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Timeline of Major Events Iraq invades Kuwait Operation Desert Storm Allied forces liberate Kuwait UN weapons inspectors enter Iraq Saddam ousts UN weapons inspectors US goes to war with Iraq Bush declares “mission accomplished” MULTILATERAL UNILATERAL
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Disclaimer…Due to the topical nature and content of the forthcoming lecture, today’s presentation will be almost entirely devoid of drum-playing or any other form of hippy-dippy entertainment. In other words, I might actually finish this time. Thank you in advance for understanding.
- Mr. Loavenbruck
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Iraq to VictoryTimeline &
Spectrum of US Foreign Policy (1990–2003)
Timeline of Major Events1990 - Iraq invades Kuwait1991 - Operation Desert Storm1991 - Allied forces liberate Kuwait1991 - UN weapons inspectors enter Iraq1998 - Saddam ousts UN weapons inspectors2003 - US goes to war with Iraq2003 - Bush declares “mission accomplished”
MULTILATERAL
UNILATERAL
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Lecture Objectives…
• What motivated each event’s occurrence?- national interest, cause & effect
• What foreign policy tools were used?- diplomatic, economic, military
• How did US shift from multilateral to unilateral?- global cooperation to global protest
BIG PICTURE• Describe and evaluate the Bush foreign policy in the wake of September 11, 2001.
• What foreign policy tools were used prior to and including military intervention?
• Was Bush’s approach to the war in Iraq justified?
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After the Cold War…• US- übersuperpower
- Bush’s “new world order”- global cooperation- MULTILATERAL- prevent aggression
• UN- increased role in international peace- no more ideological gridlock- redefining security issues & strategies
Background: Iraq• 2nd largest known oil reserves
• diverse ethnic and religious communities
• WWI thru 1968 - political instability
• Ba’ath Party – one party rule
US-Iraqi Relations: Enter the Madman
1979 - Saddam succeeds al-Bakr as president1980 - Saddam invades Iran, oil hungry1984 - US, weary of Iran, reestablish ties w/Iraq1988 - war ends, no more common enemy1990 - Iraq invades Kuwait1991 - Operation Desert Storm
US-Iraqi Relations: Enter the Madman
1979 - Saddam succeeds al-Bakr as president1980 - Saddam invades Iran, oil hungry1984 - US, weary of Iran, reestablish ties w/Iraq1988 - war ends, no more common enemy1990 - Iraq invades Kuwait1991 - Operation Desert Storm
US-Iraqi Relations: Enter the Madman
1979 - Saddam succeeds al-Bakr as president1980 - Saddam invades Iran, oil hungry1984 - US, weary of Iran, reestablish ties w/Iraq1988 - war ends, no more common enemy1990 - Iraq invades Kuwait1991 - Operation Desert Storm
The Gulf WarSaddam’s Motivation:
• post-war debt• blamed and accused Kuwait• “19th Province”
US’s Motivation• Kuwait a US-ally• key oil supplier• backed by UN
International CoalitionMULTILATERAL involvement:
• Aug. ‘90: UN imposed economic sanctions- frozen assets- international embargo
• Nov. ‘90: diplomacy abandoned- deadline set (military threat)- international support
• Jan. ‘91: no more Mr. Nice Guy• Feb. ‘92: Saddam driven from Kuwait
Aftermath• NO invasion of Iraq
“Take mattersinto your hands.”
• uprisings - Kurds - Shia• Saddam cracks down
Decade of Containment
• UN Resolution 687 - Iraqi disarmament - declare/destroy WMDs - UNSCOM inspectors
• no-fly zones
Decade of Containment has Saddam-in-a-Box
Foreign Policy Tools1990-1998
• diplomatic pressure• economic sanctions • military threats• military intervention• economic aid
Saddam Goes AWOL• 1996 - Saddam begins blocking
inspections to certain sites
• 1997 - Saddam disallows U.S.members of inspection team
• 1998 - Clinton: Desert Fox
• 1998 - Saddam ousts UNSCOM
Reason for Concern
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• No inspections
• Uncertainty grows
• U.S. tension rises
The Wake of 9/11• Bush Doctrine
• Multilateral support in War on Terror
• Sympathy for U.S.
The Case for WarJan. 29, 2002 - State of the Union
• painted Iraq as linchpin of AXIS OF EVIL” including Iran, N. Korea, Syria
• making case for ousting Saddam as part of War on Terror
You’re next,France!
The Case for WarRationale:
• megalomaniac!• stockpiles, close to nukes• invaded neighbors• used chemical weapons• defiant AND sneaky
• logical assumptions
He triedto kill my
dad!!!
OPPOSED to War!• allies in UN argue for more inspections• Russia, China, France threaten veto“By shifting from his early focus after 9/11 onwar against terrorism to war against Iraq, the pres. has manifestly disposed of the sympathy,goodwill & solidarity compiled by America &transformed it into a sense of deep misgiving &even hostility.” - Al Gore, 9/23/02
FOR Military Intervention
“The risks of inaction are far greater than therisks of action.”
“What he wants is time & more time to husbandhis resources to invest in his ongoing chemical &biological weapons program, & to gain possessionof nuclear weapons.”
- Dick Cheney, August 2002
“If they do not act,AMERICA WILL!”
Some More Diplomacy11/8/02 - U.N. Resolution 1441 (passed 15-0) • Iraq is in breach of previous resolutions • Saddam must declare all WMDs in 90 days • full cooperation with U.N. inspections • “serious consequences…” if Saddam refuses
• new inspections - led by Hans Blix
Inspections and Intelligence
12/7/02: • Iraq delivers 12,000 page report on WMDs • Blix: “not enough to create confidence…”12/21/02: • CIA: George Tenet makes case for WMDs1/27/03, 2/14/03: • Blix: Iraq not fully complying
“It’s a SLAM DUNK!”
Mounting Tensions• negotiations dragged on for weeks• debate grew increasingly critical
March 2003: • U.S. will invade with or without U.N. support
• SPIRIT of MULTILATERALISM GONE
• Powell wants to give diplomacy more time, but makes Bush’s case to the U.N.
Operation Iraqi FreedomMarch 17, 2003:
• aerial attacks begin on Baghdad
Early April 2003:• “Saddam” toppled
May 1, 2003:• “Mission Accomplished”
In Support of Bush F.P.• Every foreign policy tool, short of an invasion of Iraq, had been exhausted, and has left Saddam clandestine and defiant.
• In the wake of 9/11, the risk of inaction faroutweighed the risk of action.
• The U.S. does NOT need a permission slip to protect it national security. Saddam had to go!
In Opposition of Bush F.P.
• Focusing on Iraq was a diversion from the real threats to our national security.
• Unilateralism will alienate our allies andinstigate our enemies & other potential threats.
• The U.S., in utilizing a policy of preemption, is setting a bad example. The world will see us as a bully, and other powerful nations couldfollow in our footsteps.
Trying Desperately to bethe Cartoon Conga King
BOOM DA BOOM BOPDA BOOM DIP DIPBOOM DA BOOM BOPDA BOOM DAPSHLIBBY DIBBY BOP BOPDAP SHLIBBY DIPSHLIBBY DIBBY BOOM DA BOOM BLAP!