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© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 2
Influence of Individual Capacity
Pate-Cornell, Risk Analysis Vol 13, No 1993
Rarely (never?) is there one root
cause of a problem (or performance)
Individual action or lack of action
almost always (always?) caused the
problem.
From that perspective, it is attractive
to take the attitude that “if we just
had people with the right
competency then everything would
be okay.”
Not true, training is necessary
(Crticial) but not sufficient
Piper Alpha Influence Diagram as an example.
© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 7
Bottom Line
The Value of Information Approach is a
quantitative, reliable, and auditable way answer
the question: How do I know if my people are
competent?
Used in Petroleum Business since early 90’s to
design Exploration Projects
Used in Medicine to value diagnostic tests
Recently used in Medical to value ‘certification’
tests
The approach can guide a robust competency
development and assurance program
© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 11
Simple Sensitivity Analysis
Assessment
worth the cost
Not
worth
cost
How much does a ‘Mistake’ Cost vs the Assessment Cost?
How
accurate is
the Test? (assumed to be symmetric
for this example)
Ho
w c
om
pete
nt
are
th
e
test
takers
no
w?
© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 12
Which Approach is Best? How could we
know for sure?
Knowledge Skill Behavior Variable
Cost
Fixed
Cost
Self Assessment Low Low Low Low Low
Supervisor
Assessment Med/Low Med High Med Low
Trained Coach Med/High Med Med Med Med
Review Board Med/High Med Med
Formal Exam High Low Low Low Med
Controlled
Simulation High High Med Med High
Observed
Controlled Work
Experience
Med High High Med High
Depends on Effectiveness and Cost
© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 13
Competency Assurance Approaches
Approach Pros Cons
Self
Assessment
• Very Fast & Cheap
• Non Threatening
• Builds Self Responsibility
• No Confusion w/ Promotion
• Competencies NOT reliably assured
Supervisor
• Relatively Easy to Execute
• Accounts for Knowledge & Work
performance
• Relatively Non Threatening
• Added Burden on Supervisor
• Some supervisors not able to assess all
reports
• Variable Assurance across groups
Trained Coach
• Accounts for Knowledge & Work
performance
• Less biased than supervisor validation
• Consistent assurance across groups
• More costly than supervisor
• Requires trained coaches and formal
process for success
Review Board
• Consistent, Accurate Assurance
• Little Bias
• Possible to implement for experienced
personnel
• Expensive
• Requires significant Participant time to
assemble evidence
Formal Exam
• Good Assurance of Knowledge with
properly written exam
• Consistent Assurance
• Can create “pride” & professionalism
• Cheap to Conduct
• Only Assures Knowledge component
• Can be Threatening
• Difficult w/ experienced personnel
Simulation • Effectively assesses skills
• Consistent Assurance
• Can create “pride” & professionalism
• Likely expensive
• Must be designed properly to assess
required skills
Observed Work
Experience
• Assures Skill when properly done
• Improves Coaching & On-the-Job training
programs
• Links the job with development
• Not completely consistent
• Requires Coach/Supervisor time
© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 14
Process: Development and Assure
Competence
Request Capability Assessment
Coaching, feedback and evaluation
Observe
Competency
Achievement
Employee & Supervisor
Review and Plan how
to close the competence
gap
Schedule
Discuss/ Observe
Additional Learning
Knowledge Assessment Self-Study, or
Training Course
Knowledge Knowledge
Achievement
Mentorship to Perform on-job
training and seasoning
1
2
3
4 5
6
© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 15
Current Practices
What are the current
practices for A)
training and B)
certification of the
offshore drilling
workforce and C) are
they adequate to
assure a necessary
level of safety in the
industry? Resources Include: Formal and
Informal Courses, OJT, and Team
Exercises
© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 16
Simplified types of ‘Certifiable’ training
Unique Equipment /
Company /
Operation
Specific
Not
Unique Common
Foundation for
Engineering /
Operations
Cognitive Knowledge
Affective Observable
“Well Control School”
Real time Kick
Control
BOP System
Configuration Executing this Well’s
contingency plan
Use of
Proprietary
Cement Additives
Some Drilling Examples
Exception
Reporting
Process
Situation
Awareness
Diagnosing Mud
Problems
Casing Design Theory
Wellbore Hydraulics
Executing this well’s
cement Job
Written “standard tests”
can work here
Regulatory
Requirements
Pore Pressure /
Fracture Pressure
Theory
Crew Resource
Management
Well Design (Casing/Cementing/Mud
Program etc)
Shut in Procedure
Operating
Generic Well
Control
Equipment
© 2013 PetroSkills, LLC. All rights reserved. 18
Bottom Line
The Value of Information Approach is a
quantitative, reliable, and auditable way answer
the question: How do I know if my people are
competent?
Used in Petroleum Business since early 90’s to
design Exploration Projects
Used in Medicine to value diagnostic tests
Recently used in Medical to value ‘certification’
tests
The approach can guide a robust competency
development and assurance program