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Math. Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc.: page 1 of 24 c Cambridge Philosophical Society 2017 doi:10.1017/S0305004117000767 1 Analytic number theory for 0-cycles BY WEIYAN CHEN Department of Mathematics, University of Chicago, 5734 S. University Ave., Chicago, IL 60637, USA. e-mail: [email protected], [email protected] (Received 12 September 2016; revised 05 April 2017) Abstract There is a well-known analogy between integers and polynomials over F q , and a vast literature on analytic number theory for polynomials. From a geometric point of view, poly- nomials are equivalent to effective 0-cycles on the affine line. This leads one to ask: Can the analogy between integers and polynomials be extended to 0-cycles on more general variet- ies? In this paper we study prime factorisation of effective 0-cycles on an arbitrary connected variety V over F q , emphasizing the analogy between integers and 0-cycles. For example, in- spired by the works of Granville and Rhoades, we prove that the prime factors of 0-cycles are typically Poisson distributed. 1. Introduction Riemann’s zeta function encodes information about how a random integer factors into primes. The aim of this paper is to present concrete examples addressing the following question: what does the zeta function of a variety V tell us about how a random 0-cycle on V factors into “primes”? In this paper, we study prime factorisation of effective 0-cycles on a connected variety V over a finite field F q , emphasising the analogy between integers and 0-cycles. 1·1. Prime factorisation of 0-cycles Let q be a power of a prime number. Fix V to be a geometrically connected variety over F q . By a “variety” we mean an integral, separated scheme of finite type. We do not require V to be smooth or projective. An effective 0-cycle C on V over F q (for brevity we will just call it a “0-cycle” in this paper) is a formal N-linear sum C = n 1 P 1 + n 2 P 2 +···+ n l P l , n i N, (1·1) of distinct closed points P i ’s on V . The degree of C is deg(C ) := i n i deg( P i ) where deg( P i ) denotes the degree of the closed point P i . We view equation (1·1) as giving the prime factorisation of 0-cycles written additively, where closed points on V play the role of “primes”. Let A n (V ) denote the set of all 0-cycles on V of degree n. Let B n (V ) denote the set of all square-free 0-cycles on V , namely, those with each n i = 1 in (1·1). A 0-cycle on V of degree n can also be thought of as an F q -point on the nth symmetric power Sym n V . Similarly, a square-free 0-cycle on V of degree n is equivalent to an F q -point available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004117000767 Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. University of Minnesota Libraries, on 31 Oct 2017 at 15:30:46, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use,

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Page 1: chen5750/research_files... · Math. Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc.: page 1 of 24 c Cambridge Philosophical Society 2017 doi:10.1017/S0305004117000767 1 Analytic number theory for 0-cycles

Math. Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc.: page 1 of 24 c© Cambridge Philosophical Society 2017

doi:10.1017/S03050041170007671

Analytic number theory for 0-cycles

BY WEIYAN CHEN

Department of Mathematics, University of Chicago,5734 S. University Ave., Chicago, IL 60637, USA.

e-mail: [email protected], [email protected]

(Received 12 September 2016; revised 05 April 2017)

Abstract

There is a well-known analogy between integers and polynomials over Fq , and a vastliterature on analytic number theory for polynomials. From a geometric point of view, poly-nomials are equivalent to effective 0-cycles on the affine line. This leads one to ask: Can theanalogy between integers and polynomials be extended to 0-cycles on more general variet-ies? In this paper we study prime factorisation of effective 0-cycles on an arbitrary connectedvariety V over Fq , emphasizing the analogy between integers and 0-cycles. For example, in-spired by the works of Granville and Rhoades, we prove that the prime factors of 0-cyclesare typically Poisson distributed.

1. Introduction

Riemann’s zeta function encodes information about how a random integer factors intoprimes. The aim of this paper is to present concrete examples addressing the followingquestion: what does the zeta function of a variety V tell us about how a random 0-cycle onV factors into “primes”? In this paper, we study prime factorisation of effective 0-cycles ona connected variety V over a finite field Fq , emphasising the analogy between integers and0-cycles.

1·1. Prime factorisation of 0-cycles

Let q be a power of a prime number. Fix V to be a geometrically connected variety overFq . By a “variety” we mean an integral, separated scheme of finite type. We do not requireV to be smooth or projective. An effective 0-cycle C on V over Fq (for brevity we will justcall it a “0-cycle” in this paper) is a formal N-linear sum

C = n1 P1 + n2 P2 + · · · + nl Pl, ni ∈ N, (1·1)

of distinct closed points Pi ’s on V . The degree of C is deg(C) := ∑i ni deg(Pi) where

deg(Pi ) denotes the degree of the closed point Pi . We view equation (1·1) as giving theprime factorisation of 0-cycles written additively, where closed points on V play the role of“primes”. Let An(V ) denote the set of all 0-cycles on V of degree n. Let Bn(V ) denote theset of all square-free 0-cycles on V , namely, those with each ni = 1 in (1·1).

A 0-cycle on V of degree n can also be thought of as an Fq-point on the nth symmetricpower Symn V . Similarly, a square-free 0-cycle on V of degree n is equivalent to an Fq-point

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2 WEIYAN CHEN

on the nth configuration space Confn V . This viewpoint is important for our purposes. SeeSection 2 below for more discussion.

Let’s consider an example when V is the affine line A1. There is a natural bijectionbetween closed points on A1 over Fq of degree n and monic irreducible polynomials overFq of degree n. This bijection extends via equation (1·1) to be between 0-cycles on A1 andmonic polynomials. Adding two 0-cycles on A1 corresponds to multiplying two polynomi-als. Therefore, 0-cycles on a variety V generalise monic polynomials.

Furthermore, the analogy between integers and polynomials over Fq can be extended to0-cycles on a variety V over Fq . We summarise the correspondence in Table 1 below.

Table 1. Integers vs. 0-cycles

Positive integers x 0-cycles C on a variety V over Fq

Multiplication Formal addition

log x deg C

log(x · y) = log x + log y deg(C + D) = deg C + deg D

Integers in (en, 2en) An(V )

Square-free integers in (en, 2en) Bn(V )

Prime numbers Closed points on V

Prime factorisation of integers Prime factorisation of 0-cycles

1·2. Summary of results

Even though integers and 0-cycles are apparently different objects, using the dictionaryprovided by Table 1 we will be able to translate analytic number theory into the study of0-cycles. We study asymptotic statistics for the prime factorisation of 0-cycles on a geomet-rically connected variety V over Fq . Our results, to be summarised below, are analogs ofclassical results in analytic number theory, and also generalise previous works about poly-nomials over Fq . Among them, Theorem 4 is the most difficult to prove.

First, we start with the prime number theorem. The classical prime number theorem,proved by Hadamard and de la Vallee–Poussin, says that the probability for a uniformlychosen random integer in (en, 2en) to be prime is ∼1/n as n → ∞.

We will give a similar result for 0-cycles with an explicit bound on the error. Though theresult is relatively straightforward to prove, we include it here as a first example to illustratehow a theorem about integers would translate into one about 0-cycles using Table 1. LetZ(V, t) be the zeta function of V over Fq and let Z(V, t) := Z(V, t)(1 − qdt). Denote

�n(V ) := {C ∈ An(V ) : C is a single closed point}.THEOREM 1 (Prime number theorem for 0-cycles). Suppose V is a geometrically con-

nected variety over Fq of dimension d � 1,

|�n(V )||An(V )| = 1

n

1

Z(V, q−d)+ O

(1

nqn/2

), as n −→ ∞.

The assumption for V to be geometrically connected implies that Z(V, t) has a uniquepole at t = q−d , and thus Z(V, q−d) is a well-defined number. See Section 2 below for moredetails. Theorem 1 in the case V = A1 is a classical and first proved by Gauss.

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 3

Theorem 1 gives the asymptotic probability for a 0-cycle to be a “prime”. We further ask:what is the probability for a 0-cycle to be “almost prime” i.e. to factor into a product of largeprimes? and to be “highly composite”, i.e. to factor into a product of small primes? Theanswer to the two questions will be described asymptotically by the following two functionsR�1 → R�0, respectively: the Buchstab function ω and the Dickman–de Bruijn function ρ.See Section 4·2 below for their definitions. The two functions are important because of thefollowing classical theorems in analytic number theory:

(i) (Buchstab [2]) For any u � 1, let �(n, u) denote the number of integers x ∈ (en, 2en)

with no prime factor smaller than x1/u . As n → ∞, we have

�(n, u)

en∼ ω(u)u

n.

(ii) (Dickman [7], with error term proved by Ramaswami [21]) For any u �, let �(n, u)

denote the number of integers x ∈ (en, 2en) with no prime factor larger than x1/u . Asn → ∞, we have

�(n, u)

en= ρ(u) + O(1/n).

We now consider the analogs for 0-cycles. For any u � 1, define �V (n, u) to be thenumber of 0-cycles of degree n on V containing no closed point of degree smaller than n/u,and �V (n, u) to be the number of 0-cycles of degree n on V containing no closed point ofdegree larger than n/u.

THEOREM 2 (No small/large factor). Suppose V is a geometrically connected varietyover Fq of dimension d � 1. As n → ∞, we have

�V (n, u)

|An(V )| ∼ ω(u)u

n, (1·2)

�V (n, u)

|An(V )| = ρ(u) + O(1/n). (1·3)

Theorem 2 in the case when V = A1 was proved in [3] and [18].

Next, we ask: fix a closed point P , what is the probability for a random 0-cycle C tocontain P , when C is uniformly chosen in An(V )? More generally, how does the order of Pi.e. the coefficients in (1·1) distribute as C varies in An(V )?

We first consider the same questions for integers. For a prime number p, the p-adic orderνp (i.e. the order of p in the prime factorisation) can be viewed as a random variable onZ � (en, 2en). A straightforward calculation gives the asymptotic distribution of νp for auniform integers, or square-free integers, in Z � (en, 2en) as n → ∞:

(i) Prob(νp(x) = j : x ∈ (en, 2en)) −→ p− j (1 − p−1), geometric distribution;(ii) Prob(νp(x) = 1 : square-free x ∈ (en, 2en)) −→ (p + 1)−1, Bernoulli distribution;

(iii) for all primes p, the random variables νp converge to mutually independent randomvariables on Z � (en, 2en), or on square-free integers in (en, 2en).

We now consider the analogs for 0-cycles. For a closed point P on V of degree k and a0-cycle C on V , define νP(C) to be the order of P in the prime factorisation of C as in (1·1).Equip An(V ) and Bn(V ) with the uniform probability measure.

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4 WEIYAN CHEN

THEOREM 3 (Asymptotic distribution of prime orders in 0-cycles). Suppose V is a geo-metrically connected variety over Fq of dimension d � 1.

(i) The random variable νP on An(V ) converges to a geometric distribution as n →∞. Precisely, there exists a constant b depending only on V such that for any naturalnumber j , we have

Prob(νP(C) = j : C ∈ An(V )

)=

(1

qdk

) j(1 − 1

qdk

)+ O

(nb

qn

).

(ii) The random variable νP restricted to Bn(V ) converges to a Bernoulli distribution asn → ∞. Precisely, we have

Prob(νP(C) = 1 : C ∈ Bn(V )

)= 1

qdk + 1+ O

(1

qn/2

).

(iii) For all closed points P on V , the random variables νP converge to mutually independ-ent random variables on An(V ) or on Bn(V ) as n → ∞.

Theorem 3 in the case V = A1 was proved by Arratia–Barbour–Tavare [1, theorem 3·1].Theorem 3 in the case when V is the affine or the projective space can also be deduced from atheorem of Poonen [19, theorem 1·1]. Recently, Farb–Wolfson and the author independentlygeneralised a theorem of Church–Ellenberg–Farb [5] about asymptotic arithmetic statisticson ConfnA1 to that on Confn V for V a smooth variety (see [11, theorem B] and [4, corollary4]). Theorem 3 gives a probabilistic interpretation and a new proof of this generalisation,and removes the assumption for V to be smooth. See Section 3·4 below for more details.

Remark 1 (Erdos–Kac’s heuristic). Erdos and Kac made the following brilliant observa-tion. Let �(m) denote the total number of prime factors of an integer x ∈ (en, 2en), countedwith multiplicities. Then �(x) = ∑

p νp(x), summing over all prime numbers p. Since νp’sconverge to independent random variables as n → ∞, heuristically � is a sum of inde-pendent random variables in the limit. By the Central Limit Theorem, one should expect� to converge to the normal distribution as n → ∞. This observation leads Erdos andKac to prove their celebrated theorem in [8] which roughly says that when n is large, � onZ�(en, 2en) is approximately normally distributed with mean and variance log n. Erdos-Kactheorem was originally about ω, the number of distinct prime factors. But the same heuristicapplies and the same result holds for �.

Theorem 3 tells us that the exact same heuristic will also apply to 0-cycles! For a 0-cycleC , define �(C) to be the total number of closed points in C counted with multiplicities.Then we have

�(C) =∑

P∈V cl

νP(C),

where V cl is the set of all closed points of V . By Theorem 3 (iii), the sequence (νP)P∈V cl

converges to a sequence of independent random variables as n → ∞. As before, one shouldexpect that � on An(V ) would be approximately normally distributed with mean and vari-ance log n as n → ∞. This heuristic is confirmed by a theorem of Liu [16, corollary 2].

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 5

Erdos-Kac’s heuristic and Liu’s theorem imply that on average, a 0-cycle C would contain∼ log deg C many closed points. Thus, for C with prime factorisation C = n1 P1 + · · · nl Pl ,

φ(C) :={

log deg P1, log deg P2, . . . , log deg Pl

}is typically a collection of ∼ log deg C many real numbers in the interval [0, log deg C].How should we expect φ(C) to distribute on the interval [0, log deg C]?

We first consider the same question for integers. Granville [12, theorem 1] proved that foralmost all integers x , the sets of numbers

φ(x) := {log(log p) : p|x}are close to being “random” i.e. Poisson distributed. A sequence of finite sets S1, S2, . . . issaid to be Poisson distributed (see [12]) if there exist functions m j , K j , L j → ∞ monoton-ically as j → ∞ such that Sj ⊂ [0, m j ] and |Sj | ∼ m j , and for all L ∈ [1/L j , L j ] and allinteger k ∈ [0, K j ], we have

Prob

(t ∈ [0, m j ] :

∣∣∣Sj � [t, t + L]∣∣∣ = k

)∼ e−L Lk

k! ,

where Prob stands for probability with respect to the Lebesgue measure on the real line. Forexample, if Sj is a set of j real numbers chosen uniformly and independently in the interval[0, j], then the sequence Sj is almost surely Poisson distributed.

We prove the following analog of Granville’s theorem for 0-cycles.

THEOREM 4 (Prime factors in 0-cycles are Poisson distributed). Suppose V is a geomet-rically connected variety over Fq of dimension d � 1. The sets φ(C) are approximatelyPoisson distributed for almost all 0-cycle C in An(V ) as n → ∞.

More precisely, there exist functions K (n), L(n) → ∞ monotonically as n → ∞ suchthat for any ε > 0, for any n sufficiently large depending on ε, for all L ∈ [1/L(n), L(n)]and all integer k � K (n), for at least (1 − ε)|An(V )| many 0-cycles C in An(V ), we have

(1 − ε)e−L Lk

k! � Prob

(t ∈ [0, log n] :

∣∣∣φ(C) � [t, t + L]∣∣∣ = k

)� (1 + ε)e−L Lk

k! .

Remark 2 (Related work). Theorem 4 in the case when V = A1 was first proved byRhoades [22, theorem 1·3]. Following the theme that integers and permutations should havesimilar statistical behaviors, Granville proved that the cycle lengths of permutations are alsotypically Poisson [14, theorem 1]. See Granville’s excellent survey [13] for more on the ana-tomy of integers and permutations. Our proof of Theorem 4 uses ideas from both Rhoades’and Granville’s works.

Remark 3 (Proof methods). The key ingredient in the proofs of all the results abovecomes from the Riemann Hypothesis over finite fields, famously proved by Deligne. Inaddition, to prove Theorem 2, we use general results about decomposable combinatorialstructures proved in [3] and [18]. In the proof of Theorem 4, we establish a comparisonlemma (Lemma 16 below) relating statistics about permutations and about 0-cycles, andthen use Granville’s theorem in [14] about cycle lengths in permutations.

2. Symmetric powers, Zeta function and the Weil conjectures

In this section we recall a version of Weil conjectures for V not necessarily smooth orprojective. All results presented in this section are previously known.

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6 WEIYAN CHEN

The zeta function of V over Fq is

Z(V, t) := exp

( ∞∑k=1

|V (Fqk )|k

tk

). (2·1)

THEOREM 5 (Dwork, Grothendieck and Deligne). Suppose V is a geometrically connec-ted variety over Fq of dimension d � 1.

(i) There exist polynomials Pi (t) for i = 0, . . . , 2d such that

Z(V, t) = P1(t) · · · P2d−1(t)

P0(t) · · · P2d(t),

where P2d(t) = 1 − qdt .

(ii) For each i , for each α such that Pi (α) = 0, there exists some j � i such that |α| =q− j/2. It is possible that j depends on α.

When V is smooth and projective, Theorem 5 is a part of the Weil conjectures, originallyformulated by Weil [23]. In this case, the equality j = i will be achieved for all α in (ii).Part (ii) is due to Deligne (see [6, theoreme I (3·3·1)]) and are often called the “RiemannHypothesis over finite fields”; it will be especially important for our purposes. Theorem 5has the following consequence:

COROLLARY 6. Suppose V is a geometrically connected variety over Fq of dimensiond � 1. We have

|V (Fqn )|qnd

= 1 + O

(1

qn/2

), as n −→ ∞. (2·2)

Corollary 6 in the case when V is a quasi-projective variety was first proved by Lang–Weil[17, theorem 1], before Theorem 5 was proved.

The nth symmetric power of a variety V is the quotient Symn V := V n/Sn, where thesymmetric group Sn acts on V n by permuting the coordinates. Symn V is also a variety overFq (see [20, page 66]). The zeta function Z(V, t) satisfies the following equation:

Z(V, t) = 1 +∞∑

n=1

|Symn V (Fq)|tn, (2·3)

where Symn V (Fq) is the set of Fq-points on Symn V . An Fq-point in Symn V is a 0-dimensional subvariety of V of degree n defined over Fq , which is equivalently a multiset{x1, . . . , xn} of possibly repeated points in V (Fq) such that the action of Frobenius on V (Fq)

preserves the multiset. Thus, {x1, . . . , xn} decomposes into a union of orbits of Frobenius,possibly with repetition. Note that there is an natural bijection between orbits of Frobeniuson V (Fq) of size k and closed points on V of degree k. This bijection extends via equation(1·1) to a bijection between Fq-points on Symn V and 0-cycles on V of degree n over Fq .Therefore, we have Symn V (Fq) � An(V ). Similarly, the nth configuration space of V isdefined to be

Confn V := {(x1, . . . , xn) ∈ V n : xi � x j , ∀i � j}/Sn,

where Sn also acts on permuting the coordinates. Confn V is a subvariety of Symn V . Thereis a bijection between Confn V (Fq) and Bn(V ).

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 7

If we adopt the convention that |A0(V )| = |B0(V )| = 1 (the only 0-cycle of degree 0 isthe empty one), then we have

∞∑n=0

|An(V )|tn = Z(V, t) (2·4)

∞∑n=0

|Bn(V )|tn = Z(V, t)

Z(V, t2). (2·5)

The later equation follows from the fact that every 0-cycle C can be written uniquely as asum C = 2A + B where B is square-free.

3. Prime number theorem and asymptotic distribution of prime orders

In this section, we prove Theorem 1 and Theorem 3 stated in the Introduction.

3·1. Proof of Theorem 1

We will first proved two lemmas estimating the sizes of An(V ) and �n(V ), respectively.

LEMMA 7. Suppose V is a geometrically connected variety over Fq of dimension d � 1.There exists a constant b depending only on V such that

|An(V )|qnd

= Z(V, q−d) + O

(nb

qn

). (3·1)

Recall that Z(V, t) := Z(V, t)(1 − qdt). Theorem 5 implies that Z(V, t) is a rationalfunction in t with no pole in the disk |z| < q− 2d−2

2 = q−(d−1). In particular, Z(V, t) convergesat t = q−d . We decompose Z(V, t) into the following sum:

Z(V, t) = Z(V, q−d)

1 − qdt︸ ︷︷ ︸dominating term

+ Z(V, t) − Z(V, q−d)

1 − qdt︸ ︷︷ ︸remainder

. (3·2)

The dominating term in (3·2), which is a geometric series, tells that |An(V )| grows likeZ(V, q−d)qnd , contributing to the first summand in (3·1). The remainder in (3·2) is a rationalfunction in t with no pole in the disk |z| < q− 2d−2

2 = q−(d−1). Thus, its nth Taylor coefficientgrows like O(nbqn(d−1)) where b is the number of poles with norm q−(d−1) (see [9, theoremIV·9]), which after normalisation contributes to the error term in (3·1). This completes theproof of Lemma 7.

Remark 4 (The constant b). In general, the poles of Z(V, t) are determined by the com-pactly supported etale cohomology of V . In the proof, the constant b is equal to the numberof poles of Z(V, t) with norm q−(d−1), which further depends on the compactly supportedetale cohomology of V in dimension 2d − 2.

LEMMA 8. Suppose V is a geometrically connected variety over Fq of dimension d, then

|�n(V )|qnd

= 1

n+ O

(1

nqn/2

).

Proof. Each Fqn -point on V comes from a closed point on V of degree k for some k|n.Thus,

|V (Fqn )| =∑k|n

k|�k(V )|.

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8 WEIYAN CHEN

Let μ be the Mobius function. Applying Mobius inversion, we obtain

|�n(V )| = 1

n

∑k|n

μ(n/k)|V (Fqk )|. (3·3)

This formula together with Corollary 6 establishes Lemma 8.

Theorem 1 follows by taking the quotient of |An(V )| and |�n(V )|, which were estimated inLemma 7 and Lemma 8, respectively.

3·2. Proof of Theorem 3

Let P be a closed point of V of degree k.

(i) νP on An(V ). For any C ∈ An(V ) and any natural number j ,

νP(C) � j ⇐⇒ C = j P + C ′ for some C ′ ∈ Symn− jk V (Fq).

Therefore, we have

Prob(νP � j : An(V )) = |An− jk(V )||An(V )|

= 1

q jkd+ O

(nb

qn

), by Lemma 7.

Part (i) is established by taking

Prob(νP = j : An(V )

)= Prob

(νP � j : An(V )

)− Prob

(νP � j + 1 : An(V )

).

(ii) νP on Bn(V ). We first prove a lemma bounding the size of |Bn(V )|.LEMMA 9. If V is a geometrically connected variety over Fq of dimension d � 1, then

|Bn(V )|qnd

= Z(V, q−d)

Z(V, q−2d)+ O(q−n/2), as n −→ ∞. (3·4)

Proof. Similarly as in the proof of Lemma 7, we separate the generating function for|Bn(V )|, calculated in equation (2·5), as:

Z(V, t)

Z(V, t2)= 1

1 − qdt

Z(V, q−d)

Z(V, q−2d)︸ ︷︷ ︸dominating term

+ 1

1 − qdt

[Z(V, t)

Z(V, t−2d)− Z(V, q−d)

Z(V, q−2d)

]︸ ︷︷ ︸

R(t)

. (3·5)

The dominating term in (3·5) implies that |Bn(V )| ∼ Z(V, q−d)qnd/Z(V, q−2d). The erroris controlled by the smallest possible absolute value of poles of R(t), which by Theorem 5(i) is q−(2d−1)/4 if d = 1, and is q−(2d−2)/2 if d � 2. Hence, by the same argument as theproof of Lemma 7, we have

if d = 1, then|Bn(V )|

qn= Z(V, q−1)

Z(V, q−2)+ O(

na

q3n/4), for some constant a;

if d � 2, then|Bn(V )|

qnd= Z(V, q−d)

Z(V, q−2d)+ O(

nb

qn), for some constant b.

In either case, (3·4) holds.

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 9

In particular, Lemma 9 implies that when m → ∞ and n → ∞ with n � m,

|Bm(V )||Bn(V )| = q−(n−m)d + q−(n−m)(d−1/2)O(q−n/2), (3·6)

where the implied constant is independent of n and m.For each n, define a subset BP

n (V ) := {C ∈ Bn(V ) : νP(C) = 1}. We have a bijection:

Bn−k(V ) \ BPn−k(V ) −→ BP

n (V )

C ′ �−→ C ′ + P.

The bijection gives the following equations:

|BPn (V )| = |Bn−k(V )| − |BP

n−k(V )|= |Bn−k(V )| − |Bn−2k(V )| + |Bn−3k(V )| − |Bn−4k(V )| + · · ·

Therefore, we have:

Prob(νP = 1 : Bn(V )

)= |BP

n (V )||Bn(V )|

=[ n/2k�∑

i=1

(−1)i+1 |Bn−ik(V )||Bn(V )|

]+ O

( |BPn− n/2k�k(V )||Bn(V )|

)

= n/2k�∑

i=1

(−1)i+1

[q−ikd + q−ik(d−1/2)O(q−n/2)

]+ O(q−nd/2) by (3·6)

=[ n/2k�∑

i=1

(−1)i+1q−ikd

]+

[ n/2k�∑i=1

(−1)i+1q−ik(d−1/2)

]· O(q−n/2) + O(q−nd/2)

= q−kd · 1 + O(q−nd/2)

1 + q−kd+ O(q−n/2) + O(q−nd/2)

= 1

qkd + 1+ O(q−n/2) since d � 1.

(iii) Independence. To prove that νP are mutually independent as n → ∞, it suffices to checkthat for any finite collection of distinct closed points P1, . . . , Pm on V of degree deg(Pi) = ri

for each i , and for any sequence of natural numbers k1, . . . , km , and for any n �∑m

i=1 ri ,we have

m∏i=1

Prob(νPi � ki : An(V )

)= Prob

(νPi � ki , ∀0 � i � m : An(V )

)+ O

(nbq−n

). (3·7)

By the same argument as in the proof of (i), we have for each i ,

Prob(νPi � ki : An(V )

)= |An−ri (V )|

|An(V )| = q−ri d + O(nbq−n). (3·8)

Similarly, if we let h abbreviate∑m

i=1 ri , then when n � h, we have

Prob(νPi � ki , ∀0 � i � m : An(V )

)= |An−h(V )|

|An(V )| = q−hd + O(nbq−n). (3·9)

Equation (3·7) follows by applying equations (3·8) and (3·9) to the two sides, respectively.One can prove a similar equation as (3·7) with An(V ) replaced by Bn(V ), using a similar

argument but with the estimate in (3·6).

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10 WEIYAN CHEN

3·3. 0-cycles, permutations, and integer partitions

In this section, we discuss the connections among 0-cycles, permutations, and partitionsof an integer. These viewpoints will be useful for the later sections.

The prime factorisation of a 0-cycle C ∈ An(V ) into a sum of closed points (possiblywith repetition) C = P1 + · · · + Pl gives a partition λC of the integer n by

λC : n = deg(Pi) + · · · + deg(Pl). (3·10)

Similarly, the decomposition of a permutation σ ∈ Sn into a product of disjoint cyclesσ = c1 · c2 · · · cl gives a partition λσ of the integer n by

λσ : n = |c1| + · · · |cl |, (3·11)

where |ci | stands for the order of the cycle ci . Furthermore, λσ completely determines theconjugacy class of σ . Thus, partitions of n parametrise both permutations and 0-cycles as inthe following diagram:

Sn {conjugacy classes in Sn} {partitions of n}.

An(V )

C �−→ λC

(3·12)

Hence, every class function χ : Sn → Q can be evaluated at partitions of n, and thus inducesa map An(V ) → Q via C �→ χ(λC). To simplify notation, we will use χ(C) to abbreviateχ(λC) and use the same χ to denote the induced map on An(V ). What we mean will beclear from context.

Note that if C ∈ Bn(V ) is square-free, then there is a natural conjugacy class of Sn

associated to C coming from permutation induced by the action of Frobenius on C . Thepartition associated to this conjugacy class is precisely λC .

3·4. Statistics weighted by character polynomials

In this section, we discuss a consequence of Theorem 3 which is related to recent worksof [5] and [11] on representation stability and arithmetic statistics.

For each positive integer k, define a function

Xk : Sn −→ N (3·13)

Xk(σ ) := the number of cycles of order k in the cycle decomposition of σ ∈ Sn .

A character polynomial is a polynomial P ∈ Q[X1, X2, . . .]. It defines a class function onSn for all n, and hence, by Section 3·3, induces a function on An(V ) for all n. We view P asa random variable on An(V ) and on Bn(V ), both under the uniform probability measure.

For any finite sequence of nonnegative integers λ = (λ1, . . . , λl), define a character poly-nomial: (

X

λ

):=

l∏k=1

(Xk

λk

).

Character polynomials of the form(X

λ

)give a basis for the vector space Q[X1, X2 · · · ]. The

following results give explicit formulas for the expected values of the basis character poly-nomial

(Xλ

)on An(V ) and on Bn(V ) asymptotically as n → ∞.

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 11

COROLLARY 10. Suppose V is a geometrically connected variety over Fq of dimensiond � 1. As before, let |�n(V )| for each n be as in Theorem 1. Let both An(V ) and Bn(V )

have the uniform probability measure. Let E[χ; S] denote the expected value of a randomvariable χ on the finite set S under the uniform probability measure. For any finite sequenceof nonnegative integers λ = (λ1, . . . , λl), we have

limn→∞ E

[(X

λ

);An(V )

]=

l∏k=1

(|�k(V )| + λk − 1

λk

)1

(qkd − 1)λk(3·14)

limn→∞ E

[(X

λ

);Bn(V )

]=

l∏k=1

(|�k(V )|λk

)1

(qkd + 1)λk. (3·15)

In particular, the limits on the left-hand side exist.

Proof. We first prove (3·14). By the definition of Xk(C), we have

Xk(C) = the number of closed points in C of degree k, counted with multiplicities

=∑

P∈V cl : deg P=k

νP(C),

where νP is as in Theorem 3 and the sum is over all closed points P on V of degree k.Theorem 3 says that each νP on An(V ) converges in probability to mutually independent andidentically distributed (i.i.d.) geometric random variables. Thus, Xk on An(V ) converges inprobability and consequently also in distribution to a sum of |�k(V )|-many i.i.d geometricrandom variables, which is precisely the negative binomial distribution. The right-hand sideof (3·14) is exactly the factorial moments of the negative binomial.

The proof of (3·15) is completely the same, if we replace “geometric” by “Bernoulli”, andreplace “negative binomial” by “binomial” in the proof above.

In [5], Church–Ellenberg–Farb related a stability phenomenon in representation theory,which they called “representation stability”, to the convergence of various statistics on al-gebraic varieties over finite fields. Part of Theorem 1 in [5] says that for any character poly-nomial P , the following limit

limn→∞ E[P;Bn(A

1)]always exists. Since every character polynomial P can be written as a linear com-bination of polynomials of the form

(Xλ

), our Corollary 10 in particular implies that

limn→∞ E[P;Bn(V )] converges for any character polynomial P , and thus generalises theirresult from A1 to any geometrically connected variety V of positive dimension. Sim-ilar generalisation with an additional assumption for V to be smooth was also proved byFarb–Wolfson [11, theorem C] using the stability of etale cohomology of Confn V with twis-ted coefficients, and by Chen [4, corollary 4] using the zeta function of V . Corollary 10 givesa probabilistic interpretation of the limit, and furthermore removes the assumption for V tobe smooth (as was needed in [11] and [4]).

4. 0-cycles as decomposable combinatorial structures

In this section we prove Theorem 2 using the general axiomatic results from the theory ofdecomposable combinatorial structures in [3] and [18].

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12 WEIYAN CHEN

4·1. Abstract decomposable combinatorial structures

Consider the following general set-up. Let P be a disjoint union⋃∞

n=1 Pn where each Pn

is a finite set. An element in Pn is said to have “degree” n. Define C to be the set of allfinite multisets of elements in P. The degree of each multiset is defined to be the sum of thedegrees of its elements, summing with multiplicities. Write C = ⋃∞

n=1 Cn as disjoint unionsaccording to the degrees. The triple (P,C, degree) is called a decomposable combinatorialstructure (see [10, introduction]). Objects in P can be viewed as “primes”. Objects in C canbe viewed as “composites”. Define the following generating functions:

P(t) := 1 +∞∑

n=1

|Pn|tn,

C(t) := 1 +∞∑

n=1

|Cn|tn. (4·1)

See [10] for many examples of decomposable combinatorial structures that arise naturallyin different areas of mathematics. In this paper, we will focus on the following example.

Example 1 (0-cycles as decomposable combinatorial structures). For each n, let Pn :=�n(V ) as in Theorem 1 and let Cn := An(V ). Then the prime factorisation of 0-cycles in(1·1) says that (C,P, deg) is a decomposable combinatorial structure. In this case, C(t) isprecisely the zeta function Z(V, t) of the variety V .

Therefore, we can apply general results about decomposable combinatorial structures tostudy 0-cycles.

4·2. Proof of Theorem 2

First, we state the definitions of the Buchstab and the Dickman–de Bruijn functions.

Definition 1. The Buchstab function ω : R�1 → R�0 is the unique continuous functionsatisfying the differential-difference equations:

ω(u) = 1/u, 1 � u � 2,

ω(u) + uω′(u) = ω(u − 1), u � 2.

The Dickman–de Bruijn function ρ : R�0 → R�0 is the unique continuous function satisfy-ing the differential-difference equations:

ρ(u) = 1 0 � u � 1,

uρ ′(u) + ρ(u − 1) = 0 u � 2.

Theorem 2 will be a consequence of Lemma 7 and Lemma 8 together with the follow-ing general theorems about decomposable combinatorial structures. Given a decomposablecombinatorial structure (C,P, deg) as in the previous section, define

X (n, m) :=∣∣∣{c ∈ Cn : c contains no prime of degree smaller than m}

∣∣∣,Y (n, m) :=

∣∣∣{c ∈ Cn : c contains no prime of degree larger than m}∣∣∣.

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 13

THEOREM 11 (Bender–Mashatan–Panario–Richmond, Omar–Panario–Richmond–Whitely).Suppose (C,P, deg) is a decomposable combinatorial structure such that there exist

constants K and R satisfying

|Pn| ∼ 1

nRn and |Cn| ∼ K Rn as n −→ ∞. (4·2)

(i) [3, theorem 1·1]. For any ε > 0, and any m, n with ε � m/n � 1,

X (n, m)

|Pn| ∼ nω(n/m)

m.

(ii) [18, theorem 1]. For any ε > 0 and any m, n with ε � m/n � 1,

Y (n, m)

|Cn| = ρ(n/m) + O(1/m).

We apply Theorem 11 to our case when Pn = �n(V ) and Cn = An(V ) as in Example 1.As n → ∞,

|�n(V )| ∼ qdn/n, by Lemma 8,

|An(V )| ∼ Z(V, q−d)qnd, by Lemma 7.

Thus, conditions (4·2) are satisfied. Theorem 11 then implies that for any u � 1, as n → ∞,

�V (n, u)

|An(V )| = X (n, n/u)

|�n(V )||�n(V )||An(V )| ∼ nω(u)

n/u· 1

n= uω(u)

n,

�V (n, u)

|An(V )| = Y (n, n/u)

|An(V )| = ρ(u) + O(1/n).

5. Prime factors of 0-cycles are Poisson distributed

In this section we prove Theorem 4 by proving the following quantitative statement:

THEOREM 12. Suppose V is a geometrically connected variety over Fq of dimensiond � 1. For every n large enough, let y := log log n/(log log log n)2. There exists a subset�n ⊂ An(V ) with |�n| � |An(V )|2−y/7 such that for every C ∈ An(V ) \ �n, for everyL ∈ [1/y, y/20], and for every r � y(log y)−2,

1

log nν

({t ∈ [0, log n] :

∣∣∣φ(C) � [t, t + L]∣∣∣ = k

})= e−L Lr

r ![

1 + O( 1

2y/15

)](5·1)

where ν denotes the Lebesgue measure and φ(C) is as in Theorem 4.

Proof. We will prove Theorem 12 in three steps: first, we prove a general lemma com-paring statistics about 0-cycles and about permutations; second, we apply the comparisonlemma to a theorem of Granville about permutations, and obtain an estimate for theleft-hand side of (5·1); finally, we construct the set �n ⊂ An(V ), following an argumentdue to Rhoades [22]. The key step in the proof is to establish Lemma 16.

Step 1. Compare permutations and square-free 0-cycles. We showed in Section 3·3 that anyclass function on Sn gives a function, viewed as a random variable, on An(V ). The main aimin this step is to prove Lemma 16, which roughly says that statistics on square-free 0-cyclesare controlled by the corresponding statistics on permutations.

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14 WEIYAN CHEN

For any real number A and any positive integer k, define((A

k

)):= A(A + 1) · · · (A + k − 1)

k! .

For A a positive integer,(( A

k

)) = (A+k−1k

)is the number of ways to choose k elements from a

set of size A, allowing repetition.

LEMMA 13. For any real number A and any positive integer k, we have

k−1∑i=0

((A

i

))A =

((A

k

))k.

Proof. We will prove by induction on k. The case when k = 1 is easily checked. Forinduction, we have

k−1∑i=0

((A

i

))A =

((A

k − 1

))A +

k−2∑i=0

((A

i

))A

=((

A

k − 1

))A +

((A

k − 1

))(k − 1)

=((

A

k

))k.

LEMMA 14. For any positive integer n, any real number t and any A > 0, we have

1

n!∑σ∈Sn

n∏j=1

(1 + At j )X j (σ ) =n∑

i=0

((A

i

))t i . (5·2)

The function X j was defined in (3·13).

Proof. We will prove by induction on n. The case when n = 1 is easily checked. We willshow that if equation (5·2) holds for all k < n, then it also holds for n.

For an arbitrary σ ∈ Sn decomposed into a product of disjoint cycles, the number nappears in a unique cycle of length l, for some l = 1, . . . , n. Moreover, for each l, defineRl := {σ ∈ Sn : n is contained in an l-cycle of σ }.

|Rl | = (n − l)!(l − 1)!(

n − 1

l − 1

)= (n − 1)! .

Let En denote the left hand side of (5·2), which is a sum over Sn . We rewrite the sum overRl , for each 1 � l � n:

En := 1

n!∑σ∈Sn

n∏j=1

(1 + At j )X j (σ )

= 1

n!n∑

l=1

[ ∑σ∈Rl

n∏j=1

(1 + At j )X j (σ )

]

= 1

n!n∑

l=1

[ |Rl ||Sn−l | (1 + Atl)

∑τ∈Sn−l

n∏j=1

(1 + At j )X j (τ )

]

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 15

= 1

n

n∑l=1

[(1 + Atl)En−l

]

= 1

n

n∑l=1

[(1 + Atl)

n−l∑i=0

((A

i

))t i

]by induction hypothesis

= 1

n

n∑l=1

n−l∑i=0

((A

i

))t i + 1

n

n∑l=1

n−l∑i=0

((A

i

))Ati+l .

We simplify the two summands on the last line separately. The first summand can be sim-plified to be:

1

n

n∑l=1

n−l∑i=0

((A

i

))t i = 1

n

n−1∑i=0

(n − i)

((A

i

))t i (5·3)

The second summand can be simplified to be

1

n

n∑l=1

n−l∑i=0

((A

i

))Ati+l = 1

n

n∑k=1

[ k−1∑i=0

((A

i

))A

]t k

= 1

n

n∑k=1

k

((A

k

))t k by Lemma 13. (5·4)

Combining (5·3) and (5·4), we get:

En = 1

n

n−1∑i=0

(n − i)

((A

i

))t i + 1

n

n∑i=1

i

((A

i

))t i

=n∑

i=0

((A

i

))t i .

Lemma 14 is thus proved.

Recall from (3·10) and (3·11) that there is a partition λC (or λσ ) associated to a 0-cycleC ∈ Bn(V ) (or to a permutation σ ∈ Sn).

LEMMA 15. Suppose V is a geometrically connected variety over Fq of dimension d � 1.For each positive integer n, define a class function gn of Sn by

gn(σ ) := Prob(C ∈ Bn(V ) : λC = λσ

)Prob

(τ ∈ Sn : λτ = λσ

) .

Then the expected value E[g2n, Sn] is bounded as n → ∞.

Proof. For each positive integer j , let � j (V ) be as in Theorem 1 and let X j be as in(3·13). Cauchy’s formula gives that

Prob(τ ∈ Sn : λτ = λσ

)=

( n∏j=1

j X j (σ ) X j (σ )!)−1

.

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16 WEIYAN CHEN

By the prime factorisation of 0-cycles (1·1), we have

Prob(

C ∈ Bn(V ) : λC = λσ

)= 1

|Bn(V )|n∏

j=1

(|� j (V )|X j (σ )

).

Therefore, we can take the quotient of the two formulas above and obtain

E[g2n, Sn] = 1

n!∑σ∈Sn

(qnd

|Bn(V )|n∏

j=1

(|� j (V )|X j (σ )

)j X j (σ ) X j (σ )!

qd j X j (σ )

)2

=( qnd

|Bn(V )|)2 1

n!∑σ∈Sn

( n∏j=1

(|� j (V )|X j (σ )

)j X j (σ ) X j (σ )!

qd j X j (σ )

)2

�( qnd

|Bn(V )|)2( 1

n!∑σ∈Sn

n∏j=1

(j |� j (V )|

qd j)2X j (σ )

). (5·5)

We will bound each of the two factors in (5·5) separately. Lemma 9 implies that qnd/|Bn(V )|converges as n → ∞ and therefore is bounded. Lemma 8 implies that there exists someconstant A depending only on V such that

∀ j,j |� j (V )|

qd j� 1 + Aq− j/2.

Therefore, we have

1

n!∑σ∈Sn

n∏j=1

(j |� j (V )|

qd j)2X j (σ ) � 1

n!∑σ∈Sn

n∏j=1

(1 + Aq− j/2)X j (σ )

�n∑

i=0

((A

i

))q−i/2 by Lemma 14

�∞∑

i=0

((A

i

))q−i/2 = (1 − q−1/2)−A.

Hence, E[g2n, Sn] is bounded.

Recall from (3·12) that every class function fn of Sn can be evaluated at a partition λ of nand at a 0-cycle C ∈ An(V ). The following lemma relates the expected value of fn on thetwo probability spaces Sn and Bn(V ).

LEMMA 16 (Comparison Lemma). Suppose V is a geometrically connected variety overFq of dimension d � 1. For any sequence fn : Sn → [0, 1] of class functions of Sn, we have

E[ fn,Bn(V )] = O

(√E[ fn, Sn]

),

where the implied constant is independent of the sequence fn.

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 17

Proof. We have

E[ fn,Bn(V )] = 1

|Bn(V )|∑

C∈Bn(V )

fn(C)

=∑λ�n

fn(λ) · Prob(

C ∈ Bn(V ) : λC = λ)

=∑λ�n

fn(λ) · gn(λ) · Prob(σ ∈ Sn : λσ = λ

)with gn as in Lemma 15

= 1

|Sn|∑σ∈Sn

fn(σ )gn(σ )

= E[ fn · gn, Sn]� E[g2

n, Sn]1/2 · E[ f 2n , Sn]1/2 by Cauchy–Schwarz inequality

� E[g2n, Sn]1/2 · E[ fn, Sn]1/2 since 0 � fn � 1.

By Lemma 15, E[g2n, Sn] is bounded. Hence, we have

E[ fn,Bn(V )] = O

(√E[ fn, Sn]

),

where the implied constant is E[g2n, Sn] and thus is independent of the sequence fn .

One can ask if the same comparison lemma would hold if Bn(V ) is replaced by the super-set An(V ). Our proof would not work in this case because the inequality in (5·5) no longerholds if Bn(V ) is replaced by An(V ).

Remark 5 (Comparing measures on Sn). The set of conjugacy classes in Sn admits astandard probability measure, namely, the measure induced from the uniform measure onSn . On the other hand, for each variety V over finite fields, the pushforward of the uniformprobability measure on Bn(V ) via the map C �→ λC as in (3·12) gives another probabilitymeasure on the conjugacy classes of Sn . The proof of Lemma 16 is a direct comparison ofthese measures. In the case when V = A1, the pushforward of the uniform measure on theset Bn(A

1) of monic square-free polynomials over Fq to Sn is precisely what Hyde–Lagarias[15] called the polynomial q-splitting measure on Sn .

Step 2. Approximate the left-hand side of (5·1). For each partition λ of n give by λ : n =λ1 + · · · + λl , define a subset φ(λ) := {log λ1, . . . , log λl} of the interval [0, log n]. For anyM and N with 0 < M < N < n, and for any r, L > 0, define

μr,L(λ) := 1

log(N/M)· ν

({t ∈ [log M, log N ] :

∣∣∣φ(λ) � [t, t + L]∣∣∣ = r

}),

where again ν denotes the Lebesgue measure. Though μr,L also depends on M and N , forsimplicity we will suppress M and N in our notation.

As in (3·12), we can evaluate μr,L on permutations and 0-cycles:

∀σ ∈ Sn, μr,L(σ ) := μr,L(λσ ),

∀C ∈ An(V ), μr,L(C) := μr,L(λC).

Moreover, μr,L(C) approximates the left-hand side of (5·1) in Theorem 12. Our main goalin this step is to prove Proposition 19 below.

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18 WEIYAN CHEN

PROPOSITION 17. For any N , M satisfying M � √n � N � n, let m :=

(10 log log N )/(log log log N )2 and, for any r, L with r � m/10, and (log log N )/M <

L � m/10, we have

E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,Bn(V )

]= O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

), as n −→ ∞.

Proof. Granville proved in [14, equation (4·1)] that for any N , M, m, r, L satisfying theassumptions of this proposition,

E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣, Sn

]= O

(e−L Lr

r !1

2m

), as n −→ ∞.

Proposition 17 now follows by applying Lemma 16 to Granville’s estimate.

In order to obtain a similar statement but replacing Bn(V ) by An(V ), we will prove thefollowing lemma.

LEMMA 18. If 0 < M < N � n and r, L > 0 and j is a positive integer, then for anyC ∈ An(V ) and any D ∈ A j (V ), we have

|μr,L(C + D) − μr,L(C)| � log j

log(N/M).

Proof. We have

μr,L(C + D) = 1

log(N/M)ν

({t ∈ [log M, log N ] : φ(C + D) � [t, t + L] = r}

).

Notice that φ(C + D) = φ(C) � φ(D), where φ(D) ⊂ [0, log j]. Therefore, the two setsφ(C + D) and φ(C) coincide except possibly on the interval [0, log j]. Thus, we have∣∣∣∣ν

({t ∈ [log M, log N ] :

∣∣∣φ(C + D) � [t, t + L]∣∣∣ = r

})

− ν

({t ∈ [log M, log N ] :

∣∣∣φ(C) � [t, t + L]∣∣∣ = r

})∣∣∣∣� log j

which gives that

|μr,L(C + D) − μr,L(C)| � log j

log(N/M).

PROPOSITION 19. For every ε > 0 and every M, N satisfying 0 � M �√

n1−ε and√n � N � n1−ε , for m := (10 log log N )/(log log log N )2, for every r, L satisfying r �

m/10 and (log log N )/M < L � m/10, we have

E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,An(V )

]= O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

), as n −→ ∞.

Proof. The proof below despite its technicalities follows a very simple idea: An(V ) canbe partitioned iteratively using Bk(V ) of smaller k so we can apply Proposition 17.

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 19

Every 0-cycle C ∈ An(V ) \ Bn(V ) can be written uniquely as a sum C + 2D where C issquare-free. This gives the following partition of An(V ):

An(V ) = n/2�⋃j=0

Bn−2 j (V ) × A j (V ),

where again we adopt the convention that B0(V ) = A0(V ) = {0}. Therefore, we have

E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,An(V )

]=

n/2�∑j=0

|Bn−2 j (V ) × A j (V )||An(V )| · E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,

×Bn−2 j (V ) × A j (V )

]. (5·6)

By Lemmas 9 and 7, we know that there exists a constant A > 0 such that for all n, j ∈ Z�0

|Bn−2 j (V ) × A j (V )||An(V )| � Aq− jd .

Thus, (5·6) gives

E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,An(V )

]�

n/2�∑j=0

Aq− jd · E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣, Bn−2 j (V ) × A j (V )

]

= A · E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,Bn(V )

]︸ ︷︷ ︸

(∗)

+ A · n/2�∑j=1

E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣, Bn−2 j (V ) × A j (V )

]q− jd

︸ ︷︷ ︸(∗∗)

.

Proposition 17 tells us that

(∗) = O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

).

Thus the proof will be complete if we show that (∗∗) satisfies the same bound as above.

(∗∗) = A · n/2�∑j=1

q− jd

|Bn−2 j (V ) × A j (V )|∑

C∈Bn−2 j (V )D∈A j (V )

∣∣∣μr,L(C + 2D) − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣

� A · n/2�∑j=1

[q− jd

|Bn−2 j (V ) × A j (V )|∑

C∈Bn−2 j (V )D∈A j (V )

∣∣∣∣μr,L(C) − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣∣ + log 2 j

log(N/M)

]

by Lemma 18

= A

log(N/M)

n/2�∑j=1

log(2 j)q− jd

︸ ︷︷ ︸(†)

+ A · n/2�∑j=1

E

[∣∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣∣,Bn−2 j (V )

]q− jd

︸ ︷︷ ︸(‡)

.

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20 WEIYAN CHEN

To complete the proof, it suffices to show each of the following asymptotics:

e−(log log n)/2 = O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

), (5·7)

(†) = O(

e−(log log n)/2), and thus = O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

)by (5·7) (5·8)

(‡) = O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

). (5·9)

Remark 6 (on the big-O notation). In the argument below, since we will be using thetransitivity of the big-O relation repeatedly, for brevity we will follow the widely-used con-vention to write O( f ) = O(g) = O(h) to mean that f = O(g) and g = O(h), and thusf = O(h). However, the equal sign in this notation does not imply reflexivity! Indeed,O(n−2) = O(n−1) is true but O(n−1) = O(n−2) is false. We advise the reader to treat theequal sign as an inequality in the context of big-O relation.

First, we prove (5·7). We will bound the following factors appearing on the right-hand sideof (5·7).

m = 10 log log N/(log log log N )2 =⇒ 2m = O(e(log log N )/3)

L � m/10 =⇒ eL = O(e(log log N )/3)

r � m/10 =⇒ r ! � rr = O(em log m) = O(e(log log N )/3).

Thus, we obtain

r !e−L Lr

2m � eL · 2m · r ! = O(elog log N ) = O(elog log n)

which implies (5·7) by taking reciprocal and square root.Next, we prove (5·8). Since the infinite series

∑∞j=1 log(2 j)q− jd converges, we have

(†) = O( 1

log(N/M)

)= O

(e− log log(N/M)

)

= O(

e− log log(nε/2))

since N �√

n and M �√

n1−ε

= O(

e−(log log n)/2).

Finally, we prove (5·9). In order to bound (‡), we divide the summation over j into twoparts: when j � (n −n1−ε)/2 and when j > (n −n1−ε)/2. When j � (n −n1−ε)/2, we haven − 2 j � n1−ε . Since M and N satisfy M �

√n1−ε � N � n1−ε , we can apply Proposition

17 to Bn−2 j (V ) to conclude that if n is large, then n − 2 j � n1−ε is also large, and therefore

E

[∣∣∣μr,L(C) − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,Bn−2 j (V )

]= O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

).

As explained above, this asymptotic bound holds long as n is large enough and does notdepend on j . Thus, by Cauchy–Schwarz we have

∑j�(n−n1−ε )/2

E

[∣∣∣μr,L(C) − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,Bn−2 j (V )

]q− jd = O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

).

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 21

When j > (n − n1−ε)/2, we have

∑j>(n−n1−ε )/2

E

[∣∣∣μr,L(C) − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,Bn−2 j (V )

]q− jd = O

( ∑j�(n−n1−ε )/2

q− jd)

= O(

q−d(n−n1−ε )/2)

= O(

q−dεn/2)

= O(

e−(log log n)/2)

= O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

)by (5·7).

Proposition 19 is established.

Step 3. Deduce Theorem 12 from Proposition 19.We claim that Proposition 19 can be applied with appropriate choices of ε, M, N to prove

Theorem 12.

Claim. Choose ε := (log log n)2/ log n and M := nε and N := n1−ε . Then any r and Lsatisfying the assumptions of Theorem 12 will also satisfy the assumptions of Proposition19, when n is large enough.

Proof. It suffices to verify the following three inequalities for large n:

(log log N )/M � 1/y (5·10)

y/20 � m/10 (5·11)

y/(log y)2 � m/10. (5·12)

We always assume that n is a number large enough. (5·10) follows from taking the quotientof the two inequalities log log N � log log n and M = nε � (log log log n)2. (5·11) followsfrom

y

20= 1

20

log log n

(log log log n)2� log log n1−ε

(log log log n1−ε)2= (log log n) + log(1 − ε)

(log((log log n) + log(1 − ε)))2.

(5·12) follows from (5·11).

Thus, Proposition 19 implies that with our choices of ε, M, N and for all r, L consideredin Theorem 12,

E

[∣∣∣μr,L − e−L Lr

r !∣∣∣,An(V )

]= O

(√e−L Lr

r !1

2m

). (5·13)

The deduction below will mimic the deduction of theorem 1·3 from proposition 4·2 in[22]. We now construct the subset �n ⊂ An(V ). For nonnegative integers j and r , we setL j := m−1(1 + 2−m/6) j and define

� j,r :={

C ∈ An(V ) :∣∣∣∣μr,L j (C) − e−L j

Lrj

r !∣∣∣∣ � 1

2m/6+1

(e−L j

Lrj

r !)1/2}

. (5·14)

Equation (5·13) implies that

|� j,r | = |An(V )| O(2−m/3).

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22 WEIYAN CHEN

We set �n := ⋃j,r � j,r for 0 � j � 2m/6+1 log m and r � m(log m)−2. The total number

of such pairs ( j, r) are at most

2m/6+1 log m · m(log m)−2 = m

log m2m/6+1.

Thus,

|�n| = |An(V )| O(m

log m2−m/6),

which is within the claimed error in Theorem 12.Next, we show that all C ∈ An(V ) \ �n satisfy (5·1). For any L ∈ [1/m, m/20], there is

some j such that L j � L < L j+1, and thus we have

μr,L(C) =∑i�r

μi,L(C) −∑

i�r−1

μi,L(C)

�∑i�r

μi,L j (C) −∑

i�r−1

μi,L j+1(C) since L j � L < L j+1

�∑i�r

[e−L j

Lij

i ! + 1

2m/6+1

(e−L j

Lij

i !)1/2]

by (5·14)

−∑

i�r−1

[e−L j+1

Lij+1

i ! − 1

2m/6+1

(e−L j+1

Lij+1

i !)1/2]

� e−L j+1Lr

j+1

r ! + O

(m

2m/6

∑i�r

(e−L j+1

Lij+1

i !)1/2

︸ ︷︷ ︸(∗)

)

since e−L jLi

j

i ! = e−L j+1Li

j+1

i !(

1 + O(m

2m/6)

).

Notice that (∗) = O(r) = O(m).Thus, we have

μr,L(C) � e−L Lr

r ! + O

(m2

2m/6

).

The error term above can be bounded as

m2

2m/6= 1

2m/15· O(2−m/11) = 1

2m/15· O(elog log n) = 1

2m/15· O

(e−L Lr

r !)

.

where the last equality follows from (5·7). Thus, we have

μr,L(C) � e−L Lr

r ![

1 + O

(1

2m/15

)].

The lower bound

μr,L(C) � e−L Lr

r ![

1 + O

(1

2m/15

)]

can be obtained in a similar way by considering

μr,L(C) �∑i�r

μi,L j+1(C) −∑

i�r−1

μi,L j (C).

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Analytic number theory for 0-cycles 23

Since we chose m and y such that m � y, combining the lower and the upper bounds, wehave

μr,L(C) = e−L Lr

r ![

1 + O

(1

2m/15

)]= e−L Lr

r ![

1 + O

(1

2y/15

)].

Finally, to establish (5·1), we notice that

1

log nν

({t ∈ [0, log n] :

∣∣∣φ(C) � [t, t + L] = k∣∣∣}

)= μr,L(C) + O(ε).

The ε we have chosen is so small that

ε = O

(e−L Lr

r !1

2y/15

).

Theorem 12 is thus proved.

6. Further questions

In Table 1, we see that multiplication of integers corresponds to the formal addition of 0-cycles. Is there any operation on 0-cycles that corresponds to addition of integers? Can onedo additive number theory for 0-cycles? For example, how would a twin prime conjecturefor 0-cycles state?

Acknowledgments. The author would like to thank Andrew Barbour, Jordan Ellen-berg, Matthew Emerton, Andrew Granville, Sean Howe, Dan Petersen and Jesse Wolfsonfor helpful conversations, and to thank Sean Howe, Jeffrey Lagarias, Andrew Sutherlandand an anonymous referee for suggestions on earlier drafts. The author is deeply gratefulto his advisor Benson Farb, both for his kind support of this project and for his detailedcomments on drafts of this paper.

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