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The Core Concepts of Revenue Management Presentation by: Robert G. Cross MIST 8990 University of Georgia Terry College of Business August 19, 2005

Core Concepts

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Page 1: Core Concepts

The Core Concepts of Revenue Management

Presentation by:

Robert G. Cross

MIST 8990

University of Georgia

Terry College of Business

August 19, 2005

Page 2: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Revenue Management Defined

“The application of disciplined tactics that predict consumer behaviour at the micromarket

level and optimize product availability and price to maximize revenue growth.”

Robert G. CrossRevenue Management:

Hard-Core Tactics for Market Domination

Page 3: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

The Seven Core Concepts

• Focus on price rather than costs when balancing supply and demand

• Replace cost-based pricing with market-based pricing

• Sell to segmented micromarkets, not mass markets

• Save your products for your most valuable customers

• Make decisions based on knowledge, not supposition

• Exploit each products’ value cycle

• Continually re-evaluate your revenue opportunities

Page 4: Core Concepts

Core Concept #1

Focus on price rather than costs when balancing supply and demand

Page 5: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

D

PE=$30

QuantityQE=100

S

EquilibriumPoint

Pric

e

SupplyDemand

• Equilibrium points:– Exist for each market segment and product– Identify where supply and demand produce optimal returns

Focus On Price When Balancing Supply and Demand

Page 6: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Supply Chain Managementvs.

Revenue Management

Page 7: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Response Effectiveness

Supply Response

• Time lag

• Transportation costs

• Difficult to fine-tune

• Disruptive adjustments

Price Response

• Virtually instantaneous

• No transaction costs

• Precision friendly

• Seamless adjustments

Page 8: Core Concepts

Core Concept #2

Replace cost-based pricing with market-based pricing

Page 9: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Traditional Pricing

R & D Costs

Manufacturing Costs

Sales/Distribution Costs

G & A

Margin

Page 10: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

R & D Costs

Manufacturing Costs

Sales/Distribution Costs

G & A

Margin

?=

Cost-Based Price

Perceived Market Value

Market A Market B

Lost Sale

Lost Profit

Page 11: Core Concepts

Core Concept #3

Sell to segmented micromarkets, not mass markets

“Market Segmentation is the key to market-based pricing and revenue maximization.”

Robert G. CrossRevenue Management:

Hard-Core Tactics for Market Domination

Page 12: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Sell to Micro Markets

Micro

Micro

Micro

MicroMicro

Micro

VersusMassMicro Micro

Micro

Micro

Micro

Micro

Micro

Page 13: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Micro-Market Segmentation-- A Practical Application of Micro-Economic Theory

DEMAND

$100

$50

$1

1 50 100

PR

ICE

Page 14: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Single Price Optimization

DEMAND

$100

$50

$1

1 50 100

PR

ICE REVENUE = $2,500

Page 15: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Price Differentiation - Multiple Prices

PR

ICE

DEMAND

$100

$80

$60

$40

$20

$1

1 20 40 60 80 100

REVENUE = $4,000

Page 16: Core Concepts

Core Concept #4

Save your products for your most valuable customers

“…you should find a way to predict which segments are willing to pay the most and save

those products for them.”

Robert G. CrossRevenue Management:

Hard-Core Tactics for Market Domination

Page 17: Core Concepts

First Come, First Servedvs.

Revenue Optimization

Page 18: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Saving Products/Capacity

How do forecasts enable you to save products for your most valuable customer?

– Quantify the price inelastic late booking market segment

– Estimate the remaining demand

– Use price rationing or capacity limitations to “save” products for higher profit customers

Page 19: Core Concepts

Core Concept #5

Make decisions based on knowledge, not supposition

Page 20: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Rocket Science

Time

Ve

loc

ity

/Alt

itu

de

ORBIT

Page 21: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Re

ve

nu

e

Revenue Optimization

Time

Page 22: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

• Intuitive

• Creative

• Cognitive Limits

• Biased

• Fatigue-Prone

• Logical

• Mindless

• Physical Limits

• Indifferent

• Tireless

HUMANS: COMPUTERS:

Humans vis-à-vis Machines

Page 23: Core Concepts

Core Concept #6

Exploit each products’ value cycle

“Generate maximum revenue by understanding the value cycle and optimally timing the availability

and price of the product to each micro-market segment.”

Robert G. CrossRevenue Management:

Hard-Core Tactics for Market Domination

Page 24: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Exploiting the Value Cycle

TIME

VALUE

Retail Clothes Example

Page 25: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Exploiting the Value Cycle

TIME

VALUE

Standard Markdown Response

Page 26: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Exploiting the Value Cycle

VALUE

TIME

Robust Markdown Response

Page 27: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Exploit Each Product’s Value Cycle

VALUE

TIME

Core Concept

Page 28: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Exploit Each Product’s Value Cycle

VALUE

TIME

Core Concept

Page 29: Core Concepts

Core Concept #7

Continually re-evaluate your revenue opportunities

Page 30: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Dynamically Recalibrate

Customer Demand

Price and Availability

Results In: Long-Term Profit Maximization

Page 31: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Revenue Management-Process Flow

Customer Demand Data Forecasters

Optimization

Price and Availability Recommendations

MarketSegmentation

Constraints

?

$Market !

(Data)(Information)

(Knowledge)

(Wisdom)

Page 32: Core Concepts

(c)2005 Robert G. Cross

Questions???

Page 33: Core Concepts

The Core Concepts of Revenue Management

Presentation by:

Robert G. Cross

MIST 8990

University of Georgia

Terry College of Business

August 19, 2005