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1 1 Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and global position in the energy economy? Wednesday, April 9, 2014

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Page 1: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

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Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and global position in the energy economy?

Wednesday, April 9, 2014

Page 2: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

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COLORADO’S ENERGY ECONOMY

What is Colorado’s national and global position in the energy economy?

Wednesday, April 9, 2014

Page 3: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

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WELCOME

Bruce AlexanderPresident & CEO

Vectra Bank Colorado

Mark WilliamsSenior Member

Sherman & Howard

Page 4: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

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SPEAKER INTRODUCTION

Mark WilliamsSenior Member

Sherman & Howard

Page 5: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

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TOM CLARKChief Executive Officer, Metro Denver Economic Development Corporation and Executive Vice President, Denver Metro Chamber of Commerce

• More than 30 years of economic development experience at the state, regional, county and city levels.

• Career spans four decades from Director of Commercial and Industrial Development for the Illinois Department of Commerce and Community Affairs through positions with numerous chambers of commerce across the metro area.

• Holds bachelors degrees in speech and psychology from Minnesota State University and a Masters in Public Administration from the University of Illinois.

• Founder and first president of the Metro Denver Network, the Metro Denver region's first economic development program.

• Recipient of the Arthur D. Little Award for Excellence in Economic Development and chosen as one of the nation's top economic development professionals by the Council on Urban Economic Development.

Page 6: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

COLLABORATION AND CLUSTER DEVELOPMENT – BUILDING A COMPETITIVE ECONOMYTom ClarkCEOMetro Denver Economic Development Corporation

Business for Breakfast – Vectra Bank

Page 7: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

“Companies don’t locate in cities. They locate in ‘places’.”

Page 8: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

“Where custom fails, law prevails.”

“Laws are sand, customs are rock. Laws can be evaded and punishment escaped but an openly transgressed custombrings sure punishment.”

-Mark Twain-

Page 9: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Our Mission• Assist primary employers to locate and expand in the nine-

county Metro Denver region• Serve as the primary global marketing organization for

new jobs in Metro Denver• Provide economic development services to our partners

that they cannot afford themselves including:• Massive data bases, regional web site with GIS, econometric

models, full-time economist, trade and prospect missions, increased air service

• Provide “first money in” for major economic opportunities for the region or to fight back the “Forces of Darkness”

• Promote, support and assist in creating a “culture of cooperation” in economic development throughout the region and the State of Colorado

Page 10: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Some History• A major recession – 1982 – Oil shale collapses when Saudis turn on the tap. “Balkanized cities” – cutthroat economic development, stealing companies from each other, speaking “ill” of one another

• Chasing prospects so vigorously that we chased them to Scottsdale, Dallas and Kansas City

• Determined to “sell our region in the manner our prospects saw us – not a series of cities and counties, by a “place” called “Denver”

Page 11: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Seeing the world through the lens of employment clusters…Dr. Michael Porter’s work

• Companies “cluster” to exploit a resource – oil, labor, water, research and development access…

• Most competitors identify their clusters’ competitive advantage and then chase companies within them.

• We see the economy through the eyes of our clusters…this drives differentiated decisions on everything from tax and regulatory policy to major infrastructure projects.

• “If you don’t know where you are going, any consultant will take you there.”

Page 12: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Innovation Clusters in Metro Denver

Page 13: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Metro Denver Industry ClustersMetro Denver Industry Clusters2007 - 2012

Page 14: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Metro Denver Industry Clusters2013

Page 15: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Cluster Advocacy Groups Drive New Jobs

Aerospace Energy Aviation Bioscience IT

CO Energy

Coalition

Space Coalition

CBSA CTAMetro Denver Aviation Coalition

C3

Page 16: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Does cooperative economic development work?• 1985 – 30% closure rate• 2011 – 52% closure rate

• Eliminating “cognitive dissonance” among customers increases our ability to beat out competitors

• Examples: Vestas, Arrow Electronics, DaVita, Charles Schwab and many, many others

Page 17: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Does “cluster” strategy work?• 80% of locations in past eight years have come from

cluster companies• Over 60% of expanding or relocating companies have

been within clusters

Page 18: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

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SPEAKER INTRODUCTION

Kirk MonroeEVP, Director of Wholesale Banking

Vectra Bank Colorado

Page 19: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

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SCOTT PRESTIDGEEnergy Industry ManagerMetro Denver Economic Development Corporation (EDC)

• Focuses on economic development, policy formation, and management of the in-house energy trade association, the Colorado Energy Coalition.

• Formerly worked as the Metro Regional Director for U.S. Senator Mark Udall.

• Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science and a Bachelor’s Degree in Spanish from the University of Colorado in Boulder, as well as a Master’s Degree in Public Policy from the University of Colorado in Denver.

Page 20: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Resource Rich Colorado

Colorado’s National and Global Position in the Energy Economy

Fifth Edition, December 2013

Page 21: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Resource Rich Colorado

Acknowledgements

Competitive Analysis Committee Members

Chris Hansen, IHS, Committee ChairJohn Armstrong, Enserca LLC

Tim Bennet, Flood and PetersonBeth Chacon, Xcel Energy

Larry Holdren, Pure Brand CommunicationsBrian Payer, IHS Corporation

Michael Pomorski, Encana Corporation

Page 22: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Oil

Page 23: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Fig.1

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

DollarsperBarrel

Crude Oil Prices, 1999-2012Prices for Colorado-produced oil trend below the national average;

U.S. average price in 2012 was $94.05 per barrel

U.S.CrudeOil$/Barrel

ColoradoCrudeOil$/Barrel

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,OK‐WTI,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:Crudeoilincludesleasecondensaterecoveredasliquidfromnaturalgaswells

Coloradocrudeoil$85.78

Page 24: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

COranks9thinproduction

49millionbarrels

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

TX ND CA AK OK NM LA WY CO KS

MillionBarrelsperYear

Crude Oil Production by State, 2008-2012Colorado ranks 9th in crude oil production; Colorado production

is on the rise

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:U.S.Department ofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:Crudeoilincludesleasecondensaterecoveredasliquidfromnaturalgaswells

Fig.2

Page 25: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

TX OK ND NM PA LA CO WY CA UT

Num

berofRigs

Rotary Rig Count, 2008-2012DJ-Niobrara formation driving Colorado rotary rig count activity; 2,301 new wells were drilled

in 2012; as of October 2013 there were 51,426 active wells in Colorado

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:BakerHughes;ColoradoOilandGasConservationCommissionNote:Number ofrigsisannualaverage

COranks 7thinaverageannualrotaryrigcount;65rigsin2012

Fig.3

Page 26: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

COranks9thinreservesat

555millionbarrelswitha7.03%annualutilizationrate

6.54%

5.32%

6.45%

5.76%

6.78%7.40% 5.98%

4.47% 7.03% 13.14%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

TX AK CA ND OK NM WY UT CO LA

MillionBarrels

Crude Oil Reserves & Utilization RateTechnology improvements contribute to growing reserves

Reserves2009

Reserves2010

Reserves2011

Production2011

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:Utilizationrateistheamountofreservesdeveloped/producedannually;crudeoilreservesincludeleasecondensate

Fig.4

Page 27: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Fig.5

Map of Crude Oil and Refined Products Infrastructure

Page 28: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

5

10

15

20

25

MillionBarrelsperDay

U.S. Crude Oil Production & Consumption, 1973-2012Gap is narrowing; domestic production increasing since 2009;

domestic consumption decreasing since 2006

U.S.Production

U.S.Consumption

Source:U.S.Department ofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministration

Canada13.6%

Saudi Arabia7.2%

Venezuela4.8%

Russia 4%Mexico 2.4%

Other 8%

U.S. 60%

Where does the U.S. get its oil?

Fig.6

Page 29: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

SaudiArabia Russia U.S. Iran China Canada UnitedArabEmirates

Venezuela

MillionBarrels

Oil Production Leaders, 2008-2012U.S. ranks 3rd in production; domestic production on the rise

20082009201020112012

Source:International EnergyAgency,2009‐2013KeyWorldEnergyStatisticsNote:Includescrudeoil,naturalgasliquids,feedstocks,additives,andotherhydrocarbons

Topeightproducersrepresentover55%ofglobalproduction;totalglobal productionfor2012was30.4billionbarrelsU.S.ranks3rdin

globalproductionwith2.84billionbarrels

Fig.7

Page 30: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

U.S. China Japan India SouthKorea Germany Italy France

MillionBarrels

Top Net Importers of Crude Oil, 2007-2011U.S. ranks 1st in oil imports; imports are decreasing and 2012 was lowest

annual average since 1991

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Source:InternationalEnergyAgency,2009‐2013 KeyWorldEnergyStatisticsNote:Includescrudeoil,naturalgasliquids,feedstocks,additives,andotherhydrocarbons

U.S.ranks1stin oilimports

with3.67billionbarrels

Fig.8

Page 31: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Natural Gas

Page 32: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

$8

$9

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

DollarsperThousandCubicFeet

Natural Gas Wellhead Prices, 1999-2012Colorado price trends below the national average

to account for fuel transportation costs to markets outside the state

U.S.NaturalGas

ColoradoNaturalGas

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministration;2011and2012COpricedataestimatedNote:TransportationallowanceaccountsforthecosttomovenaturalgastomarketsbeyondColoradoborders

COpricein2012was$2.33

Fig.9

Page 33: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

TX LA PA WY OK CO AR NM WV UT

TrillionCubicFeet(Tcf)

Natural Gas Production by State, 2008-2012Colorado ranks 6th in production; production is increasing

due to technology improvements

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:ToptenproducersincludingColorado

COranks6thin production1.6(Tcf)

Fig.10

Page 34: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

COranks6thinreservesat24.82(Tcf)witha6.41%

utilizationrate

7.45%

5.88%10.02%

6.66% 9.32%

7.56% 7.44%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

TX WY LA OK PA CO AR NM

TrillionCubicFeet(Tcf)

Natural Gas Reserves & Utilization Rate Technology is contributing to growing reserves nationwide

2009Reserves

2010Reserves

2011Reserves

Production2011

Source:U.S.Department ofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:TopeightstatesincludingColorado;utilizationrateistheamountofreservesdeveloped/producedannually Fig.11

Page 35: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

TrillionCubicFeet(Tcf)

U.S. Natural Gas Production & ConsumptionDomestic production has increased steadily since 2006; low price of natural gas

has increased power and industrial consumption

NaturalGasProduction

NaturalGasConsumption

Source:U.SDepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministration Fig.12

Page 36: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Map of Natural Gas Pipeline Infrastructure

Fig.13

Page 37: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Fig.14

Page 38: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

BillionCubicFeetperDay

U.S. Shale Gas Production by Major Resource Play

Technology has led to quickly expanding resource development

EagleFord(TX)

Woodford(OK)

Marcellus(OH,WV,PA,NY)

Haynesville(TX,LA)

Fayetteville(AR)

Barnett(TX)

Source:HPDI;EncanaCorporationNote:LegacyproductionintheNiobraramakesithardtodifferentiateshaleresourcedevelopment;7.5BcfperdayfromRocky MountainRegion

Fig.15

Page 39: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

U.S. Russia Qatar Iran Canada Norway China SaudiArabia

TrillionCubicFeet(Tcf)

Natural Gas Production Leaders, 2008-2012U.S. is 1st and growing; top 8 producers equal 62.0% of global production

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:InternationalEnergyAgency

U.S.ranks1stwith19.8%of

globalproduction24.05(Tcf)

Fig.16

Page 40: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

5

Japan Germany Italy SouthKorea Turkey U.S. France U.K.

TrillionCubicFeet(Tcf)

Top Net Importers of Natural Gas, 2008-2012U.S. imports declining due to increases in domestic production

20082009201020112012

Source:InternationalEnergyAgency

U.S.ranks6thinnaturalgas

imports1.52(Tcf)

Fig.17

Page 41: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Coal

Page 42: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

VA AL WV TN PA KY OK MD IL IN CO

DollarsperShortTon

Coal Prices by State, 2011-2012Price differences may be due to variations in production costs,

transportation costs, and coal qualities

2011

2012

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:Toptenstatesplus Colorado;short tonequals2,000pounds

COranks12thincoalpricesat

$37.54pershortton

Fig.18

Page 43: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

WY WV KY PA IL TX IN MT CO ND

MillionShortTons

U.S. Coal Production by State, 2008-2012

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:Top tenstates;shorttonequals2,000pounds

Coloradoranks9th withnearly29million shorttons

Fig.19

Page 44: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0.06%

0.10% 1.16%

0.79%0.76%

0.52% 0.25%0.28% 0.49%

0.32% 0.42%0.95%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

MT IL WY WV KY PA OH CO TX NM ND IN

MillionShortTons

U.S. Coal Reserves & Utilization RatePercent equals utilization rate of state reserves; coal reserves are massive,

contributing to an extremely small utilization rate

Reserves2010

Reserves2011

2011Production

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministration;Note:Reserves are"EstimatedRecoverableReserves";shorttonequals2,000pounds;2011ismostrecentyearfordomesticcoalreservesdata

COranks8thinreserveswith9.58billionshorttons

andhasa0.28%utilizationrate

Fig.20

Page 45: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

China U.S. India Australia Indonesia Russia SouthAfrica Germany Poland Kazakhstan

BillionShortTons

Global Coal Production Leaders, 2008-2012U.S. production holding steady as resource diversity expands; China coal

production is increasing rapidly to match growing demand

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformation AdministrationSource:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformation Administration

USranks 2ndwith1.02billion

shorttons

Fig.21

Page 46: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

U.S. Russia China Australia India Germany Ukraine Kazakhstan SouthAfrica Colombia

BillionShortTons

Top Proved Coal Reserves, 2012The U.S. holds the largest coal reserves in the world

Source:BPStatisticalReview ofWorldEnergy, June2013Note:Shorttonequals2,000pounds;"recoverable"basedoncurrenteconomicsandtechnology;includesanthracite,bituminous,sub‐bituminous,andlignite

U.Sranks1st inprovedcoalreserves

262billionshorttons

Globalcoalproductionisapproximately

8.7billionshorttonsperyear

Fig.22

Page 47: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Indonesia Australia U.S. Russia Colombia SouthAfrica Kazakhstan Canada Vietnam

MillionShortTons

Top Net Exporters of Coal, 2008-2012U.S. exports are increasing to meet global demand

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:InternationalEnergyAgency,KeyWorldEnergyStatistics,2009‐2013

U.S. ranks3rdincoalexports

117millionshorttons

Fig.23

Page 48: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

China Japan India SouthKorea Taiwan Germany U.K. Turkey Italy

MillionShortTons

Top Net Importers of Coal, 2008-2012The U.S. has no significant imports of coal

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:InternationalEnergyAgency,KeyWorldEnergyStatistics,2009‐2013 Fig.24

Page 49: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Renewables

Page 50: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

TX CA IA IL OK OR WA MN KS CO

Megawatts

Total Installed Wind Capacity, 2008-2012Widespread growth in wind installations; Texas leading the way

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:SNLEnergy

COranks10th2,292MW

Fig.25

Page 51: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

CA NJ AZ NV CO HI FL MA NC TX

Megawatts

Total Installed Solar Capacity, 2010-2012Significant growth in solar installations; California leading the way with large

utility scale solar farms

2010

2011

2012

COranks5th213MW

Source:SolarElectricPowerAssociationFig.26

Page 52: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

CA FL ME VA GA AL MI PA LA TX CO

Megawatts

Total Installed Biomass Capacity, 2008-2012Colorado is below the national trend

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

COranks37th20MW

Source:SNLEnergyNote:ToptenstatesplusColorado

Fig.27

Page 53: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

CA NV UT HI OR ID AK WY CO

Megawatts

Total Installed Geothermal Capacity, 2008-2012Eight states have geothermal electric generation; California leads the way

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:SNLEnergyNote:Vastmajorityofstateshavenoutility‐scalegeothermalcapacity

Noutility‐scaleColoradogeothermal

generatingcapacity

Fig.28

Page 54: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

CA NV UT HI OR ID AK WY CO

Megawatts

Total Installed Geothermal Capacity, 2008-2012Eight states have geothermal electric generation; California leads the way

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:SNLEnergyNote:Vastmajorityofstateshavenoutility‐scalegeothermalcapacity

Noutility‐scaleColoradogeothermal

generatingcapacity

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

WA CA OR NY VA SC GA AL AZ MT CO

Megawatts

Total Installed Hydropower Capacity, 2008-2012Minimal nationwide growth in hydropower capacity

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:SNLEnergyNote: ToptenstatesplusColorado

COranks19th1,219MW

Fig.29

Page 55: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

CONFIDENTIAL NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION

State Clean Tech IndexRankingsbasedontechnology,policy,andcapitalactivities

ofeachstate

Fig.30ReprintedwithpermissionfromCleanEdge,Inc.2013U.S.CleanTechLeadershipIndex

Page 56: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

CONFIDENTIAL NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION

Metro Clean Tech Index

Rankingsbasedonbuildingefficiency,transportation,cleanelectricity,

carbonmanagement,cleantechinvestment,innovation,andworkforce

ReprintedwithpermissionfromCleanEdge,Inc.2013U.S.CleanTechLeadershipIndexFig.31

Page 57: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Power

Page 58: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Map of Major Electric Transmission LinesEastern, Western, and Texas Interconnections are all unique; expansion

of renewables may require new transmission lines

Fig.32

Page 59: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

%ofGeneration

Renewables

Hydro

Nuclear

NaturalGas

Oil

Coal

Source:U.SDepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministration;some2012 dataisprovisional

U.S. Net Generation History by Resource, 1950-2012

Fig.33

Page 60: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

CombinedCycle

Wind Hydro Geothermal CombustionTurbine

AdvancedNuclear

Biomass AdvancedCoal SolarPV

DollarsperMegawattHour

Levelized Costs for Electric Generation PlantsAssuming a plant start date of 2018, the total levelized cost measures

competitiveness of different generating technologies; levelized costs include transmission, fuel, operations and maintenance, and capital

TransmissionInvestment

VariableO&M(includingfuel)

FixedO&M

LevelizedCapitalCost

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:2018isreferenced duetothelongleadtimerequiredforsometechnologiesandprojects;estimatesexpressedabovewillvarybyregion

Fig.34

Page 61: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Nuclear Coal Hydro Wind NaturalGas Oil

AverageCapacityFactor(%

) 2011

2012

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministration

Average U.S. Capacity Factor by Resource, 2011 & 2012The average capacity factor of a power plant is the ratio of actual output per year compared

to the output of operating at full nameplate capacity

Fig.35

Page 62: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Coal31%

Gas40%

Nuclear10%

Oil4%

Hydro9%

Renewables6%

U.S.OperatingNameplate Capacity1.04terawattsofinstalledcapacity

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy;EnergyInformationAdministration,figures excludeidledpowerplants

U.S. Nameplate Capacity and Net Generation, 2012Available installed capacity compared to utilized capacity

Coal39%

Gas29%

Nuclear20%

Oil1%

Hydro6%

Renewables5%

U.S.NetGenerationbyResource3,874terawatthoursoftotalgeneration

Fig.36

Page 63: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

NaturalGas36%

Coal40%

Hydro6%

Wind15%

Solar3%

Colorado Nameplate Capacity and Net Generation, 2012Available installed capacity compared to utilized capacity

ColoradoOperatingNameplateCapacity13.8gigawattsofinstalledcapacity

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy;EnergyInformationAdministration;figuresexcludeidledpowerplantsNote:Electricityusebysector‐ Industrial(29%),Residential(34%),Commercial(37%)

NaturalGas19%

Coal68%

Hydro3% Wind

10%

Solar0%

ColoradoNetGenerationbyResource50,783gigawatt hoursoftotalgeneration

Fig.37

Page 64: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

WY LA AK ND IA TX NE SD IN KY CO

MillionBtuperCapita

COranks34thwith289millionBtu

percapita

U.S.averageis315millionBtu

percapita

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:ToptenstatesplusColorado

U.S. Per Capita Energy Consumption, 2011Colorado has a low energy (Btu) consumption rate per person

Fig.38

Page 65: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

HI AK NY CT VT NJ NH CA MI ME CO

CentsperKilowattHour

2011

2012

2013

Source:U.S.Census;U.S. DepartmentofEnergy,EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:ToptenstatesplusColorado

COranks17thwith 12.81cents/KWh

U.S.2013average12.22cents/KWh

Average Residential Summer Retail Electric Price, 2011-13Colorado has the 17th most expensive residential retail electricity price

Fig.39

Page 66: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Environment & Sustainability

Page 67: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

5

10

15

20

25

CO2Em

issionsperCapita(millionmetrictons)

CO2 Emissions Per Capita, 1960-2010 U.S.

World

China

E.U.

Russia

Source:WorldBank,CarbonDioxideInformationAnalysis Center,EnvironmentalSciencesDivision,OakRidgeNationalLaboratory

Chinaaccountedfor25%oftheworld'stotalCO2emissions

(8.3billionmetrictons)whiletheU.S.accountedfor16%(5.4billionmetrictons)

Fig.40

Page 68: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

25%

16%

11%

6%5%

3%

2% 2% 2%1%

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

China U.S. EuropeanUnion

India Russia Japan Germany Iran SouthKorea Canada

CO₂Emissions(billionmetrictons)

CO₂ Emissions by Country: 2000, 2005, 2010Top ten countries account for 64% of world CO₂ emissions

2000

2005

2010

Source:WorldBank;CarbonDioxideInformationAnalysisCenter,EnvironmentalSciencesDivision,OakRidgeNationalLaboratory

In2010,Chinaaccountedfor25%oftheworld'stotalCO₂

emissions(8.3billionmetrictons),whiletheU.S.accountedfor16%

(5.4billionmetrictons)

PercentagesreflectshareoftotalglobalCO2emissionsin2010

Fig.41

Page 69: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

TheACEEEscorecardbenchmarkisbasedonanassessmentofpoliciesandprogramsthatencourageenergyefficiency;includingbuildingcodes,transportation,stateinitiatives,andapplianceandequipmentstandards.

Fig.42

Page 70: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

2.292.2

2.11 2.09

1.95 1.95

1.83 1.8 1.771.71

1.55

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

IL MD VA MA NY CA OR NC CO HI MN

LEED‐CertifiedSpaceperCapita(sq.ft.)

Square Footage of LEED-Certified Space, 2013 Colorado fell from second in 2012 to eigth in 2013 in the amount of

LEED-certified space per capita

Source:U.S.GreenBuildingCouncil‐ elevenstatesareshown,NYandCAtiedFig.43

Page 71: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Agriculture,86%

Municipal,8%Recreation&Fisheries,3%

Augmentation,1%

Recharge,1%

LargeIndustry,1%

ThermoelectricPowerGeneration,0.45%

Commercial,0.07%

HydraulicFracturing,0.04%

OtherEnergy*,0.03%

Snowmaking,0.03%

Industrial/Commercial1.5%

Colorado Water Consumption by Industry SectorAgriculture uses the majority of CO water; energy sector

consumes less than 1% of total

Source:ColoradoFoundationforWaterEducation;CODivisionofWaterResources*="OtherEnergy"issolar,coal,naturalgas,anduraniumdevelopment

Fig.44

Page 72: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Energy Policies & Programs

Page 73: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Energy Efficiency Policies, 2012Colorado requires electricity sales and demand to be reduced by 5% of 2006 numbers

by 2018; natural gas savings requirements vary by utility

.

www.dsireusa.org/February2013

20 states have Energy Efficiency

Resource Standards. (7 states have

goals).

Fig.45

Page 74: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Renewable Energy Policies, 2012Colorado has a Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) of 30% by 2020 for investor owned

utilities, 20% by 2020 for rural cooperatives, and 10% by 2020 for large munis

..

www.dsireusa.org/March2013.

29 states,+ Washington DC and 2

territories,have Renewable Portfolio

Standards(8 states and 2 territories have

renewable portfolio goals).

Fig.46

Page 75: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Net Metering Policies, 2012Colorado requires that a customer's excess generation during a

calendar year be reimbursed by their utility

.

www.dsireusa.org/July2013

43 states,+ Washington DC

& 4 territories,have adopted a net

metering policy.

Note:Numbersindicateindividualsystemcapacitylimitinkilowatts.Somelimitsvarybycustomertype,technologyand/orapplication.Otherlimitsmightalsoapply.Thismapgenerallydoesnotaddressstatutorychangesuntiladministrativeruleshavebeenadoptedtoimplementsuchchanges. 

Fig.47

Page 76: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

CA NY AZ TX UT OK NJ MA MD FL CO

Num

berofAlternativeFuelVehicles

Alternative Fuel Vehicles, 2011Recent state policies may begin increasing the number of

alternative fuel vehicles in Colorado

Source:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy;EnergyInformationAdministrationNote:Includescompressednaturalgas(CNG),liquefiednaturalgas(LNG),hydrogen,andelectricvehicles;alltypes,classes,anduses;ToptenstatesplusColorado

Coloradoranks23rdintotalnumberofalternativefuelvehicles(1,330vehicles)

Fig.48

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0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

CA TX WA FL OR TN NY MI AZ MA CO

Num

berofAlternativeFuelVehicleStations

Alternative Fuel Vehicle Stations, 2013

Electric

Hydrogen

LNG

CNG

Source:DepartmentofEnergy;AlternativeFuelsDataCenterNote:Includescompressednaturalgas(CNG),liquefiednaturalgas(LNG),hydrogen,andelectric;ToptenstatesplusColorado

COranks18thintotalnumberof

alternative vehiclefuelingstations(307stations)

Fig.49

Page 78: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

NY CA HI CT IL MI IN NC WA FL CO

CentsperGallon

State Gasoline Tax, 2013Colorado ranks 33rd in the nation; well below the national average

Source:AmericanPetroleumInstituteNote:ToptenstatesplusColorado

Colorado22.0CentsperGallon

National Average27.2CentsperGallon

Fig.50

Page 79: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

$0.00

$2.00

$4.00

$6.00

$8.00

$10.00

$12.00

Turkey Italy Belgium Germany U.K. SouthKorea

Chile Japan Australia Canada U.S. Mexico

U.S.DollarperGallon

Global Retail Prices of Premium Unleaded, 2013U.S. gasoline is inexpensive compared to most countries; limited resources,

limited infrastructure, and fuel taxes contribute to higher prices

Source:InternationalEnergyAgency,2013KeyWorldEnergyStatisticsNote:Gasoline pricesarefrom1stquarterof2013

U.S.2013firstquarterretailprice$3.72

Fig.51

Page 80: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

COranks4thinnumberofacresleased

4,198,209acres

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

WY NM UT CO NV MO AK ND AR MS

MillionAcres

Number of Acres Leased for Drilling Public LandsColorado has 4th highest number of acres leased; increased oil and gas activity

on private lands contributes to decrease

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source:BureauofLandManagement,PublicLandsStatisticsNote:ToptenstatesincludingColorado

Fig.52

Page 81: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Employment & Industry

Page 82: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

U.S.Employment

ColoradoEmployment

Fossil Fuels - Number of EmployeesColorado fossil fuel sector is growing; 45,225 direct employees in 2013

Colorado

UnitedStates

Source:Dun &Bradstreet,Inc.;Marketplacedatabase,July‐September,2007‐2010;MarketAnalysisProfile,2011‐2013Note:Employmentrepresentsthecoal,oil,gas,pipeline,refinery,generation,transmission,distribution,andengineeringservices sectors

Fig.53

Page 83: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

U.S.Employment

ColoradoEmployment

Cleantech - Number of EmployeesColorado cleantech sector is growing; 22,424 direct employees in 2013

Colorado

UnitedStates

Source:Dun &Bradstreet,Inc.;Marketplacedatabase,July‐September,2007‐2010;MarketAnalysisProfile,2011‐2013Note:Employmentrepresentsthesolar,wind,geothermal,fuelcell,efficiency,storage,greentransportation,cleantechR&D,andenvironmentalconsultingsectors

Fig.54

Page 84: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

2010 2011 2012

AverageAnnualSalary

Average Annual SalaryFossil fuel wages tend to be higher than cleantech wages;

Colorado wages higher than national average

FossilFuels‐U.S.

FossilFuels‐CO

Cleantech‐U.S.

Cleantech‐CO

Source:2013MetroDenverEDCEnergyClusterStudyFig.55

Page 85: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

78%

22%

Economic Impact, 2013The economic impact of Colorado's energy industry is $15.5 billion; that is a

13.6% increase over 2012, which was $13.7 billion

FossilFuels

Cleantech

22,420directcleantechworkerssupportanadditional55,470indirectworkers; earning$3.4billionannually

45,230directfossilfuelsworkerssupportanadditional115,580indirectworkers;earning$12.2billionannually

67,650directenergyworkerssupportanadditional171,050indirectworkers,foratotalof238,700energyindustryemployeesstatewide

Source:2013MetroDenverEDCEnergyClusterStudyFig.56

Page 86: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

BillionsofDollars

TheEnergy&NaturalResourcesportionofColorado'sGRPwas$21Billion in2012

Source:ColoradoOfficeofEconomicDevelopmentandInternationalTrade(OEDIT),EconomicModelingSpecialistsInternational(EMSI)

Colorado Key Industries, 2012The energy and natural resources key industry represents 8% of the state's Gross State

Product (GSP); GSP is the market value of all final goods and services produced in the state

Colorado's2012GRPwas$265 billion

Fig.57

Page 87: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

Resource Rich Colorado

Fifth Edition

December 2013

Page 88: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

REMI

• Regional Economic Models Inc. (REMI)o Dynamic economic modeling system

• Partners:o Common Sense Policy Roundtable o Denver South Economic Development Partnershipo Metro Denver Economic Development Corporation

• REMI Tax‐PI model built for Coloradoo Economists: CU Leeds School of Business

Page 89: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

REMI – 2014 Fracking Ban Report• Colorado Oil and Gas

o 75% of Colorado homes are fueled by natural gas produced in the state

o 30% of Colorado’s transportation fuel comes from the state’s oil production 

o More than 60 years of hydraulic fracturing in Colorado, with approximately 95% of Colorado wells being “fracked” today

• Study Results – Fracking Ban: 2015‐2040o 93,000 lost jobs – permanent losso $12 billion in lost State GDP o Reduction of $985 million in local and state tax revenue

Page 90: Colorado’s Energy Economy: What is Colorado’s national and

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