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Innovative SectorsRising Finance, Falling Agriculture
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
19
47
19
50
19
53
19
56
19
59
19
62
19
65
19
68
19
71
19
74
19
77
19
80
19
83
19
86
19
89
19
92
19
95
19
98
20
01
20
04
20
07
(Finance+Insurance)/GDP Agriculture/GDP
Source: BEA
Finance Plus Insurance vs. Agriculture, as share of US GDP, 1947-2008
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Definition
Private Equity involves a variety of investmentstrategies in which the equity is not freely tradable
on a public stock market. Depending on theirinvestment goals and the size of their portfolio,investors have the option to invest in individual fundsor through a Fund of Funds.
Investing in private equity typically entails a greaterrisk than investing in public market securities. Thisis because private equity lacks liquidity, and the lock-
up period for invested capital is often seven years ormore.
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Definition (continued)
Categories of a private equity investment
include leveraged buyout, venture capital,growth capital, angel investing, mezzaninecapital, and others.
Private equity funds are generally organizedas limited partnerships, which are controlledby the private equity firm that acts as thegeneral partner.
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History
Until the late 70s the role of private equity buyingshares in private companies had been carried out
by a few wealthy families such as the Rockefellersand Whitneys. Most of it was venture capital inyoung companies.
By the late 80s private equity had grown large
enough to do LBOs such as RJR Nabisco. Today, less than one-fifth of the private equity
money goes to venture capital for early stagecompanies.
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Industry Size
Private Equity Fund Raising
Source: Private Equity Council
444
524
724
589 582
476
635
825
926
836
437
$587
$129$141
$228
$166$127 $115
$165
$352
$538
$341
0
200
400
600
8001000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
# Funds Raised Aggregate Capital Raised ($B)
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Industry Size
Number of Private Equity Transactions: 2000-2008
Source: Private Equity Council
1,363
693 798962
1,334
2,034
2,547
2,2561,846
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
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Industry Size
Approximately $234 billion of private equity wasinvested globally in 2007
In 2007, North America accounted for 71% of globalprivate equity investments (up from 66% in 2000).
2,150 PE firms worldwide, 1,040 of them are in theUS.
Private equity funds under management totaled $2.5trillion at the end of 2008. The 15% increase duringthe year was due to strong fund raising activity in thefirst half of 2008
Cumulative net profits returned to investors through2008: 1.2 Trillion.
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Top 10 Private Equity Firms
TPG Goldman Sachs Principal Investment Area
The Carlyle Group Kohlberg Kravis Roberts Apollo Global Management Bain Capital
CVC Capital Partners The Blackstone Group Warburg Pincus Apax Partners
Source: Private Equity International
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Venture Capital
Venture capital related investments for1995 through first half of 2009
0
1000
2000
30004000
5000
6000
7000
80009000
1995 19961997 19981999 20002001 200220032004 20052006 20072008Q22009
Years
#of
Deals
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
Billions
Invested
Source: Reuters
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Venture Capital
Venture capital by stage for 1995 throughfirst half of 2009
Source: Reuters
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
BillionsInvested
Late Stage
ExpansionEarly Stage
Startup/Seed
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Venture Capital
Venture capital average investment sizeby stage for 1995 through first half of 2009
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
19951997199920012003200520072009
Seed/StartupEarly Stage
Expansion
Late Stage
Source: Reuters
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Global VC Investment in AgriculturalTechnologies
Source: CleantechGroup, 2009
14
19
14
3
1814
18
$0.00
$50.00
$100.00
$150.00
$200.00
$250.00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0
2
4
68
10
12
14
16
18
20
Global VC Agricultural Investment (m) # of deals
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Private Equity to the Rescue?
Following the past five periods of negative economic growth inthe U.S. (1974, 1975, 1980, 1982 and 1991), real private equityinvestment increased by an average of 94 percent during the
initial year of recovery substantially stronger than eitheroverall business investment or private investment inmanufacturing.
The number of private equity acquisitions grew by an average
of 55.1 percent in each of the five years following an annualdecline in GDP. The increased number of private equityacquisitions suggests that private equity retains access tocapital during economic downturns and initial recoveries, andthat more companies actively seek private equity funding during
tough times.
Source: Shapiro, Robert, The Role of the Private Equity Sector PromotingEconomic Recovery, The Private Equity Council, March 2009
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Agriculture: New Frontier for PrivateEquity Funds
Despite the hesitation in many areas, many
private equity funds remain optimistic that thefarm sector offers investment opportunities:
Emerging Markets in the East
Sustainable Agriculture in the West
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Drivers of interest?
The surge in the international price ofagriculture commodities over the last threeyears.
Speculation that food prices will stay highover the next decade due to more demand
from countries such as China and India. Sustained demand for biofuels backed by
generous subsidies in developed countries
(US, EU)Need at least 50% more calories in the next
40 years for a population of 9 billion by 2050.
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Area needed to meet demand for major
commodities in 2050 at current yields
Source: FAO, SAGE 2009
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Millions of
Hectares
MaizeRice
SoybeanSugarWheat
Current Area Area Needed in 2050*Area needed has adirect correlation with
future yield.
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Food and Biofuel Consumption
Global Food Consumption Global Biofuel Consumption
(Quadrillion KCAL) (Quadrillion KCAL) (%)
2000 6.21 0.74 10.6
2015 (est) 7.78 1.2 13.42050 (est) 9.93 2.27 18.6
Biofuels' % of total
kcal consumption
Source: DBCCA analysis, 2009
Over the next few decades, Global food and biofuel consumption will
strongly increase.
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Areas of Investment Opportunity
Agricultural Machinery
Agricultural Risk Management and InsuranceCrop Improvement and Biotechnology
Fertilizer and other Crop Nutrients
Infrastructure Irrigation and Water-Use efficiency
Land
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Agricultural Machinery
Significant emerging demand from
developing markets such as BRIC countries,increased bio-fuel production, and the rise ofmega-farming operations.
Advancements such as high-performancespraying, harvesting, and the use of GPS.
Ag machinery that can increase output, use
less fuel, and cause less soil compaction isalso needed.
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Agricultural Risk Management and Insurance
Crop and yield insurance can help farmersmanage the volatility of prices, yields,government policies, and foreign markets.
This area is ripe for investment anddevelopment, especially in areas with harshclimates.
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Crop Improvement and Biotechnology
Biotech crops have the potential to contribute to theclosing of the production gap.
Some developed traits can be used to enhance aplants nutritional value, while others are used tostrengthen crops and boost yields by improving
plants resistance to disease, pests or harshclimates.
Advances in crop genetics and farming technologieshave helped to keep pace with growing agricultural
demand. Further investment is needed to continue increasing
yields, reducing costs (water and fertilizer inputs),
increasing productivity, reducing pollution.
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Fertilizers and Crop Nutrients
In areas of low soil fertility, fertilizers are used tosupplement plant nutrition.
In 2006, 170 million tons of fertilizer were placed onagricultural fields.
Once nitrogen leaves the field, it can be extremely
harmful to people and the environment. Investment is needed to decrease the negative
externalities of fertilizer use, while increasing theavailability of low-impact, high efficient fertilizers inlow productivity areas.
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Infrastructure
In order to raise productivity acrossagricultural regions, significant investmentmust be made into the infrastructure ofagriculturally productive regions.
While infrastructure development takes time,leading companies in supply chainmanagement in developing countries, andemerging economies, have capitalized on thefragmentation of inefficient agriculturalsystems.
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Irrigation and Water-Use efficiency
Irrigation is one way to ensure that crop waterrequirements are met
While only 18% of croplands are irrigated,40% ofcrop production comes from those lands.
The extent of irrigation has grown markedly.
In a hotter world, the ability to provide sufficientwater for crop production will be a major challenge.
Investment is needed to:
Increase crop production from same amount of water Maintain the same production from less water
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Land
As the world's population grows, the supply of agricultural landaround the globe diminishes. In the U.S. alone, while half of the2 billion acres of the country's land is working agricultural land,
every minute of every day, two acres of farmland are beingtaken out of production and turned to other uses; in particular,development.
Each year, globally, some 12.3 million to 19.7 million acres offarmland, out of a worldwide total of 3.7 billion acres, falls fallow
because of "deteriorating quality." Available, quality, agricultural land is increasingly hard to find,
and will be required to be more productive.
By the end of August 2008, the average price of cropland in theU.S. over the prior year had increased some 13%, doubling in
the decade from $1,340 an acre in 1998 to $2,700 in 2008.
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Agriculture Land Value 2000-2009
Source: USDA-NASS
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Recent Agribusiness Deals
Source: Capital IQ
Year Target Buyer/Investor Size ($MM) Business
2009 Converted Organics Iroquois Capital NA Fertilizers
2009 Val Nantais IDIA Capital Investissement 17 Produce/Packaging
2008 ECOPEX SEAF NA Hazelnut Processing
2008 Nuziveedu Seeds Limited The Blackstone Group 78 Seed
2008 VitAG Corporation Denham Capital Management LP 60 Specialty fertilizers
2007 Asian Dhall Industries Ltd SAIF Partners 8 Food Ingredients
2007 The Egyptian Fertilizer Co. A consortium of investors, led by Abraaj Capital 1,900 Fertilizer
2005 NAU Country Lightyear Capital NA Crop Insurance
2002 Provimi SA PAI Management and CVC Capital Partners Ltd 797 Animal Feed
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Agribusiness Areas of Interest
Health & Wellness Healthy Oils (Omega 3 vs. Omega 6)
Natural, Organic and Sustainable Non-GMO Hormone Free
Developing markets
Use of hybrids Improved cultural practices
Technology GPS (Precision farming)
Irrigation Soil Nutrients
Land
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Agribusiness Areas to Avoid
Plant-made pharmaceuticals
Big pharma doesnt want
Biofuels
Too much uncertainty around government policy.
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AgriCapital Overview
An investment bank that works exclusively inagribusiness & food
Founded in 1983 to meet the needs ofagribusiness not being met by the
investment banking community
A member of the National Association of
Securities Dealers (NASD
) and aRegistered Broker Dealer
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AgriCapital Services
Negotiate mergers, acquisitions &divestitures
Arrange equity and debt financing
Advise on valuations, render fairnessopinions and general corporate financeprojects
A i b C
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Other Sectors
8%
Food
Production &
Marketing
8%Animal Health
& Nutrition
20%
Inputs - Seed,AgroChem &
Other
64%
Since 1983 AgriCapital has been engaged in some 450
assignments on behalf of approximately 300 agribusinesses
Assignment Type
M&A accounts for approximately 80% of $ volume
Assignment Sector
Assignments by Category
M&A
49%Consulting
41%
Financing
10%
35
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Contact Information
AgriCapital Corporation
1410 Broadway, Suite 1802
New York, NY 10018
Telephone: (212) 944-9500
Facsimile: (212) 944-9525
www.agricapital.com