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Neil W. Polhemus, CTO, StatPoint Technologies, Inc. Design of Experiments Using Statgraphics Centurion Copyright 2011 by StatPoint Technologies, Inc. Web site: www.statgraphics.com

Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

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Page 1: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Neil W. Polhemus, CTO, StatPoint Technologies, Inc.

Design of Experiments Using

Statgraphics Centurion

Copyright 2011 by StatPoint Technologies, Inc.

Web site: www.statgraphics.com

Page 2: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Design of Experiments Wizard

Phase 1: Creating an experiment

Phase 2: Analyzing the results

Phase 3: Further experimentation

2

Page 3: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Phase 1: Creating an experiment

Phase 1: Creating an experiment

Step 1: Define responses

Step 2: Define experimental factors

Step 3: Select design

Step 4: Specify model

Step 5: Select runs

Step 6: Evaluate design

Step 7: Save design

Phase 2: Analyzing the results

Phase 3: Further experimentation

3

Page 4: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Phase 2: Analyzing the results

Phase 1: Creating an experiment

Phase 2: Analyzing the results

Step 8: Analyze data

Step 9: Optimize responses

Step 10: Save results

Phase 3: Further experimentation

4

Page 5: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Phase 3: Further experimentation

Phase 1: Creating an experiment

Phase 2: Analyzing the results

Phase 3: Further experimentation

Step 11: Augment design

Step 12: Extrapolate

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Page 6: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Example – from Response Surface

Methodology by Myers and

Montgomery

6

Find the settings of time, temperature and catalyst that maximize

the conversion percentage of a chemical process while keeping

the thermal activity as close as possible to 57.5.

Page 7: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

DOE Wizard – Main Window

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Page 8: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 1: Define responses

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Page 9: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 2: Define experimental factors

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Step 3: Select design

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Page 11: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 3: Select design (cont.)

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Page 12: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 3: Select design (cont.)

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Page 13: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 3: Select design (cont.)

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Page 14: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Datasheet

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Page 15: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 4: Select model

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Page 16: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 5: Select runs (D-optimal

design only)

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Step 6: Evaluate design

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Page 18: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Plot of design space

18

RSM Example

8.3 10.3 12.3 14.3 16.3 18.3

time

160170

180190

200210

temperature

1.6

1.9

2.2

2.5

2.8

3.1

3.4

ca

taly

st

Page 19: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Prediction variance plot

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Prediction Variance Plotcatalyst=2.5

8.110.1

12.114.1

16.118.1

time

150

170

190

210

230

temperature

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

Stn

d.

err

or

Page 20: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Power curve

20

Power Curve for A:time

alpha = 5.0%, sigma estimated from total error with 10 d.f.

-4 -2 0 2 4

True effect/sigma

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

Pro

bab

ilit

y o

f d

ete

cti

on

Page 21: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Do the experiment!

Then enter the results:

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Page 22: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 8: Analyze data

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Step 8: Analyze data (cont.)

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ANOVA table

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Page 25: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Pareto chart

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Standardized Pareto Chart for conversion

0 2 4 6 8

Standardized effect

A:time

AB

AA

BC

BB

B:temperature

CC

C:catalyst

AC +

-

Page 26: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Exclude effects

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Page 27: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Final models

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Standardized Pareto Chart for conversion

0 2 4 6 8

Standardized effect

A:time

BC

BB

B:temperature

CC

C:catalyst

AC +

-

Standardized Pareto Chart for thermal activity

0 2 4 6 8 10

Standardized effect

AA

C:catalyst

A:time

+

-

Page 28: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

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Step 9: Optimize responses

Page 29: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

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Step 9: Optimize responses (cont.)

Page 30: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 9: Optimize responses (cont.)

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3-D contour plot

31

Desirability Plotcatalyst=2.31889

8.1 10.1 12.1 14.1 16.1 18.1

time

150170

190210

230

temperature

1.6

1.9

2.2

2.5

2.8

3.1

3.4

cata

lyst

Desirability

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

Desirability

Page 32: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Overlaid contour plots

32

Overlay Plot

catalyst=2.34412

conversion

thermal activity

8.1 10.1 12.1 14.1 16.1 18.1

time

150

170

190

210

230

tem

pera

ture

75.0

83.0

91.0

99.0

107.0115.0123.057.0 59.0 61.0 63.0 65.0 67.0 69.0 71.0

Page 33: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 10: Save results

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Page 34: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 11: Augment design

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Page 35: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 12: Extrapolate

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Page 36: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

Step 12: Extrapolate (cont.)

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Page 37: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

More… (next webinar)

Creating and using RPDs (Robust Parameter Designs)

Analyzing designs with both process and mixture

components

Using D-optimal designs to fix a botched experiment

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Page 38: Design of Experiments Webinar.pdf

More Information

Go to www.statgraphics.com

Or send e-mail to [email protected]

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