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Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

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Page 1: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity

by D. F. Duncan

UNC-CH School of Social WorkJune 10, 2009

Page 2: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity

The approach in this presentation is drawn from a similar presentation developed by Emily Putnam-Hornstein made by Barbara Needell from the Center for Social Services Research at the University of California at Berkeley

The data are drawn from the US Census Bureau and a set of longitudinal files maintained by researchers at UNC-CH School of Social Work

Page 3: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina:First Entries to Foster Care by Race

Page 4: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina:Foster Care Caseload by Race

Page 5: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina:Race and Path Through the Child Welfare System

Page 6: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Definitions

Overrepresentation: situations in which a number or quantity (such as children, in this case) is disproportionately high or low.1

1Chapin Hall Center for Children. (2008). “Racial and Ethnic Disparity and Disproportionality in Child Welfare and Juvenile Justice: A Compendium,” Chicago: Chapin Hall Center for Children at the University of Chicago.

Page 7: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Definitions Disproportionality: the state of being

disproportional. … disproportionality and over- and underrepresentation are used with regard to a reference population. If more than one group represents more than its share of the total, another group will necessarily account for less.1

Disparity: a comparison of one group (e.g, regarding disproportionality, services, outcomes) to another group.2

2Needell, Barbara. “Child Welfare in California: Ethnic/Racial Disproportionality and Disparity.”

Page 8: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina:Disparity Index for SFY 07-08

Black Disproportionality

39.49% 25.36% = 1.56

White Disproportionality

51.8% 68.96% = 0.75

Disparity Index

1.56 0.75 = 2.08

Page 9: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Issues with Census Data

Page 10: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Changes in the Number of Children in North Carolina Over Time

Page 11: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Composition of North Carolina’s Child Population by Race

Page 12: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Composition of North Carolina’s Child Population by Ethnicity

Page 13: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Issues With Census Data

The 2000 Census provided a count of each child by age, race, and ethnicity at the state and county level

The yearly estimates of population at the county level provide race and ethnicity but age is grouped 0-4, 5-9, 10-14, and 15-19.

There are tradeoffs in using these yearly estimates

Page 14: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Investigations per 1,000 by Age and Race

Page 15: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Substantiations per 1,000 by Age and Race

Page 16: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Entries to Foster Care per 1,000 by Age and Race

Page 17: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Children in Foster Care per 1,000 by Age and Race

Page 18: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Investigations, Substantiations, Entries, and In Care Rates per 1,000 by Age

Page 19: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Referrals, Substantiations, Entries, and In Care Rates per 1,000 by Age

Page 20: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Children in Foster Care per 1,000 by Age and Race

Black (10.45/1,000)

White (5.04/1,000)

0 to 4 Years

5 to 9 Years

10 to 14 Years

15 and Older

15.24

9.24

10.19

7.45

7.44

4.51

4.89

3.19

Rates per 1,000 Black Children

Rates per 1,000White Children

Disparity Index

10.455.04 = 2.07

Page 21: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Disparity Indices for Race and Ethnicity

Page 22: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

National Data: Racial and Ethnic Disparity Indices

Page 23: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Exits From Care For 84 Months From Entry For All Children (2000-2001 Entry Cohort)

92%

72%

51%36%

25%13% 8% 5% 3% 2%

5%

17%

28%

36%

40%

43%44% 44% 44% 44%

2% 8% 13% 15% 16% 17% 18% 18% 18% 18%

8%14% 17% 19% 20% 20%

6%9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12%

2% 3% 4% 4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

30 Days

180 Days

1 Year

1.5 Years

2 Years

3 Years

4 Years

5 Years

6 Years

7 Years

Still in Care Reunification Adopted Guardianship Emancipated Other

Page 24: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Exits From Care For 84 Months From Entry for White Children (2000-2001 Entry Cohort)

92%

70%

48%33%

23%12% 6% 4% 2% 1%

6%

19%

32%

39%

44%

46%47% 47% 47% 47%

2%8% 12% 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 17% 17%

8%15% 18% 20% 20% 21%

6%8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%

2% 3% 3% 4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

30 Days

180 Days

1 Year

1.5 Years

2 Years

3 Years

4 Years

5 Years

6 Years

7 Years

Still in Care Reunification Adopted Guardianship Emancipated Other

Page 25: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Exits From Care For 84 Months From Entry for Black Children

92%

75%

56%

40%28%

16% 10% 6% 4% 3%

5%

13%

23%

30%

35%

39%40%

40% 40% 40%

3% 9% 14% 17% 18% 19% 20% 20% 20% 21%

7%13%

17% 19% 19% 20%

6%9%

11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 12%

3% 4% 4% 5%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

30 Days

180 Days

1 Year

1.5 Years

2 Years

3 Years

4 Years

5 Years

6 Years

7 Years

Still in Care Reunification Adopted Guardianship Emancipated Other

Page 26: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Percentage Remaining in Care for White and Black Children (2000-2001 Entry Cohort)

Page 27: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Percentage Reunified for White and Black Children (2000-2001 Entry Cohort)

Page 28: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

North Carolina: Percentage Exiting to Adoption for White and Black Children (2000-2001 Entry Cohort)

Page 29: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Disparity Indices for Counties

Page 30: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Disparity Indices for Counties

Page 31: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Disparity Indices for Counties

Page 32: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Disparity Indices for Counties

Page 33: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Disparity Indices for Counties

Page 34: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Disparity Indices for Counties

Disparity in the current caseload can be due to many factors

It can reflect past instead of current practices

It also is due to difficulties in finding permanency for children who are in care

Page 35: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Disparity Indices for Counties

Recent studies (Drake et al., 2009; Jonson-Reid et al., 2009) suggest that poverty is a confounding factor in examining disproportionality

In future analysis we will explore the role of poverty

Page 36: Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity by D. F. Duncan UNC-CH School of Social Work June 10, 2009

Child Welfare in North Carolina: Ethnic and Racial Disproportionality and Disparity

D. F. [email protected]

919-962-7897C. Joy Stewart

[email protected]

http://ssw.unc.edu/cw