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DEPAR U . S . ENT OF HE RITY D SECY Early Indicators ( Daily ) Data & Analytics Task Force 28 April 2020 FOUO - For Official Use Only

(Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

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Page 1: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

DEPAR

U.S.

ENTOF

HERITY

D SECY

Early Indicators

(Daily)

Data & Analytics Task Force

28 April 2020

FOUO - For OfficialUse Only

Page 2: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

Key PointsStable locationsLocations with increasing cases

Atlantic City ,NJ(CBSA ) experienced increased cases partiallyattributable to the recent opening of drive -through testing.

Logansport, IN (CBSA) continued to show a sharp increase in thenumber of new cases, resulting in a 2 -day doubling time. This is largely

attributable to an outbreak at a meat processing facility .Sioux City (CBSA ), which includesboth Dakota County, NE andWoodbury County , IA , has shown a consistent doubling time of 3 daysover the pastweek . The confirmed cases have risen from 79 to 843 .

Washington, D . C . appears stable; however, many of the surrounding

areas in Maryland and Virginia show increased cases. The Mayorannounced expanded testingbeyond those that show symptoms, toinclude grocery store employees and other criticalworkers . The U . S .

House ofRepresentatives and Senate previously announced they

would return May 4th . The House announced on April 28th that it will

delay the start of the session due to concerns of increased casesin theD . C . area

Locationswith decreasingcases

Louisiana has shown a mostly declining pattern since its peak on

March 26th . Five ofthe nine regions within the state have shown adecline in new cases however, severalregions, including Baton

Rouge, continue to show increases in cases and hospitalizations. The

governor announced the state will extend the stay-at-homeorderuntil

May 15.

Locations to watch

Amarillo, TX ( CBSA) showed increasing cases partially attributed to anoutbreak at a meat processing plant in Moore County, TX .TarrantCounty , TX showed increasing cases partially attributed to newcases at the FederalMedicalCenter, a prison in Forth Worth .The governor of Texas plans to reopen all retail stores, restaurants,

movie theaters, andmalls on Friday, May 1stat 25 % of their listedoccupancy

22COVID- 19Response Data & AnalyticsTask Force

FOUO OnlyOMELA

Page 3: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

State Summary

Locations with

increasing casesStable locations

Locations with

decreasing casesLocations to watch

Locationswith 10 week -to -week changein

cases, > = 200 new cases, and > = 20 new

casesper 100kin the pastweek. 10 locationsclosestto zero percentweek-to -week change.

Locations with at least 100 total cases andsustained decreasing case trajectories . The list is

sorted by number of days in decline .

Locationswith > 10 % week -to -week increasein

cases, > = 200 new cases, and < 40 new cases

per 100k in thepastweek. Top 10by largest

week -to -week increase.

Locationswith > 10 % week-to -week increase incases, > = 200 new cases, and > = newcasesper 100kin the pastweek. Top 10 bylargestweek -to -week increase.

New NewDaily

Statecases casesper

caselast 7 100k last

trenddays

1, 587 + 244. 3 %

State A %

Daily

case

trend

State In

Daily

case

trend

State A % case

Newcases cases perlast 7 100k last

days days

965 137

1349 22

New NewDays

cases cases per

last 7 100k lastdecline

days | 7 days

23 1.619158 25

2548 54.67837 23

NE 82 DC -8 . 3 % �� OK

KS 1,344 46 + 120. 3 % MO - 4 . 7 % LA AR

2,715 86 CT TN+87. 9 % - 3. 9%173 5082FL 23.859916 182

8,81914, 380 113 + 51. 7 % PA 69 - 2. 4 % AK 24 3. 254511

New NewDaily

cases cases perlast 7 100k last

days daystrend

925 23 +214.6 %

1,099 36 + 119.8%

,686 40 +64.9%+ 64 .9 %

1,583 27 +47.8%1652 + 21.2 %

11, 305 + 19.9 %

1,020 32 + 19. %

1,179 + 18 .3 %

1465 30 + 15. 0 %

491 36 + . % I

AZ 23DE 1,417 147 +44. 0 % MI 6 , 217 -2 . 2 % SD 69. 14258

29

4 564VA +40. 1%54 MS 1, 586 53 + 1. 1 % GA . 10101CA

UT1 ,602

852NM + 36 . 1 % WA41

22 3. 5% ID 10 .31805

610

4534

181

16

911

SC 23

ND 315 + 6 . 4 %41 MT+31.6 %��

1.506159AL16,819

3, 65NV

+ 24. 1 %30 .02249

10

9NH

4,284IN9.469319

+ 24. 0 %64

A % : percentchange in new cases in last 7 days compared to the previous 7 daysDaily case trend depicts three-day rollingaverage over lastmonth Categorizationbasedon assessmentofindicators andtrends. Fullinformationavailable in MS Excel.SERVICE

PARTA

COVID - 19 ResponseFOUO

3Analytics Task Force 3

D SEC

Page 4: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

County Summary

Locations with

increasing casesStable locations

Locations with

decreasing casesLocations to watch

Locations with at least 100 total cases andsustained decreasing case trajectories . The list is

sorted by number of days in decline .

Locationswith > 10 % week - to -week increasein

cases, > = 200 new cases, < 100 and > = 30

new cases per 100k in thepastweek. Top 10

bylargestweek- to -week increase.

Daily

County In

New NewDays

cases cases per

last 100k lastdecline

week

2.797921

Dailycase

trend

Dailycase

trend

488 11 +133. 3% I

20

New New

Countycases casesperlast7100k last7

days daysOnondaga

217 47County, NY

Kent550 84

County , MI

Tarrant705 34

County, TX

Polk369

County, IA

Erie County,912

8. 237843 + 130. 1%

PlacerCounty, CA

LafayetteParish, LA

St. CharlesParish, LA

St. BernardParish , LA

PlaqueminesParish, LA

77.53551+92.6 %

Locationswith > 10 % week-to -week increase in Locationswith 10 week -to -week changein

cases, > = 200 new cases, and > = 100new cases, > = 200 new cases, and > = 50 new

cases per 100k in thepastweek . Top 10 by casesper 100k in the pastweek. 10 locationslargestweek-to- week increase . closest to zero percentweek -to -week change.

New New New NewDaily

casescasesper cases casesper

County A % case County caselast 7 100k last last 7 last

trend trenddays 7 days days 7 days

Bledsoe Shelby578 3, 917 19166. 7 % 52 - 3. 9 %County, County,

Logan County, Lancaster237 1 , 101 + 2 ,533. 3 %

397 73 -2.7%County , PA

Woodbury Yakima440 + 1 , 704. 0 % 229 - 1. 3 %

County, IA County, WA

Cass County, LucasCounty,938 2,471 +1,489.8 % -0. 6%OH

Dakota Middlesex

306 1,524 + 1, 033. 3 % 2,421 +2. 6%County, NE County, NJ

Dawson Montgomery330 1, 392 +870.6 % 777 +2.9 %

County, NE County , PA

Nobles HallCounty ,

1, 473 + 325 . 0 % 396 196 +3. 4%County , MN GA

Seward Philadelphia270 1, 240 + 269. 9% 2,323 + 4. 3%

County, KSCounty, PA

Putnam Lake County,326 330 + 236. 1% 404 83 + . 7%IN

County, NY

BristolSomerset 7161,289 +5. 4%229 216+234. 8 % County, NJCounty,MA

A % : percentchangein new casesin last 7 days compared to the previous7 days

Daily casetrend depictsthree-day rollingaverageoverlastmonth

76 + 92 .2 %307 26 55.64949IN

99 + 88 . 0 %17. 08672 NY

330 53 +87. 5 %Honolulu

County, HI11 1. 122357

313 38 +76. 8 %

323 343 79. 02297

Utah

County, UTHamilton

County , OH

County , IL

Howard

County ,MD

AlbanyCounty , NY

867 93 +61. 2 %

JeffersonParish, LA

MonroeCounty, PA

Caddo ParishLA

147 113 66 .66391

240 74 +57. 9%

194 79. 86103 22292 95 +55. 3%

Miami-Dade

County , FL1913 69. 27191

Categorizationbasedon assessmentofindicators andtrends. Fullinformationavailable in MS Excel.

PARTA

ECURICOVID - 19 Response

FOUOAnalytics Task Force

Page 5: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

CBSA Summary

Locations with

increasing casesStable locations

Locations with

decreasing casesLocations to watch

Locations with at least 100 total cases andsustained decreasing case trajectories . The list is

sorted by number of days in decline .

Locationswith > 10 % week - to -week increasein

cases, > = 200 new cases, < 100 and > = 30

new cases per 100k in thepastweek. Top 10

bylargestweek- to -week increase.

Locationswith > 10 % week-to -week increase incases, > = 200 new cases, and > = 100newcasesper 100k in the pastweek. Top 10 bylargestweek-to-week increase.

New NewDaily

cases cases perCounty case

last7 100klasttrend

7 days

Sterling, 237 1 101 +2,533. 3%

Locationswith 10 week -to -week change incases, > = 200 new cases, and > = 50 new

casesper 100k in the pastweek. 10 locationsclosest to zero percentweek -to -week change.

New NewDaily

Countycases cases per

caselast last

trenddays days

Lancaster, PA 397 -2.7%

County

New NewDays

cases cases perIn

last 7 lastdecline

days days

5 1.070714 27

Daily

case

trend

New New

County casescases perllast last

days 7 days

Syracuse, NY 248 38

Daily

casetrend

73 Springfield, MO + 129.6 %

Logansport, 938 2,471 1,489. 8 % 229 Lafayette, LA91Yakima, WA -1.3% 119 7924.31728 + 123. 2 %DesMoines, IA 549

Sioux City, IA

GrandRapids,

MI652

764 Boise City , ID+ 115. 2 %

531 1,314. 8% 82 11.22633Toledo , OH 373 58 +1.9%

Amarillo, TX + 106 . 6 %951. 12235711332Lexington, NE 1, 292 + 751. 3 % Gainesville , GA 396 196

UrbanHonolulu , HI

New Orleans,LA

+ 3.4%

+ . 5%Durham , NC +92. %

Worthington,MN

323845

+325.0 % 66.514541, 473 Bridgeport, CT 2,443 259

Buffalo, NY 1,035 +87 .8 %

270 1 ,240

East

Stroudsburg, PALiberal, KS + . 9 %113 66. 66391

Denver, 276 78 Provo , UT 333 +87. 1 %+6.4%

+8.6%Shreveport, LA 264 66 . 40791 22

Waterloo, IA 606 357 + 169. 3 %Baltimore ,MD 2, 008 72 Albany, NY 646 + . 9%

Miami, FL 3132 50 . 52605

Green Bay , WI 573 178 + 167. 8 % Los Angeles, CA 7 ,051 53 +47 . 2 %

Charlotte , NC 268 10. 33118Atlantic City ,

NJ339

+41. 5 %Mobile , AL 273+ 137. 1%

63128

Allentown, PANJ

973 115.433 21PineBluff, AR 532 594 + 136. %

A % : percentchange in new cases in last 7 days comparedto the previous 7 daysDaily casetrend depicts three-day rollingaverage over lastmonth

Categorizationbasedon assessmentofindicators andtrends. Fullinformationavailable in MS Excel.

PARTAHUMAN

HO 5

OMELACOVID - 19 Response

FOUOAnalytics Task Force

D SEC

Page 6: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

Weekly Change in New Cases by CountyDate: 4 / 28/ 2020Source: USAFacts , JHU CSSE

ServiceLayerCredits: Esri, HEREGarmin, (c ) OpenStreetMapcontributorsand the GIS usercommunityChange in Weekly CasesbyCounty from

14APR-20APR2020to 21APR 27APR2020

Date : 4 /28/2020

Source: USAFacts, JHU CSSE

Service Layer Credits

Garmin, (c ) OpenStreetMap contributorsand the GIS usercommunityChangein Weekly Casesper 100K by County from

14APR-20APR2020to 21APR 27APR2020ancouver

Winnipeg Winnipeg

Quebec Quebec

ND

MN Ottawa MN Ottawa

Toronto Toronto

NJ

NE

OHSan MD

CO COT

��CA KY

-

NM Sc

Tijuana

Tucson Tucson

ChangeinWeeklyCases

per100K

Change in

Weekly Cases

1, 000 + Fewer

TX

1, 000 + Fewer

San Antonio San AntonioGU 100+ Fewerahua

GUSahua

100+ Fewer

10+ Fewer 10 + Fewer

SimilarCases Similar CasesM

10 + More 10 + More

PR terreyGulf

Mexico100+ More 100 + More

1,000 + More 1,000 + MoreHavana Havana

SERVICESME

RITYCOVID - 19 Response & Analytics Task Force

Use Only6

SECUR

Page 7: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

Weekly Change in New Deaths by CountyDate: 4 / 28/ 2020Source: USAFacts , JHU CSSE

Change in Weekly Deaths by County from14APR - 20APR2020 to 21APR 27APR2020

ServiceLayerCredits: Esri, HEREGarmin, (c ) OpenStreetMapcontributorsand the GIS usercommunity

Date: 4 /28/2020

Source: USAFacts, JHU CSSEChange in Weekly Deaths per 100K by County from

14APR- 20APR2020to 21 27APR2020

Service Layer Credits

Garmin, (c ) OpenStreetMap contributorsand the GIS usercommunity

ancouver

Winnipeg Winnipeg

Quebec Quebec

MN Ottawa MN Ottawa

�� TorontoMA

Toronto

PA

San MD San MD

VA

Angeles

PhoenixNM SC NM SC

Tijuana ChangeinWeeklyDeaths

per 100KChangein

WeeklyDeathsTucson TucsonDallas

1,000+ Fewer 1,000+ Fewer

TX 100 + Fewer TX 100 + Fewer

10 + Fewer 10+ Fewer

San Antonio GUSGUahua 1+ Fewer pan Antonio

ahua

No Change

1+ Fewer

No Change

1+ More1 + More

10+ More 10 + More

Gulf terreyPR100 + More 100+ More

1,000 + More 1,000+ MoreHavana Havana

SERVICESME

RITYCOVID - 19 Response & Analytics Task Force

Use OnlySECUR

Page 8: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

Date: 4 / 28/2020

Source: USAFacts, JHU CSSE

ServiceLayerCredits HEREGarmin, (c ) OpenStreetMapcontributorsand the GIS user communityCases by County in the

Week 21APR2020- 27APR2020

Date: 4/28/ 2020Source: USAFacts, JHU CSSECalgary

Service Layer Credits: Esri, HERE

Garmin, ) OpenStreetMap contributors,

and the GIS user communityCases per 100K by County in the

Week 21APR2020- 27APR2020Calgary

Vancouver

Winnipeg Winnipeg

Quebec Quebec

Ottawa Ottawa

NH

TorontoNY MA Toronto

MI

WY

C

OHSan OHSanMD MDIN

��

CA CA

Angeles

PhoenixNM SC

PhoenixNM

Tijuana TijuanaT

GA

MS Dallas MSDallas

CasesLA Casesper

100KFL

San AntonioGUS GUS

San Houstoahua

10 0. 1

10100 999

1, 000 - 4 , 999 100 - 499terrey terrey

Mexico5 ,000 - 9, 999 Gulf of

Mexico500 - 999

1,000 +10 , 000 +Havana Havana

NEW CASES IN THE LAST 7 DAYS

Total cases: 975 ,739 • Total cases (per 100K ) : 149. 1

Total new cases : 204 ,417 • Totalnew cases ( per 100K ): 31. 2Percent increase over previousweek : 26 .5 %

SERVICESPART

COVID - 19 Response & Analytics Task ForceUse Only

8

SECUR

Page 9: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

Date: 4 / 28/2020

Source: USAFacts, JHU CSSE

ServiceLayerCredits HEREGarmin, (c ) OpenStreetMapcontributorsand the GIS user communityDeathsby Countyin the

Week 21APR2020- 27APR2020

Date: 4/28/ 2020Source: USAFacts, JHU CSSECalgary

Service Layer Credits: Esri, HERE

Garmin, ) OpenStreetMap contributors,

and the GIS user communityDeaths per 100K by County in theWeek 21APR2020-27APR2020

Calgaryancouver ancouver

Winnipeg WinnipegWA

Quebec

ME

MN Ottawa Ottawa

Toronto Toronto

CTM

San SanFMD

CO CO

�� ��

Angeles

PhoenixNM

PhoenixNM

Tijuana

Tucson Tucson

Deathsper

100KDeaths

GUSan AntonioGUS 1 9San Antonio

ahua

10

0.1

510 49

50 - 99100 - 499

500 - 999

terrey terrey

Mexico1, 000 4, 999 Gulf of

Mexico100 - 499

5 ,000 + 500 +Havana Havana

NEW DEATHS IN THE LAST 7 DAYS

Total deaths: 49, 712 Total deaths (per 100K): 7 .6

Totalnew deaths: 12,653 • Total new deaths (per 100K ) 1. 9Percent increase over previous week : 34 . 1 %

SERVICES

COVID - 19 Response & Analytics Task ForceUse OnlyD

Page 10: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

Date: 4 28/2020

Source: USAFactsDoubling Time - Counties With atLeast 10 Cases

27APR2020

ServiceLayer Credits EsriHERE,Garmin, ( ) OpenStreetMapcontributors

and the GIS usercommunity

Winnipeg

WA

Quebec

ND ME

MN Ottawa

NH

SD Toronto

WY

SaltNE

OH MD

WVCOT

KS

AZ

Phoenix SC

Tijuana

CALTucson MS GA

Dallas Doubling

Time (Days)

1

Hermosillo4

Houston FLSan Antonio 7 9

Chihuahua10 - 12

13 - 15

16 - 18

Torreón Monterrey 19HI can

Gulf

Mexico 22

MÉXICO Havana

SERVICEVICES.PART

COVID - 19 Response & Analytics Task ForceUse Only

10SE

Page 11: (Daily) · Analytics Task Force 33 D SEC. County Summary Locationswith increasing cases Stable locations Locationswith decreasing cases Locations to watch ... PR Gulf terrey Mexico

Logansport , IN (CBSA ) Sioux City (CBSA )Counties : Cass, IN

Logansport, IN (CBSA ) with Doubling Times

Counties : Woodbury , IA ; Dakota , NE; Dixon , NE;Union, SD

Sioux City , IA -NE- SD (CBSA) with Doubling Times

1,000

TotalConfirmedCases

Shelter-in-PlaceOrder

Total

ConfirmedDeaths Total

ConfirmedCases

-------------------------

Total

ConfirmedDeaths

Mar23 Mar 30 Apr 06 Apr 13 Apr 20 Apr27Apr 19 Apr 21 Apr 23 Apr 25 Apr 27

DateDate

TotalCases

Total Deaths

days since total case rate has doubled

days since totaldeath rate has doubledTotalCases days sincetotal case ratehasdoubled

days since total death rate has doubledTotalDeaths

SERVICES

COVID - 19 ResponseFOUO

& Analytics Task Force 11SEC