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Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, Marketing, Transportation and Business Development May 15, 2013 Boston, MA

Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

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Page 1: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference

Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, Marketing, Transportation and Business Development May 15, 2013 Boston, MA

Page 2: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Cautionary Statement

2

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created thereby. Words and phrases such as “is anticipated,” “is estimated,” “is expected,” “is planned,” “is scheduled,” “is targeted,” “believes,” “intends,” “objectives,” “projects,” “strategies” and similar expressions are used to identify such forward-looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that a statement is not forward-looking. Forward-looking statements relating to Phillips 66’s operations (including joint venture operations) are based on management’s expectations, estimates and projections about the company, its interests and the energy industry in general on the date this presentation was prepared. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements include fluctuations in crude oil, NGL, and natural gas prices, and refining and petrochemical margins; unexpected changes in costs for constructing, modifying or operating our facilities; unexpected difficulties in manufacturing, refining or transporting our products; lack of, or disruptions in, adequate and reliable transportation for our crude oil, natural gas, NGL, and refined products; potential liability from litigation or for remedial actions, including removal and reclamation obligations under environmental regulations; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting Phillips 66’s businesses generally as set forth in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Phillips 66 is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

A registration statement relating to the securities of Phillips 66 Partners LP has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission but has not become effective. These securities may not be sold nor may offers to buy be accepted prior to the time the registration statement becomes effective. This presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy the securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to the registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.

Page 3: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Operating excellence

Growth

Returns

Distributions

High-performing organization

Phillips 66 Strategy

3

Providing energy, improving lives

Page 4: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Midstream: Build on existing base

Grow Transportation and NGL Operations

Pursue organic growth through DCP

Filed S-1 for PSXP

Chemicals: Grow capacity and earnings

Pursue organic growth through CPChem

Execute mega-projects

Marketing & Specialties: Selective growth

Grow Lubricants and European Marketing

Ensure refinery pull-through

Refining: Enhance returns

Process advantaged crudes

Increase export capability

Optimize portfolio

Segment Strategy

4 Restricted Confidential – Business Information

Page 5: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2010 2011 2012 2013Budget

Midstream - Large Platform for Growth

5

Capital Program ($B)

NGL Operations

DCP Midstream

Transportation

NGL Operations

Transportation

DCP Midstream

Fractionator

Storage

Gas Plant

Pipeline

See appendix for footnotes.

Page 6: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Chemicals - Growth Projects

6

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

2010 2011 2012 2013E

Capital Program ($B)

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017+

USGC Petrochemicals 1,500 kMTA

NAO Expansion ~130 kMTA

SPCo Petrochemicals (35% ownership) 1,200 kMTA

Sweeny Frac Expansion 22 MBD

1-Hexene 250 kMTA

See appendix for footnotes.

Page 7: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Refining - Enhancing Returns

7

■ Extensive U.S. refining portfolio

■ Infrastructure and commercial capabilities

■ Shifting to 100% advantaged crude

U.S. Refining Crudes (MBD)

Current 3+ Years

LLS/ANS

Brent

Heavy

Canadian

WTI/WTS

See appendix for footnotes.

Page 8: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

■ Peer-leading distillate yield

East

Gulf

West

320

400

Current 3+ Years

Refining - Enhancing Returns

8

Export Capacity (MBD)

■ Capability to export 30% of coastal production

■ Product placement to maximize margins

39.5% 39.9% 40.2%

40.8%

35.8%

37.1% 37.4%

2010 2011 2012 2013E

Distillate Yield (Percentage of processed inputs)

Industry

See appendix for footnotes.

Page 9: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Marketing & Specialties

9

>20% 10 - 20% 5 - 10%

Branded Market Share

0.1 - 5% 0%

0.0

0.1

0.2

2010 2011 2012 2013E

Capital Program ($B)

Lubricants PSPI - Flow Improvers Power Generation Refinery Locations

Manufacturing Locations:

See appendix for footnotes.

Page 10: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Disciplined capital allocation

Growing shareholder distributions

Enhanced financial flexibility

0.5

1.8

3.6

5.4

2%

7%

14%

22%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Midstream

Chemicals

Marketing & Specialties

Refining

Corporate

ROCE

Financial Strategy

10

Adjusted Earnings ($MM)

Page 11: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Capital Allocation

11

Sustaining capital

Increasing distributions

Growth capital

Financial flexibility

6.0

1.0

0.8

0.8

1.0

Cash fromOperations

Uses

Share Repurchases

Debt Repayment

Growth Capital

Dividends

Sustaining Capital

2013E Sources and Uses of Cash ($B)

2013E cash from operations based on First Call consensus 5/3/2013. See appendix for additional footnotes.

Page 12: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

A Promising Future

12

Operating excellence

Growth

Returns

Distributions

High-performing organization

Page 13: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Appendix

Institutional Investors Contact: Rosy C. Zuklic [email protected] Manager, Investor Relations 832-765-2297

Page 14: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Footnotes Slide 5

DCP Midstream capital program includes equity share of DCP Midstream capital.

2012 Transportation includes acquisition costs for one-third interest of Sand Hills and Southern Hills Pipelines totaling approx $0.5 B. This amount was also included in DCP Midstream's capital spending, primarily in 2012

Slide 6

Project capacities are gross capacity.

SPCo Petrochemicals and USGC Petrochemicals projects include ethylene capacity only. Capacity shown does not include derivatives production.

Chemicals capital program denotes equity share of CPChem capital.

Slide 7

U.S. advantaged crude percentages are on an equity basis. Light and medium Canadian crude are in the WTI/WTS category.

Slide 8

Industry yield data from EIA. Distillate yield calculations exclude Trainer and Wilhelmshaven refineries.

Slide 9

Marketing & Specialties capital program excludes $23 MM of capital expenditures related to Downstream Technology and includes non-cash capital leases.

Slide 11

2013E cash from operations based on First Call consensus 5/3/2013.

Dividends based on current dividend of $1.25/share.

14

Page 15: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

15 References to earnings refer to net income attributable to Phillips 66.

Non-GAAP Reconciliations

Reconciliation of Earnings to Adjusted Earnings

Millions of Dollars

1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 2012 2011 2010 2009

Consolidated

Earnings (loss) 1,407$ 636$ 708$ 4,124$ 4,775$ 735$ 476$

Adjustments:

Net (gain) loss on asset sales - - - (106) (1,545) (116) (32)

Gain on share issuance by equity affiliate (27) - - - - - (88)

Impairments - 42 580 979 318 1,118 116

Pending claims and settlements (16) 19 (23) 34 - (35) 25

Canceled projects - - - - 28 29 -

Severance accruals - - - - 15 28 -

Premium on early debt retirement - - - 89 - - -

Repositioning costs - - 12 55 - - -

Repositioning tax impacts - 67 - 177 - - -

Exit of business line 34 - - - - - -

Tax law impacts (17) - - - - - -

Hurricane-related costs - - 35 35 - - -

Adjusted earnings 1,381$ 764$ 1,312$ 5,387$ 3,591$ 1,759$ 497$

Page 16: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

16 References to earnings refer to net income attributable to Phillips 66.

Non-GAAP Reconciliations

Reconciliation of Earnings to Adjusted Earnings

Millions of Dollars

1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 2012 2011 2010 2009

Midstream

Earnings (loss) 110$ 108$ 92$ 53$ 2,149$ 386$ 386$

Adjustments:

Net (gain) loss on asset sales - - - - (1,618) - (19)

Impairments - - - 330 4 - 79

Gain on share issuance by equity affiliate (27) - - - - - (88)

Pending claims and settlements - - (23) (23) - - -

Hurricane-related costs - - 2 2 - - -

Adjusted earnings 83$ 108$ 71$ 362$ 535$ 386$ 358$

Chemicals

Earnings (loss) 282$ 217$ 246$ 823$ 716$ 486$ 228$

Adjustments:

Impairments - - - 27 - - -

Premium on early debt retirement - - - 89 - - -

Repositioning tax impacts - - - 41 - - -

Adjusted earnings 282$ 217$ 246$ 980$ 716$ 486$ 228$

Page 17: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

17

Non-GAAP Reconciliations

References to earnings refer to net income attributable to Phillips 66.

Reconciliation of Earnings to Adjusted Earnings

Millions of Dollars

1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 2012 2011 2010 2009

Refining

Earnings (loss) 922$ 393$ 363$ 3,217$ 1,529$ (545)$ (536)$

Adjustments:

Net (gain) loss on asset sales - - - (104) 96 - -

Impairments - 42 564 606 314 1,110 -

Pending claims and settlements - 19 - 19 - - 25

Canceled projects - - - - 28 29 -

Severance accruals - - - - 15 28 -

Repositioning tax impacts - - - 73 - - -

Tax law impacts (13) - - - - - -

Hurricane-related costs - - 33 33 - - -

Adjusted earnings 909$ 454$ 960$ 3,844$ 1,982$ 622$ (511)$

Marketing and Specialties

Earnings (loss) 188$ (12)$ 127$ 465$ 573$ 567$ 538$

Adjustments:

Net (gain) loss on asset sales - - - (2) (23) (116) (13)

Impairments - - - - - 8 37

Pending claims and settlements (16) - - 38 - (35) -

Repositioning tax impacts - 67 - 63 - - -

Exit of business line 34 - - - - - -

Tax law impacts (4) - - - - - -

Adjusted earnings 202$ 55$ 127$ 564$ 550$ 424$ 562$

Corporate and Other

Earnings (loss) (95)$ (70)$ (120)$ (434)$ (192)$ (159)$ (140)$

Adjustments:

Impairments - - 16 16 - - -

Repositioning costs - - 12 55 - - -

Adjusted earnings (95)$ (70)$ (92)$ (363)$ (192)$ (159)$ (140)$

Page 18: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Non-GAAP Reconciliations 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD

Phillips 66 - ROCE

Numerator ($MM)

Net Income 479$ 740$ 4,780$ 4,131$ 1,410$

After-tax interest expense 1 1 11 160 46

GAAP ROCE earnings 480 741 4,791 4,291 1,456

Special Items 21 1,024 (1,184) 1,263 (26)

Adjusted ROCE earnings 501$ 1,765$ 3,607$ 5,554$ 1,430$

Denominator ($MM)

GAAP average capital employed* 26,417$ 26,906$ 25,064$ 25,732$ 28,065$

Annualized Adjusted ROCE 2% 7% 14% 22% 20%

Annualized GAAP ROCE 2% 3% 19% 17% 21%

2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD

Midstream - ROCE

Numerator ($MM)

Net Income 391$ 2,154$ 60$ 113$

After-tax interest expense - - - -

GAAP ROCE earnings 391 2,154 60 113

Special Items - (1,614) 309 (27)

Adjusted ROCE earnings 391$ 540$ 369$ 86$

Denominator ($MM)

GAAP average capital employed* 3,289$ 3,163$ 3,030$ 3,106$

Annualized Adjusted ROCE 12% 17% 12% 11%

Annualized GAAP ROCE 12% 68% 2% 15%

2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD

Chemicals - ROCE

Numerator ($MM)

Net Income 486$ 716$ 823$ 282$

After-tax interest expense - - - -

GAAP ROCE earnings 486 716 823 282

Special Items - - 157 -

Adjusted ROCE earnings 486$ 716$ 980$ 282$

Denominator ($MM)

GAAP average capital employed* 2,275$ 2,563$ 3,142$ 3,620$

Annualized Adjusted ROCE 21% 28% 31% 31%

Annualized GAAP ROCE 21% 28% 26% 31%

* Total equity plus total debt 18

Page 19: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference · 2017. 6. 23. · Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference Tim Taylor Executive Vice President, Commercial, ... Infrastructure and

Non-GAAP Reconciliations

19 * Total equity plus total debt

2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD

Refining - ROCE

Numerator ($MM)

Net Income (545)$ 1,529$ 3,217$ 922$

After-tax interest expense - - - -

GAAP ROCE earnings (545) 1,529 3,217 922

Special Items 1,167 453 627 (13)

Adjusted ROCE earnings 622$ 1,982$ 3,844$ 909$

Denominator ($MM)

GAAP average capital employed* 16,829$ 15,160$ 14,331$ 14,337$

Annualized Adjusted ROCE 4% 13% 27% 25%

Annualized GAAP ROCE -3% 10% 22% 26%

2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD

Marketing & Specialties - ROCE

Numerator ($MM)

Net Income 567$ 573$ 465$ 188$

After-tax interest expense - - - -

GAAP ROCE earnings 567 573 465 188

Special Items (143) (23) 99 14

Adjusted ROCE earnings 424$ 550$ 564$ 202$

Denominator ($MM)

GAAP average capital employed* 3,421$ 3,271$ 3,411$ 3,664$

Annualized Adjusted ROCE 12% 17% 17% 22%

Annualized GAAP ROCE 17% 18% 14% 21%