Upload
darrell-booth
View
214
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Contributions In Aid of Construction
Mark BeauchampBusiness & Finance WorkshopUtility Financial Solutions616-393-9722
Objectives
Types of Line Extension Policies Consideration when developing a line
extension policy Risk of investments How much is a new customer worth? How to determine the value and example
calculations Other Considerations when developing a
line extension policy
Examples of Electric Line Extension Policies
Based on Annual Revenues Some charge the difference
between underground and overhead Some contribute a per foot
maximum amount Some provide it free of charge Some charge customers a System
Development Charge
Types of Line Extension Polices
Many policies are not based on economics and do not consider the financial impact to existing rate payers.
Examples: Investing $15,000 to connect a residential
customer Using a times revenue policy for a 15 mW
Ethanol plant Not contributing to expansion of hospital that
will increase electrical use
Considerations in developing a line extension policy
Often power supply represents 65% - 85% of the total revenue requirement for utilities.
Power supply can represent 85% - 90% of a high load factor customers revenue requirement and only 60% for a residential or small commercial
A times annual revenue policy will overvalue a high load factor customer
Example Ethanol Plant (87% Load Factor) Five times annual revenue valued customer at over $5.0
Million actual value to electric utility is less than $500,000
Utility Investment per kWh by Load Factor
Contribution Margin (kWh) by Load Factor
$0.000
$0.005
$0.010
$0.015
$0.020
$0.025
$0.030
$0.035
$0.040
$0.045
$0.050
31% 36% 41% 46% 51% 56% 61% 66% 71% 76% 81% 86%
Load Factor
NPV C
ontr
ibut
ion
per
Risk of Investments in Customer
Example: TransCanada Pipeline building line through rural
areas of Nebraska substantial investment were needed to service pumping stations
Investments of over $5.0 million were required by some utilities, kWh usage from the pipeline would more than double sales to utility
Risks: over-estimating sales in determination of line
extension contribution Bankruptcy Stranded investments could substantially increase
rates to utility Contribution margins from distribution amounted to
only $200,000 per year Wholesale providers ratchet clause in rates
Value of a Customer?
Many Utilities are moving toward policies that places a value on a customer Reviews the contribution margin a customer will
provide to the system Amount of risk of investing money to serve the
customer Objective
Help ensure the investment to connect customer is a good investment for the utility and will benefit existing customers of the system
Growth should be good for the system
Steps to Value a Customer
Determine variable cost to serve each customer class
Determine contribution margin (net revenue) from each class
Convert contribution margin of each customer class to a per kWh, kW, kVa or HP basis
Present value the contribution margin over an appropriate time (considering risk) assuming a discount rate = rate of return
Determination of Contribution Margin by Class
Class Cost of Service Revenues
Power Supply Costs
Contribution Margin
Residential 42,987,045$ 23,350,822$ 19,636,223$
Small Gen. Service 6,594,016 3,945,071 2,648,945 Medium Gen. Service 8,297,661 5,746,617 2,551,044 Large Gen. Service - Non-TOU 11,385,141 8,200,790 3,184,350 Small Ag Irrigation 775,153 460,391 314,762 Large Ag. Irrigation - w/o AFC 550,948 375,104 175,844
Determination of Contribution Margin on a billable basis
Rate Class Combinations
Contribution to Margin
KWH, KW or KVA for each
class
Contribution to Margin per KWH, KW, or
KVA BasisResidential $ 19,636,223 651,453,311 0.0301 KWHSmall Gen. 2,648,945 165,382 16.02 KVAMedium Gen. 2,551,044 144,749 17.62 KVALarge Gen. 3,184,350 111,762 28.49 KVASmall Ag 314,762 10,876 28.94 KVALarge Ag. 175,844 15,350 11.46 KVA
Types of Billable Basis
kWh Average kWh projected for customer kW projected for customer kVa of installed capacity
Variable Costs = Power Supply costs from Cost of Service Study
Present Value Contribution Margin
Recovery ResidentialResidential Three Year
Residential Five Year
Small Gen. Service
Medium Gen.
Service
Large Gen. Service - Non-TOU
Large Industrial
Small Ag Irrigation
Large Ag. Irrigation - w/o AFC
Year1 0.0301 0.0100 0.0060 16.02 17.62 28.49 3.61 28.94 11.46 2 0.0301 0.0201 0.0121 16.02 17.62 28.49 3.61 28.94 11.46 3 0.0301 0.0301 0.0181 16.02 17.62 28.49 3.61 28.94 11.46 4 0.0301 0.0301 0.0241 16.02 17.62 28.94 11.46 5 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 16.02 17.62 28.94 11.46 6 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 7 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 - 89
Disc. Rate 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%
Utility Invest. $0.162 $0.135 $0.110 65.67$ $72.26 $74.77 $9.47 $118.66 $46.97Basis kWh kWh kWh kVa kVa kVa kVa kVa kVa
Present Value Contribution Margin
Customer Class
Average Contribution
per CustomerAverage Usage
Maximum Investment
per Customer Basis
Residential 0.162$ 16,722 2,716$ Estimated based on KWHResidential Subdivision Three Year Phase In 0.135 16,722 2,258 Estimated based on KWHResidential Subdivision Five Year Phase In 0.110 16,722 1,839 Estimated based on KWHSmall Gen. Service 65.67 38 2,518 Estimated based on KVAMedium Gen. Service 72.26 217 15,658 Estimated based on KVALarge Gen. Service - Non-TOU 74.77 873 65,287 Estimated based on KVASmall Ag Irrigation 118.661 18 2,123 Estimated based on KVALarge Ag. Irrigation - w/o AFC 46.970 640 30,041 Estimated based on KVA
Present Value Contribution Margin
Maximum Investment Basis
Residential $ 2,716 Per ConnectionResidential Subdivision Three Year Phase In 2,258 Per ConnectionResidential Subdivision Five Year Phase In 1,839 Per ConnectionSmall Gen. Service 65.67 Per KVA Installed CapacityMedium Gen. Service 72.26 Per KVA Installed CapacityLarge Gen. Service - Non-TOU 74.77 Per KVA Installed CapacitySmall Ag Irrigation 118.66 Per KVA Installed CapacityLarge Ag. Irrigation - w/o AFC 46.97 Per KVA Installed Capacity
Customer Class
Key Assumptions
Discount Rate Typically equal to
Rate of Return Target for Utility
Length of time to recover investment Based on perceived
risk of investment Residential 5-9
years Commercial 4-5
years Industrial 3 years
Perceived Risks
Company going out of business Facility burning down Co-Generation Wind Mills/Solar/Fuel Cells Alternative fuels
Other Considerations
Second customer connecting to line paid by another customer
Customer above certain size should require a special analysis
Existing customer expands facilities Residential average not
representative of the new customers usage
Risk to utility