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COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

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Page 1: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

COPART, INC.by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

Page 2: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

PRESENTATION OUTLINE: Company Background

Company Overview Business Strategy Competition Acquisition History Recent Events

Stock & Portfolio Recent performance Portfolio positioning Correlation matrix

Valuation Business Analysis Key Assumption Model & Calculation

Conclusion & Recommendation Appendix: Macroeconomic Effects

Page 3: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

PART I: COMPANY BACKGROUND

Company Overview

Business Strategy

Competition

Acquisition History

Competition

Recent Events

Page 4: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

COMPANY OVERVIEW

A leading provider of vehicle remarketing services in the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK)

Provide vehicle suppliers with a full range of remarketing services to process and sell salvage vehicles

Sales are done primarily over the Internet through their Virtual Bidding Second Generation Internet auction-style sales technology (VB2)

Page 5: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

COMPANY OVERVIEW – TWO MODELS

Revenues:

U.S. and Canada: CPRT acts primarily as an agent Derives revenue through fees from buyer, seller,

and services

U.K.: CPRT acts primarily as a principal Derives revenue by purchasing vehicles outright

from insurance companies and reselling them to buyers through live auctions and internet sales

Intend to implement VB2 in 2008

Page 6: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

U.S. BUSINESS MODEL

Person: gets into a bad accident

Insurance Company: purchases the totaled car and wants to sell it at the highest price

Copart: provides services for both supplier and buyer

DismantlersUsed Car DealersRebuilders

Exporters

•Copart, as a middleman, brings the buyers and suppliers together

•Revenues are obtained through transaction fees and related services

Page 7: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

U.K. BUSINESS MODEL

Person: gets into a bad accident

Insurance Company: purchases the totaled car and wants to sell it at the highest price

Copart: Buys the vehicle from the insurance company and sells it to the buyers

DismantlersUsed Car DealersRebuilders

Exporters

•Copart purchases the vehicle and actively looks for buyers.

•Revenues are obtained from the capital gains, but sustains all the transaction fees and devaluation risks.

Page 8: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

BUSINESS STRATEGY

Acquisitions

Development of new facilities

Increasing buyer base

Implementing value-added services for both buyers and suppliers

Page 9: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

ACQUISITION HISTORY - USD

Page 10: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

ACQUISITIONS HISTORY

Page 11: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

CURRENT AND ONGOING ACQUISITIONS

U.S. and Canada Acquisitions (till April 8th): London, Ontario Windsor, New Jersey Walton, Kentucky

U.K. Acquisitions: Simpson Bros. Salvage AG Watson Auto Salvage & Motors Spares (2 yards)

With the closing of these transactions, Copart will operate 15 locations in the UK and 143 locations worldwide.

Page 12: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

COMPETITION U.S. and Canada Competitors:

Vehicle auctioneers: the ADESA Corporation Auction Broadcasting Company Insurance Auto Auctions, Inc. Manheim Auctions SADISCO

Dismantlers: Greenleaf LKQ Corporation

Trade Groups: American Recycling Association United Recyclers Group

U.K. Principal competitors are privately held independent

salvage companies

Page 13: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

RECENT EVENTS:

In October 2007, Copart announced a 20-million share increase in the company’s stock repurchase program, bringing the total number to 29 million shares.

March 6, 2008, Copart entered into a $200 million revolving line of credit with Bank of America.

Page 14: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

PART II: STOCK & PORTFOLIOCurrent Holding

Last year Stock Performance

Current Portfolio fit

Correlation matrix

Page 15: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

RCMP CURRENT HOLDINGS

Purchased 1,000 shares on February 28, 2003 at $7.82 per share

Sold 300 shares on November 6, 2007 at $36.20 per share (overvaluation)

Currently own 700 shares at $40.76 per share.

For past five years Copart has appreciated over 420% at approximately 38% annualized gain.

Page 16: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

STOCK PERFORMANCE

• Price increase from $37.10 to $41.30

• No dividend/split in last 52 weeks

•Market Cap is 3.59B•P/E (ttm) is 25.91•Diluted EPS (ttm) is 1.57•Revenue (ttm) is 657.05M •Operating Margin (ttm) is 33.05%•Profit Margin (ttm) is 22.11% •Beta is 0.93, we changed to 1.300•52 week range: $27.42 -$43.27

Page 17: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

CURRENT PORTFOLIO FIT

Page 18: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

CORRELATION TABLE:

Page 19: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

PART III: VALUATION (DCF)

Business Analysis

Key Assumption

Model & Calculation

Page 20: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

BUSINESS ANALYSIS-REVENUE GROWTH MODE AND DEPENDENCE ANALYSIS

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Y--2-Y

growth rate - 12.55% 14.50% 18.07% 3.29%

Past five year compound

Growth rate is 10.05%

Page 21: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

GROSS P.P.E HISTORICAL GROSS MODE

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Y-2-Y

growth rate - 12.13% 17.35% 14.91% 22.87%

Past Five year compound growth rate: 13.2%

Page 22: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

REVENUE BREAK DOWN-SEASONAL EFFECT

Page 23: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

REVENUE BREAK DOWN- SEGMENT

2008E FY 2008 E

Q1

% of total

period Q2% of total

period Q3 E% of total

period Q4 E% of total

period Total % of totalOct.-2007 Jan.-2008 Apr.-2008 July.-2008

140.17 76.20% 137.65 79.36%

171.61 77%

161.89 77.00% 611.32 77.33%

43.78 23.80% 35.81 20.64%

51.26 23%

48.36 23.00% 179.21 22.67%

183.95 100.00

% 173.46 100.00%

222.87 100.00%

210.25 100.00% 790.52 100.00%

Page 24: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

INTRINSIC REVENUE GROWTH RATE CALCULATION

Expect Growth Rate Calculation Step 1: Calculate the Reinvestment Rate = 100% Step 2: Calculate Return on Equity = 11.26% Step 3: Calculate the Expect Growth Rate = 11.26%

Expect Growth Rate = ROE * Reinvestment Rate * this is the internal growth rate

Page 25: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

KEY ASSUMPTION:

2008 E 2009 E 2010 E 2011 E 2012 EUS & CA Revenue 622.44 722.03 844.78 971.49 1097.79

Y--2-Y growth rate 14.00% 16.00% 17.00% 15.00% 13.00%% of SALES SEGMENT 77.65% 77.20% 76.75% 76.29% 75.81%

UK revenue 179.21 213.26 255.91 301.97 350.29Y-2--Y growth rate - 19.00% 20.00% 18.00% 16.00%

% of SALES SEGMENT 22.35% 22.80% 23.25% 23.71% 24.19%

Total Revenue 801.65

935.29

1,100.68

1,273.46

1,448.07

Y-2-Y growth rate 42.97% 16.67% 17.68% 15.70% 13.71%COGS 432.89 533.11 627.39 700.40 753.00

% of sales 54.00% 57.00% 57.00% 55.00% 52.00%Gross Profit 368.76 402.17 473.29 573.06 695.07

% of sales 46.00% 43.00% 43.00% 45.00% 48.00%

Page 26: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

DCF: CAPM & WACC CALCULATIONAssumption:Stable Growth Rate 4%

Scales : Thousands 1 2 3 4 5 6

2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012ETerminal

Value EBIT(1-TAX) $118.91 $120.61 $151.25 $219.33 $261.52 + Dep./Amortization $60.15 $70.18 $82.59 $95.55 $95.55 - CAPEX $240.93 $170.45 $206.68 $225.19 $95.55 - ∆NWC -$97.21 $15.94 $17.02 $17.27 $18.43 Terminal value, gross $3,304.77

-Terminal year lease

obligation $38.68 Terminal value, net $3,266.09   FCFF: $35.34 $4.40 $10.13 $72.42 $243.09 $3,266.09 PV of FCF $31.65 $3.53 $7.28 $46.60 $140.11 $1,686.07 SUM of PV $1,915.25

Page 27: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

CAPM

rf 4.50% Rm 10.00% rm - rf 6% Adjusted Beta 1.300 Re = rf + Beta * (rm-rf) 11.650% Bloomberg Beta is 0.946, we changed it to 1.1 to capture the risk acusing from the oversea Mergers & Acquisitions.

Page 28: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

WACC

Capital Structure:

Q2 2008 Equity Debt Pref.Eqty

Weight 100% 0.00% 0.00%

Cost 9.90% 0.00% 0.00%

WXC 9.90% 0.00% 0.00%

Wd 0.00% We 100.00% Rd 0.000% Re 11.650% WACC = We* Re + Wd * (1-t)* Rd 11.6500%

Page 29: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

INTRINSIC VALUE CALCULATION

Scales : millions

= Enterprise Value $ 1,915.25

(USD millions)

* the company right now doest not have debt *

/ Shares outstanding 80.30(millions) Adjustments

= Price per share $ 23.85 10% Up 10% Down

$ 26.24

$ 21.47

Page 30: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

Page 31: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

PART IV: FAIRNESS OPINION & CONCLUSION

o Copart was a very healthy company but the overseas expansion has not been troublesome.

o The fair value of Copart Common stock should be $21.49-$27.74 per share.

o Today’s trading price is $41.45. The big difference is due to high speculative estimation about revenue increase rate, the

company new aggressive stock repurchase program and uncertainty about oversea operations.

Our recommendation:

SELL 300 Shares at Market

Page 32: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

Q & A:

Any Questions

?

Page 33: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

APPENDIX: MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS- Oil

The increased oil price would negatively influence Copart profits:

Increased operating related costs(transportation, utility, etc.) In the long run changes people driving habits (driving slow or using Bus)

Page 34: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

APPENDIX: CURRENCY EFFECTS

The decreased value of USD to Euro would increase Copart value :

•Domestically, Copart as a exporter, foreign customers would feel cars relatively cheap and increase the volume of VB2.

•In UK, since Copart as a principle, the currency effect is not material. (both buy side and sell side deal business using the same currency. )

Page 35: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

APPENDIX: RECESSION EFFECTS

Page 36: COPART, INC. by Brandon Lee and Xiaoting Yang

NOTICE: GROSS PROFIT MARGIN DECREASE

1) the cost of purchased cars of $48.3 million2) a charge of $0.6 million for the acceptance of fraudulent buyer credit card

payments for cars sold on behalf of our suppliers,