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CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH P Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

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Page 1: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES

IN THE NORTH PACIFIC

Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin

( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Page 2: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Global temperature anomaly ( Global dT ) trend 1850 -2005

Page 3: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Global temperature anomaly ( Global dT ) trend 1850 -2005 ( arrows indicate maximums of Global dT curve )

Page 4: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Cyclic 65-year harmonics in comparison with long -term Global temperature dynamics

Page 5: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Cyclic 65-year harmonics in comparison with Global temperature dynamics after removing of the linear age-long trend

Page 6: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Linear trend

Long -term dynamics of Pacific Decadal Oscillation,1900-2004

Page 7: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Comparative long-term trend dynamics of Global dT and PDO

Page 8: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Arctic temperature dynamics (75 -90N), 1870-2005 ( 7-year smoothing)

Long Lerm linear trend

Page 9: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Temperature anomaly of Arctic circumpolar zone 60-85 N

Intereannual variations

Age-longlinear trend

Arctic temperature dynamics (60-85 N) 1900- 2000 ( 11-year smoothing)

Page 10: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Age-longlinear trend

North Atlantic Arctic temperature dynamics 1900-2000 (13-year smoothing)

( Barents sea)

Page 11: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Kola meridian dT

Linear trend

Dynamics of Kola meridian temperature,1900-2000 (mean temperature of 200 m water column at meridional section on the board Norwegian and Barents Sea).

Page 12: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Global temperature trend for the last five years 2003-2008

Page 13: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Comparative dynamics of PDO and ALPI, 1900-2005

Page 14: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Global Temperature Anomaly 1979--2008 (12 months average)

Page 15: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Global temperature trend for the 1979-2008 years

Page 16: CYCLIC CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC Leonid Klyashtorin & Alexey Lyubushin ( VNIRO and Institute of Physics of the Earth, Moscow )

Arctic temperature dynamics (60-85 N) 1900- 1998 ( 10-year smoothing)

Long-term linear trend