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DAILY MARKET COMMENTARY
1 December 2016 | 7:30 AM
Daily Market Commentary | 1 December 2016 Page 1 of 12
For any queries, please contact:
Mohammed Yaseen Nalla, CFA | [email protected] Reezwana Sumad | [email protected]
Charts of the day| Currencies | Commodities | Fixed income & interest rates | Equities | Equity derivatives
| Economics|*Foreign flows | JSE performance | LDT | Economic calendar| Other reports
#Contacts
Click on any of the above links to access your point of interest
(* when available)
Key daily driver
Nedbank CIB Market Commentary | [email protected] | +27 11 295 5430
SNIPPETS
(Charts of the day) SA trade balance shifts into deficit in October as exports slump, imports rise, deficit likely to deteriorate into year-end
(Currencies) Rand falters as short term optimism eased amid economic data, euro weighed by upcoming Italian referendum, eyes on NFP tomorrow
(Equities) Top 40 rises 0.2%, led by resource and energy stocks; US equities flat to negative despite sharp rallies in energy stocks; Asian markets sharply higher this morning due to oil and gas stocks rallying
(Economics) US private payrolls surge in November, PCE rising; Eurozone CPI rises on higher food prices
Key overnight factors and upcoming events
Nedbank CIB Market Commentary | [email protected] | +27 11 295 5430
Date Region Event Actual/expected/prior Implications
25/11 SA Credit rating events -- Fitch downgrade SA outlook to negative while Moody’s remains unchanged at Baa2 (Negative), markets await S&P review on Friday
30/11 SA Trade bal R bn -4.4/-6.7/7.0 Trade account posts deficit in October, exports sharply lower
30/11 US ADP private payrolls 216k/170k/119k Private payrolls being led by service sector employment
01/12 Global Manufacturing PMI’s -- Manufacturing conditions expected to improve marginally globally, Asian PMIs rise this morning
Source: Nedbank
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 2 of 12
Charts of the day back to top
Nedbank CIB Market Commentary | [email protected] | +27 11 295 5430
The SA trade balance moved into a deficit of R4.4 billion in October, from a surplus of R7.0 billion in September, marginally better than
forecasts of -R6.7 billion. However, consensus was skewed lower today due to an outlier; up until yesterday Bloomberg consensus was -R4.3
billion.
Exports slumped 11.1% m/m in October, while imports rose 0.4% over the month, resulting in the deficit. Exports declined across the board
and across our major trading partners. Sharp contractions in exports were recorded for vegetable products, precious metals and stones, and
vehicles and transport equipment.
Imports of minerals, chemicals and machinery rose marginally, but this was mainly concentrated in imports from Asia, as imports from the
rest of our major trading partners declined in October. Import demand was weighed down by a sharp decline in vegetable and vehicle
imports, and this is reflected of the subdued local demand conditions.
For the YTD, the trade deficit stands at R14.35 billion, significantly narrower than the R59.5 billion deficit during the same period last year.
The narrower deficit is mainly as a result of a 5.6% increase in exports for the YTD, while imports have remained relatively flat.
Marginal trade deficits are expected in the last few months of the year, and this will likely raise the annual deficit marginally. While
businesses may consider restocking inventories over the festive season, local demand is still very weak, and retail confidence is currently
reflective of this. While the current account deficit is expected to narrow this year, this may not be sustainable over the long term, as SA
remains a net importer, the rand remains vulnerable to weakness and as global demand wanes and trade conditions tighten.
Local growth will likely be constrained by the weak consumer demand backdrop, as Nedbank forecasts 0.3% GDP growth this year and 1%
next year. CPI remains elevated, and likely to stay close to the 6% upper target band over the medium term. The SARB may have reached the
peak in the current hiking cycle, but this is highly dependent on the trajectory of inflation over the next year.
YTD SA exports per product category
Source: SARS
YTD SA imports per product category
Source: SARS
SA trade balance supported by subdued imports recently
Source: Bloomberg, Nedbank
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 3 of 12
Currencies back to top
Business Banking FX | +27 11 535 4003 | Corporate FX | +2711 535 4002 | Institutional FX | +2711 535 4005
The local trading session found the Rand kick the day off at 13.9500. The Rand was unable to sustain gains post the ANC NEC announcement
that a motion for President Zuma to step down did not succeed. With the political volatility subsiding and focus shifting onto economic data
releases, the local unit found no favour as SA Trade and Budget data disappointed vs positive US ADP employment, US Chicago PMI and
Personal Income. This saw the Rand trade to a high of 14.0575, before closing around similar levels. The New York session saw the Rand
retrace further as it breached the 14.1500 level, with FED speakers suggesting a hike in interest rates is approaching sooner rather than
later. This morning the Rand opens at 14.0400. EURZAR at 14.8800 and GBPZAR at 17.5700.
International markets found the Euro initially trade higher as it touched 1.0666 before closing near the 1.0600 pivot. News concerning Italy
upcoming referendum seems to be negatively weighing on the currency. This morning Euro opens at 1.0600. Cable trading marginally firmer
this morning after closing the day at 1.2453. This morning it opens at 1.2524. Gold traded $11 weaker on the day, closing at $1178.
On the economic data front we have US jobless claims and US ISM manufacturing data. With the last NFP for 2016 on Friday.
Possible trading range: 13.9500-14.2500
*Please note that the sign on the % change reflects the change on the headline number. The narrative indicates the trend direction over the month.
For trade in any of these currencies, contact our FX dealing desks
Majors Last price
%Δ
-1d
%Δ
MTD
%Δ
YTDUSD trend
GBPUSD 1.25 0.22 2.43 -14.99 # USD weakness
EURUSD 1.06 0.08 -3.24 -2.37 # USD strength
USDJPY 114.06 -0.06 8.64 -5.11 # USD strength
USDAUD 1.35 -0.23 2.66 -1.60 # USD strength
Rand crosses Last price
%Δ
-1d
%Δ
MTD
%Δ
YTDZAR trend
USDZAR 14.03 -0.33 3.88 -9.42 # ZAR weakness
GBPZAR 17.57 -0.11 6.39 -22.99 # ZAR weakness
EURZAR 14.88 -0.25 0.52 -11.57 # ZAR weakness
AUDZAR 10.39 -0.10 1.18 -7.92 # ZAR weakness
ZARJPY 8.13 0.26 4.59 4.75 # ZAR strength
African FX Last price
%Δ
-1d
%Δ
MTD
%Δ
YTDZAR trend
ZARMWK (Malaw ian kw acha) 51.70 0.32 -3.05 19.84 # ZAR weakness
ZARBWP (Botsw ana pula) 0.77 -0.07 -1.31 5.60 # ZAR weakness
ZARKES (Kenyan shilling) 7.26 0.32 -3.39 9.85 # ZAR weakness
ZARMUR (Mauritian rupee) 2.57 0.32 -3.25 10.78 # ZAR weakness
ZARNGN (Nigerian naira) 22.34 -0.24 -1.21 73.50 # ZAR weakness
ZARGHS (Ghanian cedi) 0.30 -0.65 3.25 23.85 # ZAR strength
ZARZMW (Zambian kw acha) 0.70 0.63 -0.93 -0.87 # ZAR weakness
ZARMZN (Mozambican metical) 5.29 -0.15 -7.39 70.51 # ZAR weakness
Source: Bloomberg & Nedbank CIB T ime
Month
trend
Month
trend
Month
trend
2016/12/01 07:22
USDZAR
Source: Bloomberg, Nedbank
EUR/USD
Source: Bloomberg, Nedbank
$/R (close, high and low)
R 13.40
R 13.50
R 13.60
R 13.70
R 13.80
R 13.90
R 14.00
R 14.10
R 14.20
R 14.30
11/25 11/28 11/29 11/30 12/01
USDZAR $/R HIGH $/R LOW
€/$ (close, high, low)
$1.05
$1.05
$1.06
$1.06
$1.07
$1.07
11/25 11/28 11/29 11/30 12/01
EURUSD EURUSD High EURUSD Low
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 4 of 12
Commodities back to top
Nedbank CIB Market Commentary | [email protected] | +27 11 295 5430| +27 11 535 4038
The oil price surged by more than 10% yesterday as OPEC concluded it's meeting by agreeing to cut production by 1.2 million barrels a day,
to 32.5 million barrels by January 2017. Libya and Nigeria were exempted, while Iran was given a quota of 3.8 million barrels a day. The
biggest cuts came from Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, UAE, Kuwait, with even Russian coming to the table with proposed cuts. The cuts are
expected to continue for the next 6 months. This is likely to be supportive of the oil price over the medium term, if all members keep to
their quotas. However, if US shale producers ramp up production on the back of the higher prices, it would deem the current agreement
ineffective as the supply glut would persist. OPEC meets non-OPEC producers next week in order to discuss further stabilisation efforts.
Gold declined by close to $10/oz. yesterday as the dollar strengthened, however the metal is supported in Asia this morning due to a softer
US dollar. This will likely persist, with gold tracking the dollar’s moves over the medium term, and the gold price is expected to remain in a
bear market on the back of a stronger dollar.
Commodities Last price
%Δ
-1d
%Δ
MTD
%Δ
YTD
Brent near future ($) 52.44 3.90 8.57 40.67 #
WTI crude ($) 49.95 1.03 6.59 34.85 #
Gold spot ($) 1 174.15 -0.07 -7.82 10.54 #
Platinum spot ($) 913.45 0.39 -6.43 2.22 #
SA w hite maize spot (R) 3 759.00 -1.47 0.16 -19.35 #Source: Bloomberg & Nedbank CIB T ime
Month
trend
2016/12/01 07:22
Platinum vs Gold
Source: Bloomberg
Brent Crude vs West Texas Intermediate
Source: Bloomberg
Platinum vs. Gold
$1 156
$1 166
$1 176
$1 186
$1 196
$1 206
$897
$902
$907
$912
$917
$922
$927
$932
$937
25
-No
v 0
9:0
0
25
-No
v 1
4:0
0
25
-No
v 1
9:0
0
28
-No
v 0
2:0
0
28
-No
v 0
7:0
0
28
-No
v 1
2:0
0
28
-No
v 1
7:0
0
28
-No
v 2
2:0
0
29
-No
v 0
3:0
0
29
-No
v 0
8:0
0
29
-No
v 1
3:0
0
29
-No
v 1
8:0
0
29
-No
v 2
3:0
0
30
-No
v 0
4:0
0
30
-No
v 0
9:0
0
30
-No
v 1
4:0
0
30
-No
v 1
9:0
0
01
-De
c 0
0:0
0
01
-De
c 0
5:0
0
PLATINUM - LHS GOLD - RHS
Brent Crude vs West Texas Intermediate
$45.90
$46.90
$47.90
$48.90
$49.90
$50.90
$51.90
$44.70
$45.70
$46.70
$47.70
$48.70
$49.70
25
-No
v 0
9:0
0
25
-No
v 1
4:0
0
25
-No
v 1
9:0
0
28
-No
v 0
4:0
0
28
-No
v 0
9:0
0
28
-No
v 1
4:0
0
28
-No
v 1
9:0
0
29
-No
v 0
1:0
0
29
-No
v 0
6:0
0
29
-No
v 1
1:0
0
29
-No
v 1
6:0
0
29
-No
v 2
1:0
0
30
-No
v 0
3:0
0
30
-No
v 0
8:0
0
30
-No
v 1
3:0
0
30
-No
v 1
8:0
0
30
-No
v 2
3:0
0
01
-De
c 0
5:0
0
WTI - LHS BRENT - RHS
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 5 of 12
Fixed income and interest rates back to top
Bond flow sales |+2711 535 4021 | Corporate Money Markets | +2711 535 4007 | Business Bank Money Markets | +2711 535 4006
Bonds Last price
Δ
1d
Δ
MTD
Δ
YTD
% bps bps bps
R203-0.8 yrs 7.92 14.88 38.88 -60.72 #
R208-4.3 yrs 8.45 0.20 32.70 -95.60 #
R186-10.1 yrs 9.02 0.10 32.30 -74.10 #
R2048-31.2 yrs 9.76 0.10 38.50 -64.50 #
US 10 yr 2.39 0.81 56.41 12.01 #
UK 10 yr 1.42 3.50 13.90 -27.65 #
German 10 yr 0.28 24.43 68.71 -56.28 #
Japan 10 yr 0.03 12.00 -158.33 -89.43 #
Money Market Last price
Δ
1d
Δ
MTD
Δ
YTD
% bps bps bps
SA repo rate 7.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 #
SA prime rate 10.50 0.00 0.00 75.00 #
SA CPI (MTD = previous month) 6.40 30.00 #
SA 3m JIBAR 7.36 0.00 0.00 73.30 #
SA 3m NCD 7.38 5.00 5.00 77.50 #
SA 6m NCD 7.95 0.00 2.50 43.75 #
SA 12m NCD 8.49 0.00 6.25 5.00 #
US 3m LIBOR 0.93 0.35 4.99 32.15 #
UK 3m LIBOR 0.38 -0.12 -1.91 -20.58 #
Japan 3m LIBOR - 0.10 -0.54 -5.74 -17.38 #Source: Bloomberg & Nedbank CIB T ime
Month
trend
Month
trend
2016/12/01 07:22
FRAs and Swaps Last price
Δ
1d
Δ
MTD
Δ
YTD
% bps bps bps
3X6 FRA 7.44 0.00 3.00 2.50 #
6X9 FRA 7.51 -3.00 7.00 -26.50 #
9X12 FRA 7.56 -7.00 10.00 -69.00 #
18X21 FRA 7.76 0.00 26.00 -125.00 #
SA 2yr Sw ap 7.61 0.00 15.50 -54.60 #
SA 3yr Sw ap 7.74 0.00 21.50 -80.40 #
SA 5yr Sw ap 8.04 0.00 31.00 -95.50 #
SA 10yr Sw ap 8.54 1.50 40.00 -93.00 #
SA 15yr Sw ap 8.68 0.75 45.35 -98.25 #
Spreads Last price
Δ
1d
Δ
MTD
Δ
YTD
% bps bps bps
2v10y - 0.93 -1.50 -24.50 38.40 #
3v10y - 0.78 -1.50 -18.50 12.60 #
R186-R203 1.25 -14.78 -6.58 -13.38 #
R2048-R186 0.73 0.00 6.20 9.60 #
5y-R186 - 0.99 -0.10 -1.30 -21.40 #
10y-R186 - 0.50 1.40 7.70 -18.90 #
15y-R186 - 0.35 0.65 13.05 -24.15 #
SA 5yr CDS spread - basis points 255.67 2.24 11.14 -79.35 #Source: Bloomberg & Nedbank CIB T ime
Month
trend
Month
trend
2016/12/01 07:22
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 6 of 12
Equities back to top
Cash equities | +2711 535 4030/31
South Africa
The Top 40 ended the day up 0.20% at 4391.40. Sasol gained 4.87%, tracking its global peers higher, after oil prices surged more than 6%,
on reports that OPEC clinched a deal to curtail oil supply. Strength from miners and rand hedges offset the weakness in banks, retailers and
industrials. Amongst other notable movers, Steinhoff lost 4.3%, due to trading ex their dividend. Volumes were above average as a result of
the MSCI index rebalancing. The value at the close was R27.7 Billion and the rand was trading at R14.03 vs the dollar.
UK/Europe
European markets closed firmer on Wednesday, with the energy sector outperforming across Europe. The European oil and gas index
gained 3.4%. In London, Royal Bank of Scotland (-1.4%),underperformed in the banking space, recovering from its worst levels, after failing
the Bank of England’s stress test and was told to boost its capital buffers. Italian banks were strong, with markets players taking advantage
of the recent sell off, which may have been overdone.
USA
US markets closed little changed, with the energy sector leading the market higher. Oil prices surged 9.3% after it was confirmed that OPEC
agreed to cut production. Banking stocks saw solid gains following comments by Steven Mnuchin, Trumps pick for US Treasury Secretary,
that tax reforms and trade pact overhauls would be top priorities of the new administration. Utilities and telecoms lost ground, while US
bond yields rose.
Asia
It was all about oil in Asia this morning, with the Nikkei outperforming in the region, climbing more than 2%. Oil and exploration stocks
outperformed with the mining sector sub index gaining more than 10%. In Honk Kong, apart from the energy sector, transportation stocks
recovered from early morning losses, as concerns that higher oil prices would add to costs, but the strong manufacturing survey helped curb
losses. In Australia, the energy index soared more than 7%, with miners putting in a goof performance as well. BHP Billiton was up 4.3% and
South32 added more than 6%. Real Estate stocks were under pressure after approvals for new homes fell in October.
Developed Markets Last price
%Δ
-1d
%Δ
MTD
%Δ
YTD
Dow Jones 19 123.58 0.01 5.41 9.75 #
Nasdaq 5 323.68 -1.05 2.59 6.32 #
S&P 500 2 198.81 -0.27 3.42 7.58 #
DJ Eurostoxx 50 3 051.61 0.43 -0.12 -6.61 #
DAX 10 640.30 0.19 -0.23 -0.96 #
CAC 4 578.34 0.59 1.53 -1.27 #
FTSE 6 783.79 0.17 -2.45 8.67 #
ASX200 5 500.20 1.10 3.43 3.86 #
Nikkei 225 18 560.23 1.38 6.51 -2.49 #
MSCI World 1 712.09 -0.19 1.25 2.96 #
Emerging Markets Last price
%Δ
-1d
%Δ
MTD
%Δ
YTD
Hang Seng 22 917.18 0.56 -0.08 4.58 #
Shanghai 3 266.28 0.50 5.35 -7.71 #
Brazil Bovespa 61 906.36 1.51 -4.65 42.81 #
India - NSE 26 669.74 0.06 -4.55 2.11 #
Russia Micex 2 104.91 0.87 5.79 19.50 #
MSCI Emerging 862.83 0.51 -4.67 8.65 #
SA Indices Last price
%Δ
-1d
%Δ
MTD
%Δ
YTD
JSE All Share 50 209.43 0.10 -0.75 -0.96 #
Top 40 43 691.42 0.20 -0.75 -4.60 #
Resi 10 33 354.30 2.40 6.85 31.35 #
Indi 25 63 174.73 -0.56 -4.42 -11.96 #
Fini 15 14 626.35 -0.57 1.17 -4.00 #Source: Bloomberg & Nedbank CIB T ime
Month
trend
2016/12/01 07:22
Month
trend
Month
trend
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 7 of 12
Economics back to top
Nedbank CIB Market Commentary | [email protected] | +27 11 295 5430
US
US ADP private payrolls added 216k jobs to the labour market in November, after the 119k increase in October, well ahead of forecasts of
170k. All of the additions to the labour force was from the services sector; the goods-producing sector actually shed 11 thousand jobs in
October.
The job losses in the goods sector were mainly concentrated in manufacturing and mining. In the services sector, a bulk of jobs was created
in trade and transport, professional business services, education and hospitality, which surged in November. A bulk of the uptick in
employment may be temporary workers for the upcoming festive season.
Personal incomes rose 0.6% m/m in October, from 0.4% growth previously, better than forecasts for no change. Income growth rose across
the board, apart from proprietor’s income – personal income assets (dividend/interest income) surged, rental and supplemental income
rose, while wages and salary growth remained upbeat.
On the consumption side however, personal spending growth slowed to 0.3% m/m in October, from 0.7% growth previously, worse than
expectations for an uptick of 0.5%. While spending on durable goods rose marginally, spending on services declined quite surprisingly. A
portion of the uptick in incomes went to higher savings rate, with the rate rising to 6%, from 5.7% previously. This may indicate that US
consumer’s propensity to spend is starting to wane.
The PCE deflator rose to 1.4% y/y in October, while core PCE remained unchanged at 1.7%, in line with expectations. Both indicate that
price pressures are rising and will likely be a further indicator lending support to a Fed rate hike next month
Pending home sales growth eased on both a monthly and annualised basis in October. Sales growth was 0.1% m/m, from 1.4% growth in
September, in line with forecasts. Higher mortgage rates and narrower inventories remain key headwinds for the housing market over the
medium term. For now, the recovery is underpinned by continued labour market and wage gains.
The Beige Book indicated that growth expanded at a modest to moderate pace in most districts in the past 3 months, with a positive
outlook for the next few months. Some districts however cited concern over the recent election as businesses are uncertain about policy
and some have deferred investment into the future until further clarity is provided. Consumer spending is still upbeat, along with the
labour and housing market recoveries, prices have risen, but new vehicle sales have been soft and the strong dollar remains a key headwind
to manufacturing activity.
Synopsis: The Fed is expected to raise rates next month, due to improving economic data recently. The uptick in GDP growth, along with
higher headline inflation supports expectations for higher interest rates in the US. Longer-term monetary policy response remains uncertain
in the face of uncertain fiscal policy from the new presidency.
Europe
Eurozone CPI rose to 0.6% y/y in November, from 0.5% previously, in line with expectations. Key upside came from higher food, alcohol and
tobacco prices, which rose sharply on an annualised basis.
Energy deflation persisted, with energy prices down 1.1% on an annualised basis, from -0.9% previously. Services inflation and non-energy
industrial goods inflation remained positive but unchanged in November.
All CPI subcomponents remain well below the ECB’s 2% inflation target. Even though prices have been rising, it’s at a very slow pace, with
the ECB not even expecting the 2% target to be reached by 2018.
Synopsis: Stubbornly low inflation and growth may keep monetary policy ultra-loose, with the ECB likely to extend the current QE
programme to the end of 2017, compared to previous indications of an earlier termination.
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 8 of 12
JSE performance back to top
Nedbank CIB Market Commentary | [email protected] | +27 11 295 5430
Top40 constituents Last price
%Δ
-1d
%Δ
MTD
%Δ
YTD
AGL : Anglo American Plc 212.00 2.04 14.37 207.29 #
ANG : Anglogold Ashanti Ltd 155.34 1.32 -14.01 46.19 #
APN : Aspen Pharmacare Holdings Lt 289.93 0.33 -1.29 -6.32 #
BAT : Brait Se 85.15 -1.05 -4.96 -48.55 #
BGA : Barclays Africa Group Ltd 157.31 -1.70 0.61 9.63 #
BID : Bid Corp Ltd 246.57 -2.24 3.71 #
BIL : Bhp Billiton Plc 233.89 2.93 15.08 34.47 #
BTI : British American Tobacco Plc 781.35 1.12 1.13 -10.51 #
BVT : Bidvest Group Ltd 162.82 -0.01 -2.74 59.40 #
CFR : Financiere Richemont-Dep Rec 91.18 1.89 4.95 -18.30 #
DSY : Discovery Ltd 111.42 -1.40 -3.31 -16.19 #
FFA : Fortress Income Fund Ltd-A 16.23 0.50 -0.73 0.93 #
FFB : Fortress Income Fund Ltd 30.54 1.46 -4.74 -12.32 #
FSR : Firstrand Ltd 50.50 -2.17 4.51 19.19 #
GFI : Gold Fields Ltd 44.60 0.45 -18.63 5.69 #
GRT : Grow thpoint Properties Ltd 24.88 0.57 -1.03 7.10 #
IMP : Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd 44.20 -0.61 -18.45 76.52 #
INL : Investec Ltd 89.97 0.01 8.20 -17.84 #
INP : Investec Plc 91.10 0.67 8.32 -17.25 #
ITU : Intu Properties Plc 47.19 0.40 3.94 -36.16 #
LHC : Life Healthcare Group Holdin 31.04 -1.18 -13.78 -11.49 #
MEI : Mediclinic International Plc 124.70 1.80 -16.22 #
MND : Mondi Ltd 283.28 -0.07 7.51 -7.81 #
MNP : Mondi Plc 284.90 0.85 8.22 -7.65 #
MRP : Mr Price Group Ltd 145.05 0.16 -5.64 -27.48 #
MTN : Mtn Group Ltd 113.20 -0.58 -2.72 -14.82 #
NED : Nedbank Group Ltd 230.00 -1.07 4.31 21.94 #
NPN : Naspers Ltd-N Shs 2 054.86 -0.78 -9.07 -3.07 #
NTC : Netcare Ltd 31.24 -2.41 -9.79 -7.85 #
OML : Old Mutual Plc 33.10 0.91 0.12 -20.14 #
RDF : Redefine Properties Ltd 10.35 0.88 -10.62 6.70 #
REI : Reinet Investments Sa-Dr 27.66 1.50 2.98 -13.24 #
REM : Remgro Ltd 209.11 -2.19 -6.65 -13.13 #
RMH : Rmb Holdings Ltd 62.40 -1.96 4.84 12.21 #
SBK : Standard Bank Group Ltd 151.00 -0.98 5.55 33.04 #
SGL : Sibanye Gold Ltd 29.17 0.14 -20.63 27.66 #
SHP : Shoprite Holdings Ltd 186.94 -1.66 -6.06 30.49 #
SLM : Sanlam Ltd 61.67 -1.63 -5.65 1.87 #
SNH : Steinhoff International H Nv 65.08 -4.32 -10.59 -17.11 #
SOL : Sasol Ltd 379.35 4.87 1.32 -9.55 #
TBS : Tiger Brands Ltd 394.09 -1.75 2.63 24.54 #
VOD : Vodacom Group Ltd 144.73 -2.85 -0.50 -5.04 #WHL : Woolw orths Holdings Ltd 64.93 -0.26 -16.87 -35.17 #
Source: Bloomberg & Nedbank CIB T ime
Month
trend
2016/12/01 07:22
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 9 of 12
Last day to trade back to top
Susan Correia | [email protected] | +27 11 295 8227
Share Code Share name Dividend / interest rate
6 December 2016
AFEP AECI Linited 5.5% Pref dividend @49.797690cps
AWA Arrowhead Porperties Ltd dividend @ 20.89cps
BWN Balwin Properties Ltd dividend @ 11.089750cps
CML Coronation Fund Managers Ltd dividend @ 218cps
CTK Cartrack Holdings Ltd dividend @ 20cps
DIA Dipula Income Fund A dividend @ 1004.71412cps or 4.80107 new shares per 100 held
DIB Dipula Income Fund B dividend @ 894.79139cps or 5.66749 new shares per 100 held
DMCCB Soapstone Investment Ltd dividend @ 4904cps
HSP Holdsport Limited dividend @ 130cps
IAP Investec Australia Property Fund dividend @ 47.739270cps
INL Investec Ltd dividend @ 178cps
INP Investec Plc dividend @ 178cps
KAPN KAP Ind Hldgs Ltd Npl's take up @ 760cps
LDO Lodestone REIT Limited Offer
MRP Mr Price Group Ltd dividend @ 228.20cps
PAN Pan African Resources Plc dividemd TBA
PIK Pick n Pay Stores Ltd dividend @ 29.90cps
RTN Rex Trueform Cl Co -N- dividend @ 27cps
RTO Rex Trueform Cloth Co ltd dividend @ 27cps
SAR Safari Investments RSA Ltd dividend @ 32cps
SPP The Spar Group Ltd dividend @ 410cps
SSS Stor-Age Prop REIT Ltd dividend @ 43.04cps
Source: JSE
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 10 of 12
Economic calendar back to top
Nedbank CIB Market Commentary | [email protected] | +27 11 295 5430
Time Country Event Period Survey Actual Prior Revised
30-Nov
01:50 JN Industrial Production YoY Oct P -1.40% -1.30% 1.50% --
02:01 UK GfK Consumer Confidence Nov -4 -8 -3 --
09:00 GE Retail Sales YoY Oct 1.00% -1.00% 0.60% --
12:00 EC CPI Estimate YoY Nov 0.60% 0.60% 0.50% --
14:00 SA South Africa Budget Oct -- -30.91b -3.94b --
14:00 SA Trade Balance Rand Oct -6.7b -4.4b 6.7b 6.9b
14:00 US MBA Mortgage Applications 25-Nov -- -9.40% 5.50% --
15:15 US ADP Employment Change Nov 170k 216k 147k 119k
15:30 US Personal Income Oct 0.40% 0.60% 0.30% 0.40%
15:30 US Personal Spending Oct 0.50% 0.30% 0.50% 0.70%
15:30 US PCE Deflator YoY Oct 1.50% 1.40% 1.20% --
15:30 US PCE Core YoY Oct 1.70% 1.70% 1.70% --
17:00 US Pending Home Sales NSA YoY Oct -- 0.20% 2.00% --
21:00 US U.S. Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book
01-Dec
02:30 JN Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg Nov F -- 51.3 51.1 --
03:00 CH Manufacturing PMI Nov 51 51.7 51.2 --
10:55 GE Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Nov F 54.4 -- 54.4 --
11:00 SA Barclays Manufacturing PMI Nov -- -- 45.9 --
11:00 EC Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Nov F 53.7 -- 53.7 --
11:30 UK Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA Nov 54.4 -- 54.3 --
12:00 EC Unemployment Rate Oct 10.00% -- 10.00% --
15:30 US Initial Jobless Claims 26-Nov -- -- 251k --
15:30 US Continuing Claims 19-Nov -- -- 2043k --
16:45 US Markit US Manufacturing PMI Nov F -- -- 53.9 --
17:00 US ISM Manufacturing Nov 52.1 -- 51.9 --
SA Naamsa Vehicle Sales YoY Nov -9.00% -- -10.10% --
Source: Bloomberg
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 11 of 12
Contacts
Head: Strategic Research
Mohammed Yaseen Nalla, CFA
(011) 295 5430
Treasury: Economic Analyst
Reezwana Sumad
(011) 294 1753
ALM Portfolio Management
(011) 535 4042
Bond Trading
(011) 535 4021
Credit Derivatives
(011) 535 4047
Equities Sales and Distribution
(011) 535 4030/31
Forex Business Banking Sales Desk
(011) 535 4003
Forex Corporate Sales Desk
JHB (011) 535 4002; DBN (031) 327 3000;
CTN (021) 413 9300
Forex Institutional Sales Desk
(011) 535 4005
Forex Retail Sales Desk
(011) 535 4020
Inflation Trading
(011) 535 4026
Interest Rate Swaps & FRA’s Trading
(011) 535 4004
Money Market Business Banking Sales Desk
(011) 535 4006
Money Market Corporate Sales Desk
JHB (011) 535 4007; DBN (031) 327 3000;
CTN (021) 413 9300
Money Market Institutional Sales Desk
(011) 535 4008
Non Soft & Soft Commodities Trading
(011) 535 4038
Preference shares desk
(011) 535 4072
Daily Market Commentary | 01 December 2016 Page 12 of 12
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