15

Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Global steel use should grow at a slightly slower pace this year than last because of China's slow down, although elsewhere steel use is mostly improving and 2016 prospects look brighter, the World Steel Association said on Monday.

Citation preview

Page 1: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital
Page 2: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

✍ NCDEX DAILY LEVELS

DAILY EXPIRYDATE

R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4

SYOREFIDR 19 JUN 2015 594 593 592 591 590 589 588 587 586

SYBEANIDR 19 JUN 2015 4274 4191 4108 4065 4025 3982 3942 3859 3776

RMSEED 20 MAY2015

4066 3972 3878 3839 3784 3745 3690 3596 3502

JEERAUNJHA 20 MAY2015

19876 19286 18696 18303 18106 17713 17516 16926 16336

CHANA 20 MAY2015

4347 4262 4177 4138 4092 4053 4007 3922 3837

CASTORSEED 20 MAY2015

4059 3980 3901 3851 3822 3772 3743 3664 3585

✍ NCDEX WEEKLY LEVELS

WEEKLY EXPIRYDATE

R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4

SYOREFIDR 19 JUN 2015 664 640 616 603 592 579 568 544 520

SYBEANIDR 19 JUN 2015 5268 4812 4356 4189 3900 3733 3444 2988 2532

RMSEED 20 MAY2015

4304 4121 3933 3869 3755 3686 3572 3389 3206

JEERAUNJHA 20 MAY2015

21676 20461 19246 18578 18031 17363 16816 15601 14386

CHANA 20 MAY2015

4845 4573 4301 4200 4029 3928 3757 3485 3213

CASTORSEED 20 MAY2015

4747 4410 4073 3937 3736 3600 3399 3062 2725

Page 3: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

✍ MCX DAILY LEVELS

DAILY EXPIRYDATE

R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4

ALUMINIUM 30 APR 123 120 117 115 114 112 110 107 104

COPPER 30 APR 415 404 393 382 378 378 371 360 349

CRUDE OIL 18 MAY 3905 3821 3737 3692 3653 3608 3569 3485 3401

GOLD 05JUN 27752 27423 26900 26765 26571 26436 26107 25778 24650

LEAD 30 APR 142 138 134 133 130 129 126 122 116

NATURAL GAS 26 MAY 170 167 164 162 161 159 158 155 152

NICKEL 30 APR 958 916 847 859 832 817 790 748 706

SILVER 05 MAY 37628 37071 36514 36237 35957 35680 35400 34843 34286

✍ MCX WEEKLY LEVELS

WEEKLY EXPIRY R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4ALUMINIUM 30 APR 126 122 118 117 114 113 110 106 102

COPPER 30 APR 431 414 397 391 380 374 363 346 329

CRUDE OIL 18 MAY 4446 4162 3878 3762 3594 3478 3310 3026 2742

GOLD 05 JUN 27843 27482 27121 26914 26760 26553 26399 26038 25677

LEAD 30 APR 148 142 136 134 130 128 124 118 112

NATURAL GAS 26 MAY 179 173 167 164 161 158 155 149 142

NICKEL 30 APR 1024 957 890 867 823 800 756 689 622

SILVER 05 MAY 39667 38481 37295 36628 36109 35442 34923 33737 32551

ALUMINIUM 30 APR 126 122 118 117 114 113 110 106 102

COPPER 30 APR 431 414 397 391 380 374 363 346 329

Page 4: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

✍ MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS

✍ INTERNATIONAL NEWS

✍ World steel demand to decrease in 2015: World steel

Global steel use should grow at a slightly slower pace this year than last because of China'sslow down, although elsewhere steel use is mostly improving and 2016 prospects look brighter,the World Steel Association said on Monday.

"We hear increasingly positive use from developed economies, especially ... the euro zone. Inthe developing world we see increased optimism about India and growth in the MENA andASEAN countries," said Hans Jurgen Kerkhoff, chairman of the group's EconomicsCommittee.

"While these developments will not be enough to counter-balance the deceleration of China, weexpect to see gradually improving growth prospects beyond 2016," he added. Global apparentsteel use - steel both known and assumed to have been used - is expected to grow by 0.5percent this year to 1.544 billion tonnes, compared with growth of 0.6 percent last year,Worldsteel said.

This primarily because use in China, which accounts for about half of the world's steelconsumption, is expected to fall 0.5 percent to 707.2 million tonnes from last year. Next year,however, global apparent steel use is expected to grow 1.4 percent to 1.566 billion tonnes.Emerging and developing economies should be up 4 percent, developed economies 1.8 percent.

Global steel prices are nonetheless currently languishing at their lowest levels in nearly sixyears amid structural oversupply. Usage in China, the world's second largest economy, is fallingand it produces about 100 million tonnes more than it consumes. Beijing is introducingmeasures to cut excess steel capacity but there is a question about how successful it will be.Also a concern, especially for miners of iron ore, a key steelmaking ingredient, is whetherChinese steel use has peaked. Iron ore prices have plunged some 60 percent since last year aftera concerted effort by major producers to expand output and boost their market share by drivingout high cost rivals. An iron ore glut has since built, one that would not easily disappear ifChinese steel use is in long term decline.

"China is at the beginning of long and flat peak steel use. The peak might stretch over 3-5years, with (demand) hovering around 720-750 mln tonnes, then we may see a gradual declineto 680 million tonnes in the mid-2020s," Worldsteel director general Edwin Basson said. "Sowe don't see a rapid increase in iron ore costs in our industry.

Page 5: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

✍ China cuts bank reserves again to counter slowdown

China's central bank on Sunday cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves, thesecond industry-wide cut in two months, adding more liquidity to the world's second-biggesteconomy to help spur bank lending and combat slowing growth.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered the reserve requirement ratio for all banks by 100basis points to 18.5 percent. The reduction is effective from April 20, the central bank said in astatement on its website www.pbc.gov.cn.

The latest cut in the reserve requirement shows how the central bank is stepping up efforts toward off a sharp slowdown in the economy. Weighed down by a property downturn, factoryovercapacity and local debt, growth is expected to slow to a quarter-century low of around 7percent this year from 7.4 percent in 2014, even with expected additional stimulus measures.

The PBOC last cut the reserve requirement ratio for all commercial banks by 50 basis points onFebruary 4, the first industry-wide cut since May 2012. The central bank has also cut interestrates twice since November in a bid to lower borrowing costs and spur demand.

✍ Russia has bigger concerns than oil, ruble: Russia Dep PM

Faced with the triple whammy of plunging oil prices, currency volatility and Western sanctions,there's no dearth of challenges for Russia's ailing economy, but Deputy Prime Minister ArkadyDvorkovich said what hurts most is the scarcity of financing for new investments.

"The shortness of financing for new investments is where the Russian economy is being hit inthe most important way," Dvorkovich told CNBC on the sidelines of World Economic Forumon East Asia in Jakarta.

"How do we deal with this? We are working with new partners. This is why we are in China, inother countries, looking for new partners who can bring new investments into the country," headded. Russia's economy, which grew by just 0.6 percent in 2014, is expected to enter a deeprecession this year under the weight of lower oil prices and sanctions, which have compoundedthe country's underlying structural weaknesses and undermined business and consumerconfidence.

Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) slashed its growth outlook for thecountry, forecasting a contraction of 3.8 percent in 2015 and 1.1 percent in 2016. Its earlierestimate was for a contraction of 3 percent this year and 1 percent next.

Nevertheless, Dvorkovich says the country has built up enough reserves to weather the rout inthe commodities market.

"We were not counting on higher oil prices in our economic policies. We were saving some

Page 6: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

money for the times like what we face now, so we have reserves that allow us to smooth thisstage and to help poor families and increase unemployment benefits," he said.

As for the precipitous fall in the ruble over the past year, Dvorkovich said the implications arenot all negative as it gives Russian manufacturing and agricultural exports a pricing edge inglobal markets.

From economics to geopolitics Responding to criticism over the Kremlin's decision to lift aself-imposed ban on supplying a sophisticated missile air defense system to Iran, Dvorkovichsaid: "We are not breaking any sanctions." "We will fulfill our commitments andresponsibilities in full compliance with international legislations. Our partners shouldn't doubtthat we would work in that manner," he said.

Read More: Why Russia is delivering missiles to Iran The end to the ban on shipping the S-300surface-to-air missile system to Iran, which had been in place since 2010, was spurred by therecent progress in talks over Tehran's nuclear program. The U.S. and Israel, among the mostvocal critics, fear the S-300s could be used to protect Iranian nuclear sites from futureairstrikes. As for Moscow's deepening ties with Pyongyang, Dvorkovich, said "we are friendlycountries to each other." "We are long standing partners with North Korea. The political andeconomic systems are different, but it requires big investment especially into infrastructure. Wewill continue our consultations, and we will be work in a way that is predictable and safe forboth partners as we did before."

✍ China factory activity falls to one-year low

China's manufacturing activity fell to a one-year low in April, a private survey showed onThursday. The flash HSBC Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by Markit, came in at49.2, compared with a Reuters forecast for a 49.6 print, and following the final March readingof 49.6. A figure below 50 signals contraction.

"Operating conditions in China's manufacturing sector deteriorated slightly for the secondmonth running in April," said Markit economist Annabel Fiddes. "Production increased onlymarginally, while total new business declined for the second successive month."

Fiddes said stronger deflationary pressures in the sector reflected weak demand conditions,while job shedding across manufacturing firms was recorded for the eighteenth month in a row."On a brighter note, demand from overseas improved in April, with new export work rising forthe first time in three months," she added.

China markets pulled back modestly following the data; Shanghai Composite fell deeper intonegative terrain, down 0.3 percent, while the Hang Seng index trimmed gains to 0.6 percentfrom 0.8 percent. The Australian dollar fell as low as $0.7718, from $0.7733 before the data.

Over the weekend, the People's Republic of China slashed the reserve requirement ratio (RRR)

Page 7: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

of major banks. The 100 basis point-cut to 18.5 percent is the biggest since 2008, during theheight of the global financial crisis. The move was the latest in a series of aggressive measuresby policymakers to stem further slowdown in the world's second largest economy.

China grew 7 percent in the first quarter on an annual basis, growth figures revealed last week,the slowest pace in six years. The flash redaing is typically based on approximately 85–90percent of total PMI survey responses each month. April's final PMI data will be released onMay 4.

✍ BULLION

Bullion shines amidst dollar drop:

Gold futures surged in the domestic market on Thursday as investors and speculators bookedfresh positions in the precious metal tracking a firm trend in the overseas market as a tumblingUS dollar boosted the appeal of the bullion as an alternative asset.Stronger greenback makesgold cheaper for those holding other currencies, thus bolstering demand.Disappointing USfactory, housing and labour market data signaled softness in the world’s biggest economy,boosting the case for the Federal Reserve to delay monetary tightening, and bolstering the lurefor gold as a store of value. Thursday’s economic releases showed an uptick in US joblessclaims last week, a drop in new home sales in March and slower gains in manufacturing inApril.Gold may trade on a subdued note today as investors stay cautious ahead of US durablegoods orders data which will offer further cues over the economy’s health.

Gold eases in Asia as HSBC China flash PMI shows continued weakness:

Gold prices held weaker in Asia on Thursday after China showed continued weakmanufacturing in a survey of purchasing managers. Meanwhile, in Australia is the first quarterNAB business confidence and business conditions survey showed confidence flat from plus-2in the fourth quarter and conditions down to plus-2 from plus-5.

In China, the HSBC (LONDON:HSBA) flash manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2 in April fromMarch's final of 49.6, shrinking for the third month in-a-row. "The HSBC Flash ChinaManufacturing PMI signaled a slight deterioration in the health of China's manufacturing sectorin March," said Annabel Fiddes, economist at Markit.

A renewed fall in total new business contributed to a weaker expansion of output whilecompanies continued to trim their workforce numbers. Meanwhile, manufacturing companiescontinued to benefit from falling input costs stemming from the recent global oil-price decline.

However, relatively muted client demand has led firms to pass on savings in a bid to boost newwork and cut their selling prices at a similarly sharp rate." On the Comex division of the New

Page 8: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

York Mercantile Exchange, Gold futures for June delivery eased 0.12% to $1,185.50.Elsewhere, Silver for May delivery fell 0.15% to 15.773 a troy ounce.

Copper for May delivery rose 0.19% to $2.676 a pound. Overnight, gold futures pricesplummeted on Tuesday slipping under $1,200 an ounce, as upbeat U.S.

economic data fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve might institute an interest-rate hikeby June after all. Gold prices dipped on Wednesday after the National Association of Realtorssaid existing home sales increased 6.1% last month to 5.19 million, its highest level in 18months. Economists polled by Reuters expected the figure to tick up to increase to 5.03 million.

Separately, the Mortgage Bankers Association said mortgage applications swelled by 5% forthe week ending April 17, marking its fourth increases over the last five weeks. A decrease offour basis points in mortgage rate in comparison with the prior week helped boost demand.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) also said Wednesday that its House Price Index(HPI) ticked up 0.7% in February, above a 0.4% increase a month earlier. The index, whichcovers single-family housing by evaluating data compiled by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac,increased 5.4% on a year-over-year basis.

In its previous monthly report, the FHFA said the index rose 5.1% from its level during thesame period last year. The Fed is taking a data-driven approach, as it contemplates on thetiming of its first interest-rate hike since 2009.

In recent weeks, worse than expected import/export, industrial production and employmentdata have lowered expectations of an imminent rate hike when the Federal Open MarketCommittee meets in June. When the Fed released the minutes from its Federal Open MarketCommittee meeting in March on April 8, it reiterated that it will phase in monetary policychanges gradually when it is confident that the economy is strong enough to handle a rateincrease.

"When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take abalanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflationof 2%," the Fed said in the minutes. "The Committee currently anticipates that, even afteremployment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, forsome time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views asnormal in the longer run."

Gold struggles to compete with high yield-bearing assets in periods of rising interest rates. OnMarch 6, gold plunged by more than $30 an ounce when a strong U.S. jobs report for the monthof February provided an indication that the Federal Reserve could alter its interest rateenvironment.

Gold flat to weaker in early Asia with attention set on Greece debt:

Page 9: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

Gold prices were flat to weaker in Asia on Wednesday as investors eyed euro zone woes overGreece that threaten to lead to a possible exit of the single-currency union. On the Comexdivision of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold for June delivery eased 0.04% to$1,202.60 a troy ounce.

Elsewhere, Silver futures for May delivery fell 0.09% to 15.993 a troy ounce. Copper for Maydelivery rose 0.11% to $2.698 a pound, after a bond default in the Chinese construction sector.Kaisa Group Holdings, a Shenzen-based company, became the first Chinese property developerto default on its dollar bonds, after it failed to meet a coupon payment on two notes on Monday.

China accounts for more than 40% of the world's copper consumption with houssing andconstruction major users of the commodity. Overnight, gold futures edged up on Tuesdayreversing some of its losses during the previous session, as a potential Greek default on itssovereign debt remained in focus.

On Tuesday, Jeroen Dijisselbloem, the head of the euro group of prominent finance ministers,steadfastly insisted that Greece must meet all of its obligations in the coming weeks if it wantsto remain in the euro zone. Next month, Greece owes the International Monetary Fund apayment of more than €773 million on a loan under the IMF's first Greek bailout in 2010,before it must meet two separate obligations of more than €300 million to the IMF in June.

By late-July, Greece owes an additional €3.45 billion to the European Central Bank for bondsrelated to a 2012 default. "The money is starting to run out," Dijisselbloem told Europeanbroadcaster RTL. Dijisselbloem remained adamant that every effort must be undertaken toprevent a Greek exit from the euro zone, a move that has earned the popular moniker "Grexit,"in recent weeks.

"If Greece leaves the euro zone you would get very dangerous instability," he added. "It's in theinterests of Greece and the euro zone as a whole to avoid that." The sentiments were echoed onTuesday by Jason Furman, the chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers.

It is commonly thought by a number of economists that a Greek departure from the euro zonecould have a contagion effect, impacting countries such as Spain, Italy and Portugal whoseyields on its government debt have slipped into negative territory.

"A Greek exit would not just be bad for the Greek economy, it would be taking a very large andunnecessary risk with the global economy just when a lot of things are starting to go right,"Furman said in an interview with Reuters.

Athens officials on Monday reportedly issued a decree to local governments forcing them totransfer all cash balances to the Greek Central Bank ahead of Friday's critical meeting of eurozone finance ministers in Latvia. Greece prime minister Alexis Tsipras is expected to present arevised list of reform measures that could unlock a vital financial lifeline to the cash-strappedcountry. The effort could raise about €2 billion, according to multiple reports.

Page 10: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

✍ BASE METAL

Copper futures climb to 2-week high on China stimulus move:

Copper prices rose to a two-week peak on Monday, after China's central bank cut banks' reserverequirement ratios in a surprise decision over the weekend. On the Comex division of the NewYork Mercantile Exchange, copper for May delivery hit a session high of $2.829 a pound, themost since April 6, before trading at $2.789 during European morning hours, up 1.5 cents, or0.56%.

Futures were likely to find support at $2.668, the low from April 15, and resistance at $2.831,the high from April 6. The People's Bank of China lowered the amount of deposits it requiresbanks to hold as reserves to 18.5% from 19.5% effective April 20, it announced on Sunday.

The move came after official data last week showed that China's economy grew 7.0% in thefirst quarter, the slowest pace of growth since the global financial crisis in 2008. Data onindustrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment also fell short of forecasts,indicating that China needs to act to prevent a further slowdown in the economy. The Asiannation is the world's largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumptionlast year.

✍ Zinc surges on strong buying support :

Zinc prices rose by 1.08 per cent on Monday at the domestic markets due to the decline in thezinc stockpiles at the London Metal Exchange (LME) on account of the strong demand for thecommodity.

LME zinc stocks fell by 2975 metric tonnes to 492975 metric tonnes as on April 20, 2015. Zincfutures for April 2015 contract, at MCX, were trading at Rs 140.05 per kg, up by 1.08 per centafter opening at Rs. 138.80 against the previous closing price of Rs. 138.55. It touched theintra-day high of Rs. 140.30 till the trading. Major refined zinc exporting countries are Canada,Australia and Rep. of Korea, while major refined zinc importing countries are China, USA andGermany.

✍ Lead drops on sluggish industrial demand:

Lead prices fell by 1.01 per cent on Thursday at the domestic markets as a result of low demandfor the commodity from battery-maker in the spot market in the midst of weak overseas trend.At the MCX, Lead futures, for the April 2015 contract, is trading at Rs 127.65 per kg, down by1.01 per cent, after opening at Rs 128.25, against a previous close of Rs 128.95. However,losses were curbed due to the decline in the lead stockpiles at the London Metal Exchange(LME) on account of the strong demand for the commodity. LME lead stocks fell by 4500

Page 11: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

metric tonnes to 187875 metric tonnes as on April 23, 2015.

✍ ENERGY

Oil prices dip as Saudi output remains near record high:

Oil prices eased back from midday highs on Monday after Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Alial-Naimi said production in the world's biggest crude exporter would stay near record highs ataround 10 million barrels per day (bpd) in April. Brent crude was trading at USD 63.73 perbarrel at 0748 GMT, down from an intraday peak of USD 64.34, while US crude for Maydelivery was at USD 56.14 a barrel, down from an earlier high of USD 56.65.

"I have said many times we will always be happy to supply to our customers with what theywant. Now they want 10 million," Naimi told Reuters on Monday in South Korea's capitalSeoul, where he is due to attend a board meeting of the state oil firm Saudi Aramco. Naimiearlier this month said Saudi Arabia produced 10.3 million bpd of crude in March, eclipsing aprevious record of 10.2 million bpd, in what is seen as a move to defend market share againstnon-OPEC competition, including the United States. US oil drilling rigs fell for a record 19thstraight week to the lowest since 2010, data from Baker Hughes showed, which has helped liftprices from six-year lows reached in January.

Since the beginning of April, oil prices have risen around 17 percent, pushed up by reports of apossible dip in US output, but Morgan Stanley warned on Monday that Saudi production couldbe more important than developments in the United States.

"We worry about the market's fixation on the US ... OPEC production may be more importantas production increased 1 million barrels per day month-on-month in March. Saudi Arabiaalone added the equivalent of half of Bakken (the largest US shale oil field) production in amatter of months – far beyond any US slowdown," the bank said in a note.

✍ Natural Gas futures extend rally ahead of storage data:

Natural Gas futures ended higher in the domestic and overseas market on Wednesday asinvestors and speculators booked fresh positions in the energy commodity as traders eyed theweekly EIA storage numbers set for release on Thursday to gauge the strength of demand forthe fuel in the world’s biggest fuel consumer, the US. Analysts expect an 80 billion cubic feetbuild in US stockpiles in the week ended April 17, 2015, which will be well above the 45billion cubic feet uptick witnessed in the same period a year ago, and topping the five-yearaverage gain of 46 billion cubic feet. At the MCX, Natural Gas futures for April 2015 contractclosed at Rs 164.1 per 1 kg, up by 1.11 per cent after opening at Rs 161.7, against the previousclosing price of Rs 162.3. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 165.4

Page 12: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS

NCDEX ties up with DD Kisan to provide agri-price information

NCDEX has tied up with public broadcaster Prasar Bharati for providing spot and futuresprices of farm items to the soon-to-be-launched DD Kisan' channel.

Besides providing data for price tickers, NCDEX will also provide news stories, expert analysisand feature stories to showcase the economic turnaround stories from hinterlands and ruralIndia.

A memorandum of understanding (MoU) was signed in this regard last week.The governmentand Prasar Bharati are preparing in full swing forlaunching the channel at the earliest.

In his 2014-15 Budget speech, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley had allocated Rs 100 crore forlaunch of Kisan channel to provide real-time information on various farming and agriculturalmatters.

✍ Agri commodity prices start upward move

Up trend in agri commodity is expected to continue due to fear of decline in output asunseasonal rain affected the crop. Prices of most agricultural commodities moved up in futurestrading on the National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange, amid concerns of lower output inthe ensuing kharif season on prediction of lower monsoon rain this year.

Soybean moved up 3.2 per cent to trade at Rs 3,900 a quintal. Chana and sugar rose 2.3 percent and 1.45 per cent to quote at Rs 3,968 a qtl and 2,453 a qtl, respectively.

The price rise is an immediate impact, which might start correcting. Logically, agricommodities’ prices should move up on fear of lower production. But it didn’t happen last year,when rainfall was predicted at less. In fact, food price inflation came down this year despitelower production of foodgrain.

A second year of a weaker monsoon may decrease the efficacy of India’s irrigation system andhit agricultural output and farmers. Unseasonal rain since early March have already had a

Page 13: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

negative impact on many crops.

Prices of agri commodities have seen an upside which was restricted due to high inventoryfrom last year. These have seen an upside due to unseasonal rain and hail.further strong upsidemovement for agri commodities can be expected this year.

✍ NCDEX forward trade volume touches 8,000-tonne mark in 6 mths

In September 2014, NCDEX had launched trading in forward contracts.Initially, it offered forward trading in sugar and maize but gradually expanded the productbasket to 27.A forward contract is a bilateral agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset or acommodity of specified quantity and quality at a future date on a mutually agreed deliveryprice.

In order to make the forward trading platform more accessible to farmers and traders in mandis,NCDEX introduced membership category known as 'Commodity Participant Members' (CPMs)and a special discount was offered to farmer producer organisations (FPOs) to becomemembers on the forwards segment.The initiative is a path breaking approach to bring realinclusiveness in the real economy in commodities."

So far, 10 FPOs from Bihar, Delhi, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh have actively participatedin the trade, while over 14 have applied for membership.

The exchange registered a total commodities trade volume of 7,888 tonnes, worth Rs 24.94crore, in the last six months.

Of that, maize accounted for bulk of the trade with 4,100 tonnes, followed by castor seed at2,330 tonnes, sugar at 600 tonnes, coriander at 520 tonnes and jeera at 228 tonnes, respectively.

✍ Chana

Chana prices kept rising contunuously on friday by 0.94% to Rs 4,079 per quintal in futurestrade on Friday.At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX), chana for delivery in May

Page 14: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

rose by Rs 38, or 0.94%, to Rs 4,079 per quintal with an open interest of 1,14,050 lots.Also, the commodity for delivery in June was trading higher by Rs 36, or 0.88%, at Rs 4,144per quintal in 70,060 lots.Speculators enlarged positions amid concern over lower output due to unseasonal rainfall inkey producing areas. Further rise can be expected in near future.

✍ Soybean

Soybean prices have gained more than 10 per cent from the beginning of the current month onlow supplies in the domestic markets, said traders.Soybean prices in Indore market auctions were Rs 3,500-3,650 per 100 kg compared with Rs3,200-3,300 per 100 kg in the beginning of the current month.Plant delivery prices were Rs 3,750-3,800 per 100 kg compared with Rs 3,350-3,450 per 100kg in the beginning of the month. Indore is the soybean trade hub of the country.Other factors like export incentives and local demand also supported the market but pricesmainly went up due to low domestic supplies.

Average daily arrivals in Madhya Pradesh are around 65-70 thousand bags of 100 kg eachwhich was 70-80 thousand bags last month. Current supplies are considered extremely low bytraders and there are no signs of improvement in the coming days. Traders feel the prices maygain further in the coming days due to forecasts of below normal monsoon.The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Wednesday predicted below normal monsoonthis year with north-east and central India among the most affected states.

✍ Refined soya

Refine soya prices traded higher by 0.42 per cent to Rs 586.50 per 10 kg in futures trade ontuesday as speculators created fresh positions, amid pick up in domestic demand and restrictedsupplies from producing belts.At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, refined soya oil contract for Junemonth rose by Rs 2.45, or 0.42 per cent to Rs 586.50 per 10 kg with an open interest of1,14,955 lots.The August contract traded higher by Rs 1.40, or 0.25 per cent to Rs 570.60 per 10 kg in1,18,465 lots.

The frresh positions built up by speculators due to pick up in demand in spot market led to risein refined soya oil prices at futures trade and arrivals from producing belts, also supported theupside.

Page 15: Commodity Report 27 April 2015 Ways2Capital

LEGAL DISCLAIMER

This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow MarketResearch Investment Advisory Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates containedherein are based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have beenobtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of theintended recipient only. This document, at best, represents Ways2Capital Equity/CommoditiesResearch opinion and is meant for general information only. Ways2CapitalEquity/Commodities Research, its directors, officers or employees shall not in any way to beresponsible for the contents stated herein. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Researchexpressly disclaims any and all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissionsin this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation tobuy any securities or commodities.

All information, levels & recommendations provided above are given on the basis of technical& fundamental research done by the panel of expert of Ways2Capital but we do not accept anyliability for errors of opinion. People surfing through the website have right to opt the productservices of their own choices.

Any investment in commodity market bears risk, company will not be liable for any loss doneon these recommendations. These levels do not necessarily indicate future price moment.Company holds the right to alter the information without any further notice. Any browsingthrough website means acceptance of disclaimer.