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Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

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Page 1: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Page 2: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

PayPal overview

• 50M user accounts

• 5 currencies, 45 countries

• Alternative funding options for buyers who don’t own credit cards or prefer not to use them:

• Bank account transfer• eCheck• Stored balance• Buyer Credit 1 2 3 5 7 8 10

1214

1719

2327

3235

40

4650

PayPal Member Account Growth through Q2 ‘04

A growing community of users

Page 3: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

eBay is a premier growth company …

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1,000,000

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43

(Real $M)

STARBUCKS

GMV

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Years from incorporationNote: Sales and GMV adjusted to reflect 2003 dollars. http://www.bea.gov/dn/home/gdp.htmSource: eBay; US Department of commerce; Bureau of Economic Analysis; BCG analysis.

Page 4: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1,000,000

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43

STARBUCKS

… and so is PayPal!

GMV

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Years from incorporation

TPV

(Real $M)

Note: Sales and GMV adjusted to reflect 2003 dollars. http://www.bea.gov/dn/home/gdp.htmSource: eBay; US Department of commerce; Bureau of Economic Analysis; BCG analysis.

Page 5: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

How PayPal works

SendersSenders

Visa/MC, Amex,

Discover

Bank Account

Debit Card (e.g., Switch-

Solo in UK)Stored Value

Account

Bank Account

PayPal Debit MasterCard

Paper Check

Another PayPal account

Stored Value Account

ReceiversReceivers

eCheck

Page 6: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Why PayPal works for buyers

• Free to use• Pay anyone with a credit card or bank account: “online wallet”• Fast, secure payment – 1 week → 1 minute• Stores financial information securely to maintains user privacy• Works cross-border

eCommerce

P2P/remittances

Importance PP competitiveness

Cost

Convenience

Rewards/loyalty points

Security

Network

Page 7: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Why PayPal works for sellers

• Enables credit card acceptance• Faster payment = faster inventory turn• Easy to sign up• No setup, monthly or gateway fees• Competitive price with no minimum time commitment• Fraud protection – 25 bp vs. 110 bp

Page 8: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Complementary missions

The world’s online marketplace

The world’s online

payments standard

Powering Online

Commerce

Page 9: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Symbiotic relationship with eBay

• Increases velocity of trade

• Enhances trust & safety

• Enables innovation

• Provides the aggregation point for small business

• Drives critical mass of buyers & sellers

• Solved counter-party problem

Page 10: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Impact to eBay marketplace

56%

49%45%

41%38% 39%

32%

58%53%

48%44%44%

68%68%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%PayPal integration

Year-over-year US transaction revenue growth

Note: 2001 data reflects growth rates in total US revenues, not just “transaction revenues.” Transaction revenues have constituted over 95% of total US revenues from 2002 through Q2, 2004.

Page 11: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

PayPal enables global trade

Can be used in 45 countries

PayPal available

PayPal available + Local Bank Acct. Withdrawal

Currencies Supported: US $, CA $, GBP £, Euro €, JP Yen ¥

Localized: US, UK, DE, FR, BE, CH, NL, AT

Page 12: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

A Global Destiny

PayPal TPV

$0.63 $0.74$0.88

$1.10$1.30

$1.41 $1.59

$2.12

$2.63

$2.86$3.07

$4.42

$3.76

$4.46

Q1 01Q2 01

Q3 01Q4 01

Q1 02Q2 02

Q3 02Q4 02

Q1 03Q2 03

Q3 03Q4 03

Q1 04Q2 04

US

$ B

illi

on

s

• Milestones• Multi-currency support in November

2002• UK site: September 2003• DE site: July 2004• FR site: August 2003

• PayPal will continue to support eBay in key geographies where eBay is strong and payments solutions are required

% of PayPal revenues from Int'l

19.6%21.0% 21.4%

23.2%

26.2%28.7%

Q1 03Q2 03

Q3 03Q4 03

Q1 04Q2 04

Page 13: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Can banks profit from “remittances”?

• Yes, but…

• Market competition is fierce• MTOs have 90% of the “official” market (Western Union, MoneyGram)• MTOs have robust physical distribution, low access barriers, real time funds transfer• Internet P2P players (e.g., Yahoo PayDirect)

• Need to overcome the “the first mile problem”• Establish profitability to serve customers• Customer-friendly interface• Customer acquisition• No real time funds transfer between institutions• Legal/Regulatory barriers – USA Patriot Act, card associations, NACHA

• Need to overcome the “the last mile problem”• Receivers are largely “unbanked,” exhibit low financial literacy• Local bank networks (branches and ATMs) still in development• FATF

Page 14: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Possible market strategies

• Banks• Learn from past experiences – C2it, from Citibank• Acquire user base – lower barriers to access• Offer a compelling product• Compete on price, value

• MTOs• Business model already works• Compete on “real time funds transfer”• Offer a customer-friendly UI, “fast and secure” payment to reach out new

customer segments• Upgrade product line to offer P2P, “delayed payment” offering

• New technologies mean new opportunities• Leverage ATM networks• Use the proliferation of the Internet

Page 15: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Partnering for success in remittances

PayPal offers• User network of 50 million, with stored

financial information

• Millions of immigrants

• Convenient, “always on” front end in key sender countries: US, UK, DE

• Pricing is 50% less than MTO

• Real time funds availability (instant ACH or credit cards)

• Innovative products

• Trusted payments brand in US

• Secure platform

• Money transmitter license

• Compliant with USA Patriot Act

• International account-to-account transfers

PayPal needs• Banked senders and receivers, who are

online; OR

• Partner to deliver funds from a user’s PayPal account; OR

• Physical access points for offline or unbanked receivers

• Access to customers in receiver countries

• Sponsorship into the ATM network

• Compliance – OFAC, AML, etc

• Trusted payments brand in receiver countries

Page 16: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Segment share (projected)

Source: Financial DNA, June 2002; Celent Communications, August 2002

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E

Seg

men

t sh

are

Western Union

MoneyGram

Large banks

Card to Card ATM

P2P

• Card-based transactions will be disruptive to agent-based players like Western Union→ Ubiquity

– 30,000 McDonalds– 169,000 Western Union Agents– 1.2 million ATM locations

→ Acceptance– In 2003, there were 2.5 million remittance ATM-card holders in developing world– By 2006, that could be 13 million

• Revenue opportunity in card-based transactions could exceed $2 billion

Page 17: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Preferred payment methods

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

% o

f V

olu

me

US Canada France UK Italy Germany

Cashless Payment Usage

Checks Cards Bank Transfer

Source: BIS Red Book

Page 18: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Mexico

India

Prioritizing segments for remittances

• Sophistication of bank system

• Financial services coverage

• Trustworthiness of financial institutions

EU

# Segment size

($ Billions)

China

LAC

CAUK

• Internet adoption• Online penetration• High-speed access

High

Low

Low High

Philippines

Eastern Europe

Middle east

Page 19: Creating a new global standard for online payments 10/07/04

Thank You!

Merci Dankë Cheers! Domo arigatoXie xie Dhanyabad Abhar GraciasSpasibo Grazie Asante Sipas

Go raibh maith agaibh Murromboo Komapsumnida Shukriya Tashakkur Achiu Wanìshi Doh je Mahalo Toda Shukran

Aman [email protected]

Dickson [email protected]