Current Status of Climate Change Current Status of Climate Change Current Status of Climate Change Current Status of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Mitigation and Adaptation Mitigation and Adaptation Mitigation and Adaptation

Current Status of Climate Change Current Status of Climate Change Current Status of Climate Change Current Status of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Mitigation and Adaptation Mitigation and Adaptation Mitigation and Adaptation

IndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaNational Council on Climate ChangeNational Council on Climate ChangeNational Council on Climate ChangeNational Council on Climate Change

Bangkok ,19 August 2011

1. Current status and development of CDM projects

2. Barriers/issues related to the implementation of the CDM

Overview of climate change mitigation and Overview of climate change mitigation and Overview of climate change mitigation and Overview of climate change mitigation and adaptationadaptationadaptationadaptation1 • National Policy & PlanNational Policy & PlanNational Policy & PlanNational Policy & Plan

• MeasuresMeasuresMeasuresMeasures• Institutional StructureInstitutional StructureInstitutional StructureInstitutional Structure

Overview of GHG inventory developmentOverview of GHG inventory developmentOverview of GHG inventory developmentOverview of GHG inventory development

2 • National Policy & PlanNational Policy & PlanNational Policy & PlanNational Policy & Plan2 • National Policy & PlanNational Policy & PlanNational Policy & PlanNational Policy & Plan•Institutional StructureInstitutional StructureInstitutional StructureInstitutional Structure

INDONESIA: OUR VULNERABILITIES

Sea level rise & land inundation threatens coastal zones�North coast Java, south Kalimantan,west Sumatra

Water� changed water balance leading to droughts and floods – regionally differentiatedand floods – regionally differentiated

Agriculture���� food security threatened, and declining productivity in particular rice cultivation

Health� spread of diseases correlated to effects of climate change (malaria, dengue, cholera, diarrhea etc)

National Policy and Plan

NATIONAL ACTION PLAN ADRESSING CLIMATE CHANGE ( Published by State Ministry of Environment 2007 )

• The objective in formulating a National Action Plan to address climate change is for it to be used as guidance to various institutions in carrying out a coordinated and integrated effort to tackle climate change.

INDONESIA CLIMATE CHANGE SECTORAL ROADMAP ( 2010 )

The Climate Change Sectoral Roadmap will support th e GOI’s development vision related to The Climate Change Sectoral Roadmap will support th e GOI’s development vision related to climate change for the next 20 years.

The implementation of the Roadmap will be through N ational Development Plan; the next Development is for period 2010 – 2014.

There are nine priority sectors:

Mitigation Sectors-: Energy, Forestry, Industry, Tr ansportation, Waste Management

Adaptation Sectors-: Agriculture, Marine and Fisher y, Water Resources, Health

4

MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE INTO NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AGENDA:

BiBi--/Multilateral /Multilateral

BALI ACTION BALI ACTION

PLANPLAN

PRESS PRESS

M

ROADMAPSROADMAPS(ICCSR)(ICCSR)

GoI’sGoI’s own own budgetbudget

MainstreaMainstrea

ming into ming into

RPJMRPJM

��

RAN RAN -- GRKGRK cooperationcooperationPRESS PRESS

STATEMENT:STATEMENT:

GG20 200920 2009 A

RAN RAN -- GRKGRK

Source : Indonesia Second National Communication

GOI committed to implement Bali Action Plan and voluntarily set emission target: 26% (national budget), additional 15% (with international support)

GOI commitment at G-20 Pittsburgh and COP15

GHG emission reduction by 2020

26% National 26%

6

26%

15%National efforts

National efforts and international supports

RAN-GRK/ RAD-GRK

26%

41%

Source : Bappenas

Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

RAN-GRK Compiled based on proposals of actions from Implementing AgenciesQuick start: screened based on existing actions that have co-benefits in reducing GHG emissions

+15%

26%

Criteria:Potentially measured, reported and verified (MRV), clear and concise contracts, clear executing agencies, higher abatement cost , not included in CDM project

Criteria:Potentially measured, reported and verified (MRV), lower abatement cost, in Medium Term Development Plan, national priorities, economically feasible, not included in CDM project

Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

GHG Emission in Indonesia is estimated to increase from1.72 to 2.95 GtCO2e from 2000 to 2020

2

2.5

3Kehutanan dan Lahan

Gambut

Limbah

2,952,952,952,95

2,122,122,122,121,721,721,721,72

(GtonCO2e)

Forestry and Peat land

Waste

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2000 2005 2020

Pertanian

Industri

Energi dan Transportasi

1,721,721,721,72

Emission(G

tonCO

Agriculture

Industry

Energy and Transportation

Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

2.5

3.0

3.5E

mis

sion

Rat

e (G

t CO

2)BAU Skenario 26%

26%26%26%26%

1.0

1.5

2.0

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Em

issi

on R

ate

(Gt C

O

The Dewan Nasional Perubahan Iklim (DNPI) or National Council on Climate Change (NCCC) was established in 2008

Formulating national policies, strategies and Formulating national policies, strategies and Formulating national policies, strategies and Formulating national policies, strategies and programmatic activities related to climate programmatic activities related to climate programmatic activities related to climate programmatic activities related to climate changechangechangechange

Coordinating climate change related activities Coordinating climate change related activities Coordinating climate change related activities Coordinating climate change related activities that include mitigation, adaptation, technology that include mitigation, adaptation, technology that include mitigation, adaptation, technology that include mitigation, adaptation, technology transfer and financingtransfer and financingtransfer and financingtransfer and financingMonitoring and evaluating policy Monitoring and evaluating policy Monitoring and evaluating policy Monitoring and evaluating policy

1111

2222

• Established under President Established under President Established under President Established under President Regulation #Regulation #Regulation #Regulation #46464646////2008200820082008

• The Dewan Nasional The Dewan Nasional The Dewan Nasional The Dewan Nasional Perubahan Iklim facilitates the Perubahan Iklim facilitates the Perubahan Iklim facilitates the Perubahan Iklim facilitates the coordination of policies and coordination of policies and coordination of policies and coordination of policies and activities on the management activities on the management activities on the management activities on the management of climate change impacts and of climate change impacts and of climate change impacts and of climate change impacts and

10

Monitoring and evaluating policy Monitoring and evaluating policy Monitoring and evaluating policy Monitoring and evaluating policy

implementation on climate change management implementation on climate change management implementation on climate change management implementation on climate change management and controland controland controland control

Strengthening the country’s negotiating position Strengthening the country’s negotiating position Strengthening the country’s negotiating position Strengthening the country’s negotiating position in global climate change negotiationsin global climate change negotiationsin global climate change negotiationsin global climate change negotiations

3333

4444

of climate change impacts and of climate change impacts and of climate change impacts and of climate change impacts and greenhouse gas emission greenhouse gas emission greenhouse gas emission greenhouse gas emission reductionsreductionsreductionsreductions

• The council is chaired by the The council is chaired by the The council is chaired by the The council is chaired by the President of Indonesia and is President of Indonesia and is President of Indonesia and is President of Indonesia and is tasked with…tasked with…tasked with…tasked with…

Mitigation Potential

11

Mitigation Potential

Do it now (potential to be realized by 2015)

Start slow, then accelerate (potential to be realized by 2020)

Develop now, capture over time (potential to be realized from

2015-2030)

Negative

(<0 USD/

ton)

MediumPresent

120

▪ Reforestation – mineral soils

(99 Mt)

▪ Rice management – nutrient

19 Mt

▪ Fire prevention (518 Mt)

▪ Sustainable Forest Management (220

Mt)

▪ Rice management – shallow flooding (20

Mt)

▪ Energy efficient passenger vehicles (8 Mt)

▪ Energy efficient good carrier (6 Mt)

▪ Landfill gas electricity generation (6Mt)

▪ Retrofit HVAC (2 Mt)

▪ Landfill gas direct use (2 Mt)

▪ REDD – smallholder agriculture

(370 Mt)

▪ REDD – Estate crops (185 Mt)

▪ Recycling new waste (17 Mt)

▪ LED Lighting (3 Mt)

50 Mt 21 Mt

▪ Energy efficiency electronic

equipment and appliance in

residential and commercial

buildings (8 Mt)

▪ Small hydro (6 Mt)

▪ Cropland nutrient management

(3 Mt)

12

SOURCE: DNPI Indonesia Greenhouse Gas Emissions Cost Curve; team analysis

Medium

(0 -25

USD/ton)

High

(>25

USD/ton)

Present

day cost

Easy With challenges Difficult

Implementation feasibility (short term)

▪ Water heating – commercial

buildings

▪ Rice management – nutrient

management (4 Mt)

Mt)

▪ Peatland rehabilitation (220 Mt)

▪ REDD – timber plantation (185 Mt)

▪ Large hydro (28 Mt)

▪ Geothermal (27 Mt)

▪ Dedicated biomass (16 Mt)

▪ On shore wind (1 Mt)

▪ Solar PV (3 Mt)

▪ Water heating – residential (2 Mt)

▪ Livestock – feed supplement (2 Mt)

▪ REDD – Estate crops (185 Mt)

103 Mt

0 Mt

1,354 Mt

18 Mt

566 Mt

7 Mt

2010 ASEAN+3 CDM Cooperation Program

Thank you !!Thank you !!