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Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583
Customization of technology roadmaps according to roadmapping
purposes: Overall process and detailed modules
Sungjoo Lee, Yongtae Park*
Department of Industrial Engineering, School of Engineering, Seoul National University, San 56-1,
Shillim-Dong, Kwanak-Gu, Seoul 151-742, South Korea
Received 27 July 2004; received in revised form 18 November 2004; accepted 21 November 2004
Abstract
Recently, technology roadmap has received increasing interest from academics and practitioners alike, as it is a
powerful and inherently flexible approach in terms of architectural structure and construction process. However,
the potential benefit may not be fully exploited due to the difficulty in customizing roadmaps to fit specific needs
and/or to accommodate unusual circumstances. In response, the main purpose of this research is to provide
guidance for customizing roadmaps. Specifically, we adopt a modularization method for mass customization and
suggest a set of different roadmaps for different purposes such as forecasting, planning, and administration. In
addition, a web-based system is developed to facilitate the roadmapping activities, which in turn ensures the
creation, dissemination, and upkeep of roadmaps. With the system having a customization function, a set of
customized roadmaps can be generated simply by selecting the application purpose and then meeting the input
requirements. The function helps prospective users design roadmap formats and contents.
D 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Technology roadmap; Customization; Forecasting; Planning; Administration; Web-based system
1. Introduction
Technology roadmap is one of the most widely used methods for supporting the strategic management
of technology. At the industry level, it helps to forecast technological future trends based on either
0040-1625/$ -
doi:10.1016/j.t
* Correspond
E-mail add
see front matter D 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
echfore.2004.11.006
ing author. Tel.: +82 2 880 8358; fax: +82 2 889 8560.
ress: [email protected] (Y. Park).
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583568
exploratory methods or normative approaches [1–3]. At the corporate level, it provides a graphical
means for exploring and communicating the relationships among markets, products, and technologies
over time [4,5]. Among others, the main advantage of technology roadmap, vis-a-vis traditional
technology management tools, is two-fold. First, it directly links technology to business needs [6].
Second, it has inherent flexibility in terms of its architectural structure and construction process and thus
it can be applied in many different contexts [7]. Accordingly, technology roadmap has received
increasing interest from practitioners and academics alike [8,9]. It was initially developed by Motorola
more than 2 decades ago, from where it has been spread to other firms widely [10]. Nowadays, major
companies, including Lucent Technologies [1,11], Corning [12], Lockheed-Martin [13], and Philips
[14], are utilizing the technique. Moreover, governments and industrial consortia are starting to use it for
supporting sector-level foresight initiatives [2,6,15]. The International Semiconductor [2] or UK
Foresight Vehicles technology roadmaps [16] can be an example of sector-level usage. This popularity of
technology roadmap is also revealed in survey results. In a recent survey of 2000 UK manufacturing
firms, about 10% of companies stated that they have applied the roadmapping approach, with
approximately 80% of them using the technique more than once [17]. Furthermore, many studies have
been conducted to emphasize company experience of roadmapping [10,14,18] or to identify general
roadmapping process [8,11].
Although technology roadmap is a useful and flexible approach, the potential benefit may not be fully
exploited if there is difficulty in customizing to fit specific needs and/or to accommodate unusual
circumstances. In practice, it is very important and even indispensable to flexibly alter the generic
roadmapping process to accommodate firm-specific managerial needs and environmental conditions.
Despite the importance of customization, existing literature has focused on the simplified and common
roadmapping process and little attention has been paid to the customization of technology roadmap.
Moreover, quite naturally, existing commercial software has no capacity to support the customization
function.
In addition, systems that can be used to create, upkeep, and disseminate technology roadmap are
required for its easy introduction and efficient usage. Undoubtedly, having recognized the needs for
supporting tools, several information technology (IT) firms have developed and begun to commercialize
a few systems [19]. However, enterprises, especially small and medium-sized ones, still have difficulties
in applying these systems, as those tools do not take the form of general-purpose software, but rather
fully individualized solutions, so it takes too much time and money to adopt the systems. The balance
between complete standardization and complete personalization is significant for technology roadmap to
be spread widely. The design of specialized software which suggests a standardized roadmapping
process with customization functions in consideration of user needs would, therefore, be quite beneficial.
To this end, conducting research on the customization of technology roadmap is urgently needed and
should be proceeded firstly by the systematic analysis of roadmap architectures and roadmapping
procedures.
In response, the main purpose of the present research is to provide guidance for customizing
technology roadmap, suggesting a set of several roadmap formats according to the purpose of
roadmapping, for which valuable but only appropriate information is provided for a specific
roadmapping purpose. The remaining part of this paper consists of five main sections: 2. Literature
review, 3. Research framework, 4. Customization process, 5. Illustrations of supporting tools, 6.
Conclusions and future research. Following on from a brief literature review to construct a research
framework, a great portion of this paper focuses on the customization process of technology roadmap
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583 569
and specific modules for forecasting, planning, and administration, along with several illustrations of
supporting tools. The paper closes with concluding remarks.
2. Literature review
2.1. Concept of technology roadmap
Roadmaps are defined as the views of a group of stakeholders as to how to get where they want to go
to achieve their desired objective [20]. It is an extended look at the future of a chosen field of inquiry
composed of the collective knowledge and imagination of the brightest drivers of change in that field
[2,3]. With regard to the concept of roadmap, technology roadmap can take various meanings. Kostoff
and Schaller refer technology roadmap to a visual aid which crystallizes the links between research
programs, development programs, capability targets, and requirements [2]. For Rinne, it is a map of the
unfolding evolution of technologies and the products that implement them [21]. The term dtechnologyroadmapT is widely used, but there is no standard meaning or exact definition as shown above. Due to it,
variations exist among users regarding exactly what technology roadmap and technology roadmapping
entails. In fact, dtechnologyT is often only one aspect of a roadmap, and the approach may be more
generally termed dbusinessT, dstrategicT, or dinnovationT roadmapping, although dtechnology road-
mappingT has become the dominant phrase [5]. So, in this research, contents of technology roadmap
cover both future and present, and both product and technology, only if it can help a group of
stakeholders make sure that the right capabilities are in the right place at the right time to achieve their
desired objective. Furthermore, different literature has presented the term dtechnology roadmapT in
different ways, such as dtechnology roadmapT, dtechnology road mapT, just droadmapT, or dTRMT in an
abbreviated form. Among them, the most common expressions dtechnology roadmapT and droadmapT areused together in this paper.
2.2. Typology of technology roadmap
A large number of studies suggest that roadmapping can be performed at either of two levels, industry
or corporate [1,2,6,22]. Sometimes the use of roadmapping can be extended to its supply chain by
linking its divisional roadmaps into a dmeta roadmapT that is used to communicate with customers and
suppliers [19]. At each level, the roadmapping process and roadmap types would differ [6,22].
The general roadmap is a multi-layered and time-based chart [23]. But various types of roadmaps have
been utilized [5,7,24] and exiting literature has attempted to classify them into several categories. One of
the most common categorizations is provided by Sandia National Laboratories. They define three types of
roadmaps comprising product technology roadmap, issues-oriented roadmap, and emerging technology
roadmap [22]. Albright and Kappel insist that four sections–market, product, technology, and action plan–
should be considered to construct roadmaps, in which lots of roadmap templates are introduced covering
product evolution, product roadmap, technology roadmap, risk roadmap, and action strategy [11]. Phaal et
al. examined a set of approximately 40 technology roadmaps and then clustered them into 16 broad areas
[7]. Furthermore, at least a dozen different applications of roadmaps were presented in a 1998 Technology
Roadmap Workshop, which can be classified broadly into four groups including science and technology
roadmaps, industry technology roadmaps, corporate or product-technology roadmaps, and product/
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583570
portfolio management roadmaps according to their applications and objectives [25]. Finally, Kappel
suggests roadmapping taxonomy based on roadmapping purpose and roadmap emphasis. As a result, a
large number of roadmaps are divided into four groups, which are science technology roadmap, product
technology roadmaps, industry roadmaps, and product roadmaps [1].
2.3. Usage of technology roadmap
Technology roadmap can be used in many areas, such as physical and service product planning [26],
development of product family tree [14], and program planning [22]. Albright and Kappel state that
technology roadmaps in the corporate setting are used to define the plan for the evolution of a product,
linking business strategy to the evolution of the product features [11]. By Phaal et al., the main role of
technology roadmap is to support technology management and planning [7]. It can present a framework
to help plan and coordinate technology developments [27,28]. Furthermore, many other approaches
having planning dimension, such as scenario planning, backcasting are closely related to technology
roadmaps [1,29,30].
Technology roadmaps are rather similar to forecasting, foresight, futures etc. [1,31–33]. Quite often,
technology forecasting is incorporated to a roadmapping activity, which implies the fact that technology
roadmap is used as a tool for technology forecasting [34]. Garcia and Bray insist that roadmapping
provides a mechanism to help experts forecast science and technology developments in targeted areas
[27]. Barker and Smith describe a unique approach to technology foresight based on the use of roadmaps
[18]. Saritas and Oner emphasize that it is possible to capture, manipulate, and manage information to
decrease complexity in the foresight by constructing roadmaps [35].
Furthermore, technology roadmap helps focus the portfolio and business planning process of the
corporation on the future and provide consistent information across the portfolio to aid in decision-
making, which brings a significant improvement in administration of technologies and products in the
corporation [11]. It means that the main objective of roadmapping can be the administration, as
emphasized by Kostoff and Schaller [2].
To sum up, technology roadmaps have been used as a management tool for planning, forecasting, and
administration. Recently, it is expanding its application areas toward new product development process
[19], knowledge management [36], and even virtual innovations [21]. Furthermore, although traditional
roadmapping approaches were limited to the sustaining technologies, roadmaps for disruptive
technology are proposed [37,38].
2.4. Technology roadmapping process
Most studies on roadmapping process are self-reported descriptions of a certain corporation’s
experience or identification of general roadmapping process [39] in which there exist two main issues.
The first issue is about the development of roadmapping software. So often, roadmapping gets done in
person on paper [1,5] and, in that case, it is difficult to update technology roadmaps as events unfold. In
fact, the difficulty in maintaining roadmaps is often cited as a major obstacle to their effective use [24].
To solve the problem, current roadmapping efforts heavily use computer-based graphical techniques,
conveying information to their users and providing constructs for their developers [37]. As a result,
roadmaps are often PowerPoint or Visio drawings, but they are still difficult to manipulate and maintain.
Actually, simple word processing, spreadsheet, and graphics packages may give satisfaction to users for
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583 571
the initial development of a roadmap, but more sophisticated software would be beneficial if the process
is to be taken forward. Petrick and Echols touch on how software-based roadmapping efforts can
transform company R&D investment and new product development planning [19]. Brown and O’Hare
suggest that when the need to re-use common components such as external drivers or specific
technology developments across different maps is recognized, a flexible software tool would be the best
way to capture, manage and maintain components, and allow re-uses [36]. Along with aforementioned
discussions on expected values from utilizing roadmapping software, the practical needs for professional
roadmapping software are beginning to come out. In a recent survey of roadmapping software, 65% of
respondents stated that specialized roadmapping software could help overcome the problem caused by
the lack of roadmapping tools, techniques, and methods [40]. To respond to the existing needs,
commercial roadmapping software systems are starting to appear [7]. For instance, Honeywell
technology roadmapping utilizes Geneva Vision Strategiest software to digitally capture technology
projects, components, subassemblies, and the timing of these developments to support products [19].
This software may help support the development, storage, dissemination, and upkeep of roadmaps. It
also forces individual roadmaps to be documented in a common format and stored in a database, which
enables corporate planning across the product lines [11]. However, since existing software takes the form
of solutions, it takes much time and cost to use it on the contrary to the survey results that two factors
including dsoftware costT and dease of useT would most influence a firm in whether or not to adopt
roadmapping software [40].
The second issue includes applying roadmapping approach to suit a particular environment, namely,
customizing roadmaps. One of the reasons why companies struggle with the application of roadmapping
is that there are many specific forms of roadmaps, which often have to be tailored to the specific needs of
the corporation and its business context [7]. Although most studies are describing the flexibility of
technology roadmapping approach, only limited efforts have been directed towards customization
problem. A few studies have tried to identify customizable factors for roadmapping process in terms of
planning, architecture, and process [5]. But still, existing research hardly gives direct answer to the
question–how to customize the roadmapping approach–and corporations are lacking in concrete
principles for customization.
3. Research framework
3.1. Customization methodology
Customization addresses differences among products or services. An important step towards this goal
will be the development and proliferation of design repositories that are capable of creating various
customized products or services [41]. This results in the continuous accretion of variety and thus seems
to contradict the pursuit of low cost and high efficiency. As a solution, recently, many innovative
companies are experimenting with a strategy of mass customization which may ensure the low-cost
production of high variety. Companies that can no longer count on the stability of demand nor continue
to control their markets are not able to realize the efficiencies and economies of scale of mass production
and thus try to adopt mass customization as an alternative. Just like mass customization in products and/
or services, a similar concept can be applied to the roadmapping approach. Although complete
personalization gives the greatest satisfaction to users, it cannot assure the efficiencies and the economies
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583572
of scale for both users and service providers of roadmapping. On the other hand, complete
standardization fails to satisfy any user since user requirements for roadmapping in particular differ
greatly from each other according to environmental conditions. But it ensures easy utilization for users
and efficient for service providers. A similar concept to mass customization can preserve the balance
between standardization and personalization pursuing both high satisfaction and high efficiency for
utilizing technology roadmap.
Joseph suggested five methods of implementing mass customization by two dimensions [42]. One is
the degree of organizational transformation and the other is the degree of market turbulence. With the
increase of each dimension, stages of mass customization are distinguished by (1) customized services,
(2) embedded customizability, (3) creating point-of-delivery customization, (4) providing quick
response, and (5) modularization. Among them, it seems that the final stage, the best method for
achieving full mass customization, is the most suitable for customization of technology roadmap since
the fact that the roadmap formats being utilized are diverse and the roadmapping process is flexible
implicates the highest degree of market turbulence. While the fifth stage of customization is the
modularization of components when applied to manufacturing goods, it can apply equally effectively to
technology roadmap. This was proposed by Chen et al. [43] who suggested designing flexible products
or services that can be readily adapted in response to large changes in customer requirements by
changing a small number of components [44]. In this research, standardized formats of roadmap are
designed to perform as components and the purpose of roadmapping is used as a basis for customization
since roadmap formats are usually determined by the managerial usage [7]. Therefore, several standard
roadmap formats are defined and some among them are selected to organize a set of formats for a
specific roadmapping purpose to realize modularizing customization.
3.2. Customization framework
To begin with, the overall framework for customization is presented in Fig. 1. The task of the
aforementioned customization is to compose a set of different roadmaps for different purposes.
Therefore, the overall process of this research consists of three phases—(1) classification, (2)
standardization, and (3) modularization.
First, in the classification phase, diverse objectives and various representation methods for technology
roadmap are examined to construct a classification scheme. Second, in the standardization phase, eight
standardized roadmap formats are proposed since commonality is an important design practice
Fig. 1. Overall framework of customization.
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583 573
highlighted for customization [41], or standardization with flexibility is emphasized as a means of
enhancing product or service flexibility and offering a wide variety of products or services [44].
Furthermore, normalization and standardization across different roadmaps or different development teams
are important factors for roadmaps to be used as a basis for comparison of R&D program or product
planning etc. [2,38]. Besides, the job of standardization is a prerequisite not only to customization itself
but also to the design of supporting tools for technology roadmapping. Finally, in the modularization
phase, in accordance with the specific purposes of mapping, diverse roadmap templates are proposed.
4. Customization process
4.1. Classification phase
In this phase, the possible types of technology roadmap are examined and the principal purposes of
roadmapping are defined to develop the classification scheme. Basically, the following two dimensions
are taken into account to achieve this. The first dimension is the functional purpose of technology
roadmap in terms of managerial usage and the second is the field of technology roadmap with respect to
the concrete object of mapping.
The review of literature indicates that technology roadmap is designed and developed for the
following three uses: forecasting, planning, and administration. First, the similarity of roadmapping and
forecasting are the most obvious. The purpose of technology forecasting for a firm is to promote and
enable good technological decision-making rather than making accurate forecasts [9,45]. Roadmapping
immediately appears to be the most similar to forecasting the future technological trends. Second,
roadmapping has a noticeable planning dimension. Many roadmapping practitioners use technology
roadmap to extend their perspective beyond the typical quarterly or next release horizon [1]. Prospective
technology roadmap looks forward from the present and uses expert opinions from different areas of the
business to create a future view in terms of both future R&D and product planning [2,19,27,36]. Finally,
roadmapping can be an effective administration tool for improving communication and enabling
corporate-level views not being limited to only a product line-level or an individual team-level [11].
As for the second dimension, the concrete object of mapping is applied to construct the roadmap
taxonomy. Common structure of technology roadmap is composed of two elements, layers as vertical
axis and timeframe as horizontal axis [1,5]. Although there are a large number of options in selecting
contents of layer, product and technology layers are the most essential [5,21]. Therefore, the following
two objects are suggested in this research: product and technology. While they serve as the major criteria
for classifying diverse roadmap types, two additional attributes are also employed not only for
classification but also for the basis of standardization. The first attribute is the information source since
how to get or where to get the information which will be put on the roadmap is the most important issue
for the company. This attribute is dichotomized into internal and external depending on the domain of
information-collection or data-analysis. The second attribute is the time frame which is regarded as one
of the most significant elements of technology roadmap. The temporal dimension is explicitly shown on
most roadmaps and, strictly speaking, the concept of roadmap suggests time dimension. But information
in a specific point may be valuable for achieving main roadmapping purposes, and so, a dsnapshot ofroadmapT in an exact expression shall be called just dmapT and is considered in designing standardized
roadmaps. Therefore, this attribute is divided into either static or dynamic in accordance with the horizon
Table 1
Managerial usages, object of mapping, and two attributes of roadmap
Managerial usages Forecasting Forecast of future technology trend in general [1]
Planning
Project Plan for future R&D based on internal and external analysis [7]
Product Plan for future product based on internal and external analysis [11]
Administration Management of current R&D portfolio and product portfolio [2]
Objective of mapping Product Support of strategic decision-making related to product
Technology Support of strategic decision-making related to technology
Additional attributes Information source Domain of information-collection or data-analysis
Time frame Scope of time covered in the roadmap as horizon of mapping
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583574
of mapping. Table 1 describes the details of two dimensions with two additional attributes determining
roadmap types.
4.2. Standardization phase
In this phase, one way to standardize roadmaps based on the classification scheme in the prior phase is
proposed, as shown in Table 2.
Here, based on the different combinations of attributes, four kinds of roadmaps for product are
suggested: product family map, product planning roadmap, product driver map, and product evolution
roadmap. While the product family map shows the entire product platform being produced at the present
time [7,11,14,46], the product planning roadmap exhibits the future plans for product introduction in a
specific platform or a product family over time [1,5,7,11]. Meanwhile, the product driver map interprets a
product in a market view, linking customer needs to product drivers which are tangible measures to
evaluate products [11]. The product evolution roadmap shows the changing features of customer needs
and thus it will be used as a basis for grasping the market situation [11]. Furthermore, it should be linked
to the product planning roadmap since customer needs are at the core of planning the next version product.
In the same way, depending on the mix of attributes, four kinds of roadmaps for technology are
suggested: technology portfolio map, technology prospect roadmap, technology position map, and
technology trend map. Technology portfolio in general is a two-dimensional map on which
technologies are positioned by any criteria to support decision-making [47]. Although many kinds of
the technology portfolio map can be designed, we suggest one based on technological coverage and
technological importance. As a vertical axis, the number of related product is used as a proxy of
technological coverage since consideration of product is very important in a point of product
Table 2
Standardized roadmaps for product and technology
Object of mapping Product Technology
Attributes (time frame, information source)
Static Internal Product family map [46] Technology portfolio map [47]
External Product driver map [11] Technology position map [25]
Dynamic Internal Product planning roadmap [7] Technology prospect roadmap [25]
External Product evolution roadmap [11] Technology trend roadmap [22]
Fig. 2. Standardized roadmaps for product and technology. (a) Product family map [46]; (b) product planning roadmap [7]; (c)
product driver map [11]; (d) product evolution roadmap [11]; (e) technology portfolio map [47]; (f) technology prospect
roadmap [25]; (g) technology position map [25]; (h) technology trend roadmap [22].
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583 575
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583576
technology [48–51]. A horizontal axis captures the importance of technology, which is the most
common basis on technology portfolio [48]. Excluding cases of disruptive technology and strategic
issues, one way firms often review the importance of a single technology is the weighted average of
its importance in associated product portfolio, since products derived from a single technology are
likely to differ in terms of competitive position and market segment growth [48]. Therefore, it may be
calculated by the following formula, in which the parametric value is either judged by an expert or
estimated by a proxy measure.
Box 1The importance of technology j in a corporation=Ri (the relative importance of product i in a
corporation) 5 (the relative importance of technology j in product i)
Technologies related to a specific product or product platform, significantly supporting product drivers,
are shown in the technology prospect roadmap, which is the centerpiece of most roadmaps [11,25]. The
technology position map provides information on the technological strength and weakness of a
corporation as compared to competitors [25], which is significant for R&D decisions [47,48]. Similar to
the technology portfolio map, technologies related to the business are positioned by the technological
importance and technological strength in the technology position map. Here, to calculate the degree of
technological strength, large number of parameters can be used, such as a number of patents, new product
introductions, peer ranking, and number of publications [47]. Finally, the contents and trends of emerging
or declining technologies having no connection with a specific product are identified in technology trend
roadmap [1,22,25]. The standardized roadmap formats are visually presented in Fig. 2.
4.3. Modularization phase
The range of strategic context that roadmapping can be applied to is large [1,10,11,14,52] and the
strategic context can be described in terms of a number of dimensions, including the organizational
goals, past history, existing processes, and available information [5]. Among these, utilization purpose is
selected as customization criteria since roadmap architectures usually are differentiated by the utilization
purpose [1,24,53]. Therefore, in this phase, the eight maps derived in the standardization phase are
matched to the three main purposes identified in the classification phase.
Table 3
Relationship between application purpose and attributes
Managerial usage
(application purpose)
Object of mapping Additional attributes
Technology Product Time frame Information source
Technology Product
Forecasting Much None Long-term Internal external
Planning
Product Rather Much Long-term External Internal external
Project Much Rather Long-term Internal external External
Administration Rather Rather Short-term Internal external Internal external
Table 4
Case-wise guideline for modularization
Application purpose (Managerial usage) Forecasting Planning Administration
Roadmap types Product Project
Product Product family map X O X O
Product planning roadmap X O O X
Product driver map X O X O
Product evolution roadmap X O X X
Technology Technology portfolio map X X O O
Technology prospect roadmap O O O X
Technology position map X X O O
Technology trend roadmap O X O X
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583 577
4.3.1. Matching criteria
For customization, the application purpose of technology roadmap and related attributes are matched,
as exhibited in Table 3. For instance, dforecastingT in our research implies dforecasting future technology
trends in generalT as presented in Table 1. Therefore, future information for forecasting requires long-
term analysis. In terms of object, the consideration of technology is essential whereas the incorporation
of product is not worth deliberation. Moreover, results from both internal and external analyses are
valuable to gain abundant information about the technology.
4.3.2. Customized roadmaps
Based on the analysis of the relationship, a case-wise guideline for customization is derived, as
summarized in Table 4. For example, the table signifies that long-term analysis in technology is of
significance in forecasting. Then, among the four roadmaps for technology described in Table 2, only
dynamic analysis is useful. Consequentially, the technology prospect roadmap and the technology trend
roadmap are suitable and necessary for the forecasting module. For product planning, long-term analysis
for product, based on information from both external and internal sections of the firm, is essential. In
addition, long-term analysis of the general trend of technology, which is related to the products being
planned, is required. Therefore, all roadmaps for product and the technology prospect roadmap will
compose the product planning module. The project planning and administration modules can be
designed in a similar manner. As a result, three kinds of module, which are actually four kinds, can be
designed for the customization of roadmaps.
5. Illustrations of supporting tools
5.1. System design
A supporting tool for roadmapping is designed to overcome the deficiency of customization function
in existing software programs. A web-based system is developed utilizing Active Server Pages (ASP)
and MS-SQL since the web characteristics may facilitate information sharing within a company [54].
Furthermore, the use of roadmapping can be easily extended to its supply chain by applying web
technology [19]. IT has not played a significant role in most roadmapping efforts until now, but an
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583578
attempt to put the roadmap on-line would be meaningful. To be applied to the system, data on the virtual
enterprise which manufactures wireless handsets were created and especially the data on technology
forecasts were acquired from www.alberightstrategy.com.
5.2. System implementation
The system has three main menus: (1) Database, (2) Roadmap Creation, and (3) Roadmap Retrieval.
dDatabaseT menu is used to gather the data on technological future trends and/or to gain the basic
information on products and technologies. The genuine implementation task largely involves creating
and retrieving the roadmaps created before using the remaining two menus.
5.2.1. Roadmap creation
Roadmaps are built with the tool through the following activities. First, the user decides whether to
use the customization function or not. If the submenu of dGeneralT in dRoadmap CreationT is selected,eight types of roadmap are described and the selection of type is up to the user. On the other hand,
dWizardT helps the user to select appropriate types of roadmap for his/her application purpose based on
the customization framework in our research. Two main Graphical User Interfaces (GUIs), one for
general roadmapping and the other for customized roadmapping, are shown in Fig. 3a and b. If dWizardTis selected and the application purpose is determined, then data required to build a specific roadmap
template should be inputted. In addition, information on product drivers, related technologies, and their
importance for a specific product platform is provided for the system. Therefore, beyond the purpose of
building roadmaps, the tool enables the creation of a systematic database of product features and
evolution, technologies, and changing environments. The information can be updated easily when
necessary and can be managed by a different version.
After the user has inputted the necessary information, clicking the dCreationT button will end the
building process. Fig. 3c serves as an illustration of building roadmaps for wireless handsets from 2002
to 2006. The outcome was obtained by selecting the dForecastingT module and, as mentioned before, the
technology prospect roadmap and the technology trend roadmap were constructed. Here, the
standardized technology prospect roadmap is presented since it was selected from the drop-down box
on the left-upper side of the site, after which the dViewT button besides the box was clicked. The
standardized technology trend roadmap can be shown in the same way. These maps convey in text color
and/or text style the valuable information on the technologies.
5.2.2. Roadmap retrieval
Roadmaps are referenced in dRoadmap RetrievalT to which the customization concept can be applied as
well. Searching roadmap is conducted through a series of selection processes. First, a specific product
platform of interest is selected from the platforms within a firm’s business scope which are aligned by the
name. After the time period to be retrieved is determined, the titles of possible roadmap format are listed,
which means that those types of roadmap for a given period have been created before. The user may
choose either roadmap types or roadmapping purpose, which stands for the aim for retrieval at this time.
Fig. 3d displays the GUIs for selecting roadmaps to be retrieved, which is similar to Fig. 3a and b. As
we have built the roadmaps of wireless handsets from 2002 to 2006 for the purpose of dforecastingT anddproduct planningT in this research, only six kinds of roadmaps are allowed to be selected. Fig. 3e and f
show the final results of checking the product planning roadmap and the product evolution roadmap and
Fig. 3. Main GUIs of the roadmapping software.
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583 579
then clicking dSubmitT button. While the long-term plan for wireless handsets is drawn on the product
planning roadmap, the market trend inferred from the product plan, especially from the transition of the
target product driver, is described in the product evolution roadmap. In Fig. 3f, the market for wireless
handsets is expected to evolve from high performance of basic functions to cost efficiency and finally to
extra functionality. The alteration of roadmap types or time period to be retrieved is easily achieved with
the system.
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583580
5.3. System benefits
Although many firms recognize the strategic importance of roadmapping, it is adopted by only a few
since the rest do not know how to start it. Roadmapping system is developed to help them, which
contributes to an automatic and customized generation of roadmaps and company-wide sharing of them.
The benefit comes to three sides, easy creation, dissemination, and upkeep of roadmaps.
Firstly, this system ensures easy creation of roadmaps as simple data input required by the system
leads to a complete development of roadmaps. During the process, a set of roadmaps, providing useful
information to obtain a particular purpose, is suggested and created simply by selecting an application
purpose and then meeting the input requirements. Therefore, it helps user design roadmap formats and
contents according to a roadmapping purpose.
Secondly, web-based characteristics of the system may promote roadmap dissemination. Since
members in a corporation can retrieve any roadmaps at any time through the system, it guarantees easy
access to the roadmap information and thus facilitates information-sharing within the corporation.
Setting up the access authority is a later consideration. In addition, the use of roadmapping can be easily
extended to its supply chain by linking divisional roadmaps to each other via the system. The benefit to
the entire network is immediate, because of the reduction in uncertainty involved in timing of product
launches and possible volumes of production needed to support them. Sometimes, it will be quite helpful
for idea generation or product planning during new product development processes for both suppliers
and customers [19].
Finally, we can keep roadmap alive. Recently, upkeep of roadmap is getting more important for
successful roadmapping as product life cycle is shortened, technology development advances rapidly,
and thus frequent update of roadmap is required. If roadmapping is done by person on a paper, the whole
body of roadmap should be regenerated even when only a part of it is to be changed. And yet, simple
change of data updates the roadmap automatically and conveniently when the system is used. Besides,
duplication of effort in updating roadmaps can be minimized when change of technology database
comes to change of all related roadmaps through the system. In that case, data consistency is guaranteed
as well.
6. Conclusions and future research
Although roadmapping has been practiced by many organizations for decades, the diffusion process
remains relatively slow since the excessive degree of flexibility sometimes makes a firm hesitate to adopt
the approach. As a solution, this research has reviewed various roadmap types practically used in
corporations by analyzing the common managerial usages for roadmap and has suggested a framework
for customizing roadmaps to achieve good balance between full personalization and full standardization.
Modularization was adopted as the customization method, and so, after eight types of standardized
roadmaps were suggested, customized roadmap templates were designed consisting of three modules:
forecasting, planning, and administration. Furthermore, a web-based system having a customization
function was developed to support the easy creation, dissemination, and upkeep of roadmap. With the
customization function, a set of roadmaps, providing useful information to obtain a particular purpose,
was created simply by selecting an application purpose and then meeting the input requirements which
will be the basis of the roadmaps. Users do not need to worry about designing the appropriate roadmap
S. Lee, Y. Park / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 567–583 581
formats and contents, which may be mostly beyond their capacity. In addition, the use of the
customization function enables concentrated management of information.
Despite its significant and meaningful contribution, however, the current research is subject to some
limitations. First, the proposed framework is rather incomplete because market-related attributes and
variables are not adequately addressed. The market layer should be incorporated into the framework for
roadmap to link business and technology more properly. Second, the basis and level of customization
needs to be extended and/or elaborated. Particularly, industry characteristics may affect the roadmap
formats since differences in product architectures and technological roles of the industry may cause
differences in roadmap architectures. It could be quite practical for users to primarily customize roadmap
by industry. Nevertheless, in this case the degree of customization is increased with approaching
personalization and at the cost of standardization. Therefore, future research should focus on additional
customization methods, for example, industry characteristics and/or user groups could be considered or
the application purpose could be subdivided into more detailed ones for further customization.
Finally, there is room for further work in terms of a visualization method for high-quality roadmaps.
The architectural structure of standardized roadmaps needs to be elaborated to construct better
combinations of information and to communicate them in a more efficient manner. With the elaboration
of visualization methods, the supporting tools can be improved as well.
Acknowledgement
This research was funded by the National Research Lab (NRL) program of the Ministry of Science
and Technology of Korea.
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Sungjoo Lee is doctoral candidate at the Department of Industrial Engineering of Seoul National University (SNU). She holds
BS and MS in industrial engineering, both from SNU. In preparing her dissertation, she presented numerous practice notes and
academic articles on technology roadmapping, patent analysis, and high-tech marketing.
Yongtae Park is a faculty member at the Department of Industrial Engineering and Director of Graduate Program of
Technology Management at SNU. He holds BS in industrial engineering from SNU, MS and PhD in operations management,
both from University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA. His research interests lie in such areas as technological innovation
management, knowledge management, and e-business modeling.