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Digital Evaluation of Tobacco Style and Quality by
Using Support Vector Machine Algorithm with
Thermal Analysis Spectra
Qiaoling Li, Ph.D.
China Tobacco Fujian Industrial Co., Ltd
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Background
1
In the processes of tobacco blend design and maintenance, the evaluation of
tobacco style and quality is very important.
Tobacco B
Chemical
analysis
Artificial
sensory
analysis
Reactants
Tobacco leaves
Products
Cigarette smoke
Tobacco A
Differences in style
and quality
High demands on formulators,Heavy workload
Complicated to detect and analyze
Pyrolysis and
combustion
reactions
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Background
2
In the processes of tobacco blend design and maintenance, the evaluation of
tobacco style and quality is very important.
Tobacco B
Chemical
analysis
Artificial
sensory
analysis
Reactants
Tobacco leaves
Products
Cigarette smoke
Tobacco A
Differences in style
and qualityPyrolysis and
combustion
reactions
Simple, fast and low cost
Process
Analysis
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
375 475 575 675 775
DTG
(%
/min
)
Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
Tobacco A
Tobacco B
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3
Questions
Tobacco style
and quality
01
02
Is it possible ?
How to achieve the digital evaluation?
03 What can it do in practical application?
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
375 475 575 675 775
DTG
(%
/min
)
Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
Tobacco A
Tobacco B
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4
01 Is it possible ?
The pyrolysis and combustion characteristics of tobacco are closely related
to the cigarette burning behavior.
Figure 1 Schematic diagram of the major processes occurring in cigarette combustion
Tobacco Pyrolysis Combustion Ash
Volatile
gasesGases
Air
Smoke
Feedback LossHeat
Pyrolysis Zone Combustion Zone
Char
Self-sustaining burning cycle
Reference[1] Baker R R, Bishop L J. The pyrolysis of tobacco ingredients[J]. Journal of Analytical and Applied Pyrolysis, 2004, 71(1): 223–311.
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-0.025
-0.02
-0.015
-0.01
-0.005
0
300 400 500 600 700 800
DTG
(m
g/K
)Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
5
01 Is it possible ?
The pyrolysis and combustion reactions process can be visually expressed
by thermal analysis spectra.
Pyrolysis
reaction
Combustion
reaction
Tobacco leave
Char
Ash
Combustion
characteristic
Pyrolysis
characteristic
Reference[2] YAN Cong, XIE Wei, LI Yuefeng, et al. Numerical simulation of cigarette smoldering[J]. Tobacco Science & Technology, 2014, 6: 15–21.
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-0.025
-0.02
-0.015
-0.01
-0.005
0
300 400 500 600 700 800
DTG
(m
g/K
)Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
6
01 Is it possible ?
The pyrolysis and combustion reactions process can be visually expressed
by thermal analysis spectra.
Full analysis
Pyrolysis
reaction
Combustion
reaction
Tobacco leave
Char
Ash
Combustion
characteristic
Pyrolysis
characteristicTobacco
composition
Reference[2] YAN Cong, XIE Wei, LI Yuefeng, et al. Numerical simulation of cigarette smoldering[J]. Tobacco Science & Technology, 2014, 6: 15–21.
R1: MoistureR2: VolatileR3:HemicelluloseR4: CelluloseR5: Lignin
R1
R2 R3 R4
R5
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-0.025
-0.02
-0.015
-0.01
-0.005
0
300 400 500 600 700 800
DTG
(m
g/K
)Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
7
01 Is it possible ?
The pyrolysis and combustion reactions process can be visually expressed
by thermal analysis spectra.
Full analysis
Pyrolysis
reaction
Combustion
reaction
Tobacco leave
Char
Ash
Combustion
characteristic
Pyrolysis
characteristicTobacco
composition
Physical
structure
Reference[2] YAN Cong, XIE Wei, LI Yuefeng, et al. Numerical simulation of cigarette smoldering[J]. Tobacco Science & Technology, 2014, 6: 15–21.
R1: MoistureR2: VolatileR3:HemicelluloseR4: CelluloseR5: Lignin
R1
R2 R3 R4
R5
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-0.025
-0.02
-0.015
-0.01
-0.005
0
300 400 500 600 700 800
DTG
(m
g/K
)Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
8
01 Is it possible ?
The pyrolysis and combustion reactions process can be visually expressed
by thermal analysis spectra.
Full analysis
Pyrolysis
reaction
Combustion
reaction
Tobacco leave
Char
Ash
Combustion
characteristic
Pyrolysis
characteristicTobacco
composition
Physical
structure
Reference[2] YAN Cong, XIE Wei, LI Yuefeng, et al. Numerical simulation of cigarette smoldering[J]. Tobacco Science & Technology, 2014, 6: 15–21.
R1: MoistureR2: VolatileR3:HemicelluloseR4: CelluloseR5: Lignin
R1
R2 R3 R4
R5
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-0.025
-0.02
-0.015
-0.01
-0.005
0
300 400 500 600 700 800
DTG
(m
g/K
)Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
9
01 Is it possible ?
The pyrolysis and combustion reactions process can be visually expressed
by thermal analysis spectra.
Full analysis
Pyrolysis
reaction
Combustion
reaction
Tobacco leave
Char
Ash
Combustion
characteristic
Pyrolysis
characteristicTobacco
composition
Physical
structure
The yield of cigarette smoke and the smoke composition Taste
Reference[2] YAN Cong, XIE Wei, LI Yuefeng, et al. Numerical simulation of cigarette smoldering[J]. Tobacco Science & Technology, 2014, 6: 15–21.
R1: MoistureR2: VolatileR3:HemicelluloseR4: CelluloseR5: Lignin
R1
R2 R3 R4
R5
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01 Is it possible ?
Normalized root mean square error (NRMSE)
( ) ( )
( )
2
1
2
1
/ /
(%) 100
/
N
i ii
N
ii
dm dt dm dt
NRMSE
dm dt
=
=
−
=
A B
A
Difference degree
Crop years Cities Stalk positionsProvinces
Probability (P value) =0.2717 P=0.2310 P=0.0002P=0.0003
Reference [3] LI Qiaoling, CHEN Kunyan, LIU Zechun, et al. TGA-based analysis of pyrolysis differential between different tobacco samples[J]. Tobacco Science & Technology, 2017, 50(8): 75–79, 102.
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900
-4.0
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature (K)
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900
-4.0
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature (K)
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900
-4.0
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature (K)
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900
-4.0
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
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01 Is it possible ?
Normalized root mean square error (NRMSE)
( ) ( )
( )
2
1
2
1
/ /
(%) 100
/
N
i ii
N
ii
dm dt dm dt
NRMSE
dm dt
=
=
−
=
A B
A
Difference degree
Crop years Cities Stalk positionsProvinces
Probability (P value) =0.2717 P=0.2310 P=0.0002P=0.0003
Reference [3] LI Qiaoling, CHEN Kunyan, LIU Zechun, et al. TGA-based analysis of pyrolysis differential between different tobacco samples[J]. Tobacco Science & Technology, 2017, 50(8): 75–79, 102.
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900
-4.0
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature (K)
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900
-4.0
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature (K)
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900
-4.0
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature (K)
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900
-4.0
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature (K)
Style Quality
Thermal analysis spectra
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01 Is it possible ?
The style and quality of 88 tobacco samples were sensory evaluated and
classified by 20 tobacco experts.
88 single-grade tobacco samples
Fujian province Yunnan province
1: Fujian Upper
2: Fujian Lower
3: Fujian Middle-1
4: Fujian Middle-2
5: Yunnan Upper
6: Yunnan Lower
7: Yunnan Middle-1
8: Yunnan Middle-2
Planting areas
Stalk positions
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01 Is it possible ?
Figure 2. Thermal analysis spectra of the tobacco leaves in each category
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
Category 1, Fujian Upper
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
8
9
10
Category 2, Fujian Lower
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 3, Fujian Middle-1
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
Category 4, Fujian Middle-2
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 5, Yunnan Upper
36
37
38
39
40
41
43
43
44
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
45
46
47
48
49
50
Category 6, Yunnan Lower
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0Category 7, Yunnan Middle-1
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 8, Yunnan Middle-2
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
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01 Is it possible ?
Figure 3. Averaged thermal analysis spectra of the tobacco leaves in each category
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 1, Fujian Upper
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 2, Fujian Lower
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 3, Fujian Middle-1
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 4, Fujian Middle-2
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 5, Yunnan Upper
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 6, Yunnan Lower
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0Category 7, Yunnan Middle-1
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
400 500 600 700 800-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 Category 8, Yunnan Middle-2
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
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400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 (b) Yunnan province
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
Category 5, Upper
Category 6, Lower
Category 7, Middle-1
Category 8, Middle-2
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
Category 1, Upper
Category 2, Lower
Category 3, Middle-1
Category 4, Middle-2
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
(a) Fujian province
15
01 Is it possible ?
Figure 4. Averaged thermal analysis spectra of the tobacco leaves from the same province but different stalk positions
Volatile
species
Volatile
species
Hemicellulose
Cellulose
Lignin
Hemicellulose
Cellulose
Lignin
Same province
Similar physical structure
Upper
Lower
Middle-1
Middle-2
Different proportions of volatile species
Lower < Upper < Middle-2 < Middle-1
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400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 (f) Middle-2
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
Category 4, Fujian
Category 8, Yunnan
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 (e) Middle-1
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
Category 3, Fujian
Category 7, Yunnan
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 (d) Lower
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
Category 2, Fujian
Category 6, Yunnan
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0 (C) UpperD
TG
(%
/min
)
Temperature(K)
Category 1, Fujian
Category 5, Yunnan
16
01 Is it possible ?
Figure 5. Average thermal analysis spectra of the tobacco leaves from the same stalk position but different provinces
Different provinces
Different physical structures
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01 Is it possible ?
Stalk position and grade Province
StyleQuality
Volatile speciesHemicellulose, cellulose,
and lignin
Perceptual knowledge
400 500 600 700 800
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
Category 1
Category 2
Category 3
Category 4
Category 5
Category 6
Category 7
Category 8
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
Thermal analysis spectra
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18
Questions
01
02
Is it possible ?
How to achieve the digital evaluation?
03 What can it do in practical application?
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19
02 How to achieve the digital evaluation ?
For classification problems, support vector machine (SVM) is one of the
recommended supervised learning algorithm.
Table 1. The classification of tobacco leaves in SVM
The traditional SVM only supports 2 classifications, that is not enough for 8 categories, so the one-against-all method is adopted. When one category is distinguished, the other categories are regarded as one category.
Reference[4] Hsu C W and Lin C J. A comparison of methods for multiclass support vector machines[J]. IEEE Trans. Neural Networks, 2002. 13(2): 415–425
Province Fujian Province Yunnan Province Total
Stalk position Upper Lower Middle-1 Middle-2 Upper Lower Middle-1 Middle-2
Category 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Number
Training set5 2 8 13 7 5 12 22 74
Testing set2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 14
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02 How to achieve the digital evaluation ?
Kernel function often plays an important role when classifying with SVM.
Different kernel functions have different application scopes.
Gaussian kernel function
Binomial kernel function
The number of samples is much larger than the number of feature points
6000 feature points 88 tobacco samples<
Linear kernel function
References[5] Yuan G X, Ho C H, and Lin C J. Recent advances of large-scale linear classification[J]. Proc. IEEE, 2012, 100(9): 2584–2603[6] Hsu C W, Chang C C, and Lin C J. A practical guide to support vector classification. Technical report, University of National Taiwan, Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, (2003), pp. 1–12
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
375 475 575 675 775
DTG
(%
/min
)
Temperature (K)
Thermal analysis spectra
Tobacco A
Tobacco B
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02 How to achieve the digital evaluation ?
The penalty parameter C in SVM also plays an significant role in the
training and prediction.
-4 -2 0 2 4
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Training set
Testing set
Ac
cu
rac
y
lg(C)
Figure 6. The influence of the penalty function C on the accuracy of the training set and the testing set
C=1,lg(C)=0
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02 How to achieve the digital evaluation ?
5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 7 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
True
Predict
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
True
Predict
Figure 7. The confusion matrix of the training set Figure 8. The confusion matrix of the testing set
Accuracy=98.6% Accuracy=92.9%
Category 3Fujian Middle-1
Category 4Fujian Middle-2
Category 7Yunnan Middle-1
Category 8Yunnan Middle-2
Misjudgment Misjudgment
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02 How to achieve the digital evaluation ?
88 single-grade tobacco samples
Fujian province Yunnan province
Similar style
Light flavor of tobacco
in south China still have differences
1: Fujian Upper
2: Fujian Lower
3: Fujian Middle-1
4: Fujian Middle-2
5: Yunnan Upper
6: Yunnan Lower
7: Yunnan Middle-1
8: Yunnan Middle-2
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02 How to achieve the digital evaluation ?
88 single-grade tobacco samples
Fujian province Yunnan province
Similar style
Light flavor of tobacco
in south China still have differences
400 500 600 700 800
-4
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-2
-1
0Different provinces
Yunnan
Guizhou
Sichuan
Henan
Hunan
Fujian
Shandong
Liaoning
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Temperature(K)
In order to verify the effectiveness and practicality of this evaluation method, the most difficult case was chosen.
1: Fujian Upper
2: Fujian Lower
3: Fujian Middle-1
4: Fujian Middle-2
5: Yunnan Upper
6: Yunnan Lower
7: Yunnan Middle-1
8: Yunnan Middle-2
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02 How to achieve the digital evaluation ?
88 single-grade tobacco samples
Fujian province Yunnan province
Similar style
Light flavor of tobacco
in south China still have differences√
1: Fujian Upper
2: Fujian Lower
3: Fujian Middle-1
4: Fujian Middle-2
5: Yunnan Upper
6: Yunnan Lower
7: Yunnan Middle-1
8: Yunnan Middle-2
Stalk positions√This evaluation method not only accurately distinguishes the style, but also gives very accurate results for the classification of tobacco quality.
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Questions
01
02
Is it possible ?
What can it do in practical application?03
How to achieve the digital evaluation?
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03 What can it do in practical application?
Thermal analysis spectra Machine learning algorithm
Modeling and Classification
Tobacco style and quality
1. Evaluation of tobacco
quality in each year2. Tobacco substitution 3. Cigarette formula desigh
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03 What can it do in practical application?
Machine learning scheme Artificial scheme
8 tobacco leaves in the blend of a cigarette need to be substituted
Thermal analysis spectra Formulator's experience
Application case in tobacco substitution
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03 What can it do in practical application?
10 20 30 40 50 60
-4
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-1
0
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Time (min)
Original
Artifical
Machine learning
(1)
10 20 30 40 50 60
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
(2)
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Time (min)
Original
Artifical
Machine learning
10 20 30 40 50 60
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
(3)
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Time (min)
Original
Artifical
Machine learning
10 20 30 40 50 60
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
Original
Artifical
Machine learning
(4)
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Time (min)
10 20 30 40 50 60
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
(5)
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Time (min)
Original
Artifical
Machine learning
10 20 30 40 50 60
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
(6)
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Time (min)
Original
Artifical
Machine learning
10 20 30 40 50 60
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
(7)
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Time (min)
Original
Artifical
Machine learning
10 20 30 40 50 60
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
(8)
DT
G (
%/m
in)
Time (min)
Original
Artifical
Machine learning
Figure 9 Thermal analysis spectra of 8 tobacco leaves in machine learning scheme and artificial scheme
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03 What can it do in practical application?
Table 2. Routine chemical components in cut fillers of cigarette before and after substitution
SamplesPuffing
number
Tar
mg·cig–1
Nicotine
mg·cig–1
CO
mg·cig–1
Original cigarette 6.5 11.6 0.94 12.8
Artificial scheme 6.3 11.5 0.97 13.1
Machine learning scheme 6.5 11.4 0.95 12.7
Table 3. Deliveries of tar, nicotine and CO in mainstream smoke of cigarette before and after substitution
SamplesNitrogen
%
Alkaloid
%
Sugar
%
K
%
Cl
%
Original cigarette 2.21 2.30 23.7 2.16 0.45
Artificial scheme 2.14 2.13 23.8 2.19 0.42
Machine learning scheme 2.21 2.21 23.9 2.15 0.43
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03 What can it do in practical application?
Machine learning scheme Artificial scheme
9 tobacco leaves in the blend of a cigarette need to be substituted
Thermal analysis spectra Formulator's experience
Application case in tobacco substitution
≧
Sensory evaluation
The results of sensory evaluation and cigarette smoke data indicated that the machine learning scheme could satisfy the application requirements.
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1. Thermal analysis spectra are the important data source for digital evaluation of tobacco style
and quality.
2. The thermal analysis spectra of 88 single-grade tobacco leaves have combined with SVM
algorithm for modelling and classification.
3. The results verify the effectiveness and practicality of thermal analysis spectra for the digital
evaluation of tobacco style and quality, and the machine learning scheme based on the thermal
analysis spectra is an efficient method for tobacco substitution. 32
Conclusions
-5
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0
375 475 575 675 775
DTG
(%
/min
)
Temperature (K)
Tobacco A
Tobacco BTobacco composition
Physical structure
Pyrolysis and combustion characteristics
Accuracy of the training set =98.6% Accuracy of the testing set =92.9%
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Acknowledgements
Anan WuProfessor
Cooperators Group members
Chao Yin
Quanxing Zheng
Yumei Yu
Xiucai Liu
Xiaohua Deng
Tinggui Zhang
Jiawei Zhong
Hanchun Xu
Kai Lin
Pengfei Ma
Chaozhang Huang
Bin LiProfessor
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