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CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY Copyright 2008 by Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. Any duplication, reproduction, or usage of this document or any portion thereof without the written consent of the firm is prohibited.
Presentation to:
Millennial Strategy Program®
American Tapestry: The Millennial Generation
News21 – Carnegie-Knight Initiative for the Future of Journalism
December 05, 2008
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 2
Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Fifty years as leading media, communications, and entertainment research and strategy firm with clients in the U.S., Europe, and Asia
More than 300 employees serving clients from New York, Los Angeles, London, Minneapolis, and Cedar Rapids, Iowa
Large, experienced team of M.A. and Ph.D. analysts: social scientists, statisticians, and communication experts
Large consulting team with expertise in corporate strategy, brand development, communications plans and both traditional and new media strategies
Interviewed over 1 million consumers by phone, online, and in-person in 2007. Conducted thousands of B2B executive and professional interviews.
March 05, 2006Business and Technology
January 22, 2006Business and Finance
October 19, 2005Business and Finance
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 3
MSP® Engagements
ABC-Disney Television Group ABC Family Anheuser-Busch, Inc. AOL Bonneville International CBS Television Distribution Clear Channel Communications Comcast Cable Condé Nast Country Radio Broadcasters Assoc Cox Enterprises, Inc. Current TV Dale Carnegie Foundation DirecTV The Dispatch Printing Company Evening Post Publishing Fisher Communications Fleishman-Hillard General Growth, Inc. Hearst Corporation Lee Enterprises Media General Meredith Corporation Microsoft NBC The New York Times Company News Corporation Saban Capital Group, Inc. Sony Pictures Television Sony PlayStation/SCEA Tribune Interactive Washington Mutual Wrigley – USA Wrigley International
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Research Methodology
Quantitative
Every other month Online survey 20-25 minutes Sample size ~ 2,000 Millennials, 500 Gen
Xers, 500 Baby Boomers Random sample representative of the
national online population and weighted to match the U.S. Census
Surveys are conducted in the English language
4
Qualitative
Focus groups Ethnographic exploration 1-on-1 interviews Friends groups
Conducted every other month
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 5
1945 1965 1977 1996
Generation X Born: 1965-1976
Children of the Silent Generation
Births per yeardecreased to 3.4 M per year
Major Events/Issues: WatergateOil Crisis
Cable television
Generations Are Defined By Birthrates And Common Experiences
Millennials Born: 1977-1996
Major Events/Issues:Clinton Impeached
9/11The Internet
Children of the Baby Boomer Generation Births increase to
3.8 M per year
Millennial Strategy Program®
Baby Boomers Born: 1945-1964
Children of the G.I. Generation
Births increased from 2.6 M to 3.9 M per year
Major Events/Issues: Vietnam War
Civil Rights MovementTelevision
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Millennial Difference: Size
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
Boomers XERS Millennials
78
mill
ion
86
mill
ion
48
mill
ion
66Millennial Strategy Program™
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
The Millennial Generation will continue to become even more diverse due to immigration
Millennial Difference: Diversity
Millennial Strategy Program® Source: US Census, 2006
77
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 8
Millennial “Elevator Pitch”Collaborative * Optimistic * Influential
Millennial Strategy Program®
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Millennials Born: 1977-1996
“You’ve Got Mail”
“Girls Rule”
Major Events/Issues:Clinton Impeached
9/11
Collaborative team players who think in groups and are hyper-connected to their “circle”
They’re optimistic about their place in the world
They are influential – they influence their friends, family, and the world at large due to their cohort perspective and size
9Millennial Strategy Program® 9
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 10
1976Gymboree Opens
Collaborative, hyper-connected, and exhibit an unfailing, inclusionary group mindset
Play group expectations
Emergence of the ‘active dad’
Birth of the Millennial social network
Societal Events That Helped Foster The Millennial Mindset
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 11
Adult Millennials Drive Social Network UseBased on weekly or more frequent users, ranked by Adult Millennials
General or broad social networking sites 52%
Niche or focused social networking sites 25%
Social play sites 28%
Gen Xers General or broad social networking sites 29%
Niche or focused social networking sites 14%
Social play sites 13%
Boomers General or broad social networking sites 13%
Niche or focused social networking sites 7%
Social play sites 9%
Millennial Strategy Program® Wave VIIIQ. 40-42 The following are types of social sites online. How often, if ever, do you use the following online sites – accessing the Internet with any device (computer, laptop, smartphone, PSP, etc)?
General or broad social networking sites 44%
Niche or focused social networking sites 19%
Social play sites 29%
Pre-Teens/Teens
Adult Millennials
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 12
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 20 40 60 80
Adult Mills Spend Substantial Time Communicating With OthersBased on Adult Millennials, minutes based on those who participate in behavior weekly
Ave
rag
e m
inu
tes
per
day
Percent participating in behavior weekly
Texting
E-mail Playing games
Using the calendar
Talking
Internet browsing
Checking weather
Listening to music
Reading news
Adult Millennials
Checking sports
Millennial Strategy Program® Wave VII – see Appendix for percentages for each behaviorQ. 20 During a typical week, Sunday through Saturday, which of the following do you engage in on your cell phone/smartphone? Q. 21(A-S) During a typical day how many minutes, on average, do you spend using your cell phone/smartphone for the following?
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Millennials Leverage Their Social Circle To Reduce Costs
Millennial Strategy Program® Wave VIIIQ. 28 Overall, which of the following, if any, have you done to reduce costs, save money or make more money in the past 12 months?
Sharing costs with friends …
Borrowing rather than buying what I need …
28%Vs.
15% Gen Xers
10% Boomers
19%Vs.
10% Gen Xers
8% Boomer
13
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 14
1971Title IX
Optimistic and confident about their place in the world
Trickle down to young-girl athletic opportunities
Gender-gap reduction
Traditional barriers were not a significant part of the Millennial youth – dawning of girl power movement
Societal Events That Helped Foster The Millennial Mindset
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Confident About Their Place In The World
Adult Millennials Gen X Boomers
Confident that “I will always”… (top 2 box)
Have an interesting and fulfilling career 45% 36% 33%
Be able to find good jobs throughout my career
44 36 32
Be well off enough financially during my career to live comfortably while working
40 32 32
Have the right amount and quality of education to allow me to succeed in life
51 38 44
Things in my life are…
Generally moving in the right direction 69% 66% 62%
Pretty much off track 19 22 24
Don’t know 12 12 14
Millennial Strategy Program®15
15
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 16
Demonstrate High Workplace Expectations – Especially Millennial Women
Pay Me Well 73% of Adult Millennial women
67% of Adult Millennial men
Respect Me 59% of Adult Millennial women
47% of Adult Millennial men
Give Me Good Benefits 40% of Adult Millennial women
30% of Adult Millennial men
Make My Work Environment Fun 36% of Adult Millennial women
31% of Adult Millennial men
Millennial Strategy Program Wave VI Q. 10M – The three best ways to keep me happy at my job are… Based upon those employed or looking for a job.
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 17
They Believe They Can And Should Tackle Big IssuesBased on Adult Millennials. somewhat or strongly agree with statement (4+5)
Agree
My responsibility to improve environment 79%
Feel like my generation left with problems 75
Too much talk not enough action 74
I can have positive impact 73
I want to be part of the solution 73
I am knowledgeable about environmental issues
67
More likely to watch/listen to/read story if involves environment
60
I research issues to see if they are true 51
I understand “carbon neutral” 44
No longer pay attention to news about environmental issues
33
Confident most issues solved in my life 32
Too much fuss made about environmental issues
31
Millennial Strategy Program Wave VII Q.73(A-L) How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? Base = Split sample. Adult Millennials only. Agree (4+5)
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 18
1974AYSO Expands
Influence their circle and the world at large
The first “family” sport
Soccer moms and mini-vans
Birth of the don’t keep score, trophies for everyone phenomenon
Societal Events That Helped Foster The Millennial Mindset
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 19
Word-Of-Mouth Dominates As Source Of Coolest, Hottest, LatestBased on Adult Millennials who say the source applies to them
Q. 60(A-L) How important are each of the following in helping you keep up with the latest trends, the coolest things to do, or the hottest things to buy? *Asked of those 18 or older with kids
My friends
My kids*
My parents
Magazines
Web sites
Programs on Cable TV
Programs on Network TV
Social networking sites
TV commercials
Newspapers
Blogs
Billboards
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 20
Millennials Wield Significant Influence Within Their Families
Boomers and Xers say their Millennial children are more important sources of cool/hot/trendy information than their non-Millennial children
Parents
Non-Millennial
kids
65%
Millennial kids
48%
Influence
9500001Q. 60 How important are each of the following in helping you to keep up with the latest trends, the coolest things to do, or the hottest things to buy? Percent of parents saying “my kids” are important source
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Millennials continue to be more likely than other generations to use the Web for political involvement
Top Campaign Interactions Include Peer Persuasion And Visiting Candidate WebsitesBased On Total Sample; Ranked By Millennials
21 Q. 19 Which of the following, if any, have you done as it relates to the 2008 Presidential campaigns, for any candidate? Base=Adults 18-62
Tried to convince friends, family to vote for a candidate
Visited a candidate’s official Web site
Posted online opinions or comments about a candidate
Placed a candidate’s bumper sticker on car, sign in yard or
similar
Visited the candidate’s page on a social networking site such as
MySpace
Commented about a candidate on my Web page such as on
MySpace
Fewer than 10% across all generations have:
•worked/volunteered on a campaign•attended a fundraiser•met a candidate •posted online video about a candidate•added candidate materials to their Web page •“friended” a candidate on a social network site
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Millennials Born: 1977-1996
“You’ve Got Mail”
“Girls Rule”
Major Events/Issues:Clinton Impeached
9/11Financial Crisis 2008
Collaborative team players who think in groups and are hyper-connected to their “circle”
They’re optimistic about their place in the world
They are influential – they influence their friends, family, and the world at large due to their cohort perspective and size
22Millennial Strategy Program® 22
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 23
Lindsay SchutteDirector, Millennial Strategy Program®Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc
Direct: 818-263-3315Mobile: 323-445-3879
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Famous Faces – Millennial Strategy Program® Alum
Millennial Makeover: MySpace, YouTube, and the Future of
American Politics named Top 10 Book Of The Year
“In what turns out to have been a highly prescient book, the two authors predicted that 2008 would be a ‘change’ election, informed by new technology and by the outlook of a
new generation of Millennial voters, who tend to be more inclusive, optimistic and tech-savvy
than their elders.”
Michiko Kakutani, New York Times lead book reviewer
25
What The Authors Are Saying Now:
“Millennials remade U.S. politics in 2008, a happening we forecast in Millennial Makeover. But the Millennial Generation, the largest ever in American history, is not through changing the country. In the years just ahead, Millennials will completely reshape all of our society and economy--its corporations, workplaces, media, and marketing.
-Michael D. Hais ”Millennials remade American
politics this year, as predicted would happen in Millennial
Makeover. But the impact of America's largest generation in
history, Millennials, will be felt in areas far beyond politics in the years to come. This optimistic,
group-oriented generation of young people will completely transform how companies make decisions,
motivate their workforce, reach their customers, and promote their
brands.
-Morley Winograd
“
”
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
It’s “Cool” 49% of Millennials think
volunteering for local organizations is “cool.”
Nearly 60% of Millennial females think volunteering is “cool.”
And They Do It 48% of Millennials have
volunteered for a local organization.
A teen thing: 53% of 12- to 17-year-olds have volunteered locally.
Millennials Get Involved Locally . . .
Millennial Strategy Program®
26
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc.
Global Activism 40% of Millennials think it is “cool”
to be involved with an organization that deals with global issues.
The Environment 47% of Millennials think caring
about environmental issues is “cool.”
42% have actively supported an environmental issue.
. . . And Globally
Millennial Strategy Program®
27
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 28
Baby Boomers Most Reliant On Traditional Sources
67
34
34
42
57
59
65
69
71
83
53
34
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Local TV News
Friends, family, or coworkers
Local Print Newspaper
National Network TV News
Radio
Web Portals
Cable TV News
National Morning Network Show
Website for National TV News
Local TV Website
Local Newspaper Website
Search Engines
9500021A Q. 11(A-Z) On weekdays, Monday through Friday, how often do you read, see, or hear news and information from the following? Based upon: Weekly
Tier 1
Tier 2
Tier 3
Baby Boomers(N=511)
New Media
Traditional Media
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 29
Gen Xers Use A Mix Of New & Traditional Media
52
54
56
61
65
73
77
48
37
34
34
29
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Gen Xers(N=510)
Friends, family, or coworkers
Local TV News
Search Engines
Web Portals
Radio
Local Print Newspaper
National TV News
Cable TV News
National Morning Network Show
Website of National TV News
Local Newspaper Website
Local TV Website
9500021A Q. 11(A-Z) On weekdays, Monday through Friday, how often do you read, see, or hear news and information from the following? Based upon: Weekly
Tier 1
Tier 2
Tier 3
New Media
Traditional Media
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 30
Adult Millennials Are Most Reliant Upon Emerging Sources
50
52
55
56
58
68
69
75
81
39
40
42
Friends, family, or coworkers
Search Engines
Web Portals
Local TV News
SNS
Local Print Newspaper
Cable TV News
Radio
National TV News
Website National TV News
Satirical/Humorous Show
Late Night Talk Show
Adult/Millennials(N=1,157)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
9500021A Q. 11(A-Z) On weekdays, Monday through Friday, how often do you read, see, orhear news and information from the following? Based upon: Weekly
Tier 1
Tier 2
Tier 3
New Media
Traditional Media
© 2008 Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. 31
On Environmental Problems Millennials Are The Most Likely To Believe Individuals Should “Step Up”Based on Adult Millennials
Millennial Strategy Program Wave VII Q. 77 Which of the following do you feel is responsible for any current environmental problems in the U.S.? Q. 78 Going forward, which of the following do you feel is responsible for correcting or preventing environmental problems in the U.S.?
Adult Millennials Gen Xers Boomers
Cause Fixer Cause Fixer Cause Fixer
Public/Individuals
64%
Public/Individuals
67%
Corporations/Business
70%
National Government
74%
Corporations/Business
74%
National Government
71%
Corporations/Business
62%
National Government
65%
Public/Individuals
63%
Public/Individuals
68%
National Government
61%
Corporations/Business
66%
National Government
58%
Local/State Government
59%
National Government
62%
Corporations/Business
65%
Public/Individuals
57%
Public/Individuals
65%
Local/State Government
50%
Corporations/Business
54%
Local/State Government
53%
Local/State Government
65%
Local/State Government
49%
Local/State Government
62%
PrivateOrganizations
43%
PrivateOrganizations
49%
PrivateOrganizations
47%
PrivateOrganizations
54%
PrivateOrganizations
40%
PrivateOrganizations
54%
Environmental Problems