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FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member , FTTH Council Europe Conference “Fibre enabling eHealth”, Brussels, Belgium 27 April 2016 Creating a brighter future

Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

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Page 1: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities

Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe

Conference “Fibre enabling eHealth”, Brussels, Belgium

27 April 2016

Creating a brighter future

Page 2: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

FTTH Council Europe

A sustainable future

for Europe

enabled by

Fibre to the Home

Page 3: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

Global FTTH Panorama

18 M 18 M

140 M

2 M

3.5 M

15 M

Source: FTTH Global Alliance, February 2015

Idate, February 2016

Number of FTTH subscribers worldwide

Page 4: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

FTTH/B figures EU39 at end-September 2015

More than 35.9 million FTTH/B subscribers

Nearly 127 million FTTH/B Homes Passed

CI

S Subscribers = 50% Homes passed = 46%

EU 28 Subscribers = 46%

Homes passed = 43%

Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

Iceland

Israel

Kazakhstan

Page 5: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

FTTH/B European Ranking – end-September 2015

Household Penetration of countries* with more than

1% household penetration

*Economies with at least 200,000 households

Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe,

February 2016

European FTTH Ranking – end-September 2015

(blue) Fibre-to-the-home subscribers

(red) Fibre-to-the-Building subscribers

Lithuania

Latvia

Sweden

Russia

Norway

Romania

Bulgaria

Portugal

Denmark

Slovenia

Netherlands

Spain

Luxembourg

Slovakia

Finland

Kazakhstan

Estonia

Belarus

Hungary

Ukraine

France

Turkey

Macedonia

Switzerland

Czech Republic

Italy

Croatia

Germany

Poland

Page 6: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

Historical data and growing trends

January to September 2015

• European Union: interesting momentum since 2013

• CIS countries: higher growth rates for subs than for HP

• General trend: little slow down… a short break before the real start?

Growth of FTTH/B Homes Passed since 2010

(million)

Growth of FTTH/B subscribers since 2010

(million)

Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

Page 7: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

Socio-economic benefits of ultra-broadband

Improvements in

EDUCATION

Increased efficiency in

HEALTHCARE

Improved CARE with

reduced cost

Positive impact on

ECONOMY

ECO efficiency and

sustainability

• Video based learning

• Pooling of educational resources/budget

• Key to digital society

• Faster connection between healthcare givers

• Efficient sharing of large information

• Remote diagnosis

• Remote monitoring of chronic health conditions

• Elderly care

• Improved quality of life for long-term sick people

• Increase in population/businesses in remote areas

• Attracting key verticals

• Key for small businesses

• Eco efficient technologies

• More homework = less traffic

• Smart communities

Page 8: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

Applications

TRAFFIC

EXPLOSION

FTTH networks are the only one capable of sustaining the traffic increase

Users

Devices

2015:

Global IP traffic has increased

more than fivefold in the past 5

years

2019:

Global Internet traffic will be

equivalent to 64 times the volume

of the entire global Internet in 2005

Source: Cisco, 2015

Content & Application driving

increase in network consumption

Page 9: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

Case Study in Sweden

VIRTUAL MEETINGS HEALTHCARE NATIVE LANGUAGE

TEACHING

• Local government

meetings are held via

video-conferencing.

• Less travelling allows

to save time, money

and environment

• Consultations with other

hospitals

• Monitoring premature

babies at home from the

hospital

• Elderly/patient home care

None of the schools had

resources to hire language

teachers. Now, several

schools hire one teacher to

teach through High Speed

Internet.

Page 10: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

Health benefits from telecommunication!

• Citizens keep track of their

health in new ways.

Researches can conduct

large data analysis

previously unimagineable.

In almost real time.

• CMIV - MRI creating 3D

models of bodies.

Thousands of pictures each

maybe 5-10 mbyte totals

gigabytes of data for a

model.

• Transferred in seconds

within the hospital and

around the world.

• Wifi connected thermometer

where we can trach

temprature over time.

• Anybody think our doctors

would be interested? Would

it make life easier?

ResearchKit & HealthKit

Page 11: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

Bridging the digital divide

Page 12: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

European Region FTTH/B Forecast

Source: Heavy Reading for FTTH

Council Europe, February 2015

Note: Households connected directly

to fiber and apartment connected via

basement fiber termination (FTTB)

Page 13: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

Europe in context: the race to fibre maturity

So

urc

e: H

ea

vy R

ea

din

g fo

r F

TT

H C

ou

ncil

Eu

rop

e, F

eb

rua

ry 2

01

2

Country 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

After

2022

Japan

Korea

China

Taiwan

Australia

USA

Canada

Russia

France

Germany

Italy

UK

Spain

Sweden

Netherlands

Portugal

Switzerland

Denmark

EUROPEAN UNION

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

After

2022

Page 14: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference
Page 15: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

FTTH Conference 2017 Save the date!

www.ftthconference.eu

See you next year in Marseille, France 14 to 16 February 2017

Page 16: Creating a brighter future - Etelä-Pohjanmaan liitto Ahl_FTTH Council...FTTH coverage in Europe: future threats & possibilities Tobias Ahl, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe Conference

www.ftthcouncil.eu

Thank you !