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Thursday April 23, 2020 - Response Day 42
COVID-19Daily Data Summary
1Prepared By: City of Los Angeles, Mayor Garcetti’s Innovation Team
Index
● Daily Highlights● Daily Data
○ Cases○ Deaths○ Comparative Information ○ Testing ○ Beds○ Masks○ Hotline Information○ Business Ambassadors
● Compliance Monitoring: Are People Staying Home?● Los Angeles Timeline of Actions
2
Los Angeles Data Snapshot
3
CITY RESPONSE HIGHLIGHTS AS OF APRIL 23, 2020
LOS ANGELES GLOBAL HOTLINE SERVICES
1,081 68 68,185 5,326 415 2,801 328New Cases New Deaths New Cases New Deaths COVID-related 311
callsNon-COVID Related 311 calls
Help desk calls
17,508 797 2.7M 187.3K CALL THEMES
Total Cases Total Deaths Total Cases Total Deaths
Testing resultsAngeleno Card and other economic assistance requestsEarth Day campaign encouraging L.A. to end oil drillingFrustration with CA’s EDD and Unemployment applications backlog“Liberate LA” protestors
CALIFORNIA UNITED STATES
1,881 100 20,893 1,322New Cases New Deaths New Cases New Deaths
37.8K 1,440 856.2K 47.3KTotal Cases Total Deaths Total Cases Total Deaths
L.A. TESTING UPDATES BEHAVIORAL MONITORING
6,008 12,100 93,115 33 Green CTests Performed Available Kits Tests Performed
Since 3/20Total Test Sites Traffic Patterns Social Distancing Scores
BEDS SHELTERS
1,316 1,052 264 1,227 89.2% 70.6% 81.3%Total Beds Acute Care ICU Beds Ventilators 23 shelters online Tier 1 Housing -
Emergency Hotels/Motels Countywide
Tier 2 Housing - Iso. and Quarantine Hotels/Motels Countywide
Projections Overview
5
6
County Model 4 Week Predictions Key Findings for Week of 4/20
● The overall volume of hospital-based care for patients with COVID-19 appears stable, consistent with the continued effectiveness of physical distancing and related public health measures;
● It remains unclear if current measures are adequate to lead to a reduction in illness, or if more effective measures will be required;● The number of hospital beds in Los Angeles County appears adequate to meet the projected need for the care of additional COVID-19
patients over the next 4 weeks;● The number of ICU beds in Los Angeles County, especially with the addition of new ICU beds through multiple efforts across the County, is
likely adequate to meet the projected need for the care of additional COVID-19 patients over the next 4 weeks; ● The number of mechanical ventilators in Los Angeles County appears adequate to meet the projected need for the care of additional
COVID-19 patients over the next 4 weeks.● Based on prior modeling results, County predicts that a lessening of intensity of physical distancing and similar efforts would be followed
by a rapid increase in transmission and, after 2-3 weeks, by a corresponding increase in patient volume at healthcare facilities.
*This update includes data on hospital visits and volume through April 20, 2020.
Source: County of Los Angeles - County DHS COVID-19 Predictive Modeling Team
7Source: County of Los Angeles - County DHS COVID-19 Predictive Modeling Team
8Source: County of Los Angeles - County DHS COVID-19 Predictive Modeling Team
9Source: County of Los Angeles - County DHS COVID-19 Predictive Modeling Team
10Source: County of Los Angeles - County DHS COVID-19 Predictive Modeling Team
11
Scenario Reminder
Source: County of Los Angeles - County DHS COVID-19 Predictive Modeling Team
COVID-19 US Cases and Deaths
Source: New York Times, using state and local health agencies, hospitals, CDC data, COVID tracking project, Johns Hopkins University
New York Remains the US Epicenter but the top five states, based on total cases, include:
#1: 263.5K cases in New York State (+6.2K) - 1348 per 100K15.7K deaths in New York State (+438) - 80.5 per 100K
#2: 100.0K cases in New Jersey (+4.1K) - 1122 per 100K5.4K deaths in New Jersey (+305) - 60.3 per 100K
#3: 46.0K cases in Massachusetts (+3.1K) - 666 per 100K2.4K deaths in Massachusetts (+178) - 34.2 per 100K
#4: 37.8K cases in California (+1.9K) - 96 per 100K1.4K deaths in California (+100) - 3.6 per 100K
#5: 36.9K cases in Illinois (+1.8K) - 289 per 100K1.7K deaths in Illinois (+123) - 13.2 per 100K
As of April 23, 2020 at 2:25PM
12
California state rankings:
California ranks #4 in CasesCalifornia ranks #33 in Cases per 100KCalifornia ranks #8 in DeathsCalifornia ranks #28 in Deaths per 100K
COVID-19 US Cases - Per Capita County Comparison (Counties >300K ppl)
Top 5 per capita (per 100K) cases by CountyRockland, New York (NYC Metro Area): 2977 cases per 100KWestchester, New York (NYC Metro Area): 2612 cases per 100KNassau, New York (NYC Metro Area): 2326 cases per 100KSuffolk, New York (NYC Metro Area): 1954 cases per 100KUnion, New Jersey (NYC Metro Area): 1884 cases per 100K
Los Angeles, California: 164 cases per 100K(Los Angeles County ranks #89 out of 229 counties with 300K+)
Top 5 per capita (per 100K) deaths by CountyNew York City, New York: 180.8 deaths per 100KRockland, New York (NYC Metro Area): 123.1 deaths per 100KEssex, New Jersey (NYC Metro Area): 111.1 deaths per 100KNassau, New York (NYC Metro Area): 105.5 deaths per 100KHudson, New Jersey (NYC Metro Area): 97.7 deaths per 100K
Los Angeles, California: 7.3 deaths per 100K(Los Angeles County ranks #86 out of 229 counties with 300K+)
As of April 22, 2020 (one day reporting lag)
13
Source: New York Times, using state and local health agencies, hospitals, CDC data,COVID tracking project, Johns Hopkins University
COVID-19 Los Angeles County Total Cases and Total Deaths, Past 7 DaysAs of April 23, 2020, Noon
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health
14
Currently, Los Angeles County has a 4.6% mortality rate.
COVID-19 Los Angeles County Total New Cases As of April 23, 2020, Noon
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health
The past 7 days have seen an average daily increase of 976 new cases.
The current case doubling rate is 10.7 with a 3-day average of 8.7.
Note: Daily numbers may show a discrepancy when performing basic addition. This is based on the fact that the County is performing ongoing investigation into cases and updating their daily case numbers but not updating historic case numbers.
15
Testing and case reporting delays inflated case totals for two dates. Actuals vs.
reported for 4/20 is 293 and4/21 is 625
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health
COVID-19 Los Angeles County Total Case Increase As of April 23, 2020, Noon
16
The past 7 days have seen an average daily case increase of 7.1%.
COVID-19 Los Angeles County DeathsAs of April 23, 2020, Noon
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health
17
The past 7 days have seen an average daily increase of 49 new deaths.
The current death doubling is 7.5, with a 3-day average doubling rate of 8.0.
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health
COVID-19 Los Angeles County Total Death Increase As of April 23, 2020, Noon
18
The past 7 days have seen an average daily death increase of 8.4%.
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health
COVID-19 Los Angeles County Total Cases and Total Deaths, 7 Day AverageAs of April 23, 2020, Noon
19
CASE TRACKERTotal Cases andPercent Increase As of April 23, 2020,12:00 PM
Source: Multiple sources, as listed
COVID-19 Case Tracker
Cases New Cases % + DeathsNew
Deaths% + Source Timestamp
Globally 2,682,225 68,185 3% 187,330 5,326 3% JHU 4/23 11:31 AM
United States 856,209 20,893 3% 47,272 1,322 3% JHU 4/23 11:31 AM
California 37,788 1,881 5% 1,440 100 7% JHU 4/23 11:31 AM
Los Angeles County 17,508 1,081 7% 797 68 9%
LAC DPH 4/23 12:00 PM
Note: All sources update at various times throughout the day. These numbers are current based on the time of the timestamp.
20
Cases: Los Angelesvs. CaliforniaAs of April 23, 2020, 12:00 PM
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering GitHub repo, LA County Department of Public Health, COVIDTracking.com, and the LA Times. Day of outbreak is identified as March 11th, with prior cases aggregated to day 1.
Key Takeaways:● 1,881 new cases reported in CA
since yesterday (5% increase)● LA County has 46.3% of cases in
CA with 1,081 new cases (7% increase).
● The City of LA has 21.2% of cases in CA; 471 new cases reported (6.3% increase)
21
COVID-19 Los Angeles County | NY State Cases per 100K Residents As of April 23, 2020, 2:10 PM
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health
22
Rolling 7-Day Averageof COVID-19 Case Rate Increase - LA|NY|US As of April 23, 2020, 2:10 PM
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health, COVID tracking project
23
HospitalizationsData as of April 22, 2020 9:53 PM
Source: City of Los Angeles *Public test registration. It does not include registration of critical city employees, first responders, and health care providers.
Key Takeaways:● At least 4,120 people have been
hospitalized since 4/21● 268 new hospitalizations as of
4/21 (7% increase)
24
COVID Cases and Death DemographicsData as of April 22, 2020 9:53 PM
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, US Census Bureau*Department of Public Health category Under Investigation or Not Otherwise Listed filtered out of analysis. Approximations are made on Census data to accommodate county age buckets. Percentage of cases and deaths under investigation is based on the race category. 25
Key Takeaways:● Data are incomplete with 39%
of cases and 11.4% of deaths still under investigation
● People 40 and above are overrepresented in cases
● Seniors, Men, and African Americans overrepresented in deaths
● 648 out of 729 deaths had comorbidities (underlying conditions) (88.9%)
State Testing Data CA Data as of April 21, 2020
CA - 39.5M residents (results as of 4/21)
NY - 19.4M residents (results as of 4/21)
Source: covidtracking.com/*States are not consistent with updating and reflect a data lag.
Key Takeaways:● +119% in total tests
in CA between 4/12and 4/21
● Currently, no results are conductedbut “pending” in CA
26
FL - 21.3M residents (results as of 4/21)
City of Los AngelesTests Performed Data as of April 22, 2020 Close of Business
Source: City of Los Angeles *Public test registration. It does not include registration of critical city employees, first responders, and health care providers.
Key Takeaways:● At least 93,155 tests have been
performed since 3/20● At least 6,008 tests were
performed on 4/22● 3,007 of the 41,535 results
received were positive (7.24%)
27
Hospital Bed and Equipment Capacityfor LA County As of April 23, 2020, 10:30 AM
Source: County HavBed Bed Tracking. 4/9, 4/10, 4/11, 4/12, and 4/13 reflect temporary updated reporting counts by Los Angeles County. Future reporting will continue to align to County reporting counts.
County Total Reported Bed Capacity in County: 23,318 Staffed Beds in all Categories(ICU, Rehab, Unspecified Acute, Coronary Care, NICU, Perinatal, Pediatric, Psych, Skilled Nursing)
Key Takeaways:1,316 total beds
Since 4/16, there has been a:● 19.6% decrease in available
acute care beds. Surge capacity is 11,482
● 9.1% increase in available ICU beds. Surge capacity is 4,067
● 9.7% increase in ventilators. Surge capacity is 3,189
28
Hospital Bed andEquipment Capacityfor LA County As of April 23, 2020, 10:30 AM
29
Source: County HavBed Bed Tracking. 4/9, 4/10, 4/11, 4/12, and 4/13 reflect temporary updated reporting counts by Los Angeles County. Future reporting will continue to align to County reporting counts.
Hospital Bed and Equipment Capacity for LA County As of April 23, 2020, 10:30 AM
30Source: County HavBed Bed Tracking.
N95 Mask Data (as of April 23, 2020)
Source: Los Angeles EOC
Projected StockProjected 3-Month
NeedProjected 6-Month
NeedEstimated Current Stock
Total Donated Total on Order
N95 MasksFirst Responders / City Family * 96,754 29,000 1,000,000 660,765 1,387,607
Medical Staff / Hospitals 1,000,000 ordered by GSD for LOVLA. 6,000,000 8,000,000
Surgical Masks
Grocery Stores The Business Operations Center is working to determine needs and identify sources.
Public The Business Operations Center is working with local NGOs to estimate their needs and how we might support.
* Includes LAFD, LAPD, RAP/Shelter Staff, Harbor, Personnel, GSD, Street Services, GSD, LAWA, ITA, DOT, Aging. Does not include HCID, ** The burn rate for LAFD decreased due to revised standards for reuse. LAPD burn rate = 1000/day; LAFD = 1500/day; LAWA=1875/day.*** The 6-month need is more than double the 3-month need because departments estimate that their burn rate may increase with time.
Business Ambassador VisitsData as of April 23, 2020 2:30 PM
Source: City of Los Angeles *Public test registration. It does not include registration of critical city employees, first responders, and health care providers.
Key Takeaways:● At least 3,322 visits made as of 4/23:
○ DSW Visited Locations: 1811○ LAPD Visited Locations: 1511○ Complaint Applications: 87○ DWP Checks: 184○ DWP Shut Offs: 1
32
Angeleno CardAs of April 22, 2020, Close of Business
Source: HCID*14 out of 16 Family Source Centers reported back numbers 33
● 325 households received cards out of 444 appointments (73%)*
● $365K distributed
Senior Meals Program (as of April 22, 2020 at 8:00PM)
Confirmed clients represents the number of people at each address Source: City of Los Angeles portal/hotline
Total Applications
Confirmed Addresses for
Delivery*
Confirmed Clients for Delivery*
Online Form 2,903 2,080 2,799Hotline 2,959 2,486 3,310Total 5,862 4,566 6,109New Since Yesterday 594 522 670*The table above reflects applications and validations, not actual deliveries.
Existing Seniors: 1,311 meals delivered as of April 22, 2020.
Mayor’s Hotline Calls As of April 22, 2020, 7PM
Source: Mayor’s Hotline, Angeleno Card Hotline Phone Bank
35
2,214 Angeleno Card appointments scheduled for today (4/23)
Mayor’s Hotline Shifts As of April 22, 2020, 7PM
Source: Mayor’s Hotline
Shift Info:● 103 Shifts Completed This Week● 510 Cumulative Completed Shifts● 46 Volunteers This Week● 64 Cumulative Volunteers
Hot Topics:● Testing results● Angeleno Card and other economic
assistance requests● Earth Day campaign encouraging
L.A. to end oil drilling● Frustration with CA’s EDD and
Unemployment applications backlog● “Liberate LA” protestors● Safer at Home questions,
suggestions, reporting violations● Renters and eviction● Senior meal delivery registration
36
Are PeopleStaying at Home?
37
Traffic Remains Low but Observable Congestion Remains on the PCH
Thursday 4/23, 9:00 AMWednesday 4/22, 5:28 PM
38
Los Angeles TrafficCongestion Level: GREENAs of April 23, 2020
39
Source: TomTom Traffic Index Rating
Los Angeles Crime Data Continues to Go DownAs of April 21, 2020
Source: LAPD“Part I” crime includes homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assaults, burglary, larceny, vehicle theft and arson.Domestic violence crime is defined as “Intimate Partner - Simple Assault” and “Intimate Partner - Aggravated Assault” crimes 40
2020
2019
Key Takeaways:
Since March 12● 26.1% reduction in all
reported crime● 22.9% reduction in
reported Part 1 crime● 12.5% reduction in
reported domestic violence crime*
40
Los Angeles Crime - 2020 vs 2019 Los Angeles Part I Crime - 2020 vs 2019
Los Angeles Domestic Violence Crimes2020 vs 2019
Summary of Apple Mobility Datafor Los Angeles As of April 21, 2020 (two day reporting lag)
Key Takeaways: Driving direction requests have decreased by 49%
Walking direction requests have decreased by 48%
Transit direction requests have decreased by 75%
Source: Apple COVID-19 Mobility Trends Report
Social Distancing Scoreboardfor LA County: Grade C As of April 23, 2020, Noon
Source: COVID-19 Social Distancing Scoreboard
Scores by Geography:Score: AScore: BScore: CScore: DScore: F LA County California United States
42
Source: EPA, airnow.gov. Daily forecasts are for the Central LA CO Reporting Area and monthly averages are for LA County
LA City’s Air Quality by Date: 4/23
Air Pollution During 2020Air Quality Index (AQI) Scoresas of April 23, 2020, 9:00 AM
LA County Air Quality by Month
0 to 50: Good51 to 100: Moderate101 to 150: Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups151 to 200: Unhealthy201 to 300: Very Unhealthy301 to 500: Hazardous
AQI Values
Today’s AQI Score: 60 Moderate
Health Message: None
AQI – Pollutants:
Carbon Monoxide 5 Good
Nitrogen Dioxide 27 Good
Ozone 44 Good
Particles (PM10) 16 Good
Particles (PM2.5) 50 Good
43
Los Angeles Actions to Date
44
Mayoral Directive limits public gatherings and closes City Hall to public
Source: Mayor Garcetti Website
Summary Timeline of Los Angeles COVID-19 ResponseMarch 12–19, 2020
45
12 March
LAUSD announces closure of schools
13 March
LA's public libraries close14 March
City orders closures of dine-in rest., gyms, theaters, perf. venues and bars without food service
15 March
LAUSD closes all schools 16 March
Mayor places temporary halt on parking enforcement, reduces citations
17 March
Mayor orders moratorium on commercial evictions
18 March
Mayor announces City Plans to support homeless residents
19 March
Announces economic relief package for small businesses
Mayor Activates Disaster Service Worker program
Add 1600 emergency shelter beds using rec centers and 6000 Red Cross beds
Partner with Council to use $20M emergency relief
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Mayor orders moratorium on residential evictions
Mayor issues SAFER AT HOME emergency Order
Timeline of Los Angeles COVID-19 ResponseMarch 20 – 27, 2020
20 March
Mayoral Directive tolling deadlines prescribed in the Municipal Code
21 March
Mayor confirms SAFER AT HOME will be strictly enforced
22 March
Moratorium on Ellis Act/no fault evictions
23 March
Creation of Emergency Medical Corps
24 March
Authorized Depts to streamline emergency expenditures
25 March
Launched Get Connected26 March
Mayor Announces formation of LA Protects
27 March 5 additional emergency shelters at rec centers
USNS Navy hospital ships arrives
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
City launches: Help Desk Hotline, COVID-19 testing portal, LA Jobs Portal
Sports & Rec closed at parks and beaches
Allow alcohol delivery Establish a moratorium on LADWP shutoffs
Relaxed vehicle registration & DL violation enforcement
46
Relaxed parking enforcement on commercial vehicles
MFLA launches Angeleno Campaign and L.A. COVID-19 Emergency Response Fund
Launched a tool for residents to schedule testing
Source: Mayor Garcetti Website
Mayoral order protecting renters from eviction during emergency; 12 months after emergency to pay back rent
Timeline of Los Angeles COVID-19 ResponseMarch 28 – April 5, 2020
47
28 March
Convention Center transformed to emergency hospital
29 March
Farmers’ Mkts closed pending plans
30 March
Mayoral order requiring construction sites to develop COVID plans
31 March
Mayor recommends use of masks (LA Protects)
1 April
Traffic lights set to night schedule2 April
Launch of VolunteerLA3 April
USC begins 3D printing PPE4-5 April
Saturday
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday & Sunday
900+ motel/hotel rooms for homeless Angelenos
Suspending all RSO rent increases
Expanded testing sites
Shutting off power/water to non-compliant non-ess. businesses
2K tests now available daily
LAUSD mental health hotline Temp food pick-up zones
Source: Mayor Garcetti Website
Testing expanded to all with COVID symptoms
Timeline of Los Angeles COVID-19 ResponseApril 6 – 12, 2020
48
6 April
Order issuing supplemental paid sick leave
7 April
Launch of LA CareCorps8 April
Mobile testing for nursing and assisted living facilities
9 April
Launched the LA Emergency Child Care Connection
10 April
Streets L.A. is shifting street paving and some street sweeping from residential streets to major corridors.
11-12 April
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Closed parks on Sunday (4/12)
Expanding sanitation services
SAFER AT HOME extended to 5/15
Saturday & Sunday
Essential workers to wear face coverings by 4/10
Essential businesses to prepare and post Social Distancing Protocols for each of their facilities by 4/15
Order protecting grocery, drug retail, and food delivery workers
Source: Mayor Garcetti Website
Timeline of Los Angeles COVID-19 ResponseApril 13 – 20, 2020
49
13 April
Testing milestone: more than 50K tests performed. Same/next day test available to all with symptoms.
14 April
15 April
16 April
17 April
18-19 April
20 April
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Monday
Saturday & Sunday
Source: Mayor Garcetti Website
Launched Covid Myths webpage Release Mayor’s Data Deck of key metrics used to inform City’s COVID response
Relaxed parking and vehicle registration enforcement extended to match Safer at Home order.
Metro to adhere to “modified Sunday” schedule.
Created the Emergency Senior Meals Response program
Launched the Global Mayor’s COVID-19 Recovery Task Force
Established new study on antibody and immunity testing
Announced relaxed timeframe for businesses inside LAX to pay rent
Launched trailer program to house homeless Angelenos who are at high risk of COVID-19
Announced new deployment of street medical teams to fight COVID-19 among Angelenos experiencing homelessness
During SOTC, announced furloughs for city workers
Announced partnership with Fox to provide free meals to residents with disabilities
Timeline of Los Angeles COVID-19 ResponseApril 21 – 27, 2020
50
21 April
22 April
23 April
24 April
25 April
26 April
27 April
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Monday
Sunday
Source: Mayor Garcetti Website
Announced City Council to consider legislation to ensure laid off and furloughed workers can be first in line to get their jobs back.
TODAY
Launched LA Protects Business Ambassador Program
Testing available to all critical workers, regardless of symptoms