Destination FTTH

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    Course of Lectures about

    Optical Information SuperhighwayConstruction Core Backbone network Hotspot Metro network Destination FTTH

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    Ren Hailan

    Wuhan Research Institute of Post &Telecommunication

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    Agenda

    Background of FTTH FTTH Status and Forecast FTTH Technology Basics FTTH in China

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    Telecommunication Trends

    Optical TransportHigh Capacity ComponentsBroadband AccessHigh Capacity Transport

    Broadband

    Carry graded InternetConvergence RegulationsMultiple ServicesTransport-bearerAccess Technologies

    Fixed-mobile

    Convergence

    Integrated Wireless SystemsOpen Service PlatformMobilityPersonalized Services

    Personalization

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    Next GenerationWireless Network3G\WLAN\WIMAXNext GenerationAccess Network

    DSL\FTTH

    Next GenerationInternetIPV6Next GenerationTransport NetworkASON/WDM

    NGN is for All the Future Networks

    Next generationswitching networkSoftswitch

    End-to-end, evolved, converged total solutionUniversal protocol based packet network

    Open platformService driven

    With switching as the core

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    Evolution to NGN Access Network

    ADSL1-20MDialUp56K

    FTTH

    100MTTx+VDSL50M

    Narrow BandBroadband

    Single ServiceIntegrated Services

    SingleserviceIntegrated

    Service

    Narrowband

    Integrated

    Broadband

    Wirelessixed

    SeparatedConverged

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    Why FTTH?

    HTTF:

    FTTH:

    How To Trade Fiber

    Fiber To The Home

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    FTTH Driving Forces

    Competition LEC vs. CATV CLEC vs. ILEC

    Market

    Services New applications (Gaming, VOD, P2P, HDTV) Each family needs about 60M b/w

    Regulation Governments new regulations to encourageFTTH deployments

    Technology Progress in op-electronics and micro-electronics FTTH cost (system, fiber, device) drops dramatically

    Promotion to other industries Overall market: 200-380 B /year in China

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    Access Still the Bottleneck

    Backbone

    160X10G DWDM

    ULH: 10G 3000km

    40G SDH

    Metro

    MSTP

    CWDM/DWDM

    Metro GE

    AccessDial-UpADSL

    LAN

    ASIC

    Mores Law

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    Video Application Needs FTTH

    Access rate

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    ADSL Cannot Meet the Needs

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    WiMAX

    Wi Fi

    Neither Current Wireless

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    Agenda

    Background of FTTH FTTH Status and Forecast FTTH Technology Basics FTTH in China

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    Japan FTTH users from 531,000 in July 2003 to 2.03 million in Sept 2004 Forecast 7.7 million by 2007

    United States Massive deployments started in 2004. 200,000 users by mid 2004 Verizon plan 3 million by 2005; SBC plan 19 million by 2007; Bellsouthplan 2.8 million by 2009

    Sweden 245,000 FTTH users in July 2003 with 10M as the typical bandwidth Provide E-magazine, VOIP phone, etc.

    Italy 145,000 FTTH subscribers in July 2003, more than half of BB subs Provide voice, data, VOD, E-gaming, VoIP, CATV

    Netherlands and Australia Also have FTTH deployments and future plans

    Globe FTTH Update

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    Source:RHK, Corning, Point Topic Q2 2003

    Broadband lines by region

    CALA2% EMEA25%

    NorthAmerica29% Asia44% FTTH lines by region

    CALA0%

    Asia71%

    NorthAmerica

    9%

    EMEA21%

    Global Broadband Statistics

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    Global FTTH Forecast

    Source: Cahners In-Stat Group,RHK 2003

    FTTH Subscribers CAGR 220%

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    Agenda

    Background of FTTH FTTH Status and Forecast FTTH Technology Basics FTTH in China

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    Access Network The network portion between CO and the user Function includes cross connect, multiplexing, transport, but no

    switching

    Also known as local network, local loop, or subscriber loop

    Optical Access Network (OAN) The set of access links sharing the same network-side interfaces and

    supported by optical access transmission systems.

    Access Network

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    OAN Reference Configuration

    T1520720-96

    AN system management functions

    ONU

    ODN OLT

    ONUAF

    Service

    nodefunctions

    R/SS/R

    (a) reference point

    User side

    Q3

    Network side

    (T) reference point

    UNI

    (V) reference point

    SNI

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    OAN Network Architecture

    T1528110-98

    F T T C a b

    F T T HO

    N

    T

    N

    T

    N

    T

    ON

    U

    O

    NU

    OL

    T

    F T T B / C

    fibre

    fibre

    fibre

    copper

    copper

    access networkhome

    network

    UN I SN I

    O N U O ptical Netw ork U nit

    O N T O ptical N etw ork Term ination

    O LT Optical Line Term ination

    T N etw ork Termination

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    Terminologies FTTH Fiber To The home FTTO Fiber To The Office FTTC Fiber To The Curb or Cabinet FTTB Fiber To The Building FTTF Fiber To The Floor FTTP Fiber To The Premises FTTN Fiber To The Node FTTX Fiber To The eXchange FTTx General term for all of above

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    FTTxFiber

    Copper

    SplitterCO

    CO

    ActiveModule

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    FTTH Defined

    ITU-T: Fiber to the householdno copperbetween CO and households

    FCC: H includes both household and smallbusiness

    We Extend: H includes individual household,small business, and multi-dwelling apartment

    building

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    High endresidence

    Business/CBD

    Internet Center

    High end residence, especially the new builds, will be the startingpoint for FTTH

    They are wealthy, seeking for modem life with advancedtechnologies

    Large scale deployment, easy for planning, deployment andmaintenance

    Most users in business building/CBD requires high bandwidth,

    integrated services, and can generate high ARPU Triple play plus TDM leased lines

    Internet centers are very popular in China, they usually closelylocated to each other and need large amount of b/w

    ADSL does not meet b/w requirements, FTTP a good solution

    Because closely location, PON is a good choice

    FTTP Target Market

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    FTTO Example

    Internet

    Company E

    BasementP5012(OLT)

    Teleom

    building

    Building A Building B

    BP5001(ONU)

    (ODN)

    Company A

    Company B

    Company C

    Company D

    Company F

    Company G

    Company H

    Company I

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    N fibers

    1 fiber

    Existing PDH

    access

    EPON access

    E1/T1 Convergence

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    FTTH Example

    House

    High-endMDU

    High-endMDU

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    FTTH System Requirements Integrated Servicevoice, video, data, multimedia, TDM

    High Capacityfinal b/w about 100Mbps/home

    Low Cost 800/home Scalabilitybandwidth/home#subscribers/system

    Manageabilitysubscribers, provision, fault, performance,security, billing

    Interoperabilityexisting equipment, multi-versions,standardization

    Availabilitymaximum failure/year, smooth upgrade

    Flexibilityservice types, bandwidth, accounting/billing,system protection

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    FTTH Generic Architecture

    OLT

    CATV Net

    ONU

    Access PartUser Partetwork Part

    1-20km

    ODN

    50-300m

    PSTN

    Internet

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    Beyond FTTH Access

    OLT

    CATV Net

    MSTPOLTPSTN

    Internet

    CATV Net

    PSTN

    Internet

    NetworkSide

    ONU

    WLAN

    FiberONU

    75

    RJ11

    RJ45

    Cable

    75

    Home Side

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    End-user Multiplex Mechanism

    WDM

    TDM

    CO

    1

    1

    1

    2

    2

    2

    CO

    (1, 3, 5 )

    (2, 4 6, )

    1

    23

    45

    6

    CO

    12

    12

    1

    2

    1

    2

    Fiber-D

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    FTTH Architectures

    CO

    Single level P2PN pair of low speed O-modulesN long fibersN ports at CONo active componentsNo b/w limitation

    CO

    Two level P2P1 pair high speed O-modulesN pair low speed O-modules1 long fiber + N short fibers1 port at COActive components

    No b/w limitation

    CO

    Fiber in the Building1 pair high speed O-modules1 long fibers1 port at COActive componentsB/w limitation

    CO

    PONN+1of low speed O-modules1 long fiber + N short fibers1 ports at CONo active componentsNo b/w limitation

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    PON with 3 Wavelengths

    CATV

    1.49

    1.31

    1:161.55

    1:32

    1.49

    1.55

    1.31

    Filter-1 Filter-2

    Internet

    PSTN

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    VSB-AM VSB-AM

    TDM

    TDM

    OLT

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    CO

    CO

    OLT

    N fibers

    2N transceivers

    OLT

    1 1 fiber

    2 N+1 transceivers

    31 port

    N ports 4dynamic bandwidth sharing

    P2P PON

    5 high speed modulelow speed module

    P2P vs. PON

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    FTTH Topology

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    How Does PON Work? True broadcast downstream,

    Each ONU filters its ownusers traffic

    Bandwidth statisticmultiplexing

    Upstream time slicing

    No collision

    No packet fragmentation

    Dynamic bandwidthallocation

    Fast burst synchronization

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    Same topologyP2MP fiber

    APON EPON GPON

    Different encapsulation

    Proposed by FSAN andstandardized by ITU-T

    ATM encapsulation

    Standard most mature

    Used in US and Japan

    To be replaced

    IEEE EFM standardized802.3ah

    Ethernet encapsulation

    Standard mature

    Rapid growth in market

    Widely used in Japan

    Proposed by FSANstandardized by ITU-T

    GEM encapsulation

    Standard on going

    Few vendors

    PON: P2MP Technology

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    APONEPON and GPON

    L 3

    L 2

    L 1 P O N P h y s ic a l L a y e r

    I P

    E T H

    T D M

    P O T S

    v i d e o

    L 4

    L 5

    T C P / U D P

    P O T S

    v i d e o

    E T H

    P O T S

    v i d e o

    d a t ad a t a

    d a t a

    A P O N E P O NP O N

    T D M

    A A L 5A A L 1 / 2

    T C P / U D P

    T D M

    E th e r n e t F r a m eG E M F ra m eA T M C e ll

    I P

    T C P / U D P

    I E T F

    P W E

    I P

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    EPON use WDM to realize bi-directional transport on asingle fiber

    In order to distinguish the signals in two differentdirections, two multiplexing technologies adopted TDM for downstream TDMA for upstream

    1490nm

    1310nm

    EPON: Multiplexing

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    Broadcasting mode

    After registration, ONU is assigned unique LLID(s)

    Before transmitting a packet, an LLID was added into every packet

    After receiving a packet, OLT compares the LLID with its LLID registrationlistONU only accepts those packet that has its own LLID or broadcasting

    packet

    EPON: Downstream

    ONU-specificpacket

    ONU-specific

    packet

    Splitter

    Variable lengthpackets IEEE 802.3format

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    TDMA mode

    EPON: Upstream

    Packet in IEEE 802.3 formatwith viable length

    End-user 1

    End-user 3

    End-user 2

    ONU-specific

    packet

    ONU-specific

    packet

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    ONU ONU synchronize with OLT

    through timing message

    ONU waiting for (gate

    ONU perform discovery operation

    ONU waiting for authorization tosend data

    OLT Generate timing message used as

    system reference time

    Assign bandwidth using MPCP

    frame

    Ranging Control ONU registration

    EPON: OLT and ONU

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    GPON System Architecture

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    Lower reliability and lower cost

    Suitable for high-endresidential users and small

    business users

    PON ProtectionFull protectionTrunk only protection

    higher reliability and higher cost

    Suitable for high-end businessusers

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    FTTH Product Categories Equipments

    P2P Ethernet / P2P SDH APON EPON GPON WDMPON

    Components Active modules (duplex, triplex transceiver, etc) Passive devices (Splitter, Filter, etc.)

    Cable backbone cable, access cable, drop cable, in-door cable

    Accessories All kinds of accessories for deployment, installation and

    maintenance

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    Agenda

    Background of FTTH FTTH Status and Forecast FTTH Technology Basics FTTH in China

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    Since 1990, the capacity of China PSTN hasincreased from 12M lines to more than 610M lines(July. 2004) ,The telephone penetration has increasedfrom 1.1% to 45% New installed wireline was 36M in the first half of

    2004, which is approx. 50% of total new installedwireline world wide New installed ADSL sub. was 7M in the first half of2004, which is approx. 45% of total new installedADSL sub. world wide

    Huge Traffic Growth

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    020000400006000080000

    100000120000140000

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004.9

    Mb/s

    Internet

    Leased linePSTN

    126GIP/PSTN = 32

    International B/W Trends

    China Domestic

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    364 21747193

    18263

    02000400060008000

    100001200014000160001800020000

    2000.5 2001.5 2002.5 2003.5

    Tbyte/m260 increase per year !

    Backbone IP Traffic Growth

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    Current BB Access Situation By June 2004, China has 87M Internet users

    9.4% increase over year end of 2003

    28% increase over mid 2003

    6.7% of the population

    31.1M broadband users 79% increase over year end of 2003

    217% increase over mid 2003

    By June 2005, the number of Chinas Internet users is103M Bear Sterns forecasts 144M BB subs by 2007 ADSL is the dominating technology

    SOHO and Residence Environ.

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    Cities and townsdensity wealthy distance B/w %

    Smallbusiness high high close-far high 8%Luxurydistrict medium high medium-

    farhigh 5%

    MDU high medium close-medium

    medium

    -high72%

    Remoteresidence low low far low 15%

    Chinas FTTH Roadmap

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    2003.11 2004.12 2006.6 2007

    Stage 1Research and

    development

    2004.6 2005.9

    Stage 2Testing and field trial

    Phase1TestingEquipment maturity

    and availability

    Stage 3Commercial deployment

    and operation

    Phase3Small ScaleDeploymentOperation and

    maintenance

    Phase2Field TrialDeployment and

    business model

    Current Situation (1/3)

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    FTTH is well accepted as a future-proof access solution

    However, people hold different opinions as for when large scaleFTTH deployment starts

    Government considering FTTH a huge market

    Governments FTTH program: eleventh 5 year plan

    Local government considering local regulations to promote FTTH

    Applications

    No single killer application so far

    HDTV viewed as killer application but not widely used yet Gaming, IPTV, digital home, etc. together may make killer

    applications

    FTTH products are mature

    Many equipment vendors and cable/fiber providers

    EPON and point-to-point FTTH is commercially available

    Ethernet based WPON and GPON are under development

    Various out-door and in-door FTTH fiber and cable are available

    Current Situation (2/3)

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    FTTH integrated with home network ONT functionality extension into home gateway

    Carriers attitude are generally positive

    China Telecom formed an FTTH special leading group and

    deployed the first commercial FTTH in Wuhan China Netcom complete country-wide FTTH testing and a

    number of deployments

    China Mobile is considering FTTH for its wire-line access

    FTTH forum

    Founded in 2004 by Fiber-on-Line to promote FTTH research,development and deployment

    Standardization

    By China Communication Standard Association

    Also by local governments: Wuhan and Hangzhu Major issues

    High cost in comparison with ADSL which dominates todaysaccess market

    Lack of applications

    Current Situation (3/3)

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    Some deployments and certain deployment experience

    Good equipment installation experience but few cabling andwiring experience

    Countrywide FTTH field trials and commercial deployments

    More than 20 FTTH field trials and commercial deployments inWuhan, Beijing, Chengdu, Hangzhu, Shanghai, Guangzhu, etc.

    The biggest has about 2000 subs

    More FTTH deployments planned

    The first FTTH in commercial operation by major carriers Zisong residential district FTTH with 420 subs by Wuhan

    Telecom and operation starting in Jan 2005

    IP telephone, POTS phone, Internet, CATV, FAX, IPTV

    1:32 GEPON with triplex WDM

    A big district in Wuhan plan to use FTTH/O

    An area of about 7 square km with population of 160,000

    Including residential building and CBD

    All FTTH and FTTO for access

    Major Players

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    Equipment

    Fiberhome (EPON, GPON)

    UTStarcom (EPON)

    Greenwill (EPON)

    Fohope Networks (WPON)

    ZTE (EPON)

    Fiber/Cable Fiberhome

    Changfei

    Hengtong

    Devices and Module WTD

    Fiberxon

    Accelink

    Vendors Telecos

    China Telecom

    China Netcom

    China Mobile

    China Unicom

    Residential service providers

    Tailong

    Service providers

    Technology Choices (1/2)

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    Service requirements Multiple-play: voice, Internet access, CATV, IPTV, leased line

    Three types of subs: home, small-medium business, largecorporation

    Two major FTTH architectures P2P and PON

    P2P is good for Enough CO space

    Subs are sparsely located and their distances to CO are quite

    different

    High scalability requirements in # of users and b/w

    PON good for Limited CO space Subs are closely located and their distances to CO similar

    Low scalability in # of users and b/w

    Technology Choices (2/2)

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    EPON will dominate FTTH market

    For high-density home and small office

    POTS, Internet, CATV, IPTV, VOIP

    Easy to evolve to NGN GPON will be mainly used for FTTO

    For high-density medium size corporations

    POTS, Internet, IPTV, VOIP, small # of leased lines

    Make the best use of exiting network resource

    Point-point SDH

    For big corporations and sparsely located medium size corporations

    Large number of leased lines (ATM, FR, TDM), voice and Internet

    Point-point Ethernet

    For sparsely located home and small business which does notneed lot of leased line services

    EPON or GPON?

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    Optical level No big difference

    Cost EPON is cheaper

    Encapsulation efficiency Commonly accepted: EPONs efficiency is less than 50

    GPONs great than 90

    It all depends on what service: Ethernet? TDM?

    In reality, almost all the IP services carried over Ethernet

    Support for TDM Both EPON and GPON support TDM GPON is more efficient for large number of E1/T1

    Maturity EPON is more mature

    ConclusionEPON and GPON suitable for

    different environments

    Fiberhomes Total Solution

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    Citrans 850series MetroDWDM

    IBAS 100 EdgeOptical NetworkProducts

    MSTPCitrans SeriesMSTPProducts

    Citrans830SeriesCWDM

    Metro DWDM

    ASONFonsWeaver 640FONSTW1600

    Long HaulDWDM

    Citrans SeriesMSTPProducts

    Citrans 850Series MetroDWDM

    Citrans 830Series CWDM

    IBAS 100 edgeoptical networkproducts

    FiberhomeForce10 CoreRouter

    MAISP8000ConvergeRouterR4000 SeriesConvergenceRouter

    S3000 SeriesLayer 3 Switch

    R3000 SeriesEdge RouterodeB

    NodeB

    NodeB

    SGW

    MSC-S/VLR

    HLRFHX 3000MGW

    FHX 5000SGW PSTN

    FHX 8000Softswitch

    FHX 1000 SeriesIAD

    BWAat COBWA enduserWLANAP

    PDA

    MobileData

    BroadbandWirelessAccess

    AN2000 SeriesDSLAM

    S2000 SeriesLayer 2 Switch

    ODN1:64

    BP5000 EPONONT

    ADSLADSL2+

    VDSL2

    EnterpriseCustomers

    GovernmentCustomers

    Media Server Application Server Billing Serverolicy Server

    MSTP

    Metro DWDM

    SS7

    NodeB

    NodeB

    NodeB

    IN

    3G Core NetworkCircuit Domain

    3G Core NetworkPacket Domain

    SS7

    PSTN

    MGW

    RNC

    BP5000 EPONOLT

    AN3000 SeriesIAS at CO

    AN3000 SeriesIAS Remote

    BroadbandNarrowband

    GGSNGSN

    RNC

    Edge access Edge Access

    Integrated

    BearerPlatform

    Fiberhomes FTTH Solution

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    Started PON products development in 1995 Industry Leader in supporting Integrated services P2P Ethernet, EPON and GPON Single fiber with triple wavelength, true triple-play Smooth evolution to NGN/softswitching High GEPON interface density Complete accessories

    Equipmentcarrier grade GEPON system with advanced OAMGEbackplane (48G), 1:32 splitter, 1024 ONU on single chassis

    Componentsall active (transceiver and CATV module) and passive (splitter,wavelength multiplexers) components for GEPONCableall kinds of cables for FTTH and installation solutionsAccessoriesall kinds of accessories for FTTH

    Current Focus: FTTH and FTTO

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    CATV, DTV

    KM

    Evolution to Soft-switching

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    To interwork with PSTN through open V5 and/orPRI and make the best use of existing networks

    Control module supports H.323 and H.248, flexiblefor both H.323 VOIP network and future softswitch

    network

    PSTNV.5/PRI.. Integrated MG

    H.248 ANM2000

    MGCFHX8000

    H323GatekeeperFHX3000GE H323

    Metro Network

    Integrated Access capability

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    FTTH to Home Network

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    BP5005

    ODN

    ODN

    V5

    GEMetro IP

    PSTN

    CATV

    e-Fim ANM2000

    Single fiber to house, true triple-play Communication, entertainment andmonitoring together Smooth evolutionONUhome gateway High density ADSL2+/VDSL/FTTP equipment

    Data100M/family VoicePOTS and VOIP VideoCATV and IPTV Leased lineTDM and VLAN With WLAN integrated

    FTTH Cables

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    Backbone CableAccess CableDrop CableIndoor Cable

    Deployment Model

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    By telecos and CATV providers Same as that for the existing BB access networks Invest once and profit in a long term

    By telecos, CATV providers and house builders House builders responsible for deployment, deployment

    cost counts into into house price

    Telecos and CATV responsible for operation andmaintenance

    Multiple parties share the profit

    By residential service providers (RSP) RSP responsible for network operation and maintenance Telecos responsible for providing exit port and b/w Services provided by multiple-parties

    Operation Model

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    By telecos and CATV providers Enough operation experience

    No interworking and inter-billing problem

    Hard for triple-play

    By residential service providers Easy for integrated planning and deployment of the overall

    information platform

    Evolution to NGN

    Encourage competition

    Network resource sharing

    Tailong model in Chengdu is the first attempt

    Zisong FTTH in Wuhan

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    The first FTTH network in commercial operation by service providers FTTH deployment for existing dwelling building with 420 subs

    The total FTTH solution from Fiberhome, including 1:32 triplex GEPON equipment,splitter, all the kinds of cable and all accessories

    CO

    Cabinet

    PCPhone

    Zisong FTTH Deployment Field

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    Cabinet with splitter inside Insider of the Cabinet Leading cable

    Cabinet in the building End unit (ONU)Insider of the ONU

    Beijing CNC FTTH Project

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    The five vendors are Fiberhome, Utstarcom, ZTE, Huawei, and Gaohong

    4 large scale

    technology discussion

    and 5 vendors selected

    for testing

    5 vendors

    EPON

    equipment

    testing

    Lab FTTH

    network

    demonstration

    Firstcommercial

    deployment

    FTTH Cost

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    72/80

    CAPEX UpgradeOperation

    Maintenance

    Fiber3%

    Engineeringdesign

    4%

    Construction21%

    Equipment60%

    DN Compon ents12%

    Equipment Price Trend

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    73/80

    0100020003000400050006000700080009000

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    EPON equipment price for triple-play per line

    EPON Equipment Price ( /sub)

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    Services < 5000 line >100000 line2005 2006 2008 2005 2006 2008

    Internet

    only 1590 1350 900 1200 1000 600

    Internet +

    voice1950 1500 1000 1430 1100 750

    Triple play 4400 3080 1800 3000 2100 1400

    FTTH CAPEX ( /sub)

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    Services< 5000 line

    2005 2006 2008

    E C Total E C Total E C Total

    Internet Only 1590 1500 3090 1350 1100 2450 900 700 1600

    Internet +

    voice1950 1700 3650 1500 1300 2800 1000 800 1800

    Triple-play 4400 2000 6400 3080 1500 4580 1800 900 2700

    Services> 100,000 line

    2005 2006 2008

    E C Total E C Total E C Total

    Internet only 1200 1000 2200 1000 700 1700 600 400 1000

    Internet +

    voice1430 1250 2680 1100 900 2000 750 500 1250

    Triple-play 3000 1500 4500 2100 1100 3200 1400 700 2100

    FTTO Case Study

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    Item /Penetration Year 135 Year 250 Year 3601 # of FTTO subs5100 in total 1,785 2,550 3,060

    2 OLT800/line4000 line 3,200 - -

    3 ONU1000/each 1,785 765 5104 FTTP Cable800/each 4,080 - -

    5 CAPEX in Total 9,065 9,830 10,3406 Monthly fee (198/sub 4,241.2 6,058.8 7,270.6

    7 Installation fee1800/sub 3,213 1,377 918

    8 Revenue in total 7,454.2 14,890 23,078.6

    9 Operation fee4% of CAPEX 362.6 393.2 423.6

    10 Sale and other fee20 of revenue 1,490.8 2,978 4,615.7

    11 Real revenue 5,600.8 11,518 18,039.3(in 1K Chinese Yuan)

    Challenges

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    No killer applications Most applications low b/w : Email, web surfing, web gaming Telecos not allowed to run broadcast TV People not used to pay for TV

    FTTH still too expensive than existing technologies ADSL equipment: 400-500/user FTTH equipment: 1600(Internet), 2000 (voice + Internet), 4000 (triple play) FTTH cable: 1500(Internet), 1700 (voice + Internet), 2000 (triple play)

    No deployment and operation experience No large scale commercial FTTH deployments Few commercial FTTH in operation but little operation experience

    Competing technologies meet current requirements

    ADSL/2/2+, LAN, MMDS/LMDS, HFC, WLAN, WiMAX, BPL

    Profit model not clear

    Regulation discouraging for FTTH deployment Residential service providers CATV rights

    Opportunities

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    New applications emerging Country-wide digital TV plan

    IPTV become very hot

    HDTV starts enter into market

    P2P and gaming exhaust bandwidth

    None of the existing technologies can provide 60Mb/w per family FTTH cost keeping dropping

    FTTH cost keeps dropping dramatically

    FTTH cost/bandwidth is much lower than other technologies

    For FTTO, cost is not the most important factor

    Deployment planned More than 20 FTTH deployments are on-going with the largest of 2000 subs

    A large residential FTTH in Wuhan with more than 16000 residents

    China Netcom considering FTTO for Beijing CBD

    2008 Beijing Olympics prefers FTTDesk and FTTH

    Experience and encouragement from Japan and US Encouraging regulations are under governments consideration

    FTTH deployment bundled with real estate

    Separation of TV network and TV program is under consideration

    The Telecommunication Law will further encourage competition

    Summary

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    FTTH is accepted as a future-proof solution

    FTTH has seen rapid growth in some developedcountries

    Both P2P and PON have their favorabledeployment environments

    APON is widely deployed in US, but will be out

    EPON and GPON will dominate FTTH and FTTOrespectively

    Chinas FTTH market is huge and is approaching

    massive FTTH deployment

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    80/80

    Thank You