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Revised Process Water Deduction Methodology and Analysis Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010.

Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

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Page 1: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Revised Process Water Deduction Methodology and Analysis

Department of Water Resources

Sacramento, CAOctober 11, 2010.

Page 2: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

OutlineReview of processesReview of previous draft criteria and

data analysesFurther data analysisRevised criteria

Page 3: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

The StatuteSection 10608.24 (e) “When developing the

urban water use target pursuant to Section 10608.20, an urban retail water supplier that has a substantial percentage of industrial water use in its service area, may exclude process water from the calculation of gross water use to avoid a disproportionate burden on another customer sector.”

Page 4: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Review of ProcessesThe Department of Water Resources (DWR)

utilized the following processes to develop criteria for implementation of the provisions relating to process water: Consulted a statistician.Conducted literature search for the use of

“substantial percentage”. Convened a Process Water Work Group and

received comments from stakeholders.Analyzed water use data obtained from the

California Urban Water Conservation Council (CUWCC).

Page 5: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Review of Draft Criteria and Analyses1. A DWR consultant

suggested using 4% as a threshold for a substantial percentage of industrial water use because 20% of suppliers would be able to deduct.

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.350.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

2005 2006 2007 2008

Ratio of Industrial Use to Total

Cum

ula

tive P

erc

ent

of

Reta

il W

ate

r Suppli

ers

Page 6: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Review of Draft Criteria … (cont.)2. DWR, using a

gpcd of industrial water use as an indicator of a burden on non-industrial water use sectors, suggested a threshold of 10% at the second work group meeting.

Page 7: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Review of Draft Criteria … (cont.)3. Based on comments

received from the work group and further data analysis, DWR raised the threshold to 15% and added sliding scales (tiers) to address comments received.

Page 8: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Review of Draft Criteria … (cont.)The tiers suggested by DWR were based on:

ranges of percentage of industrial water use to gross water use, and

quartiles of per capita water uses of non-industrial water sectors.

Combinations of these tiers were suggested in different iterations of drafts.

Based on wide ranging comments DWR received to these suggestions and further data analysis, DWR prepared a revised criteria.

Page 9: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Revised Criteria• Further Data Analysis• Results of Data Analysis• Revised Criteria

Page 10: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Further Data AnalysisDesigned to assess the effects of using

different thresholds, and their combinations, on:volumes of water and percentage of total

volume of water that would be deducted, andnumber of suppliers and percentages of total

suppliers that may be able to deduct.The same CUWCC data was used (2005-

2008).Each data point was treated as independent.

Page 11: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Results Based on VolumeScenario

Total Volume Deducted (AF)

Percentage of Total Water Deducted to Gross Water Use

Pct Industrial >10% 214,464 0.98

Pct Industrial >12% 111,461 0.51

Pct Industrial >15% 84,401 0.39

Pct Industrial >10% or gpcd-ind>12 315,910 1.44

Pct Industrial >10% or gpcd-ind >20 220,590 1.01

Pct Industrial >12% or gpcd-ind >15 250,137 1.14

Pct Industrial >12% or gpcd-ind >20 127,258 0.58

Pct Industrial >15% or gpcd-ind >20 118,565 0.54

Pct Industrial >15% or gpcd-ind >30 90,338 0.41

Page 12: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Based on Number of SuppliersScenario

Number of Suppliers that Would Deduct.

Percentage of Suppliers that Would Deduct to Total Number of Suppliers

Pct Industrial >10% 35 5.96

Pct Industrial >12% 21 3.58

Pct Industrial >15% 9 1.53

Pct Industrial >10% or gpcd-ind>12 71 12.10

Pct Industrial >10% or gpcd-ind >20 40 6.81

Pct Industrial >12% or gpcd-ind >15 52 8.86

Pct Industrial >12% or gpcd-ind >20 31 5.28

Pct Industrial >15% or gpcd-ind >20 27 4.60

Pct Industrial >15% or gpcd-ind >30 15 2.56

Page 13: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Summary ResultsThresholds of industrial water use

percentages suggested by the work group members ranged from 5 to 20 percent. DWR analyzed only those that it proposed at one time or another.

Differences between the percentages of process water that would be deducted as a result of the scenarios analyzed here are small (0.4 – 1.4%).

Page 14: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Summary Results (cont.)Changing the threshold percentage

industrial water use from 15% to 12% and the gpcd of industrial water use from 20 to 15 would only result in 0.6% more process water deduction overall but 4.3% more suppliers would be able to deduct.

Page 15: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Basis for the Revised CriteriaDWR believes that the revised criteria makes

the regulation simpler, easier to implement, and addresses most of the issues raised by the work group members. It is based on:percentage industrial water use to total water

use as an indicator of substantial percentage,per capita industrial water use as an indicator

of disproportionate burden,per capita non-industrial water use as an

indicator of prior conservation efforts, andeconomic burden to disadvantaged community.

Page 16: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Revised CriteriaWhen calculating its gross water use, an

urban retail water supplier may deduct up to 100 percent of process water use if:a) Total industrial water use is equal to or

greater than 12 percent of gross water use, orb) Total industrial water use is equal to or

greater than 15 gallons per capita per day, or

Page 17: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Deductions Based on (a) and (b)• Suppliers with data points in the shaded area would be able to deduct process water from gross water.

• This amounts to approximately 9% of total water suppliers.

Page 18: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Revised Criteria (cont.)c) Non-industrial water use is equal to or less

than 120 gallons per capita per day if the water supplier has self-certified the sufficiency of its water conservation program with the Department of Water Resources under the provisions of section 10631.5 of the Water Code, or

d) The population within the suppliers’ service area meets the criteria for a disadvantaged community.

Page 19: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Additional Deductions - (c).

Page 20: Department of Water Resources Sacramento, CA October 11, 2010

Additional Deductions (cont.)The 120 gpcd non-industrial water use threshold

proposed in (c) would enable additional 8% percent of suppliers to deduct.

This brings the percentage of total water suppliers that may deduct process water from gross water use as a result of (a), (b), and (c) to about 17%.

More suppliers would still be able to deduct because of criteria (d). Data from the Department of Commerce for 2000 census shows that about 43% of all California counties are below 80% of the state median household income.