Commissioner Penny Schwinn · Almost 1 in 5 teachers spend more than 10 hours per week looking for instructional materials, and 69% spend more than 4 hours doing so. One in three

© 2019 Tennessee Department of Education

Commissioner Penny Schwinn


Forming the Priorities: A Review of the Data

Ideation and Budgeting

Data Analysis and

Comparisons

Listening Tour, Public

Input, District & Educator

Surveys


Start with the End (and Beginning): Graduation Rates

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17

Tennessee US 25% Q1 US Median US Average US 75% Q3 US Top


NAEP 2019:Tennessee’s Trajectory

Tennessee Department of Education


NAEP % on Grade Level

2011

2013 2019

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Math 4th Proficient Math 8th Proficient Read 4th Proficient Read 8th Proficient

Perc

ent

of T

N S

tud

ents

Pro

ficie

nt on N

AE

P

Percent of TN Students Proficient on NAEP


TCAP Cut Scores are now closer to NAEP Cut Scores for Proficiency

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

% o

f T

N s

tud

en

ts P

roficie

nt

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

% o

f T

N s

tud

en

ts P

roficie

nt

4th Reading 4th Math

8th Reading 8th Math

On Track (TCAP) Proficient (NAEP)

• In general, our TCAP % On Track is more accurate than in prior years. This confidence also instills a sense of urgency as less than half of our students are proficient on TCAP assessments.


190

200

210

220

230

240

250

260

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

City Suburb Town Rural

Our suburban and urban students accounted for much of the 2013 growth.

190

200

210

220

230

240

250

260

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

City Suburb Town Rural

NA

EP

Sca

le S

co

re

NAEP 4th Grade Reading by School Location NAEP 4th Grade Math by School Location


Proficiency by Student Group over Time

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

White Black Hispanic NSLP Eligible SWD ELL

25

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019


4th Grade Read % Proficient

4th Grade Math % Proficient

8th Grade Read % Proficient

8th Grade Math % Proficient

25

22


• Despite our large achievement gap for Black students, Tennessee serves these students better than most states.

• Tennessee’s most underperforming student groups are lower income (free/reduced lunch eligible) students, Hispanic students, and English language learners.

10th %ile

20th %ile

30th %ile

40th %ile

50th %ile

60th %ile

70th %ile

80th %ile

90th %ile

Tennessee Overall

Free/Reduced Lunch EligibleHispanicEng. Learners

Black

White

4th ELA Student Group

National Decile Performance

204 / (213)

219 / (235)227 / (240)

202 / (216)202 / (222)176 / (209)

Our Rankings Across Different Student Groups Vary Greatly

TN Student

Groups

TN Average Scale Score

Student Group / (Top

Average Scale Score for

Student Group Nationally)

Students w/Disabilities 183 / (204)

Group %ile

Ranking

Cut Score

Color Key

Advanced

Proficient

Basic

Below Basic


We are proud of our progress, but know we need to move further.

Compared to states with similar GDP per capita, poverty indices, and population diversities, we know that our students deserve more.

NAEP 8th ELA % on Grade Level State Comparison

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Nation

Indiana

Iowa

Kentucky

Missouri

North Carolina

Tennessee

Wisconsin

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

NAEP 4th ELA % on Grade Level State Comparison


We are proud of our progress, but know we need to move further.

Compared to states with similar GDP per capita, poverty indices, and population diversities, we know that our students deserve more.NAEP 4th Math % on Grade Level State Comparison

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Nation

Indiana

Iowa

Kentucky

Missouri

North Carolina

Tennessee

Wisconsin

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

NAEP 8th Math % on Grade Level State Comparison


Overall combined proficiency in Tennessee shows challenges

12

26%In 3rd – 8th grades, 26% of students

in Tennessee are proficient in both

ELA and mathematics.

Special Education

Black – Hispanic – Native American

9.1%

Economically Disadvantaged

English Learner

14.5%

13%

3.2%


ACT and AP 2019:Tracking College Readiness



Tennessee’s ACT Performance at Two Checkpoints

1. Final highest average performance: used in accountability, this metric better measures students’ college entrance qualifications after having opportunities to retake the exam• The amount of estimated savings on remedial college courses increased significantly

due to the Senior Retake opportunity for the Class of 2019

• The Graduating Class of 2019 gained more from the Senior Retake, even though they showed a slight decrease in final highest average score from the previous two cohorts, emphasizing the importance of retake opportunities.

2. 11th grade statewide performance: this metric illustrates how college-ready all Tennessee students are by 11th grade• 4-year decline for ACT testers on the statewide spring junior census testing (average score

and rates for on-grade level performance)

*Students can satisfy college entrance testing requirements with either ACT or SAT, but since Tennessee

census tests with ACT, the data in this presentation does not include students with only SAT scores.


ACT 12th Grade Retakers’ Readiness Improving

• The 2019 Grad Cohort saw

more students retake the ACT

test, with a higher rate of

students meeting the

college-ready benchmark.

• The estimated student

savings and return on

investment on college

remediation courses based on

the from the Senior Retake has

increased significantly.

Est. tu

ition

sa

ve

d b

y re

take

rsn

o lo

nge

r

requ

iring c

olle

ge re

me

dia

l co

urs

es

% o

f co

ho

rt c

olle

ge-r

ead

y (

21+

co

mpo

site)

$-

$2,000,000

$4,000,000

$6,000,000

$8,000,000

$10,000,000

$12,000,000

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Class of 2017 Class of 2018 Class of 2019

% 21+ composite (11th) % 21+ composite after 12th retake Total remedial course tuition saved

For every $1 put in to Senior Retake :

tuition $ saved by retakers no longer requiring

college remedial courses$1 : $4.73 $1 : $4.14 $1 : $5.69

College-ready rates and remedial course savings from Senior Retake

Return on Investment

+5.3%

+3.2%+1.8%


Cohort Performance 11th to 12th grade

Offering ACT senior retake has allowed about 1/3 of the 2019 Graduate Class to increase their highest ACT composite score in preparation for College.

18.7

19.2 19.118.8 18.7

19.4

20.120.2

20

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

Class of 2016 Class of 2017 Class of 2018 Class of 2019 Class of 2020Average Score after 11th grade Increase to Final Average Score after 12th Grade

+0.7

+0.9 +1.1+1.2

+ TBD

Average score change from spring junior year to highest composite by cohort


ACT 11th Grade Statewide Performance

17

17.5

18

18.5

19

19.5

20

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

ELA Math Reading Science All

Nu

mbe

r of 1

1th

gra

ders

testin

g in

Sp

ringA

ve

rag

e A

CT

sco

re b

y S

ubje

ct a

nd

Ove

rall

% o

f stu

de

nt C

olle

ge o

r C

are

er

Re

ady b

y s

ubje

ct

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

70,000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Number Tested ELA Math Reading Science All

11th Grade ACT average scores over time

11th Grade ACT participation and percent

meeting college-ready benchmarks


ACT 11th Grade

11th Grade Participation

11th Grade ACT testing over time: participation and performance


Alabama

Alaska

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware

District of ColumbiaFlorida

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan

MinnesotaMississippi

MissouriMontana

Nebraska Nevada

New Hampshire

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Carolina

North Dakota

OhioOklahoma

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Utah

Vermont

Virginia

WashingtonWest Virginia

Wisconsin

Wyoming

-0.15

-0.1

-0.05

0

0.05

0.1States who improved performance while

increasing participation a lot

States who had worse performance while

increasing participation a lot

States who had worse performance while increasing

participation a little

States who improved performance while

increasing participation a little

10 year AP Pass-Performance ChangeC

hange in p

assin

g r

ate

s


Other Data:Whole Child and Educator



Out of 50 states plus the District of

Columbia, TN ranks:

38th in overall mental health

39th for youth experiencing severe MDE

25th for youth with MDE who did not

receive mental health services

38th for youth with severe MDE who

received consistent treatment

46th for students identified with

emotional disturbance for an IEP

Source: https://www.mhanational.org/issues/ranking-states


Students who had access to drugs at school (CDC data)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Tennessee US Average

% o

f stu

dents

report

ing d

rug

access


Students bringing firearms to school (CDC data)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

Number of students in 100,000 who have possessed a firearm to school

Tennessee US Average


Percent of high school students bullied in 12 months

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

US 25% Q1 US 75% Q3 Tennessee lower Tennessee upper US Average Tennessee


Teaching

Tennessee ranks #41 on the list of best states to be a

teacher (Education Week).

Only 42% of teachers in their first three years felt their

educator preparation program sufficiently prepared them.

Almost 1 in 5 teachers spend more than 10 hours per

week looking for instructional materials, and 69% spend

more than 4 hours doing so.

One in three teachers report they would not choose to

become an educator if they could go back in time.

If they could get a higher paying job, 33% of teachers

report they would leave teaching.

Only 5% of college students consider education as a

profession (down from 27%+ in the 1970s)


Public InputEducator

SurveyListening

Tour


Listening Tour


Survey


Public InputListening

Tour

Educator Survey



SurveyListening

Tour


SURVEYCOMMENTS

33,000+

CLASSROOMVISITS

500+

DISTRICTMEETINGS

60+


Tennessee’s focus on standards, assessments, evaluation, and turnaround helped the state grow rapidly.


Over the last five years, the needs of our students have evolved and we must support the whole child.


If we want Tennessee to be the highest performing state, then we must invest in educator growth, provide opportunities for teachers to teach and lead, and better prepare our future educators.


REFLECTIONS

When we talk to students, their favorite thing about school is the teachers who see their potential.

When we visit schools, principals want us to observe their strongest teachers’ classrooms, and see how their students are achieving.

When we talk to families, they tell us about the teacher who intervened in their child’s life.


IF WE ARE SUCCESSFUL, THEN TENNESSEE WILL SEE A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN THE NUMBER OF STUDENTS ON-TRACK TO MEETING POSTSECONDARY GOALS TWO YEARS AFTER GRADUATION

• Two-year college persistence• TCAT certificate• Military enlistment• Or similar paths


E D U C AT O R S

TENNESSEE WILL SET A NEW PATH FOR THE EDUCATION PROFESSION AND BE

THE TOP STATE TO BECOME AND REMAIN A TEACHER AND LEADER

A C A D E M I C S

ALL TENNESSEE STUDENTS WILL HAVE ACCESS TO A HIGH-QUALITY EDUCATION,

NO MATTER WHERE THEY LIVE

W H O L E C H I L D

TENNESSEE PUBLIC SCHOOLS WILL BE EQUIPPED TO SERVE THE

ACADEMIC AND NON-ACADEMIC NEEDS OF ALL STUDENTS


All Tennessee students will have access to a high-quality education, no matter where they live.

Invest in a proven, coherent, statewide literacy program that includes high-quality materials, coaching, and common diagnostics for data review.

Support to:

• Purchasing high quality materials

• Selecting implementation support

• Purchase, use, and report on a common diagnostic

• Family reading guides

Early Literacy Supports



Invest in high-quality resources and implementation support to districts.

State-level support would include:

• Regional trainings and workshops on high-quality materials selection processes

• Support implementation of high-quality materials

• Online tool to explicitly connect TN standards, assessment items, and high-quality materials lessons

High-Quality Instructional Materials



Build free, curriculum-aligned interim and formative assessments for districts to use.

Free state resources would include:

• Free formative assessments with TCAP questions aligned to high quality instructional materials

• Interim assessments aligned to annual TCAP

• Assessment bank of TCAP released questions, with learning progressions, for local use

• Data analytics capacity and recommended professional development supports

Innovative Assessments



Ensure every student has career exploration in middle school and a high school pathway that aligns to their interests and strengths, focusing on industry demand, STEM, and the arts.

State supports will include:

• Free access to at least one PK-8 career exploration tool

• Professional development on coaching and counseling students based on career interest and capacity

• Support the development of innovative high school models aligned to regional and student need

Career Exploration


Tennessee public schools will be equipped to serve the academic and non-academic needs of all kids.

Ensure that schools and districts are able to quickly and appropriately respond to students in need.

The state will:

• Conduct a state needs assessment on what resources and supports will be most helpful

• Create tools that match schools and districts with local supports and work closely with other agencies and partners to expedite services.

• Identify opportunities to increase in-school resources for whole child and mental health needs

Supports



Develop a Tennessee-specific character and citizenship education program that prepares students to make successful contributions to society.

Content would include:

• Personal characteristics

• Financial literacy

• Citizenship and civics

Character Education



Create a statewide network that effectively supports students with disabilities.

The state will develop:

• Tools for families and educators to help identify and navigate resources

• Regional hubs with the expertise in special education that districts need

• Stronger regional engagement opportunities so that stakeholders feel connected

Exceptionalities


Tennessee will set a new path for the education profession and be the top state to become and remain a teacher and leader.

• Create advanced courses for teaching as a profession in K-12

• Launch teacher fellowship opportunities

• Expand “Grow Your Own” opportunities for prospective educators

• Continue to support improvements to educator compensation.

Recruitment



Ensure educators are prepared to be successful in the classroom upon completion of their educator preparation program. This includes:

• Educator Preparation Innovation

• Leader Preparation Innovation

Preparation



Elevate teacher leaders through regional networks, professional development pathways, and state leadership roles.

• Regional Teacher Leadership Network

• Articulated Pathways for Tennessee Master Teacher Networks

• Elevation of Teacher of the Year, and similar programs

Pathways



Support the development of effective leadership structures in every school, and create cohorts of leaders focused on building their degrees, certifications, and professional development.

• Rural Principal Network

• Aspiring AP Network

• Principal Supervisor Network

• TN Academy of School Leaders

• Turnaround Principal Network

• District Leader Network

Development


Schools and ChoiceEngagement District Support


THEORY

OF

ACTION

FOUNDATIONS

FoundationsBuild upon the commitment to

standards, assessment,

evaluation, and turnaround.


THEORY

OF

ACTION

FOUNDATIONSACCESS

Access

Focus on rigorous academic

expectations for all children.





THEORY

OF

ACTION

FOUNDATIONSACCESS

SUPPORTS

Access






Supports

Provide whole child supports for

schools, teachers, and families.


THEORY

OF

ACTION

FOUNDATIONSACCESS

SUPPORTS

PIPELINE

Access






PipelineBuild and maintain a strong

educator pipeline and retention

strategy.

Supports




THEORY

OF

ACTION

FOUNDATIONSACCESS

CAPACITY

SUPPORTS

PIPELINE

CapacityBuild district capacity and consider

the needs and realities of each

district in our work.

Access








strategy.

Supports




THEORY

OF

ACTION

FOUNDATIONSACCESS

ENGAGE

CAPACITY

SUPPORTS

PIPELINE

EngageAuthentically engage with

stakeholders and provide choices

for families.

CapacityBuild district capacity and consider

the needs and realities of each

district in our work.

Access








strategy.

Supports




Documents

Commissioner Penny Schwinn · Almost 1 in 5 teachers spend more than 10 hours per week looking for instructional materials, and 69% spend more than 4 hours doing so. One in three