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#cleanenergy Energy challenges in Catalonia from a policy perspective David Villar & Marc Rotllan Energy Planning Division Catalan Institute of Energy (ICAEN) Barcelona, 22nd February 2017 Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector

Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

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Page 1: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

Energy challenges in Catalonia from a policy perspective

David Villar & Marc Rotllan

Energy Planning Division

Catalan Institute of Energy (ICAEN) Barcelona, 22nd February 2017

Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the

Energy Sector

Page 2: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

2. Winter package: Clean Energy for All Europeans

3. Clean energy transition in Catalonia

4. The impact of climate change to the Catalan energy system

ENERGY CHALLENGES IN CATALONIA FROM

A POLICY PERSPECTIVE

Page 3: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

2020, 2030 AND 2050 EU ENERGY OBJECTIVES

? RES

? EE

-80-95% GHG

20% RES

-20% EE

-20% GHG

2020

2017 2050

27% RES

-30% EE

-40% GHG

2030

What kind of transition?

20-20-20

targets

Winter

package

Low-carbon

economy

RES: Renewable energy sources

EE: Energy Efficiency

GHG: Greenhouse gas emissions

Page 4: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

Clean Energy for All Europeans

European Commission package

of measures

“New” 2030 goals:

• 27% for the share of renewable energy

consumed in the EU

• 30% energy efficiency target

• to cut CO2 emissions by at least 40%

EU 2030 targets were known, unlike the

definition of a new model based on

renewable energy integrating in order to

create a flexible, competitive, efficient and

participative market.

WINTER PACKAGE: CLEAN ENERGY FOR ALL

EUROPEANS

More info: http://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/news/commission-proposes-

new-rules-consumer-centred-clean-energy-transition

Page 5: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

GENERATION

TRANSPORT

DISTRIBUTION

EN

ER

GY

• Centralized and distributed

generation simultaneously

• Multidirectional electricity flow

• Active consumers

• New technologies:

DISTRIBUTED GENERATION

(small and near

end-consumers)

(self-consumption or

injected to the grid)

STORAGE ELECTRICITY

FACILITIES

(electric vehicle or other batteries)

CONSUMERS +

distributed

generation

NEW DISTRIBUTION ELECTRICITY MODEL

WINTER PACKAGE: CLEAN ENERGY FOR ALL

EUROPEANS

Page 6: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

WINTER PACKAGE: CLEAN ENERGY FOR ALL

EUROPEANS

Clean Energy for All Europeans

Proposal for a Directive on

common rules for the internal

market in electricity

New actors and concepts:

- Active customers

- Local energy communities

- Aggregator

- Demand response

- Energy storage facilities

- Smart metering

- Vulnerable customers

- Energy poverty

Page 7: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

Regulation on the Governance of the Energy Union:

- 5 dimensions of the Energy Union

• energy security,

• energy market,

• energy efficiency,

• decarbonisation and

• research, innovation and competitiveness

- Integrated national energy and climate plans: 2021-2030

- Long-term low emission strategies: every 10 years with a 50 years

perspective

WINTER PACKAGE: CLEAN ENERGY FOR ALL

EUROPEANS

Clean Energy for All Europeans

Other proposed regulations and

Directives

Page 8: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION IN CATALONIA

Catalonia. General information

- Population: 7.5 million

- Area: 32.108 km² (6,3% of

the of Spain)

- GDP: 204,000 million €

(18,9% of Spain)

- Total primary energy

supply: 23.2 milion toe

- Fossil fuel dependence:

66,1%

Page 9: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION IN CATALONIA

Catalonia. Energy data

Renewable energy sources

(2014): 8,7 %

Source: Institut Català d’Energia (ICAEN)

Page 10: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

We are in a comfort zone, but Catalonia as a EU Member State

is far from achieving the Europe Energy and Climate targets.

CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION IN CATALONIA

75,8 101,0

220,5 247,4

386,2 388,3

476,0 487,0 535,2 545,6

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Fra

nce

Cata

lonia

Be

lgiu

m

Sp

ain

Ita

ly

Eu

rop

e-2

8

Un

ite

d K

ingd

om

De

nm

ark

Ne

the

rla

nd

s

Ge

rma

ny

CO2 emissions related to electricity generation. Year 2013 (g CO2/kWh)

Catalonia. Electricity data

Source: Institut Català d’Energia (ICAEN) Source: Institut Català d’Energia (ICAEN) with data from IPCC

Page 11: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION IN CATALONIA

Pacte Nacional per a la Transició Energètica de Catalunya

National Agreement on energy transition in Catalonia

• January 31, 2017: the Government

adopted the Basis of the national

agreement on energy transition in

Catalonia

• First quarter of 2017: it will be

presented and discussed in the

Parliament.

Page 12: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

Transition towards…

an energy model in which

energy demand is fully

covered by renewable

energy sources?

an energy model neutral in

greenhouse gas

emissions?

CCS

CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION IN CATALONIA

Page 13: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

• 2020: 20-20-20 EU targets (Energy Plan and Climate Change in

Catalonia 2012-2020 –PECAC 2020-)

2030: Clean Energy for All Europeans

• 27% for the share of renewable energy consumed in the EU

and 50% for the share of renewable in the electricity sector

• 30% energy efficiency target

• to cut CO2 emissions by at least 40%

2050: 100% renewable energy sources (Catalonia Energy

Plan 2050 -PROENCAT 2050-)

CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION IN CATALONIA

Goals of the new Catalan energy system

Page 14: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

100% RES

20% RES

2020

2017 2050

8,7% RES

27% RES

2030

What kind of transition?

101 gCO2/kWh electricity mix

(among the lowest along the

main EU States)

Goals of the new Catalan energy system

CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION IN CATALONIA

Page 15: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

• Energy poverty

• Electrification

• Nuclear energy

• Distributed generation

• Energy legislation non-restrictive for RES

• Role of natural gas

• EV, self-consumption...

• Towards 100% NZEB

• Energy storage

• New energy infrastructure

• Consumer empowerment and society engagement

Main challenges of the Catalonia Energy Plan 2050

100% RES 2017 2050

8,7% RES

CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION IN CATALONIA

Page 16: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE

CATALAN ENERGY SYSTEM

Climate modeling of the Catalonia Energy Plan 2050

2017 2050 More than 30 years

What about the impact of climate change on the

supply-side?

• Solar energy

• Wind energy

• Hydropower

What about the impact of climate change on the

demand-side?

• Buildings

Page 17: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE

CATALAN ENERGY SYSTEM

Climate modeling of the Catalonia Energy Plan 2050

What about the impact of climate change on the supply-side?

global daily irradiation (annual average) -> 2050?

Source: Institut Català d’Energia (ICAEN)

Page 18: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE

CATALAN ENERGY SYSTEM

Climate modeling of the Catalonia Energy Plan 2050

What about the impact of climate change on the supply-side?

average wind speed at 80 m height -> 2050?

Source: Instituto para la Diversificación y Ahorro de Energía (IDAE) - MINETAD

Page 19: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE

CATALAN ENERGY SYSTEM

Climate modeling of the Catalonia Energy Plan 2050

What about the impact of climate change on the supply-side?

average annual precipitation -> 2031-2050: -6,8% (-10,7% spring)

Source: Third report on climate change in

Catalonia [Generalitat de Catalunya, 2016]

Source: Institut Cartogràfic de Catalunya

Hydroelectricity: 13%

Page 20: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE

CATALAN ENERGY SYSTEM

Climate modeling of the Catalonia Energy Plan 2050

What about the impact of climate change on the demand-side?

annual average temperature -> 2031-2050: +1,4ºC (+1,8ºC summer) Source: Third report on climate change in

Catalonia [Generalitat de Catalunya, 2016]

Heating 3.510 41,4%

Water heating 1.446 17,1%

Appliances 1.895 22,2%

Cooking 864

10,2%

Lighting 650

7,7%

Cooling 121

1,4%

Household energy consumption by end-use in Catalonia (kWh/a)

Source: Institut Català d’Energia (ICAEN)

Page 21: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE

CATALAN ENERGY SYSTEM

Climate modeling of the Catalonia Energy Plan 2050

What about the impact of climate change on the demand-side?

Existing building energy efficiency performance -> 2050?

Source: Institut Català d’Energia (ICAEN)

A

B

C

DE

FG

0,00

100,00

200,00

300,00

400,00

500,00

B3 C2 C3 D1 D2 D3 E1

Energy efficiency label Nu

mb

er

of

bu

ild

ing

s

Climate zone

Energy efficiency performance of existing buildings per climate zone kWh/m2.a

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

Page 22: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

CONCLUSIONS

1. National Agreement on energy transition in Catalonia has been

approved. It stipulates a target of a 100% renewable energy system

by 2050.

2. Wind and solar energy will be essential in order to achieve this

target.

3. Climate simulations are essential to define the future energy

scenarios and their evolution.

4. Climate change effects contribute to uncertainty estimates.

Page 23: Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector · Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector #cleanenergy 1. 2020, 2030 and 2050 EU energy objectives

#cleanenergy

David Villar – [email protected]

Marc Rotllan – [email protected]

Energy Planning Division

Catalan Institute of Energy (ICAEN)