Concept and Methodology of Tracer Studies Harald Schomburg

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    Contribution to the WorkshopGraduates on the Labour Market. Questionnaire Development at the

    National Level in Sinaia, June 2-4 2010

    Harald SchomburgInternational Centre for Higher Education Research

    (INCHER-Kassel) University of Kassel, Germany

    [email protected]

    Concept and

    Methodology ofTracer Studies International

    Experiences

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    Overview1. Institutional Background who is

    INCHER?2. Theoretical Framework

    3. Methodology of Tracer Studies

    4. The New GRADNETApproach: Network of Graduate

    Surveys5. Conclusion

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    1.

    Institutional

    Background

    who is

    INCHER?

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    University City Kassel:

    in the Heart of Germany, in the State of Hesse

    Located in the center of

    Germany and Europe

    Unique unity of urban

    culture and landscape

    City of the documenta

    Parks and recreational areas

    Center for industry, services

    and civil administration

    of nothern Hesse

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    University of Kassel

    Location: in the centre of Germanyand Europe (200 Km to Frankfurt = 1.5hours by train)

    City of Kassel: 200,000 habitants

    University of Kassel

    18,000 students

    2,000 graduates per year Broad study programs

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    Campus Hollndischer Platz -

    1986

    Hollndischer PlatzHollndischer Platz

    Humanities, Social Science, Economics,Architecture, City Planning and LandscapePlanning, Civil and Mechanical Engineering

    Humanities, Social Science, Economics,Architecture, City Planning and LandscapePlanning, Civil and Mechanical Engineering

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    Campus Witzenhausen - 1886

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    WitzenhausenWitzenhausen

    Ecological AgricultureEcological Agriculture

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    INCHER-Kassel International Centre of Higher Education

    Research (INCHER-Kassel)

    The centre is 32 years old Research Centre of the University of Kassel

    About 20-30 researchers

    About 15 doctoral students Study programme: Master of Higher Education

    Research focus: Higher education and work; HE

    systems and structures; (international) graduatesurveys (CHEERS; REFLEX; PROFLEX; HEGESCO)

    International network of graduate surveys

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    INCHER

    www.uni-kassel.de/incher

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    International Tracer Study

    Cooperation

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    INCHERKassel

    Central AmericaCosta Rica, El Salvadore,

    Guatemala, Mexico,Nicaragua, Panama

    EuropeAustria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France,

    Italy,Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Romania, Spain, Sweden,

    Switzerland, United Kingdom

    Asia

    Indonesia, Iran,Japan, Oman,

    Philippines

    AfricaCameroon, Ghana,

    Kenia, Malawi, Namibia,Nigeria, South Africa,

    Uganda, Tanzania

    South AmericaArgentina, Brasil, Chile,

    Colombia, Peru

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    Theoretical

    Framework

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    12 Conceptual Framework for

    Graduate Surveys

    InputStudents biodata,

    experiences,motives

    OutputKowledge,skills,

    motivation,grades

    InputStudy conditionsand provisions

    ProcessTeaching and

    learning

    Outcomes

    Transitionemployment,

    work

    service tosociety

    Graduate Survey

    Context: Labour market Region Country; Socio-economicdevelopment and personal development

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    Key Theoretical Problems:

    Causal Relevance of Study Programs

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    1. Which indicators do we need? (search duration,employment status, income, position, level match, field of

    study match, work autonomy, job satisfaction, etc.)

    2. How to measure the labour market signals?

    3. Which factors are relevant to explain the success

    of the graduates besides higher education?(labour market, regional mobility, individualmotivation, etc.

    4. To what extent is the professionalsuccess/career caused by HE?

    5. Which elements of HE (study conditions and

    provisions, etc) have an impact?

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    3.

    Methodology

    of Tracer

    Studies

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    What are (Graduate) Tracer

    Studies? Similar terms

    Graduate survey (40,700 Google hits) Tracer study (98,000 Google hits)

    Alumni research (U.S.; 99,000 hits)

    Follow-up study (graduates) (179.000hits)

    Graduate career tracking (Hungary; 6 hits)

    Target population Graduatesof an institution of higher

    education (regardless the kind of degree)

    Surveyed aftergraduation

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    Typical Objectives of Institutional

    Graduate Surveys (Tracer Studies)

    1. To get valueable

    information for thedevelopment of theuniversity

    2. To evaluate the

    relevance of highereducation

    3. To contribute to

    the accreditationprocess

    4. To inform students,

    parents, lecturers andadministrators

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    Different Design of Graduate

    SurveysExamples Time after

    graduationCohorts Length of

    questionnaire

    UnitedKingdom

    Six months OneShort

    (one page)

    Costa Rica(CONARE)

    One yearafter

    OneMedium

    (10 pages)

    EuropeOne to tenyears after

    One ordifferent

    Medium tolong

    (10-20 pages)

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    Scope of Graduate Tracer Studies

    and Target Population

    D. Type ofdegree

    C. Subject

    B. Institution

    A. Country Country A

    UniversityA

    Subject A

    BA MA

    Subject B

    UniversityB

    Subject A

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    20 Objectives of Institutional

    Graduate Surveys in GermanyMulti-functional surveys with broad focus Employment, labour market signals, professional

    success Competences and work

    Retrospective rating/evaluation of study

    Curricular development

    Continuing education (marketing)

    Networking, alumni databank

    Evaluation quality assurance accreditation

    Multi-institutional surveys Benchmarking

    Comparison with relevant others not with the

    average

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    Multifunctional survey the

    Netherlands

    Quality assurance (and increasingly

    accreditation) Alumni-tracking

    National monitoring of transition from higher

    education to work Study choice information for school-leavers

    (both at national and institution level)

    Input for labour market forecasting

    Scientific and policy analyses

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    Source: Jim Allen (ROA, University of Maastricht, Netherlands), Kassel 2008

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    Multifunctional survey -

    Switzerland

    information for political authorities

    (education/employment sectors) benchmarking (System of indicators of

    Swiss higher education institutes)

    evaluation and information tool forhigher education institutes

    information for career/study counselling

    services

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    Source: Andrea Witmer (Swiss Federal Statistical Office), Kassel 2008

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    Graduate Survey Systems in

    Europe (1) (2009)Regular national

    surveysInstitutional

    surveys

    Germany, France, Italy Yes Frequent

    United Kingdom Yes Seldom

    Netherlands, Norway.

    Switzerland

    Yes Seldom

    Greece, Spain, Portugal,Austria

    No Seldom

    Finland, Sweden No Frequent

    Poland, (Hungary), Estonia,Romania, Czech Republic,etc.

    No Seldom

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    4.

    The New GRADNETApproach: Networkof Graduate

    Surveys

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    Th T St d R l ti i26

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    The Tracer Study Revolution in

    Germany

    Until 2007: only a few institutions of

    HE conducted regular tracer studies

    2008/2009 almost all relevantinstitutions of HE are partners indifferent regional or national systems

    of regular tracer studies Coverage: about 80% of all graduates

    in Germany

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    27

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    27 Kind of Graduate Surveys in Germany

    until 2007 International Surveys: INCHER-Kassel (CHEERS

    and REFLEX)

    Regular nationwide surveys: HIS (Higher EducattionInformation Centre)

    Ranking of HE institutions, selected fields ofstudy: CHE (Centre for Higher Education Development)

    Regional surveys: Bavaria

    Regular surveys of single institutions: seldom

    TU Dresden, Uni Rostock

    FH Wiesbaden, FH Aachen

    Ad hoc surveys of single faculties/institutions:frequent

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    The Nationwide HIS Surveys

    Every forth cohort (1989, 1993, 1997, 2001, 2005, 2009)

    Only first degree

    Paneldesign

    First wave: about 12 months after graduation

    Second wave: about 5 years after graduation

    Sample: About 12,000 graduates in firstwave

    Paper questionnaire

    No comparisons between single HEinstitutions

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    The Classical Approach: die University

    Delivers Data (e.g. Addresses)

    Research institute

    University A University B University C

    Researcher

    Researcher

    Researcher

    Ministry of HE

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    Data

    Data

    Data

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    The German Network Approach

    INCHER-Kassel

    Uni 1

    Uni 2

    Uni 3

    Uni 4

    Uni 5

    Uni 6

    Uni

    Uni60

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    2010: About 60 institutions of HE in Germany are cooperating inconducting regular graduate tracer studies

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    Key Aspects of Cooperation Universities and INCHER-Kassel are

    developing the core questionnaire

    together Every university has an own

    questionnaire INCHER gives advice

    Central data processing joint database

    Every university gets customized tablereports (about 500 pages)

    Benchmarking according the needs of

    the universities

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    32 O i ti f GRADNET t

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    32 Organisation of GRADNET at

    University LevelUniversityProject-

    coordinator

    University

    leader

    ProjectCoordinator

    Faculty

    Project

    CoordinatorFaculty

    Task force Task force

    Task force

    Career, Alumni,

    INCHER

    Team

    33 The German Graduate Survey

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    33 The German Graduate Survey

    Network ProjectProject-coordinators from 35 universities and

    fachhochschulen during a workshop in Kassel; Sept. 2008

    The Bridge Concept HE34

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    The Bridge Concept HE

    Research and Application

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    35 GRADNET: Network of Graduate

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    35 GRADNET: Network of Graduate

    Surveys

    Established 2006 by INCHER-Kassel

    2008: about 250 members German language

    Individual membership (email list)

    Two conferences per year

    Professionalistion of tracer studyresearchers

    Core group

    Initiative for the RESEARCH PROJECTStudy Conditions and Professional Success

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    Background: New Challenges

    Growing competition of HE institutions

    Growing international competition

    New study structure (Bologna process)

    Employability

    Evaluation and Accreditation(Accountability; outcomeassessment)

    Growing service demand from students New HE management philosophy

    quality management

    37 (Future) Design of Graduate

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    (Future) Design of Graduate

    Surveys

    Exit Survey Graduate

    Survey I

    Graduate

    Survey II

    1- 2 years 4 - 5 years

    Time After Graduation

    38 New Survey System in Germany:

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    New Survey System in Germany:

    the GRADNET SURVEYS (INCHER)Year ofgraduation

    Year of Graduate Survey

    2007/2008Dec.-March

    2008/2009Oct.-Feb.

    2009/2010Oct.-Feb.

    2010Oct.-Dec

    2011

    2006(9 HEinstitutions,15,000graduates)

    1.5 yearsafter

    graduation(done)

    4.5 yearsafter

    graduation

    2007(48 HEinstitutions;80,000graduates)

    1.5 yearsafter

    graduation(done)

    4.5 yearsafter

    graduation

    2008(46 HEinstitutions;75,000graduates)

    1.5 yearsafter

    graduation(running)

    Panel

    Panel

    Panel

    The GRADNET HE Institutions (Jan39

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    The GRADNET HE Institutions (Jan.

    2010)1. A 27. 2. B 28.

    3. B 29.

    4. B B* 30. A

    5. B C 31.

    6. CA * 32. ()

    A

    7. 33. B

    8. A 34.

    9. B/ 35. B*

    10. D 36. D

    11. 37. D

    12. 38.

    13. 39. B

    14. B 40. B15. B 41.

    16. 42. ()

    17. A 43.

    18. D 44.

    19. A 45.

    20. B 46. 21. 47. 22. B B 48.

    23. 49. *

    24. 50.

    25. B 51.

    26. 52.

    * Did not participate in the 2009 survey

    Design and Conduction of the40

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    Design and Conduction of the

    GRADNET Surveys 2008-2010

    C ( )

    20062007 2008

    D. 2007

    2008. 2008 . 2009

    . 2009 . 2010

    9 48 46

    15.200 86.800 76.000

    12.800 75.000 70.000

    INCHER-Kassel: German Graduate Surveys Network Project (GRADNET); survey 2009; cohort 2007,1.5 years after graduation

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    Cooperation for development

    Every university has an individual questionnaire(2009: 160 surveys were administrated at thesame time by INCHER-Kassel)

    Every university has a project coordinator

    At least 6 training workshops per survey

    Every university received the cleaned data andready to print table reports of about 500 pages

    Many universities published the results in theinternet

    A lot of internal and external disseminationactivities

    2009 survey: dataset with 36,000 graduates

    43 Implementation of the German

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    Implementation of the German

    Network Approach

    Address database of the HE institution

    Update of addresses by HE institution

    Four contacts/send outs

    Contacts by letters and/or email Combination of paper and online

    questionnaire

    Response rate should be about 50%

    Selected Results of the German GRADNET44

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    Selected Results of the German GRADNETSurvey 2009 (participants: 36,000 graduates)

    1. Successful cooperation for development among 50 HEinstitutions in Germany

    2. Graduates of the year 2007: optimal labour market

    conditions in Germany a success story3. Negative scenarios do not find empirical support no trend

    towards a Generation Trainees

    4. Differences by field of study are less important

    5. Remarkable good employment conditions for Bachelorgraduates

    6. Growing relevance of soft skills

    7. Reputation of the HE institution seems to be not important

    8. BA graduates have not less international experiences

    9. Transition to first job depends on own initiatives

    10. Master the winners of the Bologna process

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    5.

    Conclusion

    Status of Research on Causal46

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    Relevance of Higher Education

    How college affects students?

    (Pascarella/Terrenzini, mostcompehensive synthesis report, 2005)

    Little evidence

    Little net effects of programme quality

    Still in search of usable knowledge

    (Peter Ewell, National Center forHigher Education ManagementSystems (NCHEMS))

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    Many Open Questions

    How to measure study conditions and studyprovisions

    Does program quality matters for employmentoutcomes?

    Which student characteristics must be controlled?

    What are the best indicators of employmentoutcome and professional success?

    How to conduct surveys efficiently with highquality? What are the standards for quality?

    How should the data be analyzed to gain usableknowledge?

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    Outlook

    The success of cooperation should beestablished on an international level(European Higher Education Area - The Bologna Process 46countries)

    (International) exchange of concepts

    and experiencesINCHER cooperates with Indonesia, Oman, Romania, and manyother countries

    (International) cooperation between

    universities International data base

    International network

    International projects

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    Further information

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    Further information

    http://www.uni-

    kassel.de/incher/absolventThe German Graduate Survey Network

    http://www.his.de

    The HIS Graduate Surveys

    http:// http://www.ihf.bayern.de

    The Bavarian Graduate Panel Survey

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    THANK YOU