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Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

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Page 1: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Cold Front and MountainsA Doppler Radar View

March 13- 15, 2009 Case

Mark Pilon

Page 2: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon
Page 3: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Mar. 15, VVO 11.0 Doppler

0430 UTC0400 UTC0330 UTC

Surface winds increase sharply between 04 and 05 UTC at Callaghan VOD. Note at this time upper level winds are actually decreasing in strength.However winds are increasing in the low levels – this is evident near the origin of the

radar where the beam is close to the ground. See next slide for low angle beam.

Page 4: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Mountain Weather Scale ~90 min

Similar to Summer Convective Scale!

Page 5: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Mar. 15 VVO 2.0 Doppler

This animation shows the low level winds increasing from about 6 m/s (darker blues) to over 12 m/s (purples) in the sea to sky valley

Page 6: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Callaghan Winds (20090315)

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VOD Wind Dir VOW Wind Dir VOY Wind Dir

Threshold for Biathlon

Thresholds for Jump

Page 7: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

WSK-Whistler profiles

Yellow lines mark purple vs blue and red vs pink contours.Note that:1. winds are towards the radar from both 187 and 73 degrees in low levels.2. Layering of winds is evident indicating fairly stable stratification

Page 8: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Red arrow marks approach of a front moving up the valley

Area of heavier precipitation associated with front

Page 9: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Stronger winds are beginning to descend in the Callaghan to Squamish segment ahead of frontal feature.

Page 10: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Reaches Radar Approx 0410 UTC. Main area of precipitation gets “lost” as it goes over the radar

Page 11: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

24 km in 30 mins ~ 50 km/h

Page 12: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Total lead time – assuming forecaster notices feature right away: ~ 20 mins?

At this time layer appears to be well mixed with fairly uniform winds – vertical stratification has disappeared.

Page 13: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon
Page 14: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon
Page 15: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Squamish-Whistler

Page 16: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Callaghan Winds (20090315)

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Callaghan OAN WindsFeature reaches Whistler around 0430. No noticeable effect on the winds

Page 17: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Whistler Alpine Wind Speed (20090315)

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Whistler Alpine stations show effects after 0500 UTC with more variability in speed and direction. In some of the data there seems to be an abrupt discontinuity in the trends shortly after 0500 UTC.

Page 18: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Whistler Alpine Wind Gusts (20090315)

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Page 19: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Whistler Alpine Wind Direction (20090315)

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Page 20: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

• Why the hour difference between Callaghan and Whistler winds?

• Passage of front marked beginning of a series of changes

• Change in Whistler winds may have been affected by other factors associated with front

• Front is not quite a sharp discontinuity in weather

• Took over an hour for all of these changes to occur.

• This is evident from the Doppler seen below

Page 21: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

1. Changes in wind field take 40 mins to stabilize from 0400 UTC to 0440 UTC

2. lessening of precipitation coverage takes over one hour

Page 22: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Callaghan Valley

Page 23: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Time front reached VVO radar (0410)

Page 24: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

10 mins later – stronger winds have surfaced

Page 25: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Callaghan Winds (20090315)

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VOD Wind Speed VOW Wind Speed VOY Wind Speed

VOD Wind Dir VOW Wind Dir VOY Wind Dir

Threshold for Biathlon

Thresholds for Jump

Page 26: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

March 20, 2009 Case

Page 27: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Is there an enhanced flow or LLJ up the Valley?

One has to be careful in interpreting these RHIs – a reduction in wind “strength” may actually be simply a shift in wind direction!

Page 28: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon
Page 29: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

These high ridges parallel the wind and seem to block it and give a “V” notch pattern

Page 30: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon
Page 31: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

• Does the enhanced flow / jet impact winds / precipitation?

• Was the wind event at the Callaghan due to a descending jet or enhanced flow?

• In this case the airmass was not well mixed after the onset of winds.

• Some of the strong wind events may be due to descending jets rather than mixing down of stronger winds.

Page 32: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Peak Wind & Hrly Pcpn

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3/20/2009 3/21/2009

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Light winds, smooth flow, max winds above 1 km

Winds pick up at VOD, smooth flow, appearance of LLJ / lowering of winds aloft.

Winds stregthen at VOD, smooth flow, LLJ below 1 km

Winds Diminish at VOD, smooth flow. LLJ very weak or moved away. Max winds above 2 km

Strongest winds at VOD, note the turbulent flow. No vertical layering of winds evident. Max winds mixed down to surface. Note on the Whistler cross section at this time a couple of slides down that there must still be a stable layer of air trapped in the valley as winds remain stratified.

Page 33: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Peak Wind & Hrly Pcpn

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There is a big change in the appearance of the wind field after 22/23 UTC in the wake of the cold front – it is much more turbulent

Page 34: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Whistler Winds

Page 35: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

• Passage of front not clear from Doppler winds

• Perhaps winds were so strong signal was lost.

• Passage of front more evident in reflectivity.

• Assumed to pass WSK 2300 and Whistler 2330 UTC.

Page 36: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

• In next set of slides effect of front is visible by reduction in intensity of precipitation.

Page 37: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon
Page 38: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Circle marks possible location of front

Page 39: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Circle marks possible location of front

Page 40: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Circle marks possible location of front

Page 41: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

Circle marks possible location of front

Page 42: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

?

Page 43: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon
Page 44: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

March 17, 2009

Page 45: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

March 17/06z – VOY 04G08 m/sMarch 17/07z – VOY 05G10 m/s

Beiges here not evident on next slide. Jet is below 1 km

Page 46: Cold Front and Mountains A Doppler Radar View March 13- 15, 2009 Case Mark Pilon

March 17/06z – VOY 04G08 m/sMarch 17/07z – VOY 05G10 m/s

Note the presence of the v notch and the jet south of the jump. Though the winds appear lighter at the jump they are not. The cross section in the previous slide shows that the jet is tilting towards the bottom left as one goes lower in elevation.