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Copenhagen, Apr 28 2008
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders
Peter Skands
CERN TH / Fermilab
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 2Peter Skands
May 2008
OverviewOverview► Introduction
• Calculating Collider Observables
► The LHC from the Ultraviolet to the Infrared
• Bremsstrahlung• Hard jets
• Towards extremely high precision: a new proposal
• The structure of the Underlying Event• What “structure” ? What to do about it?
• Hadronization and All That • Stringy uncertainties
• QCD and Dark Matter: an example
Disclaimer: discussion of hadron collisions in full, gory detail not possible in 1 hour focus on central concepts and current uncertainties
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 3Peter Skands
► Main Tool: Matrix Elements calculated in fixed-order perturbative quantum field theory
• Example:
QQuantumuantumCChromohromoDDynamicsynamics
Reality is more complicated
High transverse-momentum interaction
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 4Peter Skands
Event GeneratorsEvent Generators
► Generator philosophy:
• Improve Born-level perturbation theory, by including the ‘most significant’ corrections complete events
1. Parton Showers 2. Hadronisation3. The Underlying Event
1. Soft/Collinear Logarithms2. Power Corrections3. All of the above (+ more?)
roughlyroughly
(+ many other ingredients: resonance decays, beam remnants, Bose-Einstein, …)
Asking for fully exclusive events is asking for quite a lot …
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 5Peter Skands
Non-perturbativehadronisation, colour reconnections, beam remnants, non-perturbative fragmentation functions, pion/proton ratio, kaon/pion ratio, ...
Soft Jets and Jet StructureSoft/collinear radiation (brems), underlying event (multiple perturbative 22 interactions + … ?), semi-hard brems jets, …
Resonance Masses…
Hard Jet TailHigh-pT jets at large angles
& W
idths
sInclusive
Exclusive
Hadron Decays
Collider Energy ScalesCollider Energy Scales
+ Un-Physical Scales:+ Un-Physical Scales:
• QF , QR : Factorization(s) & Renormalization(s)
• QE : Evolution(s)
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 6Peter Skands
TThehe BBottomottom LLineine
The S matrix is expressible as a series in gi, gin/Qm, gi
n/xm, gin/mm, gi
n/fπm
, …
To do precision physics:
Solve more of QCD
Combine approximations which work in different regions: matching
Control it
Establish comprehensive understanding of uncertainties
Improve and extend systematically
Non-perturbative effects
don’t care whether we know how to calculate them
FO DGLAP
BFKL
HQET
χPT
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 7Peter Skands
Problem 1: bremsstrahlung corrections are singular for soft/collinear configurations spoils fixed-order truncation
e+e- 3 jets
BremsstrahlungBremsstrahlung
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 8Peter Skands
► Supersymmetric particles: pair production
• + up to two explicit extra QCD bremsstrahlung jets• Each emission factor of the strong coupling naively factor 0.1 per jet
• For this example, we take MSUSY ~ 600 GeV
• Collider Energy = 14 TeV
• Conclusion: 100 GeV can be “soft” at the LHC• Matrix Element (fixed order) expansion breaks completely down at 50 GeV• With decay jets of order 50 GeV, this is important to understand and control
Bremsstrahlung Example: SUSY @ LHCBremsstrahlung Example: SUSY @ LHC
FIXED ORDER pQCD
inclusive X + 1 “jet”
inclusive X + 2 “jets”
LHC - sps1a - m~600 GeV Plehn, Rainwater, Skands PLB645(2007)217
(Computed with SUSY-MadGraph)
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 9Peter Skands
Beyond Fixed Order 1Beyond Fixed Order 1► dσX = …
► dσX+1 ~ dσX g2 2 sab /(sa1s1b) dsa1ds1b
► dσX+2 ~ dσX+1 g2 2 sab/(sa2s2b) dsa2ds2b
► dσX+3 ~ dσX+2 g2 2 sab/(sa3s3b) dsa3ds3b
► But it’s not a parton shower, not yet an “evolution”
• What’s the total cross section we would calculate from this?
• σX;tot = int(dσX) + int(dσX+1) + int(dσX+2) + ...
Probability not conserved, events “multiply” with nasty singularities! Just an approximation of a sum of trees.
But wait, what happened to the virtual corrections? KLN?
dσX
α sab
saisibdσX+1 dσ
X+2
dσX+2
This is an approximation of inifinite-order tree-level cross sections
“DLA”
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 10Peter Skands
Beyond Fixed Order 2Beyond Fixed Order 2► dσX = …
► dσX+1 ~ dσX g2 2 sab /(sa1s1b) dsa1ds1b
► dσX+2 ~ dσX+1 g2 2 sab/(sa2s2b) dsa2ds2b
► dσX+3 ~ dσX+2 g2 2 sab/(sa3s3b) dsa3ds3b
+ Unitarisation: σtot = int(dσX)
σX;PS = σX - σX+1 - σX+2 - …
► Interpretation: the structure evolves! (example: X = 2-jets)• Take a jet algorithm, with resolution measure “Q”, apply it to your events
• At a very crude resolution, you find that everything is 2-jets
• At finer resolutions some 2-jets migrate 3-jets = σX+1(Q) = σX;incl– σX;excl(Q)
• Later, some 3-jets migrate further, etc σX+n(Q) = σX;incl– ∑σX+m<n;excl(Q)• This evolution takes place between two scales, Q in and Qfin = QF;ME and Qhad
► σX;PS = int(dσX) - int(dσX+1) - int(dσX+2) + ...
= int(dσX) EXP[ - int(α 2 sab /(sa1s1b) dsa1 ds1b ) ]
dσX
α sab
saisibdσX+1 dσ
X+2
dσX+2
Given a jet definition, an
event has either 0, 1, 2, or … jets
“DLA”
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 11Peter Skands
Perturbative EvolutionPerturbative Evolution
► Evolution Operator, S (as a function of “time” t=1/Q)
• Defined in terms of Δ(t1,t2) – The integrated probability the system does not change state between t1 and t2 (Sudakov)
Pure Shower (all orders)
wX : |MX|2
S : Evolution operator
{p} : momenta
“X + nothing” “X+something”
A: splitting function
•S unitary total (inclusive) σ unchanged, •only shapes are predicted (i.e., also σ after shape-dependent cuts)
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 12Peter Skands
Constructing Parton ShowersConstructing Parton Showers► The final answer will depend on:
• The choice of evolution “time”
• The splitting functions (finite terms not fixed)
• The phase space map ( dΦn+1/dΦn )
• The renormalization scheme (argument of αs)
• The infrared cutoff contour (hadronization cutoff)
► They are all “unphysical”, in the same sense as QFactorizaton, etc.
• At strict “Leading Log”, any choice is equally good
• However, 20 years of parton showers have taught us: many NLL effects can be (approximately) absorbed by judicious choices
• Effectively, precision is much better than strict LL, but still not formally NLL
• E.g., (E,p) cons., “angular ordering”, using pT as scale in αs, with ΛMS ΛMC, …
Clever choices good for process-independent things, but what about the process-dependent bits? showers + matching to matrix elements
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 13Peter Skands
Some Holy GrailsSome Holy Grails► Matching to first order matrix elements + parton showers ~ done
• 1st order : (X+1)tree-level PYTHIA, HERWIG; + X1-loop : MC@NLO, POWHEG
• Multi-leg : (X+1,2,…)tree-level CKKW, MLM, … (but still no nontrivial loop information)
► Simultaneous 1-loop and multi-leg matching : not yet done
• 1st order : X1-Loop + (X+ 1,2,…)tree-level + (X + ∞)leading-log
• 2nd order : (X+1)1-Loop + (X + 1,2,…)tree-level + (X + ∞)leading-log
► Showers that systematically resum subleading singularities : not yet done
• Leading-Log Next-to-Leading-Log … ?
• Leading-Colour Next-to-Leading Colour ? Unpolarized Polarized ? (Herwig)
► Solving any of these would be highly desirable
• Solve all of them ?
• X2-Loop + (X+1,…?)1-loop + (X + 1,2,…)tree-level + (X + ∞)NLL + string-fragmentation
• + reliable uncertainty bands
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 14Peter Skands
Parton ShowersParton Showers► The final answer depends on:
• The choice of evolution “time”
• The splitting functions (finite/subleading terms not fixed)
• The phase space map ( dΦn+1/dΦn )
• The renormalization scheme (argument of αs)
• The infrared cutoff contour (hadronization cutoff)
► Step 1, Quantify uncertainty: vary all of these (within reasonable limits)
► Step 2, Systematically improve: Understand the importance of each and how it is canceled by
• Matching to fixed order matrix elements, at LO, NLO, NNLO, …
• Higher logarithms, subleading color, etc, are included
► Step 3, Write a generator: Make the above explicit (while still tractable) in a Markov Chain context matched parton shower MC algorithm
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 15Peter Skands
Gustafson, PLB175(1986)453; Lönnblad (ARIADNE), CPC71(1992)15.Azimov, Dokshitzer, Khoze, Troyan, PLB165B(1985)147 Kosower PRD57(1998)5410; Campbell,Cullen,Glover EPJC9(1999)245
VINCIAVINCIA
► Based on Dipole-Antennae• Shower off color-connected pairs of partons
• Plug-in to PYTHIA 8 (C++)
► So far:
• 3 different shower evolution variables:• pT-ordering (= ARIADNE ~ PYTHIA 8)
• Dipole-mass-ordering (~ but not = PYTHIA 6, SHERPA)
• Thrust-ordering (3-parton Thrust)
• For each: an infinite family of antenna functions • Laurent series in branching invariants with arbitrary finite terms
• Shower cutoff contour: independent of evolution variable IR factorization “universal”
• Several different choices for αs (evolution scale, pT, mother antenna mass, 2-loop, …)
• Phase space mappings: 2 different choices implemented • Antenna-like (ARIADNE angle) or Parton-shower-like: Emitter + longitudinal Recoiler
Dipoles (=Antennae, not CS) – a dual description of QCD
a
b
r
VIRTUAL NUMERICAL COLLIDER WITH INTERLEAVED ANTENNAE
Giele, Kosower, PS : hep-ph/0707.3652 + Les Houches 2007
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 16Peter Skands
Dipole-Antenna FunctionsDipole-Antenna Functions► Starting point: “GGG” antenna functions, e.g., ggggg:
► Generalize to arbitrary double Laurent series:
Can make shower systematically “softer” or “harder”
• Will see later how this variation is explicitly canceled by matching
quantification of uncertainty
quantification of improvement by matching
yar = sar / si
si = invariant mass of i’th dipole-antenna
Gehrmann-De Ridder, Gehrmann, Glover, JHEP 09 (2005) 056
Singular parts fixed, finite terms arbitrary
Frederix, Giele, Kosower, PS : Les Houches NLM, arxiv:0803.0494
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 17Peter Skands
Tree-level matching to X+1Tree-level matching to X+11. Expand parton shower to 1st order (real radiation term)
2. Matrix Element (Tree-level X+1 ; above thad)
Matching Term (= correction events to be added)
variations in finite terms (or dead regions) in Ai canceled (at this order)
• (If A too hard, correction can become negative negative weights)
Inverse phase space map ~ clustering
Giele, Kosower, PS : hep-ph/0707.3652
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 18Peter Skands
Matching by Reweighted ShowersMatching by Reweighted Showers
► Go back to original shower definition
► Possible to modify S to expand to the “correct” matrix elements ?
Pure Shower (all orders)
wX : |MX|2
S : Evolution operator
{p} : momenta
Sjöstrand, Bengtsson : Nucl.Phys.B289(1987)810; Phys.Lett.B185(1987)435
Norrbin, Sjöstrand : Nucl.Phys.B603(2001)2971st order: yes
Generate an over-estimating (trial) branching
Reweight it by vetoing it with the probability
But 2nd and beyond difficult due to lack of clean PS expansion
w>0 as long as |M|2 > 0
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 19Peter Skands
Towards an NNLO + NLL MCTowards an NNLO + NLL MC► Basic idea: extend reweigthing to 2nd order
• 23 tree-level antennae enough to reach NLO
• 23 one-loop + 24 tree-level antennae NNLO
► And exponentiate it
• Exponentiating 23 (dipole-antenna showers) (N)LL
• Complete NNLO captures the singularity structure up to (N)NLL
• So a shower incorporating all these pieces exactly should be able to• Reach NLL resummation, with a good approximation to NNLL;
• + exact matching up to NNLO should be possible
• Start small, do it for Z decay first (if you can’t do Z, you can’t do anything)
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 20Peter Skands
224 Matching 4 Matching by reweightingby reweighting
► Starting point:
• LL shower w/ large coupling and large finite terms to generate “trial” branchings (“sufficiently” large to over-estimate the full ME).
• Accept branching [i] with a probability
► Each point in Z4 phase space then receives a contribution
• Also need to take into account ordering cancellation of dependence
1st order matching term (à la Sjöstrand-Bengtsson) 2nd order matching term (with 1st order subtracted)
(If you think this looks deceptively easy, you are right)
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 21Peter Skands
Tree-level 2Tree-level 23 + 23 + 24 in Action4 in Action► The unknown finite terms are a major source of uncertainty
• DGLAP has some, GGG have others, ARIADNE has yet others, etc…
• They are arbitrary (and in general process-dependent)
αs(MZ)=0.137,
μR=pT,
pThad = 0.5 GeV
Varying finite terms only
with
First example of a parton shower including second-order corrections
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 22Peter Skands
LEP ComparisonsLEP Comparisons
Planning public release this summer, then on to hadrons
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 23Peter Skands
The Structure of the Underlying EventThe Structure of the Underlying Event
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 24Peter Skands
► Domain of fixed order and parton shower calculations: hard partonic scattering, and bremsstrahlung associated with it.
► But hadrons are not elementary
► + QCD diverges at low pT
► multiple perturbative parton-parton collisions should occur pairwise balancing minijets (‘lumpiness’) in the underlying event
► Normally omitted in explicit perturbative expansion
► + Remnants from the incoming beams
► + additional (non-perturbative / collective) phenomena?• Bose-Einstein Correlations
• Non-perturbative gluon exchanges / colour reconnections ?
• String-string interactions / collective multi-string effects ?
• Interactions with “background” vacuum / with remnants / with active medium?
e.g. 44, 3 3, 32
Additional Sources of Particle ProductionAdditional Sources of Particle Production
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 25Peter Skands
Classic Example: Number of tracksClassic Example: Number of tracksUA5 @ 540 GeV, single pp, charged multiplicity in minimum-bias
events
Simple physics models ~ Poisson
Can ‘tune’ to get average right, but
much too small fluctuations
inadequate physics model
More Physics:
Multiple interactions +
impact-parameter
dependenceMoral:
1) It is not possible to ‘tune’ anything better than the underlying physics model allows
2) Failure of a physically motivated model usually points to more physics
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 26Peter Skands
The ‘New’ ModelThe ‘New’ Model
Sjöstrand, Skands : JHEP03(2004)053, EPJC39(2005)129multipartonPDFs derivedfrom sum rules
Beam remnantsFermi motion / primordial kT
Fixed ordermatrix elements
parton shower(matched tofurther matrixelements)
perturbative “intertwining”?
► Parton Showers resum divergent emission cross sections
► Multiple interactions “resum” divergent interaction cross sections
A “complete” model for hadron collisions
Also note new Herwig++ model March 2008: Bahr, Gieseke, Seymour; arXiv:0803.3633
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 27Peter Skands
Hadronization and All ThatHadronization and All That
Simulation fromD. B. Leinweber, hep-lat/0004025
Anti-Triplet
Triplet
pbar beam remnant
p beam remnantbbar
from
tbar
deca
y
b from
t d
ecay
qbar fro
m W
q from W
hadroniza
tion
?
q from W
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 28Peter Skands
Underlying Event and ColourUnderlying Event and Colour► Not much was known about the colour correlations, so some “theoretically
sensible” default values were chosen
• Rick Field (CDF) noted that the default model produced too soft charged-particle spectra.
• The same is seen at RHIC:
• For ‘Tune A’ etc, Rick noted that <pT> increased when he increased the colour correlation parameters
• But needed ~ 100% correlation. So far not explained
• Virtually all ‘tunes’ now used by the Tevatron and LHC experiments employ these more ‘extreme’ correlations
• What is their origin? Why are they needed?
M. Heinz, nucl-ex/0606020; nucl-ex/0607033
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 29Peter Skands
► Searched for at LEP • Major source of W mass uncertainty• Most aggressive scenarios excluded• But effect still largely uncertain Preconnect ~ 10%
► Prompted by CDF data and Rick Field’s studies to reconsider. What do we know?
• Non-trivial initial QCD vacuum
• A lot more colour flowing around, not least in the UE
• String-string interactions? String coalescence?
• Collective hadronization effects?
• More prominent in hadron-hadron collisions?
• What (else) is RHIC, Tevatron telling us?
• Implications for precision measurements:Top mass? LHC?
Normal
W W
Reconnected
W W
OPAL, Phys.Lett.B453(1999)153 & OPAL, hep-ex0508062
Sjöstrand, Khoze, Phys.Rev.Lett.72(1994)28 & Z. Phys.C62(1994)281 + more …
Colour Reconnection
(example)
Soft Vacuum Fields?String interactions?
Size of effect < 1 GeV?
Color ReconnectionsColor Reconnections
Existing models only for WW a new toy model for all final states: colour annealingAttempts to minimize total area of strings in space-time
• Improves description of minimum-bias collisionsSkands, Wicke EPJC52(2007)133 ;
Preliminary finding Delta(mtop) ~ 0.5 GeVNow being studied by Tevatron top mass groups
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 30Peter Skands
WIMP
(QCD and Dark Matter: an example)(QCD and Dark Matter: an example)
► Imagine the galaxy is filled with dark matter zipping around at a few hundred km/s
• Look for elastic interactions with nuclei CDMS
• phonon detectors coupled to arrays of cryogenic (0.02 K) germanium and silicon crystals
► In MSSM, dominated by heavy Higgs exchange
Relation between CDMS Dark Matter search and Tevatron MSSM Higgs search
Need to know strange and gluon content of proton under elastic scattering: factor 2 uncertainty in our study
• Less important for discovery / exclusion, but would be significant for subsequent precision studies
Carena, Hooper, Skands PRL97 (2006) 051801
LEP excl
CD
MS
200
6 ex
clC
DM
S 2
007
proj
What does this have to do with colliders and QCD ?
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 31Peter Skands
ConclusionsConclusions► QCD Phenomenology is in a state of impressive activity
• Increasing move from educated guesses to precision science
• Better matrix element calculators+integrators (+ more user-friendly)
• Improved parton showers and improved matching to matrix elements
• Improved models for underlying events / minimum bias
• Upgrades of hadronization and decays
• Clearly motivated by dominance of LHC in the next decade(s) of HEP
► Early LHC Physics: theory
• At 14 TeV, everything is interesting
• Even if not a dinner Chez Maxim, rediscovering the Standard Model is much more than bread and butter.
• Real possibilities for real surprises
• It is both essential, and I hope possible, to ensure timely discussions on “non-classified” data, such as min-bias, dijets, Drell-Yan, etc allow rapid improvements in QCD modeling (beyond simple retunes) after startup
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 32Peter Skands
A ProblemA Problem
►The best of both worlds? We want:
• A description which accurately predicts hard additional jets
• + jet structure and the effects of multiple soft emissions
an “inclusive” sample on which we could evaluate any observable, whether it is sensitive or not to extra hard jets, or to soft radiation
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 33Peter Skands
A ProblemA Problem
►How to do it?
• Compute emission rates by parton showering (PS)?• Misses relevant terms for hard jets, rates only correct for strongly ordered
emissions pT1 >> pT2 >> pT3 ...
• Unknown contributions from higher logarithmic orders, subleading colors, …
• Compute emission rates with matrix elements (ME)?• Misses relevant terms for soft/collinear emissions, rates only correct for
well-separated individual partons
• Quickly becomes intractable beyond one loop and a handfull of legs
• Unknown contributions from higher fixed orders
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 34Peter Skands
A (Stupid) SolutionA (Stupid) Solution► Combine different starting multiplicites
inclusive sample?
► In practice – Combine
1. [X]ME + showering
2. [X + 1 jet]ME + showering
3. …
► Doesn’t work
• [X] + shower is inclusive
• [X+1] + shower is also inclusive
X inclusiveX inclusive
X+1 inclusiveX+1 inclusive
X+2 inclusiveX+2 inclusive ≠X exclusiveX exclusive
X+1 exclusiveX+1 exclusive
X+2 inclusiveX+2 inclusive
Run generator for X (+ shower)
Run generator for X+1 (+ shower)
Run generator for … (+ shower)
Combine everything into one sample
What you get
What you want
Overlapping “bins” One sample
QCD Phenomenology at Hadron Colliders - 35Peter Skands
Double CountingDouble Counting
► Double Counting:
• [X]ME + showering produces some X + jet configurations• The result is X + jet in the shower approximation
• If we now add the complete [X + jet]ME as well• the total rate of X+jet is now approximate + exact ~ double !!
• some configurations are generated twice.
• And the total inclusive cross section is also not well defined• Is it the “LO” cross section?
• Is it the “LO” cross section plus the integral over [X + jet] ?
• What about “complete orders” and KLN ?
► When going to X, X+j, X+2j, X+3j, etc, this problem gets worse