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China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

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Page 1: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition

Kelvyn Young

10 April 2008

Page 2: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 2

Private sector participation is gaining popularity in healthcare

Healthcare systems of 191 WHO members

0%

50%

100%

0% 50% 100%

Government involvement, % ->

Insu

ranc

e c

om

ponen

t, %

->

Note: The original data is taken from WHO World Health Statistics 2007. Government involvement is measured as “general government expenditure”, which include social health insurance, as % of total health expenditure (THE). Insurance component is measured by the % of health spending financed by social health insurance and private prepaid plans. When reporting the data to WHO, there may be inconsistencies in definitions among 191 member countries.

Source: Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting

Tax financingOut-of-pocket

Social insurancePrivate insurance

Page 3: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 3

Insurability / Infrastructure

Insurer’s involvement

Life only

Critical

illness

Hospital

cash

Full reimbur

se-ment

Managed care

Administration Underwriting, product

devtActive claims management

Risk not insurable No opportunity

Stay away

Regulatory burden, little

incentive

Increasingly mature market

and sophisticated

buyers

Integrated state and private

offering

Source: Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting; Swiss Re L&H

Evolution of medical insurance business

USA market

Asia market

Page 4: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 4

World top 10 health underwriters

World top health underwriters by net premiums earned

1

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

UnitedHealth Group

Wellpoint Inc.

Kaiser Foundation*

Humana Inc.

Aetna Inc.*

Cigna Corp.*

HCSC Group

Independence Blue Cross

Health Net Inc.

Highmark Inc.

Axa*

Ergo

BUPA

Allianz*

USD bn

*Kaiser data refers to revenue, not NPE, Cigna: includes disability & life business, Aetna: includes group life, disability & LTC, AXA: includes all health lines, including disability, Allianz: German health business only.

Source: Company financial statements, Conning, Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting

Top

10

US

com

pan

ies

Top

n

on

US

com

pan

ies

Page 5: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 5

Overview:Healthcare in China

Healthcare expenditure: 4.7% of China’s GDP (1)

2004: more than RMB 759 billion (USD95 billion)

2007: estimated to be more than RMB 1,000 billion (USD 137 billion) (2)

52% directly paid by households

6% of which by commercial health insurance

A national priority

Social health insurance now a reality, but offers basic coverage:

– 1998: basic medical insurance system for urban employees (180 m people covered end 2007)

– 2003: rural cooperative medical system for rural residents (730 million people covered end 2007)

– 2010(3) : target for universal coverage

Significant work on improving hospital administration and delivery

1. WHO 2005 2. Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting 3 . Premier Wen Jiabao

Page 6: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 6

Medical insurance in China: large-scale potential

Growing demand and affordability 70% of affluent and upper mass customers (estimated at 41 million

households by 2010) would consider commercial medical insurance (1)

15% of the 70% would consider expensive next-generation products priced at RMB 7,400 (USD 1,000) p.a.

Consumers want better services

As affluence grows, customers seek better services, such as:

– Shorter waiting time

– Cashless services

– Better pre- and post-admission follow-ups, etc

Opportunities for introduction of new generation products

Market potential for commercial health insurance (including critical illness)

RMB 489 billion (USD 67 billion) in annual premiums (2)

1. Shanghai and Qingdao survey 2006 2. Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting

Page 7: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 7

Just how large is China’s potential?

Source: McKinsey, Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting

Health insurance premium incomeUSD Bn, excluding Critical Illness

2.6

2.21.9

1.01.0

0.50.30.3

6.3

0

1

2

3

5

6

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2015

By 2015, China GDP will reach USD8.4 trillion, (excluding exchange rate effect). Of the 5% spent on health, if 1.5% is funded via private medical insurance (excluding critical illness), the market will still reach USD6.3bn (CAGR: 12%)

Between 2007 and 2015, affluent population will increase their demand for supplement scheme on top of social health insurance which will keep expanding. Actual figures in-between vary year by year.

4

(RMB19bn)

(RMB46bn)

Page 8: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 8Slide 8

Health business volume

1. Total health insurance – includes large proportion of long term or short term CI business, accident medex etc,

2. A few companies sell Long term care and Income protection, but premium volume is very small

3. Volume increased from 2004 to 2006, small growth during year 2007.

4. Loss ratio is low for CI and individual PMI which mainly includes hospital cash and hospital reimbursement.

5. Group medical business experience is worse then individual

Unit Million

Year 2007 2006 2005 2004

Volume 38,416.61 37,690.27 31,230.19 25,987.71

Total claim paid 11,686.46 12,509.92 10,791.60 8,910.32

Loss ratio 30% 33% 35% 34%

source: CIRC yearly published data

Market share for the whole life and health business

Main player 2007 2006 2005 2004

China life 40% 45% 44% 47%

Ping An 16% 17% 16% 17%

CPIC 10% 9% 10% 11%

New china life 7% 7% 6% 6%

Taikang 7% 5% 5% 6%

Total 79% 83% 81% 86%

Page 9: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 9Slide 9

Contributions & funds for Basic medical insurance system

Decision to establish a basic medical insurance system for urban enterprise employee state council 1998

Guidance on participating basic medical insurance for urban flexible work force Ministry of Social Labour and Security[2003] no.10

Contribution Fund

Additional fund

Basic Fund

individual account

Employer

Employee

Page 10: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 10Slide 10

Cover within the different funds

Basic Fund

1. Inpatient but limits

2. Outpatient treatment of cancer (radiotherapy, chemotherapy), renal dialysis

3. Emergency room fees leading to an inpatient claim

Additional Fund

1. Outpatient above a deductible

2. Inpatient above the basic funds benefits

Individual Account

1. Covers the gaps of the basic and additional funds

Page 11: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 11Slide 11

Summary of outpatient and inpatient cover

Expenses above the deductible:

• Paid by additional fund

• With co pay

• Payment may be subject to upper limit - depends on local regulation

• Deductible

• Self-pay or paid with individual account

• Paid by additional fund with co pay

• With or without Upper limit

• Paid by basic fund

• With co pay

• Payment subject to Maximum limit

• Deductible

• Self-pay or paid with individual account

outp

atie

nt e

xpense

s

inpatie

nt e

xpense

s

Page 12: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 12

SHI – Urban Scheme - Overview

Inpatient

1. Employer pays approx 8% - Employee pay 2%

2. Deductible: from 600 -2000 RMB, for example Beijing 1300 RMB

3. The amount may differ by hospital grade, employment status or even DOB

4. Copayment of the basic fund: from 3% to 30% depending on the hospital grade, employment status or amount of actual medical expenses

5. Upper limit of the basic fund: From 24000 (Taiyuan) to 145000 (Guangzhou)

6. Maximum amount paid by additional fund: No limit set for some cities such as Shanghai, Hangzhou, For other cities the limits vary from 100,000 to 300,000 RMB (Wuhan & Chongqing)

7. Copayment from additional fund: from 2% to 25%

Page 13: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 13

SHI Overview Outpatient

1. Only some developed areas provide supplementary outpatient coverage, e.g. Beijing

Shanghai: with deductible 1542 for active work or 771 for retiree (varying by DOB), no SA, Copayment 30%-100% for actively work and 20%-55% for retiree

2. One company has designed their own out-patient product for those areas where there is no O/P SHI coverage

Page 14: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 14

QI_BU Product features in the current market

Product D- rider cover above additional fund payment. Usually provides additional 100 - 200,000 RMB

Product C- rider

Cover co pay

Additional Top up Fund of 100,000 RMB

30% co pay on this 100,000

Product A– basic

Cover co pay

Covers SHI co pay but still have to pay small out of pocket co pay of between 10-15% up to max RMB70,000

Product B –rider cover deductible 1300

Product F – rider

Cover co pay

Additional fund

40%-50% co pay

Maximum RMB20,000

Product E –rider

Covers deductible but also has co pay on this

The example above is based on the features of the Beijing market

The features are typical of some companies, most however only have two sub-products, one is for Inpatient and the other is for outpatient

In Patient Out Patient

Page 15: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 15

Hospital Providers in China1. Around 300,000 medical providers in the China mainland

2. 4 kinds of medical structures in China mainland: government, joint ventures, foreign owned and private. Approx 90% hospitals are government hospitals

3. Governmental hospitals in China belong to different systems: Ministry of Health (MOH), Ministry of Education (MOE), Army, City, the state etc. Most hospitals are not commercial or service oriented and have no service procedure and thus it can be difficult to build networks

4. Hospitals are divided into 3 grades: grade 3 (best), grade 2 and grade 1. Grade 3 hospitals are found in big cities. Hospitals with the name of “ Peoples’ Hospital” are usually the highest graded hospital

5. Hospitals are graded on the evaluation of the hardware but not service

Page 16: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 16

Current Status

Profitability Poor profitability, particularly on group business due to price competition and unsophisticated data analysis

Claims Management

Limited claims management capabilities leading to inability to contain claim ratios

Risk Management

Undeveloped and fragmented. Lack of sufficiently skilled and experienced insurance expertise

Network Management

Lack of hospital networks that offer better patient services and efficient medical utilisation

What’s standing in the way?Key challenges in China

Page 17: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 17

Swiss Re’s business model goes beyond the traditional reinsurance model

Success in medical (re)insurance demands the ability to operate and exert influence across the medical management and insurance value chains

Professional approaches to product management, claims management and medical provider management are all key success factors

Swiss Re will work, together with its partner organisations, to develop the key components of the value chain that do not currently feature in the local medical insurance markets

Underwriting

Sales and marketing

Customer acquisition

Product / benefit design

Administration

Customer service / retention

Claims Mgt. (adjudication)

Payment processing

Medical management

Building provider network

Provider cost Mgt.

Pharma. cost Mgt.

Case / disease Mgt.

= current gaps

Page 18: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 18

Prestige Health:Full-service capabilities

Swiss Re Beijing Branch

Product development, pricing and reinsurance

capacity

Prestige Health

Policyholder servicesNetwork management

Data capture

Claims management

Experience analysis

Medical Service Provider 1Medical Service Provider 1

Medical Service Provider 2Medical Service Provider 2

Medical Service Provider 3Medical Service Provider 3

Medical Service Provider 4Medical Service Provider 4

Medical Service Provider nMedical Service Provider n

- Distribution & sales

- Premium collection

- Policyholder administration

- Customer service

Medical Insurers

Beijing 2 April 2008Chee Kok POH CEO, Prestige Health

Page 19: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 19

Prestige Health benefits chain:people, hospitals, insurers & the State

Consumers:

Better services and

more affordable products

Hospitals:

Widens customer

base, offers patients better

services and enhance

hospital’s reputation

Insurers:

More confidence

over insurance cost

and profitability

thereby offering more competitive

products

the State:

Contributes to sustainable

medical insurance industry

growth and promotes

better use of hospital resource

Page 20: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 20

Swiss Re’s strategy to help clients succeed

Core team in place plus strong local teams

Team totally dedicated to growing and developing PMI market

Claims Management strategy to ensure control of key aspects of the risk

Engage with regulators and governments to assist with development of the market

Provide clients with tools for success

Helping clients with data analytics and the full suite of risk management solutions

Help clients to grow their business via innovative product ideas

Page 21: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Appendix

1. MedeGuide

Page 22: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008
Page 23: China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008

Slide 23

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