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D. ChristozovMarch 15, 2006
CSSU: Data Warehouses andData Mining
1
Data WarehousesData Mining
Business Intelligence
Applications
D. ChristozovMarch 15, 2006
CSSU: Data Warehouses andData Mining
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Outline
Why needed?
1. Data Base Data Warehouse Data Mining == Knowledge Discovery in DB
2. Data Warehouses: organization, structuring and presentation of data, oriented to analyses. Data Cube
3. DM: preprocessing
4. DM: characterization and comparison
5. DM: classification and forecasting
Conclusion
D. ChristozovMarch 15, 2006
CSSU: Data Warehouses andData Mining
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Why needed?Necessity is the Mother of Invention
Data explosion problem
Automated data collection tools and mature database
technology lead to tremendous amounts of data stored in
databases and other information repositories
We are drowning in data, but starving for knowledge!
Solution: Data warehousing and data mining
Data warehousing and on-line analytical processing (OLAP)
Extraction of interesting knowledge (rules, regularities,
patterns, constraints) from data in large databases
D. ChristozovMarch 15, 2006
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Why needed?
Evolution of Database Technology1960s:
Data collection, database creation, IMS and network DBMS
1970s: Relational data model, relational DBMS implementation
1980s: RDBMS, advanced data models (extended-relational, OO, deductive, etc.) and application-oriented DBMS (spatial, scientific, engineering, etc.)
1990s—2000s: Data warehousing and data mining, multimedia databases, and Web databases
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What Is Data Mining?• Data mining (knowledge discovery in
databases): – Extraction of interesting (non-trivial, implicit,
previously unknown and potentially useful) information or patterns from data in large databases
– Knowledge discovery(mining) in databases (KDD), knowledge extraction, data/pattern analysis, data archeology, data dredging, information harvesting, business intelligence, etc.
• What is not data mining?– Query processing. – Expert systems or statistical programs
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DB DW DM == Knowledge Discovery in DB
– Data mining: the core of knowledge discovery process.
Data Cleaning
Data Integration
Databases
Data Warehouse
Task-relevant Data
Selection
Data Mining
Pattern Evaluation
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Steps of a KDD Process
• Learning the application domain:– relevant prior knowledge and goals of application
• Creating a target data set: data selection• Data cleaning and preprocessing: (may take 60% of effort!)• Data reduction and transformation:
– Find useful features, dimensionality/variable reduction, invariant representation.
• Choosing functions of data mining – summarization, classification, regression, association, clustering.
• Choosing the mining algorithm(s)• Data mining: search for patterns of interest• Pattern evaluation and knowledge presentation
– visualization, transformation, removing redundant patterns, etc.
• Use of discovered knowledge
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CSSU: Data Warehouses andData Mining
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Data Mining and Business Intelligence
Increasing potentialto supportbusiness decisions End User
Business Analyst
DataAnalyst
DBA
MakingDecisions
Data Presentation
Visualization Techniques
Data MiningInformation Discovery
Data Exploration
OLAP, MDA
Statistical Analysis, Querying and Reporting
Data Warehouses / Data Marts
Data SourcesPaper, Files, Information Providers, Database Systems, OLTP
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Data Warehouses: Data Cube OLAP
all
Europe North_America
MexicoCanadaSpainGermany
Vancouver
M. WindL. Chan
...
......
... ...
...
all
region
office
country
TorontoFrankfurtcity
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Data Warehouses: Data Cube OLAP P
rodu
ctReg
ion
Month
Dimensions: Product, Location, TimeHierarchical summarization paths
Industry Region Year
Category Country Quarter
Product City Month Week
Office Day
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Data Warehouses: Data Cube OLAP
Total annual salesof TV in U.S.A.Date
Produ
ct
Cou
ntr
ysum
sum TV
VCRPC
1Qtr 2Qtr 3Qtr 4Qtr
U.S.A
Canada
Mexico
sum
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• Concept description: Characterization and discrimination– Generalize, summarize, and contrast data characteristics, e.g.,
dry vs. wet regions
• Association (correlation and causality)– Multi-dimensional vs. single-dimensional association
– age(X, “20..29”) ^ income(X, “20..29K”) buys(X, “PC”) [support = 2%, confidence = 60%]
– contains(T, “computer”) contains(x, “software”) [1%, 75%]
Data Mining Functionalities (1)
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Data Mining Functionalities (2)
• Classification and Prediction
– Finding models (functions) that describe and distinguish classes or concepts for future prediction
– E.g., classify countries based on climate, or classify cars based on gas mileage
– Presentation: decision-tree, classification rule, neural network
– Prediction: Predict some unknown or missing numerical values
• Cluster analysis
– Class label is unknown: Group data to form new classes, e.g., cluster houses to find distribution patterns
– Clustering based on the principle: maximizing the intra-class similarity and minimizing the interclass similarity
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• Outlier analysis– Outlier: a data object that does not comply with the general behavior
of the data
– It can be considered as noise or exception but is quite useful in fraud
detection, rare events analysis
• Trend and evolution analysis
– Trend and deviation: regression analysis
– Sequential pattern mining, periodicity analysis
– Similarity-based analysis
• Other pattern-directed or statistical analyses
Data Mining Functionalities (3)
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Are All the “Discovered” Patterns Interesting?
• A data mining system/query may generate thousands of patterns,
not all of them are interesting.
– Suggested approach: Human-centered, query-based, focused mining
• Interestingness measures: A pattern is interesting if it is easily
understood by humans, valid on new or test data with some
degree of certainty, potentially useful, novel, or validates some
hypothesis that a user seeks to confirm
• Objective vs. subjective interestingness measures:
– Objective: based on statistics and structures of patterns, e.g., support,
confidence, etc.
– Subjective: based on user’s belief in the data, e.g., unexpectedness,
novelty, actionability, etc.
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Can We Find All and Only Interesting Patterns?
• Find all the interesting patterns: Completeness
– Can a data mining system find all the interesting patterns?
– Association vs. classification vs. clustering
• Search for only interesting patterns: Optimization
– Can a data mining system find only the interesting
patterns?
– Approaches
• First general all the patterns and then filter out the uninteresting
ones.
• Generate only the interesting patterns—mining query optimization
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Data PreprocessingWhy Data Preprocessing?
• Data in the real world is dirty
– incomplete: lacking attribute values, lacking certain attributes of interest, or containing only aggregate data
– noisy: containing errors or outliers
– inconsistent: containing discrepancies in codes or names
• No quality data, no quality mining results!
– Quality decisions must be based on quality data
– Data warehouse needs consistent integration of quality data
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Major Tasks in Data Preprocessing
• Data cleaning– Fill in missing values, smooth noisy data, identify or remove outliers,
and resolve inconsistencies
• Data integration– Integration of multiple databases, data cubes, or files
• Data transformation– Normalization and aggregation
• Data reduction– Obtains reduced representation in volume but produces the same or
similar analytical results
• Data discretization– Part of data reduction but with particular importance, especially for
numerical data
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Data Cleaning
• Data cleaning tasks
– Fill in missing values
– Identify outliers and smooth out noisy data
– Correct inconsistent data
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How to Handle Missing Data?
• Ignore the tuple: usually done when class label is missing (assuming the
tasks in classification—not effective when the percentage of missing values
per attribute varies considerably.
• Fill in the missing value manually: tedious + infeasible?
• Use a global constant to fill in the missing value: e.g., “unknown”, a new
class?!
• Use the attribute mean to fill in the missing value
• Use the attribute mean for all samples belonging to the same class to fill in
the missing value: smarter
• Forecast the missing value : use the most probable value Vs. use of the
value with less impact on the further analysis
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How to Handle Noisy Data?
• Binning method:– first sort data and partition into (equi-depth) bins
– then one can smooth by bin means, smooth by bin median, smooth by bin boundaries, etc.
• Clustering– detect and remove outliers
• Combined computer and human inspection– detect suspicious values and check by human
• Regression– smooth by fitting the data into regression functions
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Data Integration
• Data integration: – combines data from multiple sources into a coherent store
• Schema integration– integrate metadata from different sources– Entity identification problem: identify real world entities
from multiple data sources, e.g., A.cust-id B.cust-#
• Detecting and resolving data value conflicts– for the same real world entity, attribute values from different
sources are different– possible reasons: different representations, different scales,
e.g., metric vs. British units
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Data Transformation
• Smoothing: remove noise from data
• Data reduction - aggregation: summarization, data cube Generalization: concept hierarchy climbing
• Normalization: scaled to fall within a small, specified range
– dimensions
– Scales: nominal, order and interval scales
– min-max normalization
– z-score normalization
– normalization by decimal scaling
• Attribute/feature construction
– New attributes constructed from the given ones
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Data Reduction Strategies
• Warehouse may store terabytes of data: Complex data analysis/mining may take a very long time to run on the complete data set
• Data reduction – Obtains a reduced representation of the data set that is much
smaller in volume but yet produces the same (or almost the same) analytical results
• Data reduction strategies– Data cube aggregation
– Dimensionality reduction
– Numerosity reduction
– Discretization and concept hierarchy generation
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Mining Association Rules in Large Databases
• Association rule mining
• Mining single-dimensional Boolean association rules from transactional databases
• Mining multilevel association rules from transactional databases
• Mining multidimensional association rules from transactional databases and data warehouse
• From association mining to correlation analysis
• Constraint-based association mining
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What Is Association Mining?
• Association rule mining:– Finding frequent patterns, associations, correlations, or causal
structures among sets of items or objects in transaction databases, relational databases, and other information repositories.
• Applications:– Basket data analysis, cross-marketing, catalog design, loss-
leader analysis, clustering, classification, etc.• Examples.
– Rule form: “Body ead [support, confidence]”.– buys(x, “diapers”) buys(x, “beers”) [0.5%, 60%]– major(x, “CS”) ^ takes(x, “DB”) grade(x, “A”) [1%, 75%]
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Rule Measures: Support and Confidence
Customerbuys diaper
Customerbuys both
Customerbuys beer
Find all the rules X & Y Z with minimum confidence and support– support, s, probability that a
transaction contains {X Y Z}– confidence, c, conditional
probability that a transaction having {X Y} also contains Z
Let minimum support 50%, and minimum confidence 50%, we have– A C (50%, 66.6%)– C A (50%, 100%)
Transaction ID Items Bought2000 A,B,C1000 A,C4000 A,D5000 B,E,F
D. ChristozovMarch 15, 2006
CSSU: Data Warehouses andData Mining
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Association Rule Mining
• Boolean vs. quantitative associations • buys(x, “SQLServer”) ^ buys(x, “DMBook”) buys(x,
“DBMiner”) [0.2%, 60%]– age(x, “30..39”) ^ income(x, “42..48K”) buys(x, “PC”) [1%, 75%]
• Single dimension vs. multiple dimensional associations • Single level vs. multiple-level analysis
– What brands of beers are associated with what brands of diapers?• Various extensions
– Correlation, causality analysis• Association does not necessarily imply correlation or causality
– Constraints enforced• E.g., small sales (sum < 100) trigger big buys (sum > 1,000)?
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Concept Description: Characterization and Comparison
Concept description: Characterization: provides a concise and succinct
summarization of the given collection of data
Comparison: provides descriptions comparing two or more collections of data
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Classification and Prediction
• Classification:
– predicts categorical class labels
– classifies data (constructs a model) based on the training set and the values (class labels) in a classifying attribute and uses it in classifying new data
• Prediction:
– models continuous-valued functions, i.e., predicts unknown or missing values
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Classification—A Two-Step Process
• Model construction: describing a set of predetermined classes– Each tuple/sample is assumed to belong to a predefined class, as
determined by the class label attribute
– The set of tuples used for model construction: training set
– The model is represented as classification rules, decision trees, or mathematical formulae
• Model usage: for classifying future or unknown objects– Estimate accuracy of the model
• The known label of test sample is compared with the classified result from the model
• Accuracy rate is the percentage of test set samples that are correctly classified by the model
• Test set is independent of training set, otherwise over-fitting will occur
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Classification Process (1): Model Construction
TrainingData
NAME RANK YEARS TENUREDMike Assistant Prof 3 noMary Assistant Prof 7 yesBill Professor 2 yesJim Associate Prof 7 yesDave Assistant Prof 6 noAnne Associate Prof 3 no
ClassificationAlgorithms
IF rank = ‘professor’OR years > 6THEN tenured = ‘yes’
Classifier(Model)
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Classification Process (2): Use the Model in Prediction
Classifier
TestingData
NAME RANK YEARS TENUREDTom Assistant Prof 2 noMerlisa Associate Prof 7 noGeorge Professor 5 yesJoseph Assistant Prof 7 yes
Unseen Data
(Jeff, Professor, 4)
Tenured?
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Supervised vs. Unsupervised Learning
• Supervised learning (classification)
– Supervision: The training data (observations,
measurements, etc.) are accompanied by labels indicating
the class of the observations
– New data is classified based on the training set
• Unsupervised learning (clustering)
– The class labels of training data is unknown
– Given a set of measurements, observations, etc. with the
aim of establishing the existence of classes or clusters in
the data
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Q and A
Thank you !!!Thank you !!!