17
Data from Theodolite Measurements of Creep Rates on San Francisco Bay Region Faults, California, 1979-2009 By Forrest S. McFarland, James J. Lienkaemper, and S. John Caskey Open-File Report 2009–1119 U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey

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  • Data from Theodolite Measurements of Creep Rates on San Francisco Bay Region Faults, California, 1979-2009

    By Forrest S. McFarland, James J. Lienkaemper, and S. John Caskey

    Open-File Report 20091119

    U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey

  • 2

    U.S. Department of the Interior KEN SALAZAR, Secretary

    U.S. Geological Survey Suzette M. Kimball, Acting Director

    U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia 2009

    For product and ordering information: World Wide Web: http://www.usgs.gov/pubprod Telephone: 1-888-ASK-USGS

    For more information on the USGSthe Federal source for science about the Earth, its natural and living resources, natural hazards, and the environment: World Wide Web: http://www.usgs.gov Telephone: 1-888-ASK-USGS

    Suggested citation: McFarland, F.S., Lienkaemper, J.J., and Caskey, S.J., 2009, Data from theodolite measurements of creep rates on San Francisco Bay Region faults, California, 1979-2009: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2009-1119, 17 p. [http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2009/1119/].

    Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.

    Although this report is in the public domain, permission must be secured from the individual copyright owners to reproduce any copyrighted material contained within this report.

    http://www.usgs.gov/pubprodhttp://www.usgs.govhttp://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2009/1119/]

  • 3

    Data from Theodolite Measurements of Creep Rates on San Francisco Bay Region Faults, California, 1979-2009

    By Forrest S. McFarland, James J. Lienkaemper, and S. John Caskey

    Introduction

    Our purpose is to update our creep-data archive on San Francisco Bay region active faults with two additional years of data for use by the scientific research community. Earlier data (1979-2001) were reported in Galehouse (2002) and were analyzed and described in detail in a summary report (Galehouse and Lienkaemper, 2003). A complete analysis of our earlier results obtained on the Hayward Fault was presented in Lienkaemper, Galehouse and Simpson (2001). From 1979 until his retirement from the project in 2001, Jon Galehouse of San Francisco State University (SFSU) and many student research assistants measured creep (aseismic slip) rates on these faults. The creep measurement project, which was initiated by Galehouse, has continued through the Geosciences Department at SFSU from 2001-2006 under the direction of Karen Grove and John Caskey (Grove and Caskey, 2005) and by Caskey since 2006 (Caskey, 2007). Forrest McFarland has managed most of the technical and logistical project operations, as well as data processing and compilation since 2001. Data from 2001-2007 are found in McFarland and others (2007). Henceforth, we plan to release these data annually and publish detailed analyses of the data in future publications.

    We maintain a project Web site (http://funnel.sfsu.edu/creep/) that includes the following information: project description, project personnel, creep characteristics and measurement, map of creep-measurement sites, creep-measurement site information, and data plots for each measurement site. Our most current, annually updated results are, therefore, accessible to the scientific community and to the general public. Information about the project can currently be requested by the public by an email link ([email protected]) found on our project Web site.

    Methods

    The amount of creep is determined by noting changes in angles between sets of measurements taken across a fault at different times. This triangulation method uses a theodolite to measure the angle formed by three fixed points to the nearest tenth of a second of arc (see fig.1 inset; Galehouse and Lienkaemper, 2003). For the first 14 years of measurements, the angle was measured 12 times on each measurement day; Since then, we have been measuring it eight times each day. The amount of slip between measurement days can be calculated trigonometrically using the change in average angle. The precision of the measurement method is such that we can detect with confidence any movement greater than 1-2 mm

    http://funnel.sfsu.edu/creep/mailto:[email protected]

  • 4

    between successive measurement days. A discussion of errors, uncertainties, and seasonal variations can be found in Galehouse and Lienkaemper (2003).

    Until 2007 we had regular measurement sites at 34 localities on active faults, and we include data from one site that had to be abandoned (SACR). These site locations are shown as triangles and site codes on the accompanying map (fig. 1) and are identified by name in table 1 and on the data sheets. In addition to the sites in the San Francisco Bay region, we had one measurement site on the San Andreas Fault in the Point Arena area, one on the Bartlett Springs Fault near Lake Pillsbury, and two on the Maacama Fault in Willits and east of Ukiah. In the past, we typically measured sites with a history of creep every two months and sites without a creep history about every three months. However, since the last report we have reduced the frequency of surveys at each site; which has allowed us to add nine new sites north of San Francisco Bay (fig. 1), including four sites on the Rodgers Creek and Maacama Fault system and five sites on the Green ValleyHunting CreekBartlett Springs Fault system.

    In addition to our ten regular sites on the Hayward Fault, we established 22 additional Hayward Fault annual survey sites (shown by diamonds in figs. 1 and 2 and by name in the data sheets and in table 2). We began measuring each of these additional sites annually in 1994. In the future, the regular Hayward Fault sites will be measured only annually, too, unless significant earthquake activity occurs.

    Data

    Table 1 shows the least squares average rate of movement at each site, determined using linear regression, and the simple average rate, determined by dividing the total net right-lateral displacement by the total time measured. All measurement sites span a fault width of 57-289 m, except Sites GVRT and SGPR, which span a greater width because of site considerations. The fault width spanned is noted in table 1 and represents the distance from the theodolite on one side of a fault (IS, instrument station; fig. 1 inset) to a target on the other side (ES, end station). Angles are measured with respect to another target (OS, orientation station). All Hayward Fault sites are summarized in table 2. Data sheets for all sites are available in the data folder as a single PDF file. Each data sheet is identified in the upper left by site code and name. Hayward Fault sites are ordered from northwest to southeast using kilometer distances along the fault measured from Point Pinole (P, in Figure 2) using the grid in Lienkaemper (2006). These data are also available for downloading in the Excel format to facilitate analysis of the data at http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2009/1119/ (SFBayRegion09.xls and HaywardFault09.xls). They are also available as tab-delimited raw data. Data for the previous reporting period (2007-2009) include the average angle and its 1- uncertainty. Also provided for each reading is the current site correction used; the sine of the angular difference between the fault azimuth and azimuth of the array (IS-ES). Each measurement of apparent slip must be divided by its site correction. The data include all 34 regular measurement sites, the 22 SFSU/USGS annual survey sites on the Hayward Fault, and the most recently installed sites for which more than one survey is now available. We show summary plots of the creep data by fault zone for the Calaveras Fault (figs. 3 and 4), Concord-Green Valley and Bartlett Springs Faults (fig. 5), Rodgers Creek and Maacama Faults (fig. 6), San Andreas and San Gregorio Faults (fig. 7) and Hayward Fault (figs. 8 and 9).

    http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2009/1119/

  • 5

    Acknowledgments

    This project has been continuously funded since 1979 by various grants and contracts from the U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (latest contract was 07HQAG0032). Special thanks go to the many student research assistants from San Francisco State University who have been instrumental in collecting these theodolite data since 1979. We are particularly grateful to Brett Baker, Beth Brown, Carolyn Domrose, Jessica Fadde, Carolyn Garrison, Oliver Graves, Theresa Hoyt, Leslie Pawlak, Jon Perkins, Jon Polly, Carl Schaefer, and Jim Thordsen, who each worked with us for more than three years. Thanks also to Bob Abrams, Chris Alger, Linda Bond, Denise Coutlakis, Lisa Garmin, Matt Harrigan, CJ Hayden, Kathleen Isaacson, Heather Lackey, Regan Long, Marina Mascorro, Dan McVanner, Barbara Menne, Nicole Peirce, Brian Pierce, Holly Prochaska, Anne Marie Scherer, Gary Schneider, Debra Smith, Leta Smith, William Hassett, and Robert Sas who have all served as theodolite operators. Additional thanks go to Theresa Hoyt for performing quality assurance on the recent data. Reviews by Dave Ponce and Bob Simpson also improved the consistency and clarity of the report.

    References cited

    Bryant, W.A., and Hart, E.W., 2007, Rupture hazard zones in CaliforniaAlquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zoning Act with index to earthquake fault zones maps: California Geological Survey Special Publication 42, 46 p., [available at ftp://ftp.consrv.ca.gov/pub/dmg/pubs/sp/SP42.PDF, last accessed June 25, 2009].

    Caskey, S.J., 2007, Theodolite survey monitoring of fault creep on San Francisco Bay Region faults:

    National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program, Annual Project Summaries, v. 48, U.S. Geological Survey, [available at http://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/external/reports/07HQAG0032.pdf, last accessed June 25, 2009].

    Galehouse, J.S., 2002, Data from theodolite measurements of creep rates on San Francisco Bay Region

    faults, California: 19792001: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 02-225, 94 p., [available at http://geopubs.wr.usgs.gov/open-file/of02-225/, last accessed June 25, 2009].

    Galehouse, J.S. and Lienkaemper, J.J., 2003, Inferences drawn from two decades of alinement array

    measurements of creep on faults in the San Francisco Bay region: Bulletin Seismological Society America, v. 93, p. 2415-2433.

    Grove, K., and Caskey, S.J., 2005, Theodolite and total station measurements of creep rates on San

    Francisco Bay Region faults: National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program, Annual Project Summaries, v. 46, U.S. Geological Survey, [available at http://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/external/reports/03HQGR0080.pdf, last accessed June 25, 2009].

    ftp://ftp.consrv.ca.gov/pub/dmg/pubs/sp/SP42.PDFhttp://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/external/reports/07HQAG0032.pdfhttp://geopubs.wr.usgs.gov/open-file/of02-225/http://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/external/reports/03HQGR0080.pdf

  • 6

    Lienkaemper, J.J., 2006, Digital database of recently active traces along the Hayward Fault, California: U.S. Geological Survey Data Series DS-177, 20 p., [available at http://pubs.usgs.gov/ds/2006/177/, last accessed June 25, 2009].

    Lienkaemper, J.J., Galehouse, J.S., and Simpson, R.W., 2001, Long-term monitoring of creep rate along

    the Hayward Fault and evidence for a lasting creep response to 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 28, p. 2265-2268.

    McFarland, F.S., Lienkaemper, J.J., Caskey, S.J., and Grove, K., 2007, Data from Theodolite

    Measurements of Creep Rates on San Francisco Bay Region Faults, California: 1979-2007: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2007-1367, 4 p., [available at http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2007/1367/, last accessed June 25, 2009].

    http://pubs.usgs.gov/ds/2006/177/http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2007/1367/

  • 122W123W

    39N

    38N

    37N

    0 20 40kilometers

    BSLP

    BSNW

    HCHC

    BSRV

    SGPR

    SGWP

    CV7SCVWR

    CVCR

    CVWC

    CVSU

    CVSPCVCP

    GVRT

    GVPR

    GVCL

    GVMR

    HDST

    HENC

    HLSA

    HTBRHCCC

    RCSM

    RCSDRCFB

    RCMW

    MUKI

    MAMR

    MSKP

    MWIL

    SAMV

    SACRSASR

    SARD

    SADW

    SAPR

    SAAC

    CASHCSAL

    HCAMHRKT

    HAPP

    HROS

    HPMD

    BSLP

    BSNW

    HCHC

    BSRV

    SGPR

    SGWP

    CV7SCVWR

    CVCR

    CVWC

    CVSU

    CVSPCVCP

    GVRT

    GVPR

    GVCL

    GVMR

    HDST

    HENC

    HLSA

    HTBRHCCC

    RCSM

    RCSDRCFB

    RCMW

    MUKI

    MAMR

    MSKP

    MWIL

    SAMV

    SACRSASR

    SARD

    SADW

    SAPR

    SAAC

    CASHCSAL

    HCAMHRKT

    HAPP

    HROS

    HPMD

    Alinement Arrays, late 2008

    Array

    Additional (see Fig. 2)Destroyed

    Sa

    n

    An

    dr

    ea

    s

    Fa

    ul

    t

    Sa

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    en

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    l av

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    Ca

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    er a

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    Sa

    n A

    nd

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    s Fa

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    Sa

    n A

    nd

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    s Fa

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    Sa

    n

    Gr

    eg

    or

    io

    F

    au

    lt

    Sa

    n

    Gr

    eg

    or

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    F

    au

    lt

    CALIFORNIA

    Typical alinement array

    target,end

    target,orientation

    instrumentfault trace

    ~100

    mete

    rsIS

    OSES

    Figure 1. Locations of alinement arrays, San Francisco Bay region. Arrays shown as triangles, additional arrays on Hayward Fault shown as diamonds. P, Point Pinole. Summary information for most arrays in table 1. All Hayward Fault arrays in table 2. Inset is idealized array described in text. Faults in red zoned as active (Bryant and Hart, 2007); other traces, preliminary mapping of Green Valley-Bartlett Springs Faults (Lienkaemper, unpubd.)

    7

  • HSTA

    HDWT

    HRKT

    HUNI

    HPIN

    HPMD H

    ONOHC

    AM

    HSGR

    HMSS

    HHAN

    HGIL

    HAPP

    HCHM

    HWDL

    HSEP

    HPAL

    HROS

    H167

    HFMT

    HCHB

    HENC

    H73A

    H39A

    HLNC

    HLSA

    HTEM

    HFLO

    HTBR

    HOLV

    HCCC

    HDST

    122W122W

    38N38N

    0 4 8 12 162kilometers

    D-St

    Chime

    s

    Pine S

    t

    Rose

    St

    73rd A

    v39t

    h Av

    Stadiu

    m

    Came

    llia, P

    arkme

    adow

    Union

    St

    167th A

    v

    Olive

    Av

    Appia

    n Wy

    Sepul

    chre

    Encin

    a Wy

    Missio

    n Bl

    Rocke

    tt DrG

    ilbert A

    v

    Lincol

    n AvLaS

    alle Av

    Woodl

    and Av

    Palisa

    de St

    Chabo

    t Park

    Thors

    Bay R

    d

    Thors

    Bay R

    d

    Fairm

    ont Dr

    ive

    Contr

    a Cost

    a Colle

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    t

    Rose

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    73rd A

    v39t

    h Av

    Stadiu

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    llia, P

    arkme

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    Union

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    167th A

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    Olive

    Av

    Appia

    n Wy

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    Missio

    n Bl

    Rocke

    tt DrG

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    alle Av

    Woodl

    and Av

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    Chabo

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    Thors

    Bay R

    d

    Thors

    Bay R

    d

    Thors

    Bay R

    d

    Fairm

    ont Dr

    ive

    Contr

    a Cost

    a Colle

    ge

    km 00

    km 00

    km 10

    km 10

    km 20

    km 20

    km 30

    km 30

    km 40

    km 40

    km 50

    km 50

    km 60

    km 60

    km 70

    km 70

    Florida

    Ave

    Florida

    Ave

    Temesc

    al

    Temesc

    alDwig

    ht Wy

    Dwigh

    t Wy

    Hanco

    ck

    Hanco

    ck

    S.Grim

    mer

    S.Grim

    mer

    Onond

    aga

    Onond

    aga

    PointPinole

    SanPablo Bay

    S a n

    F r a n c i s c o

    B a y

    additional array

    Hayward Faultarray

    Figure 2. Locations of alinement arrays across Hayward Fault. Includes formerly frequent SFSU sites (triangles) and former annual sites (diamonds), see tables 1 and 2 for additional information. Yellow grid shows distance in kilometers from San Pablo Bay after Lienkaemper (2006). Faults in red zoned as active (Bryant and Hart, 2007).

    8

  • 0

    100

    200

    1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -13411 + 6.775x R= 0.99543

    CV7S Seventh Street, Hollister Calaveras Fault6.8 mm/yr since 1979

    Calaveras Fault

    0

    100

    200

    300

    1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -17666 + 8.9343x R= 0.9927

    CVWR Hollister (Wright Road) Calaveras Fault 8.9 mm/yr since 1979

    CU

    MU

    LATI

    VE R

    IGH

    T-LA

    TER

    AL M

    OVE

    MEN

    T (IN

    MM

    )

    1979

    C

    oyot

    e La

    ke E

    arth

    quak

    e

    1984

    Mor

    gan

    Hill

    Earth

    quak

    e

    1989

    L

    oma

    Prie

    ta

    Ear

    thqu

    ake

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -33974 + 17.241x R= 0.99512

    CVCR Coyote Ranch near Gilroy Calaveras Fault 17.2 mm/yr since 1968

    Figure 3. Alinement-array measurements, Calaveras Fault. Straight line through the data indicates linear regression fit to data given by associated equations y (creep, mm); x (time, yr); R, correlation coefficient

    9

  • 050

    100

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -2008.8 + 1.0019x R= 0.46695

    CVSP Shannon Park, Dublin Calaveras Fault 1.0 mm/yr since 2002

    -100-50

    050

    100150200

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    CVCP Corey Place, San Ramon Calaveras Fault

    1.8 mm/yr since 1980 [0.1 mm/yr 1980-1992; 3.5 mm/yr 1992-2001; 1.6 mm/yr 2001-2008]

    050

    100

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -8572.4 + 4.2919x R= 0.98343

    CVWC Welch Creek Road Calaveras Fault 4.4 mm/yr since 1997

    050

    100

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -2866 + 1.4306x R= 0.75625

    CVSU Sunol Calaveras Fault 1.9 mm/yr since 2002

    CU

    MU

    LATI

    VE R

    IGH

    T-LA

    TER

    AL M

    OVE

    MEN

    T (IN

    MM

    )

    Northern Calaveras Fault

    Figure 4. Alinement-array measurements, Northern Calaveras Fault.

    10

  • 0

    40

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = 574.68 - 0.28587x R= 0.092731

    GVMR Mason Road, Fairfield Green Valley Fault -0.3 mm/yr since 2005

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -7241.4 + 3.6595x R= 0.99494

    CASH Ashbury Drive, Concord Concord Fault 3.7 mm/yr since 1979

    -200

    20406080

    100

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -5625.9 + 2.8434x R= 0.99341

    CSAL Salvio Street, Concord Concord Fault 2.8 mm/yr since 1979

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -7337.3 + 3.7026x R= 0.97437

    GVRT Red Top Road, Fairfield Green Valley Fault 3.7 mm/yr since 1984

    CU

    MU

    LATI

    VE R

    IGH

    T-LA

    TER

    AL M

    OVE

    MEN

    T (IN

    MM

    )Concord Fault

    Green Valley Fault

    Bartlett Springs Fault

    0

    40

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -5653 + 2.8173x R= 0.88417

    BSLP Lake Pillsbury Bartlett Springs Fault 2.8 mm/yr since 2005

    Figure 5. Alinement-array measurements, Concord-Green Valley and Bartlett Springs Faults.

    11

  • Rodgers Creek Fault

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -2067.8 + 1.03x R= 0.38539

    RCSM Sonoma Mountain Rd. Rodgers Creek Fault 1.0 mm/yr since 2004

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -3467 + 1.7317x R= 0.91763

    RCSD Solano Drive, Santa Rosa Rodgers Creek Fault 1.7 mm/yr since 2002

    0

    100

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -12029 + 6.0408x R= 0.99337

    MWIL W. Commercial Ave., Willits Maacama Fault 6.0 mm/yr since 1992

    0

    100

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -8810 + 4.4196x R= 0.9872

    MUKI Sanford Ranch Road, Ukiah Maacama Fault 4.4 mm/yr since 1993

    CU

    MU

    LATI

    VE R

    IGH

    T-LA

    TER

    AL M

    OVE

    MEN

    T (IN

    MM

    )

    Maacama Fault

    Figure 6. Alinement-array measurements, Rodgers Creek and Maacama Faults.

    12

  • San Andreas Fault

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -23023 + 11.568x R= 0.99381

    SAMV Mission Vineyard near San Juan Bautista San Andreas Fault 11.6 mm/yr since 1990

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -2430.4 + 1.2125x R= 0.57583

    SASR Searle Road San Andreas Fault 1.2 mm/yr since 2002

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = 337.78 - 0.16839x R= 0.33474 SGWP West Point Avenue, Princeton San Gregorio Fault (Seal Cove Fault) -0.2 mm/yr since 1979

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005y = -1906.2 + 0.95989x R= 0.81614

    SGPR Pescadero Rd San Gregorio Fault 1.0 mm/yr since 1982San Gregorio Fault

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -188.54 + 0.094678x R= 0.13027 SACR Cannon Rd San Andreas Fault 0.1 mm/yr since 1989

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = -1156.2 + 0.58166x R= 0.85335 SARD Roberta Drive, Woodside San Andreas Fault 0.6 mm/yr since 1989

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = 524.03 - 0.26385x R= 0.77547 SADW Duhallow Way, Daly City San Andreas Fault -0.3 mm/yr since 1980

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    y = 212.11 - 0.10532x R= 0.32093 SAPR Point Reyes National Seashore Headquarters San Andreas Fault -0.1 mm/yr since 1985

    0

    50

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005y = -901.52 + 0.45643x R= 0.86392

    SAAC Alder Creek near Point Arena San Andreas Fault 0.5 mm/yr since 1989C

    UM

    ULA

    TIVE

    RIG

    HT-

    LATE

    RAL

    MO

    VEM

    ENT

    (IN M

    M)

    Figure 7. Alinement-array measurements, San Andreas and San Gregorio Faults.13

  • 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

    4.49 Co

    ntra [H

    CCC]

    8.37 Oli

    ve

    17.82 S

    tadium

    20.84 Tem

    escal

    25.98 Linc

    oln

    27.81 39th

    30.68 73rd

    33.39 Enci

    na [HENC

    ]

    36.55 Chab

    ot

    38.28 Fairm

    ont

    41.11 16

    7th

    43.22 R

    ose [H

    ROS]

    44.56 D-

    St [HD

    ST]

    45.64 P

    alisade

    50.15 W

    oodland

    47.72 Se

    pulchre

    10.83 Tho

    rs [HTBR

    ]

    14.05 Florid

    a

    23.92 La S

    alle [HL

    SA]

    50 mm

    CU

    MU

    LATI

    VE R

    IGH

    T-LA

    TER

    AL M

    OVE

    MEN

    T (IN

    MM

    )

    H a y w a r d F a u l t( k m 0 - 5 0 )

    18.43 D

    wight

    7/2

    0/07

    M4.

    2 7

    /20/

    07

    M

    4.2

    Figure 8. Alinement-array measurements, Hayward Fault, sites from km 0 to 50, labeled by km distance.

    14

  • 19

    89

    Lo

    ma

    Pri

    eta

    Ea

    rth

    qu

    ake

    Fe

    b.

    19

    96

    cre

    ep

    eve

    nt

    55.65 A

    ppian

    [HAPP]

    52.6

    2 Chim

    es

    59.09 G

    ilbert

    62.64 H

    ancock

    63.10 U

    nion

    65.29 P

    ine

    67.02 P

    rune-Gri

    mmer

    68.45

    Missio

    n

    62.25 R

    ockett

    [HRK

    T]

    66.29 C

    amellia

    [HCAM

    ]

    66.67 P

    arkmead

    ow [H

    PMD]

    CU

    MU

    LATI

    VE R

    IGH

    T-LA

    TER

    AL M

    OVE

    MEN

    T (IN

    MM

    )

    50 mm

    1 9 7 0 1 9 8 0 1 9 9 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0

    H a y w a r d F a u l t( k m 5 0 - 7 0 )

    Figure 9. Alinement-array measurements, Hayward Fault, sites from km 50 to 70.

    15

  • Site

    Co

    deFa

    ult

    Site

    Nam

    eLo

    ngitu

    de

    (WGS

    84)

    Latit

    ude

    (WGS

    84)

    Leng

    th

    (m)

    Line

    ar

    regr

    essio

    n av

    erag

    e cr

    eep

    rate

    (m

    m/yr

    )

    (m

    m/

    yr)

    Ave.*

    cr

    eep

    rate

    (m

    m/yr

    )yr

    2

    BSL

    PB

    artle

    tt Sp

    rings

    Lake

    Pill

    sbur

    y-1

    22.9

    5726

    39.4

    4560

    102.

    186

    2.8

    0.61

    2.1

    3.0

    BSN

    WB

    artle

    tt Sp

    rings

    New

    man

    Spr

    ings

    -122

    .714

    3639

    .193

    8014

    1

    0.0

    BSR

    VB

    artle

    tt Sp

    rings

    Rou

    nd V

    alle

    y-1

    23.2

    2755

    39.7

    4003

    182

    0.

    0C

    ASH

    Con

    cord

    Ash

    bury

    Driv

    e-1

    22.0

    3524

    37.9

    7189

    133.

    206

    3.7

    0.03

    3.6

    27.8

    CSA

    LC

    onco

    rdSa

    lvio

    Stre

    et-1

    22.0

    3824

    37.9

    7569

    57.1

    102.

    80.

    033.

    129

    .0C

    V7S

    Cal

    aver

    asSe

    vent

    h St

    reet

    -121

    .406

    3136

    .849

    5289

    .656

    6.8

    0.05

    7.1

    29.0

    C

    VC

    PC

    alav

    eras

    , Nor

    ther

    nC

    orey

    Pla

    ce-1

    21.9

    6083

    37.7

    4569

    111.

    066

    1.8

    0.06

    1.5

    27.8

    2.3

    mm

    /yr s

    ince

    199

    2.5

    CV

    CR

    Cal

    aver

    asC

    oyot

    e R

    anch

    -121

    .525

    2137

    .069

    8199

    .280

    17.2

    0.21

    15.7

    40.3

    CV

    SPC

    alav

    eras

    , Nor

    ther

    nSh

    anno

    n Pa

    rk-1

    21.9

    3713

    37.7

    0649

    149.

    730

    1.0

    0.09

    0.6

    5.1

    CV

    SUC

    alav

    eras

    , Nor

    ther

    nSu

    nol

    -121

    .876

    9337

    .598

    5024

    3.22

    41.

    40.

    551.

    95.

    8C

    VW

    CC

    alav

    eras

    , Nor

    ther

    nW

    elch

    Cre

    ek R

    d-1

    21.8

    5183

    37.5

    3570

    158.

    534

    4.3

    0.11

    4.4

    11.6

    CV

    WR

    Cal

    aver

    asW

    right

    Rd

    -121

    .413

    8136

    .869

    8210

    8.70

    08.

    90.

    099.

    728

    .9G

    VC

    LG

    reen

    Val

    ley

    Cry

    stal

    Lak

    e-1

    22.2

    4806

    38.4

    7626

    95.1

    0.8

    1.3

    GV

    MR

    Gre

    en V

    alle

    yM

    ason

    Rd

    -122

    .161

    8638

    .236

    0314

    3.13

    7-0

    .30.

    89-1

    .63.

    8G

    VPR

    Gre

    en V

    alle

    yPa

    rris

    h R

    d-1

    22.1

    1316

    38.1

    1413

    139.

    500

    3.6

    1.4

    GV

    RTG

    reen

    Val

    ley

    Red

    Top

    Rd

    -122

    .150

    5438

    .198

    4834

    3.75

    03.

    70.

    084.

    424

    .4H

    UC

    RH

    untin

    g C

    reek

    Hun

    ting

    Cre

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    22.3

    8873

    38.8

    1388

    179.

    4

    1.

    81.

    0M

    AM

    RM

    aaca

    ma

    Mid

    dle

    Rid

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    23.0

    5070

    38.9

    3464

    144.

    3

    0.0

    M

    ASR

    Maa

    cam

    aSk

    ipst

    one

    Ran

    ch-1

    22.8

    2647

    38.7

    0320

    111

    0.

    0M

    UK

    IM

    aaca

    ma

    Sanf

    ord

    Ran

    ch R

    d-1

    23.1

    6748

    39.1

    3906

    288.

    753

    4.4

    0.08

    4.2

    15.4

    MW

    ILM

    aaca

    ma

    W. C

    omm

    erci

    al A

    ve-1

    23.3

    5699

    39.4

    1235

    125.

    864

    6.0

    0.08

    5.6

    16.9

    RC

    SDR

    odge

    rs C

    reek

    Sola

    no D

    rive

    -122

    .694

    4638

    .436

    8790

    .502

    1.7

    0.16

    2.1

    5.9

    RC

    SMR

    odge

    rs C

    reek

    Sono

    ma

    Mtn

    . Rd

    -122

    .590

    4638

    .309

    2813

    7.92

    61.

    00.

    551.

    55.

    9SA

    AC

    San

    And

    reas

    Ald

    er C

    reek

    -123

    .690

    5938

    .999

    8626

    5.98

    20.

    50.

    050.

    727

    .5SA

    CR

    San

    And

    reas

    Can

    non

    Roa

    d-1

    21.5

    8611

    36.8

    8261

    88.0

    0.1

    0.10

    0.2

    8.2

    SAD

    WSa

    n A

    ndre

    asD

    uhal

    low

    Way

    -122

    .465

    6437

    .644

    1920

    5.63

    71-0

    .30.

    02-0

    .228

    .2SA

    MV

    San

    And

    reas

    Mis

    sion

    Vin

    eyar

    d R

    d-1

    21.5

    2171

    36.8

    3502

    134.

    663

    11.5

    0.13

    12.3

    17.7

    SAPR

    San

    And

    reas

    Poin

    t Rey

    es-1

    22.7

    9796

    38.0

    4398

    70.8

    80-0

    .10.

    030.

    022

    .0SA

    RD

    San

    And

    reas

    Rob

    erta

    Dr

    -122

    .261

    5437

    .417

    0091

    .176

    0.6

    0.04

    0.7

    18.6

    SASR

    San

    And

    reas

    Sear

    le R

    d-1

    21.5

    7280

    36.8

    7453

    262.

    687

    1.2

    0.44

    0.3

    5.8

    SGPR

    San

    Gre

    gorio

    Pesc

    ader

    o R

    d-1

    22.3

    7294

    37.2

    5450

    454.

    7931

    0.9

    0.07

    0.9

    26.1

    SGW

    PSa

    n G

    rego

    rio, S

    eal

    Cov

    eW

    est P

    oint

    Ave

    -122

    .496

    6437

    .503

    6926

    2.03

    3-0

    .20.

    050.

    028

    .9*A

    vera

    ge =

    tota

    l slip

    /tota

    l tim

    e1 C

    ombi

    ned

    ESE

    and

    ESW

    leng

    ths

    2 Num

    ber o

    f yea

    rs o

    f obs

    erva

    tion

    Tabl

    e 1.

    Ave

    rage

    Rat

    es o

    f Rig

    ht-L

    ater

    al M

    ovem

    ent,

    San

    Fran

    cisc

    o Ba

    y R

    egio

    n

    16

  • Distance from Pt. Pinole (km)

    Site Code Site Name

    Longitude (WGS84)

    Latitude (WGS84)

    Length (m)

    Linear regression

    average creep rate

    (mm/yr)

    (mm/

    yr)

    Average* creep rate

    (mm/yr) yr Note4.49 HCCC Contra Costa College -122.33902 37.96918 146.04 5.2 0.06 4.9 28.98.37 HOLV Olive Drive -122.30959 37.94252 149.07 5.2 0.08 5.2 19.2

    10.83 HTBR Thors Bay Road -122.29294 37.92449 119.54 3.4 0.09 4.0 19.114.05 HFLO Florida Avenue -122.27340 37.89980 126.11 2.7 0.09 2.6 11.3 117.82 HSTA Memorial Stadium -122.25061 37.87066 165.46 4.7 0.04 4.8 42.018.43 HDWT Dwight Way -122.24107 37.86447 131.59 5.1 0.32 4.9 11.220.84 HTEM Temescal -122.23137 37.84853 153.92 4.0 0.10 4.1 34.623.92 HLSA LaSalle Ave -122.21005 37.82638 182.84 3.9 0.05 4.5 15.725.98 HLNC Lincoln -122.19863 37.80999 110.41 3.5 0.09 3.7 38.527.81 H39A 39th -122.18931 37.79504 137.81 4.0 0.13 4.1 34.630.68 H73A 73rd -122.16977 37.77426 89.81 3.2 0.11 3.4 15.4 133.39 HENC Encina Way -122.15148 37.75453 123.80 2.5 0.09 2.9 19.236.55 HCHB Chabot Park -122.12993 37.73184 230.44 4.0 0.19 4.2 15.538.28 HFMT Fairmont -122.12131 37.71749 166.60 3.5 0.17 3.8 11.2 141.11 H167 167th -122.10578 37.69495 90.18 4.7 0.11 5.1 16.243.22 HROS Rose Street -122.09121 37.67983 153.77 4.7 0.04 4.4 28.444.56 HDST D Street -122.08162 37.67021 112.32 4.5 0.02 4.5 28.445.64 HPAL Palisade -122.07397 37.66270 174.22 4.5 0.20 4.5 31.847.72 HSEP Sepulchre -122.05902 37.64798 107.14 5.5 0.12 5.7 14.350.15 HWDL Woodland -122.04140 37.63097 66.58 4.3 0.10 4.5 38.8 152.60 HCHM Chimes -122.02325 37.61422 118.65 6.2 0.19 6.2 14.355.65 HAPP Appian Way -122.00193 37.59240 124.89 5.7 0.04 5.5 29.159.09 HGIL Gilbert -121.98094 37.56645 89.26 5.2 0.13 5.5 25.1 262.25 HRKT Rockett Drive -121.96187 37.54210 103.23 5.3 0.06 5.5 29.162.64 HHAN Hancock -121.95914 37.53942 88.51 5.8 0.18 5.8 26.8 263.10 HUNI Union -121.95584 37.53614 168.10 7.0 0.11 7.1 15.8 265.29 HPIN Pine -121.94181 37.51973 97.65 6.2 0.20 6.1 19.6 266.29 HCAM Camellia Drive -121.93528 37.51235 88.35 4.4 0.10 4.1 18.766.67 HPMD Parkmeadow Drive -121.93262 37.50960 156.91 6.1 0.09 5.9 16.667.02 HSGR S. Grimmer -121.93046 37.50720 129.54 5.9 0.26 6.5 26.4 267.21 HONO Onondaga -121.92894 37.50516 72.88 2.7 0.22 2.9 26.5 2,368.45 HMSS Mission -121.92182 37.49629 168.94 5.0 0.21 4.5 15.7 2

    1) Array may miss significant fault traces2) Slip rate includes considerable slow-down following 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake3) Array misses a major creeping fault trace*Average = total slip/total timeNumber of years observed

    Table 2. Average Rates of Right-Lateral Movement, Hayward Fault

    17

    Title pagebacks title page

    IntroductionMethodsDataAcknowledgmentsReferences citedFiguresFigure 1.Figure 2.Figure 3.Figure 4.Figure 5.Figure 6.Figure 7.Figure 8.Figure 9.

    TablesTable 1.Table 2.