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POWER TO THE PEOPLE Use your data fora better forecastfor yourself and society.
TREND
Solar panels
Solar parks
1500 MWp
6000 – 9000 MWp
CONVENTIONAL SOLAR FORECASTING METHODS
iCarus creates a unique forecast by combining data from an entirenetwork of solar energy systems, enabling a more accurateshort term forecast, both locally and globally.
THE ICARUS FORECAST
2025+
15:00
2010 2015 20202005
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ount
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t
IMBALANCECurrent forecasting methods useweather forecasts to create an output forecast. This is a very time consuming process with few data points on theground and many assumptions(interpolation, conversion to powercurve...). This method leads to aforecast error, which in turn leads tohigher imbalance cost.
Incidentally, the forecast error increases significantly with locality.
ICARUS DELIVERSA MORE ACCURATE, LOCAL AND
TOPICAL FORECAST.
The rapid increase in installedMWp already causes local challenges in grid management.
With the increase in numberof installed systems, the numberof sensors for iCarus’ methodalso increases, positivelyinfluencing our accuracy.
26 6:00 18:00
Output forecast
15:00
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6:00 18:00
Actual output
Forecast error15:00
Wat
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6:00 18:00
RadboudUniversity200.000+
DATA POINTSSOLAR PANELSYSTEMS
15:00
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6:00 18:00
Forecast error
WEATHERSTATIONS+ SATELLITEDATA
JOINT OPEN SOURCEALGORITHM DEVELOPMENT
