists’ camp in Geneva”.26
In the case of Mexico, the deepening of ties to the U.S. through NAFTA has enhanced
the country’s long-term political and economic prospects, but at the cost of increased
dependence on a single market and a more limited set of strategic options. By contrast, the
two bigger countries of the region, Argentina and Brazil gave first and foremost priority to
liberalising trade at the regional level through MERCOSUR. Cooperation through a regional
organisation allows these national economies to adapt more slowly to international
competition and gives them greater leverage to negotiate trade with other regional
organisations, such as the EU and NAFTA. The political and strategic advantages that
increase to Brazil from regionalism, and its ability to use the regional bloc it dominates as a
tactical advantage in negotiations with the EU and the U.S. and in other concerns, entail a
trade-off between economic efficiency and negotiating leverage. Finally, Argentina’s
commitment to regionalism has gained it limited political and strategic advantage, and the
protections MERCOSUR provides to several large regional industries (many dominated by
Brazilian companies) have cost Argentina in terms of economic competitiveness. While
MERCOSUR has benefited its members in many ways, in terms of promoting the emergence
of globally competitive industries, its record thus far has been disappointing, especially when
compared to Chile’s multilateral strategy.
Thus, the divergent trade policy profiles towards and trade strategies of these countries also
contribute towards the variation of trade outcomes.
As the objective of this paper is to explain the variation in outcomes of diverging EU
trade strategies in Latin America and to compare the interregional approach applied by the EU
with its bilateral trade strategy, first of all the external challenges which catalysed EU trade
relations with Latin America need to be highlighted. Consequently, in the empirical part of
25 A hub is a region or country which has signed several FTAs and its partners are spokes if they have not signed
FTAs between them. 26
Lamy 2000:1. http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2004/december/tradoc_120813.pdf
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
18
this paper, I will first elucidate how the major interests on the national level of the parties
involved have been shaped and secondly I will deal with the intra-region and intra-state levels
of both the EU and its counterpart, and thirdly I will point out how international negotiation
pressures have shaped and influenced the chief negotiators on the international level, before
concluding.
2. External Challenges: Knock-On Effects
In December 1994, the European heads of state held a summit meeting in Essen,
Germany and approved a ‘Basic Document concerning the Relations of the EU with the Latin
American and Caribbean States’ in which they committed themselves to a close cooperation
with MERCOSUR, Chile and Mexico.27
This decision “was inconsistent with dominant EU
[multilateral] trade policy as the Commission’s Directorate General (DG) Trade was focused
on WTO negotiations and had discarded bilateral negotiations as too costly and time
consuming for the relatively meagre rewards offered in terms of enhanced trade and
investment” (Garcia 2009a: 3-4). Also, when Pascal Lamy was appointed Trade
Commissioner in 1999, he introduced a moratorium on FTAs in order to shift concentration to
the multilateral level and “as a reaction to the ad hoc blossoming of FTAs under his
predecessors”28
(Garcia 2009a: 9). However, “as part of the process of harnessing
globalisation” (Lamy 2000: 2) this moratorium was temporarily ‘frozen’ as trade policy
priorities had changed when closer ties were to be made between the EU and its Latin
American counterpart.
“In a significant shift of policy, the EU decided to move towards some form of
associated status with Mexico, Chile and Mercosur. Hitherto associated status had
been reserved for those states that either for historical reasons (ex-colonial states
of the Lome Conventions) or political reasons (the near abroad of East and South
Europe) had been considered of top foreign policy priority status for the EU”
(Peterson and Sjursen 1998: 161).
Strengthening strategic links with potential emerging Latin American economies and
(regional integration) competition with the United States seem to have provided a catalyst for
27 The European Council recommended the Commission and the Council “to create as quickly as possible the
conditions for an early opening of negotiations with the Mercosur States on an inter-regional framework
agreement, including a Memorandum of Understanding, and to put ideas on the future form of treaty relations
with Mexico and on the extension of relations with Chile into concrete form without delay”.
http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cms_data/docs/pressdata/en/ec/00300-1.EN4.htm (Access 27 October
2008). 28
Lamy doctrine; highest priority given to WTO negotiations complemented with moratorium on negotiating
bilateral deals.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
19
the EU to advance its relations with MERCOSUR, Chile and Mexico (McGuire and Smith,
2008). The timing of this decision is essential: 1994 was the year that NAFTA came into
effect, and the year of the Summit of the Americas where the concept of a Free Trade Area of
the Americas (FTAA) was proposed by US President Bill Clinton.29
Also, the US had planned
to negotiate an FTA with Chile (which was signed on 6 June 2003, only 6 months after the
EU-Chile FTA) and Chile expressed intentions to join NAFTA. The will of the US to expand
its economic power in the Latin American region with the creation of an FTAA reverberated
in the EU bloc. Some European countries feared that “the emergence of a US-led pan-
American bloc” (Santander 2005: 298) would lead to a loss of opportunity in opening access
for their products to the Southern Cone markets, and therefore their interest in concluding the
IAA with MERCOSUR increased. The EU-US rivalry caused by this ‘Atlantic triangle’ has
been described as30
:
“Two foreign gentlemen court the beautiful Latina. One, the European, is an old
rich gentleman, cultured, polite and of delicate manners, but a little slow and
hesitant. The other, the American, is a young billionaire, brave and adventurous,
but lacking in manners, and he can be at times harsh and even brutal in his
ways” (Valladao 1999: 29).31
Thus, EU motivations to initiate trade negotiations had been shaped by the “knock-on
effects” (Baldwin 1997: 870) of commercial (economic balancing) and geopolitical
considerations.32
The EU-Mexico FTA follows a classic argument in which the EU tries to
neutralise trade diversion due to Mexico joining NAFTA. EU trade with Mexico went into
decline when “EU’s share of Mexico’s total trade fell from 9% to 6.4% between 1993 and
1999” (Zabludovsky and Lora 2005: 6) and because of this the EU aimed to seek a NAFTA-
parity FTA with Mexico (Dür, 2007). Also, the potential trade diversion of an eventual
conclusion of the FTAA (Schirm, 2005) which was to encompass an FTA from Alaska until
Tierra del Fuego, was an incentive for the EU to commence trade negotiations with
MERCOSUR and Chile. A geopolitical consideration was to increase EU’s presence and
influence as an international actor in the ‘backyard’ of the US. A last, but not less important
29
This has sparked off debates that the EU is unsuccessful in the ‘agenda-setting’ of trade liberalisation. “It has
been a “follower” in a US-EU dynamic which has seen the US aggressively carry out “competitive
liberalization” with the EU either responding or not even doing that. At its best, the EU has reacted to US
initiatives rather independently staking out its own territory” (Sbragia 2007:2). 30
For more on triangular relations see Grabendorff 2005. 31
“La belle Latina est courtisee par deux gentlemen etrangeres. L’un, L’Europeen, est un vieux monsieur
fortune, cultive et avec des belles manieres, mais un peu lent, hesitant et pingre. L’autre, l’Americain, estun
jeune millardaire, audacieux et aventurier, mais mal eleve et meme un peu brutal” (Original quote). 32
Motivations to initiate FTAs can also include security considerations, such as the Euro-Med AAs.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
20
motivation is institution-building; the EU’s desire to ‘export’ its regional integration model to
other regions in the world. Promotion of the European experience of economic and political
stability is actively pursued; however, interregional agreements involve strenuous
negotiations mainly due to the counterpart region’s moderate progress towards integration.
This inertia can be ascribed to member countries’ asymmetric levels of development and/or a
missing institutional framework (Malamud, 2008).33
“The relations of the EU and its member states with other groups of states are not
an accidental development. They are a direct result of the EU construction proper
and Europe’s own posture as a regional organisation. Therefore, the logic of inter-
regional cooperation derives from the successful European model.” (Alecu de
Flers and Regelsberger 2005: 319).
By promoting its own model to various regions across the world, the EU has established a
strategy where regional integration is at the core of external projection “to a world hungry for
its presence” (Söderbaum et al. 2005: 371). Thus, two significant goals are accomplished by
the EU, “to export its regional governance model and increase its reputation as an
international actor” (Santander 2005: 292).
Arguments for MERCOSUR, Chile and Mexico to negotiate Association Agreements
(AAs) with the EU were the following:
“a) to deepen the process of economic modernization and trade liberalization; b)
to end the discrimination in the Mexican [Chilean and MERCOSUR’s] market
against European investors and exporters as a result of NAFTA [and the FTAA],
and c) to improve the conditions for Mexican [Chilean and MERCOSUR’s]
exporters’ access to the European market” (Zabludovsky and Lora 2005: 3).
An important geopolitical consideration for the Latin American counterpart region and
countries was to counterbalance US presence and influence in the region. Here, relations with
the EU strengthens MERCOSUR’s position facing FTAA negotiations but also avoids
dependency on one specific trading partner (concerning the FTAA becoming reality).
33
Both MERCOSUR and ASEAN have similar difficulties regarding regional integration. One possible way to
overcome EU-MERCOSUR stalemate is to apply the EMIFCA to the region as a whole and then to negotiate
bilateral FTAs with the member states individually. This however, goes against the EU’s strengthening of
regional integration (institution-building) for which it provides technical, political and financial support.
However, against official EU rhetoric, the EU signed a ‘Strategic Partnership’ deal with Brazil in July 2007.
Whether this ‘single-out’ strategy will induce EU-MERCOSUR interregionalism is still to be seen.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
21
2.1 The Road to EU-MERCOSUR, EU-Chile Association and EU-Mexico Trade
Agreements
Following on the European Council’s initiative from Essen, the Commission
negotiated the EMIFCA, which was signed in Madrid on the 15 December 1995 by the
Spanish President of Council and the representatives of MERCOSUR.34
This event coincided
with the launching of MERCOSUR’s (incomplete) customs union which started operating on
the 1st January 1995. The EMIFCA was to be the official start of trade negotiations towards
an Interregional Association Agreement (IAA). If this is signed, it would lead to the formation
of the “biggest free trade area in the world and the first free trade agreement between two
customs unions” (Doctor 2007: 282). The IAA is based on a three-pillar structure: 1). Chapter
on Political Dialogue, 2). Chapter on Trade and Economic Issues and 3). Chapter on
Cooperation. In 2000, negotiations were opened by both parties and since then the EU and
MERCOSUR, who aim “to become close companions in a strategic inter-regional
partnership”35
have reached consensus on the first and third pillars, but regarding the second
pillar several outstanding issues still need to be resolved in order to come to successful
conclusion of the agreement.36
The EU-MERCOSUR interregional relations can be divided into four phases (Faust 2004: 46;
Doctor 2007: 283):
1. intra-EU bargaining for IAA negotiating mandate (1995-1999)
2. official launch of IAA negotiations (1999-2001)
3. substantive region-to-region bargaining (2001-2004)
4. stalemate / efforts to continue conclusion of IAA (2004-)
The main forum where negotiations took place was the Bi-Regional Negotiations
Committee (BNC) which was complemented by other institutional mechanisms, such as the
Sub-Committee on Cooperation (SCC) which was divided into three sub-groups; Subgroup on
Economic Cooperation; Subgroup on Social and Cultural Cooperation; and the Subgroup on
Financial and Technical Cooperation. Also three technical groups on trade issues were
34
Although the EMIFCA was signed towards the end of 1995, it has not yet come into force because, as a so-
called mixed agreement, the part which goes beyond trade policies requires ratification by both European
Parliament and each of the member states’ national parliaments. 35
Mercosur-European Community Regional Strategy Paper 2002-2006, p. 3, Original emphasis.
http://ec.europa.eu/external_relations/mercosur/rsp/02_06_en.pdf (18.July 2009). 36
EU started negotiations with 15 members and as of May 2004 negotiations involved 25 member states.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
22
created. These technical groups were; the Group for Trade in Goods and Tariffs; the Group
for Services and Intellectual Property Rights; and the Group for Competition and Regulated
Markets. For a detailed analysis on the institutional structure see Figure 4 ‘Institutional
Arrangements for EU-MERCOSUR Bi-Regional Negotiations’. Since negotiating
methodology was on the principle of ‘single undertaking’ (nothing is agreed until all is
agreed), an eventual IAA requires progress on all negotiating fronts. Nevertheless, the
unofficial set deadlines for concluding the trade negotiations were the Second EU-Latin
American Summit in May 2004 in Mexico and the 2004 EU Enlargement. These deadlines
passed and when also the official deadline of 31 October 2004, the end of term of the serving
Commission passed, the IAA was officially in stalemate.
It is of importance to note that EU-Chile negotiations “were initially undertaken in the
context of Mercosur under the assumption that Chile would join Mercosur” (Garcia 2009b:
151) and as such these negotiations were dealt with as one ‘negotiation package’ where a
similar trade agreement had to be reached with Chile also. Thus, EU-MERCOSUR and EU-
Chile trade negotiations were dealt with simultaneously and thus were ‘shadowing’ each
other. Only when it became evident that Chile was not to join MERCOSUR as a full member,
the EU decided to undertake individual EU-Chile negotiations. These separate negotiations
commenced with the fifth round of EU-Chile negotiations. Possibly, due to the original plan
of Chile joining MERCOSUR, the institutional negotiation structure looks rather similar to
that of the EU-MERCOSUR bi-regional negotiations. For a detailed analysis of the
institutional structure of the EU-Chile negotiations see Figure 5 ‘Institutional Arrangements
of the EU-Chile Negotiations’.
Chile declined full membership of MERCOSUR due to its lower tariff structure, open
economy and its liberal trade policy which is incompatible with MERCOSUR’s protectionist
trade policy. In 1994, Chile had a uniform tariff of 11 percent which decreased to 8 percent in
2001 and to 6 percent in 2003. EU-Chile cooperation has gone through several bilateral
agreements before the AA was signed. The first Cooperation Framework Agreement was
signed in 1990 which was replaced by the Cooperation Framework Agreement of 1996. This
aimed to deepen economic, political and cooperative relations between EU and Chile,
including the liberalisation of bilateral trade. Negotiations commenced in April 2000, was
signed on 18 November 2002 and entered into force on 1st March 2005 (see Fig. 2
‘Chronology of EU-Chile Negotiations’).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
23
In the case of the EU-Mexico trade agreement, as above mentioned, the EU was seeking
NAFTA-parity. EU-Mexico originally signed a first-generation Co-operation Framework
Agreement in 1975 which was then replaced by the 1991 Co-operation Framework
Agreement.37
On 8 December 1997, the Economic Partnership, Political Coordination and
Co-operation Agreement, the Interim Agreement and Joint Declaration were signed. 38
For a
detailed analysis on EU-Mexico trade negotiations see Figure 3 ‘Chronology of EU-Mexico
Negotiations’. The Interim Agreement and Joint Declaration allowed start of negotiations
under both Community and Member State competence without awaiting approval of Global
Agreement; possibly, due to discrimination of European products in the Mexican market
caused by NAFTA, the EU wanted to conclude a trade agreement with Mexico urgently.
Although, the institutional structure of the EU-Mexico trade negotiations looks similar to
those of EU-MERCOSUR and EU-Chile, there is however a slight difference. The EU-
Mexico Joint Council and Joint Committee were established within framework of the
Economic Partnership, Political Coordination and Co-operation Agreement; however only
one negotiation team was to “deal with all the matters being discussed [and] technical experts
from both sides will work on formulating recommendations to the negotiation group”.39
This
negotiation group is the so-called ‘Joint Committee for Negotiations’ group. The first actual
meeting of the Joint Council was not until after the trade negotiations had been successfully
concluded (27 February 2001). For more on the ‘Institutional Arrangements for the EU-
Mexico Negotiations see Figure 6.
3.1 Level III: National Level – Economic Interests
EU-MERCOSUR
Putnam argues that “[t]he size of the win-set depends on the distribution of power,
preferences and possible coalitions among (…) constituents” (Putnam 1988: 442). An analysis
of economic interests, whether class (business and labour) or sector (services and agriculture),
demonstrates the role played by these actors in either supporting or obstructing trade
negotiations. Especially at the beginning of trade negotiations, business was one of the most
dynamic economic interest groups which also suffered under high diffusion of interests. In
37
For more information on first, second and third (mixed) generation Association Agreements see Bretherton
and Vogler 2006 Chapter 3. 38
Also referred to as the “Global Agreement” which after signing was awaiting approval of both the European
Parliament (EP) and the Mexican Senate. 39
http://www.sice.oas.org/TPD/MEX_EU/Negotiations/OpeningNegs_e.pdf
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
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1999, it organised the MERCOSUR-European Union Business Forum (MEBF) with the goal
to overcome collective action problems. This however was not as successful as persistent
heterogeneous interests contributed to a lacking of coherence of the forum. Regarding
agriculture, MERCOSUR’s “demand for trade liberalization in agriculture is one of its main
priorities in the […] negotiations with the EU” (IRELA 1999: 11). This has reduced the win-
sets of the most protectionist countries of the EU, such as Ireland, Italy, Spain, Portugal and
France (Woolcock 2005: 390) that want to maintain trade barriers to guard sensitive sectors,
within the framework of the Common Agricultural Policy.40
Moreover, interest groups
(especially farmers’ organisations), “supported by the French government and some other
member states, have argued against further concessions” (Woolcock 2005: 392). “They also
obstructed progress in negotiation wherever possible [and] have successfully delayed the
signing of any agreement that would give MERCOSUR freer access to the European Market”
(Doctor 2007: 295).
The EU, for its part, has pushed for access to MERCOSUR’s markets regarding
investments, industrial products and government procurement. This pressure particularly
increased after the failure of the WTO Cancun ministerial conference, when the Singapore
Issues were set aside from the agenda.41
The EU’s eagerness to sign the IAA has fluctuated
over time for various reasons. Stagnation of multilateral trade talks increased EU’s
involvement in Mercosur interregional trade talks. Also, periods of perceived US influence in
Latin America were catalysing periods of EU interest within the region. Various significant
international factors contributed to EU fluctuations of interest in MERCOSUR. “From the
EU’s perspective, the emerging markets financial crises of 1997–98 suddenly altered EU
opinion of MERCOSUR, which dropped from being seen as a dynamic region with abundant
opportunities for European trade and investment to a much less attractive region (this view
was subsequently reinforced with the collapse of the Argentine economy in late 2001)”
(Doctor 2007: 290). In addition, the 2004 and 2007 EU enlargements determined the need for
the EU to focus on the ‘near abroad’ instead of the defining an IAA.
WTO Compatibility
40
Some EU member states, UK, Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden, have taken a more liberal position. 41
Singapore Issues (Singapore Ministerial Declaration 1996) include investment, competition policy,
transparency in government procurement and trade facilitation.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
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The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) Article XXIV (8b), states that
“substantially all trade” is to be liberalised in case an agreement between customs territories is
to be identified as a free trade area. This has led to the EU (and the WTO) to interpret that any
FTA is to cover at least 90 percent of all trade between the parties involved, with no major
sector excluded during a transitional period of no more than 10 years. This multilateral
condition accounts for liberalisation of trade in agriculture, for the first time, in the Mexico
and Chile FTAs.42
This means that also (some) sensitive agricultural products from the
negative list would have to be included in the EU-MERCOSUR FTA.43
MERCOSUR member states have a comparative advantage in agricultural production
as they are main exporters of agricultural products to the EU. Thus, as most competitive
agricultural exports face substantial barriers of entry, market access for these products is of
great significance. In order to support EU producers, MERCOSUR’s agricultural exports are
faced with, among others, high tariffs, restrictive tariff rate quotas (TRQs), minimum entry
prices, special safeguards and sanitary measures. For MERCOSUR, a successful FTA
between these two regions would have to include ambitious EU commitments in agriculture
with a high level of market access for MERCOSUR products to the European market.
Concerning the EU, the main objectives in the FTA negotiations were better access for
industrial products (especially automotives), services (telecommunications) and access to
government procurement.
MERCOSUR’s protectionist tendencies have also prevailed towards the European
Union. “The prize for an agreement – greater access to EU agricultural markets, valued by
Argentina, Uruguay and the strong Brazilian agro-business lobby group44
would carry the
price of providing greater access to MERCOSUR industrial and service sectors for European
competitors, thus creating pressure on Brazilian companies” (Klom 2003: 367). Thus, the
Brazilian agro-business lobby would push for the conclusion of the IAA, but on the other
hand, pressure is put on Brazilian companies. “In MERCOSUR the common market is mainly
based on Brazil [and as such] Brazilian domestic policies are the real drivers behind the pace
of MERCOSUR progress” (Klom 2003: 355). Brazil carries a big responsibility in the region;
hence, its chief negotiators face a real challenge in having to reconcile these two domestic
42
Also, the 1999 EU-South Africa FTA included liberalisation of trade in agriculture. 43
EU tariff peaks are in major MERCOSUR export products such as beef, sugar, cereals and milk products. 44
This would increase the win-set of Argentina, Uruguay and the Brazilian agro-business lobby group.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
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interests with international imperatives from the EU in order to maximize the chances of
ratification.
Concerning the EU-Mexico and EU-Chile FTAs, these are characterised by the
assumption of a general liberalisation within a predetermined period of time. Also, the main
sensitive agricultural products from both the EU and its trading partners were excluded (see
Table 2).45
For most agricultural products, tariff elimination is not achieved immediately but
according to tariff reduction schedules (of no longer than 10 years). Each agreement includes
a set of schedules with different starting dates for the elimination process and with different
phase-out periods. Detailed annexes assign individual products to the different tariff reduction
schedules and respectively to the exemptions.46
Concluding an FTA with Chile was “always promised to be easier partly because, as a
single country, there were fewer bureaucratic difficulties, as a smaller country with a
less developed industrial base and a non-traditional agricultural profile, trade issues
were on the whole less conflictual, though not without their difficulties over wine in
particular, and, as an established open economy, conflicts over the role of the market
and international investment were inevitably less politically charged. As a result, the
negotiations were easier” (Grugel 2002: 10).
EU-Chile
Undoubtedly important for the rapid conclusion of trade negotiations were the
confined ambitions of (both Mexico and) Chile with respect to market access for agricultural
goods and the delicate ‘knot’ of EU agricultural protection. The EU has one of the biggest
markets of the world and enjoys enormous bargaining power which has led to the
consequence that the EU has not been challenged by these bilateral partners. Commencing
EU-Chile trade negotiations, Chile’s agricultural sector contributed a relatively minor
proportion of 11 per cent to the country’s GDP. Main agricultural products are cereals,
fodder, sugar beets, potatoes and vegetables. Due to the reversed growing season, fruits have
become a particularly important product exported to the EU and also wine has also gained
increased status as a key export product. The Association Agreement defines a transition
period for tariff reduction of ten years for trade liberalisation of agricultural commodities and
45
EU’s sensitive agricultural products with high domestic protection are bovine animals and beef, domestic
swine, poultry, diary, cereals, sugar, some (season-dependent) fruits and vegetables, citrus grapes and grapes,
olive oil, flowers and rice. 46
EU-Chile FTA includes 17 Annexes. http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2004/november/tradoc_111621.pdf
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
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processed agricultural products.47
Regarding tariff concessions, there are four tariff
elimination schedules in which the EU completely eliminates duties with transitional periods
of zero, four, seven and ten years. In addition, duties are partially liberalised in four other
product schemes (Art. 71). On the Chilean side, liberalisation takes place in three schedules of
zero, five and ten years, in which tariffs for the respective products are phased out completely.
Besides tariff rate quatos (TRQs),48
Chile has not committed to any further partial
liberalisation schedules (Art. 72). As in the Global Agreement, products whose denomination
is protected within the EU are excluded from trade liberalisation. This is especially valid for
cheese and wine (Art. 71). Table 2 lists other main products that are excluded from
liberalisation including main TRQs for products excluded from liberalisation. Options for
flexible adjustments are integrated by means of a review clause (evolution clause) thereby
providing opportunities to further enhance liberalisation three years after the implementation
of the agreement. “On the European side, [societal actors’] resistance was mobilised around
the issue of agriculture in the allied process of negotiations with Mercosur, meaning that most
interests groups did not even have a specific opinion regarding negotiations with Chile”
(Garcia 2009a: 16). Regarding trade in services, due to Chile’s liberal trade policy and
internationalisation strategy, this country was open to liberalise trade in services, trade in
investments etc. Thus, the Chilean business community was very much in favour of
establishing an FTA between the EU and Chile.
One issue of contention between the EU and Chile was that the Chilean export sector
in wine and spirits strongly competed with EU production. This delicate issue however was
successfully resolved when Chile complied to give up the specific ‘reserva’ and ‘chateau’
descriptions from its wines, and sell them as to the EU as ‘New World wines’ (2002: 15). The
EU consequently offered Chilean wine and spirits tariff free market access for a transitional
period of four years. Thus, the EU-Chile AA includes a separate agreement on wines and
spirits (Annex V and VI). Another issue of contention was EU’s access to Chilean fisheries
supply. However, with high expectations to successfully accomplish the EU-Chile AA, “the
EU gave up on gaining greater access to Chile’s sea resources” (Garcia 2009a: 24).
47
EU-Chile Assosiation Agreement
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=CELEX:32002D0979:EN:NOT 48
Tariff rate quotas (TRQs) are certain defined quantities that are subject to lower tariffs or no tariffs which can
be established in addition to tariff reduction to achieve minimum market access.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
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28
EU-Mexico
Starting EU-Mexico trade negotiations, Mexico’s agricultural sector was characterised
by a low share of 4 per cent GDP. Agricultural trade was not a major issue in trade between
the EU and Mexico as the main Mexican products exported to the EU are coffee, vegetables
and spirits. The major imports from the EU are oilseeds, dairy products and wine. The Global
Agreement also sets out a transition period for tariff reduction of ten years for the
implementation of all liberalisation commitments.49
For products subject to tariff
concessions, eight different partial and complete liberalisation schemes are established for
both the EU and Mexico (Art. 8 and 9). The longest transitional periods for the EU and
Mexico, in schedules which foresee complete liberalisation, are nine and ten years,
respectively. Sensitive products with EU protection are excluded from trade liberalisation.
This pertains especially to cheese and wine (Art. 8, 10). See Table 2 listing the main products
that are excluded from liberalisation and for some excluded Mexican products of which the
EU grants preferential market access within the limits of TRQs, whereas Mexico does not
reciprocate. Again, flexible adjustments are to be made by the EU-Chile Joint Council
through a review clause (Art. 10) which provides further liberalisation of agricultural trade
after three years of the AA’s enforcement. An additional Wine and Spirits Agreement
commits Mexico to protect all EU designations and the EU reciprocates by its commitment to
protect Mezcal and Tequila.
Summary Level III – National Level: Economic Interests
The analysis of these three EU FTAs shows that the EU but also its counterpart
excludes important sensitive agricultural products or retain tariff barriers concerning market
access. EU domestic protection and support pattern for specific agricultural products can be
identified as a key factor determining these exceptions. For those products that are excluded
from liberalisation, the EU does however grant concessions by admitting market access
within the limits of TRQs. This concludes that trade in agricultural products is far from being
completely liberalised mainly due to the fact that trade in agricultural of EU FTAs competes
on the one hand with the conflict of trade liberalisation and on the other hand with national
interests to limit market access.
49
EU-Mexico Economic Partnership, Political Coordination and Cooperation Agreement
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=CELEX:22000A1028(01):EN:NOT
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
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3.2 Level II EU-Level / MERCOSUR-Level
Putnam argues that “[t]he size of the win-set depends on (…) political institutions”
(Putnam 1988: 448). In this case, on the European side, the nature and content of the IAA is
determined by the shared competence between the Commission and the member states to
negotiate with MERCOSUR at the international level (Level I).50
The conclusion of the IAA,
which the Commission negotiates on behalf of the EU, would thus take place when the
Council of Ministers approves it by unanimity at the EU level (Level II), after having
obtained the assent of the European Parliament. Ratification of the IAA would occur after all
member states’ parliaments have achieved agreement at the domestic level (Level III). Thus,
the decision-making procedure within the EU itself – especially the need for unanimity in the
Council, and the requirement for the European Parliament’s assent – complicates the picture a
great deal and the risk of political fragmentation reduces the win-set.
Intra-EU Level
On 22 July 1998, requesting a negotiation mandate from the Council was hampered by
dissimilarities faced within the European Commission. The decision was not adopted
unanimously due to four, out of 20 Commissioners’51
controversial opinions. Two
Commissioners against the negotiation mandate were the Commission President Jacques
Santer (Luxembourg) and the Commissioner for Agriculture, Rural Development and
Fisheries Franz Fischler (Austria) who put forward a study which summarised negative
effects of an EU-MERCOSUR FTA towards the agriculture sector. On the other hand,
Manual Marín, the Commission’s Vice President (Spain) was in favour due to the favourable
effects of an FTA regarding the services, and especially, automobile sector. However, of
MERCOSUR’s imports “only 16 per cent [of agricultural products] could be classified as
sensitive. Even if a quota or other protectionist action were to be introduced for these
products, a free-trade zone would conform to WTO norms, because over 90 per cent of all
products would still circulate freely” (Müller-Brandeck-Bocquet 2000: 570). Hence, the
(offensive and defensive) interests of the European Commission are clearly visible with,
although some not convinced most votes in favour of the negotiation mandate. Another
hindrance contributing to the slow progress of a negotiation mandate was Commissioner Leon
Brittan’s (UK) interest in strengthening links with the US through the ‘New Transatlantic
50
Article 300 and Article 310, Treaty establishing the European Community. 51
More on this see http://ec.europa.eu/archives/1995_99/commissioners/index_en.htm
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
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30
Marketplace’ (NTM) project which was highly opposed and “effectively vetoed by France
and removed from the agenda of a bilateral US-EU summit in May 1998” (Pollack and
Schaffer 2001: 53). Thus, the Commission presented a negotiation mandate to the Council at
the end of July 1998, but it was not until September 1999 until the European Council
delivered the official mandate to the European Commission due to contrary interests within
the European Council. It was agreed upon however, that negotiations on trade tariffs and
quotas were not to commence until April 2001. The ‘compromise’ mandate52
was presented at
the first ever EU-Latin American summit, the Rio Summit of 28 June 1999 which declared a
strategic partnership of the two regions. “It was clear from the very beginning that the
implementation of (…) this declaration would require (…) political will” (Westphal 2005:
154). On 13 September 1999, the Council of Ministers officially approved the negotiation
mandate.
Intra-MERCOSUR Level
Things are no easier in the Southern Cone, where the ratification procedures have also
influenced the size of the win-set. MERCOSUR is built on weak foundations of integration.
The lack of a supranational coordinating power hinders the establishment of a common
position among the chief negotiators, and there is no certainty, even if the IAA is signed at the
international level, that it would then be ratified by the national parliaments at Level III.
Therefore, the pro-tempore Presidency of the Council of the Common Market has to keep
each government informed of the evolution of the negotiations of the IAA in order for them to
discuss this with their respective national parliaments to assure that the outcome lies within
the win-sets. For Brazil’s ‘dualist’ legal approach, which requires translation of international
law into national law, ratification of the IAA would not be a problem. But for Argentina,
which is inclined towards ‘monism’, where ratification of international law immediately
incorporates it into national law, Level III does present a challenge for its chief negotiators.
The setting of the MERCOSUR-institutions implies that the process of integration is
burdened to an excessive degree with the need to achieve consensus among the involved
governments. Thus, the functioning and continued development of MERCOSUR rests entirely
52
Conditions for adopting the mandate were that the negotiations had to be linked to the negotiations within the
WTO and a two-phased negotiation, a non-tariff phase which started immediately and tariff phase which were to
commence only after 1 July 2001, and should only be finished awaiting the results of the DDR (Doha
Development Round).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
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31
in the hands of the executive organs, and depends on their willingness to integrate. To sum
up, the lack of any supranational institutions capable – as shown by the examples of the
European Commission and the European Parliament (EP) – to act as a motor of integration
throws a serious threat on the further evolution of the MERCOSUR. One basic but significant
problem of the negotiations concerns were regarding its name and main aim, a common
market of the south. MERCOSUR is far from reaching this goal and even referring to it as an
FTA seems optimistic as it leans more towards an “incomplete free trade area with some
degree of harmonization of member states’ extra-zone commercial policies” (Bouzas et al.
2002: 131). It has made little progress of merging separate customs territories into a single
one and to complete the free movements of imports within the territories.
A main difference between the EU and MERCOSUR is the intra-regional balance of
power. The power asymmetry within MERCOSUR is extreme due to the significant
predominance of Brazil in MERCOSUR population, production and territory. This situation is
highly unfavourable for policy harmonisation and as such weakens MERCOSUR’s political
consolidation. Regarding the size of Brazil within the region, it makes it difficult to outweigh
the benefits of regional decision-making over the costs of loss of national sovereignty over
domestic policy. Therefore, Brazil is highly in favour of the 100% intergovernmental
institutional structure of MERCOSUR. This power asymmetry also contributes to divergent
trade expectations of the biggest MERCOSUR member states: Brazil and Argentina. Unlike
the EU, where equally-minded member states such as Germany and France were the ‘motors’
of integration, Brazil and Argentina use MERCOSUR for different purposes. Brazil uses the
regional platform to maximise its political role as a global and regional leader, for example its
initiatives for advancing a permanent seat in the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), or
its resistance against increasing US leadership attempts through the creation of a Free Trade
Area of the Americas (FTAA). Argentina, on the other hand, seeks strategic alliances with the
US through amongst others, a special relationship with NATO and its support towards the
FTAA.
3.3 Level I International Level – Negotiation Strategies
Putnam argues that “[t]he size of the win-set depends on the strategies of the (…)
negotiators” (1988: 450). The European Commission is the sole negotiator and represents the
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
32
EU with ‘one single voice’. Thus, focus on the actual negotiations will investigate the
efficiency of this actor in the EU-Mexico, EU-MERCOSUR and EU-Chile trade negotiations.
First of all, an important difference in negotiating culture exists between the
MERCOSUR and EU teams. The Community teams are composed mainly by technical
experts, highly specialised in every specific sector involved in the process, with relevant
experience in intra-EU and multilateral negotiations; on the contrary, MERCOSUR team is
usually led by high-level officials and politicians, not always acquainted with the details of
the negotiation, and who often participate in the FTAA process as well. Therefore the usual
method used by MERCOSUR team to reach agreements is top-down: the negotiators reach a
sort of framework agreement, leaving it to technical experts to find a solution to troublesome
details later on. The EU.s approach is quite the opposite, building agreement bottom-up on the
basis of informal consensus on objectives (Klom 2003).
In the IAA case, the chief negotiators of both regions have lacked tact in manipulating
their strategies. An example of this was when “the EU presented a historic negotiating offer to
MERCOSUR in Montevideo53
, covering 90 per cent of agricultural trade and 100 per cent of
industrial trade” (Klom 2003: 363). As good as this offer seemed for the EU negotiators,
“MERCOSUR was not able (Argentina) or willing (Brazil) to reciprocate in presenting a
counter-offer” since its member states were faced with other important issues: “Argentina on
the verge of collapse, advocating bilateral free trade deals, and a Brazil bent on maintaining
parallelism between EU and FTAA processes” (Klom 2003: 363). Therefore, the EU lost a
good opportunity for widening MERCOSUR’s win-sets due to poor strategic management.
It is relevant to highlight at this point that some may argue that MERCOSUR’s
negotiators have more autonomy than the EU Commission’s representatives in the IAA
negotiation process since they lack a legal instrument such as the EU negotiating mandate,
given to the Commission by the Council of Ministers according to Article 133. However, it
should not be misunderstood the concept of autonomy in the context of the Southern Cone
since MERCOSUR negotiators (who are led by the Ministries of Foreign Affairs) also have to
conduct extensive internal coordination within governmental bodies, the private sector, civil
society and national Congresses, from where they derive their national positions, which are
later coordinated with other MERCOSUR member countries’ negotiators. This means that in
formal terms, a MERCOSUR negotiator could have less strict supervision deriving from a
53
Fifth negotiation round, see chronology of EU-Mercosur Bi-Regional Negotiations.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
33
written mandate, but nonetheless they must still handle a great degree of scrutiny from
society, economic sectors and governmental bodies at large.
With MERCOSUR’s main interest in agriculture, their negotiators specific concerns
were EU’s export subsidies and domestic support mechanisms. Thus, of great interest were
EU commitments leading to less trade distortions for MERCOSUR’s exports and
compensations for trade distortions resulting from EU domestic subsidies. The position
MERCOSUR took was one of elimination of export subsidies as soon as the EU-
MERCOSUR FTA comes into force. Conversely, the EU was only interested in addressing
the issue of subsidies in multilateral negotiations. During the fifth trade negotiation roundin
July 2001, the EU proposed its first offer, gradual liberalisation of its market for
MERCOSUR goods over a time frame of ten years, covering 100 percent of manufactured
goods and 90 percent of agricultural products, however excluding tariff cuts for
MERCOSUR’s main exports. 54
MERCOSUR’s counter proposal, during the sixth trade
negotiation round in October 2001, excluded the automobile industry from its proposal to
liberalise 86 per cent of their market for EU manufactured goods. Clearly these proposals
were not acceptable for both sides. Ten negotiation rounds later, on the 29th
September 2004,
the final offer of the EU proposed to gradually open markets for MERCOSUR’s exports of
industrial and agricultural goods, to open its services market, to allow access to the public
procurement market and to implement non-discriminatory rules for MERCOSUR investors in
Europe.55
However, MERCOSUR’S main agricultural export products (sugar and meat) were
placed in category E, which meant ‘no clear tariff reduction period defined’. The EU also did
not extend previously offered quotas on farm products, which meant in numerical terms “[i]n
the case of beef, for example, Brazil would be given an export quota of 2,400 tons for the first
year, which is a mere fraction of the 95,000 tons it now sells annually to the European market,
with tariffs of up to 176 percent”.56
Conversely, “European governments view the concessions [with the respect for EU
origin denominations in the investment sector, government procurement and services] made
by Mercosur as insufficient”.57
Unsatisfied, the two sides accused each other for letting the
54
See chronology of EU-MERCOSUR Bi-Regional Negotiations. 55
http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2004/september/tradoc_119163.pdf 56
Deadline for Mercosur-EU talks jeopardised (4th
October 2004).
http://www.bilaterals.org/article.php3?id_article=781&lang=en (Access 6 August 2009). 57
Deadline for Mercosur-EU talks jeopardised (4th
October 2004).
http://www.bilaterals.org/article.php3?id_article=781&lang=en (Access 6 August 2009).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
34
negotiation rounds fail due to a strong political will lacking on both sides to face short term
losses and internal debates both within the two blocs and within member countries
International Environment
The EU-MERCOSUR trade negotiations have to be interlinked with the negotiations
of the Doha Development Round (DDR) The EU has been apprehensive to make scheduled
commitments in agriculture outside the framework of the WTO because any concessions-
making with MERCOSUR could weaken its position in the DDR. However, it thereby
endangered a serious chance for successfully concluding the EU-MERCOSUR FTA. Also,
MERCOSUR was reluctant to make any specific concession commitments, especially
regarding the automotive sector, in case it was to hold these promises also in the FTAA
negotiations. Thus, parallel negotiations on several trade platforms, which were originally
used by both the EU and MERCOSUR to create bargaining leverage, were later perceived as
major obstacles in concluding the FTA. Similar problems faced within the DDR and the
FTAA trade negotiations, which were also of great significance for failure of the EU-
MERCOSUR FTA, were developed countries seek expanded trade in services and increased
intellectual property rights, while less developed nations seek an end to agricultural subsidies
and free trade in agricultural goods.58
58
Singapore Issues (Singapore Ministerial Declaration 1996) include trade and foreign investment, trade and
competition policy, transparency in government procurement and trade facilitation. These were, until the failed
negotiations of Cancun, on EU’s persistence a main issue on the Doha Development Agenda (DDA).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
35
Figure 1. Chronology of the EU-MERCOSUR Trade Negotiations: Meetings of the Joint
Council for Negotiations and the Bi-Regional Negotiations Committee (BNC) Event /
Negotiation Round
Date Place Key Issues
Signing of
EMIFCA
15 Dec. 1995 Madrid Framework agreement for an IAA including
political dialogue, cooperation and trade
European Comm.
receives mandate
from Council
13 Sept. 1999
EU-Mercosur Joint
Council Meeting
23 Feb. 2000 Vilamoura
1. Round of BNC 6-7Apr. 2000 Buenos Aires Three-pillar Structure: Political Dialogue,
Trade & Cooperation
2. 13-16 Jun.
2000
Brussels Identification of Obstacles and Objectives
3. 7-10 Nov.
2000
Brasilia Exchange of Technical Data
4. 19-22 Mar.
2001
Brussels Cooperation and Non-Tariff Trade Issues
5 Negotiations on
all tariff matters
commence
2-6 Jul. 2001 Montevideo EU first liberalisation offer.
Separation of EU-MERCOSUR and EU-Chile
negotiations.
6. 29-31 Oct.
2001
Brussels MERCOSUR counter liberalisation offer
7. 8-11Apr.
2002
Buenos Aires Agreement of Political & Cooperation
Chapters, Trade Facilitation Measures Package
EU-Mercosur Joint
Council Meeting
Jul. 2002 Rio de Janeiro Adoption of work-programme for trade
negotiations
8.
11-14 Nov.
2002
Brasilia Trade & Investment Rules
9. 17-23 Mar.
2003
Brussels Substantive Tariff Offers, Government
Procurement & Investment
EU-Mercosur Joint
Council Meeting
27-28 Mar.
2003
Athens Political assessment of trade negotiations
Political dialogue on regional/international
situation
10. 23-27 Jun.
2003
Asunción Government Procurement, Investment &
Services
EU-Mercosur Joint
Council Meeting
12 Nov. 2003 Brussels Roadmap final phase of free trade negotiations
11. 2-5 Dec. 2003 Brussels Agriculture Modalities
12. 8-12 Mar.
2004
Buenos Aires Competition, Customs & Tariffs
13. 3-7 May 2004 Brussels Exchange views on Tariff Offers
14. Jun. 2004 Buenos Aires General review of Asymmetrical Treatment,
Discussion of Draft of Text of IAA.
15. Jul. 2004 Brussels Pursuing negotiations
16. Last round of
BNC
24 Sep.
29 Sept. 2004
MERCOSUR offer
EU offer
EU-Mercosur Joint
Council Meeting
20 Oct. 2004 Lisbon Discussion of latest development
Agreement on time of reflection59
Source: European Commission http://ec.europa.eu/trade/issues/bilateral/regions/mercosur/index_en.htm
Foreign Trade Information System/ Organization of American States
http://www.sice.oas.org/TPD/MER_EU/MER_EU_e.asp
59
Since 2004, EU-Mercosur Joint Council Meetings have been held (Luxembourg 2005, Brussels 2005, Vienna
2006, Lima 2008, and Prague 2009) but so far no results have been achieved. Until 2008, 16 rounds of
negotiations have taken place whereas since 2004 these negotiations have only taken place on a technical level
due to the connection of EU-MERCOSUR negotiations with these of the Doha Development Round (DDR). See
http://ec.europa.eu/trade/issues/bilateral/regions/mercosur/index_en.htm (18.July 2009).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
36
Figure 2. Chronology of EU-Chile Trade Negotiations
Event /
Negotiation Round
Date Place Issues
Signing of Co-
operation
Framework
Agreement60
21 Jun. 1996 Florence Framework to deepen economic, political and
cooperative relations, including the
liberalization of bilateral trade.
Entry into force of
Cooperation
Framework
Agreement
25 Jan. 1999 Brussels To foster the bilateral relationship; through;
promotion of the political dialogue;
reinforcement of bilateral cooperation; and
liberalization of trade and services.
First Meeting of
EU- Chile Joint
Council
24 Nov. 1999 Brussels Proposal regarding definition of structure,
methodology and calendar of negotiations
Official launch of trade negotiations
1. Round
Negotiation Comm.
10-12 Apr.
2000
Santiago de Chile Three-pillar Structure: Political Dialogue,
Trade & Cooperation
2. 20-23 Jun.
2000
Brussels Identification of obstacles and objectives
3. 13-16 Nov.
2000
Santiago de Chile Agreement in areas political dialogue and
cooperation.
4. 12-15 Mar.
2001
Brussels Draft text on institutional arrangement of AA.
5. Negotiation on
all tariff matters
commence
9-12 Jul. 2001 Brussels EU and Chile liberalisation offer61
Separation of EU-MERCOSUR and EU-Chile
negotiations.
6. 1-4 Oct. 2001 Brussels Fisheries and sea resources
7. 10-14 Dec.
2001
Santiago de Chile Anti-terrorism clause (Political Dialogue
Chapter)
8. 28 Jan-1 Feb
2002
Brussels Wines and Spirits
9. 4-8 Mar. 2002 Santiago de Chile General review of Asymmetrical Treatment,
Discussion of Draft of Text of IAA.
10. Final Round
Negotiation Comm.
15-26 Apr.
2002
Brussels Signing of Wines and Spirits Agreement
EU-Chile AA
initialled
10 Jun. 2002 Brussels
EU-Chile AA
signed
18 Nov. 2002 Brussels
EU-Chile AA entry
into force
1 Feb. 2003
EU Parliament
approves EU-Chile
AA.
12 Feb. 2003
European Council
concludes AA.
28 Feb. 2005
Entry into force of
full AA.
1 Mar. 2005
Source: European Commission http://ec.europa.eu/trade/issues/bilateral/countries/chile/index_en.htm
DIRECON http://www.direcon.cl/index.php?accion=ue
Foreign Trade Information System/ Organization of American States
http://www.sice.oas.org/TPD/CHL_EU/CHL_EU_e.ASP
60
EU-Chile originally signed the Co-Operation Framework Agreement in 1990 (entry into force 1991) which
was then replaced in 1996. 61
EU’s liberalisation offer to Chile was identical to EU’s offer to MERCOSUR “with some slight differences in
the volumes of trade and in some specific products, in order to adapt the proposals to each economy” Garcia
2009:161.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
37
Figure 3. Chronology of the EU-Mexico Trade Negotiations
Event /
Negotiation Round
Date Place Issues
Solemn Joint
Declaration
(The Paris
Declaration)
2 May 1995 Paris
(Paris
Declaration)
To deepen economic, political dialogue and
cooperative relations, including the
liberalization of bilateral trade.
Signing of
Economic
Partnership, Political
Coordination and
Co-operation Agreement, Interim
Agreement and Joint
Declaration.
8 December
1997
Brussels
Signing of the three instruments foster the
bilateral relationship on a legal basis through;
promotion of the political dialogue;
reinforcement of bilateral cooperation; and
liberalization of trade and services.
Interim Agreement and Joint Declaration
allowed start of negotiations under both
Community and Member State competence
without awaiting approval of Global
Agreement
Mexican Senate
approves Interim
Agreement
23 April 1998
EU Parliament
approves Interim
Agreement
13 May 1998 Once Interim Agreement was approved by
both parties EUMFTA negotiations were
launched
1. Round of
Negotiation Comm.
9 November
1998
Mexico City Negotiations on trade and trade-related matters
2. 18 January
1999
Brussels Exchanging of draft proposals and views on
public procurement, intellectual property
rights and competition.
3. Tariff exemptions
Rules of Origin
4. 14 April 1999 EU liberalisation proposal
NAFTA parity for duty-free trade industrial
goods
Mexican refusal to make concessions
EU threat to stop negotiations
5. 17 May 1999 New Mexican proposal62
EU Parliament
approves Global
Agreement
6 May 1999 Approval of trade rules in Community
competence
6. Market Access, Rules of Origin, Services
7. Case-by-case negotiations Rules of Origin
8. Case-by-case negotiations Rules of Origin
9.Final Round of
Negotiation Comm.
24 November
1999
Brussels
Mexican Senate
approves Global
Agreement
20 May 2000
Signing of Global
Agreement
23 March
2000
Lisbon
Declaration
Adopting results of negotiation in goods by
EU-Mexico Joint Committee
62
“In line with its negotiating mandate, the European Commission’s main aim was to liberalize access for its
industrial exports to Mexico by the same year as the United States and Canada (2003). The EU initially proposed
to liberalize industrial trade, which accounts for some 93% of total bilateral trade in goods, in two stages: 82%
immediately and the remaining 18% in 2003. Mexico responded by proposing a much longer timetable:
immediately liberalizing 42.5% of EU industrial exports to Mexico, with a further 6% being liberalized in 2003
and the remainder in several stages until 2009. (…) Mexico tabled a fresh proposal and offered to liberalize of
about 60% of EU industrial exports by 2003 and the rest in stages until 2007. Tariffs on European goods not
liberalised before 2003 would also be significantly reduced”. See IRELA 2000.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
38
15 national
parliaments
approve Global
Agreement
February
2001
Approval of trade rules under Member State
competence
Entry into force of
EUMFTA
Entry into force of
political dialogue
and cooperation
1 July 2000
1 March 2001
Trade rules under Community competence
Trade rules under Member State competence
(trade in services, investment and intellectual
property rights) and political dialogue and
cooperation chapters
EU-Mexico Joint
Council (ministerial
meeting)
21 February
2001
Brussels Adopting results of negotiations in services,
capital movements and payments and
intellectual property
Source: European Commission http://ec.europa.eu/trade/issues/bilateral/countries/mexico/index_en.htm
Mexican Ministry of the Economy http://www.economia.gob.mx/?NLanguage=en&P=5200_5208_1
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
39
Figure 4. Institutional Arrangements for EU-MERCOSUR Bi-Regional Negotiations
Joint Council for Negotiations (Ministerial Meeting) (Heads of State & Government of EU Members, MERCOSUR, President of EU Council,
President of Commission)
Bi-Regional Negotiations Committee (Representatives of MERCOSUR, Commission, EU Council & EU Member States: High level
officials)
Subcommittee for Cooperation (Officials of MERCOSUR & Commission, assisted by EU member states representatives in
Article 133 Committee)
Subgroup for Economic
Cooperation
Subgroup for Social and
Cultural Cooperation
Subgroup for Financial and
Technical Cooperation
Industrial cooperation
Cooperation on technical
regulations and
conformity assessment
Cooperation in the field of
services
Investment promotion
Macro-economic dialogue
Scientific and
technological cooperation
Energy cooperation
Transports
Telecommunications,
information technology
and information society
Cooperation on
agricultural and rural
sector
Fisheries
Customs cooperation
Statistic cooperation
Environmental
cooperation
Consumer protection
Data protection
Social cooperation
Education and training
Social dialogue
Drugs and related organised
crime
Cultural cooperation
Public administration
modernisation
Inter-institutional cooperation
Cooperation on regional
integration
Technical Group 1
Trade in goods
Tariffs & non-tariff
barriers
Technical Group 2
Trade in services
Capital flows &
investments
Intellectual property
rights
Technical Group 3
Public procurement
Competition
Controversy resolution
Source: Based on Garcia 2009:156 and documents of Bi-Regional Negotiations Committee (European
Commission).
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
40
Figure 5. Institutional Arrangements for EU-Chile Negotiations
Joint Council for Negotiations (Ministerial Meeting) (Heads of State & Government of EU Members, Chile, President of EU Council, President of
Commission)
Joint Committee for Negotiations (Representatives of Chile, Commission, EU Council & EU Member States: High level
officials)
Subcommittee for Cooperation (Officials of Chile & Commission, assisted by EU member states representatives in Article 133
Committee)
Subgroup for Economic
Cooperation
Subgroup for Cooperation in
Social Affairs, Culture and
Education
Subgroup for Cooperation in
Science and Technology
Industrial cooperation
Cooperation in
technical regulations,
norms and standards
Cooperation in
services
Investment promotion
Macroeconomic
dialogue
Cooperation in energy
Transport
Cooperation in
agriculture and rural
sector
Fisheries
Customs cooperation
Cooperation in
statistics
Cooperation in
environmental issues
Consumer protection
Data protection
Social cooperation
Education
Social dialogue
Narcotics and organised
crime
Cultural cooperation
Scientific and technological
cooperation
Telecommunications, IT
and information society
Technical Group 1
Trade in goods
Tariffs & non-tariff
barriers
Technical Group 2
Trade in services
Capital flows &
investments
Intellectual property
rights
Technical Group 3
Public procurement
Competition
Controversy resolution
Source: Garcia 2009b: 156.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
41
Figure 6. Institutional Arrangements for EU-Mexico Negotiations
Joint Council for Negotiations (Ministerial Meeting) 63
(Heads of State & Government of EU Members, Mexico, President of EU Council, President
of Commission)
Joint Committee for Negotiations (Representatives of Mexico, Commission, EU Council & EU Member States: High level
officials)
Technical Group 1 Trade in goods
Tariffs & non-tariff
barriers
Technical Group 2 Trade in services
Capital flows &
investments
Intellectual property
rights
Technical Group 3 Public procurement
Competition
Controversy resolution
Source: Based on http://www.sice.oas.org/TPD/MEX_EU/Negotiations/OpeningNegs_e.pdf
http://www.sice.oas.org/TPD/MEX_EU/Implementation/JointCouncil/meet1_e.pdf
63
EU-Mexico Joint Council (Art. 45) and Joint Committee (Art. 48) were established within framework of the
Economic Partnership, Political Coordination and Co-operation Agreement.
http://www.sice.oas.org/TPD/MEX_EU/Implementation/JointCouncil/DEC01_2000_e.pdf
The first EU-Mexico Joint Council meeting was on 27 February 2001.
http://www.sice.oas.org/TPD/MEX_EU/Implementation/JointCouncil/meet1_e.pdf
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
42
Table 2. Exclusion of sensitive agricultural products and acknowledged Tariff Rate Quotas
(TRQs) of the EU, Chile and Mexico Agreements
EU-Mexico FTA EU-Chile FTA
Main sensitive
agricultural
products excluded
from liberalised
import into the EU
Main sensitive
agricultural
products excluded
from liberalised
import into Mexico
Main sensitive
agricultural
products excluded
from liberalised
import into the EU
Main sensitive
agricultural
products excluded
from liberalised
import into Chile
bovine animals, beef,
swine, poultry/dairy
/eggs/honey/cut
flowers/some fruits
and vegetables (e.g.
olives for the
production of oil,
sweet corn,
asparagus, peas,
beans, apples, pears,
strawberries, grapes,
bananas)/cereals
except buckwheat/
sugar/some juices
(tomatoes, citrus
fruits, pineapple,
apple, pear)/
vermouth/ethyl
alcohol/vinegar
bovine animal, beef,
swine poultry/dairy
/eggs/potatoes/
bananas/cereals
except buckwheat/
roasted coffee/some
oil and fats (palm oil,
cobra oil, animal fats
or oil)/sugar/cocoa/
grape juice and grape
most/rum
beef, swine, sheep
and goats, poultry /
dairy/eggs/some
fruits and vegetables
(e.g.beans,
mushrooms of the
genus agaricus,
olives for the
production of oil,
sweet corn,
manjoc)/cereals and
the corresponding
products of the
milling industry /
sugar /vermouth /
ethyl alcohol /
vinegar
dairy/leguminous
vegetables/sweet
corn/wheat and
meslin flour, wheat
groats and pellets of
cereals / vegetable oil
and margarine/sugar
Main TRQs
acknowledged for
imports into the EU
Main TRQs
acknowledged for
imports into Mexico
Main TRQs
acknowledged for
imports into EU
Main TRQs
acknowledged for
imports into Chile
eggs/honey/cut
flowers/
asparagus/peas/cane
molasses/tropical
fruit/ juices (orange
and pineapple juice)
No TRQs
acknowledged
beef /meat of swine
and prepared food/
meat of sheep/meat
of poultry and
prepared food/cheese
and curd/worked
cereal
grains/prepared
mushrooms
cheese and curd/olive
oil
Source: Based on Rudloff and Simons 2004.
Diverging EU Trade Strategies in Latin America
External Challenges and Internal Debates
43
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