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Derechos in Central Europe Christoph Gatzen 1 1 European Storm Forecast Experiment, [email protected]

Christoph Gatzen - Derechos in Central Europe

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Page 1: Christoph Gatzen - Derechos in Central Europe

Derechos in Central Europe

Christoph Gatzen1

1European Storm Forecast Experiment, [email protected]

Page 2: Christoph Gatzen - Derechos in Central Europe

2010/07/12 1500 UTC

Gust 25+m/s Tor Hail 2+ cm

Page 3: Christoph Gatzen - Derechos in Central Europe

Helgoland, 2010/07/12 1330 UTC

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Derecho-definition Major axis length: 400 km Fujita, T. T., and R. W. Wakimoto, 1981

Fig. SPC web site (Johns, Evans, and Corfidi)

Page 5: Christoph Gatzen - Derechos in Central Europe

Derecho climatology

Fig. SPC web site (Johns, Evans, and Corfidi)

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Gatzen, C., 2004: A Derecho in Europe: Berlin, 10 July 2002. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 639–645

Punkka, A.-J., J. Teittinen, R. H. Johns, 2006: Synoptic and Mesoscale Analysis of a High-Latitude Derecho–Severe Thunderstorm Outbreak in Finland on 5 July 2002. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 752–763

López , J. M., 2007: A Mediterranean derecho: Catalonia (Spain), 17th August 2003. Atmos. Res., 83, 2-4, 272-283

Gatzen, C., T. Púčik,  D.  Ryva,  2011: Two cold-season derechoes in Europe. Atmos. Res., 100, 4, 740-748

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Germany, 1997-2011: 10 new Derechoes, Average path 730 km Possibly 7 further events 106 Fatal, 200 INJ

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Derecho hazards

• Outdoor activities • Traffic • Electrical outages • Large tree blow downs

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Radar view

Reflectivity

Relative Velocity

Fig. Przybylinski, 2000

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Conceptual model

Fig. Mahoney, Lackman, and Parker, 2009

Fig. Fujita, 1978

Cold pool

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Increasing cold pool speed

Fig. Mahoney, Lackman, and Parker, 2009

PGA: Pressure gradient acceleration VAu’,  VAv’:  Vertical  advection  of  perturbation  wind VAū:  Vertical  advection  of  environmental  flow

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Idealized model studies

Fig. Weisman 1993

Rotunno, Klemp, Weisman, 1988 (RKW theory): Balance of cold pool and shear circulations

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RKW and storm environments

Fig. Evans and Doswell, 2001

• RKW is not confirmed by proximity soundings

Page 14: Christoph Gatzen - Derechos in Central Europe

Observational studies Derecho environments are characterized by

• High low-level moisture (almost always) Johns and Hirt, 1987 Johns, Howard, and Maddox, 1990 Burke and Schultz, 2004 Coniglio, Stensrud, and Richman, 2004

• Steep lapse rates (often) Johns and Hirt, 1987 Johns, Howard, and Maddox, 1990 Cohen, Coniglio, S. F. Corfidi, and S. J. Corfidi, 2007

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Observational studies Derecho environments are characterized by

• 250 hPa divergence (almost always) Johns and Hirt, 1987 Johns, Howard, and Maddox, 1990 Coniglio, Stensrud, and Richman, 2004

• Strongly-forced at 500 hPa (often) Evans and Doswell, 2001 Johns, Howard, and Maddox, 1990 Burke and Schultz, 2004

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Observational studies Derecho environments are characterized by

• Strong low-level WAA (always) Johns and Hirt, 1987 Johns, Howard, and Maddox, 1990 Burke and Schultz, 2004 Coniglio, Stensrud, and Richman, 2004

• A strong low-level jet (almost always) Johns and Hirt, 1987 Johns, Howard, and Maddox, 1990

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Example: 500 hPa flow and derecho path

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Example: 500 hPa flow and derecho path