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OSODaily 17 Februari 2020
ODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45)
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX
5.866,95 (5,01)
-0,09%
Previous 5.871,95 Lowest
5.843,43 Highest 5.890,03 Val IDR bn
6.182
Volbn 5.436 Mkt Cap IDRtr
6.781,83 Net Forg 1DIDRbn (358,85) Net ForgYTDIDRbn
887,72
Return YTD (%) (6,87) Month to date (%)
(1,23)
Indices
Last Chg% YTD% Americas
Dow Jones United States 29.398,08 (0,09) 13,58 S&P 500 United States 3.380,16 0,18 21,78 Nasdaq United States 9.731,18 0,20 30,23 EIDO United States 24,09 (0,08) (7,27) EMEA
FTSE 100 United Kingdom 7.409,13 (0,58) 2,38
CAC 40 France 6.069,35 (0,39) 17,78 D DAX Germany 13.744,21 (0,01) 21,63
Asia Pacific
Nikkei Japan 23.827,73 (0,59) 12,05 Shanghai China 2.906,07 0,38 7,25 TWSE Taiwan 11.791,78 0,20 17,11 KOSPI Korea 2.232,96 0,48 0,80 KLSE Malaysia 1.539,16 0,34 (8,56) ST – Times Singapore 3.220,09 (0,00) (1,02) Sensex India 41.459,79 (0,49) 15,00 Hangseng Hongkong 27.730,00 0,31 (2,17)
Sectoral Previous Last Chg% YTD% AGRICULTURE 1.291,10 1.294,13 0,23 (15,11) MINING 1.413,96 1.409,86 (0,29) (8,96) MISC INDUSTRY 1.058,18 1.076,19 1,70 (12,07) BASIC INDUSTRY 847,60 856,34 1,03 (12,45) CONSUMER GOODS 1.901,79 1.907,57 0,30 (7,07) PROPERTY 446,38 446,98 0,13 (11,29) INFRASTRUKTUR 1.028,59 1.011,89 (1,62) (11,05) FINANCE 1.346,72 1.339,24 (0,56) (1,14) MANUFAKTURE 1.309,78 1.319,65 0,75 (9,66) TRADE 699,43 704,41 0,71 (8,50) LQ 45 954,21 953,95 (0,03) (5,97)
Commodities Previous Lastest Chg% YTD%
Oil (USD/bbl) 51,42 52,05 1,23 (14,99) Gold (USD tr.oz) 1.576,00 1.584,06 0,51 4,25 Nickel (USD/mtrc ton) 13.285,00 13.015,00 (2,03) (7,20) Tin (USD/mtrc ton) 16.590,00 16.525,00 (0,39) (3,78) Copper (USD/mtrc ton) 5.790,00 5.760,00 (0,52) (6,71) CPO (MYR/ton) 2.658,00 2.700,00 1,58 (11,21) Coal (USD/ton) 70,00 70,00 - 3,32
Currencies
Last Chg% YTD% IDR / USD
13.693,00 (0,14) 1,26
IDR / AUD
9.202,97 0,17 5,59 IDR / EUR
14.837,36 0,61 4,83
IDR /SGD
9.850,84 0,14 4,65 IDR / JPY
124,74 (0,51) 2,39
IDR / GBP
17.844,77 (0,68) 2,12 Global Macro Economics CB Rate CPI YoY GDP YoY United States 1,75 2,50 2,30 Euro Area 0,00 1,40 0,90 United Kingdom 0,75 1,30 1,10 Japan 0,10 0,80 1,70 China 4,35 5,40 6,00 Domestic macro Economics Lastest Chg% YTD% Jibor 5,00 (15,02) 28,20 GovBonds (5y) 5,83 (0,03) (9,45) GovBonds (10y) 6,58 0,11 (6,81)
Inflasi YoY 2,68
Inflasi MoM 0,39 Bi rate 5,00 GDP Growth YoY (%) 4,97
Foreign Reserve (Bn) 131,70 Government Bonds Yield% Wow% Ytd% 7 Year 6,58 6,41 6,41 15 Year 7,07 7,07 7,07 20 Year 7,29 7,29 7,29 30 Year 7,52 7,52 7,52
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
Market Review Pada perdagangan akhir pekan kemarin (14/02) IHSG ditutup melemah tipis 0.09% ke level 5.866.95. Tiga dari sepuluh indeks sektoral ditutup dalam zona merah, dimana sektor infrastruktur dan keuangan memimpin pelemahan masing-masing sebesar 1.62% dan 0.56%. Adapun saham yang menjadi pemberat indeks diantaranya ; BBCA, TLKM. BBRI, BRPT, FREN. Pelaku pasar asing membukukan aksi jual bersih (Netsell) senilai Rp 358 miliar. Nilai tukar rupiah terdepresiasi sebesar 0.14% ke level 13.693. Global Review Pada perdagangan Jum'at (14/02) bursa saham Wall Street ditutup mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat, dimana S&P 500 dan Nasdaq naik sebesar 0.18% dan 0.20% sedangkan Dow Jones melemah 0.09%. Penguatan yang terjadi pada dua indeks utama Wall Street terjadi setelah adanya laporan dari Gedung Putih terkait insentif pajak untuk membeli saham di Amerika, dimana laporan tersebut menyebut pemerintah AS akan memperkenalkan insentif pajak bagi orang-orang yang berpenghasilan kurang dari US$ 200.000 hingga US$ 10.000 untuk berinvestasi di pasar saham AS. JCI Prediction IHSG ditutup turun sebesar 0.09% ke level 5.871. IHSG ditutup bullish candle. Adapun indikator Stochastic bearish dan MACD histogram bergerak negatif dengan Volume meningkat. Kami perkirakan IHSG berpeluang menguat dengan pergerakan di kisaran 5.843 – 5.929. Major Economic Release
Retail Sales United States bulan Januari
tercatat tunbuh 0.3% lebih tinggi dari
sebelumnya sebesar 0,2% (MoM).
Import Prices United States bulan Januari
tercatat tunbuh 0.3% lebih rendah dari
sebelumnya sebesar 0,5% (YoY).
Export Prices United States bulan Januari
tercatat tunbuh 0.5% lebih tinggi dari
sebelumnya turun sebesar 0,9% (YoY).
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OSODaily 17 Februari 2020
TODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45)
Top Gainers Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
CPIN IJ Equity
6.475 5,28 (0,38) 106,18 1,51
INTP IJ Equity
16.400 4,29 (13,80) 60,37 1,87
JPFA IJ Equity
1.495 4,18 (2,61) 17,53 1,13
UNTR IJ Equity
18.325 3,97 (14,87) 68,35 0,94
SRIL IJ Equity
216 2,86 (16,92) 4,42 0,71
Top Losers Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
EXCL IJ Equity
2.620 (3,32) (16,83) 28,00 1,35
BSDE IJ Equity
1.065 (3,18) (15,14) 20,50 1,70
ERAA IJ Equity
1.760 (2,49) (1,95) 5,61 1,31
TLKM IJ Equity
3.640 (2,41) (8,31) 360,59 0,80
ADRO IJ Equity
1.320 (2,22) (15,11) 42,22 1,48
Top Volume Last Volume (Mn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBRI IJ Equity
4.550 127,0 3,4 561,22 1,57
TLKM IJ Equity
3.640 108,8 (8,3) 360,59 0,80
ASII IJ Equity
6.100 60,9 (11,9) 246,95 1,33
PGAS IJ Equity
1.520 47,5 (30,0) 36,85 1,63
BRPT IJ Equity
1.200 45,5 (20,5) 106,82 1,26
Top Value Last Value (Bn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBRI IJ Equity
4.550 362,7 3,4 561,22 1,57
BMRI IJ Equity
7.825 343,9 2,0 365,17 1,57
BBCA IJ Equity
33.400 332,2 (0,1) 823,48 1,03
TLKM IJ Equity
3.640 242,8 (8,3) 360,59 0,80
ASII IJ Equity
6.100 201,4 (11,9) 246,95 1,33
Top Gainers Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BENCHMARK INDICES COMPARISON Indices Country Latest P/E PBV Target 2020F Asia Pacific
IHSG
Indonesia 5.867 18,18 1,93 7.128
Nikkei
Japanese 23.688 20,52 1,77 25.573
Shanghai
China 2.917 13,97 1,42 3.286
TWSE
Taiwan 11.816 18,75 1,76 12.799
KOSPI
Korea 2.244 19,85 0,88 2.703
KLSE
Malaysia 1.544 17,76 1,55 1.716
ST - Times
Singapore 3.220 12,08 1,09 3.518
Sensex
India 41.258 25,14 3,25 46.892
Hangseng
Hongkong 27.816 10,87 1,21 32.305
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX MOVERS
Movers
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
ASII IJ Equity
6100 2,52 (11,91) 247 1,33
CPIN IJ Equity
6475 5,28 (0,38) 106 1,51
UNVR IJ Equity
7475 1,01 (11,01) 285 1,05
UNTR IJ Equity
18325 3,97 (14,87) 68 0,94
INTP IJ Equity
16400 4,29 (13,80) 60 1,87
Laggard
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBCA IJ Equity
33400 (1,62) (0,07) 823 1,03
TLKM IJ Equity
3640 (2,41) (8,31) 361 0,80
BBRI IJ Equity
4550 (0,44) 3,41 561 1,57
BRPT IJ Equity
1200 (2,04) (20,53) 107 1,26
FREN IJ Equity
106 (5,36) (23,19) 23 1,38
Movers
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
OSO MANAJEMEN INVESTASI
Mutual Fund Latest 1 Month (%) YTD% Oso Sustainability Fund
1.299,99 (6,75) (5,89)
Oso Syariah Equity Fund
474,95 (10,39) (16,04)
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
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COMPARATION OF JCI PERFORMANCE (SEAG)
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MACRO ECONOMIC & INDUSTRY NEWS
Pemerintah melalui Kementerian Keuangan melakukan penandatanganan enam perjanjian pinjaman luar negeri sepanjang Januari 2020. Pinjaman luar negeri tersebut terdiri dari empat pinjaman multilateral dan dua pinjaman bilateral dengan total senilai US$ 834,32 juta.
Efek wabah virus corona ke ekonomi China sepertinya memang berat. Bank Sentral China bahkan menyatakan akan mentolerir tingkat kredit macet yang lebih tinggi, sebagai bagian dari upaya untuk mendukung perusahaan yang terkena dampak epidemi virus corona.
Direktorat Jenderal (Ditjen) Bea Cukai Kementerian Keuangan (Kemenkeu) melaporkan penerimaan bea dan cukai hingga Januari mencapai Rp 9,79 triliun. Jumlah ini tumbuh 85,8% dibanding realisasi pada periode sama tahun lalu yang hanya Rp 4,52 triliun. Pencapaian ini didorong oleh kenaikan tarif cukai hasil tembakau (CHT) atau cukai rokok yang telah ditetapkan akhir tahun lalu.
CORPORATES NEWS
Grup Djarum, melalui PT Sapta Adhikari Investama (SAI), terus menambah porsi kepemilikan di PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk (TOWR). Sepanjang tahun ini, Grup Djarum telah membeli sekitar 229,65 juta saham TOWR.
PT Indosat Tbk (ISAT) mengumumkan rencana penawaran pemutusan hubungan kerja (PHK) kepada sebanyak 677 karyawan. Dari 677 karyawan yang terdampak, lebih dari 80% telah setuju atau sekitar 541 orang menerima paket kompensasi.
Tahun 2019 sepertinya tahun yang berat buat industri perbankan, kinerja Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN). Tahun lalu BBTN mencatatkan laba sebesar Rp 209 miliar. Angka tersebut terjun bebas 92,55% jika dibandingkan setahun sebelumnya yang tercatat Rp 2,81 triliun.
Penjualan emas PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) terus melejit di tengah kenaikan harga. Penjualan emas (unaudited) Antam mencapai 34 ton, naik 22% secara tahunan. Ini adalah penjualan emas tahunan tertinggi ANTM. Sedangkan produksi logam emas Antam mencapai 1,96 ton emas.
PT Indonesia Kendaraan Terminal Tbk (IPCC) tengah menjajaki kemungkinan menjalin kerjasama dengan pabrikan kendaraan asal Korea Selatan, Hyundai Motor Company. Penjajakan kerjasama dalam pengiriman kendaraan yang diproduksi Hyundai untuk ekspor. Hal ini merupakan langkah positif bagi IPCC dalam menambah pangsa pasar dari para automaker.
PT MNC Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP) mengumumkan realisasi penambahan modal tanpa hak memesan efek terlebih dahulu (HMETD) atau private placement sebesar Rp 119,63 miliar.
PT Surya Esa Perkasa Tbk (ESSA) berniat menerbitkan surat utang dengan nilai US$ 450 juta. ESSA akan merilis surat utang ini lewat anak usahanya, PT Panca Amara Utama atau anak usahanya. Sumber: Kontan, Bisnis Indonesia, Iqplus
NOTE: Positive Sentiment Negative Sentiment Netral
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Ke Arah Positif Stochastic : Bullish Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : Trading Buy Entry Buy : 1.620 – 1.645 Target Price : 1.680 – 1.720 Support : 1.610 – 1.620 Cutloss : 1.605
DAILY TECHNICAL
Aces : Penambahan Gerai Ace Hardware Tak Lagi Terpusat Di Jakarta PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. (Aces) Menargetkan Penambahan 15 Gerai Dengan Proporsi Yang Hampir Sama Antara Gerai Tunggal Dan Menyatu Dengan Pusat Perbelanjaan Pada 2020. Corporate Secretary Pt Ace Hardware Indonesia, Helen Tanzil Menerangkan, Penambahan Gerai Emiten Peritel Berkode Saham Aces Tersebut Tidak Akan Terlalu Banyak Terpusat Di Jakarta.
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 1.680. Apabila break 1.680 next harga ke level 1.720. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 1.605 jika sudah melewati support 1.610 – 1.620.
ACES l PE : 27,7 l PBV : 6,17 l ROE : 23,99 l NPM : 13,32 l DER : 2,72 l Fair Value : 1.650
Souce: OSO Research Team
BUY
NOTE:
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Downtrend MACD line/histogram : Positif Stochastic : Bullish Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : Buy on weakness Entry Buy : 7.425 – 7.525 Target Price : 7.650 – 7.700 Support : 7.400 – 7.425 Cutloss : 7.375
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY BBNI l PE : 9 l PBV : 1,13 l ROE : 13,34 l NPM : 30,98 l DER : 59,54 l Fair Value : 8.800
BBNI : Kementerian-BNI Salurkan Kur Rp 4,1 Miliar Untuk Petani Karanganyar Kementerian Pertanian bersama BNI menyalurkan pembiayaan kredit usaha rakyat (KUR) sebesar Rp4,1 miliar kepada 471 petani di Kabupaten Karanganyar, Jawa Tengah. Direktur Pembiayaan Pertanian Ditjen PSP Kementerian Pertanian Indah Megahwati menjelaskan pemberian KUR tani ini bertujuan mendorong kemandirian petani sehingga dapat mengembangkan usaha pertanian tanpa agunan dengan bunga yang rendah.
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 7.650. Apabila break 7.650 next harga ke level 7.700. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 7.375 jika sudah melewati support 7.400 – 7.425.
NOTE:
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Downtrend MACD line/histogram : Ke Arah Positif Stochastic : Golden Cross Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : Trading Buy Entry Buy : 1.470 – 1.495 Target Price : 1.525 – 1.535 Support : 1.465 – 1.470 Cutloss : 1.460
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY JPFA l PE : 10,9 l PBV : 1,67 l ROE : 16,10 l NPM : 6,37 l DER : 59,63 l Fair Value : 2.010
JPFA : Bidik Pertumbuhan Hingga 15 Persen, Ini Strategi Japfa Comfeed PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk. menargetkan pertumbuhan pendapatan pada 2020 dapat mencapai 10%-15% dibandingkan dengan 2019. Pada awal tahun, emiten berkode saham JPFA itu menargetkan pertumbuhan pendapatan sekitar 14%-17% dibandingkan dengan 2018 yang tercatat Rp34,01 triliun. Artinya, perseroan mengincar pendapatan sekitar Rp38,77 triliun sampai dengan Rp39,79 triliun. Adapun sampai dengan kuartal III/2019, emiten perunggasan itu telah merealisasikan pendapatan sebesar Rp27,17 triliun. Jumlah itu setara dengan 70,07% target tahun ini sebesar Rp38,77 triliun atau telah tumbuh 7,26% dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun lalu Rp25,33 triliun.
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 1.485. Apabila break 1.845 next harga ke level 1.875. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 1.750 jika sudah melewati support 1.755 – 1.770.
NOTE:
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Sector Rotation
Mingguan
Bulanan
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OSODaily 17 Februari 2020
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR BASIC INDUSTRY
BRPT IJ Equity 1.200 (2,04) (20,53) 6,54 605,84 15,44 0,21 1,20 98,23 840 -30% Sell
CPIN IJ Equity 6.475 5,28 (0,38) 5,31 29,18 18,11 13,14 19,08 22,95 5.968 -8% Sell
INKP IJ Equity 6.200 1,64 (19,48) 0,62 7,98 2,65 3,57 8,09 113,83 11.300 82% Buy
INTP IJ Equity 16.400 4,29 (13,80) 2,70 35,43 20,37 6,43 7,58 0,50 20.308 24% Buy
JPFA IJ Equity 1.495 4,18 (2,61) 1,74 11,34 4,59 6,39 16,10 59,63 2.048 37% Buy
SMGR IJ Equity 11.375 1,79 (5,21) 2,16 29,52 8,66 3,48 7,46 30,13 15.018 32% Buy
TKIM IJ Equity 7.450 (0,67) (27,49) 1,23 11,25 13,24 5,01 11,50 120,71 13.000 74% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2,90 104,36 11,87 5,46 10,14 63,71
Total of Industry Average 1,47 34,50 8,60 1,55 (11,83) 101,15
SECTOR CONSUMER GOODS
ACES IJ Equity 1.645 2,17 10,03 6,30 28,29 20,48 19,19 23,99 2,72 1.651 0% Hold
GGRM IJ Equity 54.575 (1,13) 2,97 2,22 11,32 6,81 13,37 20,54 38,38 59.085 8% Buy
HMSP IJ Equity 1.970 (0,51) (6,19) 7,18 16,34 12,38 28,65 44,36 0,33 2.189 11% Buy
ICBP IJ Equity 10.775 (0,23) (3,36) 5,25 25,23 14,74 13,90 22,21 9,06 12.487 16% Buy
INDF IJ Equity 7.150 2,14 (9,78) 1,73 12,87 5,02 5,05 14,20 59,18 9.322 30% Buy
KLBF IJ Equity 1.390 1,46 (14,20) 4,25 25,37 16,70 13,84 17,56 2,34 1.701 22% Buy
UNVR IJ Equity 7.475 1,01 (11,01) 53,99 38,58 25,34 36,08 116,74 75,07 8.718 17% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 12,44 21,62 13,50 18,48 39,27 30,73
Total of Industry Average 4,22 29,86 11,18 9,24 5,08 55,60
SECTOR INFRASTRUCTURE
EXCL IJ Equity 2.620 (3,32) (16,83) 1,46 130,48 2,64 1,18 3,80 140,83 3.890 48% Buy
JSMR IJ Equity 4.900 0,82 (5,31) 1,96 18,39 5,47 2,28 11,28 157,26 6.481 32% Buy
PGAS IJ Equity 1.520 1,00 (29,95) 1,03 12,44 2,16 3,09 7,33 109,43 2.157 42% Buy
TBIG IJ Equity 1.225 (0,41) (0,41) 7,46 38,74 6,49 2,29 19,49 532,56 1.337 9% Buy
TLKM IJ Equity 3.640 (2,41) (8,31) 3,62 17,80 5,49 9,65 21,31 37,58 4.769 31% Buy
TOWR IJ Equity 885 (0,56) 9,94 5,27 21,68 9,02 8,55 25,79 142,95 944 7% Hold
Industry Average in LQ45 3,47 39,92 5,21 4,51 14,83 186,77
Total of Industry Average 2,16 27,51 9,71 (2,80) (2,06) 131,82
Source: Bloomber LP
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OSODaily 17 Februari 2020
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR MINING
ADRO IJ Equity 1.320 (2,22) (15,11) 0,80 6,02 2,72 7,10 13,60 32,95 1.512 15% Buy
AKRA IJ Equity 3.040 (0,33) (23,04) 1,49 16,89 9,31 4,57 11,23 42,61 4.321 42% Buy
ANTM IJ Equity 675 (0,74) (19,64) 0,81 20,17 7,06 2,46 4,12 50,26 1.088 61% Buy
INCO IJ Equity 3.130 (1,57) (14,01) 1,20 393,42 18,29 0,25 0,29 1,94 3.869 24% Buy
ITMG IJ Equity 10.050 (0,99) (12,42) 0,88 4,91 2,70 11,77 17,06 - 13.202 31% Buy
PTBA IJ Equity 2.330 2,19 (12,41) 1,51 5,92 4,18 17,59 26,36 5,12 2.861 23% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1,11 74,56 7,38 7,29 12,11 22,15
Total of Industry Average 1,51 35,48 7,92 0,71 (1,86) 95,02
SECTOR MISC INDUSTRY
ASII IJ Equity 6.100 2,52 (11,91) 1,73 12,06 6,34 5,92 14,87 49,27 7.866 29% Buy
SRIL IJ Equity 216 2,86 (16,92) 0,55 3,69 1,46 6,22 15,93 139,64 Neutral #VALUE! #VALUE!
Industry Average in LQ45 1,14 7,87 3,90 6,07 15,40 94,46
Total of Industry Average 2,10 42,21 5,94 2,49 19,48 94,41
SECTOR PROPERTY
BSDE IJ Equity 1.065 (3,18) (15,14) 0,71 6,73 7,18 5,69 11,03 46,06 1.616 52% Buy
CTRA IJ Equity 880 (0,56) (15,38) 1,11 16,14 6,89 2,94 7,16 50,80 1.327 51% Buy
PTPP IJ Equity 1.360 0,74 (14,20) 0,65 7,21 3,05 2,27 9,37 74,03 2.000 47% Buy
PWON IJ Equity 555 2,78 (2,63) 1,85 9,18 7,56 11,59 22,21 36,44 678 22% Buy
WIKA IJ Equity 1.945 - (2,26) 1,10 7,84 4,14 3,72 15,29 78,93 2.607 34% Buy
WSKT IJ Equity 1.095 (0,45) (26,26) 0,82 10,72 2,94 1,04 7,79 224,10 1.723 57% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1,04 9,64 5,30 4,54 12,14 85,06
Total of Industry Average 2,65 12,70 10,35 3,56 7,35 45,96
Source: Bloomber LP
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR TRADE
ERAA IJ Equity 1.760 (2,49) (1,95) 1,20 15,79 5,94 3,42 8,28 88,81 2.060 17% Buy
LPPF IJ Equity 3.280 2,82 (22,09) 5,13 11,80 5,96 16,19 37,82 - 3.755 14% Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1.505 1,01 (7,67) 1,69 8,45 5,12 13,22 21,24 42,22 1.888 25% Buy
SCMA IJ Equity 1.370 1,86 (2,84) 3,87 16,40 11,14 19,59 26,60 0,33 1.765 29% Buy
UNTR IJ Equity 18.325 3,97 (14,87) 1,22 6,39 2,67 9,42 19,84 17,95 24.932 36% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2,62 11,77 6,16 12,37 22,76 29,86
Total of Industry Average 2,16 26,50 63,67 0,44 0,36 65,74
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) LDR (%) NPL NIM (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR FINANCE
BBCA IJ Equity 33.400 (1,62) (0,07) 4,91 29,13 88,15 1,40 6,51 6,30 33.362 0% Sell
BBRI IJ Equity 4.550 (0,44) 3,41 2,70 16,19 89,64 2,62 6,78 66,52 4.756 5% Hold
BBNI IJ Equity 7.525 1,69 (4,14) 1,15 9,12 93,76 2,30 5,03 59,54 8.899 18% Buy
BBTN IJ Equity 1.765 0,86 (16,75) 0,77 13,64 103,45 2,82 3,54 188,00 2.234 27% Buy
BMRI IJ Equity 7.825 (0,32) 1,95 1,78 13,29 100,37 2,33 5,30 50,07 8.710 11% Buy
BTPS IJ Equity 4.390 (1,35) 3,29 8,46 33,77 454,49 1,39 38,72 149,94 4.439 1% Hold
Industry Average in LQ45 2,26 16,27 95,07 2,29 5,43 74,09
Total of Industry Average 43,55 30,91 110,34 3,14 7,33 84,00
Source: Bloomber LP
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend
Bollinger Band
Pivot Point
Support Resistance Stop Loss
Level Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
ACES IJ Equity 1.645 10,0 Positif Trading Negatif 1.555 1.620 1.690 1.625 1.595 1.560 1.660 1.690 1.535 Hold
ADRO IJ Equity 1.320 (15,1) Negatif Trading Positif 1.205 1.330 1.455 1.335 1.310 1.285 1.360 1.385 1.265 Hold
AKRA IJ Equity 3.040 (23,0) Positif Oversold Negatif 3.090 3.320 3.550 3.015 2.980 2.905 3.090 3.125 2.860 Speculative Buy
ANTM IJ Equity 675 (19,6) Positif Oversold Negatif 675 745 820 680 665 655 690 705 645 Speculative Buy
ASII IJ Equity 6.100 (11,9) Positif Oversold Negatif 5.850 6.575 7.325 6.025 5.950 5.850 6.125 6.200 5.750 Speculative Buy
BBCA IJ Equity 33.400 (0,1) Negatif Trading Positif 32.625 33.775 34.900 33.675 33.350 33.075 33.950 34.275 32.575 Hold
BBNI IJ Equity 7.525 (4,1) Negatif Trading Positif 7.075 7.425 7.775 7.450 7.325 7.175 7.600 7.725 7.075 Hold
BBRI IJ Equity 4.550 3,4 Positif Trading Negatif 4.430 4.595 4.760 4.550 4.510 4.490 4.570 4.610 4.425 Hold
BBTN IJ Equity 1.765 (16,7) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.685 1.925 2.160 1.755 1.740 1.715 1.780 1.795 1.690 Speculative Buy
BMRI IJ Equity 7.825 2,0 Negatif Trading Positif 7.500 7.725 7.925 7.800 7.750 7.700 7.850 7.900 7.575 Hold
BRPT IJ Equity 1.200 (20,5) Positif Trading Negatif 1.200 1.285 1.365 1.215 1.200 1.180 1.235 1.250 1.160 Hold
BSDE IJ Equity 1.065 (15,1) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.070 1.165 1.260 1.090 1.055 1.030 1.115 1.150 1.010 Speculative Buy
BTPS IJ Equity 4.390 3,3 Positif Trading Negatif 4.305 4.645 4.985 4.410 4.355 4.280 4.485 4.540 4.215 Hold
CPIN IJ Equity 6.475 (0,4) Positif Oversold Negatif 5.925 6.700 7.475 6.300 6.075 5.850 6.525 6.750 5.775 Speculative Buy
CTRA IJ Equity 880 (15,4) Positif Oversold Negatif 840 940 1.040 880 875 860 895 900 845 Speculative Buy
ERAA IJ Equity 1.760 (1,9) Negatif OverBought Positif 1.545 1.685 1.825 1.785 1.750 1.715 1.820 1.855 1.690 Sell
EXCL IJ Equity 2.620 (16,8) Positif Oversold Negatif 2.625 3.010 3.395 2.645 2.585 2.495 2.735 2.795 2.455 Speculative Buy
GGRM IJ Equity 54.575 3,0 Positif Trading Negatif 54.575 56.575 58.600 54.850 54.150 53.375 55.625 56.325 52.550 Hold
HMSP IJ Equity 1.970 (6,2) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.945 2.095 2.240 1.980 1.965 1.945 2.000 2.015 1.915 Speculative Buy
ICBP IJ Equity 10.775 (3,4) Positif Oversold Negatif 10.975 11.500 12.025 10.800 10.750 10.700 10.850 10.900 10.550 Speculative Buy
INCO IJ Equity 3.130 (14,0) Positif Oversold Negatif 3.120 3.295 3.470 3.160 3.115 3.080 3.195 3.240 3.030 Speculative Buy
INDF IJ Equity 7.150 (9,8) Positif Oversold Negatif 7.150 7.850 8.550 7.100 7.000 6.925 7.175 7.275 6.825 Speculative Buy
INKP IJ Equity 6.200 (19,5) Positif Oversold Negatif 5.800 7.150 8.500 6.125 5.975 5.825 6.275 6.425 5.750 Speculative Buy
source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 17 Februari 2020
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend
Bollinger Band
Pivot Point
Support Resistance Stop Loss
Level Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
INTP IJ Equity 16.400 (13,8) Positif Oversold Negatif 15.700 17.550 19.400 15.950 15.275 14.600 16.625 17.300 14.375 Speculative Buy
ITMG IJ Equity 10.050 (12,4) Positif Oversold Negatif 9.225 10.950 12.700 10.100 10.000 9.950 10.150 10.250 9.800 Speculative Buy
JPFA IJ Equity 1.495 (2,6) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.385 1.525 1.665 1.465 1.430 1.390 1.505 1.540 1.370 Speculative Buy
JSMR IJ Equity 4.900 (5,3) Positif Trading Positif 4.535 4.870 5.200 4.885 4.840 4.805 4.920 4.965 4.735 Speculative Buy
KLBF IJ Equity 1.390 (14,2) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.370 1.505 1.640 1.380 1.360 1.340 1.400 1.420 1.320 Speculative Buy
LPPF IJ Equity 3.280 (22,1) Positif Oversold Negatif 2.705 3.485 4.265 3.240 3.175 3.090 3.325 3.390 3.040 Speculative Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1.505 (7,7) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.470 1.620 1.770 1.495 1.480 1.460 1.515 1.530 1.440 Speculative Buy
PGAS IJ Equity 1.520 (30,0) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.350 1.720 2.085 1.510 1.500 1.485 1.525 1.535 1.465 Speculative Buy
PTBA IJ Equity 2.330 (12,4) Positif Trading Positif 2.080 2.345 2.605 2.305 2.265 2.225 2.345 2.385 2.190 Speculative Buy
PTPP IJ Equity 1.360 (14,2) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.315 1.445 1.580 1.355 1.340 1.325 1.370 1.385 1.305 Speculative Buy
PWON IJ Equity 555 (2,6) Negatif Trading Positif 505 545 590 550 535 525 560 575 515 Hold
SCMA IJ Equity 1.370 (2,8) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.305 1.465 1.625 1.355 1.340 1.315 1.380 1.395 1.295 Speculative Buy
SMGR IJ Equity 11.375 (5,2) Positif Oversold Negatif 11.375 12.375 13.350 11.275 11.050 10.825 11.500 11.725 10.675 Speculative Buy
SRIL IJ Equity 216 (16,9) Positif Oversold Negatif 198 233 268 213 209 205 217 221 201 Speculative Buy
TBIG IJ Equity 1.225 (0,4) Negatif OverBought Positif 1.105 1.185 1.265 1.225 1.220 1.205 1.240 1.245 1.190 Sell
TKIM IJ Equity 7.450 (27,5) Positif Strong Buy Negatif 7.250 9.500 11.725 7.400 7.275 7.075 7.600 7.725 6.975 Buy
TLKM IJ Equity 3.640 (8,3) Positif Oversold Positif 3.715 3.820 3.925 3.675 3.615 3.585 3.705 3.765 3.530 Buy
TOWR IJ Equity 885 9,9 Negatif OverBought Positif 785 845 905 885 875 860 900 910 845 Sell
UNTR IJ Equity 18.325 (14,9) Positif Oversold Negatif 17.150 19.500 21.875 17.875 17.350 16.875 18.350 18.875 16.600 Speculative Buy
UNVR IJ Equity 7.475 (11,0) Positif Oversold Negatif 7.525 8.050 8.600 7.450 7.275 7.125 7.600 7.775 7.025 Speculative Buy
WIKA IJ Equity 1.945 (2,3) Positif Trading Positif 1.870 1.960 2.050 1.935 1.915 1.895 1.955 1.975 1.870 Speculative Buy
WSKT IJ Equity 1.095 (26,3) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.075 1.250 1.420 1.100 1.075 1.050 1.125 1.150 1.035 Speculative Buy
source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 17 Februari 2020
MAJOR ECONOMIC RELEASE CALENDAR
Date Event Country Act Prev Cons
14-Feb-20 Japan, Foreign Bond Investment 08/FEB JPY ¥-150.2B
US Retail Sales MoM JAN USD 0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
US Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM JAN USD 0.3% 0.5% 0.4%
US Import Prices YoY JAN USD 0.5% -0.9%
US Export Prices YoY JAN USD 0.3% -0.2%
US Export Prices MoM JAN USD 0.1% -0.2% 0%
US Import Prices MoM JAN USD 0% 0.3% -0.2%
US Retail Sales YoY JAN USD -0.8% 5.8%
US Industrial Production YoY JAN USD -0.3% -1%
US Industrial Production MoM JAN USD -0.1% -0.3% -0.1%
US Manufacturing Production MoM JAN USD -0,1% 0.2% 0.0%
US Capacity Utilization JAN USD 78.8% 77% 76.8%
US Manufacturing Production YoY JAN USD -0.8% -1.3%
US Business Inventories MoM DEC USD 0.1% -0.2% 0.1%
17-Feb-20 Japan, GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q4 JPY 0.4%
Japan, GDP Growth Annualized Prel Q4 JPY 1.8% 0.9%
Japan, GDP Private Consumption QoQ Prel Q4 JPY 0.5%
Japan, GDP Price Index YoY Prel Q4 JPY 0.6%
China, House Price Index YoY JAN CNY 6.6%
Indonesia, Balance of Trade JAN IDN $-0.03B
Indonesia, Exports YoY JAN IDN 1.28%
Indonesia, Imports YoY JAN IDN -5.62%
18-Feb-20 GB Claimant Count Change JAN GBR 14.9K GB Unemployment Rate DEC GBR 3.8% 3.8%
GB Employment Change NOV GBR 208K
GB Average Earnings excl. Bonus DEC GBR 3.4% 3.4%
GB Average Earnings incl. Bonus DEC GBR 3.2%
GB Labour Productivity QoQ Prel Q4 GBR 0.4%
Indonesia, Property Price Index YoY Q1 IDN 1.90%
US NAHB Housing Market Index FEB USD 75 74
US Overall Net Capital Flows DEC USD $73.1B
US Net Long-Term Tic Flows DEC USD $22.9B
US Foreign Bond Investment DEC USD $-41.5B
Source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 17 Februari 2020
CORPORATE ACTION
RUPS
Date Time Company Event Place
18-Feb-20 14:00 BBRI RUPST Gedung BRI 1 Jakarta Pusat
19-Feb-20 14:00 AGRO RUPST Gedung BRI Agro Lt 3 14:00 BMRI RUPST Jakarta
20-Feb-20 9:30 BBKP RUPSLB Gedung Bank Bukopin Lt 3 14:00 BBNI RUPST Menara BNI Lt 6
21-Feb-20 10:00 APEX RUPSLB Kantor perseroan
13:00 SATU RUPSLB Allstay Hotel
26-Feb-20 10:00 AISA RUPSLB Ruang seminar BEI 10:00 BEKS RUPSLB TBA
27-Feb-20 10:00 WICO RUPSLB Taman Impian Jaya Ancol
28-Feb-20 13:30 BRIS RUPST Gedung BRI Corporarate University Lt 2
03-Mar-20 10:00 ARNA RUPST Puri Indah Financial Tower
05-Mar-20 9:00 CSIS RUPSLB Kantor perseroan
14:00 GEMS RUPSLB Sinarmas Land Plaza Tower 2 Dividend
Code Status Cum- Date Ex-Date Recording Date Pay -Date Ammount (IDR)/Share
MFMI Cash Dividen 27-Des-19 30-Des-19 02-Jan-20 15-Jan-20 132 ADRO Cash Dividen 02-Jan-20 03-Jan-20 06-Jan-20 15-Jan-20 US$ 0.00469
KEJU Cash Dividen 03-Jan-20 06-Jan-20 07-Jan-20 13-Jan-20 33
IPO Company Underwriter Offering Date Listing Date IPO Price Shares (Mn)
Nara Hotel International Magenta Capital Sekuritas 03 - 04 Februari 2020 TBA 101 2.000
Diamond Citra Propertindo Tbk UOB Kay Hian Sekuritas 04 - 07 Februari 2020 16-Feb-20 102 2.147
Right Issue
Code OS NS Price (IDR) Cum Date Ex Date Trading Period
TNCA 2 : 3 344 08-Jan-20 09-Jan-20 14 - 20 Januari 2020
FAST 100 : 7 1.25 18-Jun-20 19-Jun-20 24 - 30 Juni 2020
Source: KSEI and OSO Research Team
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OSODaily 17 Februari 2020
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