Collaboration with Petroleum Industry of Serbia S-2300 Katalitički kreking vakuum gasnog ulja (FCC) S-2500 Obrada gasova sa frakcionacijom (Gas treatment with fractionation) S-2550

$Page 1: Collaboration with Petroleum Industry of Serbia S-2300 Katalitički kreking vakuum gasnog ulja (FCC) S-2500 Obrada gasova sa frakcionacijom (Gas treatment with fractionation) S-2550$
www.risk-technologies.com ; www.stw.de

Projekat: Saradnja sa Naftnom industrijom Srbije Collaboration with Petroleum Industry of Serbia

STEINBEIS Foundation (www.stw.de)

NIS-NAFTNA INDUSTRIJA SRBIJE (www.nis.yu)

Project:

RiskNIS: Risk management and use of risk-based approaches in inspection, maintenance and HSE analyses

of NIS a. d. plants (http://www.risknis.risk-technologies.com/)

RBI

Risk-Based Inspection Qualitative Risk Assessment

Unit level

Version 2.0,

Status: Intermediate Draft

Risk before

Risk after

Novi Sad, Beograd, Stuttgart

August 2007

Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH

RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 2

Contacts

Prof. Dr. A. S. Jovanovic, Director Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies Haus der Wirtschaft, Willi-Bleicher-Straße 19, D- 70174 Stuttgart, Germany Phone: +49 (711) 1839-781, +49 (172) 635 9190 Fax: +49 (711) 677 0605 E-mail: [email protected] www: www.risk-technologies.com

Prof. dr Petar Stanojević, R&D Director, NIS-Petroleum Industry of Serbia Narodnog fronta 12, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia Phone: +381 (21) 481-2202, +381 ( Fax: +381 (21) 481 4485 E-mail: [email protected] www: www.nis.yu

Ms. Radmila Guntrum, dipl. ing, Local Steinbeis office Milentija Popovica 2, Novi Beograd Phone: +381 (11) 311 2121, +381 (63) 889 1328 E-mail: [email protected]



Executive Summary

The purpose of this document is to present the results of the Qualitative RISK Assessment on the level of units of 3 NIS Plants (Pančevo, Novi Sad, Elemir), thus giving an overview of the overall criticality of units and benchmarking the units among themselves. The RBI analysis has covered 60 process and auxiliary units. This report gives an overview of the results that are still subject to verification.

Applied methodology used for this purpose is API PUBL 581, Risk-Based Inspection Base Resource Document, 2000 Edition, APPENDIX A-WORKBOOK FOR QUALITATIVE RISK-BASED INSPECTION ANALYIS, extended to environmental, business and reputation consequences categories.

This document gives the description of methodology applied, performed activities, results and conclusions and recommendations.

The results given are in DRAFT status, subject to further verification from the plants. Some of the assessment is clearly to be judged as unconfirmed, therefore, the relatively high levels of risks associated with number of units is more due to the unknown data and conservatism in the approach then to the real situation in the field.

5

4 5 10, 11

13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 35, 36, 37, 39, 41, 45,

46

12, 52

3 16, 43 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 44, 49, 55, 56, 57

19, 23, 24, 26, 27, 29, 42, 53,

54

8, 18, 30, 31, 32, 47, 50, 51, 58

2 48, 60, 61 28, 34 38, 40, 59

L I K E L I H O O D

1 7, 9, 14 33 15

A B C D E

C O N S E Q U E N C E S

Figure 1 Preliminary results of API Qualitative Analysis with 60 units



Executive summary (Serbian)

Namena ovog dokumenta je da prezentira rezultate kvalitativne analize rizika na nivou postrojenja na 3 lokacije NIS-a (Pančevo, Novi Sad, Elemir), da da pregled kritičnosti postrojenja i da omogući međusobno poređenje postrojenja. Analizom je obuhvaćeno ukupno 60 procesnih i pomoćnih postrojenja.

Primenjena metodologija se zasniva na API PUBL 581, Risk-Based Inspection Base Resource Document, 2000 Edition, APPENDIX A-WORKBOOK FOR QUALITATIVE RISK-BASED INSPECTION ANALYIS, proširena sa procenom posledica po okolinu, poslovanje i reputaciju firme.

Dokument sadrži opis primenjene metodologije, pregled sprovedenih aktivnosti, rezultate analiza i zaključke i preporuke za dalji rad.

Dati rezultati imaju status DRAFT, odnosno podaci su nepotvrđeni, a potvrda je planirana sa predstavnicima postrojenja. Zbog ovih činjenica, relativno visoki nivoi rizika određenih za veći broj postrojenja je više rezultat nedostupnosti podataka i konzervativnosti kvalitativnog pristupa nego što predstavlja realnu situaciju na terenu.



Status of the current document

Draft, after first round of evaluation.



Table of Contents

Contacts 2

Executive Summary............................................... 3

Executive summary (Serbian) ................................. 4

Status of the current document ............................... 5

Table of Contents .................................................. 6

List of Figures ....................................................... 7

List of Tables ........................................................ 8

List of Acronyms.................................................... 9

Introduction.........................................................10

Performed activities ..............................................11

Results ...........................................................15

Conclusions and recommendations..........................27

References ..........................................................28 Annex 1 Example of Qualitative Workbook in Serbian........ 29



List of Figures

Figure 1 Preliminary results of API Qualitative Analysis with 60 units........................................................................3

Figure 2 Web-based tool implementing API 581 Qualitative RBI Workbook (English)........................................... 11

Figure 3 Web-based tool implementing API 581 Qualitative RBI Workbook (Serbian) .......................................... 12

Figure 4 Project web-site Member area.............................. 12 Figure 5 Overall Qualitative Risk Matrix for all three NIS Plants (RNP,

RNS, RGE) ....................................................... 16 Figure 6 NIS Overall Damage matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS,

RGE) ............................................................... 16 Figure 7 NIS Overall Health matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)

...................................................................... 17 Figure 8 NIS Overall Environmental matrix for all three units (RNP,

RNS, RGE) ....................................................... 17 Figure 9 NIS Overall Business Consequences matrix for all three units

(RNP, RNS, RGE) .............................................. 18 Figure 10 NIS Overall Reputation consequences matrix for all three

units (RNP, RNS, RGE)....................................... 18 Figure 11 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNP ........................... 21 Figure 12 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNS........................... 24 Figure 13 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RGE........................... 26



List of Tables

Table 1 Unit Grouping and responsibility matrix .................. 13 Table 2 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for all three NIS

Plants (RNP, RNS, RGE) ..................................... 19 Table 3 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNP ..... 22 Table 4 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNS..... 24 Table 5 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RGE..... 26



List of Acronyms

Acronyms referred in the document are given below. Explanation of these acronyms can be found from the text, where it is referred. Symbols used in the document are explained in the text.

Term Definition

API American Petroleum Institute

CoF Consequence of failure

MTBF Mean Time Between Failure

NFPA National Fire Protection Association, USA

NDT Non-destructive testing/inspection

P&ID Process and Instrumentation Diagram

PoF Probability of failure

QRA Quantitative Risk Analysis

RBI Risk Based Inspection: methods to plan, implement and evaluate inspections using risk based approach



Introduction

In the scope of the “Contract for the extension of the project (Phase II), Risk management and use of risk-based approaches in inspection, maintenance and HSE analyses of NIS a.d. plants”, the Basic Package (see Annex 6 and Annex 7) contains RBI analysis for 200 pieces of equipment on the qualitative level (level 1), 80 equipment on the semi-quantitative level (level 2) and 20 pieces of equipment on the quantitative level (level 3). Compared with the initial equipment count of about 20.000 pieces of equipment (se Annex 7 of the contract), and in order to maximize the benefit for the client, it has been decided to perform benchmarking of units on the qualitative level in order to determine the best candidates for RBI implementation.

To this goal, the methodology described in the API PUBL 581, Risk-Based Inspection Base Resource Document, 2000 Edition, APPENDIX A-WORKBOOK FOR QUALITATIVE RISK-BASED INSPECTION ANALYIS has been applied.

The workbook presents the details of the qualitative RBI analysis procedure,.and is used to determine the Likelihood and Consequence Category for a given unit. Depending on the nature of the chemicals in a unit, the Consequence Category can be determined based on the flammable or toxic hazards for the unit. Within the workbook, flammable consequences are represented by the Damage Consequence Category, since the primary impact of a flammable event (fire or explosion) is to damage equipment. Toxic consequences fall under the Health Consequence Category, since their impact is usually limited to adverse health effects.

The workbook is subdivided as follows:

• Part A: Likelihood Category

• Part B: Damage Consequence Category

• Part C: Health Consequence Category

In cases when the unit has a number of different process fluids, the workbook exercise is applied to the worst case from both Damage Consequence Category and Health Consequence Category, meaning that it is not necessary that in both parts of the analysis same amounts and natures of fluids have been considered.

An example of the offline workbook (in Serbian) is given in Annex 1.



Performed activities

In order to be able to perform the given analysis, the following activities have taken place:

1. Training in RBI methodology and presentation of qualitative methods during the Training RBI from October 30 to November 3 2006

2. First Certification RBI on November 27, 2006

3. Complete implementation of the RBI Qualitative Workbook in a form of Web-based software tool (see Figure 2)

4. Complete translation of the software version to Serbian (see Figure 3)

5. Integration of the software tool in the project web site (Figure 4) http://www.risknis.risk-technologies.com

6. Export facility in the software in order to allow offline completion of the questionnaire (example of offline questionnaire is given in Annex 1)

7. Definition of units to be covered by RBI analysis and their grouping in Unit Groups to be distributed for answering, performed during the kick-off meeting for Feasibility Study on February 23, 2006 and on separate dedicated meetings with RGE on May 22, 2006, RNP on May 24, 2006 and RNS on May 25, 2006 (See for exact grouping of data Table 1)

8. Case studies with the team leaders for RGE (May 22, 2006), RNP (May 24, 2006) and RNS (May 25, 2006), where one unit was completely analyzed for RGE and RNP, and for all expected inputs and clarifications explained.

9. Data collection and extension of the consequences assessment beginning of July 2007

10. Individual data assessment with RNP plant unit representatives, mid-July 2007

Figure 2 Web-based tool implementing API 581 Qualitative RBI Workbook (English)



Figure 3 Web-based tool implementing API 581 Qualitative RBI Workbook (Serbian)

Figure 4 Project web-site Member area



Table 1 Unit Grouping and responsibility matrix

Loc. Group summary

Group description Responsible Delegated

RGE RGE - Procesno Postrojenje

RGE-1 Procesno postrojenje (Process unit) Zdravko Umićević

RNP Energana Energana Zorić

RNP

RNP- S - 300 RNP- S - 500 RNP- S - 550 RNP- S - 570 RNP- S - 650 RNP- S - 1300 RNP- S - 1520 RNP-Velika kompresornica

S-300 Kataliticki reforming sa HDS (Catalytic reforming with HDS) S-500 Obrada gasa (Gas concentration unit) S-550 Meroks TNG (LPG Merox) S-570 Frakcionacija TNG (LPG separation) S-650 Meroks lakog benzina (Straight run naphtha Merox) S-1300 Sistem pare i kondenzata (Steam and condensate) S-1520 Lozivi sistem (Fuel gas) Velika kompresornica (Compressors)

Miloš Nedić

RNP

RNP- S - 2300 RNP- S - 2500 RNP- S - 2550 RNP- S - 2950

S-2300 Katalitički kreking vakuum gasnog ulja (FCC) S-2500 Obrada gasova sa frakcionacijom (Gas treatment with fractionation) S-2550 Meroks TNG (LPG Merox) S-2950 Regeneracija amina (Amine regeneration)

Stevan Košarić

RNP

RNP- S - 200 RNP - S- 900 RNP - S - 1500 RNP - S - 1550

S-200 Visbreaking S-900 Obrada otpadnih kiselih voda (Waste water treatment) S-1500 Vazduh (Air) S-1550 Sistem zapornog ulja (Oil)

Vladimir Jokić

RNP

RNP- S – 2400 RNP- S – 2450 RNP- S - 2600 RNP- S – 2750 RNP- S – 2850 RNP- S - 2900

S-2400: HDS dizela (Distillate Hydrotreating - Diesel) S-2450: Klaus (Sulphur Recovery Unit) S-2600: Alkilacija (Alkylation - ASA) S-2750: Meroks lakog krekovanog benzina (Light Cracked Naphtha MEROX) S-2850 Meroks teskog krekovanog benzina (Heavy Cracked Naphtha MEROX) S-2900 Striper kisele vode

Nićiforović

RNP RNP- S - 3600 Solventna ekstrakcija aromata (Aromatic solvent extraction / LLED) (Sulfolane)

Mirjana Kojić Petit

RNP RNP- S – 0250 RNP- S - 0290

Bitumen & Polimer Bitumen Zoran Todorov

RNP RNP- S - 2200 S-2200: Vakuumska destilacija (Vacuum distillation) Zoran Prole

RNP

RNP- S – 400 RNP- S – 620 RNP- S – 1700 RNP- S – 2700 RNP- S - 1000

S-400: HDS dizela ili mlaznog goriva ili pirolitickog benzina (Diesel or jet fuel or pyrolysis gasoline HDS) S-620: Ekstrakcija aromata (Aromatic solvent extraction) S-1700/2700: Mala i velika baklja (Flares) S-1000: Rekuperacija gasa baklje (Flare gas recovery)

Jovan Jović

RNP

RNP- S – 2100 RNP- S – 2650 RNP- S – 100 RNP- S – 600 RNP- S – 750 RNP- S – 850 RNP- S - 1800

S -2100: Velika atmosferska destilacija S-2650: Meroks lakog benzina S-100: Mala atmosfreska destilacija S-600: Redestilacija S-750: Meroks mlaznog goriva 1 S-850: Meroks mlaznog goriva 4 S-1800: Sistem luzine

D. Ivanović

RNS RNS - U-2300 RNS - U-2400 RNS – U2700

Goriva - Sekundarno (Fuel - Secondary) U-2300: Postrojenje hodrotriting sa pripadajućim rezervoarom T-1 (Hydrotreating and tank T-1) U-2400: Postrojenje platforming sa pripadajućim

Mile Zorić



Loc. Group summary

Group description Responsible Delegated

rezervoarom T-2 (Platforming and tank T-2) U-2700: Pomoćni sistem (Auxiliary system)

RNS RNS - U-2500 RNS – U-2600 RNS - 5800

Goriva - Sekundarno (Fuel - secondary) U-2500 Postrojenje za proizvodnja TNG sa pripadajucim rezervoarima (LPG production and tanks) U-2600 Postrojenje Unibon - Desulfurizacija (Unibon - HDS) U-5800 Postrojenje za obradu sulfidnih voda (Sulphur water treatment)

Mile Zorić Boris Bošković

RNS RNS - U-2100 RNS – U2200

Goriva - Primarno (Fuel - Primary) U-2100: Atmosferska destilacija sa stabilizacijom (Atmospheric distillation with stabilization) U-2200: Vakuum destilacija (Vacuum distillation)

Mile Zorić

RNS RNS - U-100 RNS – U-200

Uljara 1 (Oil section 1) U-100: Atmosferska destilacija (Atmospheric distillation) U-200: Vakuum destilacija (Vacuum distillation)

Goran Ristović

RNS RNS - HF-400 RNS - HFH-400 RNS - KRB-400

Uljara 2 (Oil section 2) HF-400: Hidrofinišing (Hydrofiniching) HFH - 400: Postrojenje za proizvodnju vodonika (Hydrogen production) KRB-400: Sistem baklje sa pripadajućim cevovodima i opremom (Flare with piping and equipment)

Goran Ristović

RNS RNS - U-300 RNS – U-900

Proizvodnja i dorada bitumena (Coking - Bitumen production and treatment) U-300: Proizvodnja bitumena sa sirovinskim rezervoarima (G10 i V1 do V6) (Bitumen production with feed tanks G10 and V1 to V6) U-900: Pomoćni sistemi (sistem toplog ulja) (Auxiliary system - Hot oil)

Mihajlo Delari

RNS RNS – 0300 RNS - 30

Proizvodnja tehnološke pare i distribucija pare i gasa (Steam production and steam and gases distribution) 0300: Pogon proizvodnje tehnološke pare - kotlarnica (Steam production - boiler) 30: Postrojenje pare i kondenzata - reducir stanica (Steam and condensate)

Petar Vidović

RNS RNS - 0200 Pogon pripreme vode (Water treatment) 0200: HPV Petar Vidović

RNS RNS - Novolin Blending ulja sa pripadajućim cevovodima i pumparnicama (Oil blending with piping and pumping)

Dragan Bubnjević

RNS

RNS - Obrada otpadnih voda (Waste water treatment)

Pogon obrade otpadnih voda sa separatorima i peći za spaljivanje mulja (Waste water treating with separation and mud furnace)

Miroljub Cekić



Results

Preliminary results of the analysis are shown in the Risk Matrix (see Figure 5) and in Table 2.

Furthermore, single risk matrices for various consequence categories are shown as follows:

1. Damage consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 6

2. Health consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 7

3. Environmental consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 8

4. Business consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 9

5. Reputation consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 10

The summary results for RNP are shown in the Risk Matrix (see Figure 11) and in Table 3

The summary results for RNS are shown in the Risk Matrix (seeFigure 12) and in Table 4

The summary results for RGE are shown in the Risk Matrix (see Figure 13) and in Table 5.



5

4 5 10, 11

13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 35, 36, 37, 39, 41, 45,

46

12, 52

3 16, 43 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 44, 49, 55, 56, 57

19, 23, 24, 26, 27, 29, 42, 53,

54

8, 18, 30, 31, 32, 47, 50, 51, 58

2 48, 60, 61 28, 34 38, 40, 59

L I K E L I H O O D

1 7, 9, 14 33 15

A B C D E


Figure 5 Overall Qualitative Risk Matrix for all three NIS Plants (RNP, RNS, RGE)

5

4 5, 12, 13

10, 11, 20, 21, 22, 25, 35, 36, 37, 41, 45, 46,

52

17 39

3 0, 31, 32, 42, 43,

49

16, 19, 23, 24, 26, 29, 44, 50,

51, 56

1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 18, 27, 47, 53, 54, 55, 57, 58

2 34, 48 28, 38, 40, 59,

60, 61

L I K E L I H O O D

1 7, 9, 14, 15 33

A B C D E


Figure 6 NIS Overall Damage matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)



5

4 5, 11 10

13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 35, 36, 37, 39, 41, 45,

46, 52

12

3 2, 6, 23, 43, 56,

57 16, 49, 53 1, 3, 4, 27, 44,

54, 55 8, 19, 24, 26, 29,

42 18, 30, 31, 32, 47, 50, 51, 58

2 34, 48, 60, 61 28 38, 40, 59

L I K E L I H O O D

1 7, 9, 14, 15, 33

A B C D E


Figure 7 NIS Overall Health matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)

5

4 5, 12, 13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 36, 37, 39, 41, 46

11, 45 10 35 52

3

2, 6, 16, 18, 19, 24, 26, 27, 29, 30, 31, 32, 43,

44, 49

4, 23, 42 1, 3, 50, 55, 56,

57 51, 53, 54, 58 8, 47

2 28, 34, 38, 40,

48, 61 59, 60

L I K E L I H O O D

1 7, 9, 14, 33 15

A B C D E


Figure 8 NIS Overall Environmental matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)



5

4 12, 13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 37,

39, 41 5

10, 11, 35, 36, 45, 46, 52

3 2, 3, 4, 16, 19, 24, 26, 29, 30,

31, 32, 49

6, 42, 43, 44, 47, 56, 57

1, 8, 27, 50, 51, 53, 54, 55, 58 18, 23

2 48, 59 60, 61 28, 34 38, 40

L I K E L I H O O D

1 7, 9, 14 15, 33

A B C D E


Figure 9 NIS Overall Business Consequences matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)

5

4 12, 13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 37,

39

5, 10, 11, 35, 36, 41, 45, 46, 52

3 2, 3, 4, 16, 19, 24, 26, 29, 30,

31, 32

6, 42, 43, 44, 47, 50, 51, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58

1, 8, 18, 23, 49 27

2 38, 40 28, 48, 60, 61 34, 59

L I K E L I H O O D

1 7, 9, 14 33 15

A B C D E


Figure 10 NIS Overall Reputation consequences matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)



Table 2 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for all three NIS Plants (RNP, RNS, RGE)

ID Unit name LoF Cat.

Damage CoF Cat.

Health CoF Cat.

Env. CoF

Business COF

Reputation Cons.

Overall CoF

Risk Rank

1 RGE -RGE-1 Procesno postrojenje

3 C C C C C C Medium

2 RNP -S-100 3 C A A A A C Medium

3 RNP -S-1800 3 C C C A A C Medium

4 RNP -S-2100 3 C C B A A C Medium

5 RNP -S- 600 4 A B A B B B Medium

6 RNP -S- 750 3 C A A B B C Medium

7 RNP -S- 850 1 A A A A A A Low

8 RNP -S-2650 3 C D E C C E Very High

9 RNP -RNP - Energana 1 A A A A A A Low

10 RNP -S-0250 4 B C C C B C High

11 RNP -S-0290 4 B B B C B C High

12 RNP -S-200 4 A E A A A E Very High

13 RNP -S-900 4 A D A A A D High

14 RNP -S-1500 1 A A A A A A Low

15 RNP -S-1550 1 A A B B C C Medium

16 RNP -S-2200 3 B B A A A B Low

17 RNP -S-2300 4 C D A A A D High

18 RNP -S-2500 3 C E A D C E Very High

19 RNP -S-2550 3 B D A A A D High




23 RNP -S-2600 3 B A B D C D High






Damage CoF Cat.

Health CoF Cat.

Env. CoF

Business COF

Reputation Cons.

Overall CoF

Risk Rank


27 RNP -S- 300 3 C C A C D D High

28 RNP -S- 500 2 B B A C B C Medium





33 RNP -S- 1520 1 B A A B B B Low

34 RNP -Velika kompresornica 2 A A A C C C Medium

35 RNP -S-3600 4 B D D C B D High

36 RNP -S-400 4 B D A C B D High


38 RNP -S-1700 2 B E A D A E High

39 RNP -S-1000 4 D D A A A D High


41 RNS -0200 4 B D A A B D High

42 RNS -0300 mazut 3 A D B B B D High

43 RNS -30 3 A - A B B B Low

44 RNS -0300 prirodni gas 3 B C A B B C Medium

45 RNS -HF-400 4 B D B C B D High

46 RNS -HFH-400 4 B D A C B D High

47 RNS -KRB-400 3 C E E B B E Very High

48 RNS -Blending ulja sa pripadajućim cevovodima i pumparnicama

2 A A A A B B Low

49 RNS -Pogon obrade otpadnih voda sa separatorima i peći za spaljivanje mulja

3 A B A A C C Medium

50 RNS -U-100 3 B E C C B E Very High




Damage CoF Cat.

Health CoF Cat.

Env. CoF

Business COF

Reputation Cons.

Overall CoF

Risk Rank

51 RNS -U-200 3 B E D C B E Very High

52 RNS -U-2100 4 B D E C B E Very High

53 RNS -U-2200 3 C B D C B D High

54 RNS -U-2300 3 C C D C B D High

55 RNS -U-2400 3 C C C C B C Medium

56 RNS -U-2700 3 B A C B B C Medium

57 RNS -U-2500 3 C A C B B C Medium

58 RNS -U-2600 3 C E D C B E Very High

59 RNS -U-5800 2 B E B A C E High

60 RNS -U-300 2 B A B B B B Low

61 RNS -U-900 2 B A A B B B Low

5

4 4 9, 10 12, 16, 19, 20, 21, 24, 34, 35,

36, 38 11

3 15 1, 2, 3, 5 18, 22, 23, 25,

26, 28 7, 17, 29, 30, 31

2 27, 33 37, 39

L I K E L I H O O D

1 6, 8, 13 32 14

A B C D E


Figure 11 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNP



Table 3 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNP


Damage CoF Cat.

Health CoF Cat.

Env. CoF

Business COF

Reputation Cons.

Overall CoF

Risk Rank

1 RNP -S-100 3 C A A A A C Medium

2 RNP -S-1800 3 C C C A A C Medium

3 RNP -S-2100 3 C C B A A C Medium

4 RNP -S- 600 4 A B A B B B Medium

5 RNP -S- 750 3 C A A B B C Medium

6 RNP -S- 850 1 A A A A A A Low

7 RNP -S-2650 3 C D E C C E Very High

8 RNP -RNP - Energana

1 A A A A A A Low

9 RNP -S-0250 4 B C C C B C High

10 RNP -S-0290 4 B B B C B C High


12 RNP -S-900 4 A D A A A D High

13 RNP -S-1500 1 A A A A A A Low

14 RNP -S-1550 1 A A B B C C Medium

15 RNP -S-2200 3 B B A A A B Low

16 RNP -S-2300 4 C D A A A D High

17 RNP -S-2500 3 C E A D C E Very High





22 RNP -S-2600 3 B A B D C D High







Damage CoF Cat.

Health CoF Cat.

Env. CoF

Business COF

Reputation Cons.

Overall CoF

Risk Rank

26 RNP -S- 300 3 C C A C D D High

27 RNP -S- 500 2 B B A C B C Medium





32 RNP -S- 1520 1 B A A B B B Low

33 RNP -Velika kompresornica

2 A A A C C C Medium

34 RNP -S-3600 4 B D D C B D High

35 RNP -S-400 4 B D A C B D High



38 RNP -S-1000 4 D D A A A D High




5

4 1, 5, 6 11

3 3 4, 9, 14, 15, 16 2, 12, 13 7, 10, 17, 21

2 8, 19, 20 18

L I K E L I H O O D

1

A B C D E


Figure 12 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNS

Table 4 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNS


Damage CoF Cat.

Health CoF Cat.

Env. CoF

Business COF

Reputation Cons.

Overall CoF

Risk Rank

1 RNS -0200 4 B D A A B D High

2 RNS -0300 mazut 3 A D B B B D High

3 RNS -30 3 A - A B B B Low

4 RNS -0300 prirodni gas 3 B C A B B C Medium

5 RNS -HF-400 4 B D B C B D High

6 RNS -HFH-400 4 B D A C B D High

7 RNS -KRB-400 3 C E E B B E Very High

8 RNS -Blending ulja sa pripadajućim cevovodima i pumparnicama

2 A A A A B B Low

9 RNS -Pogon obrade otpadnih voda sa separatorima i peći za spaljivanje mulja

3 A B A A C C Medium




Damage CoF Cat.

Health CoF Cat.

Env. CoF

Business COF

Reputation Cons.

Overall CoF

Risk Rank

10 RNS -U-100 3 B E C C B E Very High

11 RNS -U-2100 4 B D E C B E Very High

12 RNS -U-2200 3 C B D C B D High

13 RNS -U-2300 3 C C D C B D High

14 RNS -U-2400 3 C C C C B C Medium

15 RNS -U-2700 3 B A C B B C Medium

16 RNS -U-2500 3 C A C B B C Medium

17 RNS -U-2600 3 C E D C B E Very High

18 RNS -U-5800 2 B E B A C E High

19 RNS -U-300 2 B A B B B B Low

20 RNS -U-900 2 B A A B B B Low

21 RNS -U-200 3 B E D C B E Very High



5

4

3 1

2

L I K E L I H O O D

1

A B C D E


Figure 13 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RGE

Table 5 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RGE


Damage CoF Cat.

Health CoF Cat.

Env. CoF

Business COF

Reputation Cons.

Overall CoF

Risk Rank

1 RGE-1 Procesno postrojenje

3 C C C C C C Medium



Conclusions and recommendations

Presented results so far have DRAFT status, and show considerable number of units being in the high or critical risk zones. The results are still subject to further verification.

Furthermore, it has been noted that reluctance by assessing the business or reputation consequences has given unrealistic results, especially in RNP.

Also, relatively low damage matrix picture should be revised.

It is to be expected that after the complete data is provided for all 60 units, the situation will change.



References

[1] Contract No: 45/609 of September 8, 2006

[2] API PUBL 581, Risk-Based Inspection Base Resource Document, 2000 Edition

[3] CEN/WS 24 RIMAP draft CWA August 2007



Annex 1 Example of Qualitative Workbook in Serbian

Documents

Collaboration with Petroleum Industry of Serbia S-2300 Katalitički kreking vakuum gasnog ulja (FCC) S-2500 Obrada gasova sa frakcionacijom (Gas treatment with fractionation) S-2550