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Corporate Presentation October 2009 THE PREMIUM VALUE DEFINED GROWTH INDEPENDENT VALUE CREATION RETURN ON CAPITAL LOW-COST PRODUCER RETURN ON ASSETS

Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

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Page 1: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

Corporate PresentationOctober 2009

THE PREMIUM VALUE DEFINED GROWTH INDEPENDENT

VALUE CREATION RETURN ON CAPITAL LOW-COST PRODUCER RETURN ON ASSETS

Page 2: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

SNAPSHOT 2008 2009F

Cash flow (C$ millions) $6,969 $5,800 - $6,200

Per share - basic (C$) $12.89 $10.70 - $11.45

Capital expenditures (C$ millions) $7,451 $3,150

Dividend (C$/share) $0.40

Common shares (thousands) 540,991

Production (annual average, before royalties)Oil (mbbl/d) 316 346 - 382Natural gas (mmcf/d) 1,495 1,289 - 1,330BOE (mboe/d) 565 561 - 604

Conventional reserves (after royalties as at December 31, 2008 – constant pricing)

Proved oil (mmbbl) 1,346Proved natural gas (bcf) 3,684Proved BOE (mmboe) 1,960Proved and probable BOE (mmboe) 2,996

Synthetic crude oil reserves (after royalties as at December 31, 2008 – constant pricing)Proved (mmbbl) 1,946Proved and probable (mmbbl) 2,944

Based upon the following assumptions, including the impact of hedging2009F

Oil WTI (US$/bbl) $59.00Natural gas NYMEX (US$/mmbtu) $4.25Heavy oil diff (US$/bbl) $10.65C$/US$ $0.86

(1)

(1)

DELIVERING VALUE AND GROWTH

Page 3: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

1

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ2

Production Mix (Q2/09)

North Sea7%

6%

OffshoreWest Africa

NorthAmerica

87%

• Canadian based E&P company with international exposure

• ~US$40 billion enterprise value• ~590,000 boe/d – Q2/09

– 62% crude oil weighted• ~175,000 bbl/d new

capacity added • ~582,000 boe/d - 2009F • Returns focused • Major oil sands player

– Major in-situ producer with several projects in inventory

– Major mining project currently ramping production

The Premium Value, Defined Growth Independent

Who is Canadian Natural?Who is Canadian Natural?

CNQ3

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 090

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

• Consistent valuecreation through successful

–Exploitation –Exploration–Opportunistic

acquisitions

• 100% of reservessubject toindependent evaluation

Who is Canadian Natural?Who is Canadian Natural?

Consistent History of Value Creation

Production / Proved Reserves History (before royalties)

Production Reserves

Daily Production (m

boe/d)Prov

ed R

eser

ves

(mm

boe)

F

Note: Excluding bitumen mining reserves.

Page 4: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

2

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ4

Why Invest in Why Invest in Canadian NaturalCanadian Natural’’s Futures Future• Strong, low-risk asset base

– Includes world class oil sands in-situ and mining developments

–Largest producer of heavy crude oil in western Canada

–Largest net undeveloped land base in western Canada

–Second largest producer of natural gas in western Canada

• Balanced and large size reduces risk

• Track record of value creation

• Proven / committed management

• Winning exploitation-based strategy

• Defined plan for profitable growth

• Focused on value creation

Consistent History of Value Creation

CNQ5

35%Oil

48%Oil

29%Gas

75%DropIn Oil

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Q1

- 89

Q1

- 90

Q1

- 91

Q1

- 92

Q1

- 93

Q1

- 94

Q1

- 95

Q1

- 96

Q1

- 97

Q1

- 98

Q1

- 99

Q1

- 00

Q1

- 01

Q1

- 02

Q1

- 03

Q1

- 04

Q1

- 05

Q1

- 06

Q1

- 07

Q1

-08

Q1

- 09Historical Production GrowthHistorical Production Growth

Canadian Natural Production - 1989 to Present

Significant Price Reduction

(boe/d) Horizon ProjectConstruction

Successful Execution Through the Cycle

Page 5: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

3

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ6

A History of Value CreationA History of Value Creation

$0$2$4$6$8

$10$12$14$16

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008$0

$10$20$30$40$50$60$70$80

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080

3

6

9

12

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Conventional Pretax Net Asset Value Per Share*

Actual 25% CAGR

Cash Flow Per Share*

Daily Production Per 10,000 Shares (boe/d)

Reserves Per Share* (boe)

Gas Oil Mining SCO

Actual 25% CAGR

Gas Oil

*Refer to page 3 of the 2008 Canadian Natural Annual Report for a detailed description of notes.

28% CAGR28% CAGR

Consistent Growth

8% CAGR8% CAGR

20% CAGR20% CAGR

26% CAGR26% CAGR

CNQ7

Committed ManagementCommitted Management

$199 $173 $157 $156 $144$73 $40 $24

$737

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

CNQ XTO DVN EOG ECA APA APC PXD NXY TLM

• Substantial management and director wealth at stake

–Strong motivation for management to perform

–Delivers clear alignment with shareholder interests

Note: Based on share ownership data excluding options and priced at July 24, 2009.Source: Thomson Reuters.

Management / Directors Stock Ownership(US$ millions)

$1,484

Consistent History of Value Creation

Page 6: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

4

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ8

Our StrategyOur Strategy

• Capital allocation to maximize value• Defined growth / value enhancement plans

by product / basin• Balance

–Product mix–Project time horizons–Drill bit and acquisitions–Strong balance sheet

• Opportunistic acquisitions• Control costs through area knowledge and domination of core

focus areas

A Proven, Effective Strategy

CNQ9

Natural Gas Natural Gas Operating Cost Peer ComparisonOperating Cost Peer Comparison

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Q1/08 Q2/08 Q3/08 Q4/08 Q1/09 Q2/09

Note: Other Producers - NXY, HSE, TLM, ECA, ARC, PWT, PGF.UN.

($/mcf)

Canadian Natural

Peer Average

Source: Corporate reports.

Peer Group

Best in Class Versus Established Peers

Page 7: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

5

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ10

Heavy Oil Heavy Oil Operating Cost Peer ComparisonOperating Cost Peer Comparison

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

$20.00

$25.00

Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Q1/08 Q2/08 Q3/08 Q4/08 Q1/09 Q2/09

($/bbl)

Note: Other Producers - NXY, HSE, TLM, ECA. CNQ heavy oil operations not including thermal operating costs. Source: Corporate reports.

Canadian Natural

Best in Class Versus Established Peers

Peer GroupPeer Average

CNQ11

North Sea Crude Oil Natural % of & NGLs Gas BOE Total

(mbbl) (mmcf) (6:1)2009F Production (per day) 37 - 41 8 - 10 38 - 432008 Production (per day) 45 10 47 8%2008 Proved Reserves (mmbbl/bcf) 256 67 267 12%

Note: Production numbers reflect Q2/09 actual production, before royalties. All figures are before royalties.

Offshore West Africa Crude Oil Natural % of & NGLs Gas BOE Total

(mbbl) (mmcf) (6:1)2009F Production (per day) 31 - 36 16 - 20 34 - 392008 Production (per day) 27 13 29 5%2008 Proved Reserves (mmbbl/bcf) 157 107 175 8%

NW AB466 mmcf/d

14 mbbl/d

NE BC336 mmcf/d

6 mbbl/d

Northern Plains356 mmcf/d192 mbbl/d

SE SK3 mmcf/d8 mbbl/d

Southern Plains

161 mmcf/d12 mbbl/d

North America Crude Oil Natural % of & NGLs Gas BOE/d Total (mbbl/d) (mmcf/d) (6:1)

2009F Production - conventional (per day) 220 - 240 1,265 - 1,300 431 - 4572008 Production - conventional (per day) 243 1,472 488 87%2008 Proved reserves - conventional (mmbbl/bcf) 1,057 4,077 1,737 80%

2009F Production - oil sands mining (bbl/d SCO) 58 - 65 58 - 652008 Proved SCO reserves (mmbbl) 1,946

Overview of TodayOverview of Today’’s Operationss Operations

Canadian Targeted Asset Base with Selected International Exposure

Oil Sands Mining 60 mbbl/d

Page 8: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

6

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ12

1-2 years 3-5 years BeyondNatural Gas Optimize Potential for >8,000 potential

returns 3-5% CAGR drilling locations

NA Oil Pelican / Primary 5-7% CAGR >20 years ofPrimrose of development

International Free cash High return Major area forflow projects growth (acq)

Horizon Commence Expansion to 6 - 8 billion bbl*Phase 1 232 - 250 mbbl/d

*Includes estimated mineable reserves and contingent resources.

A Growing, Returns - Focused E&P Creating Significant Value

Essential Elements to Our Defined PlanEssential Elements to Our Defined Plan

CNQ13

Canadian Natural Gas AssetsCanadian Natural Gas Assets

NW AB466 mmcf/d

NE BC336 mmcf/d

Northern Plains356 mmcf/d

SE SK3 mmcf/d

Southern Plains

161 mmcf/d

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Disciplined Development of Strong Gas AssetsNote: Reflects Q2/09 actual production, before royalties.

• 2009 plan–Maintain development of

growth projects–Expand inventory–High grade drilling program

and optimize production

Page 9: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

7

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ14

Natural Gas Natural Gas Core Area SummariesCore Area Summaries• North and South Plains

– Conventional exploitation• Shallow gas and HSC CBM

resource projects• Low risk, low cost, highly

profitable• Foothills

– High impact exploration• 14% average annual growth

since 2004• NE British Columbia

– Unconventional - Muskwa and Montney

• Low cost entry• NW Alberta

– Resource projects - Deep Basin and Montney

• Repeatable, large scale

Northern / Southern

Plains

NE BC

Foothills

NW AB

BCAB

CNQ Land

SK

Balanced, Cost Effective Growth

CNQ15

Heavy Oil AssetsHeavy Oil Assets

• Reliable conventional production

• Pelican Lake EOR development– Access additional 247 - 370

million barrels of resource potential

• Thermal in-situ development– Significant resource potential in

current plans– ~285,000 bbl/d of additional

in-situ production over next15 years

• Canadian Natural has competitive advantage via its vast land base

Birch Mountain(W. Horizon)

Gregoire

CNQ Land

Primrose(63 mbbl/d)

300 miles

Conventional Heavy Oil

(85 mbbl/d)

Kirby

Note: Reflects Q2/09 actual production, before royalties.

ABSK

Pelican Lake(36 mbbl/d)

Technology Option

Page 10: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

8

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ16

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Heavy Oil Heavy Oil Pelican LakePelican Lake

Produced to Date**127 mmbbl

How big is the reservoir?

How much of that oil is producible?

What method will be used to produce that oil?

*Includes proved and probable (December 31, 2008) reserves and contingent resources. **Estimated at December 31, 2008.

Future Primary*56 mmbbl

FuturePolymer,

Waterflood*399 mmbbl

OOIP* - 4.1 billion barrels Developed Region

Massive Resource to Exploit

Estimated FutureProduction*455 mmbbl

Produced to Date**127 mmbbl

(bar

rels

per

day

) Convert waterfloods to polymer

Polymer flood

Primary

Waterflood

• World class oil pool

• Efficient, low cost operations

• Polymer flood successful both technically and economically

• Technology enhancement will continue to improve oil recovery

CNQ17

Thermal Heavy Oil Thermal Heavy Oil PotentialPotential

285,000 bbl/d incremental production

Estimated Bitumen in Place33 billion barrels total

ClearwaterPrimrose

11 billion barrels

KirbyGrouseLeismer

Birch MountainGregoire

McMurray22 billion barrels

Proved and ProbableReserves*

1.1 billion barrels

Estimated Ultimate Recovery5.6 billion barrels total

Contingent Resources4.5 billion barrels

*December 31, 2008.

33 Billion Barrels of Bitumen in Place

Page 11: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

9

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ18

Thermal Heavy Oil Thermal Heavy Oil Growth PlanGrowth Plan

Oil Production TargetPhase Capacity Timing

(bbl/d) (year)

1 Primrose North/South 80,000 On Stream2 Primrose East 40,000 On Stream3 Kirby 45,000 20134 Grouse 60,000 20145 Birch Mountain East 60,000 20166 Gregoire 1 60,000 20187 CSS - Follow-up Process 30,000 20188 Leismer 30,000 2020

405,000

• 30,000 - 60,000 bbl/d addition every 2 - 3 years

Growth for Decades

CNQ19

Heavy Oil Heavy Oil Three Pronged Marketing PlanThree Pronged Marketing Plan

Southern Access expansionTerasen Phase 1 expansion (Edmonton to Vancouver)

Cum

ulat

ive

Incr

emen

tal V

olum

e

DilSynbitWCS (Western Canadian Select)Synbit

Blending

Pipelines

Short TermUp to 5 years

Medium Term5 to 10 years

Pegasus (Patoka to USGC)Spearhead (Chicago to Cushing)

Long Term>10 years

Conversioncapacity

CNQ isblending

~ 138 mbbl/d

Keystone (TCPL pipeline to Patoka, Cushing, Port Arthur)Alberta Clipper (ENB pipeline) CNQ has

committed120 mbbl/d

CNQ has committed

25 mbbl/d onPegasus

West Coast options (Gateway, TMX)

Texas Access USGC

Additional refinery conversion capacityRefining: cokers / hydrocrackersUpgrading: bitumen / heavy oil

CNQ has committed

100 mbbl/d to USGC refiner

Access to Incremental Markets Over the Short, Medium and Long Term

Page 12: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

10

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ20

Heavy OilHeavy OilKeystone PipelineKeystone Pipeline• Transportation

– Committed 120,000 bbl/d to the Keystone Pipeline Expansion to USGC for 20 years

• Mitigates logistical constraints– Narrows heavy oil differential

• Significantly reduces market risk for incremental production

• Alternative routing in the event of pipeline apportionment

• Supply– Committed 100,000 bbl/d to major

US Gulf Coast refiner for 20 years

Q4-2010Q4-2012

Pipeline Access to New Market is Critical

Q4-2009

CNQ21

International OperationsInternational Operations• North Sea

–Exploitation based value creation–Delivering field life extension–Generates significant free cash flow–Opportunity for acquisition in future years–Leveraging technical strengths in Africa

• Offshore West Africa–High return, long lead projects–Generates significant free cash flow–2008/9 activity

• Baobab sand issues dealt with, optimize West Espoir– 4 wells drilled over 2008/09, restored production of

11,000 bbl/d net to Canadian Natural• Mature Olowi exploitation project

– First production achieved April 2009

Focus on Free Cash Flow While Setting Up For Future Expansion

Page 13: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

11

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ22

Canadian NaturalCanadian Natural’’s Mineable Assets s Mineable Assets --Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil Sands• Mining resources

–16 billion barrels in place*, with 6 to 8 billion barrels recoverable**• 2.9 billion barrels of net proved

and probable SCO• Phased development (SCO)

– 110 mbbl/d capacity(Phase 1)

– Expansion to 232 to 250 mbbl/dcapacity targeted

– Future expansions to ~500 mbbl/d

• Significant free cash flow generation for decades

*Discovered initially-in-place estimate.**Includes mineable reserves and contingent resources.

World Class Opportunity - 40 Year Reserve ~500* mbbl/d -No Production Declines

UTS

SYN

SHC

SYN

SYN

DVN

PCASU

PCA

IOL

ECA

SU

SU

IOL

HSE

XOM

SHC

SU

SynencoSHC

XOM

ECA

ECA

Deer Creek

SU

UTS

SYN

SHC

SYN

SYN

DVN

PCASU

PCA

IMO

ECA

SU

SU

IMO

HSE

XOM

SHC

SU

SynencoSHC

XOM

ECA

ECA

TOT

SU

FortMcMurray

~43

mile

s

CNQCNQ

CNQHorizon

Oil Sands

CNQ23

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsProduction PlanProduction Plan• First synthetic production - February 28, 2009• Staged production

–Ramp up to full capacity of 110,000 bbl/d SCO throughout 2009• New equipment - may have premature failures• Fine tune plant to design rates and operational reliability

• 2009 production plan–Target to produce a total of 21.2 to 24.5 million barrels of SCO–Annual equivalent daily production of 58,000 to 65,000 barrels

Ramp up Throughout 2009

Page 14: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

12

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ24

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsPhase 1 Wall of Cash FlowPhase 1 Wall of Cash Flow

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

2009

*

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

2021

2023

2025

2027

2029

2031

2033

2035

2037

2039

2041

2043

2045

WTI = US$56.00

Cash Flow(C$ millions)

Note: After tax and royalty. *2009 WTI = US$59.00.

Free Cash Flow - Sustainable for Decades

CNQ25

Canadian NaturalCanadian Natural2009 Overall Plan2009 Overall Plan1) Execute in a low price, tight, costly credit environment2) Pay down debt3) Re-profile major capital spending where appropriate4) Ramp up Horizon Oil Sands production5) Ensure capital flexibility for even tougher times6) Conserve our land base

– Expiries– Drainage

7) Keep thermal program on track8) Prepare for the future

– Cost reductions– Acquisition opportunities

9) Focus on value growth not production growth

Focus on Value Growth

Page 15: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

13

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ26

Canadian NaturalCanadian Natural2009 Capital Budget2009 Capital Budget

2008 2009F ChangeProduction (mmboe/d) 565 561 - 604 3%

Capital ($mm)Conventional $1,877 $ 1,305 (30%)Thermal 522 410 (21%)North Sea 325 170 (48%)Offshore West Africa 819 580 (29%)Horizon 4,064 600 (85%)Total $7,607 $3,150 (59%)

Reduction of $0.8 billion from Original 2009 Budget

CNQ27

$0.0

$1.5

$3.0

$4.5

$6.0

$7.5

Canadian NaturalCanadian NaturalCash Flow Range 2009Cash Flow Range 2009

4.1

(C$billion)

WTI US$/bbl $69.00 $59.00 $40.00AECO C$/GJ $7.37 $4.25 $4.00F/X US$/C$ $0.87 $0.86 $0.75

• Reaping the rewards of significant pre-2009 capital spending• Assuming in 2009 a $3.2 billion CAPEX program

2009 Cash Flow

*Adjusted for hedging and Canadian dollar impact.

3.7

2.2*

2.0

3.1*

2.7

7.3

6.2

5.85.4

5.2

2009 Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow in Low Price Environment

6.9

Page 16: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

14

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ28

Canadian Natural AssetsCanadian Natural Assets

• Natural gas–>8,000 potential wells in inventory–Strong exposure to shale gas–Large land base in western Canada

• Heavy crude oil–285,000 bbl/d incremental thermal oil–Dominant primary heavy oil position–Technology upside

• International–Baobab infill–Olowi development–South Africa exploration

• Horizon Oil Sands–Phase 1 onstream–Future - take production to ~500,000 bbl/d–Technology upside

Significant Upside

CNQ29

Canadian Natural AdvantageCanadian Natural Advantage

• Management, business philosophy, practice• Strong, balanced assets

–Vast opportunities• Balanced, proven, effective strategy• Control over capital allocation• Nimble

–Capture opportunities–Willingness to make tough decisions

• Significant free cash flow• Canadian Natural culture

–Low cost–Execution focused

The Premium Value, Defined Growth Independent

Page 17: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

15

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ30

Certain statements in this document or documents incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “plan”, “estimate”, “target”, “continue”, “could” “intend”, “may”, “potential”, “predict”, “should”, “will”, “objective”, “project”, “forecast”, “goal”, “guidance”, “outlook”, “effort” “seeks”, “schedule” or expressions of a similar nature suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an outlook. Statements relating to “reserves” are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved crude oil and natural gas reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of actual future production may vary significantly from reserve and production estimates.

These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks and the reader should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as there can be no assurance that the plans, initiatives or expectations upon which they are based will occur.

The forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about Canadian Natural Resources Limited (the “Company”) and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as of the date such statements were made or as of the date of the report or document in which they are contained and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, among others: general economic and business conditions which will, among other things, impact demand for and market prices of the Company’s products; volatility of and assumptions regarding crude oil and natural gas prices; fluctuations in currency and interest rates; assumptions on which the Company’s current guidance is based; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business; political uncertainty, including actions of or against terrorists, insurgent groups or other conflict including conflict between states; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its business strategy, including exploration and development activities; impact of competition; the Company’s defense of lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic, drilling and other equipment; ability of the Company and its subsidiaries to complete its capital programs; the Company’s and its subsidiaries’ ability to secure adequate transportation for its products; unexpected difficulties in mining, extracting or upgrading the Company’s bitumen products; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary labour required to build its thermal and oil sands mining projects; operating hazards and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude oil and natural gas; availability and cost of financing; the Company’s and its subsidiaries’ success of exploration and development activities and their ability to replace and expand crude oil and natural gas reserves; timing and success of integrating the business and operations of acquired companies; production levels; imprecision of reserve estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas and liquids not currently classified as proved; actions by governmental authorities; government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with them (especially safety and environmental laws and regulations and the impact of climate change initiatives on operating costs); asset retirement obligations; the adequacy of the Company’s provision for taxes; and other circumstances affecting revenues and expenses. Certain of these factors are discussed in more detail under the heading “Risk Factors”. The Company’s operations have been, and at times in the future may be affected by political developments and by federal, provincial and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, changes in taxes, royalties and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the Company’s course of action would depend upon its assessment of the future considering all information then available.

Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of important factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed in this report could also have material adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to it on the date such forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Except as required by law, the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements should circumstances or Management’s estimates or opinions change.

Forward Looking StatementsForward Looking Statements

CNQ31

Special Note Regarding Currency, Production and ReservesIn this document, all references to dollars refer to Canadian dollars unless otherwise stated. Production data is presented on a before royalties basis unless otherwise stated. In addition, reference is made to oil and gas in common units called barrel of oil equivalent (“boe”). A boe is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of crude oil (6 mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6mcf:1bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency at the burner tip and does not represent the value equivalency at the well head.Canadian Natural retains qualified independent reserve evaluators to evaluate 100% of the Company’s conventional proved, as well as proved and probable crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves and prepare Evaluation Reports on these reserves. Canadian Natural has been granted an exemption from National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”), which prescribes the standards for the preparation and disclosure of reserves and related information for companies listed in Canada. This exemption allows the Company to substitute United States Security and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) requirements for certain disclosures required under NI 51-101. There are three principal differences between the two standards. The first is the requirement under NI 51-101 to disclose both proved, and proved and probable reserves, as well as the related net present value of future net revenues using forecast prices and costs. The second is in the definition of proved reserves; however, as discussed in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”), the standards that NI 51-101 employs, the difference in estimated proved reserves based on constant pricing and costs between the two standards is not material. The third is the requirement to disclose a gross reserve reconciliation (before the consideration of royalties). Canadian Natural discloses its reserve reconciliation net of royalties in adherence to SEC requirements.The Company has disclosed proved conventional reserves and the Standardized Measure of discounted future net cash flows using year-end constant prices and costs as mandated by the SEC. The Company has elected to provide the net present value of these same conventional proved reserves as well as its conventional proved and probable reserves and the net present value of these reserves under the same parameters as additional voluntary information. In addition to the constant price and cost scenario, Canadian Natural has also elected to provide both proved, and proved and probable conventional reserves and the net present value of these reserves using forecast prices and costs as voluntary additional information.Conventional reserves and net present values of these reserves presented for years prior to 2003 were evaluated in accordance with the standards of National Policy 2-B which has now been replaced by NI 51-101. The stated reserves were reasonably evaluated as economically productive using year-end costs and prices escalated at appropriate rates throughout the productive life of the properties.

Canadian Natural’s independent reserve evaluators utilize the proved conventional reserve definition as prescribed by SEC in Regulation S-X 210.4-10 and the conventional proved and probable reserves definitions as prescribed under NI 51-101 in COGEH. Mining reserves are evaluated as prescribed in SEC Industry Guide 7. Internal estimates of Contingent Resources also utilize the definitions as prescribed under NI 51-101 in COGEH.

In this presentation Canadian Natural may disclose contingent resources as additional information. These are internal estimates that utilize the definition within section 5 of the COGE Handbook as prescribed under NI 51-101. Contingent resources are defined as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Additionally engineering and geotechnical appraisal through drilling, testing and/or production is required before the contingent resources can be classified as reserves. There is no certainty that any portion of the resources will be commercially viable to produce. Estimated Ultimate Recovery ("EUR"), as defined by the Society of Petroleum Engineers/ World Petroleum Council/ American Association of Petroleum Geologists/ Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Petroleum Resources Management System ("SPE-PRMS"), is the potentially recoverable accumulation that includes reserves, resources and quantities already produced. In this presentation, the EUR Canadian Natural discloses includes only reserves and contingent resources. Canadian Natural also discloses discovered petroleum initially in-place which is the quantity of petroleum that is within a known accumulation prior to production. There is no certainty that any portion of these volumes will be commercially viable to produce.Special Note Regarding non-GAAP Financial MeasuresManagement's discussion and analysis includes references to financial measures commonly used in the oil and gas industry, such as cash flow, cash flow per share and EBITDA (net earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation depletion and amortization, asset retirement obligation accretion, unrealized foreign exchange, stock-based compensation expense and unrealized risk management activity). These financial measures are not defined by generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP measures. The non-GAAP measures used by the Company may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. The Company uses these non-GAAP measures to evaluate the performance of the Company and of its business segments. The non-GAAP measures should not be considered an alternative to or more meaningful than net earnings, as determined in accordance with Canadian GAAP, as an indication of the Company's performance.Volumes shown are Company share before royalties unless otherwise stated.

Reporting DisclosuresReporting Disclosures

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16

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ32

AppendicesAppendices

CNQ33

Annualized Sensitivity to PricesAnnualized Sensitivity to Prices

• Annualized and based upon Q2/09 business conditions and sales volumes but excluding financial derivatives

*Includes financial derivatives.

Variable Impact on Cash FlowWTI +/- US$1.00/bbl ~$119 millionAECO +/- C$0.50/mcf ~$150 million$0.01 change in US$* ~$91 million10,000 bbl/d change in crude oil production ~$138 million10 mmcf/d change in natural gas production ~$10 million

Significant Upside from Conservative Budget Price Deck

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17

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ34

International North SeaInternational North Sea

• Exploitation base similar to WCSB

• Operate ~99% and own ~80% of production

• Infill drilling / recompletions & waterflood optimization

NinianMurchison

Strathspey

Columba

Lyell

TiffanyToniThelma

Kyle

Banff

NorthernNorth Sea

CentralNorth Sea

CNQ Lands Oil Field

Playfair

Edinburgh

Hutton

ScotlandAberdeen

Value Creation Through Exploitation Approach

CNQ35

InternationalInternationalOffshore Côte dOffshore Côte d’’IvoireIvoire• East Espoir

– First oil achieved in 2002– 4 infills drilled in 2005/6– FPSO expansion in 2009

• West Espoir development– First oil achieved July 2006

increased to ~13 mboe/d in 2007• Baobab development

– First oil achieved in 2005– Sand handling and infill

drilling program in 2008/9• 4 wells back on production

Acajou

Atlantic Ocean

West EspoirEast Espoir

KossipoBaobab

Foxtrot

Mantra

Panthere

CNQ Lands Oil FieldGas FieldProspects

Acajou

Jacqueville

Côte d’Ivoire

Area for Light Oil Growth

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18

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ36

International Offshore GabonInternational Offshore Gabon

• Olowi Field development plan– 12 miles offshore in

100 ft of water – Already delineated by 15 wells– 90% interest and operated

• First oil in April 2009– Oil leg below large gas cap– 34˚ API crude oil– Target 12-15 mbbl/d

SCM-2

SCM-1

MAZM-1

BIM-2BIM-3BIM-4

OLM-4

CMY-1

OLGNM-1 (ST-1)

OLM-1 (ST-1)

NYAM-1

OLOWI EEA

OLM-5

OLM-3

FABM-1

AWM-1

ARM-1THEMIS

DLM-1CTM-1

OLDM-1OLM-6

BIM-1 (B-15)

OLM-2

CHRM-1

OLOWI

GabonBIGORNEAU

Atlantic Ocean

Libreville (~545km)

Platform A

Platform B

Platform C (CSP)

Platform D

CNQ Lands

Olowi Field - Springboard Into Gabon

CNQ37

Natural Gas Natural Gas Competitive AdvantageCompetitive Advantage• Large land base provides

exposure to many play types– Conventional – Unconventional– Deep exploration

• Vast, cost effective infrastructure– ~21,000 miles of pipe

• Extensive seismic database– >890,000 kilometers of 2D– >61,000 sq. kilometers of 3D

• Large balanced inventory• Excellent people

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

CNQ ECA HSE DVN TLM APA PCA EOG NXY

Developed Undeveloped

Note: Based on 2008 Annual Reports.

WCB Land Holdings (Thousands of Net Acres)

Strong Gas Assets

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19

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ38

Natural Gas Natural Gas Defined Resource PotentialDefined Resource Potential• Drilling activity

–67% conventional andshallow gas

• Resource growth–60% Deep Basin,

Montney/Muskwa

Shallow Gas Conventional Plains

Jean Marie

Deep Basin

Foothills

C Plains HSC CBM

Montney/Muskwa

Shallow GasConventional

Plains

Jean Marie Deep Basin

FoothillsC Plains HSC CBM

Montney/Muskwa

10 Year PlanNet Risked Resource Additions by Play

2.0

0.7

3.0

5.0 10 Year PlanNet Risked Drilling Locations by Play

(total 6,578 identified locations)*

* Canadian Natural operated.

Balanced Short, Mid and Long Term Growth

CNQ39

Resource Plays Exploration Volumes Resource Plays Exploration Volumes 10 Year Plan10 Year Plan• Key projects

–Deep Basin - NW AB–Montney - NE BC–Muskwa - NE BC

• 10 year plan–1,233 wells forecast–395 mmcf/d

incremental volume

Natural Gas Incremental Volumes (mcf/d)

*British Columbia only.

020406080

100120140160

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Muskwa Montney Deep Basin

Natural Gas Wells (number)

050,000

100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000450,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Muskwa Montney Deep Basin*

*

Disciplined Long Term Growth

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20

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ40

Impact of Royalty Review Panel Impact of Royalty Review Panel Proposals on Conventional Natural GasProposals on Conventional Natural Gas

Shifted the gas price at which projects are economic upward

$8.00/mcf is now equivalent to $11.00/mcf$7.00/mcf= $9.13/mcf

Old RoyaltyNew Royalty

$/mcf

7.26

11.00

14.0

16.80

19.60

EconomicZone

CNQ41

Expanding Pipeline OptionsExpanding Pipeline Options

ChicagoCasper

Patoka

VancouverSuperior

ExistingLong Term Potential Approved/Proceeding

Fort McMurray

Cushing

Kitimat Edmonton

ENB Alberta Clipper450 mbbl/d in Q2/2010

USGC

Denver WoodRiver

Hardisty

ENB Spearhead 195 mbbl/d

ENB Gateway400 mbbl/d Crude Export Line

XOM Pegasus95 mbbl/d

ENB/XOM Texas AccessUSGC 400 mbbl/d

TCPL Keystone to Cushing 160 mbbl/d in 2010/11

TCPL Keystone XL Pipeline~500 mbbl/d in 2011/12

Steele City

TMX Staged Expansion 525 mbbl/d

Kinder Morgan 300 mbbl/d

TCPL Keystone to Patoka 435 mbbl/d in 2009/10

ENB Southern Access Mainline StagedExpansion 800 mbbl/d in 2008/09

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21

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ42

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Jan-

05M

ar-0

5M

ay-0

5Ju

l-05

Sep

-05

Nov

-05

Jan-

06M

ar-0

6M

ay-0

6Ju

l-06

Sep

-06

Nov

-06

Jan-

07M

ar-0

7M

ay-0

7Ju

l-07

Sep

-07

Nov

-07

Jan-

08M

ar-0

8M

ay-0

8Ju

l-08

Sep

-08

Nov

-08

Jan-

09M

ar-0

9M

ay-0

9

WCS at Hardisty Maya at USGC

WCS

Maya

Logistical Constraints

Heavy Oil DifferentialsHeavy Oil Differentials

Q4 to Q1 Q2 to Q3

Differential Impacted by Logistical Constraints

(% of WTI)

CNQ43

Pelican Lake Polymer FloodPelican Lake Polymer Flood

• What is a polymer?– It is a polyacrylamide powder

mixed with water• Why does it help recovery?

– It increases the viscosity of water and improves vertical and aerial sweep efficiencies by reducing fingering

• What additional facilitiesare required?

– Water handling capability at batteries– Polymer skids

• What is the incremental capital cost?– $6.00 to $8.00/bbl oil recovered

• What is the incremental operating cost?– $0.40 to $0.60/bbl oil recovered

PolymerInjector

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22

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ44

Pelican LakePelican LakeEOR PlanEOR Plan

Polymer flood by end 2008

2009 Polymer Plan

5 Year Polymer Plan

30 miles

Polymer Success Leads to Expansion

CNQ45

Polymer Flood OptimizationPolymer Flood Optimization

• Reservoir–Testing polymer response in portions of the pool with higher

oil viscosities–Evaluating the use of alkaline surfactants to reduce residual oil–Optimizing the type and quantities of polymer being used–Optimizing injected volumes within the well patterns

• Infrastructure–Designing / constructing larger mixing skids and

distribution systems–Mixing polymer with brackish reservoir water rather than fresh

water for injection–Maximizing water recycling–Optimizing facilities for fluid increases due to polymer response

Continued Technology Development

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23

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ46

Thermal Heavy Oil Growth PlanThermal Heavy Oil Growth PlanFuture ProductionFuture Production

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Primrose

Kirby Grouse

Primrose Development

Birch Mtn

Production(bbl/d)

CNQ47

Thermal Heavy OilThermal Heavy OilRecovery SchemesRecovery Schemes

Cyclic Steam Stimulation (CSS)– Inject steam from a single

horizontal or vertical well– Can use high pressure– Requires solution gas drive– Wet steam SOR

(~1.25 dry steam SOR)

Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD)– Continuous injection of steam into

upper well and gravity drainage to lower producer well

– Higher recovery factor– Clean, continuous reservoir

Match Scheme to Reservoir

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24

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ48

• Primary recovery 5-15% OOIP leaving billions of barrels unrecovered

• Enhancing recovery• Underway

• Infill drilling 5-10 wells per acre

• Selective waterflood applications• Selective use of

horizontal drilling– EOR recovery processes

being evaluated• Hydrocarbon solvent injections• CO2 injection• Polymer flooding

Primary Heavy OilPrimary Heavy OilEnhanced RecoveryEnhanced Recovery

Enormous Potential - Low Cost Barrels

Heavy Oil Heavy Oil

CNQ49

Technology OptionTechnology OptionThermal GeoThermal Geo--steering Well Placementsteering Well Placement

Bitumen burner tip

Primrose North Steam Plant

Capturing More of the Reservoir With Technology Advancement

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25

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ50

Thermal Heavy OilThermal Heavy OilTechnology AdvancementTechnology Advancement

Stage 1, CSS recovery factor 20%

ºCelsiusHorizontal Wells

Stage 2, Infill recovery factor 30%

Infill Well

Stage 3, Gravity Drainage recovery factor 40%

Injector WellInjector Well Producing Well

Technology Maximizes Recovery and Value

CNQ51

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsProcess and TechnologyProcess and Technology

Only Proven Technologies Will be Utilized Reducing Technology Risks

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26

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ52

UTS

SYN

SHC

SYN

SYN

DVN

PCASU

PCA

IOL

ECA

SU

SU

IOL

HSE

XOM

SHC

SU

SynencoSHC

XOM

ECA

ECA

Deer Creek

SU

UTS

SYN

SHC

SYN

SYN

DVN

PCASU

PCA

IMO

ECA

SU

SU

IMO

HSE

XOM

SHC

SU

SynencoSHC

XOM

ECA

ECA

TOT

SU

FortMcMurray

~43

mile

s

CNQCNQ

CNQHorizon

Oil SandsUTS

SYN

SHC

SYN

SYN

DVN

PCASU

PCA

IOL

ECA

SU

SU

IOL

HSE

XOM

SHC

SU

SynencoSHC

XOM

ECA

ECA

Deer Creek

SU

UTS

SYN

SHC

SYN

SYN

DVN

PCASU

PCA

IMO

ECA

SU

SU

IMO

HSE

XOM

SHC

SU

SynencoSHC

XOM

ECA

ECA

TOT

SU

FortMcMurray

~43

mile

s

CNQCNQ

CNQHorizon

Oil Sands

Horizon Oil Sands Site LayoutHorizon Oil Sands Site Layout

Lease 11

Lease 12

Lease 15

Lease 10

Lease 19

Lease20

Lease 18

Lease25

Ath

abas

caR

iver

TailingsPond

NorthwestPit

Northeast Pit

SouthwestPit Southeast

Pit

Plant Site

OverburdenDump

OverburdenDump

HorizonLake

OverburdenDump

Site Layout Maximizes Resource Recovery and Optimizes Economic Returns

CNQ53

$1.87 Admin - Property tax increase $1.32, Technical Services increase $.33 due to headcount & transfers in of I.T. costs and other overhead costs, Business Services $.22 Insurance .

$2.83 Mine increases mainly due to overburden escalation costs, tires & parts increase and higher overheads.$1.42 Bitumen Production increase due to increases in contract costs, overheads as well as material & supplies higher than

expected.$2.93 Nat Gas Price from $7.03/GJ to $8.98/GJ ($58 W TI prior vs $85.73 WTI current)

Power from $56.27/MW to $89/MW$0.52 Utilities & Services increase due to transfer in of headcount, overheads as well as increases in contract costs.$0.07 Green House Gas increase $0.72 Upgrading increase due to increases in contract costs and higher overheads.

$10.36

Major Changes - Operating from October 2007

Direct Natural Imported Forecast Oct-07 VarianceCost Gas Power per bbl SCO Estimate

Mining 8.04$ 0.01$ 0.06$ 8.11$ 4.95$ 3.16$ Bitumen production 3.03$ 0.34$ 0.55$ 3.92$ 2.18$ 1.74$

Upgrading 2.47$ 4.18$ 0.34$ 6.99$ 4.83$ 2.16$ Utilities & Services 1.69$ 2.23$ 0.18$ 4.10$ 2.74$ 1.36$

Administration 4.87$ 4.87$ 2.99$ 1.87$ Environmental 1.32$ 1.32$ 1.25$ 0.07$

Total $/bbl for Average Life 21.42$ 6.76$ 1.12$ 29.30$ 18.94$ 10.36$

Average Sustaining Capital 1.90$ 1.80$ 0.10$

Current Forecast

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsOperating CostsOperating Costs• Phase 1 costs are targeted to be between $35.00/bbl to $40.00/bbl in 2009

– Impacted by fixed cost effect and lower production• Life of mine operating costs

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27

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ54

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsPhase 1 Capital CostsPhase 1 Capital Costs• Current forecast $9.7 billion ($88,182 per bbl capacity)

–43% above original estimate–Late forecast increase due to Hydrotreater schedule slippages,

rework and closeout of punch list items• Very heated environment 2005 to 2008 driving competition

for resources–Oil price from WTI $28 to >$140 drove unsustainable activity–Commodity increases (steel, copper, etc) from global demand–Low labour productivity

• Many new tradesmen–Existing contractors overloaded

• Supervision spread too thin–Shortage of contractors required search for new contractors

• Used contractors from across North America• Learning curve and extended time for ramp up construction effort

Maintaining Cost Discipline in a Difficult Economic Environment

CNQ55

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsPhase 2/3 Phase 2/3 -- AdvantagesAdvantages• Site Labour Agreement in place (Division 8 legislation)• Experience running support programs

–Bussing–Fly in / out –Bringing on new contractors (new to Alberta and Canada)

• Long leads purchased–Hydrotreating reactors and coke drums on site–Delivery of absorber stripper expected Q1/09

• Team in place

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28

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ56

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsExpansion to 232,000 Expansion to 232,000 -- 250,000 bbl/d250,000 bbl/d• Previously segregated into four tranches

–Tranche 1 - complete–Tranche 2 - portions of engineering underway, balance

under re-assessment–Tranche 3 - re-profile timing and strategy–Tranche 4 - re-profile timing and strategy

• Timing of construction critical to cost control–Take advantage of slow times

• Expect to evaluate / segregate into even smaller components with interim production

• Avoid “mega” project phenomena• Not driven to production increases at the expense of

higher costs

CNQ57

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsPhase 2/3 Phase 2/3 -- ReRe--ProfilingProfiling• Strategy

–Don’t build in a high cost environment–Not production driven but “value” driven –Smaller project sizes

• 2009 activity–Continue with third OPP engineering and procurement

• Achieved 73% currently under Lump Sum contract • Balance to be bid during 2009

–Evaluate work by CNQ own forces • Next step to improving project execution

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29

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ58

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsPhase 2/3 Phase 2/3 -- Development StrategyDevelopment Strategy• Established four tranches

–Tranche 1: completed $212 million• Engineering design specification for 232,000 bbl/d• Front end engineering and design • Coker foundations and some supporting infrastructure built• Long lead equipment ordered

(coke drums, reactors, mobile equipment)

–Tranche 2: under development• No production loss during first shutdown

(Third OPP & Hydrotransport)• Environmental commitments (Gas Recovery Unit,

third Sulphur Plant)• Increase reliability “Flood the Upgrader” (mine equipment)• Debottlenecking potential production gains of 5% to 15%

CNQ59

Horizon Oil SandsHorizon Oil SandsPhase 2/3 Phase 2/3 -- Development StrategyDevelopment Strategy

–Tranche 3• Transition to new tailings technology (reduce energy and op costs)• Additional mining equipment & shops• Coker expansion, CO2 recovery• Production increase by 10,000 to 20,000 bbl/d SCO

–Tranche 4: • Ore Preparation Plants (trains 4 & 5)• Extraction retrofit trains 1 & 2• Second Froth Treatment Plant• Vacuum Recovery Unit / Diluent Recovery Unit• Hydotreating (2 units) • Hydrogen Plant • Sulphur Plant (train 4)• Cogeneration and Heat Integration• Tankage• Production expansion to 232,000 to 250,000 bbl/d SCO

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30

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ60

Revolving Bank Credit FacilitiesRevolving Bank Credit Facilities

(C$ millions) MaturityRevolving bank line - Conventional $ 2,230 June 2012Revolving bank line - Horizon Oil Sands $ 1,500 June 2012Operating demand loan $ 125 DemandNorth Sea operating line (£15 million) $ 28 DemandTotal bank lines $ 3,883

Available - June 30, 2009 $ 1,749

CNQ61

Maturity Schedule Maturity Schedule -- Public / Private DebtPublic / Private Debt

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 2032 2037

C$ Public US$ Public Private Notes

(C$ millions)

Note: Represents principal repayments only and does not reflect fair value adjustments, original issue discounts or transaction costs.Does not include bank debt.

Manageable Refinancing

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31

Corporate Presentation October 2009

CNQ62

$3$4$5$6$7$8$9

$10

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 Q1/10 Q2/10

Collars Physical Sales MarketNote: Values presented represent blended averages, please refer to quarterly reports for detailed hedging positions. Strip pricing as at Jul 31, 2009.

72% - Market 83% - Market

28%$5.29

72% - Market72% - Market

Strip Floor Ceiling

83% - Market

2009 Natural Gas Hedging 2009 Natural Gas Hedging AECO (C$/GJ)AECO (C$/GJ)2009 Natural Gas Hedging 2009 Natural Gas Hedging AECO (C$/GJ)AECO (C$/GJ)

Upside Opportunity, Downside Protection

28%$5.29

28%$5.29 17%

$6.00 - 8.0017%

$6.00 - 8.00

CNQ63

$30$40$50$60$70$80$90

$100$110$120

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 Q1/10 Q2/10

Collars Puts Market

2009 Crude Oil Hedging 2009 Crude Oil Hedging WTI (US$/bbl)WTI (US$/bbl)

Note: Values presented represent blended averages, please refer to quarterly reports for detailed hedging positions. Strip pricing as at July 31, 2009.

Strip Floor Ceiling Puts

~7% $70.00 - $111.56

~25% - $100.00

~8% $70.00 - $108.56

~66% - Market ~68% - Market

~26% - $100.00 ~23% - $100.00

~6% $70.00 - $111.56

~71% - Market 89% - Market

Upside Opportunity, Downside Protection

89% - Market

~11% $60.00 - $75.08 ~11% $60.00 - $75.08

Page 34: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

NOTES

Page 35: Corporate Presentation - Canadian Natural Resources · 2 8 % C A G R Consistent Growth 8 8 % CC A A GG RR 2 0 % C A G R 2 % C R 66 CNQ 7 Committed Management $199 $173 ... Corporate

NOTES

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Special Note Regarding Currency, Production and ReservesIn this document, all references to dollars refer to Canadian dollars unless otherwise stated. Production data is presented on a before royalties basis unless otherwise stated. In addition, reference is made to oil and gas in common units called barrel of oil equivalent (“boe”). A boe is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of crude oil (6 mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6mcf:1bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency at the burner tip and does not represent the value equivalency at the well head.Canadian Natural retains qualified independent reserve evaluators to evaluate 100% of the Company’s conventional proved, as well as proved and probable crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves and prepare Evaluation Reports on these reserves. Canadian Natural has been granted an exemption from National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”), which prescribes the standards for the preparation and disclosure of reserves and related information for companies listed in Canada. This exemption allows the Company to substitute United States Security and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) requirements for certain disclosures required under NI 51-101. There are three principal differences between the two standards. The first is the requirement under NI 51-101 to disclose both proved, and proved and probable reserves, as well as the related net present value of future net revenues using forecast prices and costs. The second is in the definition of proved reserves; however, as discussed in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”), the standards that NI 51-101 employs, the difference in estimated proved reserves based on constant pricing and costs between the two standards is not material. The third is the requirement to disclose a gross reserve reconciliation (before the consideration of royalties). Canadian Natural discloses its reserve reconciliation net of royalties in adherence to SEC requirements.The Company has disclosed proved conventional reserves and the Standardized Measure of discounted future net cash flows using year-end constant prices and costs as mandated by the SEC. The Company has elected to provide the net present value of these same conventional proved reserves as well as its conventional proved and probable reserves and the net present value of these reserves under the same parameters as additional voluntary information. In addition to the constant price and cost scenario, Canadian Natural has also elected to provide both proved, and proved and probable conventional reserves and the net present value of these reserves using forecast prices and costs as voluntary additional information.Conventional reserves and net present values of these reserves presented for years prior to 2003 were evaluated in accordance with the standards of National Policy 2-B which has now been replaced by NI 51-101. The stated reserves were reasonably evaluated as economically productive using year-end costs and prices escalated at appropriate rates throughout the productive life of the properties.Canadian Natural’s independent reserve evaluators utilize the proved conventional reserve definition as prescribed by SEC in Regulation S-X 210.4-10 and the conventional proved and probable reserves definitions as prescribed under NI 51-101 in COGEH. Mining reserves are evaluated as prescribed in SEC Industry Guide 7. Internal estimates of Contingent Resources also utilize the definitions as prescribed under NI 51-101 in COGEH.

Special Note Regarding Forward-looking StatementsCertain statements in this document or documents incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “plan”, “estimate”, “target”, “continue”, “could” “intend”, “may”, “potential”, “predict”, “should”, “will”, “objective”, “project”, “forecast”, “goal”, “guidance”, “outlook”, “effort” “seeks”, “schedule” or expressions of a similar nature suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an outlook. Statements relating to “reserves” are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved crude oil and natural gas reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of actual future production may vary significantly from reserve and production estimates.

These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks and the reader should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as there can be no assurance that the plans, initiatives or expectations upon which they are based will occur.

The forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about Canadian Natural Resources Limited (the “Company”) and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as of the date such statements were made or as of the date of the report or document in which they are contained and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, among others: general economic and business conditions which will, among other things, impact demand for and market prices of the Company’s products; volatility of and assumptions regarding crude oil and natural gas prices; fluctuations in currency and interest rates; assumptions on which the Company’s current guidance is based; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business; political uncertainty, including actions of or against terrorists, insurgent groups or other conflict including conflict between states; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its business strategy, including exploration and development activities; impact of competition; the Company’s defense of lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic, drilling and other equipment; ability of the Company and its subsidiaries to complete its capital programs; the Company’s and its subsidiaries’ ability to secure adequate transportation for its products; unexpected difficulties in mining, extracting or upgrading the Company’s bitumen products; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary labour required to build its thermal and oil sands mining projects; operating hazards and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude oil and natural gas; availability and cost of financing; the Company’s and its subsidiaries’ success of exploration and development activities and their ability to replace and expand crude oil and natural gas reserves; timing and success of integrating the business and operations of acquired companies; production levels; imprecision of reserve estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas and liquids not currently classified as proved; actions by governmental authorities; government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with them (especially safety and environmental laws and regulations and the impact of climate change initiatives on operating costs); asset retirement obligations; the adequacy of the Company’s provision for taxes; and other circumstances affecting revenues and expenses. Certain of these factors are discussed in more detail under the heading “Risk Factors”. The Company’s operations have been, and at times in the future may be affected by political developments and by federal, provincial and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, changes in taxes, royalties and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the Company’s course of action would depend upon its assessment of the future considering all information then available.

Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of important factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed in this report could also have material adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to it on the date such forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Except as required by law, the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements should circumstances or Management’s estimates or opinions change.

Special Note Regarding non-GAAP Financial MeasuresManagement’s discussion and analysis includes references to financial measures commonly used in the crude oil and natural gas industry, such as cash flow from operations, adjusted net earnings from operations, and EBITDA (net earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, depletion and amortization, asset retirement obligation accretion, unrealized foreign exchange, stock-based compensation expense and unrealized risk management activities). These financial measures are not defined by generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP measures. The non-GAAP measures used by the Company may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. The Company uses these non-GAAP measures to evaluate its performance. The non-GAAP measures should not be considered an alternative to or more meaningful than net earnings, as determined in accordance with Canadian GAAP, as an indication of the Company’s performance.

Volumes shown are Company share before royalties unless otherwise stated.

SPECIAL NOTES

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HEDGING

At June 30, 2009, the Company had the following net derivative financial instruments outstanding to manage its commodity price exposures:

Remaining term Volume Weighted average price Index

Crude oil Crude oil price collars Jul 2009 – Dec 2009 25,000 bbl/d US$70.00 – US$111.56 WTI

Jan 2010 – Dec 2010 50,000 bbl/d US$60.00 – US$75.08 WTI

Crude oil puts Jul 2009 – Dec 2009 92,000 bbl/d US$100.00 WTI

At June 30, 2009, the net cost of outstanding put options and their respective periods of settlement was as follows:

Q3 2009 Q4 2009

Cost ($ millions) US$61 US$61

Remaining term Volume Weighted average price Index

Natural gas Natural gas price collars Jan 2010 – Dec 2010 220,000 GJ/d C$6.00 – C$8.00 AECO

In addition to the derivative financial instruments noted above, the Company entered into natural gas physical sales contracts for 400,000 GJ/d at an average fixed price of C$5.29 per GJ at AECO for the period July to December 2009.

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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Operational Information

Daily production, before royaltiesCrude oil and NGLs (mbbl/d) 242 283 313 332 331 316Natural gas (mmcf/d) 1,299 1,388 1,439 1,492 1,668 1,495Barrels of oil equivalent (mboe/d) 459 514 553 581 609 565

Daily production, after royaltiesCrude oil and NGLs (mbbl/d) 220 256 283 301 293 276Natural gas (mmcf/d) 1,030 1,105 1,147 1,209 1,402 1,246Barrels of oil equivalent (mboe/d) 391 440 474 502 526 484

Proved reserves, before royaltiesCrude oil and NGLs (mmbbl) 1,000 1,123 1,223 1,487 1,543 1,470Natural gas (bcf) 3,154 3,310 3,490 4,613 4,435 4,251Barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe) 1,526 1,674 1,804 2,256 2,282 2,178

Proved reserves, after royaltiesCrude oil and NGLs (mmbbl) 895 1,066 1,118 1,316 1,358 1,346Natural gas (bcf) 2,588 2,690 2,842 3,798 3,666 3,684Barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe) 1,320 1,514 1,592 1,949 1,969 1,960

Mining reserves, SCO (mmbbl) 1,761 1,946

Drilling activity, net wellsCrude oil and NGLs 458 328 627 603 592 682Natural gas 777 689 890 641 383 269Dry 118 96 117 119 93 39Strats and service 440 336 248 375 254 131

Undeveloped land (thousands of acres)North America 9,811 11,523 10,947 12,785 12,160 11,603North Sea 573 565 352 299 287 258Offshore West Africa 943 886 426 207 192 192

Realized product pricing, before hedging activities & after transportation costsCrude oil and NGLs (C$/bbl) 32.66 37.99 46.86 53.65 55.45 82.41Natural gas (C$/mcf) 6.21 6.50 8.57 6.72 6.85 8.39

Results of operations (C$ millions, except per share)Cash flow from operations 3,160 3,769 5,021 4,932 6,198 6,969per share 5.88 7.03 9.36 9.18 11.49 12.89

Net earnings 1,403 1,405 1,050 2,524 2,608 4,985per share 2.62 2.62 1.96 4.70 4.84 9.22

Capital expenditures (net, including combinations) 2,506 4,633 4,932 12,025 6,425 7,451

Balance Sheet Info (C$ millions)Property, plant and equipment 13,714 17,064 19,694 30,767 33,902 38,966Total assets 14,643 18,372 21,852 33,160 36,114 42,650Long-term debt 2,748 3,538 3,321 11,043 10,940 12,596Shareholders’ equity 6,006 7,324 8,237 10,690 13,321 18,374

RatiosDebt to cash flow, trailing 12 months 0.9x 1.0x 0.7x 2.2x 1.8x 1.9xDebt to book capitalization 33% 34% 29% 51% 45% 41%Return to common equity, trailing 12 months 26% 21% 14% 27% 22% 33%Daily production before royalties per 10,000 common shares 8.5 9.6 10.3 10.8 11.3 10.4Proved and probable reserves before royalties per common share 4.0 4.3 4.8 6.4 6.3 6.1

Share information

Common shares outstanding 534,926 536,361 536,348 537,903 539,729 540,991Weighted average common shares 536,940 536,223 536,650 537,339 539,336 540,647Dividend per share (C$) 0.15 0.20 0.24 0.30 0.34 0.40TSX trading info

Average daily trading volume (thousands) 2,344 2,724 2,542 2,028 1,709 2,708High (C$) 16.81 27.58 62.00 73.91 80.02 111.30Low (C$) 11.30 15.96 24.28 45.49 52.45 34.19Close (C$) 16.34 25.63 57.63 62.15 72.58 48.75

Note: All per share data adjusted for 2004 and 2005 stock splits.

KEY HISTORIC DATA

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Note: Interest rates are subject to change depending upon short term rate changes. Cash income taxes are subject to variation with commodity prices and the level and classification of capital expenditures. Cash PRT is subject to variation due to commodity price and capital spending. 2009 forecast based on an average annual WTI of $59.00/bbl, NYMEX of US$4.25/mmbtu and an exchange rate of US$0.86 to C$1.00.

August 6, 2009

This document contains forward-looking statements under applicable securities laws, including, in particular, statements about Canadian Naturals’ plans, strategies and prospects. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, such

statements are subject to known or unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Please refer to the Company’s Interim Report or Annual Information Form for a full description of these risks and impacts.

2009 Forecast

Daily Production Volumes, (before royalties)Natural gas (mmcf/d)

North America 1,250 - 1,275 1,265 - 1,300North Sea 6 - 8 8 - 10Offshore West Africa 18 - 21 16 - 20

1,274 - 1,304 1,289 - 1,330Crude oil and NGLs (mbbl/d)

North America – Conventional 215 - 225 220 - 240North America – Oil Sands Mining 80 - 90 58 - 65North Sea 34 - 37 37 - 41Offshore West Africa 34 - 37 31 - 36

363 - 389 346 - 382Capital Expenditures, (C$ millions)Conventional

North America natural gas $ 495North America crude oil and NGLs 1,220North Sea 170Offshore West Africa 580Property acquisitions, dispositions and midstream 85

Conventional 2,550Horizon Oil Sands Project

Phase 1 – Construction 90Phase 1 – Operating inventory, capital inventory and commissioning costs 200Phase 2/3 – Tranche 2 135Sustaining capital 100Capitalized interest and other costs 75

Horizon Oil Sands Project 600

Total Capital Expenditures $ 3,150

Average Annual Cost Data

Royalty OperatingRate Cost

Natural Gas - North America (mcf) 8 - 10% $1.05 - 1.15Crude oil and NGLs (bbl)

North America – Conventional 10 - 15% $15.00 - 15.50North America – Oil Sands Mining* 1 - 2% $35.00 - 40.00North Sea - $26.50 - 28.50Offshore West Africa 6 - 9% $12.50 - 14.50

*Royalties are payable on the bitumen production

Other InformationCash income and other taxes (C$ millions)

Sask. Resources Surcharge/Capital Tax $20 - 30Current income taxes – North America $20 - 40Current income taxes – International $320 - 400Petroleum Revenue Tax (PRT) $75 - 100

Effective tax rate on adjusted earnings 26% - 30% Depletion, depreciation and ARO accretion charge ($/BOE) $12.80 - 13.20Midstream cash flow (C$ millions) $40 - 50Average corporate interest rate 4.15% - 4.45%

Third Quarter 2009

CORPORATE GUIDANCE

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Allan P. Markin, Chairman

John G. Langille, Vice-Chairman

Steve W. Laut, President & Chief Operating Officer

Douglas A. Proll,Chief Financial Officer &Senior Vice-President, Finance

Corey B. Bieber,Vice-President, Finance &Investor Relations(403) 517-6878

Trevor Kratz,Manager, Investor Relations(403) 517-7349

Heidi Christensen Brown,Investor Relations Analyst (403) 514-7911

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED2500, 855 - 2nd Street S.W.,

Calgary, Alberta, T2P 4J8

Telephone: (403) 514-7777Facsimile: (403) 514-7888

Email: [email protected]

THE PREMIUM VALUE DEFINED GROWTH INDEPENDENT

WWW.CNRL.COM