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99TH RSC

CERTIFICATION

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Job losses would be greater (. 2 7% of regional employment) than 10 C-130 units slated for closing

BRAC Task Force

BRAC

Estimate Job Losses From BRAC

Employment in Pittsburgh MSA

Impact on Region

TASK FORCE REVIEW

Estimate Total Equivalent Job Losses from BRAC

Employment in Pittsburgh MSA

Impact on Region

MILITARY AFFAIRS COUNCIL OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA * PIT* BRAC TASK FORCE

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Direct Dollar Expenditures t

(Payroll and Spending)

*Kelly Support

1 TOTAL

MILITARY AFFAIRS COUNCIL OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA * PIT* BRAC TASK FORCE

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Pittsburgh, PA Metropolitan Statistical Area

Kelly Support Center Close (174) (1 36) 0 0

Pittsburgh International Airport AElose (44) (278) 0 0 Resene Station Navy-Marine Corps R e s e ~ e Gain 0 0 7 0 Center Pittsburgh Pitt U.S. Army Resewe Center, Realign (119) (101) 0 0 Corapolis

Total (337) (51 5) 7 0

Pocatello, ID Metropolitan Statistical Area

Navy Reserve Center Psca:ailo Close (7) 0 0 0 -- --

Total (7) 0 0 0

Portland-South Portland-Biddeford ME Metropolitan Statistical Area

Naval Shipyard Portsmouth Close (201) (4.032) 0 0

Naval Air Station Brunswick Realign (2,317) (61) 0 0

Total (2.518) (4,093) 0 0

Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, OR-WA Metropolitan Statistical Area

Vancover Barracks Close (29) (16) 0 0

Portland lnlernational Airport Air Realign (1 12) (452) 0 0 Guard Station

Total (141) (468) 0 0

Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY Metropolitan Statistical Area

Carpenter U.S. Army Reserve Close (8) . ( I ) 0 0 (8) (1) 0 (9) (5) (14) 312,628 0.0% Center,Poughkeepie

Unlted States Military Academy Gain 0 0 226 38 226 38 0 264 158 422 312,628 0.1 % - --

Total (8) (1) 226 38 21 8 37 0 255 153 408 31 2.628 0.1%

This list does not include locations where no changes in military or civilian jobs are affected. Military figures include student load changes.

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Penn ylvania

Bnstol B

I Close

Engine ring Field Activity Northeast Close f Kelly S pport Center 7 Close

Naval A'r Station Willow Grove 1 Close

Navy Crpne Center Lester Close

Navy-Mqrine Corps Resewe Center Close Reading

North Pdnn U.S. Army 4 e s e ~ e Ciuse Center, Norristown ~ittsburdh International Airport Air Close Reserve Staticn

Seirenti ~u.s. Army R e s e ~ e Center, Close

SU:nYAy Reserve Center ~ \comsbuq Close

US. ~ d y Reserve Center Lewisburg Close I

U.S. ~ r d y Reserve Center Close Williamspt

W. Reese U.S. Army Reserve Close CenterIqMS, Chester

Letterkenny Army Depot I

Gain

Naval Su port Activity Phiiadelphia Gain P Navy-Ma ine Corps Resewe Center Gain Cehiqh I Navy-Ma ine Corps Reserve Center Gain Pittsburg! Tobyhanqa Army Depot Gain

Defense Pistribution Depot Realign Susquehanna Human ~bsources Support Center Realign Northeast Marine ~ d r p s Reserve Center Realign Johnstown Naval sudport Activity Mechanicsburg Realign

~ a v y ~hi lhdel~hia Business Center Realign I I -

Th is list does n o t inc lude locations where there were no changes i n mil i tary or civi l ian jobs.

Mili tary f igures inc lude student load changes.

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Secondary Job Formula 9 1 1 th - Secondary Full Time Equivalent Jobs

Total Payroll $46,745,738

Avg Employee Income Income in Region *

A/B - FTE Jobs 1400

Multiplier * * 1.2

Full-Time Equivalent Jobs 1680 * Average regional income obtained from PA Labor Market Information News Release ** Multiplier obtained from Role of Manufacturing in Economic Future of Pittsburgh Region

MILITARY AFFAIRS COUNCIL OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA * PIT. BRAC TASK FORCE

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Pittsburgh, PA M e t r o p o l i t a n S t a t i s t i c a l Area Kelly Support Center Close (174) (1 36) 0 0 (174) (136)

Pittsburgh International Airport AElose (44) (278) 0 0 (44) (278) - R e 5 e ~ e Slation Nary-Marine Corps Resewe Gain 0 0 7 0 7 0 Center Pittsburgh Pitt US. Army Resefve Center, Realign (1 19) (101) 0 0 (119) (101) Corapolis

Tota l (337) (515) 7 0 (330) (515)

Pocatello, ID M e t r o p o l i t a n S t a t i s t i c a l Area Navy R e s e ~ e Cen!er ?sca:sllo Ciose !7) 3 0 0 (7) 0

-. --

Tota l (7) 0 0 0 (7) 0

P o r t l a n d - S o u t h P o r t l a n d - B i d d e f o r d ME Metropolitan S t a t i s t i c a l Area Naval Shipyard Portsmouth Close (201) (4,032) 0 0 (201) (4.032)

Naval Air Station Brunswick Realign (2,317) (61) 0 0 (2.317) (61) -- --

Tota l (2.518) (4,093) 0 0 (2.518) (4.093)

P o r t l a n d - V a n c o u v e r - B e a v e r t o n , OR-WA M e t r o p o l i t a n Statistical Area

Vancover Barracks Close (29) (16) 0 0 (29) (16)

Porlland International Airport Air Realign (112) (452) 0 0 (1 12) (452) Guard Station --

Tota l (141) (468) 0 0 (141) (468)

Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY M e t r o p o l i t a n S t a t i s t i c a l A r e a

Carpenter U.S. Army Reserve Close (8) . (1) 0 0 Cenler,Poughkeepie

(8) (1)

United States Military Academy Gain 0 0 226 38 226 38

Tota l (8) (1) 226 3 8 218 37

T h i s l i s t does n o t inc lude locat ions where n o changes in mil i tary o r civi l ian jobs are affected.

Mi l i tary f igures inc lude s tudent load changes.

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'cd +

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Pennsylvania Bristol Close

Engineering Field Activity Northeast Close

Kelly Support Center Close

Naval Air Station Willow Grove Close

Navy Crane Center Lester Close

Navy-Marine Corps Reserve Center Close Reading North Penn U.S. Army Reserve C ! o s Cenrer, Norristown Pittsburgh International Airport Air Close Resewe Station

Serrenti US. Army Reserve Center, Close Scranton U.S. Army Reserve Center Bloomsburg Close

US. Army Reserve Center Lewisburg Close

U.S. Army Reserve Center Close Wlliamsport

W. Reese US. Army Reserve Close CenterIOMS, Chester Letterkenny Army Depot Gain

Navai Support Activity Philadelphia Gain

Navy-Marine Corps Resewe Center Gain Lehigh

I Navy-Marine Corps Reserve Center Gain Pittsburgh Tobyhanna Army Depot Gain

Defense Distribution Depot Realign Susquehanna

Human Resources Support Center Realign Northeast Marine Corps Reserve Center Realign Johnstown Naval Support Activ~ty Mechanicsburg Realign

Navy Philadelphia Business Center Realign

--

Th is l i s t does n o t include locations where there were n o changes in military or civi l ian jobs.

Mil i tary figures inc lude student load changes.

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Secondary Job Formula Kelly Support - Secondary Full Time Equivalent Jobs

Total Payroll $7,000,000

Avg Employee Income Income in Region *

AIB - FTE Jobs 210

Multiplier * *

Full-Time Equivalent Jobs 252

* Average regional income obtained from PA Labor Market Information News Release ** Multiplier obtained from Role of Manufacturing in Economic Future of Pittsburgh Region

MILITARY AFFAIRS COUNCIL OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA f PIT* BRAC TASK FORCE

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Pittsburgh, PA Metropolitan Statistical Area Kelly Supporl Center Close (174) (136) 0 0 (174) (136)

Pitlsburgh Internalional Airport AElose (44) (278) 0 0 (44) (278) - Reserve Slation Navy-Marine Corps Reserve Gain 0 0 7 0 7 0 Center Pittsburgh Pitt U.S. Army Reserve Center, Realign (119) (101) 0 0 (119) (101) Corapolis

Total (337) (515) 7 0 (330) (515)

Pocatello, ID Metropolitan Statistical Area Navy Reserve Center Pocate!!o C!cse (7) 0 0 0 (7 ) 0

Total (7) 0 0 0 (7) 0

Portland-South Portland-Biddeford ME Metropolitan Statistical Area Naval Shipyard Portsmouth Close (201) (4,032) 0 0 (201) (4.032)

Naval Air Station Brunswick Realign (2,317) (61) 0 0 (2,317) (61) --

Total (2,518) (4.093) 0 0 (2.518) (4,093)

Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, OR-WA Metropolitan Statistical Area Vancover Barracks Close (29) (16) 0 0 (29) (16)

Portland lnlernational Airporl Air Realign (112) (452) 0 0 (1 12) (452) Gt~ard Station -~ . - - -. ~ . . --

Total (141) (468) 0 0 (141) (468)

Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY Metropolitan Statistical Area Carpenter U.S. Army Reserve Close (8) . (1) 0 0 Center,?oughkeepie

(8) (1)

United Slales Military Academy Gain 0 0 226 38 2 26 38 -- --

Total (8) (1) 226 38 21 8 37

This list does not include locations where no changes in mi l i ta ry or civilian jobs are affected.

M i l i t a r y figures include student load changes.

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State Out In Net GainlfLoss) Net Mission . Total Action

Installation Mil C iv Mil Civ Mil Civ Contractor , Direct

PIN b.S Army Reserve Center. Reahgn (1 19) (101) 0 0 (1 19) (101) 0 (220) . . . . . . Corapolis

Pennsylvania Total (1,453) (1,494) 18 1,065 (1,435) (429) (14) (1,878)

Puerto Rico

\ m y ~anonal tiuara ~ e s e ~ e enter lose 0 0 0 iumacao .avergne US. Army Reserve Center 3ayamon 4guadillla-Ramey U.S. Army Reserve :enter/BMA-I26 :amp Eur~pides Rubio, Puerto Nuevo

=art Buchanan

Puerto Rico

Rhode Island

iarwood US. A n y Reserve Center, 'rovidence JSARC Bnstol

Vaval Station Newport

&onset State Airport Air Guard Station

Rhode lsland

South Carolina

Defense Finance and Accounting Service, Charleston South Naval Facilities Engineering Command Fort Jackson

Marine Corps Air Station Beaufort

McEntire Air Guard Station

Shaw Air Force Base

Naval Weapons Station Charleston

Close

Realign

Realign

%align

Total

Close

Close

Gain

Gain

Total

Close

Close

Gain

Gain

Gain

Gain

Realign ..

South Carolina Total (250) (1,010) 1,714 300 1,464 (710) 709

This list does not include locations where there were no changes in military or civilian jobs. c-22 Military figures include student load changes.

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School of Business

6001 University Boulevard Moon Township, PA 1,5108-1189

412-262-8200 www.rmu.edu

Department of Finance/Economics 4 12-262-8438 (VOICE) 41 2-262-8494 (FAX) litzinger@rmu.edu

July 6, 2005

The BRAC Commission:

1. T h s is to certify the validity of the figures used to evaluate the economic impact of the loss ofjobs and spending regarding recommendations of DoD base closures in the Pittsburgh region.

a. The Pittsburgh MSA overall employment figure is based on information from the Department of Labor 2005 statistics that lower the MSA number to 1,137, 600.

b. A 1.2 employment multiplier used in the task force evaluation is a manufacturing multiplier obtained fiom Role of Manufacturing in Economic Future of the Pitt&urgh Region. This multiplier is appropriate to the nature of employment by DoD employees as basic industry jobs for analysis of a region like the Pittsburgh MSA.

c. Average regional income was obtained from Pennsylvania Labor Market Infoilnation News Releases.

d. Both the multiplier and average regional income figures are those used in the most recent (2004) economic impact report of the 171 Air Refueling Wing of the Pennsylvania ,4ir National Guard, stationed at Pittsburgh International Airport. These figures give a conservative estimate of impact in today's economic climate, but are used by the task force to give consistency to military economic impact information for the Pittsburgh MSA.

e. The 99"' RSC and the Kelly Support Center payroll and spending figures are conservative estimates due to the necessity of estimating amounts appropriate to the Pittsburgh MSA as a portion of state wide 99"' RSC figures.

2. I certify that these data are valid and appropriate based on the nature of DoD job FTE's (including part time reserve positions) and are consistent with other local units providing infomation to DoD for evaluation in the BRAC process.

Patrick J. ~ i & i n ~ e r , Ph.D. Department Head and Professor of Economics

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State and area

:-'

March April 2004 to April 2005 p

2004 2005 2004 2005p Number Percent

Pennsylvania . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.582.2 5.640.1 5.634.0 5.695.4 61.4 1.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton 327.2 330.1 329.2 332.5 3.3 1.0

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Altoona 60.9 61.6 61.9 62.4 . 5 .8 Erie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128.5 131.8 130.6 133.4 2.8 2.1

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Harrisburg-Carlisle 318.7 321.2 322.5 324.4 1.9 .6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Johnstown 59.1 59.6 59.5 60.1 . 6 1.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Lancaster 229.6 231.8 234.1 231.6 2.3 1.0

Lebanon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46.3 47.2 47.2 47.7 . 5 1.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington 2,722.4 2,753.6 2,741.0 2.776.3 35.3 1.3

~P~Zt't"3%rTgh?~~ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ;2 7+xz. . c&T*2jGL .:..... 2 1, 1 2 2 . 3 , 12 4 . 4 1, 1 3 4 . 2 . .x @jiBFB?@$jFT. 2% ... .&&$&+--... 3.4 .3

Reading . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164.4 166.6 165.2 168.7 3.5 2.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Scranton--Wilkes-Barre 252.5 254.8 255.3

72.8 /2;ilk 1.8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 State College 71, 6 72.6 . 8 1.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Williamsport 53.6 53.8 53.9 54.5 . 6 1.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . York-Hanover 170.8 173.0 171.4 174.6 3.2 1.9

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ES;L - Y Air Force Reserve Command

ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS 91 1th Airlift Wing Greater Pittsburgh Air Reserve Station Coraopolis, PA

TABLE 4 ESTIMATE OF NUMBER AND DOLLAR VALUE O F INDIRECT JOBS CREATED

Type of Personnel

ACTIVE DUTY MILITARY

RESERVEITRAINEES

APF CIVILLANS

OTHER CIVILIANS

Reported Estimated # of # of Indirect Jobs

Base Jobs Multiplier Created

AVERAGE ANNUAL PAY- FOR THE LOCAL COMMUNII'Y:

, ESTIMATED ANNUAL DOLLAR VALUE OF JOBS CREATED:

TABLE 5

TOTAL ANNUAL ECONOMIC IMPACT ESTIMATE

As of: 3 0-Sep-04

ANNUAL PAYROLL:

Military Federal Civilian Other Civilian

ANNUAL EXPENDITURES:

ESTIMATED ANNUAL DOLLAR VALUE OF JOBS CREATED: $25,111,722

GRAND TOTAL ECONOMIC IMPACT: $98,279,626

EIA-911 AW.xls Page 4 EIA Call Attachment 1

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