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Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Is abacavir (ABC)-containing combination antiretroviral therapy
(CART) associated with myocardial infarction (MI)? No association identified in pooled
summary of 54 clinical trials
A Cutrell, J Hernandez, C Brothers, J Yeo, W Burkle, W Spreen.
XVII International AIDS Conference, 3-8 August 2008, Mexico City
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Background and Objective
• The D:A:D study group recently reported an unexpected increase in risk of MI with ABC and ddI in a large, prospective observational cohort (Lancet 2008; 371:1417-26).
• To determine whether there is an increase in cardiovascular events associated with ABC containing CART as compared to non-ABC containing CART using GSK-sponsored clinical trials contained in the GSK HIV Data Repository.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Methods (1)
• GSK-sponsored clinical trials with > 24 weeks of follow up with data from 1995-2006 were analyzed. – Data from 54 clinical trials analyzed:
• 12/54 adult trials were randomized for ABC vs control• 33/54 trials included ABC in background ART• 8/54 trials did not include ABC
• Includes data from 14683 subjects (14174 adults and 509 children)
• Descriptive statistics were summarized for naïve and experienced subjects treated with and without ABC.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Methods (2)• To capture events of interest (myocardial ischemia or
infarction) all data were queried for events coded as “Coronary Artery Disorders” and “Ischemic Coronary Artery Disorders”.– Specific preferred terms included: coronary artery
atherosclerosis, coronary artery disease, coronary artery occlusion, acute MI, angina pectoris, angina unstable, MI and myocardial ischemia.
• All fatal cases (any cause) in the HIV Data Repository were reviewed by an external cardiologist.
• Framingham risk not calculated at baseline – not all factors routinely collected.
• Rates per 1000 person/years were calculated, and Poisson regression models were used to calculate unadjusted relative rates and 95% confidence intervals using SAS.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Demographic and HIV-disease Characteristics at Baseline
ADULT NAIVE ADULT EXPERIENCED
ABCN=5859
No ABCN=2406
ABCN=3643
No ABCN=2266
Age at Screening, nMedian, year
(min-max)
585936 (17-78)
240635 (18-74)
363940 (18-78)
226339 (18-74)
Race, nWhiteBlack
572849%29%
231454%22%
359164%21%
226573%16%
Sex, nMale
585878%
240679%
364386%
226685%
Viral Load (log10), n Median (Min-Max)
57934.81 (1.28-
7.64)
23974.67 (1.28-6.6)
36264.25 (0.84-6.74)
22474.18 (1.38-7.05)
CD4 Count, n Median (Min-Max)
5819273 (0-1883)
2393337 (0-1729)
3629265 (0-2089)
2250295 (0-1799)
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Baseline Lipids and Glucose (mmol/L)n
Median(Min-Max)
ADULT NAIVE ADULT EXPERIENCED
ABCN=5859
No ABCN=2406
ABCN=3643
No ABCN=2266
Cholesterol 5484 4.1
(1.0-10.1)
22724.2
(1.6-10.1)
22494.8
(0.05-15.0)
18084.6
(1.8-15.0)
LDL 21432.5
(0.1-6.3)
1662.7
(0.8-6.4)
393.2
(1.0-5.5)
233.7
(1.3-5.2)
HDL 22150.9
(0.05-3.1)
1720.9
(0.2-2.5)
481.0
(0.3-2.6)
241.1
(0.5-1.5)
Triglycerides 54821.4
(0.3-28.9)
22721.4
(0.2-15.4)
22342.1
(0.04-38.1)
18031.9
(0.4-35.3)
Glucose 49995.0
(1.3-27.2)
23535.0
(0.9-24.1)
22015.2
(2.2-26.0)
16625.2
(2.1-26.2)
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
CV Outcomes - Exposure to ABC Compared with No Exposure to ABC
Exposure to ABC
Events
/Patients
Frequency Events
/Person- Years
Rate
/1000 Person-Years
Relative rate
(95% CI)
Any Myocardial Infarction or Acute Myocardial Infarction:
None 7/5044 0.139% 11/4653 2.36
ABC CART 11/9639 0.114% 16/7845 2.04 0.863 (0.40,1.86)
Any ischemic Coronary Artery Disease or Disorder:
None 21/5044 0.416% 27/4642 5.82
ABC CART 24/9639 0.249% 27/7832 3.45 0.593 (0.35 ,1.01)
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
CV Outcomes - Exposure to ABC or No ABC (12 Adult Randomized Trials)
Exposure to ABC
Events
/Patients
Frequency Events
/Person-Years
Rate
/1000 Person-Years
Relative rate
(95% CI)
Any Myocardial Infarction or Acute Myocardial Infarction:
None 6/1692 0.355% 7/1706 4.10
ABC CART 2/1570 0.127% 4/1863 2.15 0.523
(0.15 – 1.79)
Any ischemic Coronary Artery Disease or Disorder:
None 13/1692 0.768% 13/1702 7.64
ABC CART 5/1570 0.318% 8/1860 4.30 0.563
(0.23-1.36)
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Strengths and Limitations
• Prospective clinical trial data with large number of patients exposed to ABC, consistent data collection
• Standard and real-time monitoring and follow up of all reported AEs
• External expert review supportive
• Post-hoc analysis• Duration of exposure
on average 24-48 weeks • Studies not designed to
detect CV risk specifically
• Low event rate therefore less power
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Conclusion• Overall, among pts in the GSK HIV Data
Repository:– the incidence rate of MI and Coronary Artery Disorders
was low – there was no difference in incidence of ischemic
coronary artery events or myocardial infarction in subjects who received abacavir-containing vs. non-ABC containing CART
• Further study is needed to fully evaluate the association of ABC and cardiovascular disease.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
What’s Next to Further Address the Question?
Analysis of Internal Clinical Trial DataContinued vigilance of spontaneous event
data and published literature In all future studies, incorporate
cardiovascular risk factor and biomarker collection
Mechanism research Analyze inflammatory markers in current and
future studies Support additional cohort collaborations
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
HEAT Biomarker Analysis: Geometric Mean (95% CI) by Study Week (ITT-E)
n (obs)ABC/3TC = 243 248 230 256 251 232TDF/FTC = 249 235 216 252 236 216
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
0 48 96
Study Week
hsC
RP (
mg/L
)
Interleukin 6 (IL-6)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
0 48 96
Study Week
IL-6
(pg/m
L)
High Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein (hsCRP)
Adapted from Smith K, et al. IAC 2008. Abstract LBPE1138.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Acknowledgments
The authors wish to thank…• Harry Staines, Suki Pabla, Dupe Bassey, Lee
Tombs and Pinal Patel at SRG Interesource Satellite Operations for statistical support
• Drs. Peter Kowey & Gary Koch for expert input
• Investigators who supported the clinical trials
• All of the patient volunteers.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Back up slides
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Proportion of Subjects on ART +/- ABC Reporting MI or Acute MI among 14682 Subjects
ART Regimen
Subjects
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Percent
High 95%CI
Low 95%CI
Percent
n/N= ABC12/9639
Non-ABC 7/5043
Total19/14682
0.125% 0.139% 0.129%
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Proportion of ART-naïve Subjects on ART +/- ABC Reporting MI or Acute MI among 8265 Subjects
ART Regimen
Subjects
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Percent
Low 95%CI
High 95%CI
Percent
n/N= ABC11/5859
Non-ABC3/2406
Total 14/8265
0.169% 0.125% 0.188%
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Proportion of ART-experienced Subjects on ART +/-ABC Reporting MI or Acute MI among 5908 Subjects
ART Regimen
Patients
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Percent
Low 95%CI
High 95%CI
Percent
n/N= ABC 1/3643
Non-ABC 4/2266
Total 5/5908
0.067% 0.177% 0.027%
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Abacavir and Risk of MI:Evaluation of potential biologic mechanisms
• Review of preclinical, clinical pharmacology and clinical information does not indicate a clear contribution of abacavir therapy to enhanced risk of MI via plausible biologic mechanisms. Rather, the preponderance of data support a conclusion of a generally favorable cardiovascular safety profile.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Safety pharmacology
• Isolated cardiac muscle (rat, guinea-pig & cat):– No inotropic, chronotropic or dysrythmic effects.
• Concious normotensive rat:– No effect on Arterial BP or heart rate (100mg/Kg).
• Anesthetized dog:– Little effect on ABP or HR, no arrhythmia (50 mg/Kg IV)
• No effect on 19 receptor binding sites, including:– cholinergic, adrenergic, histaminergic and serotonergic.
• No effect in tissue responsiveness to arachidonic acid, bradykinin and angiotensin II
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Incidence of Serious CV Events D:A:D Study, VA Study & GSK Data Repository
D:A:D1999-2006
VA1993-2003
GSK DR 1995-2007
Patient numbers 33,000 41,213 14,680
Total patient f/u, PY 156,667 168,213 12,498
Average patient f/u, yrs 4.7 4.1 0.72
Incidence of serious CV events/MI
1.6% 4.2% 0.31%0.129%
Incidence 1000/PY 3.3 10 4.39/1.92
Sabin C, et al. 15th CROI 2008: Abstract.Bozzette S, et al. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2007;0:1-4.