DISH TV India - Financial model - May 28 2010

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    Dish TV India Ltd.

    Opinion BUY Date:

    CMP 38.0 Sector

    Target 101.7 Ticker

    - BSE

    Potential Upside / (Downside) 167.8% - NSE

    Returns: Market Cap (Rs. Crs.)

    3M 5.6% EV (Rs. Crs.)

    6M -2.6% Free Float (%)

    12M -21.6% TTM returns (%)

    Institutional Holding (%)

    Financial Summary

    (Rs million) FY2006 FY2007 FY2008E FY2009E FY2010E FY2011E

    Net Sales 314.6 1,909.4 3,757.4 5,626.4 8,649.7 12,754.8

    EBITDA (829.8) (1,817.7) (1,796.5) (934.5) 1,140.6 4,498.9

    EBITDA margin % -263.7% -95.2% -47.8% -16.6% 13.2% 35.3%

    Net Profit (2,078.6) (2,513.3) (3,563.5) (2,604.1) (692.8) 1,894.1

    EPS (1.29) (1.56) (2.21) (1.36) (0.36) 0.99

    EPS growth YoY (%) nm nm nm nm nm

    PE (x) - - - - - 38.4

    EV / EBITDA (x) - -

    Shares O/s (mn) 1,610 1,610 1,610 1,910 1,911 1,912

    Investment rationale

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    28-May-10

    Media

    532839

    DISH

    6,118.0

    6,539.0

    56.9%

    -22%

    -

    FY2012E

    19,690.1

    10,741.9

    54.6%

    6,217.0

    3.25

    228.1%

    11.7

    1,913

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    (Rs. Million) Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09

    Income from DTH subscribers:

    1 Subscriptions 195.30 1,219.01 2,673.54 4,097.91

    2 Lease Rentals 2.40 218.07 409.06 677.71

    3 Other DTH Revenue 7.74 1.27 25.00 35.00

    Income from Content Providers:

    4 Placement & Active services - 359.21 526.27 649.24

    5 Royalty 2.50 - - -

    6 Teleport services 49.27 104.89 123.52 166.49

    7 Sales (net of returns) 57.42 6.92 - -

    314.63 1,909.37 3,757.39 5,626.36

    Metrics1. Subscriber Revenue

    YE subscribers - million 0.9 1.6 2.5 3.5

    Monthly gross adds 125,000 90,000 120,000 140,000

    Gross adds - Annual - million 1.08 1.44 1.68

    Churned out subs 0.4 0.5 0.7

    Churn % - monthly 3.7% 2.9% 2.3%

    Net Sub adds 0.68 0.89 1.00

    ARPU

    Average subs 1.24 2.03 2.97

    Arpu INR / month 81.9 110.0 115.0

    Annual Arpu - Net - INR 982.91 1,320.00 1,380.00

    2. Lease Rentals

    Lease rentals - INR mn 2.40 218.07 409.06 677.71

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    LR per sub - INR 2.67 137.98 165.58 195.39

    Per Sub growth - % YoY n.a. 20.0% 18.0%

    3. Other DTH revenues

    Other DTH Revenues 7.74 1.27 25.0 35.0

    4. Placement and active services

    Placement & active services - 359.2 526.27 649.24

    New subs 0.68 0.89 1.00

    Service revenue / new sub INR 527.9 591.30 650.43

    Growth % yoy - - 12.0% 10.0%

    5. Teleport Services

    Teleport revenue - INR mn 49.27 104.89 123.52 166.49

    Service revenue per sub - INR 54.74 66.37 50.00 48.00

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    Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Notes & Remarks

    6,548.61 10,036.96 16,325.80

    1,037.22 1,469.44 1,970.41

    50.00 75.00 95.00

    806.11 910.60 999.90

    - - -

    207.73 262.76 298.95

    - - -

    8,649.66 12,754.75 19,690.07

    4.6 5.8 7.1

    165,000 185,000 200,000

    1.98 2.22 2.40

    0.8 1.0 1.1

    2.0% 1.8% 1.6%

    1.15 1.22 1.28

    4.04 5.23 6.48

    135.0 160.0 210.0

    1,620.00 1,920.00 2,520.00

    1,037.22 1,469.44 1,970.41

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    224.69 251.66 276.82

    15.0% 12.0% 10.0%

    50.0 75.0 95.0 Random guesstimate

    806.11 910.60 999.90

    1.15 1.22 1.28

    702.46 744.61 781.84

    8.0% 6.0% 5.0%

    207.73 262.76 298.95

    45.00 45.00 42.00

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    PVR Ltd.

    INR millions Mar-06 % growth Mar-07 % growth

    Net Income from operations 314.63 1,909.4 506.9%

    Other Income - 34.0

    Total Revenues 314.6 1,943.3 517.7%

    Purchases 56.4 5.4 -90.4%

    Operating costs 725.1 2,242.6 209.3%

    Personnel costs 21.5 148.7 592.2%

    Admin & other expenses 18.8 339.3 1701.3%

    Selling & Dist. Expenses 322.6 1,025.0 217.8%

    Total Opex 1,144.4 3,761.1 228.6%

    EBITDA (830) (1,818) 119.1%

    margins % -263.7% -93.5%

    Interest 16.7 117.8 603.9%

    Depreciation and Amortization 28.3 575.3 1929.6%

    Profit before taxes (874.9) (2,510.8) 187.0%

    Extra-ordinary items 1,203.4

    (0.3) (2.5) 662.9%

    Tax rate - effective % 0.0% -0.1%

    Net profit - (PAT) (2,078.6) (2,513.3)

    No of shares outstansding 1,610.00 1,610.00

    EPS: INR (1.29) (1.56)

    EPS growth YoY nm

    CMP

    PE (x) 38.0

    Cost Workings

    Cost of goods sold 56.4 5.4

    - Number of average subs 1.2

    Cost of goods per average sub - INR 4.4

    Operating costs 725.1 2,242.6

    As a % of total revenue 230% 115%

    Income taxes (including deferred and other taxadjustments)

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    Personnel expenses 21.5 148.7

    as a % of operating revenue 6.8% 7.7%

    Selling & Admin 322.6 1,025.0

    Sub acquisition cost

    - Gross sub addition 1.5 1.08

    - per sub acquisition cost 75.0 450.0

    Annual cost 112.5 486.0

    Other expenses 210.1 539.0

    - as a % of revenue 66.8% 27.7%

    Interest expenses, net 16.7 117.8

    Average net borrowings in INR 215.5 1100

    rate expended, net % 7.77% 10.71%

    Net borrowings - current year 265 1935

    Net borrowings - previous year 166 265

    Depreciation and amortization 28.3 575.3

    Fixed block - average 360 3192.5

    rate of depreciation 7.9% 18.0%

    opening fixed block 135 585.0

    Closing fixed block 585.0 5,800.0

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    Mar-08 % growth Mar-09 % growth Mar-10 % growth Mar-11 % growth Mar-12 % growth

    3,757.4 96.8% 5,626.4 49.7% 8,649.7 53.7% 12,754.8 47.5% 19,690.1 54.4%

    65.0 - - - -

    3,822.4 96.7% 5,626.4 47.2% 8,649.7 53.7% 12,754.8 47.5% 19,690.1 54.4%

    121.5 2147.2% 133.6 10.0% 141.5 5.9% 156.8 10.8% 162.0 3.3%

    3,134.4 39.8% 3,938.4 25.7% 4,757.3 20.8% 5,357.0 12.6% 5,907.0 10.3%

    338.2 127.4% 379.8 12.3% 432.5 13.9% 510.2 18.0% 590.7 15.8%

    300.0 -11.6% 5.0 -98.3% 6.0 20.0% 7.0 16.7% 8.0 14.3%

    1,724.8 68.3% 2,104.0 22.0% 2,171.8 3.2% 2,224.8 2.4% 2,280.5 2.5%

    5,618.9 49.4% 6,560.8 16.8% 7,509.0 14.5% 8,255.8 9.9% 8,948.2 8.4%

    (1,796) -1.2% (934.5) -48.0% 1,140.6 -222.1% 4,498.9 294.4% 10,741.9 138.8%

    -47.0% -16.6% 13.2% 35.3% 54.6%

    412.0 249.6% 165.1 -59.9% 77.4 -53.1% 8.0 -89.7% 8.0 0.0%

    1,355.0 135.5% 1,504.5 11.0% 1,756.0 16.7% 1,785.0 1.7% 1,852.5 3.8%

    (3,563.5) 41.9% (2,604.1) -26.9% (692.8) -73.4% 2,705.9 -490.6% 8,881.4 228.2%

    - - - (811.8) (2664.4)30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%

    (3,563.5) (2,604.1) (692.8) 1,894.1 6,217.0

    1,610.00 1,910.00 1,911.00 1,912.00 1,913.00

    (2.21) (1.36) (0.36) 0.99 3.25

    41.8% -38.4% -73.4% -373.3% 228.1%

    (152.71) (247.91) (932.38) 341.19 104.00

    121.5 133.6 141.5 156.8 162.0

    2.0 3.0 4.0 5.2 6.5

    60.0 45.0 35.0 30.0 25.0

    3,134.4 3,938.4 4,757.3 5,357.0 5,907.0

    82.0% 70.0% 55.0% 42.0% 30.0%

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    338.2 379.8 432.5 510.2 590.7

    9.0% 6.8% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0%

    1,724.8 2,104.0 2,171.8 2,224.8 2,280.5

    1.44 1.68 1.98 2.22 2.4

    720.0 750.0 660.0 600.0 540.0

    1,036.8 1,260.0 1,306.8 1,332.0 1,296.0

    688.0 844.0 865.0 892.8 984.5

    18.0% 15.0% 10.0% 7.0% 5.0%

    412.0 165.1 77.4 8.0 8.0

    3169 1834.5 967.25 100 100

    13.0% 9.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%

    4403 500 100 100 100

    1935 4403 500 100 100

    1,355.0 1,504.5 1,756.0 1,785.0 1,852.5

    6775 8850 10975 12750 14250

    20.0% 17.0% 16.0% 14.0% 13.0%

    5,800.0 7,750.0 9,950.0 12,000.0 13,500.0

    7,750.0 9,950.0 12,000.0 13,500.0 15,000.0

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    Life time value analysis

    INR per sub Remarks

    Offer to new hook up 3,990 Probably amongst the lowest offer, cannot reduce further

    Average cost of service package per month 180

    Total content cost per annum 2,160

    Other variable expenses per annum 360

    Cost of Customer premise equipment (CPE) 3,000

    Cost of Installation 300

    Total annual cost per sub 6,000

    Subscriber acquisition cost per sub (2,010)

    Average annual churn rate % 30% Over a longer term will come down to around 20%

    Months Or in terms Years

    Life cycle of a typical sub in months 40 3.33

    Average ARPU per sub 250 Lots depends on the ARPU which could go up as a

    result of better subscriber quality wanting to hook up

    Average revenue per sub (Lifetime) 10,000 to maxi package - ARPU of around INR 375 (incl

    of taxes).

    - Life time content cost 7200

    - Installation cost 300

    - Variable expenses 1,200

    Total sub expenses 8700

    Pretax profit per sub 1,300

    Annual pretax profit per sub 390.00

    Break-even ARPU 217.5

    Current APRU 150.0

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    Chart 1

    Chart 2

    20012002

    20032004

    20052006

    20072008E

    2009E2010E

    2011E2012E

    (5,000.0)

    -

    5,000.0

    10,000.0

    15,000.0

    20,000.0

    25,000.0

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    Sales, EBITDA & margins

    Net Sales EBITDA Net Margins

    INR (Mn)

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    Cost of equity 17.1%

    Beta 1.75

    Rf 7.5%

    Rm 13.0%

    Cost of debt 10.0%

    Tax rate % 30.0%

    Debt / Equity 30:70

    WACC 14.1%

    Terminal growth 2.5%

    FY2008E FY2009E FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E FY2013E

    EBIT (1-t) (2,206.0) (1,707.3) (430.8) 1,899.7 6,222.6 12,445.1

    Add Depreciation 1,355.0 1,504.5 1,756.0 1,785.0 1,852.5 2,737.9

    Less Capex (6,500.0) (5,000.0) (3,500.0) (2,500.0) (1,000.0) (750.0)

    WC changes (20.0) (22.4) (25.1) (28.1) (31.5) (35.2)

    FCFF (7,371.0) (5,225.2) (2,199.9) 1,156.6 7,043.6 14,397.8

    PV factor 1.00 1.14 1.30 1.48 1.69 1.93

    PV of FCFF (7,371.04) (4,579.96) (1,690.12) 778.90 4,157.60 7,449.14

    Sum of FCFF (PV) 48,525

    TV 119,492

    Firm Value 168,017

    Less: net Debt 4,200

    Equity Value 163,817

    Shares O/s 1,610.00

    Value per share 101.7

    EBIT growth (%) -22.6% -74.8% -541.0% 227.5% 100.0%

    Depreciation % of EBIT -61.4% -88.1% -407.6% 94.0% 29.8% 22.0%

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    FY2014E FY2015E FY2016E FY2017E TV Notes

    19,912.2 26,881.5 33,601.9 38,642.1

    3,584.2 4,569.9 5,376.3 5,796.3

    (500.0) (250.0) (250.0) (150.0)

    (39.5) (44.2) (49.5) (55.5)

    22,956.9 31,157.1 38,678.6 44,233.0 391,273.6

    2.21 2.52 2.87 3.27

    10,410.84 12,384.86 13,476.18 13,508.40 119,491.77

    60.0% 35.0% 25.0% 15.0%

    18.0% 17.0% 16.0% 15.0%

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------

    Income StatementRevenues 0 0 0 0

    Other Operating Revenues 0 0 0 0

    Cost of Goods Sold 0 0 0 0

    Selling, Gen & Admin Expenses 0 0 0 0

    Depreciation Expense 0 0 0 0

    Other Oper Expense 0 0 0 0

    Reported EBITA 0 0 0 0

    Amortization of Goodwill 0 0 0 0

    Intangibles Amort. (Excl. Goodwill) 0 0 0 0

    Reported EBIT 0 0 0 0

    Non-Oper Income 0 0 0 0

    Interest Income 0 0 0 0

    Interest Expense 0 0 0 0

    Restructuring Charges 0 0 0 0

    Special Items 0 0 0 0

    Earnings Before Taxes 0 0 0 0

    Income Taxes 0 0 0 0

    Minority Interest 0 0 0 0

    Income Before Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0

    Extraordinary Items (After Tax) 0 0 0 0

    Net Income 0 0 0 0

    Preference dividends 0 0 0 0

    Earnings for common shareholders 0 0 0 0

    Common dividends 0 0 0 0

    Retained profit 0 0 0 0

    Earnings per share (INR) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0

    Earnings per share - fully diluted (INR) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0

    Statement of changes in equity

    Opening balance 0 0 0

    Retained profit 0 0 0

    Foreign Exchange Rate Changes 0 0 0

    Issue of New Shares 0 0 0

    Goodwill Written Off 0 0 0

    Other Adjustments to Equity 0 0 0

    Closing balance 0 0 0 0

    Check: Changes in Equity 1.0 0 0 0

    Balance Sheet

    Operating Cash 0 0 0 0

    Excess Marketable Securities 0 0 0 0

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2------------------ ------------------ ------------------------------------ ------------

    Accounts Receivable 0 0 0 0

    Inventories 0 0 0 0

    Other Current Assets 0 0 0 0

    Total Current Assets 0 0 0 0

    Net Property Plant and Equipment 0 0 0 0

    Goodwill 0 0 0 0

    Other Intangible Assets 0 0 0 0

    Other Operating Assets 0 0 0 0

    Investments 0 0 0 0

    Deferred tax asset 0 0 0 0

    Other Non-operating Assets 0 0 0 0

    Retirement Related Assets 0 0 0 0

    Total Assets 0 0 0 0

    Short term debt 0 0 0 0

    Accounts Payable 0 0 0 0

    Tax payable 0 0 0 0

    Dividends payable 0 0 0 0

    Other Current Liabilities 0 0 0 0

    Total Current Liabilities 0 0 0 0

    Balancing Debt 0 0 0 0

    Long Term Debt 0 0 0 0

    Deferred Income Taxes 0 0 0 0 Other Operating Liabilities 0 0 0 0

    Restructuring Provisions 0 0 0 0

    Income smoothing Provisions 0 0 0 0

    On-going operating Provisions 0 0 0 0

    Long-term operating Provisions 0 0 0 0

    Retirement Related Liabilities 0 0 0 0

    Minority Interest 0 0 0 0

    Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0

    Total Common Equity 0 0 0 0

    Total Liabs and Equity 0 0 0 0

    Check: Assets = Liabilites 1.0 0 0 0 0

    Traditional Cash flow

    Reported EBITA 0 0 0

    Depreciation 0 0 0

    EBITDA 0 0 0

    Less investment in working capital 0 0 0

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2------------------ ------------------ ------------------------------------ ------------

    Foreign exchange translation effects 0 0 0

    Operating cashflow 0 0 0

    Less tax paid 0 0 0

    Capital investments

    Less capex 0 0 0

    Less investment 0 0 0

    Less goodwill & intangibles acquired 0 0 0

    On-going operating Provision 0 0 0

    Less other operating assets/liabilities 0 0 0

    Total capital investments 0 0 0

    Finance

    Interest Income 0 0 0

    Interest Expense 0 0 0

    Debt raised/repaid 0 0 0

    Total finance payments 0 0 0

    Plus non-operating income &expense

    Non-Oper Income 0 0 0

    Special items 0 0 0

    Extraordinary items 0 0 0

    Investment in non-operating assets 0 0 0

    Retirement Related Assets 0 0 0

    Total non-operating items 0 0 0

    Less payments from reserves and to minoritiesRestructuring charges 0 0 0

    Income smoothing Provision 0 0 0

    Long-term operating Provision 0 0 0

    Retirement Related Liabilities 0 0 0

    Minority interest 0 0 0

    Total payments to reserves/minorities 0 0 0

    Equity

    Less pref dividends paid 0 0 0

    Prefs issued/(redeemed) 0 0 0

    Less dividends paid 0 0 0

    Equity raised/repaid 0 0 0

    Total equity cash payments 0 0 0

    Net Cashflow 0 0 0

    Cash/overdraft

    Opening balance 0 0 0

    Increase/ (Decrease) 0 0 0

    Closing balance 0 0 0 0

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------

    Check: Cash calc = Cash balance 1.0 0 0 0

    Excess cash 0 0 0

    Balancing debt 0 0 0

    NOPLAT

    Reported EBITA 0 0 0

    Adj for Operating Leases 0 0 0

    Adj for Non-operating component of pension expense 0 0 0

    Add: Interest associated with Long-term operating Provision 0 0 0

    Add: Increase in Income smoothing Provision 0 0 0

    Adjusted EBITA 0 0 0

    Taxes on EBITA 0 0 0

    Change in Deferred Taxes 0 0 0

    NOPLAT 0 0 0

    Taxes on EBIT

    Prov for Inc Taxes 0 0 0

    Tax Shield on Interest Exp 0 0 0

    Tax Shield on Operating Lease Interest 0 0 0

    Tax Shield on Non-operating component of pension expense 0 0 0

    Tax Shield on Interest associated with Long-term operating Provision 0 0 0

    Tax on Interest Income 0 0 0

    Tax on Non-operating Income 0 0 0

    Taxes on EBIT 0 0 0

    Reconciliation to Net Income

    Net Income 0 0 0

    Add: Increase in Deferred Taxes 0 0 0

    Add: Increase in Income smoothing Provision 0 0 0

    Add: Goodwill Amortization 0 0 0

    Add: Extraordinary Items 0 0 0

    Add: Special Items After Tax 0 0 0

    Add: Minority Interest 0 0 0

    Adjusted Net Income 0 0 0

    Add: Interest Exp. After Tax 0 0 0

    Add: Interest Exp. On Long-term operating Provision 0 0 0

    Add: Interest Exp. on Op. Leases 0 0 0

    Add: Interest Exp. on Non-operating component of pension expense 0 0 0

    Income Available to Investors 0 0 0

    Add: Restructuring Charges 0 0 0

    Less: Interest Income After-Tax 0 0 0

    Less: Non-operating Income After Tax 0 0 0

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------

    NOPLAT 0 0 0

    Check: NOPLAT OK 0 0 0

    Invested Capital

    Operating Working Capital 0 0 0 0

    Net Property Plant and Equipment 0 0 0 0

    Other Assets Net of Other Liabs 0 0 0 0

    Less: On-going operating Provision 0 0 0 0

    Value of Operating Leases 0 0 0 0

    Op. Invested Capital (excl.Goodwill) 0 0 0 0

    Goodwill & Intangibles 0 0 0 0

    Cumulative Written Off & Amortized 0 0 0 0 0

    Op. Invested Capital (incl.Goodwill) 0 0 0 0

    Excess Marketable Securities 0 0 0 0

    Investments 0 0 0 0

    Non-operating Assets 0 0 0 0

    Retirement Related Assets 0 0 0 0

    Total Investor Funds 0 0 0 0

    Total Common Equity & Pref. Stock 0 0 0 0

    Cum Goodwill Written Off & Amortized 0 0 0 0

    Deferred Income Taxes 0 0 0 0

    Dividends Payable 0 0 0 0

    Income smoothing Provision 0 0 0 0

    Adjusted Equity 0 0 0 0

    Minority Interest 0 0 0 0

    Restructuring Provisions 0 0 0 0

    Long-term operating Provision 0 0 0 0

    Retirement-Related Liabilities 0 0 0 0

    Interest Bearing Debt 0 0 0 0

    Value of Operating Leases 0 0 0 0

    Total Investor Funds 0 0 0 0

    Check: Investor Funds 1.0 0 0 0 0

    Free Cash Flow

    NOPLAT 0 0 0

    Depreciation 0 0 0

    Gross Cash Flow 0 0 0

    Increase in Working Capital 0 0 0

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------

    Capital Expenditures 0 0 0

    Incr in other operating assets/liabilities 0 0 0

    Incr in Ongoing operating Provisions 0 0 0

    Inv in Operating Leases 0 0 0

    Gross Investment 0 0 0

    Free Cash Flow Excl. Goodwill 0 0 0

    Investment in Goodwill and Intangibles 0 0 0

    Free Cash Flow Incl. Goodwill 0 0 0

    AT Interest Income 0 0 0

    (Incr)/Decr Excess Mkt Sec 0 0 0

    Foreign Exchange Translation 0 0 0

    (Incr)/Decr Retirement Related Assets 0 0 0

    Non-operating Cash Flow 0 0 0

    Restructuring Cash Flow 0 0 0

    Extraordinary items 0 0 0

    Cash Flow Available to Investors 0 0 0

    Financing Flow

    AT Interest Expense 0 0 0

    Interest on Operating Leases 0 0 0

    Interest on Nonoperating Component of Pension Expense 0 0 0

    Interest on Long-term Operating Provision 0 0 0

    Decr/(Incr) in Debt 0 0 0

    Decr/(Incr) in Operating Leases 0 0 0

    Decr/(Incr) in Retirement Rel. Liab 0 0 0

    Decr/(Incr) in Long-term Operating Provision 0 0 0

    Payments to Minorities 0 0 0

    Common Dividends 0 0 0

    Preferred Dividends 0 0 0

    Decr/(Incr) in Preferred 0 0 0

    Decr/(Incr) in Share Capital 0 0 0

    Total Financing Flow 0 0 0

    Check: Investors CF = Financing CF OK 0 0 0

    Economic Profit

    Before Goodwill

    Return on Invested Capital 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0

    WACC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0

    Spread 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0

    Invested Capital (Beg of Year) 0 0 0

    Economic Profit (before Goodwill) 0 0 0

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NOPLAT 0 0 0

    Capital Charge 0 0 0

    Economic Profit (before Goodwill) 0 0 0

    After Goodwill

    Return on Invested Capital 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0

    WACC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0

    Spread 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0

    Invested Capital (Beg of Year) 0 0 0

    Economic Profit (after Goodwill) 0 0 0

    NOPLAT 0 0 0

    Capital Charge 0 0 0

    Economic Profit (after Goodwill) 0 0 0

    DCF Valuation Calculations

    CV period

    FCF period Sum

    Free Cash Flow

    Discount Factor

    PV of FCF 33,030

    Continuing value PV of Continuing value #DIV/0!

    Operating value #DIV/0!

    Economic profit

    Discount Factor

    PV of EP 31,380

    Continuing value

    PV of Continuing value #DIV/0!

    Invested capital at start of forecast 1,650

    Operating value #DIV/0!

    Check: EV=FCF #DIV/0!

    Minorities

    Profits attributable to minorities

    Perpetuity based on final year detailed forecast

    Discount factor

    Present Value 0

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------

    Non-operating assets

    Non-operating income

    Perpetuity based on final year detailed forecast

    Discount factor

    Present Value 0

    Restructuring costs

    Restructuring costs paid

    Discount factor

    Present Value 0

    Ratios

    Adjusted EBITA / RevenuesCost of Goods Sold / Revenues NA NA NA NA

    SGA costs / Revenue NA NA NA NA

    EBITDA / Revenue NA NA NA NA

    Depreciation / Revenues NA NA NA NA

    Reported EBITA / Revenues NA NA NA NA

    Adjustments to EBITA / Revenues NA NA NA

    Adjusted EBITA / Revenues NA NA NA

    Return on Invested Capital (BY)

    Net PPE / Revenues NA NA NA

    Working Capital / Revenues NA NA NA

    Net Other Assets / Revenues NA NA NA Rev. / Inv. Capital (pre-Goodwill) NA NA NA

    Pre-Tax ROIC NA NA NA

    Cash Tax Rate NA NA NA

    After-Tax ROIC (pre-Goodwill) NA NA NA

    Rev. / Inv. Capital (incl. Goodwill) NA NA NA

    After-Tax ROIC (incl. Goodwill) NA NA NA

    Return on Invested Cap (Avg)

    Net PPE / Revenues NA NA NA

    Working Capital / Revenues NA NA NA

    Net Other Assets / Revenues NA NA NA

    Rev. / Inv. Capital (pre-Goodwill) NA NA NA

    Pre-Tax ROIC NA NA NA

    After-Tax ROIC (pre-Goodwill) NA NA NA

    After-Tax ROIC (incl. Goodwill) NA NA NA

    Average ROE NA NA NA

    Growth Rates

    Revenue Growth Rate NA NA NA

    Adjusted EBITA Growth Rate NA NA NA

    NOPLAT Growth Rate NA NA NA

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    #DIV/0!

    PVR Ltd - Base #DIV/0! Historical

    INR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Invested Capital Growth Rate NA NA NA

    Net Income Growth Rate NA NA NA

    Investment Rates (excl. Goodwill)

    Gross Investment Rate NA NA NA

    Net Investment / NOPLAT NA NA NA

    Financing

    EBIT/Interest Payable NA NA NA

    Adjusted EBITA/Interest payable NA NA NA

    Cash Coverage (Gross CF / Interest) NA NA NA

    Debt / Total Cap (Book) NA NA NA NA

    Debt / Total Cap (Market) NA NA NA NA

    Valuation indicators

    Mkt Val Op Inv Cap/ BV Op Inv Cap NA NA NA

    Market / Book (incl. Cum Goodwill) NA NA NA

    Mkt val Op Inv Cap / Adj EBITA NA NA NA

    Enterprise value / EBITA NA NA NA NA

    Price Earnings Ratio NA NA NA NA